共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 31 毫秒
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Robin L. Mackey Bruce R. Page Douw Grobler Rob Slotow 《African Journal of Ecology》2009,47(4):747-755
Re‐introduced African elephant (Loxodonta africana Blumenbach) populations are growing at very high rates in many of southern Africa’s reserves, have attained densities higher than previously thought possible and may be exhibiting irruptive growth. Active management of such populations is necessary to prevent the potentially negative effects on habitat and biodiversity that are associated with elephant overpopulation. One potentially feasible method of elephant management is immunocontraception, but very little is known about the long‐term effectiveness of this method. Using demographic data from three South African elephant populations, we made model projections of the effects of contraception on population growth rates to determine whether contraception may be a feasible management tool for elephant. In comparison with noncontracepted populations, realistic reductions in population growth rate after 20 years of contraception were projected to be up to c. 64%, with 50% being a very feasible target. Through its ability to reduce population growth rates, immunocontraception should be an effective tool for preventing or minimizing irruption in elephants and, perhaps, other introduced ungulate species. 相似文献
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Katri Korpela Pekka Helle Heikki Henttonen Erkki Korpim?ki Esa Koskela Otso Ovaskainen Hannu Pieti?inen Janne Sundell Jari Valkama Otso Huitu 《Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society》2014,281(1797)
The cyclic population dynamics of vole and predator communities is a key phenomenon in northern ecosystems, and it appears to be influenced by climate change. Reports of collapsing rodent cycles have attributed the changes to warmer winters, which weaken the interaction between voles and their specialist subnivean predators. Using population data collected throughout Finland during 1986–2011, we analyse the spatio-temporal variation in the interactions between populations of voles and specialist, generalist and avian predators, and investigate by simulations the roles of the different predators in the vole cycle. We test the hypothesis that vole population cyclicity is dependent on predator–prey interactions during winter. Our results support the importance of the small mustelids for the vole cycle. However, weakening specialist predation during winters, or an increase in generalist predation, was not associated with the loss of cyclicity. Strengthening of delayed density dependence coincided with strengthening small mustelid influence on the summer population growth rates of voles. In conclusion, a strong impact of small mustelids during summers appears highly influential to vole population dynamics, and deteriorating winter conditions are not a viable explanation for collapsing small mammal population cycles. 相似文献
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Rasmus Nielsen Joanna L. Mountain John P. Huelsenbeck Montgomery Slatkin 《Evolution; international journal of organic evolution》1998,52(3):669-677
In this paper we present a method for estimating population divergence times by maximum likelihood in models without mutation. The maximum-likelihood estimator is compared to a commonly applied estimator based on Wright's FST statistic. Simulations suggest that the maximum-likelihood estimator is less biased and has a lower variance than the FST-based estimator. The maximum-likelihood estimator provides a statistical framework for the analysis of population history given genetic data. We demonstrate how maximum-likelihood estimates of the branching pattern of divergence of multiple populations may be obtained. We also describe how the method may be applied to test hypotheses such as whether populations have maintained equal population sizes. We illustrate the method by applying it to two previously published sets of human restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) data. 相似文献
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种群生存力分析(PVA)的方法与应用 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
随着人们对资源的加速利用,生境丧失和破碎化导致物种濒危问题日益严重.以岛屿生物地理学为理论起源的种群生存力分析(PVA),通过分析和模拟种群动态过程并建立灭绝概率与种群数量之间的关系,为濒危物种保护提供了重要的理论依据和研究途径.在过去的几十年中,种群生存力分析已成为保护生物学中一项重要的研究内容.目前种群生存力分析发展稳定,但对其实际预测能力和准确性尚存质疑,应用方面也有待进一步发展.种群生存力分析的进一步完善还需要在理论和方法上的创新,特别是籍于景观生态学和可持续性科学的理念,将空间分析手段、经济社会因素纳入到物种和种群的预测和管理上,从而使其
具有更完整的理论基础和更高的实用价值.为此,本文对种群生存力分析的历史、基本概念、研究方法、模型应用和准确性进行了综述,并提出了有关的研究展望. 相似文献
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福建南北泥蚶种内分化的RAPD分析 总被引:15,自引:0,他引:15
采用随机扩增多态性DNA(RAPD)技术,对泥蚶在福建以南(广东汕头和湛江)和福建以北(浙江温岭和韩国)种群(分别合称南方类群和北方类群)做了遗传分化研究。由筛选出的20个随机引物共获得103个清晰可辨的RAPD标记,扩增片段长度在250—2500bp。汕头种群与湛江种群,韩国种群与温岭种群之间的最小遗传距离分别为0.0612和0.0692,而南、北类群间的遗传距离却在0.3261-0.4511。类群间近交系数也大于类群内。NJ和UPGMA法构建的系统树均显示汕头种群、湛江种群首先聚在一起,再与温岭种群和韩国种群聚合,说明两个类群发生了较明显的遗传分化,估计与地理隔离有关。 相似文献
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Nystrom KC 《American journal of physical anthropology》2006,131(3):334-342
Archaeological and ethnohistorical documents suggest that the Chachapoya region was inhabited by a number of distinct sociopolitical groups that only united in the face of their common enemy, the Inka. The purpose of this research is to quantify the amount of internal genetic differentiation and levels of extraregional gene flow during the Late Chachapoya period, in order to obtain a better understanding of the genetic relationship between these presumed ethnic groups. Craniometric data were collected from three Late Chachapoya samples (Laguna Huayabamba, Kuelap, and Laguna de los Cóndores), in order to understand the genetic relationships between the groups and facilitate our understanding of Late Chachapoya population structure. Genetic differentiation among these series ranged from 0.047 (heritability = 1.0) to 0.090 (heritability = 0.55). The Relethford-Blangero residuals indicate that the Laguna Huayabamba and Laguna de los Cóndores populations were receiving greater than average external gene flow, while Kuelap was receiving less than average external gene flow. The correspondence between biological and archaeological data in the investigation of prehistoric ethnic identity is discussed. 相似文献
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Cyril Milleret Richard Bischof Pierre Dupont Henrik Brseth John Odden Jenny Mattisson 《Biology letters》2021,17(6)
Are instrumented animals representative of the population, given the potential bias caused by selective sampling and the influence of capture, handling and wearing bio-loggers? The answer is elusive owing to the challenges of obtaining comparable data from individuals with and without bio-loggers. Using non-invasive genetic data of a large carnivore, the wolverine (Gulo gulo) in Scandinavia, and an open-population spatial capture–recapture model, we found a 16 (credible interval: 4–30) percentage points lower mortality probability for GPS-collared individuals compared with individuals without GPS collars. While the risk of dying from legal culling was comparable for collared and non-collared wolverines, the former experienced lower probability of mortality due to causes other than legal culling. The aforementioned effect was pronounced despite a potentially lower age—and therefore likely higher natural mortality—of collared individuals. Reports of positive effects of bio-loggers on the survival of individuals are uncommon and we argue that GPS collars could shield animals from poaching. Our results highlight the challenges of drawing population-level inferences for populations subjected to poaching when using data from instrumented individuals. 相似文献
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羊草(Leymus chinensis)种群无性系种群动态的初步研究 总被引:26,自引:2,他引:26
本文根据1985-1990年在天然羊草种群无性系的观测与统分析,在研究羊草种群性系生活周期的基础上,探讨了其种群动态,建立了用转移概率矩阵表示的种群动态模型。通过用两种营养繁殖系数Rv1和Rv2模拟种群密度变化,发现用转移概率矩陈种群动态模型和现存种群营养繁殖系数Rv2预测羊草种群密度。 相似文献
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A. B. Medvinsky E. A. Kriksunov A. E. Bobyrev V. A. Burmensky M. M. Gonik B. -L. Li O. P. Sterligova 《Biophysics》2006,51(2):309-316
We present a conceptual mathematical model of the dynamics of a spatially heterogeneous population system whose prototype is the fish community of Lake Syamozero. Analysis of the solutions of this model is used to demonstrate that interactions between the predator and prey populations in two neighboring biotopes (the pelagic and coastal zones) may result in either undamped oscillations or steady states of the population sizes. The model population densities are of the same order of magnitude as the values obtained in long-term observations of the Syamozero biota. It is also demonstrated that the transition to steady states may be accompanied by long-term (dozens or hundreds of years) damped oscillations of the prey and predator population densities. Under natural conditions, long transitional periods may prevent fish communities from reaching stationary modes. 相似文献
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北京东灵山海拔梯度上辽东栎种群结构和空间分布 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
种群年龄结构和空间分布格局是种群生态学的核心研究内容.为了阐明辽东栎种群海拔梯度分布特点,在北京东灵山地区辽东栎海拔分布范围(1000~1800m)内调查10条样带,研究种群大小级结构和空间分布的变异.种群的平均胸径在海拔梯度上表现出两段式的分布特征,海拔1480m为两段分布的分界点,在每一段内随海拔增加平均胸径也增加, 这反映了海拔梯度上种群的不同发育历史.种群密度、种群的聚集程度、种群的结构在海拔梯度上的分布特征都与平均胸径分布相似,种群密度和聚集程度与平均胸径为负相关系,其分布趋势与平均胸径相反.总体上,东灵山海拔梯度上辽东栎种群还是比较稳定的.辽东栎种群结构和空间分布在海拔梯度上的分布特征是种群发育历史、物种特性、环境、干扰等因素在海拔梯度上综合作用的结果. 相似文献
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Tallmon DA Gregovich D Waples RS Scott Baker C Jackson J Taylor BL Archer E Martien KK Allendorf FW Schwartz MK 《Molecular ecology resources》2010,10(4):684-692
The utility of microsatellite markers for inferring population size and trend has not been rigorously examined, even though these markers are commonly used to monitor the demography of natural populations. We assessed the ability of a linkage disequilibrium estimator of effective population size (Ne) and a simple capture-recapture estimator of abundance (N) to quantify the size and trend of stable or declining populations (true N = 100–10,000), using simulated Wright–Fisher populations. Neither method accurately or precisely estimated abundance at sample sizes of S = 30 individuals, regardless of true N. However, if larger samples of S = 60 or 120 individuals were collected, these methods provided useful insights into abundance and trends for populations of N = 100–500. At small population sizes (N = 100 or 250), precision of the Ne estimates was improved slightly more by a doubling of loci sampled than by a doubling of individuals sampled. In general, monitoring Ne proved a more robust means of identifying stable and declining populations than monitoring N over most of the parameter space we explored, and performance of the Ne estimator is further enhanced if the Ne/N ratio is low. However, at the largest population size (N = 10,000), N estimation outperformed Ne. Both methods generally required ≥ 5 generations to pass between sampling events to correctly identify population trend. 相似文献
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短程硝化启动运行中功能菌群变化研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
【目的】短程硝化-厌氧氨氧化是可实现的最短生物脱氮工艺,短程硝化是实现该工艺的重要环节和必要条件。【方法】采用序批式反应器(SBR)来实现短程硝化过程的启动和稳定运行,并对该过程中的相关功能菌群变化进行检测分析。【结果】通过控制低DO浓度(<1 mg/L)和逐步提高氨氮进水负荷,可抑制氨氧化细菌(NOB)菌群增殖并促进亚硝酸氧化菌(AOB)菌群规模显著扩大,实现短程硝化过程的启动和稳定运行。在氨氮进水负荷为0.055 kg/(m3.d)时,平均氨氮去除容积负荷和污泥负荷可达到0.043kg/(m3.d)和0.16 kg/(kg.d),平均亚硝酸盐积累率可达到83.4%。在短程硝化启动和稳定运行过程中,NOB菌群密度从2.0×105CFU/mL降至1.5×104CFU/mL,相对丰度从5.51%降至2.14%;AOB菌群密度从4.5×104CFU/mL增加至1.5×107CFU/mL,相对丰度从0.18%增加至7.25%。【结论】AOB菌群规模的扩大是实现短程硝化和氨氮去除能力提高的主要原因,同时较高的进水氨氮浓度和负荷也会造成亚硝化活性的抑制。 相似文献
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为调查内蒙古贺兰山国家级自然保护区内岩羊(Pseudois nayaur alashanicus)的种群现状,通过样线法在2017、2018年冬季,2018、2019年春季进行了调查,利用R 4.0.3中的Distance 1.0.2对样线观测数据进行分析,估测保护区内岩羊的种群数量及密度,分析其种群结构。结果显示,调查共观测到岩羊6299只,其中,2018年冬季种群数量最高,约为2654(2230-3161)只(括号内为95%数量置信区间),种群密度为3.921(3.293-4.668)只/km2。与2003年同季节的调查数据对比发现,保护区内岩羊的种群数量在15年间增长迅速,岩羊的种群密度累计增长了约53.17%,年平均增长3.54%。岩羊集群形式:混合群(88.03%,80.95%)为岩羊冬、春最主要的集群形式,且混合群的数量冬季多于春季,独羊出现的次数最低(1.99%,2.86%),不同的集群类型在不同的季节的差异极显著(P<0.001);岩羊平均群大小:春季为(13.439±12.085)只,冬季为(9.011±8.610)只,调查季节中集群大小多为1-10只,岩羊的不同季节的群大小差异极显著(P<0.001)。种群成体与幼体比在不同季节的变化范围为1.411-2.673,雌雄比在不同季节的变化范围为0.934-1.469,种群结构的季节性差异极显著(P<0.001)。集群类型、群大小及群组成的调查表明,不同季节间岩羊种群结构差异明显。 相似文献
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The genetic and linguistic peculiarity of the Basque population is well known. Analysis of the studies published to date on the Basque population reveals that these studies refer basically to the provinces of Vizcaya and Labourd, both in the Northern part of the Basque Country. Multidisciplinary information indicates that the landscape differences of the Basque Country could have conditioned differential population biodynamics in the Atlantic and Mediterranean parts of the Basque area. In order to evaluate this possibility, this study focuses on the genetic constitution of the Basque population of Alava (in the South of the Basque Country) through the analysis of several red-cell systems. The data obtained in this genetic study and those from archaeology, linguistics, ethnography, and skeletal biology suggest that within the “Basque population” there may be at least two distinct groups: an “Atlantic” group and a “Mediterranean” one, divided mainly by the watershed. This geographical feature could have led to a greater genetic isolation of the Northern slopes, with the South more open to population contact. This is reflected nowadays in the different cline distribution detected for most systems in the Alava Basques in comparison with other Basque and Iberian Peninsula series studied to date. © 1996 Wiley-Liss, Inc. 相似文献
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Evaluating methods for estimating local effective population size with and without migration
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Kimberly J. Gilbert Michael C. Whitlock 《Evolution; international journal of organic evolution》2015,69(8):2154-2166
Effective population size is a fundamental parameter in population genetics, evolutionary biology, and conservation biology, yet its estimation can be fraught with difficulties. Several methods to estimate Ne from genetic data have been developed that take advantage of various approaches for inferring Ne. The ability of these methods to accurately estimate Ne, however, has not been comprehensively examined. In this study, we employ seven of the most cited methods for estimating Ne from genetic data (Colony2, CoNe, Estim, MLNe, ONeSAMP, TMVP, and NeEstimator including LDNe) across simulated datasets with populations experiencing migration or no migration. The simulated population demographies are an isolated population with no immigration, an island model metapopulation with a sink population receiving immigrants, and an isolation by distance stepping stone model of populations. We find considerable variance in performance of these methods, both within and across demographic scenarios, with some methods performing very poorly. The most accurate estimates of Ne can be obtained by using LDNe, MLNe, or TMVP; however each of these approaches is outperformed by another in a differing demographic scenario. Knowledge of the approximate demography of population as well as the availability of temporal data largely improves Ne estimates. 相似文献
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Wolfgang Lutz Samir KC 《Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences》2010,365(1554):2779-2791
The total size of the world population is likely to increase from its current 7 billion to 8–10 billion by 2050. This uncertainty is because of unknown future fertility and mortality trends in different parts of the world. But the young age structure of the population and the fact that in much of Africa and Western Asia, fertility is still very high makes an increase by at least one more billion almost certain. Virtually, all the increase will happen in the developing world. For the second half of the century, population stabilization and the onset of a decline are likely. In addition to the future size of the population, its distribution by age, sex, level of educational attainment and place of residence are of specific importance for studying future food security. The paper provides a detailed discussion of different relevant dimensions in population projections and an evaluation of the methods and assumptions used in current global population projections and in particular those produced by the United Nations and by IIASA. 相似文献
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V. L. Samokhvalov 《Contemporary Problems of Ecology》2009,2(3):185-187
A model is proposed to link the basic parameters of a population obtained by the areal method of count. The model is based on regular changes of occurrence and abundance consequent upon changes in the area of the sample plot. This method is applicable to the conditions of aggregation of counted species on the plot under study. 相似文献