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Thomson MC Obsomer V Kamgno J Gardon J Wanji S Takougang I Enyong P Remme JH Molyneux DH Boussinesq M 《Filaria journal》2004,3(1):7-13
BACKGROUND: Loa loa has recently emerged as a filarial worm of significant public health importance as a consequence of its impact on the African Programme for Onchocerciasis Control (APOC). Severe, sometimes fatal, encephalopathic reactions to ivermectin (the drug of choice for onchocerciasis control) have occurred in some individuals with high Loa loa microfilarial counts. Since high density of Loa loa microfilariae is known to be associated with high prevalence rates, a distribution map of the latter may determine areas where severe reactions might occur. The aim of the study was to identify variables which were significantly associated with the presence of a Loa microfilaraemia in the subjects examined, and to develop a spatial model predicting the prevalence of the Loa microfilaraemia. METHODS: Epidemiological data were collected from 14,225 individuals living in 94 villages in Cameroon, and analysed in conjunction with environmental data. A series of logistic regression models (multivariate analysis) was developed to describe variation in the prevalence of Loa loa microfilaraemia using individual level co-variates (age, sex, microl of blood taken for examination) and village level environmental co-variates (including altitude and satellite-derived vegetation indices). RESULTS: A spatial model of Loa loa prevalence was created within a geographical information system. The model was then validated using an independent data set on Loa loa distribution. When considering both data sets as a whole, and a prevalence threshold of 20%, the sensitivity and the specificity of the model were 81.7 and 69.4%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The model developed has proven very useful in defining the areas at risk of post-ivermectin Loa-related severe adverse events. It is now routinely used by APOC when projects of community-directed treatment with ivermectin are examined. 相似文献
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D. A. Boakye C. Back G. K. Fiasorgbor A. P. P. Sib Y. Coulibaly 《Medical and veterinary entomology》1998,12(4):345-358
Abstract .During the decade from 1984 to 1993, nine species of the Simulium damnosum complex of blackflies (Diptera: Simuliidae) were identified from the area covered by the Onchocerciasis Control Programme. These were S. damnosum s.s., S. dieguerense, S. konkourense, S. leonense, S. sanctipauli, S. sirbanum, S. soubrense, S. squamosum, and S. yahense. Some of these species were found to consist of two chromosomal variant populations. These were S. konkourense‘Konkouré' and ‘Menankaya' forms, S. sanctipauli sensu stricto and‘Djodji' form, S. soubrense‘Chute Milo' and ‘Beffa' forms. The distribution of these twelve cytological taxa was assessed in relation to the two main vegetation zones of West Africa (forest and savanna), topography, river size and other factors. The range of each species was influenced by seasonal climatic changes in wind movement and river water level. The most widely distributed species were S. sirbanum and S. damnosum s.s., associated with savanna areas, recorded from all river basins. Simulium dieguerense was restricted mainly to Western Mali on the Rivers Bafing and Bakoye in the Senegal River basin. Simulium squamosum was identified from rivers draining mountainous areas in both the forest and savanna zones. Simulium yahense was found in small permanent rivers along a wide forested band parallel to the coast and was absent from the plains of Togo and Benin. Members of the S. sanctipauli subcomplex had restricted distributions except for S. sanctipauli s.s., which was widespread in large rivers of the forest zone from Sierra Leone to the Volta Lake in Ghana. Simulium soubrense‘Beffa' form occurred in Togo and Benin, S. soubrense‘Chutes Milo' form in Guinea, both ‘Konkouré' and ‘Menankaya' forms of S. konkourense occurred predominantly in Guinea and S. leonense in Sierra Leone. The relevance of the distribution maps and the importance of the data bank to vector control larvicidal operations are discussed. 相似文献
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Duerr HP Dietz K Schulz-Key H Büttner DW Eichner M 《International journal for parasitology》2004,34(4):463-473
We investigate the relationship between the microfilarial density in the skin and the burden of adult female Onchocerca volvulus by analysing pre-control nodulectomy data which allow for a direct approach, independent of exposure. The data of 169 patients in Burkina Faso and 182 patients in Liberia represent savannah and forest onchocerciasis in West Africa, respectively. Whereas in Burkina Faso, a saturating relationship between microfilarial density and worm burden suggests the operation of density-dependent processes within human hosts, the Liberian data show a linear relationship implying no density dependence. The differences may derive from differences between both parasite strains, i.e. the savannah or the forest strain of O. volvulus. Consistently for both parasite strains and independent of the worm burden, the microfilarial density increases with host age emphasising the concept of the acquisition of immunological tolerance. In male hosts in Liberia, the microfilarial density increases stronger with the worm burden than in female hosts, whereas such sex-specific differences cannot be found in Burkina Faso. In the methodological part of this investigation, we suggest the beta-distribution to be most appropriate for describing variability in microfilarial densities and we present an approach to consider the uncertainty in the adult parasite burden which cannot be determined precisely in helminth infections. Implications of density dependence are discussed with respect to immunological processes in the human host and with respect to the success of control programs. The relationships described show that regulatory processes between the parasite and the human host are multi-dimensional, operating within a high degree of biological variability. 相似文献
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Poppy H. L. Lamberton Robert A. Cheke Peter Winskill I?aki Tirados Martin Walker Mike Y. Osei-Atweneboana Nana-Kwadwo Biritwum Anthony Tetteh-Kumah Daniel A. Boakye Michael D. Wilson Rory J. Post María-Gloria Basa?ez 《PLoS neglected tropical diseases》2015,9(4)
Background
The World Health Organization (WHO) aims at eliminating onchocerciasis by 2020 in selected African countries. Current control focuses on community-directed treatment with ivermectin (CDTI). In Ghana, persistent transmission has been reported despite long-term control. We present spatial and temporal patterns of onchocerciasis transmission in relation to ivermectin treatment history.Methodology/Principal Findings
Host-seeking and ovipositing blackflies were collected from seven villages in four regions of Ghana with 3–24 years of CDTI at the time of sampling. A total of 16,443 flies was analysed for infection; 5,812 (35.3%) were dissected for parity (26.9% parous). Heads and thoraces of 12,196 flies were dissected for Onchocerca spp. and DNA from 11,122 abdomens was amplified using Onchocerca primers. A total of 463 larvae (0.03 larvae/fly) from 97 (0.6%) infected and 62 (0.4%) infective flies was recorded; 258 abdomens (2.3%) were positive for Onchocerca DNA. Infections (all were O. volvulus) were more likely to be detected in ovipositing flies. Transmission occurred, mostly in the wet season, at Gyankobaa and Bosomase, with transmission potentials of, respectively, 86 and 422 L3/person/month after 3 and 6 years of CDTI. The numbers of L3/1,000 parous flies at these villages were over 100 times the WHO threshold of one L3/1,000 for transmission control. Vector species influenced transmission parameters. At Asubende, the number of L3/1,000 ovipositing flies (1.4, 95% CI = 0–4) also just exceeded the threshold despite extensive vector control and 24 years of ivermectin distribution, but there were no infective larvae in host-seeking flies.Conclusions/Significance
Despite repeated ivermectin treatment, evidence of O. volvulus transmission was documented in all seven villages and above the WHO threshold in two. Vector species influences transmission through biting and parous rates and vector competence, and should be included in transmission models. Oviposition traps could augment vector collector methods for monitoring and surveillance. 相似文献6.
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Enyong P Traoré S Louango E Fobi G Noma M Yaméogo L Kayembé D Sékétéli A 《Parasite (Paris, France)》2006,13(1):35-44
Entomological baseline data were collected in the villages of Zinga and Boali-Falls in Central African Republic (CAR) in view of the long term impact assessment of community-directed treatment with ivermectin (CDTI). Morphological determinations revealed that flies caught in both sites belong to the sub-group Sou/Sq. In Boali, the nuisance was relatively high with biting rates averaging 243 bites/man/day, with a parous rate of 61.6% and a crude annual transmission potential (ATP) of 8,259 infective larvae/man/year; and the average number of infective larvae per 1,000 parous flies was 177. In Zinga, the mean biting rate was 191 bites/man/day, with a parous rate of 51.6%, a crude ATP of 3,422, and 86 infective larvae per 1,000 porous flies. In conclusion, the vectorial capacity and the entomological indices recorded are characteristic of high onchocerciasis transmission zones. However, some of the infective larvae found, maybe of animal origin, need identification to better determine the real level of endemicity. 相似文献
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Control of onchocerciasis in Africa is currently based on annual community-directed treatment with ivermectin (CDTI) which has been assumed to be not efficient enough to bring about elimination. However, elimination has recently been reported to have been achieved by CDTI alone in villages of Senegal and Mali, reviving debate on the eradicability of onchocerciasis in Africa. We investigate the eradicability of onchocerciasis by examining threshold shifts and breakpoints predicted by a stochastic transmission model that has been fitted extensively to data. We show that elimination based on CDTI relies on shifting the threshold biting rate to a level that is higher than the annual biting rate. Breakpoints become relevant in the context of when to stop CDTI. In order for the model to predict a good chance for CDTI to eliminate onchocerciasis, facilitating factors such as the macrofilaricidal effect of ivermectin must be assumed. A chart predicting the minimum efficacy of CDTI required for elimination, dependent on the annual biting rate, is provided. Generalisable recommendations into strategies for the elimination of onchocerciasis are derived, particularly referring to the roles of vectors, the residual infection rate under control, and a low-spreader problem originating from patients with low parasite burdens. 相似文献
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Jose R. Franco Giuliano Cecchi Massimo Paone Abdoulaye Diarra Lise Grout Augustin Kadima Ebeja Pere P. Simarro Weining Zhao Daniel Argaw 《PLoS neglected tropical diseases》2022,16(1)
BackgroundIn the 20th century, epidemics of human African trypanosomiasis (HAT) ravaged communities in a number of African countries. The latest surge in disease transmission was recorded in the late 1990s, with more than 35,000 cases reported annually in 1997 and 1998. In 2013, after more than a decade of sustained control efforts and steady progress, the World Health Assembly resolved to target the elimination of HAT as a public health problem by 2020. We report here on recent progress towards this goal.Methodology/principal findingsWith 992 and 663 cases reported in 2019 and 2020 respectively, the first global target was amply achieved (i.e. fewer than 2,000 HAT cases/year). Areas at moderate or higher risk of HAT, where more than 1 case/10,000 people/year are reported, shrunk to 120,000 km2 for the five-year period 2016–2020. This reduction of 83% from the 2000–2004 baseline (i.e. 709,000 km2) is slightly below the target (i.e. 90% reduction). As a result, the second global target for HAT elimination as a public health problem cannot be considered fully achieved yet. The number of health facilities able to diagnose and treat HAT expanded (+9.6% compared to a 2019 survey), thus reinforcing the capacity for passive detection and improving epidemiological knowledge of the disease. Active surveillance for gambiense HAT was sustained. In particular, 2.8 million people were actively screened in 2019 and 1.6 million in 2020, the decrease in 2020 being mainly caused by COVID-19-related restrictions. Togo and Côte d’Ivoire were the first countries to be validated for achieving elimination of HAT as a public health problem at the national level; applications from three additional countries are under review by the World Health Organization (WHO).Conclusions/significanceThe steady progress towards the elimination of HAT is a testament to the power of multi-stakeholder commitment and coordination. At the end of 2020, the World Health Assembly endorsed a new road map for 2021–2030 that set new bold targets for neglected tropical diseases. While rhodesiense HAT remains among the diseases targeted for elimination as a public health problem, gambiense HAT is targeted for elimination of transmission. The goal for gambiense HAT is expected to be particularly arduous, as it might be hindered by cryptic reservoirs and a number of other challenges (e.g. further integration of HAT surveillance and control into national health systems, availability of skilled health care workers, development of more effective and adapted tools, and funding for and coordination of elimination efforts). 相似文献
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DAN KURTAK ROLF MEYER MICHAEL OCRAN MOUSSA OUÉDRAOGO PIERRE RENAUD R. O. SAWADOGO BARRO TELE 《Medical and veterinary entomology》1987,1(2):137-146
1. Resistance of some populations of the Simulium damnosum complex to temephos (100-fold at the LC50 level), with degrees of cross-resistance to chlorphoxim (14-fold) and other organophosphate insecticides, follows intensive larvicidal control of S. damnosum s.l. in West African river systems since 1975 by the WHO Onchocerciasis Control Programme. 2. Larvae of at least three sibling species of the S. damnosum complex have become organophosphate-resistant: these are the forest species S. sanctipauli Vajime & Dunbar and the savanna species S. sirbanum V. & D. and S. damnosum Theobald sensu stricto. 3. Organophosphate-resistant S. damnosum s.l. larvae show increased susceptibility to some organochlorine and pyrethroid insecticides, especially to permethrin (up to 11-fold) and OMS 3002 (up to 17-fold), as compared with organophosphate-susceptible populations. 4. This differential susceptibility is reflected by increased pyrethroid efficacy in operational use for river treatments against organophosphate-resistant field populations of S. damnosum s.l. larvae. Treatment of 100 km of the lower Bandama River in 1985 showed that permethrin at the highly selective dosage of 10 min exposure to 0.01 mg/l caused reversion towards organophosphate-susceptibility of the target population of S. sanctipauli. This effect was less pronounced when the Comoe River was treated at the lower dosage of 0.005 mg/l for 10 min. 5. To overcome temephos-resistance, it is proposed that the most rational usage of currently available larvicides would involve the following annual sequence of treatments: Bacillus thuringiensis serotype H-14 when river discharge is below 75 m3/s; chlorphoxim for about eight weekly treatment cycles after river discharge rises; permethrin (or alternative pyrethroid) for up to six treatment cycles--this should eliminate any incipient selection for chlorphoxim-resistance; resume chlorphoxim (or perhaps carbosulfan) treatments until river discharge falls below 75 m3/s permitting resumed use of B.t. H-14. 相似文献
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Chang S Mâsse LC Moser RP Dodd KW Arganaraz F Fuemmler BF Jemal A 《Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.)》2008,16(7):1636-1650
Objective: Given links between obesity and cancer, we estimated incident cancer burden due to overweight and obesity at the state level in the United States. Methods and Procedures: Using state rankings by per capita burden of incident cancer cases diagnosed in 2003 that were related to overweight and obesity, we examined the frequency with which states ranked in the highest and lowest quintiles of weight‐related burden for cancers of the postmenopausal breast, endometrium, kidney, colon, and prostate. In this study, data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), US Census, US Mortality Public Use Data Tapes, and National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program were used. Results: Western states had the lowest weight‐related cancer burden for both sexes. Iowa, South Dakota, and West Virginia had the highest burden for all three types of male cancers. West Virginia is the only state that ranked in the quintile of highest weight‐related burden for all four cancers considered in women. Discussion: For certain cancers, including endometrial, postmenopausal breast, and colon cancers, states with high burdens clustered in geographic regions, warranting further inquiry. Although state ranks for the total cancer burden and the prevalence of overweight and obesity correlated with state ranks for weight‐related incident cancer burden, they often served poorly as its proxy. Such a finding cautions against simply targeting states with high overweight and obesity or high total burdens of cancers for which overweight and obesity are risk factors, as this approach may not reach areas of unrecognized burden. 相似文献
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R. H. H. Kröger H. -J. Wagner 《Journal of comparative physiology. A, Neuroethology, sensory, neural, and behavioral physiology》1996,179(6):837-842
By rearing fish in various monochromatic illuminations we investigated (1) the potential for compensation of refractive error due to chromatic aberration, (2) the contributions of the chromatic channels to emmetropization, and (3) the role of color cues in the control of eye growth. Cichlid fish (Aequidens pulcher) were reared for 6 months (12 h light/12 h dark) in monochromatic lights (623.5, 534.1, 485.0 nm; spectral purity 5–10 nm). Light levels were isoirradiant at 1.1·1012 quanta/s/cm2. Two control groups were reared in white light with down-welling illuminances of 0.2 and 33 lx. Nasotemporal diameters (NTDs) of the eyes were measured in relation to lens size. Due to the oblique axis of highest acuity vision in cichlids, NTD is considered to be a more important dimension than axial length. Variances in NTD were equally small in all rearing groups. NTDs were enlarged with increasing wavelengths of the rearing lights with highly significant values over controls in the red-light group. The wavelength-dependent size of the eyes matched the changes in focal length due to longitudinal chromatic aberration. Complete recovery from eye enlargement was observed after fish reared in red light were exposed to a white light regime for 5 weeks. Small variances in NTD in all groups indicated stringent control of eye growth in the absence of color cues. The reversibility of the increase in NTD in fish reared in red light suggests that the eyes were emmetropized by visually guided mechanisms. Eye size in fish reared in white light was intermediate between the values expected if only blue-sensitive single or the red- and green-sensitive double cones contributed to the control of eye growth. This suggests that all chromatic channels participate in emmetropizing the fish eye. 相似文献
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Ellis P. Monk 《Ethnic and racial studies》2013,36(10):1593-1612
Public debate and scholarly research has largely concentrated on the vast array of disparities between blacks and whites in their treatment by and experiences with the criminal justice system. Nevertheless, a growing body of research shows that African Americans’ life chances are internally stratified by gradational differences in their skin tone. This study brings together research on race, color, and the criminal justice system by using nationally-representative data to examine whether (and to what extent) skin tone is associated with policing and punishment among African Americans. I find that skin tone is significantly associated with the probability of having been arrested and/or incarcerated, net of relevant controls. Further analyses, using a sub-sample of whites drawn from the same nationally-representative survey, show that disparities in policing and punishment within the black population along the colour continuum are often comparable to or even exceed disparities between blacks and whites as a whole. 相似文献
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A broad variety of fungi (84 species belonging to 36 genera) were identified with more taxa infesting peanut seed samples
from two tropical countries (29 genera and 61 species) compared to those found in desiccated coconuts (20 genera and55 species)
on both DRBC and DG18 media. This may be due to the higher moisture levels in peanuts (5.07–7.97%) compared with coconuts
(1.5–4.17%). More taxa and propagules were recovered on DG18 in both cases. The dominant fungi from both substrates on both
isolation media were Aspergillus andPenicillium, with other fungi from only one substrate/medium. The aflatoxigenic species (A. flavus) dominated Kenyan samples more so than Ugandan samples on both substrates. However only71.5% and 87% of the peanut kernels,
on DRBC and DG18, respectively, were found to be infested with fungi. The aflatoxigenic species (A. flavus/parasiticus)were found in 75% of the samples, however only 15.75% and 13%of the kernels analyzed were infested. The most frequently isolated
species from peanuts were A. niger followed by A. flavus and M. phaseolina.
E. repens, E. amstelodami,E. rubrum and E. chevalieri dominated peanut seeds on DG18, and R. stolonifer, A. parasiticus,F. solani, L. theobromae and P. chrysogenumon DRBC. The mean count of fungal propagules in coconut samples were approximately 0.7× 103 and 0.8× 103on DRBC and DG18, respectively, with a high proportion of those propagules recorded for the aflatoxigenic species (about 0.17×103 and 0.25× 103 colonies/g). The mycobiota of desiccated coconut was dominated by A. niger, A. flavusand P. chrysogenum. Also A. ochraceu,P. waksmanii, Paecilomyces variotii,P. islandicum and R. mucilaginosa were more frequent on DRBC, while, species of Cladosporium,Chrysosporium and Eurotium were more frequent on DG18.
Enzyme indices (or the activities) for each specific strain, when determined after 5 and 8 days of incubation, proved to be
similar. A recommendation is given. The proteolytic and lipolytic potentialities of the most commonly encountered species
from both peanuts and coconuts were studied. The most interesting observation is that most of the positive isolates, in both
commodities had high enzymic activity compared to those reported earlier for isolates of the same species. Such capabilities
suggest that these commodities are expected to deteriorate, since climatic conditions in tropical areas favour fungal proliferation.
Emphasis on the proper harvesting, drying, handling, transportation and/or storage; and also education of the populace, especially
those are dealing with these foods, should be taken into consideration by the relevant authorities. The contaminated foods
constitute a health hazard for human consumption.
This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
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ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: The burden of fevers remains enormous in sub-Saharan Africa. While several efforts at reducing the burden of fever have been made at the macro level, the relationship between socioeconomic status and fever prevalence has been inconclusive at the household and individual levels. The purpose of this study was to examine how individual and household socioeconomic status influences the prevalence of fever among children under age five in four sub-Saharan African countries. METHODS: The study used data from the 2008 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) from Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya and Sierra Leone with a total of 38,990 children below age five. A multi-level random effects logistic model was fitted to examine the socioeconomic factors that influence the prevalence of fever in the two weeks preceding the survey. Data from the four countries were also combined to estimate this relationship, after country-specific analysis. RESULTS: The results show that children from wealthier households reported lower prevalence of fever in Ghana, Nigeria and Kenya. Result from the combined dataset shows that children from wealthier households were less likely to report fever. In general, vaccination against fever-related diseases and the use of improved toilet facility reduces fever prevalence. The use of bed nets by children and mothers did not show consistent relationship across the countries. CONCLUSION: Poverty does not only influence prevalence of fever at the macro level as shown in other studies but also the individual and household levels. Policies directed towards preventing childhood fevers should take a close account of issues of poverty alleviation. There is also the need to ensure that prevention and treatment mechanisms directed towards fever related diseases (such as malaria, pneumonia, measles, diarrhoea, polio, tuberculosis etc) are accessible and effectively used. 相似文献
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Earnest Njih Tabah Dickson Shey Nsagha Anne-Cécile Zoung-Kanyi Bissek Alfred Kongnyu Njamnshi Martin W. Bratschi Gerd Pluschke Alphonse Um Boock 《PLoS neglected tropical diseases》2016,10(1)
BackgroundCameroon is endemic for Buruli ulcer (BU) and organised institutional BU control began in 2002. The objective was to describe the evolution, achievements and challenges of the national BU control programme (NBUCP) and to make suggestions for scaling up the programme.MethodsWe analysed collated data on BU from 2001 to 2014 and reviewed activity reports NBUCP in Cameroon. Case-detection rates and key BU control indicators were calculated and plotted on a time scale to determine trends in performance. A linear regression analysis of BU detection rate from 2005–2014 was done. The regression coefficient was tested statistically for the significance in variation of BU detection rate.Conclusion/SignificanceAlthough institutional BU control Cameroon only began 30 years after the first cases were reported in 1969, a number of milestones have been attained. These would serve as stepping stones for charting the way forward and improving upon control activities in the country if the major challenge of resource allocation is dealt with. 相似文献
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José Rodrigues Coura Pedro Albajar Vi?as Angela CV Junqueira 《Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz》2014,109(7):856-862
Chagas disease is maintained in nature through the interchange of three cycles: the
wild, peridomestic and domestic cycles. The wild cycle, which is enzootic, has
existed for millions of years maintained between triatomines and wild mammals. Human
infection was only detected in mummies from 4,000-9,000 years ago, before the
discovery of the disease by Carlos Chagas in 1909. With the beginning of
deforestation in the Americas, two-three centuries ago for the expansion of
agriculture and livestock rearing, wild mammals, which had been the food source for
triatomines, were removed and new food sources started to appear in peridomestic
areas: chicken coops, corrals and pigsties. Some accidental human cases could also
have occurred prior to the triatomines in peridomestic areas. Thus, triatomines
progressively penetrated households and formed the domestic cycle of Chagas disease.
A new epidemiological, economic and social problem has been created through the
globalisation of Chagas disease, due to legal and illegal migration of individuals
infected by Trypanosoma cruzi or presenting Chagas disease in its
varied clinical forms, from endemic countries in Latin America to non-endemic
countries in North America, Europe, Asia and Oceania, particularly to the United
States of America and Spain. The main objective of the present paper was to present a
general view of the interchanges between the wild, peridomestic and domestic cycles
of the disease, the development of T. cruzi among triatomine, their
domiciliation and control initiatives, the characteristics of the disease in
countries in the Americas and the problem of migration to non-endemic countries. 相似文献
19.
作为长江上游生态屏障的核心区,三峡库区特殊的地理位置使其在推动长江经济带发展和生态文明建设中肩负着重大使命。三峡库区的生态环境在蓄水前后发生了较大改变,其变化能通过植被物候的变动体现,研究三峡库区植被物候时空演变特征及其驱动力,对于区域生态可持续发展和长江经济带生态文明建设具有重要意义。借助动态阈值法提取物候参数,整合多源遥感物候参数提取结果,分析1990-2020年三峡库区植被物候时空格局;结合Theil-Sen Median趋势分析与Mann-Kendall检验等方法,定量分析三峡库区蓄水前后植被物候时空演变特征;运用地理加权回归分析、Pearson相关性分析以及主成分分析等方法,定量探究三峡库区植被物候时空演变的影响因素。结果表明:(1)近31年来,三峡库区植被的生长季开始时间(Start of Growing Season, SOS)主要出现在60 DOY(Date of Year),生长季结束时间(End of Growing Season, EOS)主要出现在301 DOY,生长季长度(Length of Growing Season, LOS)总体为248 d。在空间上,SOS与EOS均呈现出从库首至库尾逐渐提前的趋势,LOS的空间异质性较小。(2)库区植被物候表现出SOS提前、EOS推迟和LOS延长的特征,SOS提前的平均幅度为0.3 d/a,库首区域最为典型;EOS推迟的平均幅度为0.8 d/a,库尾区域尤为明显;LOS延长的平均幅度为1.7 d/a,库尾区域更加突出。植被物候对库区蓄水的响应表现出一定的滞后性。(3)人为因素与间接人为因素(水位、人口和水域面积等)是影响库区植被物候时空分异的主要因素。 相似文献