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1.
The relationship between air temperature and human mortality is described as non-linear, with mortality tending to rise in response to increasingly hot or cold ambient temperatures from a given minimum mortality or optimal comfort temperature, which varies from some areas to others according to their climatic and socio-demographic characteristics. Changes in these characteristics within any specific region could modify this relationship. This study sought to examine the time trend in the maximum temperature of minimum organic-cause mortality in Castile-La Mancha, from 1975 to 2003. The analysis was performed by using daily series of maximum temperatures and organic-cause mortality rates grouped into three decades (1975–1984, 1985–1994, 1995–2003) to compare confidence intervals (p < 0.05) obtained by estimating the 10-yearly mortality rates corresponding to the maximum temperatures of minimum mortality calculated for each decade. Temporal variations in the effects of cold and heat on mortality were ascertained by means of ARIMA models (Box-Jenkins) and cross-correlation functions (CCF) at seven lags. We observed a significant decrease in comfort temperature (from 34.2°C to 27.8°C) between the first two decades in the Province of Toledo, along with a growing number of significant lags in the summer CFF (1, 3 and 5, respectively). The fall in comfort temperature is attributable to the increase in the effects of heat on mortality, due, in all likelihood, to the percentage increase in the elderly population.  相似文献   

2.
It has been suggested, that the inhabitants of northern European regions, who experience little cold-related mortality, protect themselves outdoors by wearing more clothing, at the same temperature, than people living in southern regions where such mortality is high. Outdoor clothing data were collected in eight regions from 6583 people divided by sex and age group (50–59 and 65–74 years). Across Europe, the total clothing worn (as assessed by dry thermal insulation and numbers of items or layers) increased significantly with cold, wind, less physical activity and longer periods outdoors. Men wore 0.14 clo (1 clo=0.115 m2 K W–1) more than women and the older people wore 0.05 clo more than the younger group (both P<0.001). After allowance for these factors, regional differences in insulation and item number were correlated (r=–0.74, P=0.037; r=–0.74, P=0.036 respectively), but not those in clothing layers (r=–0.21; P=0.61), with indices of cold-related mortality. Cold weather most increased the wearing of gloves, scarves and hats. The geographical variation in the wearing of these three together items more closely matched that in cold-related mortality (r=–0.89, P=0.003). A possible explanation for this may be that they protect the head and hands, where stimulation by cold greatly increases peripheral vasoconstriction causing a rise in blood pressure that procedure haemoconcentration and raised cardiovascular risk. Received: 30 September 1999 / Revised: 3 April 2000 / Accepted: 5 June 2000  相似文献   

3.
Juvenile hormone III (JHIII), when applied to the abdomen of 1-day-old female Acheta domesticus (in quantities that would create JHIII titers in the hemolymph that were within the range measured in females of this species) caused a significant decrease in phonotactic thresholds (Fig. 1). Removal of the corpora allata from 5-day-old females with low phonotactic thresholds caused significantly increased phonotactic thresholds 2–5 days later. After a temporary increase (24 h) of, on average, about 25 dB, the phonotactic thresholds drop to about 10 dB above preallatectomy levels (Fig. 2), but remain significantly higher than controls. Application of JHIII to allatectomized females, with a mean increase in thresholds of 20 dB, results in significantly decreased thresholds (mean of about 20 dB) over the next 6 h (Fig. 3). Exposure to males 1 week before the imaginal molt causes the phonotactic thresholds of postimaginal females to drop 1–2 days significantly earlier than controls (Fig. 4). One- and 3-day-old females, phonotactically tested only once, exhibit lower thresholds in the early morning than they do in the late afternoon (Fig. 5). Five-day-old females do not exhibit such a diurnal rhythm. Phonotactically testing females more than once a day significantly influences their phonotactic thresholds (Figs. 6, 7). In 1-day-old females, with high (above 70 dB) phonotactic thresholds, the threshold of their L1 auditory interneurons can be 30 dB or more below their phonotactic threshold (Fig. 8). In females with phonotactic thresholds of 70 dB or lower, the L1 threshold is within 10 dB of their phonotactic threshold. Both JHIII and allatectomy influence phonotactic and L1 thresholds in a similar manner. Accepted: 29 September 1997  相似文献   

4.
Many findings indicate that measuring the serum concentration of soluble 70-kD heat shock protein (soluble HSP70) may provide important information in cardiovascular, inflammatory, and pregnancy-related diseases; however, only scarce data are available in cancer. Therefore, using a commercial ELISA kit, we measured soluble HSP70 concentration in the sera of 179 patients with colorectal cancer. We investigated the relationship between soluble HSP70 concentration and mortality, during 33.0 (24.4–44.0) months long follow-up. High (>1.65 pg/ml, median concentration) soluble HSP70 level was a significant (hazard ratio: 1.88 (1.20–2.96, p = 0.005) predictor of mortality during the follow-up period. When we compared the soluble HSP70 levels in patients with non-resected primary tumors as compared to those who were recruited into the study 4–6 weeks after the tumor resection they were found to be significantly (p = 0.020) higher in the former group. Since the patients with non-resected primary tumors had also distant metastasis and died early, we limited the further analysis to 142 patients with no distant metastasis at the beginning of the follow-up. This association remained significant even after multiple Cox-regression analysis had been performed to adjust the data for age and sex (p = 0.028); age, sex, and TNM-T stage (p = 0.041); age, sex, and TNM-N stage (p = 0.021); age, sex, and histological grade (p = 0.023); or age, sex, and tumor localization (p = 0.029). Further analysis showed that the significant association between high HSP70 levels and poor survival is in the strongest in the group of <70-year-old female patients (HR: 5.52 (2.02-15.15), p = 0.001), as well as in those who were in a less advanced stage of the disease at baseline. These novel findings indicate that the serum level of soluble HSP70 might prove a useful, stage-independent prognostic marker in colorectal cancer without distant metastasis.  相似文献   

5.
The prevalence of cold-related complaints and symptoms in the general population has remained unknown. As part of the nationwide FINRISK 2002 health survey performed in Finland, 8,723 people aged 25–64 years filled in a questionnaire asking about the number of hours spent weekly in cold air, their sensations during cold exposure, cold-related complaints, symptoms of diseases, and degradation of performance. Cold thermal sensations at +5°C to −5°C were reported by 35% of men and 46% of women. Almost all subjects reported at least some cold-related complaints, most commonly musculoskeletal pain (men 30%, women 27%), followed by respiratory (25% / 29%), white finger (15% / 18%) and episodic peripheral circulation symptoms (12% / 15%). Decreased mental or physical performance in cold was reported by 75% of men and 70% of women, most commonly impairing manual dexterity and tactile sense. With declining temperature, the first symptom to emerge was pain in the elbow or the forearm (at −3°C), followed by increased excretion of mucus from the lungs (−5°C), while most other symptoms appeared only at lower temperatures of −15°C to −20°C. Most symptoms showed little or no association with the weekly duration of exposure, with the exception of cold-induced pain at most sites. Although, in general, Finns are well adapted to the cold climate, the high prevalence of cold-related complaints poses a challenge to the health care system in terms of decreased performance and the possibility that such symptoms predict more serious health effects, such as increased mortality. This work was carried out in the framework of the FINADAPT project (Assessing the adaptive capacity of the Finnish environment and society under a changing climate).  相似文献   

6.
Several anabantoid species produce broad-band sounds with high-pitched dominant frequencies (0.8–2.5 kHz), which contrast with generally low-frequency hearing abilities in (perciform) fishes. Utilizing a recently developed auditory brainstem response recording-technique, auditory sensitivities of the gouramis Trichopsis vittata, T. pumila, Colisa lalia, Macropodus opercularis and Trichogaster trichopterus were investigated and compared with the sound characteristics of the respective species. All five species exhibited enhanced sound-detecting abilities and perceived tone bursts up to 5 kHz, which qualifies this group as hearing specialists. All fishes possessed a high-frequency sensitivity maximum between 800 Hz and 1500 Hz. Lowest hearing thresholds were found in T. trichopterus (76 dB re 1 μPa at 800 Hz). Dominant frequencies of sounds correspond with the best hearing bandwidth in T. vittata (1–2 kHz) and C. lalia (0.8–1 kHz). In the smallest species, T. pumila, dominant frequencies of acoustic signals (1.5–2.5 kHz) do not match lowest thresholds, which were below 1.5 kHz. However, of all species studied, T. pumila had best hearing sensitivity at frequencies above 2 kHz. The association between high-pitched sounds and hearing may be caused by the suprabranchial air-breathing chamber, which, lying close to the hearing and sonic organs, enhances both sound perception and emission at its resonant frequency. Accepted: 26 November 1997  相似文献   

7.
This investigation examined the influence of soil moisture and associated parameters on the cold hardiness of the Colorado potato beetle (Leptinotarsa decemlineata Say), a temperate-zone species that overwinters in terrestrial burrows. The body mass and water content of adult beetles kept in sand at 4 °C varied over a 16-week period of diapause according to the substratum's moisture content. Changes in body water content, in turn, influenced the crystallization temperature (range −3.3 to −18.4 °C; n = 417), indicating that environmental moisture indirectly determined supercooling capacity, a measure of physiological cold hardiness. Beetles held in dry sand readily tolerated a 24-h exposure to temperatures ranging from 0° to −5 °C, but those chilled in sand containing as little as 1.7% water (dry mass) had elevated mortality. Thus, burrowing in dry soils not only promotes supercooling via its effect on water balance, but may also inhibit inoculative freezing. Mortality of beetles exposed to −5 °C for 24 h was lower in substrates composed of sand, clay and/or peat (36–52%) than in pure silica sand (78%) having an identical water content (17.0% dry mass). In addition to moisture, the texture, structure, water potential, and other physico-chemical attributes of soil may strongly influence the cold hardiness and overwintering survival of burrowing insects. Accepted: 10 September 1996  相似文献   

8.
 The migratory history of Anguilla dieffenbachii and A. australis, collected from a coastal lake of New Zealand, was examined using analysis of strontium (Sr) and calcium (Ca) concentrations. Line analysis of Sr : Ca ratios along the life history transect of each otolith showed a peak (Ca. 16–20 × 10−3) between the core and elver mark, which corresponded to the period of their leptocephalus and early glass eel stages in the ocean. The mean Sr : Ca ratios from the elver mark to the otolith edge indicated that eels had different migratory histories, which included freshwater residency in some eels (average Sr : Ca ratios, 1.7 × 10−3–2.4 × 10−3) but not in others (average Sr : Ca ratios, 3.1 × 10−3–6.5 × 10−3). These findings suggest that New Zealand freshwater eels have a flexible migration strategy and an ability to adapt to various habitats and salinities. Received: November 25, 2002 / Revised: January 17, 2003 / Accepted: January 17, 2003  相似文献   

9.
A wet suit may not provide adequate thermal protection when diving in moderately cold water (17–18°C), and any resultant mild hypothermia may impair performance during prolonged diving. We studied heat exchange during a dive to a depth of 5 m in sea water (17–18.5°C) in divers wearing a full wet suit and using closed-circuit oxygen breathing apparatus. Eight fin swimmers dived for 3.1 h and six underwater scooter (UWS) divers propelled themselves through the water for 3.7 h. The measurements taken throughout the dive were the oxygen pressure in the cylinder and skin and rectal temperatures (T re). Each subject also completed a cold score questionnaire. The T re decreased continuously in all subjects. Oxygen consumption in the fin divers (1.40 l · min−1) was higher than that of the UWS divers (1.05 l · min−1). The mean total insulation was 0.087°C · m2 · W−1 in both groups. Mean body insulation was 37% of the total insulation (suit insulation was 63%). The reduction in T re over the 1st hour was related to subcutaneous fat thickness. There was a correlation between cold score and T re at the end of 1 h, but not after that. A full wet suit does not appear to provide adequate thermal protection when diving in moderately cold water. Accepted: 21 January 1997  相似文献   

10.
A recent record cold spell in southern Florida (2–11 January 2010) provided an opportunity to evaluate responses of an established population of Burmese pythons (Python molurus bivittatus) to a prolonged period of unusually cold weather. We observed behavior, characterized thermal biology, determined fate of radio-telemetered (n = 10) and non-telemetered (n = 104) Burmese pythons, and analyzed habitat and environmental conditions experienced by pythons during and after a historic cold spell. Telemetered pythons had been implanted with radio-transmitters and temperature-recording data loggers prior to the cold snap. Only one of 10 telemetered pythons survived the cold snap, whereas 59 of 99 (60%) non-telemetered pythons for which we determined fate survived. Body temperatures of eight dead telemetered pythons fluctuated regularly prior to 9 January 2010, then declined substantially during the cold period (9–11 January) and exhibited no further evidence of active thermoregulation indicating they were likely dead. Unusually cold temperatures in January 2010 were clearly associated with mortality of Burmese pythons in the Everglades. Some radio-telemetered pythons appeared to exhibit maladaptive behavior during the cold spell, including attempting to bask instead of retreating to sheltered refugia. We discuss implications of our findings for persistence and spread of introduced Burmese pythons in the United States and for maximizing their rate of removal.  相似文献   

11.
We examined the effects of temperature and photoperiod on metabolic thermogenesis and the thermogenic characteristics of brown adipose tissue in plateau pikas (Ochotona curzoniae) and root voles (Microtus oeconomus), the dominant species of small mammals in the alpine meadow ecosystems on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Pikas and voles were acclimated in the following groups: (1) Long day – warm temperature (16L:8D, 23 °C), (2) Long day – cold temperature (16L:8D, 5 °C), (3) short day – warm temperature (8L:16D, 23 °C), and (4) short day – cold temperature (8L:16D, 5 °C). Both temperature and photoperiod were important environmental cues for changes in thermogenesis for both species. Low temperature and short photoperiod induced increases in metabolic rate, nonshivering thermogenesis (NST), mitochondrial protein contents of brown adipose tissue, and cytochrome C oxidase activity of brown adipose tissue mitochondria in both species. Plateau pikas were more sensitive to cold (79% of the total NST response) than to short photoperiod (21%), while root voles were more sensitive to short photoperiod (60% of the total NST response) than to cold (40%), although cold clearly enhanced thermogenesis. Their thermogenic characteristics correlated with their preferred habitats: plateau pikas are found mainly in more exposed microhabitats in open sunny meadow, while root voles live in more sheltered microhabitats in relatively closed shrub. Our results also showed that temperature and photoperiod combined induce thermogenic adjustments in both species in seasonal acclimatization in their alpine meadow macrohabitat. Accepted: 10 November 1998  相似文献   

12.
Previous experiments demonstrated that in choice situations female Tettigonia cantans prefer signals with the conspecific spectrum over signals with the spectrum of the sibling species T. viridissima, whose signals lack the T. cantans-typical 8-kHz component but are otherwise identical in spectral composition. The underlying neuronal mechanisms were investigated using whole-nerve recordings of the tympanal nerve. Hearing thresholds did not differ significantly between the species in the range between 7 and 25 kHz. The responses of the tympanic nerve at 30 dB above threshold did, however, differ significantly between the species. While in T. viridissima response amplitudes did not differ between 7 and 12 kHz, in T. cantans responses at 8 kHz were significantly larger than at 10 and 12 kHz. Since possible influences of axonal diameters on response magnitudes were excluded, these results indicate that in T. cantans more receptor cells are tuned to 8 kHz than to 10–12 kHz, while in T. viridissima tuning of receptor cells is more evenly distributed. The higher response magnitude in T. cantans at 8 kHz than at 10–12 kHz is equivalent to an amplitude difference of 3.8–7 dB, which agrees well with previous behavioural estimates. Accepted: 13 January 1999  相似文献   

13.
Aircrew members are exposed to cosmic radiation and other specific occupational factors. In a previous analysis of a large cohort of German aircrew, no increase in cancer mortality or dose-related effects was observed. In the present study, the follow-up of this cohort of 6,017 cockpit and 20,757 cabin crew members was extended by 6 years to 2003. Among male cockpit crew, the resulting all-cancer standardized mortality ratio (SMR) (n = 127) is 0.6 (95% CI 0.5–0.8), while for brain tumors it is 2.1 (95% CI 1.0–3.9). The cancer risk is significantly raised (RR = 2.2, 95% CI 1.2–4.1) among cockpit crew members employed 30 years or more compared to those employed less than 10 years. Among both female and male cabin crew, the all-cancer SMR and that for most individual cancers are close to 1. The SMR for breast cancer among female crew is 1.2 (95% CI 0.8–1.8). Non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma among male cabin crew is increased (SMR 4.2; 95% CI 1.3–10.8). However, cancers associated with radiation exposure are not raised in the cohort. It is concluded that among cockpit crew cancer mortality is low, particularly for lung cancer. The positive trend of all cancer with duration of employment persists. The increased brain cancer SMR among cockpit crew requires replication in other cohorts. For cabin crew, cancer mortality is generally close to population rates. Cosmic radiation dose estimates will allow more detailed assessments, as will a pooling of updated aircrew studies currently in planning.  相似文献   

14.
Aim Assess the risk of zinc (Zn) deficiency in the older cystic fibrosis (CF) population. Method Cross-sectional investigation of all CF patients above the age of 4 followed at the Ghent University center between 2002 and 2003. Data on age, weight, height z-score, pancreatic and pulmonary functions, chronic Pseudomonas infection, and CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) mutations were collected. Serum Zn, vitamins (vit) A and E, retinol-binding protein (RBP), albumin, sedimentation rate, total IgG, and cholesterol were determined. Serum Zn was compared with a local healthy control group (Van Biervliet et al., Biol Trace Elem Res 94:33–40, 2003) and with literature data (Hotz C, et al. Am J Clin Nutr 78:756–764, 2003). Results 101 patients (median age 16 years) were included. There was no difference in serum Zn concentration between CF patients and controls. In CF patients no difference in serum Zn concentration between pancreatic-sufficient or pancreatic-insufficient patients was seen. Serum Zn was not associated to nutritional status or height z-score. A significant association serum Zn to serum albumin (p < 0.0005) and to vit A (p < 0.01) was seen. No associations of serum Zn to serum vit E, RBP, cholesterol, or CFTR were present, but there is a significant association serum Zn to forced vital capacity (p < 0.01). Serum Zn was not associated to inflammatory parameters or chronic Pseudomonas infection. Conclusion Comparison of CF patients with local controls revealed no significant differences. However, because persisting steatorrhea increases Zn loss (Easley et al., J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr 26:136–139, 1998) and 12.6% of our population has a serum Zn below the p value of 2.5 of the NHANES II study (Hotz C, et al. Am J Clin Nutr 78:756–764, 2003), there could remain an increased risk of Zn deficiency in some CF patients. Furthermore, the association with pulmonary function needs more investigation.  相似文献   

15.
Seven gloves were studied worn by eight sedentary subjects (six men and two women) exposed to cold–dry, C–D, (mean dry bulb temperature −17.2C; mean dew point temperature ), and cold–wet, C–W, ( 0C; ) conditions. Mean endurance times were 75 min for the C–D and 162 min for the C–W conditions. A three-phase response pattern of the temperature in the fingers was characterized. Phase I comprised an initial period during which finger temperature remained close to the pre-exposed level, due to delayed vasoconstriction in the finger. Phase II involved an exponential-like decrease of finger temperature indicative of the onset of vasoconstriction in the finger. Phase III manifested periodic finger temperature changes due to cold induced vasodilatation (CIVD). Mean wave patterns for phase III indicated approximately 3.5 waves · h−1 in the C–D but only about 2 waves · h−1 in the C–W condition. Extension of endurance time, due to CIVD, was defined as the difference in time between the actual end of the experiment and the time the finger-tip would have reached the set temperature endurance limit as extrapolated by a continued exponential drop. Three overall response patterns of fingers in the cold were characterized: type A exhibiting all 3 phases; type B1 or B2 exhibiting either phases I+II or phases II+III; and type C showing only phase II. Considerable inter- and intra-subject variability was found. In both test conditions the final physiological thermal states of the subjects were between comfortable and slightly uncomfortable but acceptable and thus did not correlate with the responses in the fingers. Accepted: 5 January 1998  相似文献   

16.
To estimate the age and growth of dominant lanternfishes in the Kuroshio–Oyashio Transition Zone, we examined the sagittal otolith microstructure of Symbolophorus californiensis (n = 30) and Ceratoscopelus warmingii (n = 93) collected from the western North Pacific during 1997–2003. Age of S. californiensis ranged from 81 to 541 days corresponding to postmetamorphosis stage (juveniles and adults), and the von Bertalanffy model was fitted: L t  = 128[1 − exp{−0.003(t − 1.52)}], where L is the standard length (mm) and t is age in days. Age of C. warmingii ranged from 6 to 416 days, and growth before metamorphosis was linear (L t  = 0.346t + 1.51), and the von Bertalanffy model was fitted to the postmetamorphosis stage: L t  = 80.8 [1 − exp{−0.00769(t − 34.4)}]. Growth of these two lanternfishes was faster than that of other lanternfishes in previous studies but considerably slower than that of Japanese sardine (Sardinops melanostictus) and anchovy (Engraulis japonicus) distributed in the Kuroshio–Oyashio Transition Zone. Temperature and prey availability are discussed in relation to this difference in growth rate.  相似文献   

17.
The development of thermophysiological responses during four consecutive exercise/rest sessions in the cold was studied in men wearing chemical protective clothing and a face mask. Six men repeated four exercise/rest sessions during 8 h at –10°C. Each session consisted of step exercise (240 W · m−2) for 60 min and rest for another 60 min. Rectal and skin temperatures were measured continuously and thermal sensations were obtained at 30-min intervals. Entering the cold from a warm environment and the onset of exercise resulted in a decrease in skin temperatures during the first session and the decrement in the temperatures of the extremities continued for 10–20 min during the following period of exercise. Torso skin temperature was at its lowest during the first rest period. After the first session of cold exposure the range and the level of variation in mean body temperature ( b) followed a pattern which was repeated until the end of the experiment. However, the torso skin temperatures increased gradually until the fourth session, while the temperatures of the extremities, in contrast, tended to decrease up to the third session. In conclusion, the present results indicated that although b, reflecting the whole body heat balance, showed a typical pattern of change after the first session (2 h), the torso area was warming until the end of the cold exposure while the extremities continued to cool down up to the third session (6 h), obviously due to a prolonged redistribution of the circulation. Accepted: 29 May 1998  相似文献   

18.
Four samples of natural ecosystems and one sample from an activated sludge treatment plant were mixed together and progressively adapted to alternating aerobic/anoxic phases in the presence of nitrate in order to enrich the microflora in aerobic denitrifiers. Aerobic denitrifying performances of this mixed ecosystem at various dissolved oxygen concentrations and various carbon–nitrogen loads were evaluated and compared to those obtained with the aerobic denitrifier Microvirgula aerodenitrificans. The consortium and the pure strain exhibited an aerobic denitrifying activity at air saturation conditions (7 mg dissolved oxygen l–1), i.e. there was co-respiration of the two electron acceptors with significant specific nitrate reduction rates. Dissolved oxygen concentrations had no influence on denitrifying performances above a defined threshold: 0.35 mg l–1 for the consortium and 4.5 mg l–1 for M. aerodenitrificans respectively. Under these thresholds, decreasing the dissolved oxygen concentrations enhanced the denitrifying activity of each culture. The higher the carbon and nitrogen loads, the higher the performance of the aerobic denitrifying ecosystem. However, for M. aerodenitrificans, the nitrate reduction percentage was affected more by variations in nitrogen load than in carbon load. Received: 6 December 1999 / Received revision: 8 March 2000 / Accepted: 10 March 2000  相似文献   

19.
Data on zinc concentration in the human body may be used to interpret the results obtained in cases of chronic and acute poisonings with zinc compounds, i.e., in clinical and forensic toxicology. In this paper, the concentrations of zinc in human tissues and body fluids obtained from autopsy cases concerning non-poisoned people (n = 203), aged from 14 to 80 years, between 1995 and 2008, are presented. The following values were found by the flame atomic absorption method (mean ± SD, median, range, in microgram per gram or microgram per milliliter): brain 10.3 ± 1.36, 10.2, 7.99–13.8 (n = 48); stomach 14.2 ± 3.63, 13.6, 8.00–22.5 (n = 71); intestines 15.7 ± 5.22, 15.8, 8.36–28.1 (n = 35); liver 39.6 ± 16.1, 36.6, 16.0–78.8 (n = 109); kidney 33.8 ± 10.1, 31.8, 16.4–60.9 (n = 93); lung 12.0 ± 3.88, 11.0, 6.13–18.7 (n = 26); spleen 14.7 ± 2.53, 14.6, 11.4–18.3 (n = 5); heart 26.5 ± 3.63, 26.7, 22.5–31.8 (n = 5); blood 6.81 ± 1.21, 7.00, 4.02–8.68 (n = 50); urine 0.69 ± 1.70, 0.60, 0.39–1.00 (n = 5), and bile 4.92 ± 1.64, 3.75, 3.20–7.09 (n = 9). The accuracy of the method was checked through the use of SRM Bovine Liver 1577b (certified: 127 ± 16 μg Zn/g, found: 117 ± 0.7 μg Zn/g (n = 6)).  相似文献   

20.
Heat waves are expected to increase in frequency and magnitude with climate change. The first part of a study to produce projections of the effect of future climate change on heat-related mortality is presented. Separate city-specific empirical statistical models that quantify significant relationships between summer daily maximum temperature (T max) and daily heat-related deaths are constructed from historical data for six cities: Boston, Budapest, Dallas, Lisbon, London, and Sydney. ‘Threshold temperatures’ above which heat-related deaths begin to occur are identified. The results demonstrate significantly lower thresholds in ‘cooler’ cities exhibiting lower mean summer temperatures than in ‘warmer’ cities exhibiting higher mean summer temperatures. Analysis of individual ‘heat waves’ illustrates that a greater proportion of mortality is due to mortality displacement in cities with less sensitive temperature–mortality relationships than in those with more sensitive relationships, and that mortality displacement is no longer a feature more than 12 days after the end of the heat wave. Validation techniques through residual and correlation analyses of modelled and observed values and comparisons with other studies indicate that the observed temperature–mortality relationships are represented well by each of the models. The models can therefore be used with confidence to examine future heat-related deaths under various climate change scenarios for the respective cities (presented in Part 2).  相似文献   

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