鼠疫传播动力学模型的构建研究

目的:采用疾病传播动力学模型描述鼠疫的流行特征,为科学地制定鼠疫的防控措施提供理论依据。方法:运用微分方程建立鼠间鼠疫和人间鼠疫的传播动力学模型,分析模型中各参数与疫情发展变化的关系。结果:使用基本繁殖率,平均鼠密度,感染者平均病死率,感染者平均治愈率等参数描述感染率随时间的变化趋势。结论:根据鼠间传播期、疫区传播期和人群扩散期的传播特点,分别开展各项防控工作,能够更好地控制鼠疫疫情。     

鼠疫的流行病学概述

鼠疫是由鼠疫耶尔森菌(Yersinia pestis)引起严重危害人类健康的烈性传染病。本文介绍了鼠疫病原体——鼠疫耶尔森菌的一般特性及生物学特性, 并对国内、外鼠疫疫情现状进行总结。目前鼠疫在全球范围内的流行已进入新的活跃期,世界卫生组织将鼠疫列为近20年来重新流行的急性传染病之一。当前,全球疫区主要分布在非洲、亚洲和南美洲。我国人间鼠疫自20世纪80年代开始处于明显回升势态,近10年流行逐渐下降,但防控形势依然艰巨。     

鼠疫重组亚单位疫苗

传统的鼠疫疫苗有两种类型：①灭活疫苗。1896年Haffkine首先研制并应用。美国一直采用鼠疫强毒菌株(195/P)生产USP死疫苗用于军队和高危人群免疫接种;②活疫苗。1926年Girard和Robic在马达加斯加分离选育出EV减毒株,1932年开始在该岛进行疫区人群免疫观察,随后在一些国家高危人群接种。     

典型人兽共患病枚举

鼠疫鼠疫是鼠疫杆菌引起的一种烈性传染病,最先流行于鼠类及其他野生啮齿动物之间,借助鼠蚤叮咬而传染给人,也可以通过直接接触受感染的动物或被病兽咬伤而感染。病人死后皮肤会出现大片黑色瘀斑,因此又被人们称为"黑死病"。鼠疫通常有腺型、肺型和败血症型三种,病人发生肺部感染后,病原体可以借助飞沫传播。人类普遍易感,但病后可获得持久免疫。鼠疫传染性强、     

种植疫苗

1994年9月20日,烈性传染病肺鼠疫突然降临印度苏拉特市。几天中,43人死亡,数百人被送进医院。对鼠疫曾灭绝人寰的恐怖,使几十位病人溜出医院,参与苏市40万人大逃亡。孟买市先成疫区,加尔各答接着受害。10月,疫情扩展至印度8个邦,各大医院收治鼠疫病人已逾3500名。消息传出,15家航空公司中断印度航班,各国对来自印度的车船、货物和人员特别检疫隔离,全印外贸、旅游业严重受挫,经济损失以千万美元计。     

美国微生物学会会讯摘要(2000年第10期)

1.在美国,已发现草原野犬中通过体表蚤类有鼠疫杆菌感染,并可致这种野生动物死亡.在Colorado州Derver市附近郊外已发现鼠疫.从1977～1998年已发现由家猫传播引起的鼠疫病,其中5名患者已死亡.在美国西部几个州中,每年有10～20例腺鼠疫病例,其中15%最终死亡.虽然链霉素或庆大霉素可有效地治疗鼠疫,但因本病实属罕见,常常不能被早期诊断.有学者认为可用杀昆虫的制品喷洒消灭草原野犬体表的跳蚤,也许可控制在个别人中鼠疫的发生.     

鼠疫菌毒力调控研究

鼠疫菌通过一系列转录调控子(如CRP、PhoP、RovA和Fur)控制着一些关键毒力因子(如Pla、强毒力岛、III型分泌系统等)的基因表达。鼠疫菌可感应宿主体内信号刺激,紧密调控毒力因子的表达。在这个紧密调控过程中,调控子、毒力相关基因构成了一个动态网络。鼠疫菌在从假结核菌祖先演化的进程中,基因表达调控网络的重塑在鼠疫菌毒力进化过程中发挥着不可取代的作用。     

鼠疫菌噬菌体效价噬菌斑测定法的建立

目的建立鼠疫菌噬菌体噬菌斑效价测定方法。方法通过分析细菌接种浓度、孵育吸附时间及培养温度等参数,建立鼠疫菌噬菌体效价测定方法,并分析其精密性;建立鼠疫活疫苗鉴别及纯菌检查用噬菌体效价质量标准。结果经优化后确定细菌接种浓度为7×108/mL,不需孵育吸附,培养温度为29℃,所建立的检测方法精密性较好,用于鼠疫活疫苗鉴别及纯菌检查用噬菌体效价质量标准应不低于1×106PFU/mL。结论建立了鼠疫菌噬菌体噬菌斑效价测定方法,为鼠疫菌噬菌体及疫苗质量控制奠定了基础。     

鼠疫耶尔森菌rV抗原单抗系统及其ELISA检测方法的建立

目的建立ELISA双抗体夹心法,测定重组毒力因子rV抗原含量。方法采用杂交瘤技术,制备鼠疫菌rV抗原的鼠单克隆抗体,对抗原表位和单抗特异性进行分析及鉴定,建立ELISA双抗体夹心法,并验证方法的专属性、准确性、精密度和线性范围。结果成功组建了鼠疫菌rV抗原诊断试剂,灵敏度最低检测值为10 ng/mL。结论该方法可用于免疫学检测鼠疫组分疫苗原液rV抗原含量及制备过程中抗原活性,是鼠疫组分疫苗制备中一种重要的质量控制手段,也为进一步开发鼠疫诊断试剂盒及其他相关研究奠定了基础。     

基于rV270抗原的鼠疫多孔微球疫苗的制备及其免疫保护作用评价

目的：评价生物可降解高分子材料多孔微球作为鼠疫亚单位疫苗佐剂的可行性。方法：制备可生物降解的高分子材料多孔微球,将rV270抗原蛋白吸附到多孔微球中制备微球疫苗,肌肉注射免疫BALB/c小鼠,初次免疫后21d加强免疫1次,于初次免疫后第10周用600LD50鼠疫耶尔森氏菌攻毒,攻毒后观察14d。结果：攻毒后,微球疫苗免疫的小鼠全部存活,且健康状况良好,对照组小鼠几乎全部死亡。结论：生物可降解多孔微球可作为免疫佐剂用于鼠疫亚单位疫苗研制。     

The trophic responses of two different rodent–vector–plague systems to climate change

Plague, the causative agent of three devastating pandemics in history, is currently a re-emerging disease, probably due to climate change and other anthropogenic changes. Without understanding the response of plague systems to anthropogenic or climate changes in their trophic web, it is unfeasible to effectively predict years with high risks of plague outbreak, hampering our ability for effective prevention and control of the disease. Here, by using surveillance data, we apply structural equation modelling to reveal the drivers of plague prevalence in two very different rodent systems: those of the solitary Daurian ground squirrel and the social Mongolian gerbil. We show that plague prevalence in the Daurian ground squirrel is not detectably related to its trophic web, and that therefore surveillance efforts should focus on detecting plague directly in this ecosystem. On the other hand, plague in the Mongolian gerbil is strongly embedded in a complex, yet understandable trophic web of climate, vegetation, and rodent and flea densities, making the ecosystem suitable for more sophisticated low-cost surveillance practices, such as remote sensing. As for the trophic webs of the two rodent species, we find that increased vegetation is positively associated with higher temperatures and precipitation for both ecosystems. We furthermore find a positive association between vegetation and ground squirrel density, yet a negative association between vegetation and gerbil density. Our study thus shows how past surveillance records can be used to design and improve existing plague prevention and control measures, by tailoring them to individual plague foci. Such measures are indeed highly needed under present conditions with prevailing climate change.     

Susceptibility to <Emphasis Type="Italic">Yersinia pestis</Emphasis> Experimental Infection in Wild <Emphasis Type="Italic">Rattus rattus</Emphasis>, Reservoir of Plague in Madagascar

In Madagascar, the black rat, Rattus rattus, is the main reservoir of plague (Yersinia pestis infection), a disease still responsible for hundreds of cases each year in this country. This study used experimental plague challenge to assess susceptibility in wild-caught rats to better understand how R. rattus can act as a plague reservoir. An important difference in plague resistance between rat populations from the plague focus (central highlands) and those from the plague-free zone (low altitude area) was confirmed to be a widespread phenomenon. In rats from the plague focus, we observed that sex influenced plague susceptibility, with males slightly more resistant than females. Other individual factors investigated (weight and habitat of sampling) did not affect plague resistance. When infected at high bacterial dose (more than 10⁵ bacteria injected), rats from the plague focus died mainly within 3–5 days and produced specific antibodies, whereas after low-dose infection (< 5,000 bacteria), delayed mortality was observed and surviving seronegative rats were not uncommon. These results concerning plague resistance level and the course of infection in the black rat would contribute to a better understanding of plague circulation in Madagascar.     

Preventing desert locust plagues: optimizing management interventions

Solitarious desert locusts, Schistocerca gregaria (Forskål) (Orthoptera: Acrididae), inhabit the central, arid, and semi‐arid parts of the species’ invasion area in Africa, the Middle East, and South‐West Asia. Their annual migration circuit takes them downwind to breed sequentially where winter, spring, and summer rains fall. In many years, sparse and erratic seasonal rains support phase change and local outbreaks at only a few sites. Less frequently, seasonal rains are widespread, frequent, heavy, and long lasting, and many contemporaneous outbreaks occur. When such seasonal rains fall sequentially, populations develop into an upsurge and eventually into a plague unless checked by drought, migration to hostile habitats, or effective control. Increases in the proportion of gregarious populations as the plague develops alter the effectiveness of control. As an upsurge starts, only a minority of locusts is aggregated into treatable targets and spraying them leaves sufficient unsprayed individuals to continue the upsurge. Spraying all individuals scattered within an entire infested zone is arguably both financially and environmentally unacceptable. More of the population gregarizes and forms sprayable targets after each successive season of good rains and successful breeding. Eventually, unless the rains fail, the entire upsurge population becomes aggregated at high densities so that the infested area diminishes and a plague begins. These populations must continue to increase numerically and spread geographically to achieve peak plague levels, a stage last reached in the 1950s. Effective control, aided by poor rains, accompanied each subsequent late upsurge and early plague stage and all declined rapidly. The control strategy aims to reduce populations to prevent plagues and damage to crops and grazing. Differing opinions on the optimum stage to interrupt pre‐plague breeding sequences are reviewed.     

青海省鼠疫的防控策略

鼠疫曾给人类带来3次世界性灾难,剥夺了上亿人的生命。作为危害人类健康最为严重的烈性传染病之一,鼠疫的防控工作显得尤为重要。新中国成立后,党和政府大力开展鼠疫防控工作,开展流行病调查,制定各项防控措施。虽然全国范围在较短的时间内遏制了鼠疫流行的猛烈势头,但在西部地区人间鼠疫时有发生。青海省地处我国西部,就其鼠疫流行特征制定了适合本地鼠疫的防控模式。本文就“青海模式”的工作机制、调查监测、宣传教育、人员培训、隐患排查等进行介绍,阐述青海省鼠疫防控工作的成效,为中国传染病防控策略发展提出新的思考。     

Histopathological observation of immunized rhesus macaques with plague vaccines after subcutaneous infection of Yersinia pestis

In our previous study, complete protection was observed in Chinese-origin rhesus macaques immunized with SV1 (20 μg F1 and 10 μg rV270) and SV2 (200 μg F1 and 100 μg rV270) subunit vaccines and with EV76 live attenuated vaccine against subcutaneous challenge with 6×10(6) CFU of Y. pestis. In the present study, we investigated whether the vaccines can effectively protect immunized animals from any pathologic changes using histological and immunohistochemical techniques. In addition, the glomerular basement membranes (GBMs) of the immunized animals and control animals were checked by electron microscopy. The results show no signs of histopathological lesions in the lungs, livers, kidneys, lymph nodes, spleens and hearts of the immunized animals at Day 14 after the challenge, whereas pathological alterations were seen in the corresponding tissues of the control animals. Giemsa staining, ultrastructural examination, and immunohistochemical staining revealed bacteria in some of the organs of the control animals, whereas no bacterium was observed among the immunized animals. Ultrastructural observation revealed that no glomerular immune deposits on the GBM. These observations suggest that the vaccines can effectively protect animals from any pathologic changes and eliminate Y. pestis from the immunized animals. The control animals died from multi-organ lesions specifically caused by the Y. pestis infection. We also found that subcutaneous infection of animals with Y. pestis results in bubonic plague, followed by pneumonic and septicemic plagues. The histopathologic features of plague in rhesus macaques closely resemble those of rodent and human plagues. Thus, Chinese-origin rhesus macaques serve as useful models in studying Y. pestis pathogenesis, host response and the efficacy of new medical countermeasures against plague.     

Suncus murinus. Observations on ecology, distribution, status to plague in Bombay

The common house shrew Suncus murinus has been shown to play an important role in maintenance and perpetuation of plague infection by earlier plague workers. With the control of human plague there is no knowledge about foci of plague in small mammals associated with man. Present study was carried out to fill in this Lacuna. Studies carried out in the present paper reveal that S. murinus does not harbour any plague infection in Bombay. This species is widely distributed in Bombay and is found to be associated with man throughout the year. The principal species of fleas harboured by this mammal is Xenopsylla cheopis. The insectivore mainly feeds on tine animals and insects and breeds throughout the year.     

Identification of Yersinia pestis with varied plasmid composition using monoclonal and polyclonal fluorescent immunoglobulins

Abstract The efficiency of serological identification of Yersinia pestis strains which contain different plasmids was assessed with polyclonal and monoclonal immunoglobulin preparations in the direct fluorescent antibody method. Plague polyclonal luminescent immunoglobulins recognize only those Y. pestis strains which contain pPst, pFra plasmids or both. Anticapsular plague monoclonal antibodies interact only with capsule-forming plague agent strains (pFra+) grown at 37°C. With plague monoclonal lipopolysaccharide antibodies one can identify all Y. pestis strains irrespective of their plasmid content and cultivation temperature. However, these antibodies cross-react with Yersinia pseudotuberculosis bacteria in 60% of cases. The problem of laboratory diagnosis of the plague organism, whatever its plasmid profile, can be solved through the development of a test kit involving two preparations such as plague lipopolysaccharide monoclonal luminescent antibodies and pseudotuberculosisspecific luminescent adsorbed immunoglobulins.     

Climate-driven spatial dynamics of plague among prairie dog colonies

We present a Bayesian hierarchical model for the joint spatial dynamics of a host-parasite system. The model was fitted to long-term data on regional plague dynamics and metapopulation dynamics of the black-tailed prairie dog, a declining keystone species of North American prairies. The rate of plague transmission between colonies increases with increasing precipitation, while the rate of infection from unknown sources decreases in response to hot weather. The mean annual dispersal distance of plague is about 10 km, and topographic relief reduces the transmission rate. Larger colonies are more likely to become infected, but colony area does not affect the infectiousness of colonies. The results suggest that prairie dog movements do not drive the spread of plague through the landscape. Instead, prairie dogs are useful sentinels of plague epizootics. Simulations suggest that this model can be used for predicting long-term colony and plague dynamics as well as for identifying which colonies are most likely to become infected in a specific year.     

Plague management of prairie dog colonies: degree and duration of deltamethrin flea control

Plague is a flea‐borne disease of mammalian hosts. On the grasslands of western North America, plague stifles populations of Cynomys spp. prairie dogs (PDs). To manage plague, PD burrows are treated with 0.05% deltamethrin dust that can suppress flea numbers and plague transmission. Here, we evaluate the degree and duration of deltamethrin flea control with three PD species at six sites across four U.S. states. Data were simultaneously collected at paired plots. Burrows from one randomly assigned member of each pair were treated with deltamethrin; non‐treated plots served as experimental baselines. Flea control was strong ≤two months after treatment, remained moderate one year later, and was statistically detectable for up to two years at some sites. Flea abundance was lower in plots with higher rates of deltamethrin application. After burrow treatments, flea abundance increased over time, reaching >one per PD within 255 to 352 days. Nevertheless, annual treatments of burrows with deltamethrin provided PDs with substantial protection against plague. Even so, deltamethrin should be further evaluated and combined with other tools under an integrated approach to plague management. Integrated plague management should help to conserve PDs and species that associate with them, including the endangered black‐footed ferret (Mustela nigripes).     

蝗虫的发生与防控

蝗虫暴发引起的灾害是全球重要的生物灾害,可影响到全世界十分之一的人口。自2019年,东部非洲、西亚、南亚多个国家遭遇严重的沙漠蝗虫灾害,这场蝗灾不但对该区域的粮食安全构成严重威胁,而且还有可能引发严重的人道主义危机。为了制定合理的防治方案,实施有效防控,避免大规模蝗灾的发生,需要掌握蝗虫的生物学、生态学、暴发和为害规律、防治策略和技术特点及其进展等。本文介绍了世界各地包括沙漠蝗、飞蝗、澳大利亚疫蝗在内的11种可以引起灾害的重要种类的主要分布、为害和特性,并对国内外蝗虫防治策略、技术进展进行了重点综述。最后,针对目前蝗虫防治存在的问题提出了相应建议。