Spatiotemporal variability of stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) growth response to climate across the Iberian Peninsula

Climate warming and increasing aridity have impacted diverse ecosystems in the Mediterranean region since at least the 1970s. Pinus pinea L. has significant environmental and socio-economic importance for the Iberian Peninsula, so a detailed understanding of its response to climate change is necessary to predict its status under future climatic conditions. However, variability of climate and uncertainties in dendroclimatological approach complicate the understanding of forest growth dynamics. We use an ensemble approach to analyze growth-climate responses of P. pinea trees from five sites along a latitudinal gradient in Spain over time. The growth responses to April-June precipitation totals were stronger in the north than in the south. Since the 1950s, the sensitivity of growth to April-June precipitation increased in the north and decreased in the south. Meteorological drought usually started in May in the southern sites, but in June-July in the northern sites. The water deficit in the southern sites is thus greater and more limiting for tree growth, and this likely accounts for the lower growth sensitivity during these months. Our results indicate that P. pinea has a high degree of plasticity, suggesting the species will withstand changing climatic conditions. However, growth response to drought regimes varies among P. pinea populations, suggesting that different populations have different capacities for acclimation to warmer and drier climate, and this may influence future vegetation composition.     

Differences in climate-growth relationships between two tree species that co-occur in a seasonally dry tropical forest in Northeastern Brazil

Seasonally dry tropical forests are an important global climate regulator and represent one of main drivers of carbon sink dynamics. However, projections of climate change suggest future productivity losses and negative impacts on forest functioning. Understanding the interaction between climate variability and tree growth responses between species with different growth strategies represents a crucial challenge to forecast ecosystem functioning in the future. Here we used tree ring chronology to evaluate changes in growth and climate sensitivity of two tropical tree species that co-occur in a seasonally dry tropical forest in Brazil: Cedrela odorata and Ceiba glaziovii. Using Pearson correlations and linear regressions we explored how growth variability is correlated with local (precipitation, temperature) and global (ocean temperature and El Niño Southern Oscillation - ENSO) climatic factors. Tree growth was closely related with precipitation in C. odorata (r = 0.59) and C. glaziovii (0.24). Differences were found at monthly level, which C. odorata showing greater sensitivity in the beginning of rainy season. The South Atlantic Temperature was positively correlated with C. odorata, while ENSO was negatively correlated. Our results showed a dominant effect of precipitation on tree growth and suggest that are different growth strategies among species, which C. odorata being the most sensitive to drought and C. glaziovii more adapted with parenchyma in trunk. Therefore, C. odorata is probably more vulnerable to the deleterious effects of future climate change than C. glaziovii. Our findings highlight the importance of understanding the climate sensitivity of different seasonally dry tropical forest species, which is critical to predicting carbon dynamics in tropical regions. These also reveal that differences in sensitivity must be considered when prioritizing conservation measures for seasonally dry tropical forests.     

Mixed effects of climate variation on the scots pine forests: Age and species mixture matter

Understanding and unravelling the direct and indirect effects of ongoing and predicted climate change on the vitality and productivity of Scots pine forests is particularly important for Romania and other parts of eastern Europe, where the species represents an essential ecological and economic value. Here, we introduce the first nation-wide network of 34 Scots pine chronologies of basal area increment (BAI), and assess the species’ vulnerability to climate change. Temperatures of the previous autumn, as well as current year spring and summer warmth are found to be most critical for the productivity of Romania’s Scots pine forests. Negative growth anomalies after hot and dry August conditions are most severe in young (<50 years) Scots pine monocultures (>70% dominance) at lower elevations (<1000 m a.s.l.) across western Romania. Our findings emphasise the relevance and timeliness of carefully adapting sylvicultural management strategies to enhance the ecological and economic resilience of Romania’s widespread forest areas under a warmer and drier future climate.     

Responses of radial growth and stable carbon isotopes to climate in the northern Tianshan Mountains

Climate change has profound effects on forest ecosystems. Schrenk spruce (P. schrenkiana) is a natural conifer species endemic to the arid inland areas of Asia. In this study, the relationship between tree-ring parameters of P. schrenkiana and major meteorological factors were analyzed, and the main limiting factors for tree radial growth and stable carbon isotope fractionation were explored. Our results indicate that moisture stress before and during the growing season have an important influence on radial growth of P. schrenkiana, especially, the correlation coefficient between tree-ring width and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) from previous August to current July is as high as −0.622 (n = 51, p < 0.01). Collinearity analysis further supports the conclusion that the limiting factor for the radial growth of P. schrenkiana is moisture. Although the correlation analysis results show that the tree-ring δ¹³C_corr is significantly positively correlated with sunshine duration (SD), additional analysis based on first order difference variables suggests that the climate factor may not be the only limiting factor for the stable carbon isotope fractionation of tree rings in the Sayram Lake Basin. This lays the foundation for the assessment of forest management practices and carbon sink capacity in light of future climate change.     

Differences in tree and shrub growth responses to climate change in a boreal forest in China

Global climate change has led to rising temperatures and drought in boreal forests in Northeast China. In some areas, shrubs and trees coexist in high altitude and high latitude areas, and their differences with global warming may lead to significant changes in vegetation composition and distribution. Therefore, we compared the relationships between climate and growth for the most widely distributed dwarf shrub (Pinus pumila) and the two dominant tree species (Larix gmelinii and Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica) in boreal forests in the Daxing’an Mountains, China. A total of 340 tree-ring cores from 172 trees and 64 discs from shrubs were collected from four sites and compared the responses of shrub and tree growth to climate patterns using dendrochronological methods. The shrub and two tree species responded differently to interannual climate variance. The negative effect of growing season temperature was greater on growth of L.gmelinii and P. sylvestrisvar.mongolica than on P. pumila, and the promoting effect of winter and spring precipitation was greatest on P. pumila. Compared with the two tree species, P. pumila had a higher temperature threshold and grew over a shorter growing season. Our findings suggested that L. gmelinii and P. sylvestrisvar.mongolica are more susceptible to global warming than the shrubs that coexist with them. However, P.pumila should be studied from an individual perspective in the future due to the dwarf morphology of shrubs and their complex microenvironment.     

Responses to climate change in radial growth of Picea schrenkiana along elevations of the eastern Tianshan Mountains,northwest China

Tree growth is largely driven by climate conditions in arid and alpine areas. A strong change in climate from warm-dry to warm-wet has already been observed in northwest China. However, little is known about the impacts of regional climate variability on the radial growth of trees along elevations of the eastern Tianshan Mountains. Consequently, we developed three tree-ring width chronologies of Schrenk spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) ranging in elevation from 2159 to 2552 m above sea level (a.s.l.), which play an important role in the forestry ecosystem, agriculture, and local economy of Central Asia. In our study, the correlation analyses of growth-drought using the monthly standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at different temporal scales demonstrated that drought in growing season was the main factor limiting tree growth, regardless of elevation. The relationships between radial growth of Schrenk spruce and main climate factors were relatively stable by moving correlation function, and the trend of STD chronologies and basal area increment (BAI) also showed a synchronous decline across the three elevations in recent decades. And meanwhile, slight differences in responses to climate change in radial growth along elevations were examined. The drought stress increased as elevations decreased. Radial growth at the higher elevation depended on moisture availability due to high temperature, as indicated by the significant negative correlation with mean temperature in the late growing season of the previous year (August-September, p < 0.001). However, radial growth at the lower elevation were restricted by drought stress due to less precipitation and higher temperatures, as demonstrated by the significant negative correlation with mean temperature but positive with total precipitation in the early growing season of the current year (April-May, p < 0.05). In addition, the decline of radial growth (BAI) at the higher elevation (3.710 cm² yr⁻¹/decade, p < 0.001) was faster than that of the middle elevation (2.344 cm² yr⁻¹/decade, p < 0.001) and the lower elevation (3.005 cm² yr⁻¹/decade, p < 0.001) since 2000, indicating that the trees at higher elevation of a relatively humid environment were more susceptible to the effects of climate change due to their poor adaptability to water deficit. Therefore, the forest ecosystems would be suppressed as a result of increasing drought stress in the future, especially in the high-elevation forests of arid and semi-arid areas.     

Moisture-driven changes in the sensitivity of the radial growth of Picea crassifolia to temperature,northeastern Tibetan Plateau

Precipitation is one of the most important climate factors controlling tree growth, yet it is not fully understood how changes in precipitation affect the relationship between growth and temperature. On the northeastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau, nine tree-ring chronologies of Picea crassifolia were developed along a precipitation gradient from semi-arid (mean annual precipitation, 255 mm) to semi-humid (710 mm). We analyze the growth-climate relationships along this precipitation gradient and assess whether these associations are regulated by local precipitation. From 1960 to 2014, temperature increased significantly while precipitation remained stable at the nine sampling sites. The radial growth of P. crassifolia decreased at the semi-arid sites but increased at the semi-humid sites. Growth-temperature relationships gradually changed from negative to positive along the precipitation gradient (from dry to wet sites), particularly during summer. The moist P. crassifolia sites are also characterized by positive correlations with the Palmer Drought Severity Index. The temporal growth-temperature relationships varied significantly among the different spruce sites over the last five decades. Although temperature remains the main factor controlling the growth of P. crassifolia, local precipitation variability is becoming increasingly important. Our findings indicate that considering species distribution areas supports the analyses of the impact of climate change on tree growth.     

Structural attributes,tree-ring growth and climate sensitivity of Pinus nigra Arn. at high altitude: common patterns of a possible treeline shift in the central Apennines (Italy)

European black pine (Pinus nigra ssp. nigra Arnold) encroachment at increasing elevation has been analyzed at four treeline ecotones of the central Apennines (Italy). The study sites are located along a North-South gradient of 170 km across Marche and Abruzzo regions in Central Italy. The aims of this study were: (i) to detect possible common patterns of structural attributes of black pine regeneration at the treeline ecotone; (ii) to date the seedlings germination and (iii) to assess the climate influence on the pine upward encroachment process also using intra-annual density fluctuations (IADFs) in tree-rings. We sampled 658 encroached black pine trees above the current treeline to the mountain top. All individuals were mapped and their basal stem diameter, total height, annual height increments and other structural attributes measured. One increment core was extracted from stem base of most samples for cambial age determination and detection of intra-annual density fluctuations (IADF). At two sites we also extracted cores at DBH from forest trees to assess climate–growth relationships of black pine. We used multivariate analysis (PCA) to explore the correlation structure of the main tree attributes, regression analysis to relate radial and height increment and dendroclimatic analysis to assess the influence of climate on tree growth and IADF formation.Most black pine trees were located at high altitude and their structural attributes were similar at the four sites where the pine encroachment process started between 30 and 40 years ago featuring similar germination peaks and growth patterns. Black pine is particularly sensitive to maximum temperatures and IADF occurred in mid-late summer with highest frequency peaks between 2003 and 2004. The pine encroachment process, besides the differences of environmental features and land use histories of the four study sites, appears synchronic and spatially diffused. Consistent tree-growth dynamics and the species adaptation to a warming climate are signals envisaging a possible treeline upward shift.     

Possible impacts of climate change on natural vegetation in Saxony (Germany)

Recent climate changes have had distinct impacts on plant development in many parts of the world. Higher air temperatures, mainly since the end of the 1980s, have led to advanced timing of phenological phases and consequently to an extension of the general growing season. For this reason it is interesting to know how plants will respond to future climate change. In this study simple phenological models have been developed to estimate the impact of climate change on the natural vegetation in Saxony. The estimations are based on a regional climate scenario for the state of Saxony. The results indicate that changes in the timing of phenophases could continue in the future. Due to distinct temperature changes in winter and in summer, mainly the spring and summer phases will be advanced. Spring phenophases, such as leafing or flowering, show the strongest trends. Depending on the species, the average timing of these phenophases could be advanced by 3–27 days by 2050. Phenophases in autumn show relatively small changes. Thus, the annual growth period of individual trees will be further extended, mainly because of the shift of spring phases. Frequent droughts in summer and in autumn can compensate for the earlier leafing of trees, because in this case leaf colouring and leaf fall would start some weeks earlier. In such cases, the growing period would not be really extended, but shifted to the beginning of the year.     

Increasing climate sensitivity of beech and pine is not mediated by adaptation and soil characteristics along a precipitation gradient in northeastern Germany

Rising temperature and altered precipitation regimes will lead to severe droughts and concomitant extreme events in the future. Forest ecosystems have shown to be especially prone to climate change. In assessing climate change impacts, many studies focus on high altitude or ecological edge populations where a climate signal is supposedly most pronounced. While these studies represent only a fraction of the forest ecosystems throughout Europe, findings on climate sensitivity of lowland core populations remain comparatively underrepresented.By using tree-ring widths of a large region-wide network of European beech and Scots pine populations along a precipitation gradient in northeastern Germany, we identify main climatic drivers and spatio-temporal patterns in climate sensitivity. Further, we analyze the resistance of tree growth towards drought. Detailed data on soil characteristics was used to interpret climate-growth relationships.Beech was found to be most sensitive to summer drought during early summer at dry sites, whereas pine displayed highest sensitivity for winter temperature at wet sites. The resistance to extreme drought was lower for beech. By splitting the observation period (1964–2017) into an early and late period, we found non-stationary climate-growth relationships for both study species with beech showing an increase in drought sensitivity and pine in winter temperature sensitivity.Overall, beech populations seem to be especially endangered by prospective climate changes, whereas climate-growth relationships of pine seem more ambiguous with a possible trade-off between enhanced photosynthetic activity caused by early photosynthesis in late winter and reduced activity due to summer drought.     

Variation in tree growth sensitivity to moisture across a water-limited forest landscape

Water availability acts as a major constraint on productivity in many sub-humid forest regions. Precipitation can be an important limiting factor for tree growth in such areas, but the strength of the relationship can vary by habitat and species, as well as with tree size and local hydrology. We quantified the influence of past weather conditions on the growth of two conifer species (Pinus contorta and Picea glauca) across a water-limited forest landscape in western Canada. The two species differ in moisture requirements and are segregated across a local elevational gradient, and so we expected them to exhibit different sensitivities to precipitation. We also expected that larger trees and those more distant from creeks would have a stronger response to precipitation. A hierarchical Bayesian model fit to the annual ring widths of 387 trees showed that historical precipitation from 1951 to 2016 had a positive overall effect on radial growth. The magnitude of precipitation effects on radial tree growth varied with creek proximity (a proxy for the soil moisture provided by an elevated water table in the valley bottom) and tree size. Precipitation had a greater positive influence on the growth of larger P. glauca trees, as well as individuals of both species at far and intermediate distances from creeks. Precipitation had a weaker but still positive effect on P. glauca trees growing close to creeks. Tree growth rates may change with the predicted greater inter-annual variability of precipitation under climate change, but the magnitude of these responses appear to vary by species, size, and creek proximity. Overall changes in tree growth are expected to be relatively small as trees are well-adapted to cope with the variation in water availability across a moisture-limited landscape.     

Interannual growth response of Norway spruce to climate along an altitudinal gradient in the Tatra Mountains, Poland

Ring-width chronologies of Picea abies (L.) Karst. from ten sites in the Tatra Mountains, Poland, were developed to explore growth/climate responses in stands along an altitudinal gradient ranging from 839 to 1468 m a.s.l. There were positive relationships between current-year radial growth and mean monthly temperatures in March, April, June and July, but with increasing elevation, the strength of this correlation declined for March–April and increased for June–July temperatures. The mean monthly temperature in October of the previous year positively influenced radial growth of trees at all sites. Lower mean temperatures in January negatively affected growth of trees at the high-elevation sites. Trees at the low-elevation sites responded positively to a warm early spring, whereas trees at the high-elevation sites showed positive growth responses to higher summer temperatures. Growth of trees at the high-elevation sites was better explained by the temperature regime than was growth at the lower-elevation sites. Therefore, it is likely that these sites may be particularly sensitive to potential effects of temperature change.     

Tree-ring patterns and climate response of Mediterranean fir populations in Central Greece

Central Greece is the distribution common area of the endemic fir species Abies cephalonica and Abies borisii-regis. Forests fires and fir decline are some of the problems both species encountered during the past decades, with these problems being exacerbated lately by climate change. The present research investigates tree-ring patterns and climate responses of three fir populations along a latitudinal gradient in Central Greece. All three populations were homogeneous in their dendrometric, silvicultural and site characteristics but were phenotypically different. The analysis of tree-ring widths site chronologies revealed that 59% of their variability interprets common tree-ring patterns whereas another 25% interprets their differences as they appear from a south to north direction. This variability in tree-ring widths is proportional to the variability observed for precipitation, temperature and drought from a south to north direction in this region. The tree-ring to climate relationships revealed that the main climatic factor affecting fir tree-ring width is late spring and summer precipitation to which is positively correlated. Also, tree-ring widths were positively affected by the temperatures of the October and April before the growing season. However, June drought adversely affected tree-ring widths of the northern site while it positively affected them at the beginning of the spring season, especially for the southern site and in September for the northern sites. All dendrochronological statistics, tree-ring patterns and climate-growth relationships show a south to north trend following the climatic and phenotypic (species) variation observed to the same direction for fir populations in Central Greece.     

Dendrochronological potential of four neotropical dry-forest tree species: Climate-growth correlations in northeast Brazil

Tropical dry forests (TDF) are highly important tropical forest ecosystems. Yet, these forests are highly threatened, usually neglected and only poorly studied. Understanding the long-term influences of environmental conditions on tree growth in these forests is crucial to understand the functioning, carbon dynamics and potential responses to future climate change of these forests. Dendrochronology can be used as a tool to provide these insights but has only scantly been applied in (dry) tropical forests. Here we evaluate the dendrochronological potential of four Caatinga neotropical dry forest tree species – Aspidosperma pyrifolium, Ziziphus joazeiro, Tabebuia aurea, and Libidibia ferrea – collected in two locations in northeastern Brazil (Sergipe state). We provide an anatomical characterization of the ring boundaries for the four species and investigate correlations of their growth with local and regional climatic variables. All four species form annual rings and show high inter-correlation (up to 0.806) and sensitivity (up to 0.565). Growth of all species correlated with local precipitation as well as with sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and/or tropical Pacific oceans. We also show teleconnections between growth and the El Niño South Oscillation. The strong dependence of tree on precipitation is worrisome, considering that climate change scenarios forecast increased drought conditions in the Caatinga dry forest. Including more species and expanding dendrochronological studies to more areas would greatly improve our understanding of tree growth and functioning in TDFs. This type of knowledge is essential to assist the conservation, management and restoration of these critical tropical ecosystems.     

Stories hidden in tree rings: A review on the application of stable carbon isotopes to dendrosciences

During the last 25 years, the dendrochronology community has benefited from the application of stable carbon isotopes in tree rings to answer a number of research questions, which has resulted in an exponential burst in the number of publications related to this discipline. Here, we perform a literature review of the most influential topics (scope, methodology, targeted species, and climatic signals) that have shaped the research agenda and its impact on the scholarly output over the recent decades. Based on a total of 550 publications, we observed that: (1) conifers are the most investigated tree functional type, being included in over two-thirds of studies; (2) although being a subject of debate, the material of choice for carbon isotope analyses is still cellulose, for which the extraction procedure has been refined with methodological improvements over the years; (3) a shift in the application of carbon isotopes has occurred from proxies of climatic information for paleoclimatic reconstructions to tools for the understanding of short- and long-term tree functioning; and (4) such shift in research scope is apparently linked to an increasing number of publications showing drought-related signals governing isotope time series in the context of current climate change. Besides, we also assessed the number and outcome of publications analyzing ¹³C-derived intrinsic water-use efficiency (WUE_i) trends within the framework formulated by Saurer et al. (2004). We found that leaf intercellular CO₂ concentration responding proportionally to the increase in atmospheric CO₂ is the most common scenario reported across continents, but with changing importance relative to other scenarios depending on the biome examined. We also detected that climate plays a dominant role over any potential CO₂ fertilization linked to increasing WUE_i. Looking for new and thrilling research avenues, future studies should further examine δ¹³C fluctuations at intra-annual resolution, explore its links to wood characteristics, and disentangle δ¹³C signals of the distinct wood constituents for a better understanding of tree functioning at varying spatiotemporal scales, also benchmarking vegetation models of different complexities.     

Tree growth and climate sensitivity in open and closed forests of the southeastern Tibetan Plateau

The creation of forest openings is a frequently observed phenomenon in many types of forests. On the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, where the average elevation is greater than 4000 m above sea level, differences in tree growth between forest stands with openings and completely closed stands are poorly characterized. Here, we presented a dendrochronological study of Tibetan juniper (Juniperus tibetica Kom.) and Sikkim spruce (Picea spinulosa (Griff.) Beissn.) in an open and a closed stand, near Qamdo of eastern Tibet. We found that the growth of juniper responded to climate in a similar way in the open and closed stands, and was positively correlated with temperature from October to January and with the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) from September to June. In contrast, the growth of spruce responded to climate differently in the open and closed stands: growth was positively correlated with the PDSI from September to May in the open stand, whereas it was positively correlated to November and December temperatures (of the prior year) and current June temperature in the closed stand. Interannual variation in, and standard deviations among, juniper tree ring widths were similar in both stands for the past four centuries, whereas they differed in spruce over the past two centuries, particularly in the 1900s. These results suggest that juniper tree ring growth is less sensitive to stand structure than that of spruce, thus providing more reliable climate signals. The data obtained from our study will help forest managers understand the ecology of juniper and spruce in open and closed stands and are therefore useful for management planning.     

Different climate response of three tree ring proxies of Pinus sylvestris from the Eastern Carpathians,Romania

The aim of this study was to compare the climatic responses of three tree rings proxies: tree ring width (TRW), maximum latewood density (MXD), and blue intensity (BI). For this study, 20 cores of Pinus sylvestris covering the period 1886–2015 were extracted from living non-damaged trees from the Eastern Carpathian Mountains (Romania). Each chronology was compared to monthly and daily climate data. All tree ring proxies had a stronger correlation with the daily climate data compared to monthly data. The highest correlation coefficient was obtained between the MXD chronology and daily maximum temperature over the period beginning with the end of July and ending in the middle of September (r = 0.64). The optimal intervals for the temperature signature were 01 Aug – 24 Sept for the MXD chronology, 05 Aug – 25 Aug for the BI chronology, and both 16 Nov of the previous year – 16 March of the current year and 15 Apr – 05 May for the TRW chronology. The results from our study indicate that MXD can be used as a proxy indicator for summer maximum temperature, while TRW can be used as a proxy indicator for just March maximum temperature. The weak and unstable relationship between BI and maximum temperature indicates that BI is not a good proxy indicator for climate reconstructions over the analysed region.     

Ring widths of Rhododendron shrubs reveal a persistent winter warming in the central Himalaya

Himalayan Mountains provide unique opportunities for the extension of shrub-ring based dendroclimatology beyond the upper tree limit. However, little is known about limiting climate factors of shrub growth under harsh environmental conditions. We established a new ring-width chronology of a Himalayan shrub rhododendron (Rhododendron campanulatum D. Don) at the upper Krummholz treeline in the Mt. Gaurishankar massif, central Himalaya, Nepal. Bootstrapped correlation analysis showed positive relationships between radial growth and temperatures of all months from previous November to current October. Correlations were the highest with winter (December-February) minimum temperature (r = 0.781, p < 0.001), indicating that radial growth of R. campanulatum is strongly sensitive to winter minimum temperature. The linear regression model explained 61 % of the actual winter minimum temperature variance during the calibration period 1960–2013. Periods of low and high minimum winter temperatures in the central Himalaya were consistent with cool and warm episodes found by other regional winter temperature reconstructions from the Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau. Spatial correlation analysis with land surface temperatures revealed the spatial representativeness of our reconstruction for a larger geographical territory over the Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau. Furthermore, winter temperature in the central Himalaya is teleconnected with the December-February India-Burma trough. The persistent increasing winter temperature in recent decades in the central Himalaya coincides with continental-scale warming. Alpine vegetation in humid regions of the Himalayas may benefit from winter warming via an earlier start and extension of the growing season, as long as moisture availability is sufficient.     

Population differentiation in climate sensitivity of resin duct formation during growth resumption in Pinus pinaster

To counteract the effects of herbivores and pathogens, conifers have developed a sophisticated resin-based defensive system. Since defences are costly, trees must continuously accommodate defensive investment throughout plastic responses to environmental stimuli. However, the extent of such responses can differ at the intra-specific level (i.e. genetic variation in plasticity). Here we examined whether and to what extent year-to-year climate fluctuations, an important source of environmental heterogeneity during the trees' life, drive plasticity in defensive allocation of a widespread pine species. Specifically, we quantified interannual variation in resin duct production along a 31-year-period in 174 Pinus pinaster trees of nine range-wide populations grown in two common gardens in Central Spain. We aimed to explore (i) patterns of interannual variation (i.e., temporal plasticity) in resin duct production among populations and sites, (ii) whether such patterns are linked to plastic responses to interannual variation in climate conditions (i.e., climatic plasticity), and (iii) whether plastic responses to climate differ among populations (i.e., genetic variation in plasticity) and sites. We found large interannual plasticity in resin duct production (22.8 % of total variance), with temporal patterns differing among sites and populations. Climate conditions during the early growth period significantly affected the annual differentiation of resin ducts. Particularly, April precipitation had a positive overall effect on resin duct production. Inversely, warmer conditions in April had a negative effect but only in certain populations, which demonstrates genetic variation in climate sensitivity of resin duct formation. Despite significant effects of certain climate variables on annual resin duct production, climate only accounted for a small proportion of the total interannual variation (up to 3.8 % of interannual variation explained by climate factors). This suggests that alternative factors such as trade-offs with growth and temporal variation in biotic and non-climatic abiotic conditions likely contribute to explain interannual fluctuations in defensive investment.     

气候变暖对长白山主要树种的潜在影响

应用LINKAGES模型对长白山自然保护区内主要树种在各斑块类型中对气候变化的潜在响应进行了模拟,模拟时选择了目前和未来变暖2种气候条件,对于目前气候状态,模型使用目前气象参数;而对于未来变暖气候,则按温度增加5℃,降水无明显变化作为模拟假设,温度的增加假定各月都相同,即各月均增加5度,模拟结果表明,对于高山岳桦林,气温变暖后岳桦依然扮演重要角色,但落叶松,云极,冷杉等目前这一林带的伴生树种,在气温上升后,其生物量均有较大辐度的增加,部分占据目前岳桦的位置,即目前下部的云冷杉林带有上移的趋势;对于亚高山云冷杉林,其优势种云杉和冷杉在气温变暖后,生物量有较大幅度的增加,落叶松虽有增加的趋势但幅度较小,即云杉和冷杉在未来气温变暖后依然是这一林带的优势种,但生长会加快,阔叶红松林的主要建群种在气温升高后,其生物量只有较小的增加,其它主要伴生种的生物量随气温上升的增加趋势非常相似,表明阔叶红松林在未来气候变暖情况下仍将维持目前的结构状态。