Carotid plaque rather than intima-media thickness as a predictor of recurrent vascular events in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Background

To investigate the impacts of carotid plaque and intima-media thickness (IMT) on future vascular events (VEs) in the patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Methods

A total of 479 consecutive Korean patients with acute ischemic stroke were divided into 2 groups according to development of VEs; VE group (65.4 ± 10.9 years) vs no VE group (62.8 ± 13.2 years). VEs were defined as the development of recurrent stroke, coronary events, peripheral arterial disease, and death. Clinical, laboratory, and imaging findings were compared between the groups.

Results

During 105.5 ± 29.0 months of follow up, VEs were developed in 142 patients (29.6%). In univariate analysis, VEs were significantly associated with age, gender, diabetes, renal function, lipid levels, left ventricular function, carotid plaque or IMT. In multivariate analysis, the presence of carotid plaque, diabetes, renal function and male gender were independent predictors of future VEs in the patients with ischemic stroke, but carotid IMT was not a predictor of future VEs. Event free survival was significantly lower in patients with carotid plaque than without carotid plaque on Kaplan-Meier analysis (log rank p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The present study demonstrated that diabetes, impaired renal function, male gender, and the presence of carotid plaque rather than IMT were independent predictors of future VEs in Korean patients with acute ischemic stroke. Active medical management and careful monitoring for the development of recurrent VEs are strongly recommended in patients with acute ischemic stroke and carotid plaque.

     

Baseline serum levels of cardiac biomarkers in patients with stable coronary artery disease

Stable coronary artery disease (CAD) can cause repetitive reversible myocardial ischaemia, and it seems to be possible that reversibly injured myocardium releases small amounts of soluble cytoplasmic proteins. Hence, the aim was to evaluate the effect of stable CAD on baseline serum levels of cardiac biomarkers. We studied 68 consecutive outpatients referred for gated myocardial perfusion imaging. Before a treadmill exercise test, blood samples for measurement of creatine kinase (CK), CK-myocardial band (CK-MB) mass, myoglobin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were collected. Normal perfusion patterns were detected in 29 (43%) patients (group 1) and perfusion defects were detected in 39 (57%) patients (group 2). Baseline serum levels of biomarkers except CK were significantly higher in group 2 (p=0.001). Stable CAD increases baseline levels of CK-MB mass, myoglobin, AST and LDH in the serum and this increase is related to the extent and severity of the perfusion defect and to some extent the ejection fraction of the left ventricle.     

Stress physiology as a predictor of survival in Galapagos marine iguanas

Although glucocorticoid hormones are considered important physiological regulators for surviving adverse environmental stimuli (stressors), evidence for such a role is sparse and usually extrapolated from glucocorticoid effects under laboratory, short-term and/or non-emergency conditions. Galápagos marine iguanas (Amblyrhynchus cristatus) provide an excellent model for determining the ultimate function of a glucocorticoid response because susceptibility to starvation induced by El Niño conditions is essentially their only major natural stressor. In a prospective study, we captured 98 adult male marine iguanas and assessed four major components of their glucocorticoid response: baseline corticosterone titres; corticosterone responses to acute stressors (capture and handling); the maximal capacity to secrete corticosterone (via adrenocorticotropin injection); and the ability to terminate corticosterone responses (negative feedback). Several months after collecting initial measurements, weak El Niño conditions affected the Galápagos and 23 iguanas died. The dead iguanas were typified by a reduced efficacy of negative feedback (i.e. poorer post-stress suppression of corticosterone release) compared with surviving iguanas. We found no prior differences between dead and alive iguanas in baseline corticosterone concentrations, responses to acute stressors, nor in capacity to respond. These data suggest that a greater ability to terminate a stress response conferred a survival advantage during starvation.     

Asymmetry as a predictor of growth, fecundity and survival

Measures of developmental stability such as fluctuating asymmetry have been assumed to predict individual performance because asymmetry reflects an inability to cope with stressful situations, and because asymmetry hampers locomotion. However, the magnitude of this relationship between important fitness components (growth, fecundity, survival) and asymmetry has never been assessed. Based on a literature survey, estimates of the correlation between asymmetry and the three fitness components are presented. Pearson's correlation coefficients weighted for sample size between asymmetry and growth, fecundity, and survival, respectively, were –0.15, –0.35, and –0.25, respectively, with all three coefficients being highly significant. All three relationships were extremely robust given very large fail-safe numbers. The results were independent of whether studies or species were used as units of analysis. Hence asymmetry is a robust predictor of performance in fitness domains such as growth, fecundity, and survival, although only accounting for 2.1%, 12.3%, and 6.0% of the variance. This may be of importance for studies of sexual selection, but also for ecological and conservation biological studies, where the performance of individuals or groups of individuals are assessed.     

Postoperative deterioration in health related quality of life as predictor for survival in patients with glioblastoma: a prospective study

Background

Studies indicate that acquired deficits negatively affect patients'' self-reported health related quality of life (HRQOL) and survival, but the impact of HRQOL deterioration after surgery on survival has not been explored.

Objective

Assess if change in HRQOL after surgery is a predictor for survival in patients with glioblastoma.

Methods

Sixty-one patients with glioblastoma were included. The majority of patients (n = 56, 91.8%) were operated using a neuronavigation system which utilizes 3D preoperative MRI and updated intraoperative 3D ultrasound volumes to guide resection. HRQOL was assessed using EuroQol 5D (EQ-5D), a generic instrument. HRQOL data were collected 1–3 days preoperatively and after 6 weeks. The mean change in EQ-5D index was −0.05 (95% CI −0.15–0.05) 6 weeks after surgery (p = 0.285). There were 30 patients (49.2%) reporting deterioration 6 weeks after surgery. In a Cox multivariate survival analysis we evaluated deterioration in HRQOL after surgery together with established risk factors (age, preoperative condition, radiotherapy, temozolomide and extent of resection).

Results

There were significant independent associations between survival and use of temozolomide (HR 0.30, p = 0.019), radiotherapy (HR 0.26, p = 0.030), and deterioration in HRQOL after surgery (HR 2.02, p = 0.045). Inclusion of surgically acquired deficits in the model did not alter the conclusion.

Conclusion

Early deterioration in HRQOL after surgery is independently and markedly associated with impaired survival in patients with glioblastoma. Deterioration in patient reported HRQOL after surgery is a meaningful outcome in surgical neuro-oncology, as the measure reflects both the burden of symptoms and treatment hazards and is linked to overall survival.     

High-frequency metabolite profiling and the incidence of recurrent cardiac events in patients with post-acute coronary syndrome

Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study was to study temporal changes in metabolite profiles in patients with post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS), in particular prior to the development of recurrent ACS (reACS).

Methods: BIOMArCS (BIOMarker study to identify the Acute risk of a Coronary Syndrome) is a prospective study including patients admitted for ACS, who underwent high-frequency blood sampling during 1-year follow-up. Within BIOMArCS, we performed a nested case-cohort analysis of 158 patients (28 cases of reACS). We determined 151 metabolites by nuclear magnetic resonance in seven (median) blood samples per patient. Temporal evolution of the metabolites and their relation with reACS was assessed by joint modelling. Results are reported as adjusted (for clinical factors) hazard ratios (aHRs).

Results: Median age was 64 (25th–75th percentiles; 56–72) years and 78% were men. After multiple testing correction (p?<?0.001), high concentrations of extremely large very low density lipoprotein (VLDL) particles (aHR 1.60/SD increase; 95%CI 1.25–2.08), very large VLDL particles (aHR 1.60/SD increase; 95%CI 1.25–2.08) and large VLDL particles (aHR 1.56/SD increase; 95%CI 1.22–2.05) were significantly associated with reACS. Moreover, these longitudinal particle concentrations showed a steady increase over time prior to reACS. Among the other metabolites, no significant associations were observed.

Conclusion: Post-ACS patients with persistent high concentrations of extremely large, very large and large VLDL particles have increased risk of reACS within 1?year.     

Wrist actimetry circadian rhythm as a robust predictor of colorectal cancer patients survival

The disruption of the circadian timing system (CTS), which rhythmically controls cellular metabolism and proliferation, accelerated experimental cancer progression. A measure of CTS function in cancer patients could thus provide novel prediction information for outcomes, and help to identify novel specific therapies. The rest-activity circadian rhythm is a reliable and non-invasive CTS biomarker, which was monitored using a wrist watch accelerometer for 2 days in 436 patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. The relative percentage of activity in-bed versus out-of-bed (I?<?O) constituted the tested CTS measure, whose prognostic value for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) was determined in a pooled analysis of three patient cohorts with different treatment exposures. Median OS was 21.6 months [17.8–25.5] for patients with I?<?O above the median value of 97.5% as compared to 11.9 months [10.4–13.3] for those with a lower I?<?O (Log-rank p?<?0.001). Multivariate analyses retained continuous I?<?O as a joint predictor of both OS and PFS, with respective hazard ratios (HR) of 0.954 (p?<?0.001) and 0.970 (p?<?0.001) for each 1% increase in I?<?O. HRs had similar values in all the patient subgroups tested. The circadian physiology biomarker I?<?O constitutes a robust and independent quantitative predictor of cancer patient outcomes, that can be easily and cost-effectively measured during daily living. Interventional studies involving 24-h schedules of clock-targeted drugs, light intensity, exercise and/or meals are needed for testing the relevance of circadian synchronization for the survival of patients with disrupted rhythms.     

Higher serum bone alkaline phosphatase as a predictor of mortality in male hemodialysis patients

AimsHigher serum alkaline phosphatase predicts lower mortality in chronic kidney disease and hemodialysis patients without liver dysfunction because it reflects high bone turnover. The purpose of our study was to compare the significance of serum bone alkaline phosphatase (BAP) with that of other bone markers in prediction of all-cause mortality(ACM) in male hemodialysis patients.Main methodsThe study was performed for 5 years. Serum BAP, intact osteocalcin (iOC), ß-CrossLaps (CTX), and intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH) were measured in 196 male hemodialysis patients without radiographic fracture. Their day-to-day variation during 5 consecutive days and diurnal variation were determined in 13 healthy males.Key findingsThe patients were divided into higher and lower groups based on serum levels of bone markers(mean ± SD: iPTH 218.6 ± 214.5 pg/ml, BAP 23.6 ± 12.2U/L, iOC 42.8 ± 45.2 ng/ml, CTX 1.71 ± 1.23 nmol/L BCE). In Kaplan–Meier analysis, the higher BAP group had significantly higher ACM than the lower BAP group (P = 0.013), whereas mortality did not differ between the higher and lower groups in other markers. Cox regression hazard analysis identified higher log BAP as a significant independent predictor [hazard ratio(HR) 8.32(95%CI:1.18–58.98)] for ACM after adjustment for various factors including pre-existing cardiovasucular disease, presence of DM. The significant association of mortality with serum BAP alone, in contrast with other markers including CTX [HR0.64 (95%CI:0.16–2.47)], iOC [HR0.97(95%CI:0.36–2.64)], iPTH [HR0.84(95%CI:0.44–1.60)],it may be due to the narrower day-to-day variation and the absence of diurnal variation in serum BAP compared to other markers.SignificanceHigher serum BAP may be a predictor of ACM in male hemodialysis patients.     

Association of serum bilirubin with contrast-induced nephropathy and future cardiovascular events in patients undergoing coronary intervention

Objectives

Enhanced reactive oxygen species formation within the kidney following the administration of contrast media may play a key role in the development of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN). Bilirubin has emerged as an important endogenous antioxidant molecule. This study was undertaken to determine whether bilirubin is associated with CIN and future cardiovascular events in patients undergoing coronary intervention.

Methods

Totally, 544 consecutive patients received coronary intervention were enrolled. All patients were followed up for at least 3 years or until the occurrence of a major event. The primary endpoint was CIN, defined as a rise in serum creatinine (SCr) of 0.5 mg/dl or a 25% increase from the baseline value within 48 hours after the procedure. The secondary endpoint was the combined occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke.

Results

Overall, CIN occurred in 85 (15.6%) patients. All patients were stratified into 3 groups (low/normal/high) according to the serum bilirubin levels. In a multivariate logistic analysis, the odds ratio for CIN with low-bilirubin levels relative to high-bilirubin levels was 11.82 (95% CI, 3.25–43.03). By Cox regression analysis, serum bilirubin levels was an independent predictor of MACE in patients undergoing coronary intervention (low vs. high hazard ratio 2.26; 95% CI, 1.05–4.90).

Conclusions

CIN is a serious complication of coronary intervention. Higher serum bilirubin concentrations were associated with lower risk of CIN and fewer cardiovascular events. The development of interventions that promote bilirubin levels may be a potential target to reduce CIN and future MACE in patients undergoing coronary intervention.     

Effect of cholestanol feeding on sterol concentrations in the serum, liver, and cerebellum of mice

In order to elucidate the mechanism of xanthoma formation in cerebrotendinous xanthomatosis, mice were fed for 32 weeks with a diet rich in 5 alpha-cholestan-3 beta-ol (cholestanol) (1%, w/w). The concentrations of sterols in the serum, liver, and cerebellum were determined using high performance liquid chromatography. In the cholestanol-fed mice, the cholestanol concentrations in the serum and liver reached maxima in the first 2 to 4 weeks; the levels were about 30- to 100-fold higher than in the control diet mice. The cholestanol concentrations declined thereafter, finally to 50-60% of the maxima. Cholesterol concentrations were slightly lower in the cholestanol-fed mice throughout the experiments than in the control diet mice. On the other hand, the levels of cholestanol in the cerebellum increased almost linearly in parallel to the feeding time, and no decline was observed. These results suggest that the capacity of the liver to remove or degrade cholestanol was increased by long-term intake of this compound, whereas the cerebellum had no such feed-back regulation. Histological examinations using an electron microscope revealed the enlargement of lysosomal granules in the liver of the cholestanol-fed mice.     

Interleukin-6 as an independent predictor of future cardiovascular events in high-risk Japanese patients: comparison with C-reactive protein

Inflammation is associated with the development of atherosclerotic vascular lesions and some inflammatory parameters are used as cardiovascular (CV) risk markers. The present study was designed to assess the predictive power of interleukin (IL)-6 for future CV events. In 121 Japanese patients with multiple CV risk factors and/or disease, serum concentrations of IL-6 and high sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) were measured. During follow-up periods (mean, 2.9 years) after the baseline assessment, 50 patients newly experienced CV events such as stroke/transient ischemic attack (n=10), heart failure hospitalization (n=6), acute coronary syndrome (n=7), and revascularization for coronary artery disease (n=15) and peripheral arterial disease (n=12). The serum level of IL-6, but not hs-CRP, was significantly higher in patients who had CV events than in event-free subjects (3.9±2.6 and 3.0±2.2 pg/mL, P=0.04). When the patients were divided into three groups by tertiles of basal levels of IL-6 (<1.85, 1.85-3.77, and ≥3.77 pg/mL), cumulative event-free rates by the Kaplan-Meier method were decreased according to the increase in basal IL-6 levels (65%, 50%, and 19% in the lowest, middle, and highest tertiles of IL-6, respectively; log-rank test, P=0.002). By univariate Cox regression analysis, previous CV disease, creatinine clearance, and serum IL-6 levels were significantly associated with CV events during follow-up. Among these possible predictors, the highest tertile of IL-6 was only an independent determinant for the morbidity in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 2.80 vs. lowest tertile, P=0.006). These findings indicate that IL-6 is a powerful independent predictor of future CV events in high-risk Japanese patients, suggesting its predictive value is superior to that of hs-CRP.     

B-type natriuretic peptide is a long-term predictor of all-cause mortality, whereas high-sensitive C-reactive protein predicts recurrent short-term troponin T positive cardiac events in chest pain patients: a prognostic study

Background

Few studies have addressed whether the combined use of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) improves risk stratification for mortality and cardiovascular events in a population with chest pain and suspected acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Therefore, we wanted to assess the incremental prognostic value of these biomarkers with respect to long-term all-cause mortality and recurrent troponin T (TnT) positive cardiac events in 871 patients admitted to the emergency department.

Methods

Blood samples were obtained immediately following admission.

Results

After a follow-up period of 24 months, 129 patients had died. The BNP levels were significantly higher among patients dying than in long-term survivors (401 (145–736) versus 75 (29–235) pq/mL [median, 25 and 75% percentiles], p = 0.000). In a multivariable Cox regression model for death within 2 years, the hazard ratio (HR) for BNP in the highest quartile (Q4) was 5.13 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.97–13.38) compared to the lowest quartile (Q1) and was associated with all-cause mortality above and beyond age, congestive heart failure and the index diagnosis ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. HsCRP rendered no prognostic information for all-cause mortality. However, within 30 days, the adjusted HR for patients with recurrent TnT cardiac positive events hsCRP in Q4 was 14.79 (95% CI, 1.89–115.63) compared with Q1 and was associated with recurrent ischemic events above and beyond age, hypercholesterolemia and TnT values at admission.

Conclusion

BNP may act as a clinically useful biomarker when obtained at admission in an unselected patient population following hospitalization with chest pain and potential ACS, and may provide complementary prognostic information to established risk determinants at long-term follow-up. Our data do not support the hypothesis that the additional assessment of hsCRP will lead to better risk stratification for survival than BNP alone.

Trial registration

NCT00521976     

Proteomic discovery and verification of serum amyloid A as a predictor marker of patients at risk of post-stroke infection: a pilot study

Background

Post-stroke infections occur in 20–36% of stroke patients and are associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. Early identification of patients at risk of developing an infection could improve care via an earlier treatment leading to a better outcome. We used proteomic tools in order to discover biomarkers able to stratify patients at risk of post-stroke infection.

Methods

The post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort study including 40 ischemic stroke patients included 21 infected and 19 non-infected participants. A quantitative, isobaric labeling, proteomic strategy was applied to the plasma samples of 5 infected and 5 non-infected patients in order to highlight any significantly modulated proteins. A parallel reaction monitoring (PRM) assay was applied to 20 additional patients (10 infected and 10 non-infected) to verify discovery results. The most promising protein was pre-validated using an ELISA immunoassay on 40 patients and at different time points after stroke onset.

Results

Tandem mass analysis identified 266 proteins, of which only serum amyloid A (SAA1/2) was significantly (p = 0.007) regulated between the two groups of patients. This acute-phase protein appeared to be 2.2 times more abundant in infected patients than in non-infected ones. These results were verified and validated using PRM and ELISA immunoassays, which showed that infected patients had significantly higher concentrations of SAA1/2 than non-infected patients at hospital admission, but also at 1, 3, and 5 days after admission.

Conclusions

The present study demonstrated that SAA1/2 is a promising predictor, at hospital admission, of stroke patients at risk of developing an infection. Further large, multicenter validation studies are needed to confirm these results. If confirmed, SAA1/2 concentrations could be used to identify the patients most at risk of post-stroke infections and therefore implement treatments more rapidly, thus reducing mortality.

     

Plasma adrenomedullin as an independent predictor of future cardiovascular events in high-risk patients: comparison with C-reactive protein and adiponectin

This study investigated the predictive power of plasma adrenomedullin (AM) for future cardiovascular (CV) events. In 121 patients with multiple CV risk factors and/or disease, plasma concentrations of AM, high sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and adiponectin were measured. During follow-up periods (mean, 3.5 years) after the baseline assessment, 28 patients newly experienced CV events such as stroke/transient ischemic attack, acute coronary syndrome, and congestive heart failure. The plasma level of AM, but not hs-CRP or adiponectin, was significantly higher in patients who had CV events than in event-free subjects. When the patients were divided into three groups by tertiles of basal levels of AM (<10.1, 10.1-13.1, and > or =13.1 fmol/mL), cumulative event-free rates by the Kaplan-Meier method were decreased according to the increase in basal AM levels (83.2%, 68.6%, and 52.8% in the lowest, middle, and highest tertiles of AM, respectively; log-rank test, P=0.033). By univariate Cox regression analysis, previous coronary artery disease, creatinine clearance, and plasma AM and hs-CRP levels were significantly associated with CV events during follow-up. Among these possible predictors, high plasma AM (P=0.004) and low creatinine clearance (P=0.043) were independent determinants for morbidity in multivariate analysis. These findings indicate that plasma AM is a powerful independent predictor of future CV events in high-risk patients, suggesting its predictive value is superior to that of hs-CRP or adiponectin.     

Poverty or income inequality as predictor of mortality: longitudinal cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of inequality in income between communities independent of household income on individual all cause mortality in the United States. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SUBJECTS: A nationally representative sample of 14,407 people aged 25-74 years in the United States from the first national health and nutrition examination survey. SETTING: Subjects were followed from initial interview in 1971-5 until 1987. Complete follow up information was available for 92.2% of the sample. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relation between both household income and income inequality in community of residence and individual all cause mortality at follow up was examined with Cox proportional hazards survival analysis. RESULTS: Community income inequality showed a significant association with subsequent community mortality, and with individual mortality after adjustment for age, sex, and mean income in the community of residence. After adjustment for individual household income, however, the association with mortality was lost. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationally representative American sample, family income, but not community income inequality, independently predicts mortality. Previously reported ecological associations between income inequality and mortality may reflect confounding between individual family income and mortality.     

C-terminal FGF23 is a strong predictor of survival in systolic heart failure

Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) is a bone-derived hormone involved in the regulation of phosphate and calcium metabolism. We have evaluated the levels of C-terminal FGF23 (Ct-FGF23) in 73 patients presenting heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HF-REF) and assess their potential predictive value for long-term survival through a 6 years follow-up. Ct-FGF23 levels were markedly increased in HF-REF. In univariate proportional hazard model, survival was related to glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), intact parathyroid hormone (PTH), B-type natriuretic peptides (BNP) and Ct-FGF23. In a multivariate analysis including age, EF, PTH, BNP, Ct-FGF23, calcium, phosphorus and eGFR levels, Ct-FGF23 is the strongest predictor of long term CV death.