共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
This article evaluates the implications of uncertainty in the life cycle (LC) energy efficiency and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of rapeseed oil (RO) as an energy carrier displacing fossil diesel (FD). Uncertainties addressed include parameter uncertainty as well as scenario uncertainty concerning how RO coproduct credits are accounted for (uncertainty due to modeling choices). We have carried out an extensive data collection to build an LC inventory accounting for parameter uncertainty. Different approaches for carbon stock changes associated with converting set‐aside land to rapeseed cultivation have been considered, which result in different values: from ?0.25 t C/ha.yr (carbon uptake by the soil in tonnes per hectare year) to 0.60 t C/ha.yr (carbon emission). Energy renewability efficiency and GHG emissions of RO are presented, which show the influence of parameter versus scenario uncertainty. Primary energy savings and avoided GHG emissions when RO displaces FD have also been calculated: Avoided GHG emissions show considerably higher uncertainty than energy savings, mainly due to land use (nitrous oxide emissions from soil) and land use conversion (carbon stock changes). Results demonstrate the relevance of applying uncertainty approaches; emphasize the need to reduce uncertainty in the environmental life cycle modeling, particularly GHG emissions calculation; and show the importance of integrating uncertainty into the interpretation of results. 相似文献
2.
Probabilistic risk assessment was conducted to evaluate health risks caused by eight volatile organic compounds (VOCs) (benzene, toluene, xylene, ethylbenzene, styrene, formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, and acrolein) in five commuting modes (car, air-conditioned bus, non-air-conditioned bus, subway, and bicycle) in Guangzhou. Monte Carlo method and the contribution to variance method were applied to obtain the more scientific evaluation results and the more influential variables. The results revealed that the carcinogenic risk of air-conditioned bus and car were the highest, followed by bicycle, non-air-conditioned bus, and subway. The probability of the risk exceeding 10?6 was approximately 90%, 62%, 62%, 91%, and 92%, respectively. Moreover, the noncarcinogenic risk of air-conditioned bus and car were the highest, followed by non-air-conditioned bus, bicycle, and subway. It indicated that subway, non-air-conditioned bus, and bicycle are better commuting choices for city dwellers to reduce health risks and alleviate traffic pressure. Formaldehyde, benzene, and acrolein contribute to a significant proportion in health risk and should be the prior controlled organic pollutants. Sensitivity analysis suggests that exposure time is the most influential parameter for carcinogenic and noncarcinogenic risk, followed by concentrations of VOCs in air and exposure duration. 相似文献
3.
Ruipeng Tong Yunyun Yang Guohua Shao Yanwei Zhang Shuang Dou Wei Jiang 《人类与生态风险评估》2020,26(5):1407-1427
AbstractThe emission sources and health risks of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) were analyzed and evaluated in a typical petrochemical refinery in Hainan, China. The sources and levels of 9 VOCs in five production areas were identified and qualified, and the probabilistic risk assessment method was employed to obtain more reasonable and scientific outcomes specifically realized by inhalation risk model and Monte Carlo simulation. Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis were also conducted to determine the influential factors in the risk evaluation process. The results indicated that for the refinery benzene, toluene, ethyl benzene, and xylene were the primary pollutants in these production areas, where the aromatic hydrocarbon extraction device (AHED) and xylene fractionation device areas are main contributors. In terms of non-carcinogenic risk, the largest hazard index existed in AHED area. The non-carcinogenic risk values for all production areas were not more than 1. The risk value of substances such as benzene still exceed the carcinogenic risk value of 10?6, indicating these substances existed potential carcinogenic risk to workers. Meanwhile, the findings can help to accumulate basic data for VOCs research in different installations of refineries, and provide evidence for VOCs pollution prevention and control. 相似文献
4.
Groundwater modeling typically relies on some hypothesis and approximations of reality, as the real hydrologic systems are far more complex than we can mathematically characterize. This kind of a model's errors cannot be neglected in the uncertainty analysis for a model's predictions in practical issues. As the scale and complexity increase, the associated uncertainties boost dramatically. In this study, a Bayesian uncertainty analysis method for a deterministic model's predictions is presented. The geostatistics of hydrogeologic parameters obtained from site characterization are treated as the prior parameter distribution in the Bayes’ theorem. Then the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo method is used to generate the posterior statistical distribution of the model's predictions, conditional to the observed hydrologic system behaviors. Finally, a series of synthetic examples are given by applying this method to a MODFLOW pumping test model, to test its capability and efficiency in order to assess various sources of the model's prediction uncertainty. The impacts of the model's parameter sensitivity, simplification, and observation errors to predict uncertainty are evaluated, respectively. The results are analyzed statistically to provide deterministic predictions with associated prediction errors. Risk analysis is also derived from the Bayesian results to draw tradeoff curves for decision-making about exploitation of groundwater resources. 相似文献
5.
Jin-Yong Lee Cheol-Hyo Lee Kang-Kun Lee Sang-II Choi 《Soil & Sediment Contamination》2001,10(4):439-458
The feasibility of soil vapor extraction and bioventing technologies was examined for a petroleum hydrocarbon-contaminated site. The test site was highly contaminated with toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene, due to leakage from petroleum storage tanks. Three respiration tests demonstrated that the test site conditions were appropriate for application of air-based remediation technologies. The oxygen consumption rates ranged from 4.32 to 7.68 %-O2/day and biodegradation rates ranged from 2.72 to 4.84?mg/kg-day in respiration tests. In a 120-day soil vapor extraction pilot test, high initial mass removals (with tailing effects) were observed. As expected for the soil vapor extraction, the volatilization rate was much higher than the biodegradation rate. In a bioventing trial, the biodegradation effect was predominant, but a tailing effect was not observed. From this study, the suggested sequence of remediation is to construct an integrated system of soil vapor extraction and bioventing and initially operate the soil vapor extraction system until the volatilization rate becomes smaller than the biodegradation rate. After that, the system needs to be changed over to a bioventing mode. Field demonstration supports the feasibility of the proposed integrated system. 相似文献
6.
杭州西湖富营养化模型的不确定性分析 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
运用结合了灵敏度分析的Monte Carlo方法对西湖富营养化生态模型不确定性进行了定量分析.通过模型不确定性分析,为管理决策者提供了有价值的信息,包括模型输出值的统计分布信息以及各种管理策略和整治措施所能实现目标的可能性方面的信息.根据这些信息,管理者可以客观评价并选择合适的管理策略和整治措施,在可接受的风险水平上进行决策. 相似文献
7.
The results of quantitative risk assessments are key factors in a risk manager's decision of the necessity to implement actions to reduce risk. The extent of the uncertainty in the assessment will play a large part in the degree of confidence a risk manager has in the reported significance and probability of a given risk. The two main sources of uncertainty in such risk assessments are variability and incertitude. In this paper we use two methods, a second-order two-dimensional Monte Carlo analysis and probability bounds analysis, to investigate the impact of both types of uncertainty on the results of a food-web exposure model. We demonstrate how the full extent of uncertainty in a risk estimate can be fully portrayed in a way that is useful to risk managers. We show that probability bounds analysis is a useful tool for identifying the parameters that contribute the most to uncertainty in a risk estimate and how it can be used to complement established practices in risk assessment. We conclude by promoting the use of probability analysis in conjunction with Monte Carlo analyses as a method for checking how plausible Monte Carlo results are in the full context of uncertainty. 相似文献
8.
Abstract The Gibbs ensemble Monte Carlo simulation has been used to calculate vapour-liquid equilibria of a Lennard-Jones (LJ) binary mixture. The mixture studied is the LB-2-1 model which has been used in our previous calculations on PVT relation and density-dependent local composition. The P-x-y relation has been established at two different temperatures and used to determine vapour-liquid coexistence region in the PVTx space. 相似文献
9.
Previous studies have raised the question of whether pentane is a normal constituent of human breath, since its concentrations in inspired room air and expired breath are often similar. Using a highly sensitive assay for volatile organic compounds, we studied 37 normal subjects in order to determine the alveolar gradient of pentane in their breath (i.e. concentration in alveolar breath minus concentration in the inspired air). The chemical identity of pentane was confirmed by mass spectroscopy. The alveolar gradient of pentane was zero ± 0.175 nmol/1 in 54.1 % of subjects, and distributed in an approximately bell-shaped curve. Determination of the alveolar gradient divided the normal subjects into three groups: the “passive equilibrators” who did not appear to excrete pentane in the breath (the majority), “metabolizers” who actively catabolized inhaled pentane, and “manufacturers” who excreted more pentane than they inhaled. 相似文献
10.
James M. Mathews James H. Raymer George R. Velez C. Edwin Garner John R. Bucher 《Biomarkers》1996,1(3):196-201
We have previously described a method to capture, identify and quantify volatile components in expired breath. The purpose of this research is to provide a non-invasive means to measure biomarkers of metabolism in vivo. In the present studies, the effect of 1-aminobenzotriazole (ABT), an inhibitor of diverse cytochrome P450 (P450) enzymes, on the composition of volatile organic chemicals (VOCs) expired in the breath of male F-344 rats was determined in parallel with the catalytic activities and total content of hepatic P450. lntraperitoneal administration of ABT (100 mg kg-1) to rats resulted in markedly diminished hepatic microsomal P450 content and activities. The extent of inhibition was near maximal at 4 h, at which time approximately 50% of the total P450 content, about 65% of the CYPlA2 activity, 55% of the CYP2E1 activity, and about 80% of CYP2B activity were lost. Inhibition was maintained to 48 h post-dosing, but P450 content and activities had largely been restored by day 7. Concomitant with the inhibition of P450 were corresponding increases (up to several hundred-fold) in the molar amount of volatiles appearing in the breath of ABT-treated animals, and the rebound of P450 levels was attended by corresponding decreases in the appearance of breath volatiles. These studies indicate that P450 plays a major role in the metabolism of VOCs appearing in breath, and that these chemicals can serve as markers on P450 activity in vivo. 相似文献
11.
《Biomarkers》2013,18(3):196-201
AbstractWe have previously described a method to capture, identify and quantify volatile components in expired breath. The purpose of this research is to provide a non-invasive means to measure biomarkers of metabolism in vivo. In the present studies, the effect of 1-aminobenzotriazole (ABT), an inhibitor of diverse cytochrome P450 (P450) enzymes, on the composition of volatile organic chemicals (VOCs) expired in the breath of male F-344 rats was determined in parallel with the catalytic activities and total content of hepatic P450. lntraperitoneal administration of ABT (100 mg kg-1) to rats resulted in markedly diminished hepatic microsomal P450 content and activities. The extent of inhibition was near maximal at 4 h, at which time approximately 50% of the total P450 content, about 65% of the CYPlA2 activity, 55% of the CYP2E1 activity, and about 80% of CYP2B activity were lost. Inhibition was maintained to 48 h post-dosing, but P450 content and activities had largely been restored by day 7. Concomitant with the inhibition of P450 were corresponding increases (up to several hundred-fold) in the molar amount of volatiles appearing in the breath of ABT-treated animals, and the rebound of P450 levels was attended by corresponding decreases in the appearance of breath volatiles. These studies indicate that P450 plays a major role in the metabolism of VOCs appearing in breath, and that these chemicals can serve as markers on P450 activity in vivo. 相似文献
12.
Biodegradation of 2,4-dichlorophenol in the presence of volatile organic compounds in soils under different vegetation types 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
It has been suggested that monoterpenes emitted within the soil profile, either by roots or by decaying biomass, may enhance the biodegradation of organic pollutants. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of biogenic volatile organic compounds (VOCs) on the catabolism of 2,4-dichlorophenol in soils. Soils were collected from areas surrounding monoterpene (woodland) and nonmonoterpene (grassland)-emitting vegetation types. Soils were spiked with [UL-14 C] 2,4-dichlorophenol at 10 mg kg−1 and amended with α-pinene, p -cymene or a mix of monoterpenes (α-pinene, limonene and p -cymene in 1 : 1 : 1 ratio). The effects of monoterpene addition on the catabolism of [UL-14 C] 2,4-dichlorophenol to 14 CO2 by indigenous soil microbial communities were assessed in freshly spiked and 4-week-aged soils. It was found that aged woodland soils exhibited a higher level of [UL-14 C] 2,4-dichlorophenol degradation, which was subsequently enhanced by the addition of monoterpenes ( P <0.001), with the VOC mix and α-pinene amendments showing increased [UL-14 C] 2,4-dichlorophenol catabolism. This study supports claims that the addition of biogenic VOCs to soils enhances the degradation of xenobiotic contaminants. 相似文献
13.
Light and starvation are two principal environmental stimuli inducing conidiation in the soil micromycete Trichoderma spp. We observed that volatiles produced by conidiating colonies of Trichoderma spp. elicited conidiation in colonies that had not been induced previously by exposure to light. The inducing effect of volatiles was both intra- and interspecific. Chemical profiles of the volatile organic compounds (VOCs) produced by the nonconidiated colonies grown in the dark and by the conidiating colonies were compared using solid-phase microextraction of headspace samples followed by tandem GC-MS. The conidiation was accompanied by increased production of eight-carbon compounds 1-octen-3-ol and its analogs 3-octanol and 3-octanone. When vapors of these compounds were applied individually to dark-grown colonies, they elicited their conidiation already at submicromolar concentrations. It is concluded that the eight-carbon VOCs act as signaling molecules regulating development and mediating intercolony communication in Trichoderma. 相似文献
14.
AIMS: Biodegradation of the main components of the cellulose-paint thinner (toluene, acetone, isopropanol and xylenes) by Scopulariopsis brevicaulis, isolated from a thinner biodegradation microbial consortium was investigated. METHODS AND RESULTS: Our results showed that 90% of S. brevicaulis conidia survived after 4 weeks in a cellulose-paint thinner saturated atmosphere. The mould was able to grow under these environmental conditions with a low development of conidia. The biodegradation potential of S. brevicaulis was established with and without support material (rice hulls). Biodegradation without support was very limited, <10% for all the components quantified. There was notable thinner biodegradation when the fungus was grown on rice hulls. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest the potential use of fungi in biofiltration systems employed in biodegradation of the main components of the cellulose-paint thinner. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: This is the first report of volatile organic compounds biodegradation by this fungal species. 相似文献
15.
M. M. Punt G. S. V. Raghavan J. M. R. Bélanger J. R. J. Paré 《Soil & Sediment Contamination》1999,8(5):577-592
Laboratory-scale tests were performed to evaluate the use of Environment Canada's patented Microwave-Assisted Process (MAPTM) for the extraction of petroleum hydrocarbons from contaminated soil. The purpose of these tests was to determine the potential for using the process for large-scale processing of contaminated soil. Tests were performed using three soil types: a certified sediment and certified soil, both contaminated with polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), and spiked peat soil contaminated with long-chain petroleum hydrocarbons. The test methods used were based on existing MAP techniques that have been proven for the sample preparation of contaminated soils for analytical purposes. The parameters evaluated concentrated on those that are amenable to a continuous large-scale process running at atmospheric pressures. This meant using solvents that are inexpensive and readily available in large volumes, low solvent to material ratios, and optimized energy inputs. In general, it was found that microwaves could be used to enhance the solvent extraction of the contaminants from the soil and that the properties of the soil greatly affected the extent to which the contaminants were removed. 相似文献
16.
17.
Tuomas Mattila Marjukka Kujanpää Helena Dahlbo Risto Soukka Tuuli Myllymaa 《Journal of Industrial Ecology》2011,15(2):217-227
Carbon footprints for several shopping bag alternatives (polyethylene, paper, cotton, biodegradable modified starch, and recycled polyethylene) were compared with life cycle assessment. Stochastic uncertainty analysis was used to study the sensitivity of the comparison to scenario and parameter uncertainty. On the basis of the results, we could give only a few robust conclusions without choosing a waste treatment scenario or limiting the parameter space. Given the scenario of current waste infrastructure in Finland, recycled polyethylene bags seem to be the most preferable (?7 to 24 g CO2 eq./bag) and biodegradable bags the least preferable (38 to 60 g CO2 eq./bag) option. In each analyzed waste treatment scenario, a few parameters dominated the uncertainty of results. Most of these parameters were downstream of the shopping bag manufacturing (consumer behavior, landfill conditions, method of waste combustion, etc.). The choice of waste treatment scenario had a greater effect on the ranking of bags than parameter uncertainty within scenarios. This result highlights the importance of including several scenarios in comparative life cycle assessments. 相似文献
18.
Characterization of Indoor Environmental Quality in Primary Schools in Maia: A Portuguese Case Study
Scientific evidence associates indoor environment pollutants with respiratory effects (asthma and allergies), and children constitute one of most sensitive groups. Indoor air quality (IAQ) in schools may indeed be a significant health factor for children, with effects on school attendance and performance. Our aim was to characterize IAQ of classrooms in Maia County (north of Portugal) for which there was no information available. The study was conducted in 21 of the 40 primary schools, selected by stratified random sampling. Depending on the dimension, one or two classrooms were tested at each school. Walkthrough surveys of school grounds, buildings, and individual classrooms were done. Continuous measurements were taken of temperature, relative humidity, airborne respirable particles, total volatile organic compounds, and carbon dioxide, whereas bioaerosols were counted on Plate Count Agar during regular school activities. The indoor arithmetic mean for PM10, CO2, TCOV, and bioaerosol concentrations were 0.14 mg/m3, 999 ppm, 0.41 mg/m3, and 4140 UCF/m3, respectively. The values of PM10 and CO2 were close to their acceptable maximum values, but bioaerosols were much higher. This study supports previous studies conducted in school environments and emphasizes the need for proactive indoor air quality audits in school buildings. 相似文献
19.
Abstract The principle purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the use of the Inverse Monte Carlo technique for calculating pair interaction energies in monoatomic liquids from a given equilibrium property. This method is based on the mathematical relation between transition probability and pair potential given by the fundamental equation of the “importance sampling” Monte Carlo method. In order to have well defined conditions for the test of the Inverse Monte Carlo method a Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation of a Lennard Jones liquid is carried out to give the equilibrium pair correlation function determined by the assumed potential. Because an equilibrium configuration is prerequisite for an Inverse Monte Carlo simulation a model system is generated reproducing the pair correlation function, which has been calculated by the Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation and therefore representing the system in thermal equilibrium. This configuration is used to simulate virtual atom displacements. The resulting changes in atom distribution for each single simulation step are inserted in a set of non-linear equations defining the transition probability for the virtual change of configuration. The solution of the set of equations for pair interaction energies yields the Lennard Jones potential by which the equilibrium configuration has been determined. 相似文献
20.
Comparison of Soil Organic Matter in Created, Restored and Paired Natural Wetlands in North Carolina 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Soil organic matter (SOM) content is a key indicator of soil quality and is correlated to a number of important soil processes
that occur in wetlands such as respiration, denitrification, and phosphorus sorption. To better understand the differences
in the SOM content of created (CW), restored (RW), and paired natural wetlands (NWs), 11 CW/RW-NW pairs were sampled in North
Carolina. The site pairs spanned a range of hydrogeomorphic (HGM) subclasses common in the Coastal Plain. The following null
hypotheses were tested: (1) SOM content of paired CW/RWs and NWs are similar; (2) SOM content of wetlands across different
HGM subclasses is similar; and (3) interactions between wetland status (CW/RW vs. NW) and hydrogeomorphic subclass are similar.
The first null hypothesis was rejected as CW/RWs had significantly lower mean SOM (11.8 ± 3.9%) than their paired NWs (28.98
± 8.0%) on average and at 10 out of the 11 individual sites. The second and third null hypotheses were also rejected as CW/RWs
and NWs in the non-riverine organic soil flat subclass had significantly higher mean SOM content (31.08 ± 14.2%) than the
other three subclasses (8.18 ± 2.5, 11.18 ± 8.2, and 10.38 ± 4.2%). Individual sites within this fourth subclass also had
significantly different SOM content. This indicated that it would be inappropriate to include the organic soil flat subclass
with either the riverine or non-riverine mineral soil flat subclasses when considering restoration guidelines. These results
also suggested that if there is a choice in mitigation options between restoration or creation, wetlands should be restored
rather than created, especially those in the non-riverine organic soil flat subclass. 相似文献