Primary and secondary causes and consequences of contemporary forest decline

Realization that forest decline (Waldsterben) has become an ecological crisis throughout the developed world has resulted in massive research efforts to determine the causes of declines. It is now recognized that no single causal factor is responsible, but that there are a variety of anthropogenic causal factor complexes interacting with natural events and processes that, together, induce stresses in forests that culminate in declines of individual plants and of ecosystems. It is the thesis of this article that forest declines involve all biotic and abiotic facets and parameters of forested ecosystems and that the declines are themselves new causal factor complexes that continue to affect the stability of forested ecosystems independently of the initial causal factor complexes. Lacking direct field or laboratory studies on these cascades of causes and effects, this article attempts to utilize the growing body of information on plant physiological ecology to provide a heuristic framework for evaluating long-term forest declines.     

Human alteration of natural light cycles: causes and ecological consequences

Artificial light at night is profoundly altering natural light cycles, particularly as perceived by many organisms, over extensive areas of the globe. This alteration comprises the introduction of light at night at places and times at which it has not previously occurred, and with different spectral signatures. Given the long geological periods for which light cycles have previously been consistent, this constitutes a novel environmental pressure, and one for which there is evidence for biological effects that span from molecular to community level. Here we provide a synthesis of understanding of the form and extent of this alteration, some of the key consequences for terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, interactions and synergies with other anthropogenic pressures on the environment, major uncertainties, and future prospects and management options. This constitutes a compelling example of the need for a thoroughly interdisciplinary approach to understanding and managing the impact of one particular anthropogenic pressure. The former requires insights that span molecular biology to ecosystem ecology, and the latter contributions of biologists, policy makers and engineers.     

Natural population die-offs: causes and consequences for terrestrial mammals

Extreme changes in the environment can generate high mortalities in wildlife populations. When these mortalities are attributable to extreme natural events, they are referred to as natural population die-offs. Despite growing reports of such die-offs, a consensus on how to define them has not emerged. Furthermore, although anthropogenically caused extreme events are predicted to occur at a higher frequency and intensity compared with natural events, an integrative synthesis assessing their significance for wildlife population viability is lacking. These issues hamper the ability to identify populations most at risk. Here, we propose a functional definition of natural population die-offs, an assessment of extrinsic and intrinsic processes shaping these die-offs, and a framework for assessing the vulnerability of terrestrial mammals to natural and anthropogenically caused extreme events.     

The amplification of environmental noise in population models: causes and consequences

Environmental variability is a ubiquitous feature of every organism's habitat. However, the interaction between density dependence and those density-independent factors that are manifested as environmental noise is poorly understood. We are interested in the conditions under which noise interacts with the density dependence to cause amplification of that noise when filtered by the system. For a broad family of structured population models, we show that amplification occurs near the threshold from stable to unstable dynamics by deriving an analytic formula for the amplification under weak noise. We confirm that the effect of noise is to sustain oscillations that would otherwise decay, and we show that it is the amplitude and not the phase that is affected. This is a feature noted in several recent studies. We study this phenomenon in detail for the lurchin and LPA models of population dynamics. We find that the degree of amplification is sensitive to both the noise input and life-history stage through which it acts, that the results hold for surprisingly high levels of noise, and that stochastic chaos (as measured by local Lyapunov exponents) is a concomitant feature of amplification. Further, it is shown that the temporal autocorrelation, or "color," of the noise has a major impact on the system response. We discuss the conditions under which color increases population variance and hence the risk of extinction, and we show that periodicity is sharpened when the color of the noise and dynamics coincide. Otherwise, there is interference, which shows how difficult it is in practice to separate the effects of nonlinearity and noise in short time series. The sensitivity of the population dynamics to noise when close to a bifurcation has wide-ranging consequences for the evolution and ecology of population dynamics.     

Demographic consequences of sexual selection in the long-tailed manakin

Demographic divergence between the sexes is a major consequenceof sexual selection. Matrix-based demographic measures, includingthe sensitivity and elasticity of (population growth rate,fitness) to survival and fertility rates are powerful indexesof intersexual divergence. Many morphological, behavioral, andecological differences distinguish males and females in lekkinglong-tailed manakins (Chiroxiphia linearis), and none is moredramatic than the demographic divergence. Only 16 of 142 (8%)banded males copulated during an 8-year period. The mean estimatedage of male copulators was 10.1 years (SD = 2.2), and only 5of 166 copulations were by males 8 years old. Females probablybegin reproduction at age 1 or 2. The reproductive value curvereached a peak of 15.0 for 12th-year males, versus 2.7 for sixth-yearfemales. The matrix-based elasticity of X to survival rateswas greater in males (91% of total elasticity) than in females(80% of total). In a literature-based, interspecific comparison,the difference in elasticity to survival between the male andfemale manakins (91–80=11; ranks 2 and 9 of 16 species/sexcombinations) was greater than that between the sexes in northernelephant seals (90–84=6; ranks 3 and 8), which have thehighest variance of male mating success documented for mammals;red deer (88–87=1; ranks 4 and 5); Galapagos cactus finches(79–74=5; ranks 10 and 12); and acorn woodpeckers (76–74=2;ranks 11 and 13). In the face of continuing debate over appropriatemeasures of sexual selection, matrix-based demographic techniquesfacilitate quantitative, comparative analyses of the life-historyconsequences of sexual selection. Measures of intersexual demographicdivergence may provide insights into heretofore puzzling instancesof sexual selection in species with little dimorphism in sizeor ornament.     

An observational and brood-exchange sudy of paternal provisioning in the red-winged blackbird, Agelaius phoeniceus

Male red-winged blackbirds (Agelaius phoeniceus) provisioned50%(118/235) of available broods over an 8-year period. In mostcases, each male provisioned only the oldest brood on his territory,but in 21 cases, the male fed a younger brood after first feedingan older one. In 10 of these cases the switch to the youngerbrood followed predation of the older brood, but in the remaining11 cases the cause of the switch was unknown. To determine whethermale red-winged blackbirds adjust their provisioning when thedemands of their broods change, we exchanged broods betweenpairs of nests on 10 territories. Before each exchange, eachmale had been feeding nestlings of only one of the two broods.In response to the exchanges, male (and female) red-winged blackbirdsimmediately adjusted their rates of provisioning to the increasedor decreased demands of the broods. In addition, most malesswitched their provisioning within a day after the exchangeso that they fed the same broods as before the exchanges. Ourresults show that male red-winged blackbirds adjust their provisioningwhen the demands of their broods change and suggest that maleshave enough information about other nesting attempts on theirterritories to shift to a more profitable brood when the expectedbenefits of provisioning change. Male red-winged blackbirdsdo not appear to follow an investment strategy based on priorinvestments (i.e., they do not commit the "Concorde fallacy").     

Modeling parasitism rate and parasitism risk: an illustration using a colonially nesting songbird, the red-winged blackbird Agelaius phoeniceus

Ornithologists interested in the drivers of nest success and brood parasitism benefit from the development of new analytical approaches. One example is the development of so-called log exposure models for analyzing nest success. However, analyses of brood parasitism data have not kept pace with developments in nest success analyses. The standard approach uses logistic regression which does not account for multiple parasitism events, nor does it prevent bias from using observed proportions of parasitized nests. Likewise, logistic regression analyses do not capture fine scale temporal variation in parasitism. At first glance, it might be tempting to apply log exposure models to parasitism data, but the process of parasitism is inherently different from the process of nest predation. We modeled daily parasitism rate as a Poisson process, which allowed us to correct potential biases in parasitism rate. We were also able to use our estimated parasitism rate to model parasitism risk as the probability of one or more parasitism events. We applied this model to red-winged blackbird Agelaius phoeniceus nesting colonies subject to parasitism by brown-headed cowbirds Molothrus ater . Our approach allowed us to model parasitism using a wider rage of covariates, especially functions of time. We found strong support for models combining temporal fluctuations in parasitism rate and nest-site characteristics. Similarly, we found that our annual predicted parasitism risk was lower on average than the risk estimated from observed parasitism levels. Our approach improves upon traditional logistic regression analyses and opens the door for more mechanistic modeling of the process of parasitism.     

Recent population decline and selection shape diversity of taxol-related genes

Taxanes are defensive metabolites produced by Taxus species (yews) and used in anticancer therapies. Despite their medical interest, patterns of natural diversity in taxane-related genes are unknown. We examined variation at five main genes of Taxus baccata in the Iberian Peninsula, a region where unique yew genetic resources are endangered. We looked at several gene features and applied complementary neutrality tests, including diversity/divergence tests, tests solely based on site frequency spectrum (SFS) and Zeng's compound tests. To account for specific demography, microsatellite data were used to infer historical changes in population size based on an Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) approach. Polymorphism-divergence tests pointed to positive selection for genes TBT and TAT and balancing selection for DBAT. In addition, neutrality tests based on SFS found that while a recent reduction in population size may explain most statistics' values, selection may still be in action in genes TBT and DBAT, at least in some populations. Molecular signatures on taxol genes suggest the action of frequent selective waves with different direction or intensity, possibly related to varying adaptive pressures produced by the host-enemy co-evolution on defence-related genes. Such natural selection processes may have produced taxane variants still undiscovered.     

Standardizing selection and its consequences for genetic population structure

Type of selection for total fitness, specific for domestic animals and termed by us standardizing selection, is discussed. Consequences of such selection for the population structure genetic are considered taking a population of domestic pigs as an example. Examples of effective and ineffective standardizing selection are presented. Specific features of genetic determination of ten quantitative traits detected in analysis of standardizing selection are discussed.     

Sequestration: causes and consequences

Adhesion of Plasmodium falciparum-infected erythrocytes to endothelial cells and to syncytiotrophoblasts lining the placenta is a key feature of malaria pathogenesis. P. falciparum erythrocyte membrane protein 1, a family of variable proteins, mediates adhesion to CD36 and intercellular adhesion molecule 1 in the systemic vasculature, and to chondroitin sulphate A and hyaluronic acid in the placenta. Recent studies of the pathology of fatal cerebral malaria and of placental malaria that follow such sequestration suggest that coagulation disturbances may have a greater role in pathogenesis than previously realized, and that monocyte infiltrates in response to malaria may initiate some of these changes. Chemokines such as macrophage inflammatory protein 1 alpha and beta and monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 may play a key role in attracting monocytes to the placenta and other organs, but the stimulus to chemokine secretion is not presently known.     

Neotropical tadpoles influence stream benthos: evidence for the ecological consequences of decline in amphibian populations

1. Few studies have assessed the role of tadpoles in tropical streams, although they are often abundant and conspicuous components of these systems. Moreover, amphibian populations are declining around the globe, particularly stream‐dwelling species in tropical uplands, and the ecological consequences of these losses are not understood. 2. We chose a stream in the central Panamanian highlands, which has an intact fauna of stream‐breeding anurans, to examine the ecological consequences of amphibian losses. This site differs dramatically from sites in nearby western Panama and Costa Rica where anuran diversity and abundance have declined greatly in the last two decades. 3. We used an underwater electric field to create tadpole exclosures in runs, so that we could evaluate their influence on sediment dynamics and the abundance and community structure of algae and aquatic insects. Tadpoles reduced total sediments and both organic and inorganic fractions on substrata. Tadpoles also reduced algal abundance on substrata by approximately 50% and decreased algal biovolume. Gut content analyses showed that tadpoles consumed algae and sediments and we could see that algae and sediments were also displaced through bioturbation. 4. Atelopus zeteki, Rana warszewitschii, and Hyla spp. were the dominant larval anurans responsible for the effects observed. Visual surveys indicated that the densities of these taxa ranged from 23 (R. warszewitschii and Hyla spp. combined) to 43 m^?2 (A. zeteki) in runs. 5. The abundance of baetid mayflies was lower in tadpole exclosures compared with controls, and this was attributed to tadpoles facilitating mayfly feeding by removing sediments and exposing underlying periphyton. 6. Tadpoles affect the abundance and diversity of basal resources and other primary consumers, and thus influence food web dynamics and energy flow in these tropical streams. Catastrophic decline in stream‐breeding anuran populations will influence the structure and function of neotropical stream ecosystems.     

Plasma LH and androgen levels in the red-winged blackbird (Agelaius phoeniceus) treated with a potent GnRH analogue.

1. Low doses of GnRH-A (0.01-0.10-1.0 micrograms) given during the annual testes growth period did not clearly affect plasma LH and androgen levels 10 min following the injection. 2. The first injection of high doses of GnRH-A (2.0-10.0-20.0 micrograms) markedly increased plasma LH and androgen levels measured 10 min following the injection. The increase in plasma LH level was dose-dependent and the maximal LH level was obtained with 10.0 micrograms of GnRH-A. 3. Impairment of the LH response to GnRH-A was assessed by comparing the first and the fourteenth injection of high doses of GnRH-A. Evidences of pituitary gland desensitization are reported since plasma LH levels were reduced following the fourteenth injection in all groups. 4. Plasma androgen levels following high doses of GnRH-A were not clearly affected in red-winged blackbirds.     

Song-related brain regions in the red-winged blackbird are affected by sex and season but not repertoire size

Previous work in songbirds has delimited a neural system responsible for song production and control. Earlier studies have suggested that functional capacity in the song system may be related to the mass of the system in an animal's brain, and that adult plasticity in this neural system may be related to adult capacity for behavioral modification. We now test these hypotheses in adult red-winged blackbirds (Agelaius phoeniceus), a species in which song is produced primarily by males, new song types are added to the male's repertoire in adulthood, and there are substantial differences among males in song complexity. We find that the song system in males is much larger than in females. Song system nuclei become smaller in both sexes as the animals experience shorter days. We do not find any association between repertoire size and size of any of the song system structures examined. Thus, although sex differences in song may be related to differences between sexes in the mass of song system structures, individual differences in song do not appear to be directly related to mass within males. Seasonal change in song system structures in male redwings is consistent with there being a relation between adult plasticity in anatomy and in behavior; the large seasonal change in these structures in females suggests large seasonal changes in the function of these nuclei.     

The realized effect of postpollination sexual selection in a natural plant population

The ultimate importance of postpollination sexual selection has remained elusive, largely because of the difficulty of assigning paternity in the field. Here I use a powerful new molecular marker (AFLP) for paternity analysis in a natural population of the outcrossing angiosperm Persoonia mollis (Proteaceae) to assess male reproductive success following equal pollination of 15 pollen donors on each of 6310 pistils. These results were contrasted with male reproductive success of these same plants following natural mating. Following equal pollination, there was a significant departure from equal siring success, indicating a potential for postpollination sexual selection. The most successful pollen donor sired more than twice the expected number of seeds, and this was largely consistent across recipient plants. However, siring success following natural mating was significantly different from siring success following artificial pollination and showed that the reproductive gains to be made from superior pollen performance did not translate into increased reproductive success following natural mating. As the ecological context for post-pollination sexual selection is strong in P. mollis, I suggest that pollen competition may ultimately have only a weak effect on non-random male mating success under natural conditions because the realized opportunities for pollen competition within pistils are limited.     

Climate warming,ecological mismatch at arrival and population decline in migratory birds

Climate is changing at a fast pace, causing widespread, profound consequences for living organisms. Failure to adjust the timing of life-cycle events to climate may jeopardize populations by causing ecological mismatches to the life cycle of other species and abiotic factors. Population declines of some migratory birds breeding in Europe have been suggested to depend on their inability to adjust migration phenology so as to keep track of advancement of spring events at their breeding grounds. In fact, several migrants have advanced their spring arrival date, but whether such advancement has been sufficient to compensate for temporal shift in spring phenophases or, conversely, birds have become ecologically mismatched, is still an unanswered question, with very few exceptions. We used a novel approach based on accumulated winter and spring temperatures (degree-days) as a proxy for timing of spring biological events to test if the progress of spring at arrival to the breeding areas by 117 European migratory bird species has changed over the past five decades. Migrants, and particularly those wintering in sub-Saharan Africa, now arrive at higher degree-days and may have therefore accumulated a ‘thermal delay’, thus possibly becoming increasingly mismatched to spring phenology. Species with greater ‘thermal delay’ have shown larger population decline, and this evidence was not confounded by concomitant ecological factors or by phylogenetic effects. These findings provide general support to the largely untested hypotheses that migratory birds are becoming ecologically mismatched and that failure to respond to climate change can have severe negative impacts on their populations. The novel approach we adopted can be extended to the analysis of ecological consequences of phenological response to climate change by other taxa.     

Sexual selection versus alternative causes of sexual dimorphism in teiid lizards

Summary The presence and extent of sexual dimorphisms in body form (size and shape) of adult macroteiid lizards were investigated. Males were significantly larger than females in the temperate species, Cnemidophorus tigris, and in the tropical species, Ameiva ameiva and C. ocellifer. Young adult C. tigris males grew faster than young adult females within and between reproductive seasons. Adult males of all species had larger heads than adult females of the same body size; this difference increased with body size. Moreover, male C. tigris were heavier than females of the same snout-vent length. The causes and consequences of the sexual dimorphisms were also examined. The possible causes of body size are especially numerous, and distinguishing the relative influences of the various causal selection factors on body size is problematical. Nevertheless, observational field data were used to tentatively conclude that intrasexual selection was the cause of larger body size of C. tigris males relative to females because (1) larger males won in male aggressive interactions, (2) the winning males gained access to more females by repelling competitors and by female acceptance, (3) larger males consequently had higher reproductive success, and (4) other hypothetical causes of larger male size were unsupported.     

Consequential classes of resources: Subtle global bifurcation with dramatic ecological consequences in a simple population model

Numerous situations exist in which a consumer uses two different kinds of resources, one fixed, the other renewable, e.g., nesting resources and food resources. With an elementary modification of the basic Lotka-Volterra consumer resource equations, we investigate the population dynamics of a consumer dependent on two resources, one fixed, the other renewable. Emerging from this structure is a situation of alternative attractors that remain qualitatively robust over a significant range of parameter values. However, a dramatic change in basins of attraction is induced by very small changes in parameters due to a global bifurcation. Noteworthy is the fact that the qualitative nature of the alternative equilibria remains constant but the dramatic change in the basins does not arise from subtle differences in initial conditions. Rather, there is a major restructuring of the vector field such that a permanent change involving large sets of initial conditions results from very small changes in parameters.