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The purpose of this study was to examine the accuracy of tests that may be used by distance runners to estimate the lactate threshold. Competitive distance runners/triathletes (N = 27) performed a criterion test that directly measured (blood lactate of 4.0 mmol.L(-1)) the lactate threshold. Subjects then performed 4 tests (VDOT, 3,200-m time trial, 30-minute time trial, Conconi) that estimate the threshold. Mean estimations of the running velocity at the lactate threshold from the 30-minute time trial (standard error of the estimate, SEE, 0.21 m.s(-1)) and VDOT (SEE 0.41 m.s(-1)) methods did not differ (P>0.05) from the criterion. In terms of heart rate, the 30-minute time trial estimation did not significantly differ (SEE 8.0 b.min(-1)) from criterion. These findings suggest that the 30-minute time-trial method should be considered by coaches and distance runners/triathletes as a method for estimating both the running velocity and heart rate at the lactate threshold.  相似文献   

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Four computational methods for estimating mean fecundity are compared by Monte Carlo simulation. One of the four methods is the simple expedient of estimating fecundity at sample mean length, a method known to be downwardly biassed. The Monte Carlo study shows that the other three methods reduce bias and provide worthwhile efficiency gains. For small samples, the most efficient of the four methods is a 'bias adjustment', proposed here, that uses easily calculated sample statistics. For large samples, a numerical integration method has the highest efficiency. The fourth method, a 'direct summation' procedure which can be done easily in many statistical or spreadsheet programs, performs well for all sample sizes.  相似文献   

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S W Lagakos 《Biometrics》1979,35(1):139-156
This paper concerns general right censoring and some of the difficulties it creates in the analysis of survival data. A general formulation of censored-survival processes leads to the partition of all models into those based on noninformative and informative censoring. Nearly all statistical methods for censored data assume that censoring is noninformative. Topics considered within this class include: the relationships between three models for noninformative censoring, the use of likelihood methods for inferences about the distribution of survival time, the effects of censoring on the K-sample problem, and the effects of censoring on model testing. Also considered are several topics which relate to informative censoring models. These include: problems of nonidentifiability that can be encountered when attempting to assess a set of data for the type of censoring in effect, the consequences of falsely assuming that censoring is noninformative, and classes of informative censoring models.  相似文献   

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Assessing local population size is one of the most common tasks in biodiversity monitoring. Population size estimates are not only important for conservation management and population threat assessment; they also enter many other analyses in landscape ecology and conservation. It is therefore concerning that methods for estimating plant population sizes are not standardized. We surveyed the literature and found that the most commonly used methods are counting either all or only flowering individuals on a site, as well as counting individuals in random plots or plots on transects. Sometimes, these methods are combined in the same study, without assurance that they produce comparable results. We therefore conducted a field study, in which we obtained population size estimates from all four methods for six different calcareous grassland species at 18 study sites. Our results demonstrate not only substantial differences between overall count rates generated by the different methods, but methods that surveyed the whole population also systematically yielded lower counts when species were less visible and when the area was larger, suggesting that these methods suffer from biases that could distort species and site comparisons. We conclude that estimates from different methods should not be mixed, and that plot or transect based surveys have likely smaller biases for large areas or poorly visible individuals, and are therefore preferable.  相似文献   

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A H Racine-Poon  D G Hoel 《Biometrics》1984,40(4):1151-1158
A nonparametric estimator for the survival function, accommodating censored survival times and uncertainty in the assignment of cause of death, is proposed. For example, in a carcinogenicity experiment the data on each animal may consist of an observed age-at-death and some indication of the probability that the tumor type under study caused death. An estimator of the net survival function, for time-to-death due to the cause of interest, is developed. Under certain assumptions, the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. Monte Carlo simulations were used to compare this estimator with the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Forcing the cause of death to be specified with certainty, as required by the Kaplan-Meier estimator, may result in substantial biases.  相似文献   

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Jiang H  Fine JP  Chappell R 《Biometrics》2005,61(2):567-575
Studies of chronic life-threatening diseases often involve both mortality and morbidity. In observational studies, the data may also be subject to administrative left truncation and right censoring. Because mortality and morbidity may be correlated and mortality may censor morbidity, the Lynden-Bell estimator for left-truncated and right-censored data may be biased for estimating the marginal survival function of the non-terminal event. We propose a semiparametric estimator for this survival function based on a joint model for the two time-to-event variables, which utilizes the gamma frailty specification in the region of the observable data. First, we develop a novel estimator for the gamma frailty parameter under left truncation. Using this estimator, we then derive a closed-form estimator for the marginal distribution of the non-terminal event. The large sample properties of the estimators are established via asymptotic theory. The methodology performs well with moderate sample sizes, both in simulations and in an analysis of data from a diabetes registry.  相似文献   

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A comparison of some methods for estimating mixed normal distributions   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
FRYER  J. G.; ROBERTSON  C. A. 《Biometrika》1972,59(3):639-648
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A number of methods have been published for barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) anther culture and have gained acceptance in different laboratories. The breeder's requirement is for a compromise method that gives good, repeatable results for a wide range of genotypes. Yet the routine production of spontaneously doubled haploid green regenerants remains difficult. Despite attempts to formulate a widely-applicable anther culture method, the 4 main published methods, compared here with one modified procedure, are quite distinct for a number of important characteristics. The methods interacted strongly with the 3 genotypes, and response ranged from zero to 28 green regenerants per 100 anthers plated. The current methods still require often substantial modification to suit local situations in order that the technology may be exploited by barley breeders.Abbreviations BAP benzylaminopurine - DH doubled haploid - FV final volume - IAA indoleacetic acid - IBA indole-3-butyric acid - MS Murashige & Skoog - PABA para-aminobenzoic acid  相似文献   

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Estimation of the ratio of the rates of transitions to transversions (TI:TV ratio) for a collection of aligned nucleotide sequences is important because it provides insight into the process of molecular evolution and because such estimates may be used to further model the evolutionary process for the sequences under consideration. In this paper, we compare several methods for estimating the TI:TV ratio, including the pairwise method [TREE 11 (1996) 158], a modification of the pairwise method due to Ina [J. Mol. Evol. 46 (1998) 521], a method based on parsimony (TREE 11 (1996) 158), a method due to Purvis and Bromham [J. Mol. Evol. 44 (1997) 112] that uses phylogenetically independent pairs of sequences, the maximum likelihood method, and a Bayesian method [Bioinformatics 17 (2001) 754]. We examine the performance of each estimator under several conditions using both simulated and real data.  相似文献   

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Erythrocyte survival studies were conducted on eight, normal, healthy, 1-year-old male specific-pathogen-free cats using both chromium-51 and iron-59 simultaneously. The chromium-51 procedure gave a half-life value of 11.1 +/- 0.9 days. This was considerably lower than would be expected on the basis of the experimentally determined iron-59 erythrocyte survival time of 51.2 +/- 14.9 days. The results of this study indicated that there was considerable loss of the chromium-51 label in the cat other than that from senescence alone. An analysis of the chromium-51 disappearance curve indicated that there were two exponential disappearance rates for the chromium-51 label and, in the absence of cell death, approximately 67% of the label was lost with a rate constant of 0.02 per day and 33% was lost with a rate constant of 0.1 per day. An equation is presented which models the loss of chromium-51 label which could be used to calculate erythrocyte survival from a chromium-51 disappearance curve. Blood volume measurements, hemograms, bone marrow differential results, and iron kinetic values also were determined and the results presented. While a reasonable approximation of the erythrocyte life span could be made by correcting the chromium-51 values for losses other than senescence, the iron-59 procedure would be the preferred method in cats.  相似文献   

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M C Wu  K R Bailey 《Biometrics》1989,45(3):939-955
A general linear regression model for the usual least squares estimated rate of change (slope) on censoring time is described as an approximation to account for informative right censoring in estimating and comparing changes of a continuous variable in two groups. Two noniterative estimators for the group slope means, the linear minimum variance unbiased (LMVUB) estimator and the linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimator, are proposed under this conditional model. In realistic situations, we illustrate that the LMVUB and LMMSE estimators, derived under a simple linear regression model, are quite competitive compared to the pseudo maximum likelihood estimator (PMLE) derived by modeling the censoring probabilities. Generalizations to polynomial response curves and general linear models are also described.  相似文献   

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A comparison of four methods for the determination of total proteins is presented from the following points of view: - sensitivity; - specificity; - amount of work, chemicals, time and equipment needed for the performance of the determination. The following tests have been examined; Tombs' (absorbancy at 210 nm); Waddell's (difference in absorbancy between 215 and 225 nm); Warburg's (absorbancy at 280 nm); Lowry's (absorbancy at 500 nm after the reaction with phenol reagent). The authors recommend Tombs' method for its outstanding sensitivity, specificity and simplicity as the best of the four.  相似文献   

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