Epidemiological analysis of hepatitis A morbidity

A retrospective epidemiological analysis of hepatitis A morbidity for many years among the population of two neighboring towns in the temperate climatic zone of the USSR has revealed the cyclic character of the epidemic process without a perceptible decrease in its extensiveness and has determined the high-risk groups, as well as the beginning of the seasonal rise of morbidity in these groups. The results of the study indicate that different levels of hepatitis A morbidity and risk groups can be observed in these two neighboring towns. At periods of a lower morbidity level the high-risk group embraces schoolchildren, and when morbidity is at a higher level the risk group includes schoolchildren and preschool children in organized groups. Among the latter the morbidity level is influenced by factors acting all the year round and among school children, by seasonal factors. The beginning of the seasonal rise of morbidity falls on August, while in organized groups of children of preschool age the seasonal rise of hepatitis A morbidity begins 1-1.5 months later. All prophylactic measures for controlling hepatitis A should be carried out with due regard to these features of the epidemic process.     

A trial of using immunoglobulins of known specificity for preventing hepatitis A in regions with high epidemic activity

The economic effectiveness of immunoglobulin prophylaxis (IGP), carried out among children aged 1-3 at the beginning of a seasonal rise in hepatitis A (HA) morbidity with high coefficients of protection (80-85%), was directly related to the activity of the epidemic process. Preparations with sufficiently high content of antibodies to HA virus sharply decreased the manifestation of this infection. The detection rate of the manifest forms of the infection among children covered by prophylactic measures in the foci of HA was considerably lower than among children who had not received the preparation. IGP exerted no essential influence on the dynamics of the formation of population immunity. A high share of children aged 3-4 years, seropositive to HA virus (up to 90%), validates the inadvisability of carrying out IGP in older groups of children.     

The epidemic process of diphtheria infection in the RSFSR during the introduction of epidemiological surveillance

In this work the characterization of the epidemic process of diphtheria infection on the territory of the RSFSR under the conditions of epidemiological surveillance (1983-1986) is presented. In comparison with the period of 1979-1982, an increase in morbidity rate occurred, which accounts for more complete detection of patients with mild forms of diphtheria, including persons found to be carriers of toxigenic Corynebacterium diphtheriae. Beginning from 1983, the leveling out of seasonal morbidity rises is observed. In the total number of persons affected by this infection the prevalence of adults is noted. Among them, a decrease in the morbidity rate was registered in 1986 (the maximum decrease was observed in age and professional groups of risk), which confirms the effectiveness of measures carried out for the protection of the adult population from diphtheria. Among children, a tendency towards a decrease in morbidity rate was noted in all age groups. The existing system of epidemiological surveillance on the territory of the RSFSR is capable of stabilizing diphtheria morbidity on a sporadic level and minimizing the number of fatal outcomes. The intensification of the epidemic process in some areas of the RSFSR is due to shortcomings in the realization of different measures of epidemiological surveillance.     

Trends in the development of the epidemic process in salmonellosis caused by Salmonella typhimurium and Salmonella enteritidis

The dynamics and structure of the epidemic process of Salmonella infections among the population of Perm in 1983-1988 was studied and the results of evaluation of antibiotic resistance of the dominating Salmonella species analyzed. The study revealed that a decrease in salmonellosis morbidity caused by S. typhimurium was associated with a limited circulation of anthroponotic (antibiotic-resistant) variants of Salmonellae and a relative increase in the proportion of zoonotic (antibiotic-sensitive) strains. At the period of elevated morbidity this Salmonella infection affected mainly young children in cold months, whereas in recent years seasonal morbidity rises shifted to spring-summer and summer-autumn months, affecting older age groups of the population. The study also revealed that a rise in salmonellosis morbidity caused by S. enteritidis was due to increased circulation of zoonotic variants of Salmonellae. Changes in the epidemiological situation necessitate correction of the system of epidemiological surveillance on Salmonella infections with the emphasis on sanitation measures in stock-breeding farms with unfavorable epidemiological situation.     

Retrospective epidemiologic diagnosis of viral non-A, non-B hepatitis with a fecal-oral mechanism of transmission of the causative agent

The possibility of the retrospective epidemiological diagnosis of viral hepatitis non A, non B with the fecal-oral mechanism of the transfer of infection in three cities of Central Asia on the basis of the analysis of the dynamics of registered hepatitis A morbidity is shown. With the irregularity of morbidity levels among the total population being characteristic of all three cities, in Andizhan one rise in morbidity within a period of 3 years (1975-1978) and in Tashauz one rise within a period of 5 years (1975-1980) were registered. The analysis of the dynamics of morbidity observed in individual age and social groups showed that these rises, especially those registered in 1976 in Andizhan and in 1977 in Tashauz, were determined by morbidity levels among school children and adults. This is also true for a rise in morbidity rate registered in Tashauz in 1985. In Andizhan the highest morbidity rates among adults were registered in districts insufficiently equipped with modern amenities. Cases of infection registered as hepatitis A (HA) among persons immune to HA at territories with high intensity of the epidemic process of HA at the above-mentioned periods seem to be due to viral hepatitis non A, non B with the fecal-oral mechanism of the transmission of the infective agent.     

Problems of the epidemiology of viral hepatitis in Ryazan Province

The analysis of some features of the course of the epidemic process of viral hepatitis on the territory of the Ryazan region is presented. Periodic rises and falls in viral hepatitis morbidity, varying in their regularity (4-6 years), have been registered in the region. The general level and the seasonal distribution of viral hepatitis morbidity are determined by the morbidity rate among children, the increase in the proportion of children of senior school age being observed in recent years.     

Specific prophylaxis of shigellosis

A high level of shigellosis morbidity requires new approaches to the control of bacterial dysentery. According to modern concepts, the outbreaks of Shigella infections are linked both with less intensive epidemic control measures and the objective cyclic character of the epidemic process. In this connection great importance is attached to the development of vaccines for the immunization of high risk groups in territories with unfavorable epidemic conditions and in zones of military conflicts, as well as children of school and pre-school age, who mostly determine seasonal rises of shigellosis morbidity. In this article the data describing new approaches to the creation of new live enteric vaccines on the basis of the knowledge of the genetic control of microbial pathogenicity and the regulation of its expression are presented. Attenuated Shigella mutants, created by different authors and having good prospects to be used for the development of vaccines, are characterized.     

The epidemiological differential diagnostic signs of viral hepatitis A and viral hepatitis E]

A retrospective epidemiologic analysis of cases diagnosed as hepatitis A (HA) has been made in territories characterized by high intensity (4 towns in Central Asia) and low intensity (Novomoskovsk, Tula Province) of the epidemic process development. Morbidity structures for different age and social groups of the population, as well as the morbidity time course, both annual and over many years, were analyzed over 1973-1986. Specific features in the development of the epidemic process in HA and hepatitis E (HE), formerly called hepatitis non-A, non-B with the fecal/oral mechanism of the infection transmission, were studied. Twelve epidemiological differential diagnostic signs of these two infections were formulated, classified, and validated. Contribution of centralized water supply and sewage systems to the development of HE epidemic process and the regulating role of infectious immunological mechanisms in the development of HA epidemic process were demonstrated.     

Incidence of meningococcal infection in the RSFSR]

The authors present characteristics of meningococcus infection epidemic process in case of sporadic cases and under epidemic conditions (1965--1976). A scheme of epidemiological analysis suggested by the authors permitted to differentiate and to record the incidence of various clinical forms of meningococcus infection, to present data on the age, seasonal characteristics, focality, etc. Comparison of intensive morbidity indices for 10 years, both at the individual administration territories and in the Republic as a whole demonstrated morbidity level of 1.5--2.0 to be one of prognostic signs of the beginning epidemic. The main features differentiating the sporadic and epidemic morbidity periods were revealed. The presence of group diseases, a greater percentage of children among those who fell ill, and marked signs of seasonality and territorial difference characterized the period of rise caused by meningococcus of serological group A.     

Cholera morbidity problems in 1 of the departments of the Democratic and Popular Republic of Algeria

A total of 1,078 cases of bacteriologically confirmed cholera were analyzed at the period of 1979-1983. In 1981 Vibrio eltor, serotype Inaba, replaced V. cholerae, serotype Ogawa, and became the prevailing infective agent. Every year young children and persons over 50 years of age were most actively involved into the epidemic process. The peak of seasonal morbidity was observed in September-October. The appearance of the foci of infection in families was found to be slightly pronounced in cholera. 85.3% of the families had only a single case of cholera. The cases of cholera with the fatal termination of the disease were registered mostly at the beginning of the seasonal rise of morbidity and at its peak.     

Morbidity and mortality in acute viral hepatitides in a hyperendemic region. The role of viral hepatitis E

Official annual statistical data on morbidity in acute viral hepatitides (AVH), including the number of lethal cases, for 1985-1995 were analyzed. Mortality rates per 100,000 of the population at the period of 11 years were calculated for different age groups, sex and the place of residence. 396 and 99 patients were examined for the presence of serological markers of hepatitides A, B and E, respectively, at the periods of epidemic rises in morbidity and satisfactory epidemic situation. In the course of 11 years AVH caused the death of 22,405 persons. In 1985-1987 the average mortality level (ML) reached 12.3-17.8 per 100,000 of the population (with morbidity being 1,200-1,400 and was essentially higher among the rural population in comparison with the urban population. During these years the highest ML, was registered among children aged 0-2 years (190-50 per 100,000) and, among adults, mainly among women aged 20-29 years (21.4-19.6 per 100,000). During the years when the epidemic of AVH was absent, ML among these groups was essentially lower: 40-20 among children aged 0-2 years and 4-5 among women aged 20-29 years. In 1987 in the Fergana Valley hepatitis E was detected in 72.2% of all examined patients, and in the southern areas of the country in 68.7%. A sharp rise on mortality among women of the productive age at the period of the epidemic rise of AVH morbidity in the endemic region indicated that this epidemic was linked with hepatitis E. High ML among young children may be indicative of a highly unfavorable course of hepatitis E in the group of infants, which had never been registered before. This newly established regularity may be used for the retrospective diagnostics of the outbreak of hepatitis E.     

The results of a seroepidemiologic study of Newcastle dysentery

Differences in the monthly distribution in the number of seropositive individuals among children and adults in years with different intensity of the epidemic process have been revealed. Immunity in cases of dysentery caused by S. newcastle reflects the yearly and seasonal activation of the epidemic process in this Shigella infection both in children and adults, the seroconversion characteristics observed in the year of a high morbidity level being a more objective criterion indicating the beginning of the activation of the epidemic process in dysentery caused by S. newcastle in comparison with the commonly registered morbidity level.     

Epidemiology of bacillary dysentery in Algeria. II. The seasonality of dysentery

Morbidity rises during the period of summer and autumn are characteristic of bacterial dysentery in Algeria. During the last 18 years no essential changes in the seasonal character of bacterial dysentery were observed in the country taken as a whole. However, in different climatic and geographical zones of the country the seasonal character of dysentery greatly varies from one zone to another and essentially differs from the seasonal character of dysentery morbidity, typical of the country as a whole for many years. The most pronounced manifestations of seasonal rises are observed in the Sahara zone. The seasonal character of dysentery is formed mainly by morbidity among patients belonging to 3 age groups. The seasonal rises of dysentery can be probably explained by the complex of social and climatic factors, as well as by the biological features of the causative agents of this disease.     

Characteristics of the manifest and latent components of the hepatitis A epidemic process in cities of Russia

Seroepidemiological study of hepatitis A (HA) morbidity was carried out in three Russian cities, with different levels of HA morbidity. The study included the analysis of HA morbidity for 22 years, the determination of antibodies to HA virus (anti-HAV) in 2,958 healthy persons aged 0-12 months to 40 years and older. In one of the cities 7 isolates of HA virus were obtained from unrelated sources and the genotypes of the virus were determined. The study revealed that the frequency of seropositive cases among persons of different ages correlated with the level and prolonged dynamics of HA morbidity. According to the occurrence of anti-HAV, such cities as St. Petersburg, Rostov-on-Don and Yakutsk may be at present classified as territories, moderately endemic in HA. At the same time in the 90 s the epidemic situation in HA was more favorable in Rostov-on-Don than in two other cities. The suggestion was made that a high proportion of seropositive persons among the population of St. Perersburg was linked with an almost twofold rise in HA morbidity in 1993-1995 caused by genotype 1 of the virus. Seroepidemiological studies in HA during the period of a drop in morbidity acquire special importance in the surveillance and control system of this infection.     

Meningococcal infection in the Uzbek SSR

The epidemiological characteristics of meningococcal infection in Uzbekistan during the period of 8 years since its last epidemic rise in 1972 is presented. Differences in the intensity of the epidemic process among the urban and rural population due to a considerable isolation of most of the rural populated localities from the district centers and the low population density in the republic have been established. The seasonal distribution of the infection had a winter-spring character in urban areas and a spring character in rural areas. 63.4% of all cases were children under 14 years. In cities a high morbidity level among adolescents and young people was determined mainly by visitors from rural areas. A high epidemiological importance of healthy carriers, predominantly schoolchildren and young people was established. The immunological studies of humoral immunity in different groups of the population indicate that the process of immunization was more rapid in cities.     

The definition of the forms of the epidemic process in intestinal infections]

A method for the identification of the forms of the epidemic process in dysentery (annual, seasonal and outbreak forms) has been worked out. The method is based on the calculation of the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity from the data on the period of several years with the use of the formulae of binomial distribution, serving as the mathematical model of alternative random values, such as morbidity. The comparison of actual morbidity for each year of the analyzed period with the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity helps identify the form of the epidemic process.     

Epidemic process of pertussis in Moscow

Materials reflecting the dynamics of pertussis morbidity during the period of 1958 - 2003 under the conditions of prolonged mass immunization of the child population with adsorbed DPT vaccine are presented. The planned vaccination of children led to the decrease of pertussis morbidity during the first 10 years, but groundless abstentions from vaccination during the 1980s - 1990s contributed to a sharp rise in morbidity among children of younger age groups. During the recent four years a rise in pertussis morbidity was registered in 2000 (71.79 per 100,000 of the population), followed by the most significant for the last 20 years drop in morbidity in 2002--down to 9.89. But in 2003 the growth of morbidity was again registered (38.67). Recently periodic rises and drops in morbidity occurred simultaneously with the increased coverage of children of younger age groups with vaccination. In recent years changes in the age structure of patients were observed: the specific proportion of school children increased (in 2003 morbidity rates in children aged 6 - 10 years were 288.6 - 270.7), simultaneously high morbidity among children aged up to one year (274.9) was registered. The specific proportion of pertussis-affected children aged above 7 years reached 65%. From the late 1990s until present in 87.1% of cases strains of serotype 1.0.3 prevailed in the population of B. pertussis strains. But in recent years the circulation of strains 1.2.3, spread in the prevaccination period and having toxicity similar to that of strains of serotype 1.0.3, while exceeding them in virulence, in sufficiently high proportion (7.0% in 2002) was noted. This was indicative of the possibility of the unfavorable development of the epidemic process of pertussis infection.     

Basic patterns in the epidemic process of measles under conditions of massive immunization]

Observations over the measles epidemic process in Leningrad showed that the sporadic morbidity level reached in 1974--4.1 per 100 000 residents; however periodic elevation and decline of morbidity and tis seasonal variations persisted. A rise of morbidity in 1972--1973, and by preliminary data--in 1975, occurred on account of the older age groups. There was revealed no dependence of the disease incidence among the persons vaccinated on the time lapse after their vaccination. Individual batches of live measles vaccine issued in 1963--1969 were not up to the standard, this serving as one of the cases of the occurence of group incidence of the infection in some foci.     

Characteristics of the epidemic process manifested as chronic viral hepatitis

The incidence rates of chronic viral hepatitis in Leningrad over the period of 1962-1984 were studied. The tendency towards a rise in total morbidity because of increased incidence of chronic hepatitis B was shown to appear in recent years. This increase in morbidity was mainly due to its rise among adult males and children, which led to the shift of morbidity to younger age groups. The seasonal rises of morbidity in winter and spring were found to be characteristic of viral hepatitis.     

Changes in the etiologic structure of Sonne shigellosis in its multiyear dynamics

The dynamics of Sonne dysentery morbidity in connection with changes in the structure of S. sonnei circulating among the population of Leningrad for the period of 1959-1984 was studied. Considering such sign as the leading fermentovar, three smaller periods were established in this stretch of time. Changes in the structure of circulating shigellae were accompanied by changes in the intensity and direction of tendencies or decrease in the manifest and asymptomatic forms of infection, as well as in annual morbidity levels and seasonal rises. A slow decrease in morbidity, which started in 1974, occurs in the presence of the predominant circulation of S. sonnei, fermentovar II, among the population; this fermentovar showed greater virulence and immunogenicity than other biovars. One of the decisive moments characterizing the dynamics of the epidemic process of Sonne dysentery is the intensity of the circulation of shigellae in the S-form, and the intensity of the population immunity of the host, linked with this fact, is subject to phasic fluctuations during each annual epidemic cycle.