Strand symmetry of mutation rates in theβ-globin region

Summary It has been suggested that there may be inequalities in the types of substitution on the two DNA strands (in particular, in the frequencies of transversions from R to Y and from Y to R) due to a higher error rate on the lagging than the leading strand during replication. Reexamination of 11 kb of the -globin region sequenced in six primates fails to confirm this suggestion. Examination of the 73-kb -globin region sequenced in humans shows that the frequency of pyrimidines in different parts of this region is more variable than expected in a random sequence, but the pattern is more consistent with nonrandomness generated by DNA turnover mechanisms than with strand asymmetry due to a higher error rate on the lagging strand.     

Assessing 23 Y-STR loci mutation rates in Chinese Han father–son pairs from southwestern China

Molecular Biology Reports - In this study, we have analyzed 23 Y-chromosomal short tandem repeats (Y-STRs) (DYS576, DYS389I, DYS389II, DYS448, DYS19, DYS391, DYS481, DYS549, DYS533, DYS438, DYS437,...     

Improved inference of mutation rates: I. An integral representation for the Luria-Delbrück distribution

The estimation of mutation rates is ordinarily performed using results based on the Luria-Delbrück distribution. There are certain difficulties associated with the use of this distribution in practice, some of which we address in this paper (others in the companion paper, Oprea and Kepler, Theor. Popul. Biol., 2001). The distribution is difficult to compute exactly, especially for large values of the random variable. To overcome this problem, we derive an integral representation of the Luria-Delbrück distribution that can be computed easily for large culture sizes. In addition, we introduce the usual assumption of very small probability of having a large proportion of mutants only after the generating function has been computed. Thus, we obtain information on the moments for the more general case. We examine the asymptotic behavior of this system. We find a scaling or "standardization" technique that reduces the family of distributions parameterized by three parameters (mutation rate, initial cell number, and final cell number) to a single distribution with no parameters, valid so long as the product of the mutation rate and the final culture is sufficiently large. We provide a pair of techniques for computing confidence intervals for the mutation rate. In the second paper of this series, we use the distribution derived here to find approximate distributions for the case where the cell cycle time is not well-described as an exponential random variable as is implicitly assumed by Luria-Delbrück distribution.     

The stationary distribution of a sample from the Wright–Fisher diffusion model with general small mutation rates

Journal of Mathematical Biology - The stationary distribution of a sample taken from a Wright–Fisher diffusion with general small mutation rates is found using a coalescent approach. The...     

Improved inference of mutation rates: II. Generalization of the Luria-Delbrück distribution for realistic cell-cycle time distributions

In the first paper of this series (Kepler and Oprea, Theor. Popul. Biol. 2001) we found a continuum approximation of the Luria-Delbrück distribution in terms of a scaled variable related to the proportion of mutants in the culture. Here we show that the Luria-Delbrück distribution is inaccurate when realistic division processes are being considered due to the non-Markovian character of the cell cycle. We derive the expectation of the proportion of mutants in the culture for arbitrary cell-cycle time distributions. We then introduce a two-parameter generalization of the continuum Luria-Delbrück distribution for two of the more commonly used cell-cycle time distributions: gamma and shifted exponential. We obtain the generalized distribution by defining a map from the actual parameters to "effective" parameters. The effective mutation rate is obtained analytically, while the effective population size is obtained by fitting simulation data. Our simulations show that the second parameter depend mostly on the coefficient of variation of the cell-cycle time distribution.     

Are per-incident rape-pregnancy rates higher than per-incident consensual pregnancy rates?

Is a given instance of rape more likely to result in pregnancy than a given instance of consensual sex? This paper undertakes a review and critique of the literature on rape-pregnancy. Next, it presents our own estimation, from U.S. government data, of pregnancy rates for reproductive age victims of penile-vaginal rape. Using data on birth control usage from the Statistical Abstract of the United States, we then form an estimate of rapepregnancy rates adjusted for the substantial number of women in our sample who would likely have been protected by oral contraception or an IUD. Our analysis suggests that per-incident rape-pregnancy rates exceed per-incident consensual pregnancy rates by a sizable margin, even before adjusting for the use of relevant forms of birth control. Possible explanations for this phenomenon are discussed, as are its implications to ongoing debates over the ultimate causes of rape.     

Independent methods for evolutionary genetic dating provide insights into Y-chromosomal STR mutation rates confirming data from direct father–son transmissions

Five datasets consisting of samples jointly typed for Y-chromosomal Unique Event Polymorphism (UEP) and simple tandem repeat (STR) markers were re-examined with independent methods for dating the different UEP-defined lineages. We report on the results obtained with an original program which performs comparative dating (BARCODE) in comparison with coalescent analyses performed with BATWING under various prior conditions. For the first time these are equalized across datasets. We also report on the results concerning STR mutability as obtained with both methods. The dating results for the entire series of sub-haplogroups are highly correlated. Within coalescent analyses, dating-estimates under a wide range of priors tend to converge. As to STR mutation rates the main findings are: (1) large variations among loci within the same dataset with both methods, also when the same prior was used for all loci; (2) figures in most cases above 1×10⁻³ and often above 2×10⁻³; (3) a few loci that mutate differently across studies. These results closely match those obtained from direct observation of father–son transmissions. Overall, this work supports the use of genetic dating procedures that take into account the complexity of the phenomenon, with a repertoire of priors tailored on the particular dataset.     

Are rates of species diversification correlated with rates of morphological evolution?

Some major evolutionary theories predict a relationship between rates of proliferation of new species (species diversification) and rates of morphological divergence between them. However, this relationship has not been rigorously tested using phylogeny-based approaches. Here, we test this relationship with morphological and phylogenetic data from 190 species of plethodontid salamanders. Surprisingly, we find that rates of species diversification and morphological evolution are not significantly correlated, such that rapid diversification can occur with little morphological change, and vice versa. We also find that most clades have undergone remarkably similar patterns of morphological evolution (despite extensive sympatry) and that those relatively novel phenotypes are not associated with rapid diversification. Finally, we find a strong relationship between rates of size and shape evolution, which has not been previously tested.     

Band reporting rates of waterfowl: does individual heterogeneity bias estimated survival rates?

In capture–recapture studies, the estimation accuracy of demographic parameters is essential to the efficacy of management of hunted animal populations. Dead recovery models based upon the reporting of rings or bands are often used for estimating survival of waterfowl and other harvested species. However, distance from the ringing site or condition of the bird may introduce substantial individual heterogeneity in the conditional band reporting rates (r), which could cause bias in estimated survival rates (S) or suggest nonexistent individual heterogeneity in S. To explore these hypotheses, we ran two sets of simulations (n = 1000) in MARK using Seber''s dead recovery model, allowing time variation on both S and r. This included a series of heterogeneity models, allowing substantial variation on logit(r), and control models with no heterogeneity. We conducted simulations using two different values of S: S = 0.60, which would be typical of dabbling ducks such as mallards (Anas platyrhynchos), and S = 0.80, which would be more typical of sea ducks or geese. We chose a mean reporting rate on the logit scale of −1.9459 with SD = 1.5 for the heterogeneity models (producing a back-transformed mean of 0.196 with SD = 0.196, median = 0.125) and a constant reporting rate for the control models of 0.196. Within these sets of simulations, estimation models where σ_S = 0 and σ_S > 0 (σ_S is SD of individual survival rates on the logit scale) were incorporated to investigate whether real heterogeneity in r would induce apparent individual heterogeneity in S. Models where σ_S = 0 were selected approximately 91% of the time over models where σ_S > 0. Simulation results showed < 0.05% relative bias in estimating survival rates except for models estimating σ_S > 0 when true S = 0.8, where relative bias was a modest 0.5%. These results indicate that considerable variation in reporting rates does not cause major bias in estimated survival rates of waterfowl, further highlighting the robust nature of dead recovery models that are being used for the management of harvested species.     

ND4 mutation in transitional cell carcinoma: Does mitochondrial mutation occur before tumorigenesis?

To investigate how mitochondrial mutation occurs in cancers, we analyzed ND4 mutation in 53 transitional cell carcinomas (TCCs) of the upper urinary tract and the normal counterpart (perirenal soft tissue). Three methods, i.e., DNA sequencing, restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP), and denaturing high-performance liquid chromatography (DHPLC), were employed because of their different sensitive of detecting mutation. The results of sequencing and RFLP showed that ND4 mutations were only found in 24.5% (13/53) of tumor. However, 11 of these mutations could also be identified in the normal tissue by DHPLC, indicating that most mitochondrial mutations identified in tumors preexist as minor components, which are too low in quantity to be detected by less sensitive methods such as DNA sequencing. The result suggests that mtDNA mutation occurs before tumorigenesis and become apparent in cancer cells.     

What's driving false discovery rates?

The "Paris Guidelines" have begun the process of standardizing reporting for proteomics. New bioinformatics tools have improved the process for estimating error rates of peptide identifications. This perspective seeks to consider these advances in the context of proteomics' short history. As increasing numbers of proteomics papers come from biologists rather than technologists, developing consensus standards for estimating error will be increasingly necessary. Standardizing this assessment should be welcomed as a reflection of the growing impact of proteomic technologies.     

Commodity specific rates of temporal discounting: Does metabolic function underlie differences in rates of discounting?

Discounting rates vary as a function of commodity type. Previous studies suggest five potential characteristics of the commodity that could explain these differences: type of reinforcer (primary or secondary), if the commodity is perishable, if the commodity is satiable, if the commodity can be directly consumed, and immediacy of consumption. This paper suggests that these characteristics may best be viewed as related to a more fundamental characteristic: metabolic processing. In order to explore the possibility that metabolic processing underlies changes in discount rates, the difference in discounting between food, money, music CDs, DVDs, and books are compared. Music CDs, DVDs, and books share many characteristics in common with food, including gaining value through a physiological process, but are not directly metabolized. Results are consistent with previous findings of commodity specific discount rates and show that metabolic function plays a role in determining discount rates with those commodities that are metabolized being discounted at a higher rate. These results are interpreted as evidence that the discount rate for different commodities lies along a continuum with those that serve an exchange function rather than a direct function (money) anchoring the low end and those that serve a direct metabolic function capping the high end (food, alcohol, drugs).     

Exploring the common molecular basis for the universal DNA mutation bias: revival of Löwdin mutation model

Recently, numerous genome analyses revealed the existence of a universal G:C→A:T mutation bias in bacteria, fungi, plants and animals. To explore the molecular basis for this mutation bias, we examined the three well-known DNA mutation models, i.e., oxidative damage model, UV-radiation damage model and CpG hypermutation model. It was revealed that these models cannot provide a sufficient explanation to the universal mutation bias. Therefore, we resorted to a DNA mutation model proposed by L?wdin 40 years ago, which was based on inter-base double proton transfers (DPT). Since DPT is a fundamental and spontaneous chemical process and occurs much more frequently within GC pairs than AT pairs, L?wdin model offers a common explanation for the observed universal mutation bias and thus has broad biological implications.     

Can extinction rates be estimated without fossils?

There is considerable interest in the possibility of using molecular phylogenies to estimate extinction rates. The present study aims at assessing the statistical performance of the birth-death model fitting approach to estimate speciation and extinction rates by comparison to the approach considering fossil data. A simulation-based approach was used. The diversification of a large number of lineages was simulated under a wide range of speciation and extinction rate values. The estimators obtained with fossils performed better than those without fossils. In the absence of fossils (e.g. with a molecular phylogeny), the speciation rate was correctly estimated in a wide range of situations; the bias of the corresponding estimator was close to zero for the largest trees. However, this estimator was substantially biased when the simulated extinction rate was high. On the other hand the estimator of extinction rate was biased in a wide range of situations. Surprisingly, this bias was lesser with medium-sized trees. Some recommendations for interpreting results from a diversification analysis are given.     

Why have child pedestrian death rates fallen?

Pedestrian injuries are a leading cause of childhood mortality and disability. Over the past two decades in Britain child pedestrian death rates have fallen despite large increases in traffic volume. In this paper Roberts examines the likely reasons for this decline. He argues that neither prevention programmes nor improvements in medical care are a plausible explanation and that the decline is most likely the result of a substantial reduction in children''s traffic exposure. He believes, however, that restricting children''s traffic exposure exacerbates socioeconomic differentials in childhood mortality and denies children their right to mobility. Roberts is convinced that one answer is for British transport policy to be aimed at providing mobility equitably rather than struggling to meet the ever increasing demands of car travel.     

Hereditary retinoblastoma: delayed mutation or host resistance?

Evidence is presented from the literature that there is little need to postulate delayed mutation for the retinoblastoma locus. Both penetrance and expressivity in the gene carrier can be defined as a variable determined by genetic and environmental factors, not by a Poisson distribution of tumors formed. Of individuals who received a new mutation from a healthy parent, approximately 13% do not manifest retinoblastoma, and the heritability of the host resistance is estimated at about 90%. The nonhereditary form of retinoblastoma may occur in the most susceptible group of the population.