Comprehensive analysis of novel three-long noncoding RNA signatures as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers of human triple-negative breast cancer

Currently, traditional predictors of prognosis (tumor size, nodal status, progesterone receptor [PR], estrogen receptor [ER], or human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 [HER2]) are insufficient for precise survival prediction for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been observed to exert critical functions in cancer, including in TNBC. Nevertheless, systematically tracking expression-based lncRNA biomarkers based on the sequence data for the prediction of prognosis in TNBC has not yet been investigated. To ascertain whether biomarkers exist that can distinguish TNBC from adjacent normal tissue or nTNBC, we implemented a comprehensive analysis of lncRNA expression profiles and clinical data of 1097 BC samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. A total of 1510 differentially expressed lncRNAs in normal and TNBC samples were extracted. Similarly, 672 differentially expressed lncRNAs between nTNBC and TNBC samples were detected. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that three upregulated lncRNAs (AC091043.1, AP000924.1, and FOXCUT) may be of strong diagnostic value for predicting the existence of TNBC in the training and validation sets (area under the curve (AUC > 0.85). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that the other three lncRNAs (AC010343.3, AL354793.1, and FGF10-AS1) were associated with the prognosis of TNBC patients (P < 0.05). We used the three overall survival (OS)-related lncRNAs to establish a three-lncRNA signature. Multivariate Cox regression analysis suggested that the three-lncRNA signature was a prognostic factor independent of other clinical variables ( P < 0.01) for predicting OS in TNBC patients that could be utilized to classify patients into high- or low-risk subgroups. Our results might provide efficient signatures for clinical diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of TNBC.     

Genome-wide screening and cohorts validation identifying novel lncRNAs as prognostic biomarkers for clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) is the main subtype of renal cell carcinoma with varied prognosis. We aimed to identify and assess the possible prognostic long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) biomarkers. LncRNAs expression data and corresponding clinical information of 619 ccRCC patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) databases. Differentially expressed genes analysis, univariate Cox regression, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model were utilized to identify hub lncRNAs. Multivariate Cox regression was used to establish the risk model. Statistical analysis was performed using R 3.5.3. The expression value of five lncRNAs and the risk-score levels were significantly associated with a survival prognosis of ccRCC patients (all P < .001). In the TCGA validation cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) for the integrated nomogram was 0.905 and 0.91 for 3-, 5-year prediction separately. The AUC reached up to 0.757 in an independent ICGC cohort. Besides, the calibration plots also illustrated well curve-fitting between observation values and predictive values. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis and subsequent pathway analysis revealed that the PI3K-Akt-mTOR and hypoxia-inducible factor signaling crosstalk might function as the most essential mechanisms related to the five-lncRNAs signature. Our study suggested that lncRNA AC009654.1, AC092490.2, LINC00524, LINC01234, and LINC01885 were significantly associated with ccRCC prognosis. The prognostic model based on this five lncRNA may predict the overall survival of ccRCC.     

A novel autophagy-related lncRNA survival model for lung adenocarcinoma

Long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) is an important regulatory factor in the development of lung adenocarcinoma, which is related to the control of autophagy. LncRNA can also be used as a biomarker of prognosis in patients with lung adenocarcinoma. Therefore, it is important to determine the prognostic value of autophagy-related lncRNA in lung adenocarcinoma. In this study, autophagy-related mRNAs-lncRNAs were screened from lung adenocarcinoma and a co-expression network of autophagy-related mRNAs-lncRNAs was constructed by using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic value of the autophagy-related lncRNAs and finally obtained a survival model composed of 11 autophagy-related lncRNAs. Through Kaplan-Meier analysis, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, it was further verified that the survival model was a new independent prognostic factor for patients with lung adenocarcinoma. In addition, based on the survival model, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to illustrate the function of genes in low-risk and high-risk groups. These 11 lncRNAs were GAS6-AS1, AC106047.1, AC010980.2, AL034397.3, NKILA, AL606489.1, HLA-DQB1-AS1, LINC01116, LINC01806, FAM83A-AS1 and AC090559.1. The hazard ratio (HR) of the risk score was 1.256 (1.196-1.320) (P < .001) in univariate Cox regression analysis and 1.215 (1.149-1.286) (P < .001) in multivariate Cox regression analysis. And the AUC value of the risk score was 0.809. The 11 autophagy-related lncRNA survival models had important predictive value for the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma and may become clinical autophagy-related therapeutic targets.     

A prognostic five long–noncoding RNA signature for patients with rectal cancer

This study aimed to identify prognostic long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) signature for predicting the prognosis of patients with rectal cancer. LncRNA-sequencing data and clinicopathological data of patients with rectal cancer were retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, the least absolute shrinkage, and selection operator analysis and the Kaplan-Meier curve method were employed to identify prognostic lncRNAs and construct multi-lncRNA signature. Finally, five lncRNAs (AC079789.1, AC106900.2, AL121987.1, AP004609.1, and LINC02163) were identified to construct a five-lncRNA signature. According to the five-lncRNA signature, patients with rectal cancer were divided into a high-risk group and low-risk group. Patients with rectal cancer had significantly poorer overall survival in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group. We used a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve to assess the power of the five-lncRNA signature by calculating the area under the curve (AUC). The AUCs for predicting 3-year survival and 5-year survival were 0.742 and 0.935, respectively, which indicated a good performance of the five-lncRNA signature. The five-lncRNA signature was independently associated with the prognosis of patients with rectal cancer through using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The biological function of the five lncRNAs was enriched in some cancer-related biological processes and pathways by performing functional enrichment analysis of their correlated protein-coding genes. In conclusion, we developed a five-lncRNA signature as a potential indicator for rectal cancer.     

Development and validation of a five-lncRNA signature with prognostic value in colon cancer

Dysregulation of long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) has been found in a large number of human cancers, including colon cancer. Therefore, the implementation of potential lncRNAs biomarkers with prognostic prediction value are very much essential. GSE39582 data set was downloaded from database of Gene Expression Omnibus. Re-annotation analysis of lncRNA expression profiles was performed by NetAffx annotation files. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional analyses helped select prognostic lncRNAs. Algorithm of random survival forest-variable hunting (RSF-VH) together with stepwise multivariate Cox proportional analysis were performed to establish lncRNA signature. The log-rank test was carried out to analyze and compare the Kaplan-Meier survival curves of patients’ overall survival (OS). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used for comparing the survival prediction regarding its specificity and sensitivity based on lncRNA risk score, followed by calculating the values of area under the curve (AUC). The single-sample GSEA (ssGSEA) analysis was used to describe biological functions associated with this signature. Finally, to determine the robustness of this model, we used the validation sets including GSE17536 and The Cancer Genome Atlas data set. After re-annotation analysis of lncRNAs, a total of 14 lncRNA probes were obtained by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional analysis. Then, the RSF-VH algorithm and stepwise multivariate Cox analysis helped to build a five-lncRNA prognostic signature for colon cancer. The patients in group with high risk showed an obviously shorter survival time compared with patients in group with low risk with AUC of 0.75. In addition, the five-lncRNA signature can be used to independently predict the survival of patients with colon cancer. The ssGSEA analysis revealed that pathways such as extracellular matrix-receptor interaction was activated with an increase in risk score. These findings determined the strong power of prognostic prediction value of this five-lncRNA signature for colon cancer.     

An innovative prognostic model based on autophagy-related long noncoding RNA signature for low-grade glioma

Autophagy is a highly conserved lysosomal degradation process essential in tumorigenesis. However, the involvement of autophagy-related long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) in low-grade glioma (LGG) remains unclear. In this study, we established an autophagy-related lncRNA prognostic signature for patients with LGG and assess its underlying functions. We used univariate Cox, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and multivariate Cox regression models to establish an autophagy-related lncRNA prognostic signature. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, receiver operating characteristic curve, nomogram, C-index, calibration curve and clinical decision-making curve were used to assess the predictive capability of the identified signature. A signature comprising nine autophagy-related lncRNAs (AL136964.1, ARHGEF26-AS1, PCED1B-AS1, AS104072.1, PRKCQ-AS1, LINC00957, AS125616.1, PSMB8-AS1 and AC087741.1) was identified as a prognostic model. Patients with LGG were divided into the high- and low-risk cohorts based on the median model-based risk score. The survival analysis revealed a 10-year survival rate of 9.3% (95% CI 1.91–45.3%) and 13.48% (95% CI 4.52–40.2%) in high-risk patients in the training and validation sets, respectively, and 48.4% (95% CI 24.7–95.0%) and 48.4% (95% CI 28.04–83.4%) in low-risk patients in the training and validation sets, respectively. This finding suggested a relatively low survival in high-risk patients. In addition, the lncRNA signature was independently prognostic and potentially associated with the progression of LGG. Therefore, the 9-autophagy-related-lncRNA signature may play a crucial role in the diagnosis and treatment of LGG, which may offer new avenues for tumour-targeted therapy.

     

Construction of a prognostic model for non-small-cell lung cancer based on ferroptosis-related genes

We wished to construct a prognostic model based on ferroptosis-related genes and to simultaneously evaluate the performance of the prognostic model and analyze differences between high-risk and low-risk groups at all levels. The gene-expression profiles and relevant clinical data of patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) were downloaded from public databases. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were obtained by analyzing differences between cancer tissues and paracancerous tissues, and common genes between DEGs and ferroptosis-related genes were identified as candidate ferroptosis-related genes. Next, a risk-score model was constructed using univariate Cox analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) analysis. According to the median risk score, samples were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups, and a series of bioinformatics analyses were conducted to verify the predictive ability of the model. Single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) was used to investigate differences in immune status between high-risk and low-risk groups, and differences in gene mutations between the two groups were investigated. A risk-score model was constructed based on 21 ferroptosis-related genes. A Kaplan–Meier curve and receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the model had good prediction ability. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses revealed that ferroptosis-related genes associated with the prognosis may be used as independent prognostic factors for the overall survival time of NSCLC patients. The pathways enriched with DEGs in low-risk and high-risk groups were analyzed, and the enriched pathways were correlated significantly with immunosuppressive status.     

A novel seven-lncRNA signature for prognosis prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is still one of the leading causes of cancer-related death worldwide. This study is dedicated to developing a multi–long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) model for risk stratification and prognosis prediction on patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We first downloaded lncRNA expression profiles and corresponding clinical information of patients with liver cancer from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. Differentially expressed (DE) lncRNAs between HCC samples and normal samples were identified. In total, 308 patients with HCC were randomly divided into a training group (n = 154) and a testing group (n = 154). Univariate Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression analyses were performed to select the best survival-related candidates from these DE lncRNAs in the training set. Seven lncRNAs (AC009005.2, RP11-363N22.3, RP11-932O9.10, RP11-572O6.1, RP11-190C22.8, RP11-388C12.8, and ZFPM2-AS1) were finally identified and used to construct a seven-lncRNA signature. The signature could classify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups with significantly different overall survival. The area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic curve for the signature to predict 5-year survival reached more than 0.75. Besides, the prognostic value of the seven-lncRNA signature was independent of conventional clinical factors. The predictive performance of the signature was further validated in the testing set and the whole set. Functional enrichment analysis indicated that the seven prognostic lncRNAs may be involved in several essential biological processes and pathways. The current study demonstrated the potential clinical implications of the seven-lncRNA signature for survival prediction of patients with HCC.     

An EMT‐related gene signature for the prognosis of human bladder cancer

The transition from non–muscle‐invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) to muscle‐invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) is detrimental to bladder cancer (BLCA) patients. Here, we aimed to study the underlying mechanism of the subtype transition. Gene set variation analysis (GSVA) revealed the epithelial‐mesenchymal transition (EMT) signalling pathway with the most positive correlation in this transition. Then, we built a LASSO Cox regression model of an EMT‐related gene signature in BLCA. The patients with high risk scores had significantly worse overall survival (OS) and disease‐free survival (DFS) than those with low risk scores. The EMT‐related gene signature also performed favourably in the accuracy of prognosis and in the subtype survival analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated that the EMT‐related gene signature, pathological N stage and age were independent prognostic factors for predicting survival in BLCA patients. Furthermore, the predictive nomogram model was able to effectively predict the outcome of BLCA patients by appropriately stratifying the risk score. In conclusion, we developed a novel EMT‐related gene signature that has tumour‐promoting effects, acts as a negative independent prognostic factor and might facilitate personalized counselling and treatment in BLCA.     

A 7-lncRNA signature predict prognosis of Uterine corpus endometrial carcinoma

Current research indicate that long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) are associated with the progression of various cancers and can be used as prognostic biomarkers. This study aims to construct a prognostic lncRNA signature for the risk assessment of Uterine corpus endometrial carcinoma (UCEC). The RNA-Seq expression profile and corresponding clinical data of UCEC patients obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. First, some prognosis-related lncRNAs were obtained by univariate Cox analysis. The minimum absolute contraction and selection operator (LASSO) regression and the Cox proportional hazard regression method were used to further identify the lncRNA prognostic model. Finally, seven lncRNAs (AC110491.1, AL451137.1, AC005381.1, AC103563.2, AC007422.2, AC108025.2, and MIR7-3HG) were identified as potential prognostic factors. According to the model constructed by the above analysis, the risk score of each UCEC patient was calculated, and the patients were classified into high and low-risk groups. The low-risk group had significant survival benefits. Moreover, we constructed a nomogram that incorporated independent prognostic factors (age, tumor stage, tumor grade, and risk score). The c-index value for evaluating the predictive nomogram model was 0.801. The area under the curve was 0.797 (3-year survival). The calibration curve also showed that there was a satisfactory agreement between the predicted and observed values in the probability of 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival. On the basis of the coexpression relationship, we established a coexpression network of lncRNA-messenger RNA (mRNA) of the 7-lncRNA. The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis of the coexpressing mRNAs showed that the main pathways related to the 7-lncRNA signature were neuroactive ligand-receptor interaction, serotonergic synapse, and gastric cancer pathway. Therefore, our study revealed that the 7-lncRNA could be used to predict the prognosis of UCEC and for postoperative treatment and follow-up.     

Analysis of competing endogenous RNA network identifies a poorly differentiated cancer-specific RNA signature for hepatocellular carcinoma

Plenty of evidence has suggested that long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) play a vital role in competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) networks. Poorly differentiated hepatocellular carcinoma (PDHCC) is a malignant phenotype. This paper aimed to explore the effect and the underlying regulatory mechanism of lncRNAs on PDHCC as a kind of ceRNA. Additionally, prognosis prediction was assessed. A total of 943 messenger RNAs (mRNAs), 86 miRNAs, and 468 lncRNAs that were differentially expressed between 137 PDHCCs and 235 well-differentiated HCCs were identified. Thereafter, a ceRNA network related to the dysregulated lncRNAs was established according to bioinformatic analysis and included 29 lncRNAs, 9 miRNAs, and 96 mRNAs. RNA-related overall survival (OS) curves were determined using the Kaplan-Meier method. The lncRNA ARHGEF7-AS2 was markedly correlated with OS in HCC (P = .041). Moreover, Cox regression analysis revealed that patients with low ARHGEF7-AS2 expression were associated with notably shorter survival time (P = .038). In addition, the area under the curve values of the lncRNA signature for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival were 0.806, 0.741, and 0.701, respectively. Furthermore, a lncRNA nomogram was established, and the C-index of the internal validation was 0.717. In vitro experiments were performed to demonstrate that silencing ARHGEF7-AS2 expression significantly promoted HCC cell proliferation and migration. Taken together, our findings shed more light on the ceRNA network related to lncRNAs in PDHCC, and ARHGEF7-AS2 may be used as an independent biomarker to predict the prognosis of HCC.     

Development and validation of two nomograms for predicting overall survival and cancer-specific survival in gastric cancer patients with liver metastases: A retrospective cohort study from SEER database

BackgroundGastric cancer is heterogeneous and aggressive, especially with liver metastasis. This study aims to develop two nomograms to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of gastric cancer with liver metastasis (GCLM) patients.MethodsFrom January 2000 to December 2018, a total of 1936 GCLM patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database. They were further divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort, with the OS and CSS serving as the study's endpoints. The correlation analyses were used to determine the relationship between the variables. The univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to confirm the independent prognostic factors. To discriminate and calibrate the nomogram, calibration curves and the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC) were used. DCA curves were used to examine the accuracy and clinical benefits. The clinical utility of the nomogram and the AJCC Stage System was compared using net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated differentiation improvement (IDI) (IDI). Finally, the nomogram and the AJCC Stage System risk stratifications were compared.ResultsThere was no collinearity among the variables that were screened. The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that six variables (bone metastasis, lung metastasis, surgery, chemotherapy, grade, age) and five variables (lung metastasis, surgery, chemotherapy, grade, N stage) were identified to establish the nomogram for OS and CSS, respectively. The calibration curves, time-dependent AUC curves, and DCA revealed that both nomograms had pleasant predictive power. Furthermore, NRI and IDI confirmed that the nomogram outperformed the AJCC Stage System.ConclusionBoth nomograms had satisfactory accuracy and were validated to assist clinicians in evaluating the prognosis of GCLM patients.     

Integrated analysis of a competing endogenous RNA network reveals key long noncoding RNAs as potential prognostic biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma

Growing evidence has revealed that long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) have an important impact on tumorigenesis and tumor progression via a mechanism involving competing endogenous RNAs (ceRNAs). However, their use in predicting the survival of a patient with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to develop a novel lncRNA expression–based risk score system to accurately predict the survival of patients with HCC. In our study, using expression profiles downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas database, the differentially expressed messenger RNAs (mRNAs), lncRNAs, and microRNAs (miRNAs) were explored in patients with HCC and normal liver tissues, and then a ceRNA network constructed. A risk score system was established between lncRNA expression of the ceRNA network and overall survival (OS) or recurrence-free survival (RFS); it was further analyzed for associations with the clinical features of patients with HCC. In HCC, 473 differentially expressed lncRNAs, 63 differentially expressed miRNAs, and 1417 differentially expressed mRNAs were detected. The ceRNA network comprised 41 lncRNA nodes, 12 miRNA nodes, 24 mRNA nodes, and 172 edges. The lncRNA expression–based risk score system for OS was constructed based on six lncRNAs (MYLK-AS1, AL359878.1, PART1, TSPEAR-AS1, C10orf91, and LINC00501), while the risk score system for RFS was based on four lncRNAs (WARS2-IT1, AL359878.1, AL357060.1, and PART1). Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses showed the risk score systems for OS or RFS were significant independent factors adjusted for clinical factors. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed the area under the curve for the risk score system was 0.704 for OS, and 0.71 for RFS. Our result revealed a lncRNA expression–based risk score system for OS or RFS can effectively predict the survival of patients with HCC and aid in good clinical decision-making.     

A Novel Nomogram for Predicting the Overall Survival in Patients with Unresectable HCC after TACE plus Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy

Background and aimTransarterial chemoembolization combined with hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (TACE-HAIC) has shown encouraging efficacy in the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to develop a novel nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) of patients with unresectable HCC treated with TACE-HAIC.MethodsA total of 591 patients with unresectable HCC treated with TACE-HAIC between May 2009 and September 2020 were enrolled. These patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. The independent prognostic factors were identified with Cox proportional hazards model. The model's discriminative ability and accuracy were validated using concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analyses (DCAs).ResultsThe median OS was 15.6 months. A nomogram was established based on these factors, including tumor size, vein invasion, extrahepatic metastasis, tumor number, alpha fetoprotein (AFP), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), to predict OS for patients with unresectable HCC treated with TACE-HAIC. The C-index of the nomogram were 0.717 in the training cohort and 0.724 in validation cohort. The calibration plots demonstrated good agreement between the predicted outcomes and the actual observations. The AUC values were better than those of three conventional staging systems. The results of DCA indicated that the nomogram may have clinical usefulness. The patients in the low-risk group had a longer OS than those in intermediate-risk and high-risk groups (P<0.001).ConclusionA prognostic nomogram was developed and validated to assist clinicians in accurately predicting the OS of patients with unresectable HCC after TACE-HAIC.     

CDKN1C as a prognostic biomarker correlated with immune infiltrates and therapeutic responses in breast cancer patients

Breast cancer (BC) prognosis and therapeutic sensitivity could not be predicted efficiently. Previous evidence have shown the vital roles of CDKN1C in BC. Therefore, we aimed to construct a CDKN1C-based model to accurately predicting overall survival (OS) and treatment responses in BC patients. In this study, 995 BC patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas database were selected. Kaplan-Meier curve, Gene set enrichment and immune infiltrates analyses were executed. We developed a novel CDKN1C-based nomogram to predict the OS, verified by the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve and decision curve. Therapeutic response prediction was followed based on the low- and high-nomogram score groups. Our results indicated that low-CDKN1C expression was associated with shorter OS and lower proportion of naïve B cells, CD8 T cells, activated NK cells. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram for 5-year OS was superior to the tumour-node-metastasis stage (area under the curve: 0.746 vs. 0.634, p < 0.001). The nomogram exhibited excellent predictive performance, calibration ability and clinical utility. Moreover, low-risk patients were identified with stronger sensitivity to therapeutic agents. This tool can improve BC prognosis and therapeutic responses prediction, thus guiding individualized treatment decisions.     

Comprehensive analysis of autophagy‐related prognostic genes in breast cancer

Accumulating evidence revealed that autophagy played vital roles in breast cancer (BC) progression. Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of autophagy‐related genes (ARGs) and develop a ARG‐based model to evaluate 5‐year overall survival (OS) in BC patients. We acquired ARG expression profiling in a large BC cohort (N = 1007) from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The correlation between ARGs and OS was confirmed by the LASSO and Cox regression analyses. A predictive model was established based on independent prognostic variables. Thus, time‐dependent receiver operating curve (ROC), calibration plot, decision curve and subgroup analysis were conducted to determine the predictive performance of ARG‐based model. Four ARGs (ATG4A, IFNG, NRG1 and SERPINA1) were identified using the LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A ARG‐based model was constructed based on the four ARGs and two clinicopathological risk factors (age and TNM stage), dividing patients into high‐risk and low‐risk groups. The 5‐year OS of patients in the low‐risk group was higher than that in the high‐risk group (P < 0.0001). Time‐dependent ROC at 5 years indicated that the four ARG–based tool had better prognostic accuracy than TNM stage in the training cohort (AUC: 0.731 vs 0.640, P < 0.01) and validation cohort (AUC: 0.804 vs 0.671, P < 0.01). The mutation frequencies of the four ARGs (ATG4A, IFNG, NRG1 and SERPINA1) were 0.9%, 2.8%, 8% and 1.3%, respectively. We built and verified a novel four ARG–based nomogram, a credible approach to predict 5‐year OS in BC, which can assist oncologists in determining effective therapeutic strategies.     

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival in Pancreatic NeuroendocrineTumors

BACKGROUND: The objective of current study was to develop and validate a nomogram to predict overall survival in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs). METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for patients with PNETs between 2004 and 2015. Patients were randomly separated into the training set and the validation set. Cox regression model was used in training set to obtain independent prognostic factors to develop a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS). The discrimination and calibration plots were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 3142 patients with PNETs were collected from the SEER database. Sex, age, marital status, primary site, TNM stage, tumor grade, and therapy were associated with OS in the multivariate models. A nomogram was constructed based on these variables. The nomogram for predicting OS displayed better discrimination power than the Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage systems 7th edition in the training set and validation set. The calibration curve indicated that the nomogram was able to accurately predict 3- and 5-year OS. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram which could predict 3- and 5-year OS were established in this study. Our nomogram showed a good performance, suggesting that it could be served as an effective tool for prognostic evaluation of patients with PNETs.     

A prognostic 11 long noncoding RNA expression signature for breast invasive carcinoma

Breast cancer, the most common cancer in women worldwide, is associated with high mortality. The long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) with a little capacity of coding proteins is playing an increasingly important role in the cancer paradigm. Accumulating evidences demonstrate that lncRNAs have crucial connections with breast cancer prognosis while the studies of lncRNAs in breast cancer are still in its primary stage. In this study, we collected 1052 clinical patient samples, a comparatively large sample size, including 13 159 lncRNA expression profiles of breast invasive carcinoma (BRCA) from The Cancer Genome Atlas database to identify prognosis-related lncRNAs. We randomly separated all of these clinical patient samples into training and testing sets. In the training set, we performed univariable Cox regression analysis for primary screening and played the model for Robust likelihood-based survival for 1000 times. Then 11 lncRNAs with a frequency more than 600 were selected for prediction of the prognosis of BRCA. Using the analysis of multivariate Cox regression, we established a signature risk-score formula for 11 lncRNA to identify the relationship between lncRNA signatures and overall survival. The 11 lncRNA signature was validated both in the testing and the complete set and could effectively classify the high-/low-risk group with different OS. We also verified our results in different stages. Moreover, we analyzed the connection between the 11 lncRNAs and the genes of ESR1, PGR, and Her2, of which protein products (ESR, PGR, and HER2) were used to classify the breast cancer subtypes widely. The results indicated correlations between 11 lncRNAs and the gene of PGR and ESR1. Thus, a prognostic model for 11 lncRNA expression was developed to classify the BRAC clinical patient samples, providing new avenues in understanding the potential therapeutic methods of breast cancer.