Incidence of epidemic parotitis in different countries]

The authors analyzed the incidence of epidemic parotitis in various countries in 1960--1969 on the basis of the data published by the WHO. It can be supposed that there was no significant difference in the morbidity in various countries and that discrepancy in the official data of individual countries was apparently caused by the errors in recording. In the majority of the countries morbidity curve was fluctuating in character with a 4--5-year periodicity. In the countries of the northern hemisphere the greatest number of cases occurred in spring, and in the southern--in autumn. Monthly distribution of cases during the years with a high and low morbidity level displayed no significant changes.     

Morbidity and prophylaxis of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the Republic of Bashkortostan

The brief retrospective analysis of morbidity, epizootological data and preventive measures with respect to haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) during the whole period of its registration on the territory of the Republic of Bashkortostan along with the structure of HFRS morbidity during epidemic seasons of 1998 and 1999 is presented. The main causes of decreased HFRS morbidity in 1998, its rise in 1999 as well as prognosis for the year 2000 were detected. The level of HFRS morbidity among the population was found to be directly related to the number of rodents and their infection rate. The basic strategy of epidemic control interventions has been proposed.     

Advisability of carrying out mass prevention of infectious hepatitis with gamma globulin

In Vilnius 15,183 pupils in 20 schools were observed for two years; in October, 1966, gamma globulin prophylaxis of infectious hepatitis was carried out among all the pupils of these schools. 17.062 pupils in 27 schools, who received no gamma globulin, were used for control. At the end of the first year of observation morbidity rate among the immunized children was found to be considerably lower than among the school children of the control group. During the second year of observation morbidity rate among the children of the "old" immunized group increased 3.5-fold and did not significantly differ from morbidity rate among the children of the control group. The latter increased 1.8-fold. The authors have come to the conclusion that the effect of gamma globulin prophylaxis on the epidemic process depends on the method of such prophylaxis. The method of prophylaxis by introducing gamma globulin immunization with universal coverage, as the use of the former method is not followed by an increase in total morbidity (i.e. among both immunized and nonimmunized children) during the second year after immunization, which is observed after prophylaxis by universal immunization.     

Epidemiological analysis of acute respiratory disease (ARD) and characteristics of the influenza epidemic in Bohemia during the season 1986/1987

The authors analyze the findings of epidemiological and virological surveillance of ARD in Bohemia during the season 1986/1987. In all, 57.5% of the Czech population was affected by acute respiratory disease (ARD). There were 5,950,832 cases reported, 124,444 complications (2.1% of the overall morbidity rate) and 5,374 deaths due to influenza, bronchitis, pneumonia and chronic pulmonary affection. The influenza epidemic commenced during the 48-th calendary week (CW) and lasted 5 weeks till the 52-nd CW. The epidemic was due to an influenza virus strain of the subtype A(H1N1) antigenically related to the drift variant A (Singapore) 6/86. Within an extremely short period of the epidemic, 1,094,865 influenza cases were reported and 22,313 cases of complications. 10.7% of the CSR population were affected during the epidemic in whose etiology noninfluenza respiratory viruses were significantly implicated, especially adenoviruses (41.7%) and the RS virus (26.9%). There was no excessive mortality in the course of the epidemic. The authors discuss the atypical nature of this particular influenza epidemic and the etiological role of respiratory viruses.     

Taking care of a diarrhea epidemic in an urban hospital in Bangladesh: Appraisal of putative causes,presentation, management,and deaths averted

BackgroundIn April 2018, a diarrhea epidemic broke out in Dhaka city and adjoining areas, which continued through May. The Dhaka Hospital of the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), a dedicated diarrheal disease hospital, had a large upsurge in patient visits during the epidemic. An enhanced understanding of the epidemiology of this epidemic may help health-related professionals better prepare for such events in the future. This study examined the microbial etiology and non-pathogen factors associated with diarrhea during the epidemic. The study also evaluated the patients’ presentation and clinical course and estimated the potential mortality averted by treating patients during the epidemic.Methodology/Principal findingsData from the patients who were treated at Dhaka Hospital during the diarrhea epidemic between April 2 and May 12, 2018 and were enrolled into the Diarrheal Disease Surveillance System (DDSS) at icddr,b were compared with the DDSS-enrolled patients treated during the seasonally-matched periods in the flanking years using logistic regression. icddr,b Dhaka Hospital treated 29,212 diarrheal patients during the 2018 epidemic period (and 25,950 patients per comparison period on average). Vibrio cholerae was the most common pathogen isolated (7,946 patients; 27%) and associated with diarrhea during the epidemic (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.5, 95% CI: 1.1–2.0). The interaction of Vibrio cholerae with ETEC (AOR 2.7, 95% CI: 1.3–5.9) or Campylobacter (AOR 2.4, 95% CI: 1.1–5.1) was associated with further increased odds of diarrhea during the epidemic. In children under five years old, rotavirus was the most common pathogen (2,029 patients; 26%). Those who were adolescents (AOR 2.0, 95% CI: 1.3–3.1) and young adults (AOR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4–2.5) compared to children younger than five years, resided within a 10 km radius of Dhaka Hospital (AOR 1.6, 95% CI: 1.1–2.2) compared to those living outside 20 km, borrowed money or relied on aid to pay for the transport to the hospital (AOR 1.6, 95% CI: 1.2–2.0), used tap water (AOR 1.8, 95% CI: 1.4–2.4) for drinking compared to tubewell water, and disposed of the solid waste directly outside the house (AOR 4.0, 95% CI: 2.7–5.9) were more likely to present with diarrhea during the epidemic. During the epidemic, patients were more likely to present with severe dehydration (odds ratio [OR] 1.6, 95% CI: 1.3–2.0) and require inpatient admission (OR 2.5, 95% CI: 1.9–3.3), intravenous rehydration (OR 1.7, 95% CI: 1.4–2.1), and antibiotics (OR 2.2, 95% CI: 1.8–2.7). The in-hospital case fatality rate was low (13 patients; 0.04%), and the hospital averted between 12,523 and 17,265 deaths during the epidemic.Conclusions/SignificanceVibrio cholerae played the primary role in the 2018 diarrhea epidemic in Dhaka. Campylobacter, enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli, and rotavirus had a secondary role. Adolescents and adults, residents of the metropolitan area, and those who were relatively poor and lacked safe water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) practices comprised the most vulnerable groups. Despite the increased disease severity during the epidemic, the case fatality rate was less than 0.1%. icddr,b Dhaka Hospital saved as many as 17,265 lives during the epidemic.     

郑州市惠济区2005—2012年NGU疫情流行病学分析

目的通过分析郑州市惠济区2005—2012年非淋菌性尿道炎(NGU)的流行特征,提出惠济区今后对NGU的防治措施。方法采用描述流行病学方法,对惠济区NGU疫情的三间分布及传播途径进行描述。结果2005—2012年惠济区共报告NGU患者450例,疫情呈上升趋势,发病率由3.75/10万上升到30.00/10万。女性发病率明显高于男性,男女之比为1∶8,25~34岁为高发年龄段,占总病例数的80.44%。职业分布以商业服务、农民工、企业工人为主要发病人群,结论惠济区NGU疫情日趋严重,应加强对重点人群的监测和管理,强化各项干预措施,降低发病率。     

Incidence of meningococcal infection in the RSFSR]

The authors present characteristics of meningococcus infection epidemic process in case of sporadic cases and under epidemic conditions (1965--1976). A scheme of epidemiological analysis suggested by the authors permitted to differentiate and to record the incidence of various clinical forms of meningococcus infection, to present data on the age, seasonal characteristics, focality, etc. Comparison of intensive morbidity indices for 10 years, both at the individual administration territories and in the Republic as a whole demonstrated morbidity level of 1.5--2.0 to be one of prognostic signs of the beginning epidemic. The main features differentiating the sporadic and epidemic morbidity periods were revealed. The presence of group diseases, a greater percentage of children among those who fell ill, and marked signs of seasonality and territorial difference characterized the period of rise caused by meningococcus of serological group A.     

Total immunization of children against influenza decreases morbidity in a number of diseases among elderly persons during influenza epidemic

Immunization of children aged 3-6 years in kindergartens and school children aged 7-17 years against influenza with inactivated influenza vaccine was carried out in two districts of the Moscow region. The comparison of morbidity in influenza-like diseases among the immunized children with that among nonimmunized children in control districts revealed that the effectiveness of immunization was 60.9% in kindergartens and 68.8% in schools. The analysis of morbidity in a number of diseases among 158,451 elderly persons not immunized against influenza demonstrated that, in comparison with the control districts, in those districts where mass immunization of children was carried out morbidity in influenza-like diseases among elderly persons was 3.4 times lower and, out of other 10 diseases under study, morbidity in 8 diseases was 1.5-2.6 times lower. As indicated by the data obtained in this study, total anti-influenza immunization of children in organized groups not only essentially decreased influenza morbidity among children, but also greatly decreased morbidity in influenza and a number of diseases, appearing as complications of influenza infection, among nonimmunized elderly persons during influenza epidemic.     

Multiyear and seasonal hepatitis A morbidity in different population age groups in certain areas

At the areas with high activity of hepatitis A (HA) epidemic process the duration of epidemic cycles was shown to differ, the intervals between the peaks of morbidity increasing in older age groups. The beginning of seasonal rises exceeding the average annual HA morbidity level in different age groups was found to depend on the activity of the epidemic process. At the areas with the highest activity of the epidemic process children aged 1-2 years were the first to be affected by the seasonal rise of HA. Stable direct correlation between HA morbidity levels at the beginning of seasonal rises and some markers indicative of unfavorable sanitary conditions (the size of the fly population, the purity of water samples deviating from the requirement of the Government Standard) during the preceding year was demonstrated.     

Infection of Atlantic salmon, Salmo salar L., by Gyrodactylus salaris, Malmberg 1957, in the River Lakselva, Misvær in northern Norway

Gyrodacrylus salaris was most probably introduced to the River Lakselva in 1975 through stocking of Atlantic salmon from an infected hatchery. The parasite population grew rapidly, and the parasite spread throughout the entire watercourse during the summer of 1976. This epidemic situation led to mortality among the young Atlantic salmon, and the density of salmon parr was heavily reduced from 1976 to 1977. The density of salmon parr has remained close to zero since then, while there are no apparent trends toward decrease or increase in the density of brown trout. In spite of the reduced density of young salmon, a new epidemic has developed each year among the few young 0+ and 1+ Atlantic salmon present in the river. Results from successive sampling during the summer of 1987, 1988 and 1989 indicate that most of the presmolt salmon are attacked during their first summer or autumn of life. The infection develops into an epidemic during the first autumn, winter or the next summer. The build-up of the parasite burden on the fish leads in turn to mortality. Norwegian Atlantic salmon probably have no resistance against G. salaris, since the parasite has recently been introduced to Norwegian rivers.     

Patterns in the epidemic process of scarlet fever in various territories differing in respect of climate and geography]

Observations carried out in Ashkhabad and Petrozavodsk permitted to reveal specific features of the epidemic process in scarlet fever at the territories differing in climato-geographic respect. This was expressed in a different level of morbidity, differences in the character of periodicity, seasonality and age structure of morbidity. Along with this there were noted differences in the spread of the carrier state of hemolytic streptococcus and of their biological properties, and also in the process of immunity formation in the population. The data obtained suggest that one of the causes of epidemiological differences in scarlet fever detected in the southern and the northern districts were peculiarities of the immunological reactivity of the population and a difference in the carrier state of the highly toxigenic streptococci.     

The epidemic spread of the influenza A and B viruses in the USSR in 1985-1986

The data on the spread of influenza A and B in the autumn and winter of 1985-1986 are given. Three epidemics caused by all presently circulating viruses, B, A (H3N2) and A (H1N1), were registered in the USSR. Of these, the greatest one was the epidemic of influenza B; morbidity rate among the adult population during this epidemic was at the level with the morbidity rate characteristic of the epidemics registered at the period of 1962-1972, and morbidity rate among children, especially school children, was even higher.     

Characteristics of the manifest and latent components of the hepatitis A epidemic process in cities of Russia

Seroepidemiological study of hepatitis A (HA) morbidity was carried out in three Russian cities, with different levels of HA morbidity. The study included the analysis of HA morbidity for 22 years, the determination of antibodies to HA virus (anti-HAV) in 2,958 healthy persons aged 0-12 months to 40 years and older. In one of the cities 7 isolates of HA virus were obtained from unrelated sources and the genotypes of the virus were determined. The study revealed that the frequency of seropositive cases among persons of different ages correlated with the level and prolonged dynamics of HA morbidity. According to the occurrence of anti-HAV, such cities as St. Petersburg, Rostov-on-Don and Yakutsk may be at present classified as territories, moderately endemic in HA. At the same time in the 90 s the epidemic situation in HA was more favorable in Rostov-on-Don than in two other cities. The suggestion was made that a high proportion of seropositive persons among the population of St. Perersburg was linked with an almost twofold rise in HA morbidity in 1993-1995 caused by genotype 1 of the virus. Seroepidemiological studies in HA during the period of a drop in morbidity acquire special importance in the surveillance and control system of this infection.     

Influenza epidemics in the USSR and Czechoslovakia in 1979-1984

In this work materials characterizing the appearance and development of influenza epidemic at the territories of the USSR and the Czech Socialist Republic are presented, the common features and differences of the epidemic process in both countries are recorded. The work shows that in both countries the appearance of this epidemic is caused by the same virus. In most cases the epidemic started earlier and lasted longer in the USSR, but morbidity rate during the epidemic was, on the whole, higher in the Czech Socialist Republic. Similarity in the course of the primary period of the epidemic processes from their appearance to their maximum rise was observed. In both countries the maximum rise of morbidity rate was registered on weeks 3-4 from the beginning of the epidemic.     

Several epidemiologic features of the spread of chickenpox and herpes zoster]

Epidemiological and statistical data of herpes zoster and chickenpox by such indices as morbidity level, periodicity and month-by-month changes in the incidence of these diseases were compared. The study included 2345 herpes zoster and 11116 chickenpox cases in the course of 5 years (1972--1976). In comparison with herpes zoster, the intensity of chickenpox spread among the population was on the average 4.7 times greater. Of the total number of chickenpox cases the percentage of herpes zoster contituted 21.0. Chickenpox morbidity had marked seasonal cyclic nature with the amplitude of seasonal variations of about 8; as to herpes zoster--there was no annual or seasonal cyclicity. Thus, in the development of chickenpox and herpes zoster epidemic process there was revealed a peculiar tendency inherent to each of these infections; no common epidemiological and statistical regularities in the spread intensity, annual periodicity and seasonal cyclicity were detected.     

平顶山市2004—2011年百日咳流行特征分析

目的了解平顶山市百日咳发病流行规律,为有效防控百日咳提供科学依据。方法采用描述流行病学方法分析,对平顶山市法定传染病报告系统和近年对百日咳疫情监测资料进行分析,对百日咳的时间分布、疫苗效果等进行比较。结果自实施计划免疫以后,百日咳发病率和死亡率大幅度下降,年均发病率由20世纪60～70年代的93.08/10万降至目前的1/10万以下;流行范围逐步缩小,春夏为高发季节,主要集中在5～8月份,病例10岁以下儿童共88例,占病例总数的98.88%,主要集中在7岁以下的为57例,占64.05%。城市高于农村,两者发病率差异有统计学意义。女性多于男性。职业以散居、托幼儿童为主,占发病总人数的57.30%;其次为学生,占41.58%。结论防治百日咳应进一步提高和保持高水平的百白破混合制剂常规免疫接种率,控制局部地区的爆发,并加强监测和传染源的管理。     

The definition of the forms of the epidemic process in intestinal infections]

A method for the identification of the forms of the epidemic process in dysentery (annual, seasonal and outbreak forms) has been worked out. The method is based on the calculation of the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity from the data on the period of several years with the use of the formulae of binomial distribution, serving as the mathematical model of alternative random values, such as morbidity. The comparison of actual morbidity for each year of the analyzed period with the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity helps identify the form of the epidemic process.     

An analysis of the dysentery epidemic process in Blagoveshchensk

The retrospective analysis of dysentery morbidity in Blagoveshchensk for the period of 1960-1987 was made. The regularities linking general natural and biological factors triggering the epidemic process with dysentery morbidity among the population are emphasized. The study revealed that under the conditions of Blagoveshchensk dairy products were of major epidemic importance among factors contributing to the transmission of dysentery. Such a factor as flies also had a definite influence on the epidemic process of dysentery. Another risk factor was drinking water which influenced the epidemic process both directly and indirectly through dairy products and, probably, other foodstuffs. Reliable correlation between dysentery morbidity among the population and the quality of dairy products, tap water and the number of flies was established.     

The epidemic process of diphtheria infection in the RSFSR during the introduction of epidemiological surveillance

In this work the characterization of the epidemic process of diphtheria infection on the territory of the RSFSR under the conditions of epidemiological surveillance (1983-1986) is presented. In comparison with the period of 1979-1982, an increase in morbidity rate occurred, which accounts for more complete detection of patients with mild forms of diphtheria, including persons found to be carriers of toxigenic Corynebacterium diphtheriae. Beginning from 1983, the leveling out of seasonal morbidity rises is observed. In the total number of persons affected by this infection the prevalence of adults is noted. Among them, a decrease in the morbidity rate was registered in 1986 (the maximum decrease was observed in age and professional groups of risk), which confirms the effectiveness of measures carried out for the protection of the adult population from diphtheria. Among children, a tendency towards a decrease in morbidity rate was noted in all age groups. The existing system of epidemiological surveillance on the territory of the RSFSR is capable of stabilizing diphtheria morbidity on a sporadic level and minimizing the number of fatal outcomes. The intensification of the epidemic process in some areas of the RSFSR is due to shortcomings in the realization of different measures of epidemiological surveillance.