Computer-aided Diagnosis of Acute Abdominal Pain

This paper reports a controlled prospective unselected real-time comparison of human and computer-aided diagnosis in a series of 304 patients suffering from abdominal pain of acute onset.The computing system''s overall diagnostic accuracy (91·8%) was significantly higher than that of the most senior member of the clinical team to see each case (79·6%). It is suggested as a result of these studies that the provision of such a system to aid the clinician is both feasible in a real-time clinical setting, and likely to be of practical value, albeit in a small percentage of cases.     

Computer-Assisted Diagnosis of Abdominal Pain using “Estimates” Provided by Clinicians

This paper reports a comparison between two modes of computer-aided diagnosis in a real-time prospective trial involving 472 patients with acute abdominal pain. In the first mode the computer-aided system analysed each of the 472 patients by referring to data previously collated from a large series of 600 real-life patients. In the second mode the system used as a basis for its analysis “estimates” of probability provided by a group of six clinicians. The accuracy and reliability of both modes were compared with the performance of unaided clinicians.Using “real-life” data the computer system was significantly more effective than the unaided clinician. By contrast, when using the clinicians'' own estimates the computer-aided system was often less effective than the unaided clinician—especially when diagnosing less common disorders. It seems, firstly, that future systems for computer-aided diagnosis should employ data from real-life and not clinicians'' estimates, and, secondly, that clinicians themselves cannot analyse cases in a probabilistic fashion, since often they have little idea of what the “true” probabilities are.     

Streptokinase in Recent Myocardial Infarction: A Controlled Multicentre Trial

In this controlled multicentre trial treatment with either streptokinase or heparin was allocated at random to patients suffering from myocardial infarction of less than 24 hours'' duration. Treatment with either drug was standardized and lasted for 24 hours. A total of 764 patients entered the trial; 34 patient charts were rejected (including all 28 charts from one centre) because of data failure. On retrospective analysis of the 730 remaining patients the two groups were found to have been comparable at the start.The total hospital mortality was 18·5% of 373 patients allotted to streptokinase treatment and 26·3% of 357 given herapin. The mortality after infusion (24 hours) was 10·6% of 340 patients treated with streptokinase and 17·8% of 320 given herapin (P=0·011). Reinfarction in hospital after the 24-hour period of infusion occurred significantly less often in patients treated with streptokinase (P=0·036). Bleeding from puncture sites and pyrexia occurred more frequently during streptokinase treatment.After exclusion of those patients whose diagnosis was unconfirmed on retrospective assessment, the total hospital mortality rate was 19·0% of 357 patients treated with streptokinase and 27·4% of 339 treated with heparin (P=0·011). These results indicate that in recent myocardial infarction streptokinase was superior to heparin in reducing mortality and reinfarction rate during an average period of six weeks in hospital.     

Results of Early Mobilization and Discharge after Myocardial Infarction

A total of 342 patients with acute myocardial infarction who were admitted to a coronary care unit are reviewed to assess the results of early mobilization and discharge. The mean duration of admission was 8·4 days and 89% of the survivors were discharged from hospital by the tenth day. The inpatient mortality was 15·5%. An additional 6·7% died during the six weeks'' follow-up period, giving a total mortality of 22·2%. Altogether, 7·6% of patients were readmitted. Venous thromboembolic phenomena occurred in 3·5% during the inpatient period. Of patients who were eligible 62% were back at work five months after their myocardial infarction. We think the results justify a short hospital admission period for acute myocardial infarction.     

Use of 4% Chlorhexidine Detergent Solution (Hibiscrub) and Other Methods of Skin Disinfection

In a comparison of three antiseptic detergent preparations for hand washing, Hibiscrub, a 4% chlorhexidine detergent solution, caused a significantly greater estimated immediate reduction of skin flora (86·7% ± 3·0) than was obtained with Dermofax, a 0·75% chlorhexidine detergent solution (55·5% ± 5·1), or with Disadine scrub, a povidone iodine detergent preparation (68% ± 6·8). After six applications the mean estimated reductions of skin flora were 99·2% ± 0·2 for Hibiscrub, 97·7% ± 0·7 for povidone iodine, and 91·8% ± 1·6 for Dermofax.After a series of hand washings with Hibiscrub, as with a hexachlorophane detergent preparation, a further large reduction of skin flora, shown by bacterial counts of hand sampling, was obtained by a second phase of disinfection consisting of two minutes'' application on gauze swabs of 0·5% chlorhexidine digluconate in 70% ethanol; a further wash with Hibiscrub, in place of alcoholic chlorhexidine, for the second phase of disinfection caused an increase rather than a reduction in the yield of bacteria on skin sampling. Unlike this “two-phase” disinfection, the application for 30 minutes of compresses soaked in 10% aqueous povidone iodine or in 0·5% aqueous chlorhexidine digluconate did not cause a greater reduction in skin flora than that obtained by the conventional two minutes'' application on gauze of 0·5% chlorhexidine in 70% ethanol.Chlorocresol (0·3%) liquid soap (the base used for Ster-Zac liquid hexachlorophane soap) caused a mean reduction of skin flora when used for hand washing of 29% after one application and 72% after six applications spread over two days. This formulation, though less active and more variable as a detergent skin antiseptic than chlorhexidine, hexachlorophane, or povidone iodine detergent preparations, is an inexpensive disinfectant soap which could be useful in catering establishments. Alcoholic cetrimide applied as for disinfection of an operation site caused a reduction of skin flora greater than that shown by aqueous cetrimide but comparable to that shown by 70% ethyl alcohol in previous experiments.     

Multi-annual performance evaluation of laboratories in post-mortem diagnosis of animal rabies: Which techniques lead to the most reliable results in practice?

Rabies diagnosis proficiency tests on animal specimens using four techniques (FAT, RTCIT, conventional RT-PCR and real-time RT-PCR) were organised over 10 years (2009–2019). Seventy-three laboratories, of which 59% were from Europe, took part. As the panels were prepared with experimentally-infected samples, the error rate of laboratories on positive and negative samples was accurately estimated. Based on fitted values produced by mixed modelling including the variable “laboratory” as a random variable to take into account the longitudinal design of our dataset, the technique that provided the most concordant results was conventional RT-PCR (99.3%; 95% CI 99.0–99.6), closely followed by FAT (99.1%; 95% CI 98.7–99.4), real-time RT-PCR (98.7%; 95% CI 98.1–99.3) and then RTCIT (96.8%; 95% CI 95.8–97.7). We also found that conventional RT-PCR provided a better diagnostic sensitivity level (99.3% ±4.4%) than FAT (98.7% ±1.6%), real-time RT-PCR (97.9% ±0.8%) and RTCIT (95.3% ±5.1%). Regarding diagnostic specificity, RTCIT was the most specific technique (96.4% ±3.9%) followed closely by FAT (95.6% ±3.8%), real-time RT-PCR (95.0% ±1.8%) and conventional RT-PCR (92.9% ±0.5%). Due to multiple testing of the samples with different techniques, the overall diagnostic conclusion was also evaluated, and found to reach an inter-laboratory concordance level of 99.3%. The concordance for diagnostic sensitivity was 99.6% ±2.0% and for diagnostic specificity, 98.0% ±8.5%. Molecular biology techniques were, however, found to be less specific than expected. The potential reasons for such findings are discussed herein. The regular organisation of performance tests has contributed to an increase in the performance of participating laboratories over time, demonstrating the benefits of such testing. Maintaining a high-quality rabies diagnosis capability on a global scale is key to achieving the goal of eliminating dog-mediated human rabies deaths. The regular organisation of exercises on each continent using selected local strains to be tested according to the local epidemiological situation is one factor that could help increase reliable diagnosis worldwide. Rabies diagnosis capabilities could indeed be enhanced by providing adequate and sustainable proficiency testing on a large scale and in the long term     

Interpretation of Serum Calcium in Patients with Abnormal Serum Proteins

Two hundred consecutive specimens received in this laboratory for “liver function tests” showed a wide range of abnormal protein concentrations. Calcium concentration correlated closely with albumin (r = 0·867) but less closely with total protein (r = 0·682). A simple formula for adjusting calcium concentration was derived from the regression equation of calcium on albumin. Adjusted calcium = calcium - albumin + 4·0, where calcium is in mg/100 ml and albumin in g/100 ml.Low calcium concentrations were found in 49 (24·5%) and raised concentrations in six (3%) of the 200 blood specimens taken for liver function tests. After adjustment, the 95% limits of the observed range were identical with the 95% limits of the normal range determined in this laboratory. Unlike adjustments based on total protein or specific gravity, the adjustment on albumin in 39 specimens which showed hypergammaglobulinaemia on electrophoresis gave normal calcium concentrations.     

Controlled Trial of Azathioprine and Prednisone in Chronic Renal Disease

Patients with various forms of glomerulonephritis, but excluding those with minimal glomerular changes, were admitted to a controlled trial of a regimen which combined azathioprine in a dosage of 2·5 mg/kg/day with prednisone in a dosage of 20 mg/day (adults) or 0·5 mg/kg/day (children). Of 149 patients included, 32 of them under the age of 15, 72 were randomly allocated to the “treatment” group and 77 to the “control” group. There was no evidence of benefit from the treatment group as a whole; and the mortality was in fact higher in the treated group.     

Simplified computer-aided diagnosis of acute abdominal pain.

A simplified version of a system for computer-aided diagnosis of acute abdominal pain has been tested by "new" personnel unfamiliar with the previous system. After a two-month learning period the system proved more accurate in its diagnoses than the unaided clinician, and during the first five months of using the system the unaided clinicians'' accuracy rose from 73% to 84%. When computer "feedback" was withdrawn the clinicians'' diagnostic accuracy reverted towards the previous, "unaided" level. These findings further validate the concept of the computer as a potentially valuable diagnostic aid but indicate that a training period and computer feedback are important factors in its 4 use.     

Clinical and Laboratory Findings in a Trial of Norgestrel,a Low-dose Progestogen-only Contraceptive

Norgestrel, a progestogen-only oral contraceptive, was given continually at a dose of 75 μg/day to 144 women of proved fertility. It was an efficient contraceptive with a failure rate of 2·1% (assessed by the “life-table” method) within the first 12 cycles and 3·6% within the first 30 cycles (or 2·0 conceptions per 100 woman-years when assessed by the Pearl index). The overall conception rate for the entire trial period was 2·1% and 1·3 pregnancies per 100 woman-years respectively. Norgestrel caused a high proportion of irregular and generally short bleeding intervals, about one-fifth of the cycles lasting less than 17 days. This irregularity appeared to be due to individual variance in cycle length between women rather than that between their successive cycles. No confirmed instances of thromboembolism were observed. Norgestrel apparently exerts its contraceptive action by several mechanisms: reduction in the sperm penetrability of the cervical mucus and an impairment of luteal function appear important. The serum concentrations of cholesterol and globulin were significantly reduced in women taking norgestrel. Preliminary observations suggest that on discontinuing the medication fertility is promptly restored. Of the 144 women originally enrolled 57 (40%) withdrew for reasons connected with the method before completing 30 months on trial, over half of them because of the irregular menstrual pattern. Nonetheless, in view of its main clinical and laboratory characteristics and simple mode of administration, norgestrel appears to be a useful alternative to the combined type of pill for women unsuitable for, or unable to tolerate, oestrogen-containing preparations.     

Surgical Treatment of Severe Attacks of Ulcerative Colitis,with Special Reference to the Advantages of Early Operation

The management and outcome of 258 severe attacks of ulcerative colitis from 1952 to 1969 has been reviewed. If remission did not occur during an initial course of intensive medical treatment, including administration of corticosteroids, operation (generally ileostomy with proctocolectomy or subtotal colectomy) was performed. This took place some 12 to 17 days after admission as a rule during the years 1952-63, but usually within five to seven days from 1964 to 1969.Roughly half the attacks underwent spontaneous remission during the two periods, but the medical mortality was 4·8% in the former and 0·7% in the latter, the operative mortality 20·0 and 7·0%, and the overall mortality 11·3 and 4.5% respectively. The lowering of the mortality was particularly striking in severe first attacks and in severe attacks in patients over 60 years of age.Perforation of the colon was found in 21 cases, or nearly 20% of 112 patients coming to operation during attacks, being commoner in the first period (32·5%) than in the second (11·1%). The immediate mortality of all such operations was 11·6%; in cases with perforation it was 28·6%.Acute colonic dilatation was observed in 28 cases. All but one were treated by emergency colectomy, at which the colon was noted to be perforated in 11. The mortality of these operations was 18·5%.Follow-up of the 140 patients who survived without coming to operation during their attacks shows that 52 (37·1%) subsequently underwent surgical treatment either during further attacks or electively.Though all 258 attacks were thought at the time to be due to ordinary ulcerative colitis, subsequent pathological examination of operative specimens derived from 98 patients who came to urgent or subsequent operation during the 1964-9 period revealed that the lesion in the large bowel was Crohn''s disease in 17 instances.     

Clinical Presentation of Acute Abdomen: Study of 600 Patients

This paper presents the clinical features of 600 patients suffering from abdominal pain of acute onset and admitted to either the General Infirmary or St. James''s Hospital, Leeds. The survey was initially retrospective, but later put on a prospective basis. Roughly two-thirds of these 600 patients presented a “typical” picture of the disease with which they presented, while the remaining third presented one or more atypical features. Since other prospective studies have indicated that the diagnostic accuracy of a group of clinicians in respect of the acute abdomen is roughly 65% it is tentatively suggested (a) that clinical diagnosis contains a large element of “pattern-matching,” and (b) that such a policy can be expected to be ineffective in roughly one-third of all cases of acute abdominal pain.     

Blood Pressure in a Scottish Town

As part of a general health screening survey in the Burgh of Renfrew blood pressure was measured in 3,001 subjects (78·8% of those eligible) aged 45 to 64. In 468 (15·6%) diastolic blood pressure was 100 mm Hg or more. A year later the mean blood pressure for those of the population re-examined showed no change, there being an equal number of subjects with increased and decreased pressures. The prognostic significance of those showing the larger fluctuations remains to be determined through medical-record linkage.Examination of the general practitioners'' medical records of 422 of the 468 subjects with diastolic blood pressure of 100 mm Hg or more showed that 255 had no previous documented hypertension. Of the remainder 73 were receiving antihypertensive therapy. Examination of the records of subjects whose blood pressure was under 100 mm Hg showed that 55 were receiving antihypertensive treatment and that another 113 had previously been recorded as having a diastolic blood pressure of 100 mm Hg or more by their general practitioner. Altogether at least 636 (21·2%) of those who were examined had been considered at some time to have evidence of hypertension.The prevalence of undetected hypertension in the general population has important implications for the resources of the National Health Service if current trials show benefit to the health of the community from treating “mild” as well as “moderate” hypertension.     

Malignant Lymphomas of Waldeyer's Ring: Natural History and Survival after Radiotherapy

The natural history of 292 consecutive cases of reticulum cell sarcoma and lymphosarcoma of Waldeyer''s ring and the survival rate after radiotherapy are reported. In our institute since 1928 from 30 to 35% of pharyngeal neoplasms have been lymphomas, and of these 55% have been reticulum cell sarcomas, 21% lymphosarcomas, and 1% Hodgkin''s disease. This high incidence may probably be ascribed to the fact that in all malignant lymphomas, irrespective of the clinical presentation, a systematic biopsy of the whole Waldeyer''s ring was carried out. Pharyngeal lymphomas were confined to Waldeyer''s ring in 19·6% of cases, with initial spread to contiguous cervical nodes in 43·8%, to distant nodes in 24·2%, and to extranodal tissues in 12·4%. Lymphography showed abnormal retroperitoneal lymph nodes in 38·3% of cases. There was gastrointestinal involvement either initially or later in 17·6% of cases. High-energy radiation therapy to both sides of the neck was the treatment of choice for local and regional disease. It achieved a five-year survival rate of 41·9% in the group of 97 patients treated during the past decade. The incidence of relapse (recurrence and new manifestations) was highest in the first year after treatment.     

RELIABILITY AND VALIDITY OF AN ACCELEROMETRIC SYSTEM FOR ASSESSING VERTICAL JUMPING PERFORMANCE

The validity of an accelerometric system (Myotest©) for assessing vertical jump height, vertical force and power, leg stiffness and reactivity index was examined. 20 healthy males performed 3ד5 hops in place”, 3ד1 squat jump” and 3× “1 countermovement jump” during 2 test-retest sessions. The variables were simultaneously assessed using an accelerometer and a force platform at a frequency of 0.5 and 1 kHz, respectively. Both reliability and validity of the accelerometric system were studied. No significant differences between test and retest data were found (p < 0.05), showing a high level of reliability. Besides, moderate to high intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) (from 0.74 to 0.96) were obtained for all variables whereas weak to moderate ICCs (from 0.29 to 0.79) were obtained for force and power during the countermovement jump. With regards to validity, the difference between the two devices was not significant for 5 hops in place height (1.8 cm), force during squat (-1.4 N · kg⁻¹) and countermovement (0.1 N · kg⁻¹) jumps, leg stiffness (7.8 kN · m⁻¹) and reactivity index (0.4). So, the measurements of these variables with this accelerometer are valid, which is not the case for the other variables. The main causes of non-validity for velocity, power and contact time assessment are temporal biases of the takeoff and touchdown moments detection.     

Fat Embolism in Patients with Fractured Hips

Fat embolism was assessed at necropsy and correlated with clinical findings in the patients who died among 854 with fractured hips admitted to hospital between 1967 and August 1971. Sixteen cases of clinical importance were found, eight of which were judged to have been fatal or to have seriously contributed to death. Frequencies were as follows: 2·4 to 3·3% among 424 patients with subcapital fractures; 0·7 to 0·8% in the 405 with trochanteric fractures; 4·1 to 7% among subjects treated without operation, representing 30% of those who died within seven days; and 0·9 to 1·1% among patients treated by pinning, nailing, or nail-plating. The higher frequency in the conservatively treated group is probably related to selection of poor-risk subjects. Fat embolism was found in 6·8 to 8·0% of those with subcapital fractures treated by primary Thompson''s arthroplasty which utilizes acrylic cement, and in none of those given Moore''s prostheses for which cement is not used. Study of a larger group after Moore''s prosthesis is required to establish its lack of special risk. Fat embolism accounted for all the deaths within seven days of Thompson''s arthroplasty and for most within 14 days; it was clearly related to surgery in some cases.A possible explanation of the hazard of Thompson''s arthroplasty is that fat globule entry is enhanced by a rise of intramedullary pressure due to proximal occlusion of the reamed marrow cavity. A controlled trial of the effect of venting the marrow cavity on the frequency of fat embolism is warranted. It is possible that the acrylic monomer may also contribute to venous entry of medullary fat. The higher-age group of those with subcapital fractures and associated chronic cardiac and pulmonary disease might make them more susceptible to fat embolization than those in whom arthroplasty is also carried out for chronic hip disease.     

Chronic Bronchitis: Method of Cigarette Smoking

Male volunteers for mass radiography examination, aged 40 or more, were questioned about their sputum production, smoking habits, and, when applicable, their method of smoking cigarettes.Of 5,438 cigarette smokers 460 (8·4%) smoked their cigarettes without removing the cigarette from the mouth between puffs (“drooping” cigarette smokers) whereas the rest smoked in the normal manner.Persons who admitted to producing sputum from their chests on most days of the year or on most days for at least three months of the year for a minimum of two years were classified as chronic bronchitics in the absence of other causative disease.The rate of chronic bronchitis among the “drooping” cigarette smokers (41·5%) was considerably greater than that among those smoking cigarettes in the normal manner (33·6%). The same pattern was maintained when age and cigarette consumption were standardized, though “drooping” cigarette smokers had a slight bias towards plain as distinct from filter cigarettes and towards a lower social class this was not sufficient to account for the excess of chronic bronchitis among those using this method of smoking.     

Foetal Blood Sampling. Practical Approach to Management of Foetal Distress

The practical application of foetal blood sampling in the routine management of patients in labour has been reviewed in a six-month survey, during which time 1,668 patients were delivered at Queen Charlotte''s Hospital.Foetal acidaemia (pH 7·25 or less) occurred in 45 of the 295 patients who showed clinical signs of foetal distress. Foetal tachycardia was the presenting sign in 33 of these 45 patients, underlining the importance of this physical sign. Foetal acidaemia in association with clinical foetal distress occurred twice as often in patients who had complications of pregnancy and who were therefore regarded as obstetrically “at risk” as it did in patients who were obstetrically “normal” No cases of acidaemia were detected in any of the foetal blood samples performed routinely on “at-risk” patients in the absence of clinical foetal distress.     

Myocardial Infarction and Deep-vein Thrombosis

In a study of 52 patients admitted into the coronary intensive care unit the incidence of deep-vein thrombosis was measured with the ¹²⁵I-fibrinogen test. Of these patients 31 were eventually confirmed to be suffering from acute myocardial infarction. This preliminary study showed that in patients with a confirmed infarct who were not treated with anticoagulants the incidence of deep-vein thrombosis was 38% and in those treated it was 5·5%. In patients who were “severely ill” from whatever the cause there was a high incidence of deep-vein thrombosis (68%).