Mortalidad en pacientes con demencia que cursaron internación en unidades de cuidados críticos

ObjectiveTo determine the mortality and comorbidities associated of patients with dementia admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) on the hospitalization and at one year of follow-up.Materials and methodsA retrospective observational cohort study was carried out between 2012 and 2017 at the Hospital Italiano de San Justo, of patients who were admitted to the ICU, these were observed up to hospitalary death, out hospital death one year of hospitalization, the disenrollment from the institution's health plan or the end of the follow-up.ResultsA total of 163 patients were included for analysis. We recorded those 79 patients (48.47%) died one year after the hospitalization, of them 25 (15.34%) in ICU and 8 (4.91%) in general room. The most frequent causes of death were respiratory. The factors most associated with mortality were: orotracheal intubation (HR = 2.01; 95% CI: 1.11-3.65; P = .02), history of leukemia (HR = 8.55; 95% CI: 1.82-40.05; P ≤ .05), elevated Charlson (HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.04-1.41; P = .05), and elevated APACHE II at admission (HR = 1.07; 95% CI: 1.03-1.11; P ≤ .05).ConclusionsThe present study expresses the prognosis of patients with a diagnosis of dementia admitted to the ICU and that depends not only on their baseline neurological status but also on the severity at admission and comorbidities.     

Progression of Aortic Arch Calcification Over 1 Year Is an Independent Predictor of Mortality in Incident Peritoneal Dialysis Patients

Backgrounds and Aims

The presence and progression of vascular calcification have been demonstrated as important risk factors for mortality in dialysis patients. However, since the majority of subjects included in most previous studies were hemodialysis patients, limited information was available in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of aortic arch calcification (AoAC) and prognostic value of AoAC progression in PD patients.

Methods

We prospectively determined AoAC by chest X-ray at PD start and after 12 months, and evaluated the impact of AoAC progression on mortality in 415 incident PD patients.

Results

Of 415 patients, 169 patients (40.7%) had AoAC at baseline with a mean of 18.1±11.2%. The presence of baseline AoAC was an independent predictor of all-cause [Hazard ratio (HR): 2.181, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.336–3.561, P = 0.002] and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 3.582, 95% CI: 1.577–8.132, P = 0.002). Among 363 patients with follow-up chest X-rays at 12 months after PD start, the proportion of patients with AoAC progression was significantly higher in patients with baseline AoAC (64.2 vs. 5.3%, P<0.001). Moreover, all-cause and cardiovascular death rates were significantly higher in the progression groups than in the non-progression group (P<0.001). Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that AoAC progression was an independent predictor for all-cause (HR: 2.625, 95% CI: 1.150–5.991, P = 0.022) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 4.008, 95% CI: 1.079–14.890, P = 0.038) in patients with AoAC at baseline.

Conclusions

The presence and progression of AoAC assessed by chest X-ray were independently associated with unfavorable outcomes in incident PD patients. Regular follow-up by chest X-ray could be a simple and useful method to stratify mortality risk in these patients.     

Early immune reconstitution as predictor for outcomes after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant; a tri-institutional analysis

Background aimsCD4 immune reconstitution (IR) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (allo-HCT) correlates with lower non-relapse mortality (NRM), but its impact on leukemia relapse remains less clear, especially in children. We studied the correlation between IR of lymphocyte subsets and HCT outcomes in a large cohort of children/young adults with hematological malignancies.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed CD4, CD8, B-cell and natural killer (NK) cell reconstitution in patients after first allo-HCT for a hematological malignancy at three large academic institutions (n = 503; period 2008–2019). We used Cox proportional hazard and Fine–Gray competing risk models, martingale residual plots and maximally selected log-rank statistics to assess the impact of IR on outcomes.ResultsAchieving CD4 >50 and/or B cells >25 cells/μL before day 100 after allo-HCT was a predictor of lower NRM (CD4 IR: hazard ratio [HR] 0.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.11–0.62, P = 0.002; CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.06, 95% CI 0.03–0.16, P < 0.001), acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) (CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.02, 95% CI 0.01–0.04, P < 0.001) and chronic GVHD (CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.16, 95% CI 0.05–0.49, P = 0.001) in the full cohort, and of lower risk of relapse (CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.24, 95% CI 0.06–0.92, P = 0.038) in the acute myeloid leukemia subgroup. No correlation between CD8 and NK-cell IR and relapse or NRM was found.ConclusionsCD4 and B-cell IR was associated with clinically significant lower NRM, GVHD and, in patients with acute myeloid leukemia, disease relapse. CD8 and NK-cell IR was neither associated with relapse nor NRM. If confirmed in other cohorts, these results can be easily implemented for risk stratification and clinical decision making.     

Effects of stem cells on non-ischemic cardiomyopathy: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background aimsTo assess the impacts of stem cell therapy on clinical outcomes in patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM). The effect of stem cell therapy on prognosis is unclear and controversial.MethodsThe authors performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the effects of autologous stem cell transplantation in patients with NICM on a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and heart transplantation, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD), New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification, 6-minute walk test (6-MWT) distance and serum brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) level, considering studies published before March 19, 2020.ResultsTwelve trials with 623 subjects met inclusion criteria. Compared with the control group, stem cell therapy improved LVEF (weighted mean difference [WMD], 4.08%, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.93–6.23, P = 0.0002) and 6-MWT distance (WMD, 101.49 m, 95% CI, 45.62–157.35, P = 0.0004) and reduced BNP level (–294.94 pg/mL, 95% CI, –383.97 to –205.90, P < 0.00001) and NYHA classification (–0.70, 95% CI, –0.98 to –0.43, P < 0.00001). However, LVEDD showed no significant difference between the two groups (WMD, –0.09 cm, 95% CI, –0.23 to 0.06, P = 0.25). In 10 studies (535 subjects) employing the intracoronary route for cell delivery, mortality and heart transplantation were decreased (risk ratio [RR], 0.73, 95% CI, 0.52–1.00, P = 0.05). Furthermore, in four studies (248 subjects) with peripheral CD34+ cells, either all-cause mortality (RR, 0.44, 95% CI, 0.23–0.86, P = 0.02) or mortality and heart transplantation (RR, 0.45, 95% CI, 0.27–0.77, P = 0.003) improved in the treatment group compared with the control. The trial sequential analysis suggested the information size of LVEF, 6-WMT and BNP has been adequate for evidencing the benefits of stem cells on NICM. However, to determine the potential survival benefit, more clinical data are required to make the statistical significance in meta-analysis more conclusive.ConclusionsThis meta-analysis demonstrates that stem cell therapy may improve survival, exercise capacity and cardiac ejection fraction in NICM, which suggests that stem cells are a promising option for NICM treatment.     

Smoking and other risk factors for pancreatic cancer: A cohort study in men in Lithuania

Background: Cancer of the pancreas is a relatively rare, but highly fatal cancer worldwide. Cigarette smoking has been recognized as an important risk factor, but the relation to other potential determinants is still inconsistent. We investigated the association between different lifestyle, biological and anthropometric factors and the risk of pancreatic cancer in a prospective population-based cohort study from Kaunas, Lithuania. Methods: Our study included 7132 urban men initially free from any diagnosed cancer, followed for up to 30 years. 77 incident cases of pancreatic cancer were identified. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Results: Compared to never smokers, current smokers had a significantly increased risk of pancreatic cancer, HR was 1.79 (95% CI 1.03–3.09) after adjustment for age, body mass index, education and alcohol consumption. Among smokers, a significant association with higher smoking intensity was shown (≥20 cigarettes/day: HR = 2.60; 95% CI 1.42–4.76, P_trend = 0.046). We also observed a significantly increased risk for ≥30 pack-years of smoking (HR = 2.24; 95% CI 1.12–4.49, P_trend = 0.16) and for age at starting smoking <18 years (HR = 2.29; 95% CI 1.11–4.70, P_trend = 0.43) as compared to never smokers. Alcohol consumption, body mass index and total cholesterol level were not significantly associated with pancreatic cancer. Conclusions: Smoking significantly increases pancreatic cancer incidence and its high prevalence in Lithuania may partly explain high incidence of the disease. No convincing evidence was found that alcohol consumption, body mass index or serum cholesterol level were associated with pancreatic cancer risk, although the assessment was limited by the lack of statistical power.     

Pre-diagnostic smoking behaviour and poorer prognosis in a German breast cancer patient cohort – Differential effects by tumour subtype,NAT2 status,BMI and alcohol intake

BackgroundInconsistent associations of smoking and breast cancer-specific mortality might be explained by subgroups of patients with different susceptibility to harmful effects of smoking.MethodsWe used a prospective cohort of 3340 postmenopausal breast cancer patients aged 50–74 and diagnosed with invasive tumours 2001–2005 in Germany, with a median follow-up time of 6 years. The effect of pre-diagnostic smoking behaviour on mortality outcomes and risk of recurrence was investigated using delayed entry Cox regression analysis. Differential effects according to N-acetyltransferase (NAT2) status, BMI, alcohol consumption, and tumour subtypes were assessed.ResultsOverall, smoking at time of breast cancer diagnosis versus never/former smoking was non-significantly associated with increased breast cancer-specific mortality and risk of recurrence (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.93–1.64, and HR 1.29, 95% CI 0.95–1.75, respectively). Associations were consistently stronger in NAT2 slow than in fast acetylators for all mortality outcomes. Breast cancer-specific mortality was significantly increased in smokers with NAT2 slow acetylating status (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.13–2.79) but not in those with fast acetylating status (HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.60–1.98; P_{heterogeneity} = 0.19). Smoking was associated with significantly poorer outcomes for triple negative and luminal A-like tumours (e.g. all-cause mortality: HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.02–3.65, and HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.40–3.10, respectively). Risk of recurrence was significantly increased for women with HER2 positive tumours (HR 3.64, 95% CI 1.22–10.8). There was significant heterogeneity by BMI for non-breast cancer-specific mortality (<25 kg/m²: HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.52–4.15 vs. ≥25 kg/m²: HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.38–2.36; P_{heterogeneity} = 0.04).ConclusionThe harmful effects of smoking may be particularly relevant for certain subgroups of breast cancer patients. This may include patients with NAT2 slow acetylation status or with tumour subtypes other than luminal B, such as luminal A tumours who usually have a rather good prognosis. Emphasis on smoking cessation programmes for all cancer patients should be strengthened.     

Plant-based diets and incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in African Americans: A cohort study

BackgroundPrior studies have documented lower cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among people with a higher adherence to a plant-based dietary pattern. Non-Hispanic black Americans are an understudied group with high burden of CVD, yet studies of plant-based diets have been limited in this population.Methods and findingsWe conducted an analysis of prospectively collected data from a community-based cohort of African American adults (n = 3,635) in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS) aged 21–95 years, living in the Jackson, Mississippi, metropolitan area, US, who were followed from 2000 to 2018. Using self-reported dietary data, we assigned scores to participants’ adherence to 3 plant-based dietary patterns: an overall plant-based diet index (PDI), a healthy PDI (hPDI), and an unhealthy PDI (uPDI). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate associations between plant-based diet scores and CVD incidence and all-cause mortality. Over a median follow-up of 13 and 15 years, there were 293 incident CVD cases and 597 deaths, respectively. After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics (age, sex, and education) and health behaviors (smoking, alcohol intake, margarine intake, physical activity, and total energy intake), no significant association was observed between plant-based diets and incident CVD for overall PDI (hazard ratio [HR] 1.06, 95% CI 0.78–1.42, p-trend = 0.72), hPDI (HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.80–1.42, p-trend = 0.67), and uPDI (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.71–1.28, p-trend = 0.76). Corresponding HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality risk with overall PDI, hPDI, and uPDI were 0.96 (0.78–1.18), 0.94 (0.76–1.16), and 1.06 (0.86–1.30), respectively. Corresponding HRs (95% CIs) for incident coronary heart disease with overall PDI, hPDI, and uPDI were 1.09 (0.74–1.61), 1.11 (0.76–1.61), and 0.79 (0.52–1.18), respectively. For incident total stroke, HRs (95% CIs) for overall PDI, hPDI, and uPDI were 1.00 (0.66–1.52), 0.91 (0.61–1.36), and 1.26 (0.84–1.89) (p-trend for all tests > 0.05). Limitations of the study include use of self-reported dietary intake, residual confounding, potential for reverse causation, and that the study did not capture those who exclusively consume plant-derived foods.ConclusionsIn this study of black Americans, we observed that, unlike in prior studies, greater adherence to a plant-based diet was not associated with CVD or all-cause mortality.

In a cohort study, Leah J. Weston and colleagues investigate the associations between consumption of plant-based diets and incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in African Americans.     

A Meta-analysis on Associated Risk of Mortality in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

ObjectiveNonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects much of the worldwide population and poses a significant burden to the global healthcare. The rising numbers of individuals with NAFLD and instances of mortality point toward the importance of understanding the association causes of mortality in NAFLD. This meta-analysis aimed to seek the associations of NAFLD with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related, liver-related, and cancer-related mortality.MethodsMEDLINE and Embase were searched for articles relating to causes of mortality between NAFLD and non-NAFLD. The DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model was used to analyze adjusted hazard ratios (HR), and a sensitivity analysis was conducted to reduce heterogeneity through a graphical display of study heterogeneity.ResultsFifteen studies involving 10 286 490 patients were included. Individuals with NAFLD exhibited an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.09-1.59; P < .01; I² = 96.00%), CVD-related mortality (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.06-1.41; P < .01; I² = 81.00%), and cancer-related mortality (HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.15-2.41; P < .01; I² = 95.00%). However, no significant association was found between liver-related mortality and NAFLD (HR, 3.58; 95% CI, 0.69-18.46; P =.13; I² = 96.00%). The sensitivity analysis conducted with graphic display of heterogeneity and only population-based studies found similar results.ConclusionNAFLD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause, CVD-related, and cancer-related mortality but not liver-related mortality. The finding is likely because of low fibrosis prevalence in the community. However, the significant burden in other causes of mortality beyond the liver points to a need for multidisciplinary efforts to reduce the mortality risks.     

First‐trimester blood urea nitrogen and risk of gestational diabetes mellitus

Prior studies indicated that urea increased insulin resistance and higher blood urea nitrogen (BUN) was associated with incident diabetes mellitus. However, it remains unclear whether BUN during the first trimester of pregnancy increases risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). We aimed to investigate the association between first‐trimester BUN and risk of incident GDM. We conducted a prospective, multicenter cohort study of pregnant women. A total of 13 448 eligible pregnant women with measured first‐trimester BUN levels were included in this analysis. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the relationship between BUN and GDM. Discrimination and reclassification for GDM by BUN were analysed. A total of 2973 (22.1%) women developed GDM. Compared with the lowest quartile of BUN, the third and fourth quartiles were associated with increased risk of GDM (adjusted odds ratios 1.21 [95% CI 1.07‐1.37] and 1.50 [95% CI 1.33‐1.69], respectively, P for trend <.001). The addition of BUN to conventional factor model improved discrimination (C statistic 0.2%, P = .003) and reclassification (net reclassification index 14.67%, P < .001; integrated discrimination improvement 0.12%, P < .001) for GDM. In conclusion, higher BUN concentrations during the first trimester of pregnancy were associated with increased risk of GDM, suggesting that BUN could be a potential predictor for GDM.     

Low Potassium Dialysate as a Protective Factor of Sudden Cardiac Death in Hemodialysis Patients with Hyperkalemia

AimHyperkalemia increases the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in hemodialysis patients. Our objective was to determine the association between administering low potassium dialysate to hyperkalemic hemodialysis patients and SCD.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study with patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis from May 1, 2006, through December 31, 2013. The dialysate composition was adjusted over time according to monthly laboratory results. A 1.0 mEq/L potassium dialysate was applied in patients with predialysis hyperkalemia (>5.5 mEq/L) and was included as a time-dependent confounding factor. The clinical characteristics of enrolled patients, the incidence and timing of SCD and risk factors for all-cause mortality and SCD were analyzed.ResultsThere were 312 patients on maintenance hemodialysis during the study period. One hundred and fifty-seven patients had been dialyzed against a 1.0 mEq/L potassium dialysate at least once. The rates of all-cause mortality and SCD were 48.17 and 20.74 per 1000 patient-years, respectively. A 1.12-fold increase in the risk of SCD in the 24-hour period starting with the hemodialysis procedure and a 1.36-fold increase in the 24 hours preceding a weekly cycle were found (p = 0.017). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models showed that age, diabetes mellitus and predialysis hyperkalemia (>5.0 mEq/L) were significant predictors of all-cause mortality and SCD. Exposure to 1.0 mEq/L potassium dialysate, Kt/V, and serum albumin were independent protective factors against all-cause mortality. Only exposure to 1.0 mEq/L potassium dialysate significantly prevented SCD (hazard ratio = 0.33, 95% CI = 0.13–0.85).ConclusionsUsing low potassium dialysate in hyperkalemic hemodialysis patients may prevent SCD.     

Bidirectional Association between Asthma and Irritable Bowel Syndrome: Two Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Studies

BackgroundThere is a demonstrated association between asthma and irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). In this study, we examined the bidirectional association between asthma and IBS using a nationwide database.MethodsWe conducted two retrospective cohort studies using data obtained from the National Health Insurance of Taiwan. Study 1 included 29,648 asthma patients newly diagnosed between 2000 and 2010. Study 2 included 29,875 IBS patient newly diagnosed between 2000 and 2010. For each study, four subjects without asthma and IBS were selected, respectively, frequency-matched by sex, age, and the diagnosis date. All four cohorts were followed up until the end of 2011 to estimate incident IBS for Study 1 and incident asthma for study 2. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model after controlling for sex, age and comorbidities.ResultsThe incidence of IBS was 1.89 times higher in the asthma cohort than in the comparison cohort (8.26 vs. 4.36 per 1,000 person-years), with an aHR of 1.57 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.47–1.68]. The aHRs remained significant in all subgroups measured by sex, age and the presence of comorbidities. In contrast, the incidence of asthma was 1.76 times higher in the IBS cohort than the comparison cohort (7.09 vs. 4.03 per 1,000 person-years), with an aHR of 1.54 (95% CI = 1.44−1.64). Similarly, aHRs remained significant in all subgroups measured by sex, age and the presence of comorbidities.ConclusionThe present study suggests a bidirectional association between asthma and IBS. Atopy could be a shared pathophysiology underlying this association, deserving a further investigation.     

Free Levels of Selected Organic Solutes and Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients: Results from the Retained Organic Solutes and Clinical Outcomes (ROSCO) Investigators

Background and Objectives

Numerous substances accumulate in the body in uremia but those contributing to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in dialysis patients are still undefined. We examined the association of baseline free levels of four organic solutes that are secreted in the native kidney — p-cresol sulfate, indoxyl sulfate, hippurate and phenylacetylglutamine — with outcomes in hemodialysis patients.

Design, Setting, Participants and Measurements

We measured these solutes in stored specimens from 394 participants of a US national prospective cohort study of incident dialysis patients. We examined the relation of each solute and a combined solute index to cardiovascular mortality and morbidity (first cardiovascular event) using Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, clinical factors and laboratory tests including Kt/V_UREA.

Results

Mean age of the patients was 57 years, 65% were white and 55% were male. In fully adjusted models, a higher p-cresol sulfate level was associated with a greater risk (HR per SD increase; 95% CI) of cardiovascular mortality (1.62; 1.17–2.25; p=0.004) and first cardiovascular event (1.60; 1.23–2.08; p<0.001). A higher phenylacetylglutamine level was associated with a greater risk of first cardiovascular event (1.37; 1.18–1.58; p<0.001). Patients in the highest quintile of the combined solute index had a 96% greater risk of cardiovascular mortality (1.96; 1.05–3.68; p=0.04) and 62% greater risk of first cardiovascular event (1.62; 1.12–2.35; p=0.01) compared with patients in the lowest quintile. Results were robust in sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions

Free levels of uremic solutes that are secreted by the native kidney are associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in incident hemodialysis patients.     

Preoperative red blood cell distribution width as an independent prognostic factor in metastatic renal cell carcinoma

ObjectiveThis study aimed to explore the prognostic value of preoperative red blood cell distribution width (RDW) in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC).MethodsClinicopathological data of 230 patients with mRCC treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University and the Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2008 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were stratified according to the optimal cut-off value of RDW calculated using X-tile software. The prognostic value of RDW was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier curve with log-rank test and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.ResultsA total of 230 patients were included. The optimal cut-off value of RDW obtained using X-tile software was 13.1%. The median Progression-free survival (PFS) and Overall survival (OS) of all populations were 12.06 months (IQR: 4.73–36.9) and 32.20 months (IQR: 13.73–69.46), respectively. Kaplan–Meier curves showed that patients with high RDW had worse PFS and OS than those with low RDW (median PFS of 9.7 months vs. 17.9 months, P = 0.002, and median OS of 27.8 months vs. 45.1 months, P = 0.012, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that RDW was an independent risk factor for PFS (HR: 1.505; 95% CI: 1.111–2.037; P = 0.008) and OS (HR: 1.626; 95% CI: 1.164–2.272; P = 0.004) in mRCC after cytoreductive nephrectomy.ConclusionPreoperative RDW was independently associated with PFS and OS in patients with mRCC and may be a potential predictor of survival outcomes in mRCC.     

Direct comparison of predictive performance of PRECISE-DAPT versus PARIS versus CREDO-Kyoto: a subanalysis of the ReCre8 trial

BackgroundMultiple scores have been proposed to guide risk stratification after percutaneous coronary intervention. This study assessed the performance of the PRECISE-DAPT, PARIS and CREDO-Kyoto risk scores to predict post-discharge ischaemic or bleeding events.MethodsA total of 1491 patients treated with latest-generation drug-eluting stent implantation were evaluated. Risk scores for post-discharge ischaemic or bleeding events were calculated and directly compared. Prognostic performance of both risk scores was assessed with calibration, Harrell’s c‑statistics net reclassification index and decision curve analyses.ResultsPost-discharge ischaemic events occurred in 56 patients (3.8%) and post-discharge bleeding events in 34 patients (2.3%) within the first year after the invasive procedure. C‑statistics for the PARIS ischaemic risk score was marginal (0.59, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51–0.68), whereas the CREDO-Kyoto ischaemic risk score was moderate (0.68, 95% CI 0.60–0.75). With regard to post-discharge bleeding events, CREDO-Kyoto displayed moderate discrimination (c-statistic 0.67, 95% CI 0.56–0.77), whereas PRECISE-DAPT (0.59, 95% CI 0.48–0.69) and PARIS (0.55, 95% CI 0.44–0.65) had a marginal discriminative capacity. Net reclassification index and decision curve analysis favoured CREDO-Kyoto-derived bleeding risk assessment.ConclusionIn this contemporary all-comer population, PARIS and PRECISE-DAPT risk scores were not resilient to independent testing for post-discharge bleeding events. CREDO-Kyoto-derived risk stratification was associated with a moderate predictive capability for post-discharge ischaemic or bleeding events. Future studies are warranted to improve risk stratification with more focus on robustness and rigorous testing.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s12471-020-01486-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

Impact of comorbidity on survival by tumour location: Breast,colorectal and lung cancer (2000–2014)

BackgroundTo assess the impact of comorbidity, measured by the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), on survival in breast, colorectal and lung cancer.MethodsWe identified 3455 breast cancer, 3336 colorectal cancer and 2654 lung cancer patients through the Hospital del Mar cancer registry. The prevalence of comorbidities according to the CCI was calculated. Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test were used to compare survival curves for each cancer location. Cox regression was used to calculate survival hazard ratios and 1-, 3- and 5-year mortality rate ratios adjusted by age, sex, CCI, place of first consultation, stage, treatment and period of diagnosis.ResultsThe overall unadjusted 5-year follow-up survival proportion was 82.6% for breast cancer, 55.7% for colorectal cancer, and 16.3% for lung cancer. Overall survival was associated with CCI ≥ 3 in breast cancer (HR: 2.33 95%CI: 1.76–3.08), colorectal cancer (HR: 1.39; 95%CI: 1.13–1.70) and lung cancer (HR: 1.22; 95%CI: 1.06–1.40). In breast cancer, the higher the CCI, the higher the adjusted mortality rate ratio and differences were greater in 5-year than in 1-year follow-up survival.ConclusionsComorbidity is a significant predictor of overall survival in cancer patients; however, it has a stronger impact on survival in breast cancer than in colorectal and lung cancer.     

Association between use of Qingfei Paidu Tang and mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: A national retrospective registry study

BackgroundQingfei Paidu Tang (QPT), a formula of traditional Chinese medicine, which was suggested to be able to ease symptoms in patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), has been recommended by clinical guidelines and widely used to treat COVID-19 in China. However, whether it decreases mortality remains unknown.PurposeWe aimed to explore the association between QPT use and in-hospital mortality among patients hospitalized for COVID-19.Study designA retrospective study based on a real-world database was conducted.MethodsWe identified patients consecutively hospitalized with COVID-19 in 15 hospitals from a national retrospective registry in China, from January through May 2020. Data on patients’ characteristics, treatments, and outcomes were extracted from the electronic medical records. The association of QPT use with COVID-19 related mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models based on propensity score analysis.ResultsOf the 8939 patients included, 28.7% received QPT. The COVID-19 related mortality was 1.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.8% to 1.7%) among the patients receiving QPT and 4.8% (95% CI 4.3% to 5.3%) among those not receiving QPT. After adjustment for patient characteristics and concomitant treatments, QPT use was associated with a relative reduction of 50% in-hospital COVID-19 related mortality (hazard ratio, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.37 to 0.66 p < 0.001). This association was consistent across subgroups by sex and age. Meanwhile, the incidences of acute liver injury (8.9% [95% CI, 7.8% to 10.1%] vs. 9.9% [95% CI, 9.2% to 10.7%]; odds ratio, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.81% to 1.14%], p = 0.658) and acute kidney injury (1.6% [95% CI, 1.2% to 2.2%] vs. 3.0% [95% CI, 2.6% to 3.5%]; odds ratio, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.62 to 1.17], p = 0.318) were comparable between patients receiving QPT and those not receiving QPT. The major study limitations included that the study was an observational study based on real-world data rather than a randomized control trial, and the quality of data could be affected by the accuracy and completeness of medical records.ConclusionsQPT was associated with a substantially lower risk of in-hospital mortality, without extra risk of acute liver injury or acute kidney injury among patients hospitalized with COVID-19.     

Helicobacter pylori acquisition rates and the associated risk factors amongst newlywed couples; a prospective cohort study in Tehran,Iran

BackgroundThe rates and routes of Helicobacter pylori transmission, in a high-prevalent country like Iran, with gastric cancer as the leading cause of male cancer mortality, are of great essence. Here, we have studied the H. pylori-associated risk factors and the likelihood of interspousal transmission.MethodsIn a cohort of 686 young prewed couples, questionnaires were self-administered and serum samples were collected, for assessment of risk factors and H. pylori serostatus, at baseline and follow-up. Of the 475 H. pylori single- or double-seronegative couples, 201 returned for follow-up. The average follow-up duration was 2.2 (SD 0.6) years, with a total of 560.1 person-years. Logistic regression and Cox regression models were used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs).ResultsThe risk of infection was higher in men than women (OR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.0–1.8) and among metropolitan than rural residents (OR = 1.4, 95% CI: 1.1–1.9). It was also significantly higher among those with three (OR = 1.6, 95% CI: 1.1–2.2), and four or more siblings (OR = 1.4, 95% CI: 1.0–1.9), in reference to those with one or no siblings. Adult H. pylori acquisition occurred in 10.9% (27/247) of the seronegative participants. The risk of the acquisition was significantly associated with age (P value for trend=0,000). It was also significantly lower among participants who had various degrees of education as compared to illiterate subjects (HR = 0.2, 95% CI: 0.1–0.9). Nevertheless, our analysis did not find any evidence for interspousal transmission (HR = 1.0, 95% CI: 0.4–2.2).ConclusionWhilst H. pylori acquisition was detected in the young adult Iranian population, our findings did not support interspousal transmission, as a mode of acquisition.     

Hemoglobin May Contribute to Sex Differences in Mortality among HIV-Infected Persons in Care

Background

Some retrospective studies have found that HIV-infected women have a higher mortality risk than men after adjusting for baseline characteristics, while others have not. Anemia is a known predictor of HIV-related mortality. We assessed whether anemia contributed to the sex difference in mortality in our cohort.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study among HIV-infected persons in care at the Comprehensive Care Center (Nashville, TN) between 1998 and 2009. Cox proportional hazards models compared time from first clinic visit to death and AIDS-defining events (ADE), adjusted for baseline characteristics with and without baseline hemoglobin.

Results

Of 3,633 persons, 879 (24%) were women. Women had lower median baseline hemoglobin compared to men: 12.4 g/dL (inter-quartile range (IQR) 11.3–13.4) vs. 14.4 (IQR 13.1–15.5), respectively (P<0.001). In multivariable models without hemoglobin, the risk of death was higher among women: hazard ratio (HR) 1.46 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17, 1.82; P = 0.001). In multivariable models with hemoglobin, the risk of death in women was diminished and no longer statistically significant: HR 1.2 (95% CI 0.93, 1.55; P = 0.17). The risk of ADE was higher among women in both models, but not statistically significant: HR 1.1 (95% CI 0.85–1.42; P = 0.46) in the model without hemoglobin and 1.11 (95% CI 0.82–1.48; P = 0.50) in the model with hemoglobin. Hemoglobin was a strong predictor of death: HR 0.88 per 1 g/dL increase (95% CI 0.83, 0.93; P<0.001).

Conclusion

In our study population of HIV-infected persons in care, women had lower baseline hemoglobin, and lower hemoglobin contributed to their higher risk of ADE and death.     

Mortalidad y factores pronósticos asociados en pacientes ancianos y muy ancianos hospitalizados con infección respiratoria COVID-19

IntroductionElderly patients with COVID-19 has a worse clinical evolution, being more susceptible to develop serious manifestations. The differences between the elderly and very elderly population, mortality and associated prognostic factors of SARS-CoV-2 infection have not been enough studied yet.MethodsAn observational study of 416 elderly patients admitted consecutively to Hospital General Universitario de Ciudad Real for COVID-19 respiratory infection from March 1st to April 30th, 2020. Data were collected including patient demographic information, medical history, clinical characteristics, laboratory data, therapeutic interventions and clinical outcomes during the hospitalization and after discharge, until June 15, 2020 with the aim of analyzing mortality, and associated prognostic factors.ResultsThe mean age was 84.43 ± 5.74 years old; elderly patients (75-84 years) were 50.2% of the sample and very elderly (≥ 85 years) the remaining 49.8%. In Cox regression model, mortality rate was higher in very elderly group (HR = 2.58; 95% CI: 1.23-5.38; P = .01), hypertensive (HR = 3, 45; 95% CI: 1.13-10.5; P = .03) and chronic kidney disease patients (HR = 3.86; 95% CI: 1.3-11.43; P = .02). In contrast, calcium antagonists (HR = 0.27; 95% CI: 0.12-0.62; P = .002) and anticoagulant therapy during hospitalization (HR = 0.26; 95% CI: 0.08 0, 83; P = .02) were associated with a longer time free of mortality.ConclusionsMortality rate was higher in very eldery patients compared with eldery; and in hypertensive and chronic kidney disease patients. Anticoagulation therapy and calcium chanel bloquers treatment during hospitalization were associated with a higher survival in the short-term follow-up in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.