The adaptive significance of trunk inclination on slopes: a commentary

A recent study explored the adaptive significance of trunk inclination for trees growing on steep slopes. The authors used an optimality argument to predict how much a tree should respond to sidelight. Their calculations of the costs of leaning are flawed, because: (i) leaf mass has an allometric relationship with total volume, rather than being a fixed proportion of wood mass; (ii) the cost of support wood tissue is mainly a growth rate cost, not a maintenance respiration cost; (iii) small trees are sufficiently elastic to need very little support tissue, and thus they have a different risk structure; and (iv) most crown gaps are ephemeral rather than permanent, which also changes the risk equation. The argument I proposed in a previous study, addressing exactly the same question, is that canopy species are under selective pressure to maintain a strong central trunk that will reach the canopy and thus should not respond to sidelight. A reproductive value model is presented to illustrate this evolutionary question. Small, short-lived species or those from habitats with permanent openings (such as river margins) should be responsive. Both my previous data and the data of the other study support my model, but the model in the other study leaves many facts unexplained.     

Cutting edge commentary: two B-1 or not to be one

B-1 cells differ from conventional B-2 cells both phenotypically and functionally. Two seemingly mutually exclusive hypotheses have been proposed to explain the origin of B-1 cells. The lineage hypothesis holds that certain B cell precursors are destined early on to become B-1 cells. The differentiation hypothesis holds that every B cell has the same potential to acquire B-1 characteristics. Reconsideration of previous studies of transgenic and knockout mice, plus recent results identifying differences between splenic and peritoneal B-1 cells, point to unexpected complexity in the pathway leading to B-1 status. A new paradigm is suggested, in which surface Ig signaling is required for B-1 cell production, but in which the signaling threshold and context that lead to B-1 cell development and/or expansion differ for particular B cell precursors. Surface Ig signaling may also produce receptor editing, apoptotic deletion, and tolerance induction; how these different outcomes are determined remains uncertain.     

Challenges in implementing adaptive designs: comments on the viewpoints expressed by regulatory statisticians

This is a discussion of the following three papers appearing in this special issue on adaptive designs: 'FDA's critical path initiative: A perspective on contributions of biostatistics' by Robert T. O'Neill; 'A regulatory view on adaptive/flexible clinical trial design' by H. M. James Hung, Robert T. O'Neill, Sue-Jane Wang and John Lawrence; and 'Confirmatory clinical trials with an adaptive design' by Armin Koch.     

Mass extinction: a commentary

Four neocatastrophist claims about mass extinction are currently being debated; they are that: 1, the late Cretaceous mass extinction was caused by large body impact; 2, as many as five other major extinctions were caused by impact; 3, the timing of extinction events since the Permian is uniformly periodic; and 4, the ages of impact craters on Earth are also periodic and in phase with the extinctions. Although strongly interconnected the four claims are independent in the sense that none depends on the others. Evidence for a link between impact and extinction is strong but still needs more confirmation through bed-by-bed and laboratory studies. An important area for future research is the question of whether extinction is a continuous process, with the rate increasing at times of mass extinctions, or whether it is episodic at all scales. If the latter is shown to be generally true, then species are at risk of extinction only rarely during their existence and catastrophism, in the sense of isolated events of extreme stress, is indicated. This is line of reasoning can only be considered an hypothesis for testing. In a larger context, paleontologists may benefit from a research strategy that looks to known Solar System and Galactic phenomena for predictions about environmental effects on earth. The recent success in the recognition of Milankovitch Cycles in the late Pleistocene record is an example of the potential of this research area.     

Flagellar oscillation: a commentary on proposed mechanisms

Eukaryotic flagella and cilia have a remarkably uniform internal ‘engine’ known as the ‘9+2’ axoneme. With few exceptions, the function of cilia and flagella is to beat rhythmically and set up relative motion between themselves and the liquid that surrounds them. The molecular basis of axonemal movement is understood in considerable detail, with the exception of the mechanism that provides its rhythmical or oscillatory quality. Some kind of repetitive ‘switching’ event is assumed to occur; there are several proposals regarding the nature of the ‘switch’ and how it might operate. Herein I first summarise all the factors known to influence the rate of the oscillation (the beating frequency). Many of these factors exert their effect through modulating the mean sliding velocity between the nine doublet microtubules of the axoneme, this velocity being the determinant of bend growth rate and bend propagation rate. Then I explain six proposed mechanisms for flagellar oscillation and review the evidence on which they are based. Finally, I attempt to derive an economical synthesis, drawing for preference on experimental research that has been minimally disruptive of the intricate structure of the axoneme. The ‘provisional synthesis' is that flagellar oscillation emerges from an effect of passive sliding direction on the dynein arms. Sliding in one direction facilitates force‐generating cycles and dynein‐to‐dynein synchronisation along a doublet; sliding in the other direction is inhibitory. The direction of the initial passive sliding normally oscillates because it is controlled hydrodynamically through the alternating direction of the propulsive thrust. However, in the absence of such regulation, there can be a perpetual, mechanical self‐triggering through a reversal of sliding direction due to the recoil of elastic structures that deform as a response to the prior active sliding. This provisional synthesis may be a useful basis for further examination of the problem.     

To be or not to be faithful: flexible fidelity to foraging trails in the leaf‐cutting ant Acromyrmex lobicornis

1. Ants using trails to forage have to select between two alternative routes at bifurcations, using two, potentially conflicting, sources of information to make their decision: individual experience to return to a previous successful foraging site (i.e. fidelity) and ant traffic. In the field, we investigated which of these two types of information individuals of the leaf‐cutting ant Acromyrmex lobicornis Emery use to decide which foraging route to take. 2. We measured the proportion of foraging ants returning to each trail of bifurcations the following day, and for 4–7 consecutive days. We then experimentally increased ant traffic on one trail of the bifurcation by adding additional food sources to examine the effect of increased ant traffic on the decision that ants make. 3. Binomial tests showed that for 62% of the trails, ant fidelity was relatively more important than ant traffic in deciding which bifurcation to follow, suggesting the importance of previous experience. 4. When information conflict was generated by experimentally increasing ant traffic along the trail with less foraging activity, most ants relied on ant traffic to decide. However, in 33% of these bifurcations, ants were still faithful to their trail. Thus, there is some degree of flexibility in the decisions that A. lobicornis make to access food resources. 5. This flexible fidelity results in individual variation in the response of workers to different levels of ant traffic, and allows the colony to simultaneously exploit both established and recently discovered food patches, aiding efficient food gathering.     

A regulatory view on adaptive/flexible clinical trial design

Recently there is growing interest in use of adaptive or flexible designs for development of pharmaceutical products. Statistical methodology has been greatly advanced in the literature. However, there are still some important issues with the methodology and application. In addition, there are many other challenges with these designs, including efficiency of these designs in the entire development program, trial conduct and logistics, the infrastructure of an adaptive trial, the regulatory evaluation of trial results and trial conduct, etc. Up till now, regulatory experience in these designs is very limited. We share some of the challenges.     

A brief review on software developments for group sequential and adaptive designs

In this paper the currently available software we know for group sequential and adaptive designs is briefly reviewed. Stand-alone packages as well as modules within software packages or programming languages exist. New software developments for adaptive designs enable the user to perform data dependent design adaptations while controlling the Type I error rate.     

Experiments with genitalia: a commentary

There has been a recent burst of studies of the function of genitalia, many of which share several important shortcomings. Given that further studies on this topic are likely (there are probably millions of species showing rapid genital divergence), I discuss the studies critically to promote clear formulation of hypotheses and interpretation of results in the future. I also emphasize some possibly important but neglected variables, including female stimulation, phylogenetic contexts, and the behavior of male genitalia, and outline simple techniques that could improve future studies.     

Invading a mutualistic network: to be or not to be similar

Biological invasion remains a major threat to biodiversity in general and a disruptor to mutualistic interactions in particular. While a number of empirical studies have directly explored the role of invasion in mutualistic pollination networks, a clear picture is yet to emerge and a theoretical model for comprehension still lacking. Here, using an eco‐evolutionary model of bipartite mutualistic networks with trait‐mediated interactions, we explore invader trait, propagule pressure, and network features of recipient community that contribute importantly to the success and impact of an invasion. High level of invasiveness is observed when invader trait differs from those of the community average, and level of interaction generalization equals to that of the community average. Moreover, multiple introductions of invaders with declining propagules enhance invasiveness. Surprisingly, the most successful invader is not always the one having the biggest impact on the recipient community. The network structure of recipient community, such as nestedness and modularity, is not a primary indicator of its invasibility; rather, the invasibility is best correlated with measurements of network stability such as robustness, resilience, and disruptiveness (a measure of evolutionary instability). Our model encompasses more general scenarios than previously studied in predicting invasion success and impact in mutualistic networks, and our results highlight the need for coupling eco‐evolutionary processes to resolve the invasion dilemma.     

Science commentary: Why wine might be less harmful than beer and spirits

Objective: To analyse sick leave in women at risk of primary hyperparathyroidism before its diagnosis. Design: Case-control study nested within a screened cohort of postmenopausal women. Cases were women with hyperparathyroidism without prior knowledge of their disease and no traditional symptoms or complications. Controls were women from the screened population without hyperparathyroidism. Setting: Population based screening within a Swedish community. Subject: 48 case-control pairs of women aged 55-70 years. Main outcome measure: Sick leave during the 5 years before diagnosis. Results: Total duration of sickness benefits was longer in the cases than controls, and this discrepancy included sick leave on full time or half time and for periods of longer than a week. Cases had an increased risk of sick leave more than half of the investigated time compared with controls (odds ratio 12). Doctors’ certificates showed that the overrepresented sick leave in the cases related mainly to cardiovascular diseases. Conclusion: Asymptomatic mild primary hyperparathyroidism in postmenopausal women is accompanied by a previously unrecognised morbidity, which has consequences for clinical management of the disorder and its impact on the health economy.

Key messages

• Primary hyperparathyroidism mainly affects postmenopausal women, many of whom lack classic symptoms and complications of the disorder and are currently considered suitable for conservative follow up
• Postmenopausal women with asymptomatic primary hyperparathyroidism drew more sickness benefit than matched controls during the 5 years before the diagnosis
• Cardiovascular diseases were the main cause of sick leave
• The duration of sick leave was not correlated with age or serum calcium concentration
• Mild undiagnosed hyperparathyroidism in postmenopausal women is linked with previously unrecognised ill health of importance to the clinical and economic impact of the disorder