At-sea distribution of seabirds and marine mammals around Svalbard,summer 1991

At-sea distribution of seabirds and marine mammals was quantitatively determined during the Arctic EPOS cruise of RV Polarstern, from 21 June till 28 July 1991, during 377 half-an-hour counts. Data were expressed as numbers per count and as density, and daily food intake was calculated using allometric equations from literature. Mean densities for the whole expedition were 29 seabirds per km² (mainly little auk,Alle alle: 8.7, kittiwake,Rissa tridactyla: 8.2, Brünnich’s guillemot,Uria lomvia: 6.5 and fulmar,Fulmarus glacialis: 3.4), 0.06 pinnipeds, 0.01 cetaceans and 0.002 polar bears. Total food intake by seabirds and marine mammals was 3.9 kg fresh weight/km² per day, with extreme values of 6.6 in the northern west-to-east transect and 2.5 in the Storfjorden. The major ecological influence were fish eaters (1.7), and more especially Brünnich’s guillemot (1.2). Geographic differences were also detected: food intake by Brünnich’s guillemot represented 62% of total intake in Storfjorden, and by the kittiwake, 45% in the first eastern transect. The first and last transects in the western Barents Sea are described and discussed in more detail. Within different sectors, high concentrations of seabirds were noted, corresponding to hydrological features such as fronts between Atlantic and polar waters, as well as ice edges. Values of seabirds’ density and food intake are higher than in the Greenland Sea, even than at the biologically very active ice edge there. Figures for pinnipeds and cetaceans are similar; numbers of polar bears were higher around Spitsbergen. The data presented were collected during the European “Polarstern” Study (Arctic EPOS) sponsored by the European Science Foundation     

Seabird species associations and affinities to areas covered with sea ice in the northern Greenland and Barents Seas

Species associations and affinity to sea ice among arctic marine birds were studied during ship transects in the northern Greenland and Barents Seas in the period 1980–1984. Associations were investigated at the scale of visual contact, and the sampling units were 10-min periods, corresponding to a transect length of 1.5–3 km. In the Greenland Sea, three or four of the most abundant species, fulmar (Fulmarus glacialis), little auk (Alle alle), Brünnich's guillemot (Uria lomvia) and kittiwake Rissa tridactyla, composed a recurrent group in all years. In the Barents Sea, fulmars, Brünnich's guillemots and kittiwakes were most often clustered. A positive association with sea ice was found in more than one cruise in three seabird species: black guillemots, ivory gulls and little auks, whereas seven other species showed negative association with ice in more than one cruise. The observed species associations and affinities to sea ice reflect similarities in diet among the species involved. Received: 23 February 1994 / Accepted: 12 January 1997     

An important late summer aggregation of fin whales Balaenoptera physalus,little auks Alle alle and Brünnich’s guillemots Uria lomvia in the eastern Greenland Sea and Fram Strait: influence of hydrographic structures

The distribution at sea of upper trophic levels—seabirds and marine mammals—is depending on their food availability: high concentrations reflect high prey abundance and thus high biological production. Polar marine ecosystems are characterized by low biodiversity and high biological patchiness. The distribution of predators, as a consequence, shows a similar patchiness. During two expeditions of icebreaking RV Polarstern in June–July 2011, biodiversity in the arctic marine zone north of 70°N was very low, with low numbers of species: 20 seabirds, eight cetaceans, five pinnipeds and polar bear. Moreover, a few species accounted for the majority in numbers: four bird species for 95 % of the total of 23,000 seabirds recorded during 700 transect counts: fulmar Fulmarus glacialis, kittiwake Rissa tridactyla, Brünnich’s guillemot Uria lomvia and little auk Alle alle. Among the marine mammals, 250 fin whales Balaenoptera physalus accounted for 80 % of the identified large cetaceans, 270 white-beaked dolphin Lagenorhynchus albirostris for 100 % of the small cetaceans and 180 harp seals Pagophilus groenlandica for 80 % of the identified pinnipeds. Their quantitative distribution was depending on water masses and oceanic fronts, large cetaceans—mainly fin whales—showing an important aggregation on the shelf slope off western Spitsbergen, as well as little auks and Brünnich’s guillemots. So that this zone, shelf slope and front of mixed Arctic/Atlantic Waters, showed unusually high seabird and cetacean concentrations. Seasonal factors possibly influencing their distribution are addressed.     

Foraging success, kleptoparasitism and feeding techniques in scavenging seabirds: does crime pay?

Scavenging seabirds in the North Sea exploit discards with different success and by different feeding techniques. Northern gannet (Sula bassana) had the highest foraging success index, followed by lesser black-backed gull (Larus fuscus) and black-legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla). Northern fulmar (Fulmarus glacialis), mew gull (Larus canus) and black-headed gull (Larus ridibundus) were the least successful species. Ranking species according to the ratio of fish stolen from vs. lost to other species (=robbery index), northern gannet, great black-backed gull (Larus marinus) and great skua (Catharacta skua) were at the top, northern fulmar and black-legged kittiwake at the bottom. Varying compositions of the feeding flocks influenced the foraging success of the species significantly. Both body length and body mass of the birds can well explain species order in the robbery index but not in the foraging success index. Our hypothesis that the most successful species employ particular feeding techniques and/or exhibit the strongest kleptoparasitic abilities could be confirmed to a large extent but not totally. During reduced overall feeding rates, some less successful species and/or species with weaker kleptoparasitic capabilities fared better than during intense feeding rates as predicted, some others did not.     

Winter diets of four seabird species in the Barents Sea after a crash in the capelin stock

Summary I describe the winter diets (early March) of four seabird species, black-legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla), northern fulmar (Fulmarus glacialis), glaucous gull (Larus hyperboreus) and Brüinnich's guillemot (Uria lomvia) collected in the south eastern Barents Sea, in open water approximately 70 km from the ice edge. All species preyed heavily on commercial fish species such as cod (Gadus morrhua), polar cod (Boreogadus saida) and redfish (Sebastes marinus/S. mentella). The median total length of fish eaten ranged from 51 mm in fulmars to 88 mm in Brünnich's guillemots and differed significantly among all species pairs except kittiwake and glaucous gull. Although the size of fish eaten differed among the four bird species they all fed upon much the same age categories of fish. Cod and redfish eaten were almost exclusively one year old, whereas polar cod was 1–4 years old. Other important food items were crustaceans (B unnich's guillemots), and squid Gonatus sp. (fulmars); the glaucous gull also preyed on other birds. Body weights and amounts of stored fat suggest that individuals of all species except Brüinnich's guillemots were in good physical condition. The diets described here differed substantially from those of birds caught mainly during the prelaying season near the colonies in this area. Some of these differences may be attributed to the very low density of capelin (Mallotus villosus) when this study was conducted.     

Comprehensive and Comparative Analysis of the Helminth Fauna of the Dominant Colonial Seabird Species on the Murman Coast

This work reports the results of the long-term study of the helminth fauna of the dominant colonial seabird species (common guillemots, Brünnich’s guillemots, kittiwakes, great black-backed gulls, and herring gulls) in the western, central, and eastern parts of the Murman coast. The presence of 52 parasitic worm species (18 trematode species, 21 cestode species, 11 nematode species, and 2 acanthocephalan species) was demonstrated. In the western, central, and eastern regions, the respective numbers of 32, 43, and 34 helminth species were registered. Twenty species of seabird parasites were found to be ubiquitous along the Murman coastal zone. Local foci of the trematode Maritrema arenaria and cestode Laricanthus lateralis infestation along the western part of the Murmansk coast were revealed. The highest helminth species diversity (38 species) was demonstrated for the herring gull; the lowest (7 species), for the common guillemot. Four parasite species were common for the helminth fauna of all bird species. A significant number of helminth infections were mixed ones (complexes of two or three bird species with the common helminth species in different combinations). The highest similarity of the helminth fauna was revealed in the pairs of the common guillemot and the Brünnich’s guillemot and of the great black-backed gull and the herring gull. A few parasitic worm species detected only in a single bird species were registered. The particularities and the possible causes of the geographical distribution and specificity of helminthes were analyzed, and a comprehensive assessment of the parasitological situation in the Murman coastal zone was performed.     

Seabirds and marine mammals in the eastern Barents Sea: late summer at-sea distribution and calculated food intake

The at-sea distribution of seabirds and marine mammals in the eastern Barents Sea was determined using standardized transect counts during three cruises of RV“Dalnie Zelentsy” (Murmansk) in late summer 1991, 1992 and 1993. Totals of 32,268 seabirds, 485 pinnipeds, 25 cetaceans and 4 polar bears were counted during 554 half-hour counts. Numbers were converted into densities, total biomass and calculated daily food intake. Mean total food intake in kg fresh weight/km².day was 3.1 for the entire zone and all years; fish eaters dominated the whole region, with an intake of 1.3 (mainly Brünnich’s guillemot, Uria lomvia, and harp seal, Phoca groenlandica), followed by zooplankton eaters (0.85, mainly fulmar, Fulmarus glacialis) and mixed zooplankton and fish feeders (0.75, mainly minke whale, Balaenoptera acutorostrata, and kittiwake, Rissa tridactyla). Year-to-year variations were of little importance, while geographic differences were obvious between Norwegian coastal, Atlantic and Barents Sea water masses, both quantitatively and qualitatively (relative importance of main diets). Within each zone, a strong geographic heterogeneity was noted, with high local concentrations at fronts between water masses and at ice edges.     

Climate,copepods and seabirds in the boreal Northeast Atlantic – current state and future outlook

The boreal Northeast Atlantic is strongly affected by current climate change, and large shifts in abundance and distribution of many organisms have been observed, including the dominant copepod Calanus finmarchicus, which supports the grazing food web and thus many fish populations. At the same time, large‐scale declines have been observed in many piscivorous seabirds, which depend on abundant small pelagic fish. Here, we combine predictions from a niche model of C. finmarchicus with long‐term data on seabird breeding success to link trophic levels. The niche model shows that environmental suitability for C. finmarchicus has declined in southern areas with large breeding seabird populations (e.g. the North Sea), and predicts that this decline is likely to spread northwards during the 21st century to affect populations in Iceland and the Faroes. In a North Sea colony, breeding success of three common piscivorous seabird species [black‐legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla), common guillemot (Uria aalge) and Atlantic puffin (Fratercula arctica)] was strongly positively correlated with local environmental suitability for C. finmarchicus, whereas this was not the case at a more northerly colony in west Norway. Large seabird populations seem only to occur where C. finmarchicus is abundant, and northward distributional shifts of common boreal seabirds are therefore expected over the coming decades. Whether or not population size can be maintained depends on the dispersal ability and inclination of these colonial breeders, and on the carrying capacity of more northerly areas in a warmer climate.     

Temporal Dynamics of Top Predators Interactions in the Barents Sea

The Barents Sea system is often depicted as a simple food web in terms of number of dominant feeding links. The most conspicuous feeding link is between the Northeast Arctic cod Gadus morhua, the world''s largest cod stock which is presently at a historical high level, and capelin Mallotus villosus. The system also holds diverse seabird and marine mammal communities. Previous diet studies may suggest that these top predators (cod, bird and sea mammals) compete for food particularly with respect to pelagic fish such as capelin and juvenile herring (Clupea harengus), and krill. In this paper we explored the diet of some Barents Sea top predators (cod, Black-legged kittiwake Rissa tridactyla, Common guillemot Uria aalge, and Minke whale Balaenoptera acutorostrata). We developed a GAM modelling approach to analyse the temporal variation diet composition within and between predators, to explore intra- and inter-specific interactions. The GAM models demonstrated that the seabird diet is temperature dependent while the diet of Minke whale and cod is prey dependent; Minke whale and cod diets depend on the abundance of herring and capelin, respectively. There was significant diet overlap between cod and Minke whale, and between kittiwake and guillemot. In general, the diet overlap between predators increased with changes in herring and krill abundances. The diet overlap models developed in this study may help to identify inter-specific interactions and their dynamics that potentially affect the stocks targeted by fisheries.     

The importance of prey aggregations to the distribution of Brünnich's guillemots in Storfjorden,Svalbard

 We studied the influence of the distribution of prey and hydrographic fronts on the spatial distribution of foraging Brünnich’s guillemots (Uria lomvia) in Storfjorden, southeastern Svalbard in late July 1992. Two large breeding colonies, comprising a total of 540,000 individuals, were located adjacent to the study area, and large numbers of Brünnich’s gullemots from these colonies foraged within the area, as well as to the south, outside of Storfjorden. Within the study area, most guillemots foraged on the west side of the fjord, coincident with a weak subsurface front between warm Atlantic water, which penetrated Storfjorden from the south, and cold Arctic water. Food samples from the guillemots collected in the study area contained primarily crustaceans (Parathemisto spp. and Thysanoessa inermis) and polar cod Boreogadus saida. Acoustic observations of prey were differentiated into two classes of signals, which we interpreted as originating from aggregated and dispersed organisms. The numbers of foraging guillemots were strongly correlated with the strength of echoes of the aggregated type, whereas correlations with dispersed echoes were consistently weaker. The distribution of foraging guillemots showed no significant correlations with either horizontal or vertical gradients of physical properties of the water column. Our finding that guillemots respond differently to aggregated and dispersed prey has important implications both for the interpretation of past work on the foraging ecology of marine birds, and for the management of fisheries. Received: 9 June 1995/Accepted: 5 January 1996     

Hepatic antioxidant responses related to levels of PCBs and metals in chicks of three Arctic seabird species

The efficiency of antioxidant defenses and relationship with body burden of metal and organic contaminants has not been previously investigated in arctic seabirds, neither in chicks nor in adults. The objective of this study was to compare such defenses in chicks from three species, Black-legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla), Northern fulmar (Fulmarus glacialis), and Herring gull (Larus argentatus), and the relationship with tissue concentrations of essential metals such as selenium and iron and halogenated organic compounds, represented by polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB). The results showed significant species-specific differences in the antioxidant responses which also corresponded with metal and PCB levels in different ways. The capability to neutralize hydroxyl radicals (TOSC-HO?) and the activities of catalase and Se-dependent glutathione peroxidases (GPX) clearly increased in species with the higher levels of metals and PCBs, while the opposite trend was observed for Se-independent GPX, TOSC against peroxyl radicals (ROO?) and peroxynitrite (ONOOH). Less clear relationships were obtained for glutathione levels, GSH/GSSG ratio, glutathione reductase and superoxide dismutase. The results showed differences in antioxidant efficiency between the species, and some of these defenses exhibited dose-response-like relationships with measured levels of selenium, iron and ΣPCBs. PCBs, selenium and iron levels were positively related to the responses of antioxidants with potential to reduce HO?/H?O? (Se-dependent GPX, CAT and TOSC against HO?). However, direct causal relationships between antioxidant responses and contaminant concentrations could not be shown on individual level. Varying levels of metals and contaminants due to different diet and age were probably the main explanations for the species differences in antioxidant defense.     

Changes in body composition during breeding: Reproductive strategies of three species of seabirds under poor environmental conditions

Seabirds differ dramatically in life history traits and breeding strategies. For example, gulls have short incubation shifts (several hours) and high metabolic rates, auks have medium-length incubation shifts (12-24h) and high metabolic rates, and petrels have long incubation shifts (days) and low metabolic rates. How these different strategies affect the dynamics of body components is poorly known. We compared body, organ and lipid mass changes among three different seabirds (gull: black-legged kittiwake Rissa tridactyla; auk: thick-billed murre Uria lomvia; petrel: northern fulmar Fulmarus glacialis) at Prince Leopold Island, Nunavut, Canada during 2002 (a year with low reproductive success and poor chick growth across all three species). This study is among the first to compare mass and lipid dynamics among different species foraging in the same food web and at similar trophic levels during the same breeding season (same environmental conditions). In fulmars and murres, most of decreases in body mass reflected decreases in lipid mass while in kittiwakes the increase in body mass reflected an increase in lean mass, especially the muscle. The species with the longest fasting endurance (incubation shift length) had the highest percent body lipids during incubation (fulmars: 13.3%, murres: 7.3%, kittiwakes: 6.9%), the highest variability in body lipids, tended to regulate body mass primarily through lipid stores and tended to regulate exercise and digestive organs separately. In contrast, in the species with the highest metabolic rate, all organ systems were adjusted similarly and in relation to body mass, and in a similar manner between incubation (stress due to heavy ice conditions) and chick-rearing (lower stress due to ice-free conditions). In high metabolic rate species, we suggest that organ size varies in response to environmental stress. We conclude that the organ dynamics of seabirds are set by a combination of key life history traits (like incubation shift and metabolic rate) and environmental conditions.     

Cape Delil-de-la-Kroiera (Sakhalin Island)—A new nesting point of marine birds

Two kekurs on Cape Delil-de-la-Kroiera (east coast of Sakhalin Island, to the north of Cape Ratmanova) were surveyed on July 16, 2003. Nesting of six species of sea birds was observed: slaty-backed gull (Larus schistisagus), black-legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla), common murre (Uria aalge), spectacled guillemot (Cepphus carbo), horned puffin (Fratercula corniculata), and tufted puffin (Lunda cirrhata).Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Biologiya Morya, Blokhin, Tiunov.     

Are simple environmental indicators of food web dynamics reliable: Exploring the kittiwake–temperature relationship

This study examined the inter-relationships between kittiwake breeding success and sandeel abundance, Calanus copepods, chlorophyll and temperature. The validity of past proxies of sandeel prey (Calanus and temperature) suggested in the literature was also examined. Winter temperature was not found to be a reliable indicator of the abundance of sandeel or lower trophic levels, although the present study did support past evidence for a dependence of kittiwake breeding success on local sandeel abundance as, with the exception of two years, there was a linear relationship with log age-0 sandeel abundance. The abundance of sandeel was positively linked to the dates of predicted peak egg abundance in C. finmarchicus and C. helgolandicus. This supported earlier evidence that the match with prey timing is important to sandeel recruitment. Neither Calanus species was associated with temperature in the February to March period nor in the April–May period, which may explain the lack of a temperature effect that propagates through the trophic levels. Consequently, although kittiwake breeding success appears to show some sensitivity and specificity to changes in their prey, this responsiveness was not found to extend to the lowest trophic level (Calanus abundance) or to temperature. As such kittiwake breeding success was not a reliable indicator of climate-driven changes in the local food web.     

Influence of reproductive output on divorce rates in polar seabirds

The high occurrence of social monogamy in birds has led to questions about partner fidelity, or the perennial nature of monogamy from one breeding season to another. Despite the evolutionary advantages of partner fidelity, divorce occurs among 95% of bird species. We aimed to describe patterns of divorce and partner fidelity in five seabird species breeding in Arctic and Antarctic regions and investigated the influence of breeding status on pair bond maintenance. For four out of the five species considered, we observed low divorce rates (respectively 1.9%, 3.3%, 2.5%, and 0.0% for Brünnich''s guillemot, glaucous gull, Antarctic petrel, and south polar skua), while the divorce rate was much higher (19.1%) for the black‐legged kittiwake. For kittiwakes, the divorce rate was lower for pairs that managed to raise their chick to 15 days of age, while the effect of breeding success on divorce in the four other species could not be tested due to the rareness of divorce events. Our results emphasize the potentially large temporal (interannual) variations that should be taken into account in understanding divorce and partner fidelity in seabirds.     

Population differentiation and evolution in the common guillemot Uria aalge

Common (Uria aalge) and Brünnich's guillemots (U. Iomvia) are colonial seabirds that nest in temperate to arctic oceans throughout the Northern hemisphere. They are very similar in the characteristics of ecology, demography and life history that are thought to determine the extent of differentiation among populations, yet geographic variation in morphology is notably greater in common guillemots. Despite evidence of strong natal philopatry, previous analyses of allozymes and the mitochondrial cytochrome b gene revealed little genetic differentiation among North Atlantic colonies of Brünnich's guillemots. To determine if the more extensive morphological variability in common guillemots reflects greater genetic variability, we sequenced part of the cytochrome b gene for 160 common guillemots from 10 colonies distributed throughout the Northern hemisphere. Genotype frequencies and phylogenetic relationships among genotypes both indicated that Atlantic and Pacific populations are genetically distinct. Genetic divergence among genotypes suggested that differentiation of these populations has resulted from separation by Pleistocene glaciers and the Bering Landbridge, as well as by currently unsuitable breeding habitat in the Arctic Ocean. Cytochrome b genotype frequencies also differed among Atlantic colonies, and appeared to define a cline similar to that described for morphological characters. Analyses of sequence variation suggested that this variation probably results from secondary contact between two refugial populations from the Pleistocene glaciations, rather than from isolation by distance or selection. In contrast, the Atlantic population of Brünnich's guillemots appears to have arisen through recent expansion of a single homogeneous refugial population.     

The diet of Atlantic Yellow-legged Gulls (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Larus michahellis atlantis</Emphasis>) at an oceanic seabird colony: estimating predatory impact upon breeding petrels

The diet and breeding ecology of Yellow-legged Gulls (Larus michahellis atlantis) were studied on Selvagem Grande, North Atlantic in the nesting season of 2007. We collected and analyzed 715 pellets from adults. The most frequent prey were White-faced Storm-petrels (Pelagodroma marina; present on 40.8% of all pellets) and the endemic land snails (Theba macandrewiana; present on 36.5% of all pellets). Other birds, namely Cory’s Shearwaters (Calonectris diomedea), Macaronesian Shearwaters (Puffinus assimilis), Bulwer’s Petrels (Bulweria bulwerii), and Band-rumped Storm-petrels (Oceanodroma castro) were relatively less frequent, but overall, seabirds were present in ca. 50% of all pellets, representing an estimated 60.4% of all mass consumed by gulls. We estimate that the contribution of seabirds to the overall caloric balance accounted for 82.5% of all energy consumed. The number of gull pairs breeding on Selvagem Grande was 12 on 2005 and 2007. Breeding success was low (0.92 and 0.25 juveniles per breeding pair, respectively). Using a simple bioenergetics model, we estimate the breeding gull population to have the potential to consume approximately 4,847 adult/sub-adult seabirds in 3.5 months in order to meet its energetic requirements. The importance of the estimated predation levels is discussed and some management actions are suggested.     

Energetic consequences of contrasting winter migratory strategies in a sympatric Arctic seabird duet

At the onset of winter, warm‐blooded animals inhabiting seasonal environments may remain resident and face poorer climatic conditions, or migrate towards more favourable habitats. While the origins and evolution of migratory choices have been extensively studied, their consequences on avian energy balance and winter survival are poorly understood, especially in species difficult to observe such as seabirds. Using miniaturized geolocators, time‐depth recorders and a mechanistic model, we investigated the migratory strategies, the activity levels and the energy expenditure of the closely‐related, sympatrically breeding Brünnich's guillemots Uria lomvia and common guillemots Uria aalge from Bjørnøya, Svalbard. The two guillemot species from this region present contrasting migratory strategies and wintering quarters: Brünnich's guillemots migrate across the North Atlantic to overwinter off southeast Greenland and Faroe Islands, while common guillemots remain resident in the Barents, the Norwegian and the White Seas. Results show that both species display a marked behavioural plasticity to respond to environmental constraint, notably modulating their foraging effort and diving behaviour. Nevertheless, we provide evidence that the migratory strategy adopted by guillemots can have important consequences for their energy balance. Overall energy expenditure estimated for the non‐breeding season is relatively similar between both species, suggesting that both southward migration and high‐arctic winter residency are energetically equivalent and suitable strategies. However, we also demonstrate that the migratory strategy adopted by Brünnich's guillemots allows them to have reduced daily energy expenditures during the challenging winter period. We therefore speculate that ‘resident’ common guillemots are more vulnerable than ‘migrating’ Brünnich's guillemots to harsh winter environmental conditions.     

Climate warming decreases the survival of the little auk (Alle alle), a high Arctic avian predator

Delayed maturity, low fecundity, and high adult survival are traits typical for species with a long‐life expectancy. For such species, even a small change in adult survival can strongly affect the population dynamics and viability. We examined the effects of both regional and local climatic variability on adult survival of the little auk, a long‐lived and numerous Arctic seabird species. We conducted a mark‐resighting study for a period of 8 years (2006‐2013) simultaneously at three little auk breeding sites that are influenced by the West Spitsbergen Current, which is the main carrier of warm, Atlantic water into the Arctic. We found that the survival of adult little auks was negatively correlated with both the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index and local summer sea surface temperature (SST), with a time lag of 2 and 1 year, respectively. The effects of NAO and SST were likely mediated through a change in food quality and/or availability: (1) reproduction, growth, and development of Arctic Calanus copepods, the main prey of little auks, are negatively influenced by a reduction in sea ice, reduced ice algal production, and an earlier but shorter lasting spring bloom, all of which result from an increased NAO; (2) a high sea surface temperature shortens the reproductive period of Arctic Calanus, decreasing the number of eggs produced. A synchronous variation in survival rates at the different colonies indicates that climatic forcing was similar throughout the study area. Our findings suggest that a predicted warmer climate in the Arctic will negatively affect the population dynamics of the little auk, a high Arctic avian predator.