Weekly pattern of stroke onset in an Asian country: a nationwide population-based study

This study used a nationwide population-based dataset to explore the variation among the days of week of stroke onset within population subgroups defined by age, sex, and stroke type. We used ambulatory care data from the 2002 Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, focusing on 42,779 emergency room (ER) visits for stroke that year. All analyses were stratified by sex, age (<60 and > or =60 yrs), and type of stroke. Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) was performed to investigate the relationship between daily number of stroke events and holidays and days of the week after adjusting for the effects of seasonality and trends. One-way ANOVA revealed significant differences in stroke ER admissions according to day of week according to age <60 (p<0.01), age > or =60 (p<0.001), male (p<0.001), female (p<0.001), ischemic stroke (IS) (p<0.001), and unspecified stroke (UNSP) (p<0.001). However, the analysis by type-subarachnoid hemorrhage and intracerebral hemorrhage-did not show significant relationships between daily emergency room stroke admissions, holidays, or day of the week. The ARIMA regression analyses also showed that Mondays had the highest rate of emergency room admissions for stroke regardless of sex, age, or IS and UNSP types of stroke, after adjusting for seasonality and trends. We conclude that stroke occurs more frequently on Mondays than on the other days of the week, which might be associated with short-term changes in lifestyle or due to the sudden return of stress on the first working day of the week, and on holidays.     

Sleep apnea and risk of pneumonia: a nationwide population-based study

Background:

Evidence evaluating the risk of pneumonia in patients with obstructive sleep apnea is limited and mostly focuses on patients who receive continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) therapy or on pediatric patients. We aimed to explore the risk of incident pneumonia among adults with sleep apnea, either with or without the need of CPAP therapy.

Methods:

From Jan. 1, 2000, we identified adult patients with sleep apnea from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. A control cohort without sleep apnea, matched for age, sex and comorbidities, was selected for comparison. The 2 cohorts were followed until Dec. 31, 2010, and observed for occurrence of pneumonia.

Results:

Of the 34 100 patients (6816 study patients and 27 284 matched controls), 2757 (8.09%) had pneumonia during a mean follow-up period of 4.50 years, including 638 (9.36%) study patients and 2119 (7.77%) controls. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a higher incidence of pneumonia among patients with sleep apnea (log rank test, p < 0.001). After multivariate adjustment, patients with sleep apnea experienced a 1.20-fold (95% confidence interval 1.10–1.31) increase in incident pneumonia. The risk was even higher among patients who received CPAP therapy.

Interpretation:

Sleep apnea appeared to confer a higher risk for future pneumonia, possibly in a severity-dependent manner.Obstructive sleep apnea is a prevalent disorder that affects about 20% of Americans and probably a higher percentage of Asian people.^1,2 This disease is characterized by intermittent collapse of the upper airway during sleep that leads to intermittent hypoxemia and sleep fragmentation.³ Its close linkage to a variety of cardiovascular diseases and neurocognitive dysfunction has been demonstrated in the recent decade.^4,5Patients with obstructive sleep apnea were reported to have a higher risk of pulmonary aspiration of pharyngeal contents during sleep.⁶ Moreover, immune perturbations secondary to disrupted sleep may render them susceptible to invasion of pathogens.⁷ Both could potentiate the emergence of pneumonia. However, there are few studies addressing the relation between sleep apnea and pneumonia, and most of the studies involve small samples, are cross-sectional in design or lack information associated with development of pneumonia.^8–11 We conducted this nationwide population-based study to determine whether sleep apnea predisposed the development of pneumonia.     

Gout and the risk of dementia: a nationwide population-based cohort study

IntroductionUric acid was proposed to have anti-oxidant property and possible neuroprotective effects. We examined the association between gout and dementia with population database.MethodsThe study utilized the claims data from the nationwide representative sample of Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). We ascertained patients with gout and dementia covering vascular and non-vascular (including Alzheimer’s) subtypes using International Classification of Diseases Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD9-CM) codes. A control group matched on sex, age, and index date of gout patients was randomly sampled with a ratio of 1:4 from the same database for comparison.ResultsFrom 2002 to 2008, 28,769 gout patients who were older than 50 years old were identified, and 114,742 control patients was matched into the study. During follow-up, 7,119 patients developed dementia (1,214 with gout, and 5,905 without gout). After adjusting for age, sex, and relevant comorbidities, a Cox regression analysis showed that gout patients had a lower risk of developing non-vascular dementia (hazard ratio (HR): 0.77; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.72 - 0.83; p < 0.001) and vascular dementia (HR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.65 - 0.88; p < 0.001).ConclusionsPatients with gout have a lower risk of developing dementia. This phenomenon exists for both non-vascular and vascular types of dementia.     

Predictors for pathologically confirmed aortitis after resection of the ascending aorta: A 12-year Danish nationwide population-based cross-sectional study

Introduction  

Assessing the prevalence of, and predictors for, pathologically-confirmed inflammation of the aorta in Denmark, using a nationwide population-based study design.     

Gender-specific associations of marine n-3 fatty acids and fish consumption with 10-year incidence of stroke

Background

There is some evidence that the association of fish and marine fatty acids with stroke risk differs between men and women. We investigated the gender-specific associations of habitual intake of the marine fatty acids eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) plus docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) and fish on incident stroke in a population-based study in the Netherlands.

Methods

We prospectively followed 20,069 men and women, aged 20–65 years, without cardiovascular diseases at baseline. Habitual diet was assessed with a validated 178-item food frequency questionnaire. Incidence of stroke was assessed through linkage with mortality and morbidity registers. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI).

Results

During 8–13 years of follow-up, 221 strokes occurred. In women, an inverse dose-response relation (P-trend = 0.02) was observed between EPA-DHA intake and incident stroke, with an HR of 0.49 (95% CI: 0.27–0.91) in the top quartile of EPA-DHA (median 225 mg/d) as compared to the bottom quartile (median 36 mg/d). In men, the HR (95%CI) for the top quartile of EPA-DHA intake was 0.87 (0.51–1.48) (P-trend = 0.36). Similar results were observed for fish consumption and stroke incidence.

Conclusion

A higher EPA-DHA and fish intake is related to a lower stroke risk in women, while for men an inverse association could not be demonstrated.     

Prevalence and incidence of hypertension from 1995 to 2005: a population-based study

Background

Researchers have predicted that there will be a relative increase of 24% in the prevalence of hypertension in developed countries from 2000 to 2025. Hypertension is a leading risk factor for death, stroke, cardiovascular disease and renal disease. Thus, accurate estimates of the prevalence of hypertension in a population have important implications for public policy. We sought to assess whether the estimated increase in the prevalence of hypertension has been underestimated.

Methods

We performed a population-based cohort study using linked administrative data for adults aged 20 years and older in Ontario, Canada''s most populous province with more than 12 million residents. Using a validated case-definition algorithm for hypertension, we examined trends in prevalence from 1995 to 2005 and in incidence from 1997 to 2004.

Results

The number of adults with hypertension more than doubled from 1995 to 2005. The age-and sex-adjusted prevalence increased from 153.1 per 1000 adults in 1995 to 244.8 per 1000 in 2005, which was a relative increase of 60.0% (p < 0.001). The age-and sex-adjusted incidence of hypertension increased from 25.5 per 1000 adults in 1997 to 32.1 per 1000 in 2004, which was a relative increase of 25.7% (p < 0.001).

Interpretation

Our findings indicate that the rise in hypertension prevalence will likely far exceed the predicted prevalence for 2025. Public health strategies to prevent and manage hypertension and its sequelae are urgently needed.Hypertension is an important risk factor for death, stroke and cardiovascular disease and a major cause of end-stage renal disease. Kearney and colleagues¹ estimated that the prevalence of hypertension in 2000 was 26% of the adult population globally and that in 2025 the prevalence would increase by 24% in developed countries and 80% in developing countries. Results of a recent population-based study performed in Canada indicated that the prevalence of diabetes mellitus increased substantially from 1995 to 2005, and that the 2005 prevalence had already exceeded the World Health Organization''s projected global rate for 2030.² This rapid rise in diabetes prevalence has been attributed to an unprecedented increase in obesity and lifestyle changes in developed countries.^3,4 Obesity and sedentary lifestyles are also major risk factors for hypertension.⁵ Therefore, the prevalence of hypertension is also likely rising at a faster rate than predicted.Prior population estimates for the prevalence of hypertension in Canada have been based largely on physical-measures surveys⁶ and patient self-report surveys.⁷ Although these methods are costly and time-consuming, they are not subject to bias associated with changes in physician practice patterns and diagnosis. The last physical-measures survey for hypertension in Canada was conducted between 1986 and 1992.⁶ Although the next physical-measures survey is expected to begin in 2008, these surveys are limited by their inability to follow patients or assess trends over time because they are conducted only at a single point and involve a relatively small sample of patients. In Canada, self-report surveys are conducted every 2 to 3 years; however, similar to physical-measures surveys, they are limited in their scope and ability to follow patients over time. In addition, it is possible that participants may under-report hypertension.⁸ Thus, population estimates based on self-report surveys may underestimate the true prevalence of hypertension.⁹Prompted by the substantial underestimation of the projection for diabetes prevalence, we sought to determine whether projections for hypertension have also been underestimated. We examined trends in the prevalence and incidence of hypertension in Canada from 1995 to 2005.     

Characterization of bimodal chronotype and its association with sleep: A population-based study

The circadian system coordinates internal events in a daily schedule to make sure that the body systems are synchronized to environmental time and internal cues. One important behavioral aspect of the circadian system is the chronotype. It is usually assessed through subjective questionnaires, being the Horne-Ostberg Morningness–Eveningness Questionnaire (MEQ) one of the most used. It classifies individuals into three major categories: morning, evening, and intermediate types. Recently, it has been hypothesized the existence of a fourth chronotype, the bimodal type, through an algorithm derived from the MEQ responses. Bimodals answer as morning-types in some questions, and as evening-types in others, resulting in an intermediate total score. To better characterize this phenotype, the present study aimed to detect and characterize the frequency of the bimodal chronotype in the EPISONO, a large population-based cohort, as well as to verify the association between bimodality and sleep parameters and genetic variation in the PER3 gene. Of the 1,042 individuals who participated of the EPISONO, 857 had MEQ filled correctly. We found that 16% of our sample were bimodal types. We observed that bimodal individuals were significantly younger and had lower body mass index. The association between PER3 VNTR genotype and gender with bimodal chronotype was not significant. However, we found an association between bimodality and Epworth Sleepiness Scale (EES) and apnea-hypopnea index (AHI). We did not find a statistically significant difference between bimodals and intermediate non-bimodals for the studied variables. Lastly, it was observed that the most significant predictors for bimodal chronotype were female gender, AHI, and EES. In conclusion, the present work provides more evidence that the bimodal type might have to be considered when classifying chronotype and its association with young age and sleepiness may be due to the influence of social and environmental factors.     

Onset of flowering and climate variability in an alpine landscape: a 10-year study from Swedish Lapland

Long-term studies on phenology are rarely reported from arctic and alpine areas, but are essential for understanding biotic and abiotic controls on flowering. We monitored first flowering day (FFD) for 144 species in a subarctic-alpine area in Swedish Lapland over a period of 10 yr (1992-2001). Temperature and global radiation were monitored continuously, and snowcover duration was observed. Thawing degree-days and snowcover duration (exposure) were the dominant environmental controls on phenology. We introduce a lability index (LI) to describe the interannual variability in FFD among species. The temporal sequence of species is very constant among years, although a few species are more labile. The species were also classified into the catagories "Functional type," "Raunki?r's life form," and "S?rensen's wintering floral type." The last two reflected the environmental data best, and together with "Exposure" they were combined into a phenology index (PI). The index was subsequently used in a triangular ordination together with FFD. The ordination illustrates whether species flower earlier or later than expected from their preconditions. We hypothesize that species having a delayed flowering respond more readily to global warming than species having an already optimized flowering.     

Raw and processed fruit and vegetable consumption and 10-year coronary heart disease incidence in a population-based cohort study in the Netherlands

Background

Prospective cohort studies have shown that high fruit and vegetable consumption is inversely associated with coronary heart disease (CHD). Whether food processing affects this association is unknown. Therefore, we quantified the association of fruit and vegetable consumption with 10-year CHD incidence in a population-based study in the Netherlands and the effect of processing on these associations.

Methods

Prospective population-based cohort study, including 20,069 men and women aged 20 to 65 years, enrolled between 1993 and 1997 and free of cardiovascular disease at baseline. Diet was assessed using a validated 178-item food frequency questionnaire. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated for CHD incidence using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

During a mean follow-up time of 10.5y, 245 incident cases of CHD were documented, which comprised 211 non-fatal acute myocardial infarctions and 34 fatal CHD events. The risk of CHD incidence was 34% lower for participants with a high intake of total fruit and vegetables (>475 g/d; HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.45–0.99) compared to participants with a low total fruit and vegetable consumption (≤241 g/d). Intake of raw fruit and vegetables (>262 g/d vs ≤92 g/d; HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.47–1.04) as well as processed fruit and vegetables (>234 g/d vs ≤113 g/d; HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.54–1.16) were inversely related with CHD incidence.

Conclusion

Higher consumption of fruit and vegetables, whether consumed raw or processed, may protect against CHD incidence.     

Mortality and incidence of new primary cancers in men with prostate cancer: A Danish population-based cohort study

Background: Prostate cancer (PC) survivors may have an increased risk of new primary cancers (NPCs) due to shared risk factors or PC-directed treatments. Methods: Using Danish registries, we conducted a cohort study of men with (n = 30,220) and without PC (n = 151,100) (comparators), matched 1:5 on age and PC diagnosis/index date. We computed incidence rates of NPCs per 10,000 person years (PY) and associated 95% confidence intervals (CI), and used Cox proportional hazards regression to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and 95%CI, adjusting for comorbidities. In order to obviate any impact of shorter survival among prostate cancer patients, we censored comparator patients when the matched prostate cancer patient died or was censored. Results: Follow-up spanned 113,487 PY and 462,982 PY in the PC and comparison cohorts, respectively. 65% of the cohorts were aged >70 years at diagnosis. Among PC patients, 51% had distant/unspecified stage, and 63% had surgery as primary treatment. The PC cohort had lower incidence of NPCs than their comparators. The adjusted HR of NPC among men with PC versus the comparators was 0.84 (95%CI = 0.80, 0.88). Lowest HRs were among older men, those with distant stage, and were particularly evident for cancers of the brain, liver, pancreas, respiratory, upper gastrointestinal, and urinary systems. Conclusions: We find no evidence of an increased risk of NPCs among men with PC. The deficit of NPCs among men with PC may be a true effect but is more likely due to lower levels of risk factors (e.g., smoking) in PC patients versus comparators, clinical consideration of cancers at new organs as metastases rather than new primaries, or under-recording/under-reporting of NPCs among PC patients.     

Calanoid–cyclopoid interactions: evidence from an 11-year field study in a eutrophic lake

1. The interactions between calanoid and cyclopoid copepods were examined in an 11-year field study of a eutrophic lake (Heiligensee, Berlin, Germany).
2. A diminishing ratio of calanoids to cyclopoids was observed. The responses, however, were species specific. While two cyclopoid species responded with increased populations ( Cyclops vicinus, Thermocyclops oithonoides ), one species exhibited marked declines ( C. kolensis ). Other species extended the duration of their pelagic phase ( Mesocyclops leuckarti, Diacyclops bicuspidatus, T. oithonoides, C. vicinus ), leading to higher population overlaps. Eudiaptomus graciloides and E. gracilis, which used to be present throughout the year, were more frequently absent.
3. These changes coincided with a series of mild winters during which prey availability (algae and rotifers) was high.
4. Enhanced prey availability, in conjunction with a flexible diapausing strategy, are hypothesized to underly the increased success of C. vicinus . Predatory losses due to early occurrence and enhanced abundances of C. vicinus, rather than competition for the same food resources, are hypothesized to be responsible for the declines of C. kolensis and Eudiaptomus .
5. Summer species tended to develop higher abundances early in the season, which led to enhanced seasonal means during spring. These changes cannot be explained by the interaction between calanoids and cyclopoids alone, but were probably a result of changes in fish predation.     

Socioeconomic status and non-melanoma skin cancer: A nationwide cohort study of incidence and survival in Denmark

Background: The two main types of non-melanoma skin cancer differ with the pattern of exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UVR): basal cell carcinoma (BCC) appears to be more closely related to intermittent solar exposure and sunburn, while the risk for squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) is a result of lifetime cumulated exposure to UVR. As these exposures may differ by social position, we investigated its role in the risk for and survival after BCC and SCC diagnosed in Denmark in 1994–2006 with follow-up through 2006. Methods: The analyses were based on 52,166 cases of BCC and 5033 cases of SCC in a cohort of 3.7 million people born between 1925 and 1976 and residing in Denmark in 1992–2006. Information on cancer cases and socioeconomic indicators were obtained from population-based registries. We used log-linear Poisson regression models to estimate incidence rate ratios and cumulative relative survival to estimate survival up to 10 years after the first incident cases of BCC and SCC. Results: High socioeconomic status, measured by both education and disposable income, was strongly associated with a higher risk for BCC, whereas there was no association between SCC and educational level and only a weak association with income. In general, relative survival after BCC was better than after SCC; the pattern of survival was not affected by socioeconomic indicators. Conclusions: The observed pattern of social status and risk for non-melanoma skin cancer differed substantially for the two cancer types, supporting the hypothesis that they may have different aetiologies.     

Asthma incidence,remission, relapse and persistence: a population-based study in southern Taiwan

Background

In western countries, late-onset asthmatics are more severe than early-onset asthmatics in clinic-based studies. However, whether asthma occurrence rates were higher in late ages than in younger ages was inconclusive. This information is essentially lacking in Asian population.

Methods

The participants were schoolchildren’s parents recruited from 94 elementary and middle schools in 2004. A cross-sectional self-administered questionnaire was sent through the children to their parents to survey their respiratory health. We investigated typical asthma symptoms occurring at different ages and subsequent remission or relapse after the first asthma event. Person-years of the participants from birth to the time of survey were used as the denominator.

Results

Among the 25,377 participants consisting of 949,807 total person-years, 860 reported ever having asthma. Highest incidences occurred at ages 0–12 and 36–40 years. The incidence of asthma was higher in males before puberty, and higher in females after puberty, with overall incidences 1.00 and 0.77 per 1000 person-years for females and males, respectively. Participants with late-onset asthma (onset age >12 years) comprised a large portion of adult current asthmatics. More than 52% of persistence or relapse was observed in early-onset asthma (onset age ≤12 years). The younger birth cohort had a more prominent later peak of asthma incidence than the older one.

Conclusions

In Asian population, asthma occurrence showed a U-shape age distribution with a prominent second peak in the thirties. A high proportion of early-onset asthma relapsed and most of late-onset asthma persisted or relapsed in adulthood.     

Interleukin and growth factor levels in subretinal fluid in rhegmatogenous retinal detachment: a case-control study

Background

Rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD) is a major cause of visual loss in developed countries. Proliferative vitreoretinopathy (PVR), an eye-sight threatening complication of RRD surgery, resembles a wound-healing process with inflammation, scar tissue formation, and membrane contraction. This study was performed to determine the possible involvement of a wide range of cytokines in the future development of PVR, and to identify predictors of PVR and visual outcome.

Methodology

A multiplex immunoassay was used for the simultaneous detection of 29 different cytokines in subretinal fluid samples from patients with primary RRD. Of 306 samples that were collected and stored in our BioBank between 2001 and 2008, 21 samples from patients who developed postoperative PVR were compared with 54 age-, sex-, and storage-time–matched RRD control patients who had an uncomplicated postoperative course during the overall follow-up period.

Findings

Levels of IL-1α, IL-2, IL-3, IL-6, VEGF, and ICAM-1 were significantly higher (P<0.05) in patients who developed postoperative PVR after reattachment surgery than in patients with an uncomplicated postoperative course, whereas levels of IL-1β, IL-4, IL-5, IL-7, IL-9, IL-10, IL-11, IL-12p70, IL-13, IL-15, IL-17, IL-18, IL-21, IL-22, IL-23, IL-25, IL-33, TNF-α, IFN-γ, IGF-1, bFGF, HGF, and NGF were not (P>0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that IL-3 (P = 0.001), IL-6 (P = 0.047), ICAM-1 (P = 0.010), and preoperative visual acuity (P = 0.026) were independent predictors of postoperative PVR. Linear regression analysis showed that ICAM-1 (P = 0.005) and preoperative logMAR visual acuity (P = 0.001) were predictive of final visual outcome after primary RRD repair.

Conclusions/Significance

Our findings indicate that after RRD onset an exaggerated response of certain cytokines may predispose to PVR. Sampling at a time close to the onset of primary RRD may thus provide clues as to which biological events may initiate the development of PVR and, most importantly, may provide a means for therapeutic control.     

A chick model of retinal detachment: cone rich and novel

Background

Development of retinal detachment models in small animals can be difficult and expensive. Here we create and characterize a novel, cone-rich retinal detachment (RD) model in the chick.

Methodology/Principal Findings

Retinal detachments were created in chicks between postnatal days 7 and 21 by subretinal injections of either saline (SA) or hyaluronic acid (HA). Injections were performed through a dilated pupil with observation via surgical microscope, using the fellow eye as a control. Immunohistochemical analyses were performed at days 1, 3, 7, 10 and 14 after retinal detachment to evaluate the cellular responses of photoreceptors, Müller glia, microglia and nonastrocytic inner retinal glia (NIRG). Cell proliferation was detected with bromodeoxyuridine (BrdU)-incorporation and by the expression of proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA). Cell death was detected with terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase dUTP nick end labeling (TUNEL). As in mammalian models of RD, there is shortening of photoreceptor outer segments and mis-trafficking of photoreceptor opsins in areas of RD. Photoreceptor cell death was maximal 1 day after RD, but continued until 14 days after RD. Müller glia up-regulated glial fibriliary acidic protein (GFAP), proliferated, showed interkinetic nuclear migration, and migrated to the subretinal space in areas of detachment. Microglia became reactive; they up-regulated CD45, acquired amoeboid morphology, and migrated toward outer retina in areas of RD. Reactive NIRG cells accumulated in detached areas.

Conclusions/Significance

Subretinal injections of SA or HA in the chick eye successfully produced retinal detachments and cellular responses similar to those seen in standard mammalian models. Given the relatively large eye size, and considering the low cost, the chick model of RD offers advantages for high-throughput studies.     

Medium-term outcomes of 78,808 patients after heart valve surgery in a middle-income country: a nationwide population-based study

Background

Heart valve surgery outcomes are unknown in middle-income countries and thus cannot be used in health system decision making processes. This study estimated in-hospital mortality and medium and long-term survival.

Methods

This was a retrospective study of 78,806 patients who underwent heart valve surgery between 2001 and 2007 in Brazil. Two national databases were used, the Hospital Information System and the Mortality Information System. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank tests were performed. Maximum and median follow-up was 7.7 and 2.8 years, respectively (0.002–7.707).

Results

Valve replacement accounted for 69.1% of procedures performed. Mitral stenosis, the most common valve injury, represented 38.9% of the total. In 94.7% of mitral stenosis patients, aetiology was rheumatic heart disease. In-hospital mortality was 7.6% and was higher for women, for patients who had undergone concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and for the elderly. Overall survival was 69.9% at the end of follow-up. Survival was worst among elderly, male and concomitant CABG patients (P<0.001).

Conclusions

Rheumatic heart disease is still a major public health problem in Brazil. In-hospital mortality and global survival rates of patients who have undergone heart valve surgery were less satisfactory than those reported in high-income countries. The findings of this study can contribute to guiding decision making processes in middle-income countries similar to Brazil and others concerned with improving the quality of care.

     

Numerical study of the effect of head and eye movement on progression of retinal detachment

Rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RD) is a sight threatening condition. In this type of RD a break in the retina allows retrohyaloid fluid to enter the subretinal space. The prognosis concerning the patients’ visual acuity is better if the RD has not progressed to the macula. The patient is given a posturing advice of bed rest and semi-supine positioning (with the RD as low as possible) to allow the utilisation of gravity and immobilisation in preventing progression of the RD. It is, however, unknown what external loads on the eye contribute the most to the progression of a RD. The goal of this exploratory study is to elucidate the role of eye movements caused by head movements and saccades on the progression of an RD. A finite element model is produced and evaluated in this study. The model is based on geometric and material properties reported in the literature. The model shows that a mild head movement and a severe eye movement produce similar traction loads on the retina. This implies that head movements—and not eye movements—are able to cause loads that can trigger and progress an RD. These preliminary results suggest that head movements have a larger effect on the progression of an RD than saccadic eye movements. This study is the first to use numerical analysis to investigate the development and progression of RD and shows promise for future work.