Effects of alternative styles of risk information on EMF risk perception

Risk scenarios characterized by exposures to new technologies with unknown health effects, together with limited appreciation of benefits pose a challenge to risk communication. The present report illustrates this situation through a study of the perceived risk from mobile phones and mobile masts in residential areas. Good information should objectively convey the current state of knowledge. The research question is then how to inform lay people so that they trust and understand the information. We used an Internet‐based survey with 1687 Danish participants randomized to three types of information about radiation from mobile phones and masts. The objective was to study whether different types of information were rated as equally useful, informative, comprehensible, and trustworthy. Moreover, an important issue was whether information would influence risk perception and intended behavior. The conclusion is that lay people rate information about risks associated with a new and largely unknown technology more useful and trustworthy when provided with brief statements about how to handle the risk, rather than more lengthy technical information about why the technology may or may not entail health hazards. Further, the results demonstrate that information may increase concern among a large proportion of the population, and that discrepancies exist between expressed concern and intended behavior. Bioelectromagnetics 31:504–512, 2010. © 2010 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.     

Epidermal restriction confers robustness to organ shapes

The shape of comparable tissues and organs is consistent among individuals of a given species, but how this consistency or robustness is achieved remains an open question. The interaction between morphogenetic factors determines organ formation and subsequent shaping, which is ultimately a mechanical process. Using a computational approach, we show that the epidermal layer is essential for the robustness of organ geometry control. Specifically, proper epidermal restriction allows organ asymmetry maintenance, and the tensile epidermal layer is sufficient to suppress local variability in growth, leading to shape robustness. The model explains the enhanced organ shape variations in epidermal mutant plants. In addition, differences in the patterns of epidermal restriction may underlie the initial establishment of organ asymmetry. Our results show that epidermal restriction can answer the longstanding question of how cellular growth noise is averaged to produce precise organ shapes, and the findings also shed light on organ asymmetry establishment.     

Absolute fitness, relative fitness, and utility

It is well known that (1) natural selection typically favors an allele with both a large mean fitness and a small variance in fitness; and (2) investors typically prefer a portfolio with both a large mean return and a small variance in returns. In the case of investors, this mean-variance trade-off reflects risk aversion; in the case of evolution, the mathematics is straightforward but the result is harder to intuit. In particular, it is harder to understand where, in the mathematics of natural selection, risk aversion arises. Here I present a result that suggests a simple answer to this question. Although my answer is essentially identical to one offered previously, my path to it differs somewhat from previous approaches. Some may find this new approach easier to intuit.     

Applications of a parametric model for informative censoring

In this article, we explore the use of a parametric model (for analyzing survival data) which is defined to allow sensitivity analysis for the presence of informative censoring. The dependence between the failure and the censoring processes is expressed through a parameter delta and a general bias function B(t, theta). We calculate the expectation of the potential bias due to informative censoring, which is an overall measure of how misleading our results might be if censoring is actually nonignorable. Bounds are also calculated for quantities of interest, e.g., parameter of the distribution of the failure process, which do not depend on the choice of the bias function for fixed delta. An application that relates to systematic lupus erythematosus data illustrates how additional information can result in reducing the uncertainty on estimates of the location parameter. Sensitivity analysis on a relative risk parameter is also explored.     

A physical characterization of biological information and communication system model of ecosystems

What is information for living organisms? An answer to this question is given on a physical basis and a contrast between genetic information and sensory information is stressed with a relation to information theory. A simple model of an environment of living organisms is investigated on the basis of communication systems model proposed by the author and a cost of information transmission is taken into consideration through capacity cost theory. It is shown that channel capacity of information theory can be interpreted as an environment, and furthermore that a large diversity of genetic messages needs a large capacity of the environment. In addition, a definition of life in terms of information is proposed and a unified view on life processes is suggested.     

Measurement of intracellular pH and pCa with a confocal microscope

In the late 1980s, the field of biological confocal microscopy exploded. So did traffic on the Internet. Considering the ongoing interest in the role of intracellular pH and pCa in all aspects of cell physiology, it is not surprising that the most frequently asked question on the Internet's confocal forum has been: 'How do I measure pH/pCa with a confocal microscope?' This article was inspired by these Internet discussions and attempts to answer this question by presenting the rationale for using (or not using) a confocal approach to measure intracellular ion concentration, assessing the feasibility of performing this task with currently prevailing hardware, assembling the currently available 'know-how' and telling 'how'.     

Information following a Diagnosis of Congenital Heart Defect: Experiences among Parents to Prenatally Diagnosed Children

BackgroundPrenatal screening of pregnant women in Sweden has improved the detection of major congenital heart defects (CHD). The aim was to explore parental experiences and need for information following a prenatal diagnosis of CHD.MethodsSemi-structured interviews conducted with six fathers and five mothers to seven prenatally diagnosed children. Data were analyzed through content analysis.ResultsThree themes and 9 categories emerged. Theme 1, Grasping the facts today while reflecting on the future, containing five categories: Difficulties sorting out information when in emotional chaos; Respectful information regarding termination of pregnancy; Early information is crucial; Understanding the facts regarding the anomaly; Preparing for the future. Theme 2, Personal contact with medical specialists who give honest and trustworthy information is valued, containing two categories: Trust in information received from medical specialists and Truth and honesty is valued. Theme 3, An overwhelming amount of information on the Internet, containing two categories: Difficulties in finding relevant information and Easy to focus on cases with a poor outcome when searching the Internet.ConclusionEarly and honest information in line with individual preferences is crucial to support the decisional process regarding whether to continue or terminate the pregnancy. The use of illustrations is recommended, as a complement to oral information, as it increases comprehension and satisfaction with obtained information. Furthermore, the overwhelming amount of information on the Internet calls for compilation of easily accessible and reliable information sources via the Internet.     

Pavement model in Internet of intelligences and applications in risk analysis online

In this article, I suggest a model to study the risk issue that can be mapped into a query on how to pass a road safely. The model is called the pavement model, which can be used in the Internet of intelligences. The model has three components: object, value of success or failure, and duration of the value. An object is mapped into a section of road, the value is defined by the truth value of success or failure passing the road, and the duration represents the number of parts with the value in the session. The case of choosing milk powder shows that the model can perfectly integrate childcare experiences to be a rank that indicates which milk powder should be the first choice and which milk powder is not recommended to buy. The case of assessing typhoon risk shows that the model can dynamically assess typhoon risks with respect to different months and landing situations.     

Flood Risk Analysis Based on Information Diffusion Theory

Due to the fact that the flood data series of small drainage basins is relatively short, available data are often not sufficient for flood risk analysis. This presents the problem of risk analysis using very small data samples. One method that can be applied is to regard the available small samples as fuzzy information and optimize them using information diffusion technology to yield analytical results with greater reliability. In this article a risk analysis method based on information diffusion theory is applied to create a new flood risk analysis model. Application of the model is illustrated taking the Jinhuajiang and Qujiang drainage basins as examples. This is a new attempt at applying information diffusion theory in flood risk analysis. Computations based on this analytical flood risk model can yield an estimated flood damage value that is relatively accurate. This study indicates that the aforementioned model exhibits fairly stable analytical results, even when using a small set of sample data. The results also indicate that information diffusion technology is highly capable of extracting useful information and therefore improves system recognition accuracy. This method can be easily applied and the analytical results produced are easy to understand. Results are accurate enough to act as a guide in disaster situations.     

Integrated Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: A Case Study of Ultraviolet Radiation Effects on Amphibians,Coral, Humans,and Oceanic Primary Productivity

Ultraviolet radiation (UVR) is a naturally occurring stressor to most forms of life. The sole relevant source of this stressor is the sun. The Earth's stratospheric ozone layer reduces the amount of UVR that reaches the Earth's surface. The potential for continued depletion of this ozone layer and environmental changes that increase the penetrance of aquatic habitat, both due to human activities, and the subsequent increase in UVR are global environmental concerns for both humans and ecosystems. An integrated risk assessment provides efficiency in data gathering, analysis and reporting by enabling risk assessors to use the combined knowledge from many disciplines to evaluate overall risk. This report describes the steps and example information that could be used for an integrated risk assessment but is not an actual risk assessment with all its associated calculations and conclusions. It is intended to illustrate the advantages of the integrated risk assessment approach for evaluating adverse effects of a nonchemical stressor.     

Dynamics of the public concern and risk communication program implementation

Abstract

The public concern about electromagnetic field (EMF) exposure varies due to different reasons. A part of them are connected with the better and higher quality of information that people receive from science, media, Internet, social networks, industry, but others are based on good communication programs performed by the responsible institutions, administration and persons. Especially, in Bulgaria, public concern follows interesting changes, some of them in correlation with the European processes of concern, but others following the economic and political processes in the country. Here, we analyze the dynamics of the public concern over the last 10 years. Our explanation of the decrease of the people’s complaints against EMF exposure from base stations for mobile communication is as a result of our risk communication program that is in implementation for >10 years.     

Modeling different behaviors in disclosing risk perception

In many fields, people are requested to express their level of awareness about some risk (mainly associated with health, environment, energy, etc.) by selecting a category in an ordered scale. We propose a model for such ordinal data by taking into account that the observed response does not necessarily reflect the respondent's true opinion since the final answer can be inaccurate or completely random. The proposed model hypothesizes three behaviors in the process of answering: accurate interviewees express their risk perception exactly, uncertain ones randomly select the response according to the uniform distribution, and inaccurate interviewees make evaluation errors but with high probability they choose a rating close to the true one. Statistical inference for the proposed models is addressed without assuming that the model, to be fitted, is correctly specified. Two real case studies on the awareness of geo-hydrological risk and work-related stress risk are considered using the proposed methodology.     

Scoliosis Related Information on the Internet in China: Can Patients Benefit from This Information?

BackgroundThere has been an increasing popularity of searching health related information online in recent years. Despite that considerable amount of scoliosis patients have shown interest in obtaining scoliosis information through Internet, previous studies have demonstrated poor quality of online information. However, this conclusion may vary depending on region and culture. Since China has a restricted Internet access outside of its borders, the aim of this study is to evaluate the quality of scoliosis information available online using recognized scoring systems and to analyze the Internet as a source of health information in China.MethodsA survey-based questionnaire was distributed to 280 respondents at outpatient clinics. Information on demographics and Internet use was collected. Binary logistic analysis was performed to identify possible predictors for the use of Internet. In addition, the top 60 scoliosis related websites assessed through 4 search engines were reviewed by a surgeon and the quality of online information was evaluated using DISCERN score and JAMA benchmark.ResultsUse of the Internet as a source for scoliosis related information was confirmed in 87.8% of the respondents. College education, Internet access at home and urban residence were identified as potential predictors for Internet use. However, the quality of online scoliosis related information was poor with an average DISCERN score of 27.9±11.7 and may be misleading for scoliosis patients.ConclusionThe study outlines the profile of scoliosis patients who use the Internet as a source of health information. It was shown that 87.8% of the scoliosis patients in outpatient clinics have searched for scoliosis related information on Internet. Urban patients, higher education and Internet access at home were identified as potential predictors for Internet search. However, the overall quality of online scoliosis related information was poor and confusing. Physician based websites seemed to contain more reliable information.     

Risk Management Model of a Micro-Grid Wind Farm

Micro-grid operation mode, which is the combination of a power grid and distributed generation, is the main way for saving investment, reducing energy consumption, and improving a power system's reliability and flexibility, but it has many risks in the process of implementation. In this article, the micro-grid generation structure of a wind farm was established, a processing flow chart of an intelligent management system was drawn, and a risk management model of a micro-grid wind farm was built from the angle of cost risk, including construction of cost risk and operation cost risk models. The construction cost risk model, grid-connected operation, and isolate-operation cost risk model of a micro-grid wind farm were set up by using a mathematical model that consisted of an objective function and constraint conditions. The accuracy of the model was verified through empirical analysis. This provides a reference and mirror for solving grid-connected wind energy problems and gives an important basis for wind energy risk policy-making, and for avoiding the risks in the process of planning, design, and operation management of a wind farm.     

Perturbation response scanning specifies key regions in subtilisin serine protease for both function and stability

Abstract

Can one infer the amino acids of the enzymes that are responsible for the stability or the level of the catalytic activity by computationally experimenting on the inhibited enzyme in the enzyme–inhibitor complex? In this article, we answer this question positively both by designing molecular dynamics simulations and by devising coarse-grained methodologies on the subtilisin serine protease. Both methodologies are based on the cross-correlations of the fluctuations of the residues, obtained either by monitoring the trajectories from the simulation or by constructing the inverse Laplacian of the elastic network model, of the complex. A perturbation scanning is applied to the complex using these correlations. The results indicate that the two methods almost point out the same regions on the flexible of the enzyme. These regions are: (i) 50–61, (ii) 155–164 and (iii) 192–194, all of which are designated to be important by experimental studies in the literature.     

Fairy-tale Semantics in the Play of Preschoolers

The following study was done within the mainstream of the cultural-historical theory of mental development, which postulates that mental development consists in the assimilation of the tools and instruments of culture. Our main purpose in this article is to describe this process using fairy tales as an example and to answer the question of how the objective semantics of a story becomes a subjective semantics.     

Investment into Human Risks in Railways and Decision Optimization

ABSTRACT

The Life Quality Index (LQI) is a rational way to establish a relationship among the resources utilized to improve human safety and the expected fatalities that can be avoided by safety improvement. This article uses the LQI approach to quantify the social benefits of a number of safety management plans for a railway facility such as level crossing (LC). We apply influence diagrams (IDs), which are the extensions of Bayesian Networks, to model and assess the life safety risks. In IDs, problems of probabilistic inference, economics-based utility values, and decision alternatives are combined and optimized. The optimal decision, which maximizes total benefits to society, is obtained for the LC. As low as reasonably practicable (ALARP) case, and is a widely accepted risk acceptance criteria in the railway industry. According to the ALARP, there exists a so-called tolerable region between the regions of intolerable and negligible risks. In the tolerable region, risk is undertaken only if a benefit is desired. To quantify socioeconomic benefits, one needs to have an additional risk acceptance criterion such as LQI. In this article we apply and discuss the advantages of the LQI and the IDs for a number of safety management plans for railway LCs.