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1.
Background Studies have shown that pets are very important sensitizing agents in patients with asthma. Respiratory disorders and allergic diseases are common in the State of Qatar. Objective The aim of the present study was to determine whether exposure to pets and domestic animals plays a significant role in the development of asthma and allergic rhinitis among Qatari school children aged 6–14 years. Design A cross-sectional prospective study. Setting Public schools for boys and girls in urban and semi-urban areas. Subjects A total of 3,500 Qatari school boys and girls aged 6–14 years were approached. After exclusion of those who did not give consent for the study and incomplete questionnaires, 3,283 (98.3%) participants were included in the data analysis. Methods A multistage sampling technique was used and different schools from urban and semi-urban areas were selected. A standard questionnaire was distributed to parents of randomly selected school children aged 6–14 years between February 2003 and February 2004. Results The overall prevalence of asthma was 19.8% and the mean age of the children was 9.0 ± 2.0 years. The male and female percentages were 52.3% and 47.7% respectively. Nine hundred and ninety-six families out of 3,283 (30.3%) owned pets. It was found that among children with no family history of asthma, the relative risk (RR) of asthma with pets at home was 1.19 and the 95% confidence interval (CI) was 1.0–1.4 (P = 0.025). The RR of having allergic rhinitis was 1.60 (95% CI = 1.4–1.8; P < 0.001) and risk of having eczema was also significantly higher in participants with pets at home (RR = 1.28; 95% CI = 1.1–1.5; P < 0.001). Conclusion In the present study, the prevalence of asthma, allergic rhinitis, and eczema was significantly more common in families with domestic animals than in those without.  相似文献   

2.
451 rural children (group I) and 2000 urban children (group II) aged 10-16 years from Toruń province were inquired by a questionnaire to their parents or guardians. 9.09% of children in the country and 13.45% of those living in the city of Toruń suffered from hypersensitivity disorders; bronchial asthma was reported in 2.22% and 3.05% of cases, allergic rhinitis--in 3.77% and 7.15%, allergic conjunctivitis--in 1.33% and 2.75%, allergic edema--in 0.44% and 0.60%, urticaria--in 1.55% and 3.50%, and infantile eczema--in 0.44% and 2.10% of cases, respectively. The pollinosis prevalence rate was 2.00% in group I and 1.85% in group II. At least 2 various forms of hypersensitivity coexisted in 30.48% of allergic urban children (64.86% of patients with pollinosis among them); infantile eczema preceded allergic rhinitis and bronchial asthma symptoms in 6.29% and 11.47% of cases, respectively, while allergic rhinitis occurred before the onset of bronchial asthma in 24.59% of asthmatic children. 37.10% of individuals with positive family history of allergic conditions also fell ill with some diseases of this nature, while in those with negative family history allergy occurred only in 10.22% of cases. From environmental factors mother's diseases during pregnancy, bottle feeding and a regular diet during the first year of life, frequent respiratory infections in the early childhood and poor living conditions increased the risk of allergic diseases or aggravated their course in the population examined.  相似文献   

3.
OBJECTIVE--To determine the sociodemographic and motivational characteristics of parents who volunteer their children for clinical research. DESIGN--A questionnaire was administered to parents who volunteered their children for a randomised, double blind, placebo controlled trial of a drug to treat asthma and to a control group of parents whose children were eligible for the trial but had refused the invitation. SETTING--A children''s hospital in Australia. SUBJECTS--68 Parents who had volunteered their children and 42 who had not; a response rate of 94% and 70%, respectively. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Responses of parents to questionnaire designed to assess their perceptions, attitudes, and health seeking behaviour as well as sociodemographic data. RESULTS--Volunteering parents were less well educated with only 15% (10/68) of mothers and 16% (11/68) and of fathers having had a tertiary or university education compared with 26% (11/42) of mothers and 45% (19/42) in the non-volunteering group. Fewer volunteering parents had professional or administrative jobs than did non-volunteering parents (mothers 6% (4/68); fathers 9% (6/68) v mothers 14% (6/42); fathers 31% (13/42)). Volunteering parents had less social support, and they displayed greater health seeking behaviour and consumed more habit forming substances. They were motivated by a desire to help others and to contribute to medical research, but they were also searching for more information and better ways to help their own children. CONCLUSION--Parents who volunteer their children for medical research are significantly more socially disadvantaged and emotionally vulnerable.  相似文献   

4.
An analysis is made of the incidence of allergic diseases in 105 enuretic boys and girls, in their parents and siblings, and in matched controls. There is an increased incidence of hay fever, urticaria and food and drug allergies in enuretic boys. There is an increased incidence of enuresis in the parents of enuretic children. Enuretic children and their fathers are significantly more prone to develop urinary infections than are controls; there is also an increased incidence in urinary infections in their mothers, but numbers are insufficient to indicate that this is significant.  相似文献   

5.
Summary When 458 parents of children suffering from cystic fibrosis (CF) from all over the German Democratic Republic were interviewed to determine the number of their siblings, it was found that the maternal families had a total of 1369 children and the paternal, 1220. While the fathers of CF patients tended to originate from families with one or two children, more mothers than fathers came from families with three to twelve children (P=0.01). The average number of children in the maternal families was 2.99; in the paternal families, only 2.66. To rule out any methodological errors, sibs of mothers and fathers of various control groups were studied. We found that the number of siblings in these groups was balanced. The differences in our findings are probably due to CF heterozygosity. The underlying mechanism is unknown.  相似文献   

6.
For many years it has been suggested that allergens derived from the house dust mite played a major role in the pathogenesis of asthma, eczema and some cases of allergic rhinitis. Recently, house dust mite allergens have been purified and specific immunoassays developed with which exposure to house dust mites and their allergens can be more easily determined. Using these tools, epidemiological studies have provided confirmatory evidence that not only is house dust mite exposure associated with the majority of cases of asthma in children and young adults, but that it is causally related to the development of asthma.  相似文献   

7.
Three randomly selected groups of 7-year-old schoolchildren in Melbourne with mild wheezy bronchitis, with moderate wheezy bronchitis, and with asthma were compared with a control group, and the patients followed up until 10 years of age. Comparison showed that if there was any significant difference between the study groups and the controls it was usually present in all these study groups. It was considered that children with wheezy bronchitis and asthma were from the same population with the same underlying basic disorder, and that there was a wide spectrum in various aspects of the natural history of the disorder.About 11% of all children aged 10 years had had some asthmatic episodes. Seventy per cent. of these children ceased having asthma before 10 years of age, while about 30% (3·7% of the whole community) continued to have episodes. There was a highly significant correlation between early age of onset, the frequency of episodes in the first year of symptoms, and the persistence of asthmatic episodes up to 10 years of age.Ten per cent. of all children with asthmatic episodes continued to have symptoms as severely at 10 years as at an earlier period. In this group the onset of symptoms was almost always before 3 years of age, there was a high frequency of episodes in the first year of symptoms, and boys and girls were affected in the ratio of 7:3.  相似文献   

8.
Background: The prevalence of Helicobacter pylori in Western populations has steadily decreased. This has been suggested as one of the factors involved in the recent increase of asthma and allergy. Some studies have reported a negative association between H. pylori and asthma and allergy, but data are inconsistent and there are a few studies in children. Aim: We investigated whether the prevalence of H. pylori was associated with asthma symptoms, allergic rhinitis, and atopic dermatitis in childhood. Methods: We determined IgG anti‐H. pylori and CagA antibodies in serum of Dutch children, who took part in the PIAMA birth cohort study. Serum was collected from 545 children, aged 7–9 years (Dutch ethnicity 91.5%). Symptoms of asthma and atopy were assessed by yearly questionnaires. Chi‐square tests and logistic regression were used. Results: We found 9%H. pylori and 0.9% CagA seropositivity. Twelve (5.9%) children with reported wheezing ever were H. pylori positive, compared to 37 (10.9%) of the non‐wheezers (p = .05). No significant differences in H. pylori prevalence were found between children with or without allergic rhinitis (8.5% vs 9.5%), atopic dermatitis (8.7% vs 9.2%), and physician‐diagnosed asthma (7.1% vs 9.4%). Multivariate analysis showed no significant associations between H. pylori seropositivity and wheezing (OR 0.52; 95% CI 0.25–1.06), allergic rhinitis (OR 0.96; 95% CI 0.51–1.81), atopic dermatitis (OR 1.05; 95% CI 0.56–1.98) or physician‐diagnosed asthma (OR 0.87; 95% CI 0.37–2.08). Conclusion: We found a borderline significantly lower H. pylori seropositivity in children with wheezing compared to non‐wheezers, but no association between H. pylori serum‐antibody status and allergic rhinitis, atopic dermatitis, or asthma.  相似文献   

9.
The aim of the study was to investigate whether polymorphisms in genes encoding Toll-like receptors (TLR2 and TLR4) may modify relative risk for development of asthma or allergic rhinitis. The results showed that the genotype and allele frequencies of the TLR2 Arg753Gln and TLR4 Asp299Gly polymorphisms were not significantly different between asthmatic children or allergic rhinitis when compared to controls (p>0.05 for each) or even when compared further with IgE level. However, it was shown that the mutant allele of TLR2 or TLR4 polymorphisms were significantly associated with the moderate-severe group compared to the mild group in both atopic asthmatics and allergic rhinitis group (p>0.001 for each). In conclusion, our study demonstrates a lack of association of TLR2 and TLR4 polymorphisms with asthma and allergic rhinitis but suggests significant association between these genetic variants and the disease severity.  相似文献   

10.
《PloS one》2015,10(4)

Background

Population-based estimates of asthma and allergic rhinitis in sub-Saharan African adults are lacking. We assessed the prevalence and determinants of asthma and allergic rhinitis in urban adult Cameroonians.

Methods

A community-based survey was conducted from December 2013 to April 2014 among adults aged 19 years and above (N = 2,304, 57.3% women), selected through multilevel stratified random sampling across all districts of Yaounde (Capital city). Internationally validated questionnaires were used to investigate the presence of allergic diseases. Logistic regressions were employed to investigate the determinants of allergic conditions.

Results

Prevalence rates were 2.7% (95% CI: 2.1-3.4) for asthma-ever, 6.9% (5.9-7.9) for lifetime wheezing, 2.9% (92.2-3.6) for current wheezing and 11.4% (10.1-12.7) for self-reported lifetime allergic rhinitis; while 240 (10.4%) participants reported current symptoms of allergic rhinitis, and 125 (5.4%) had allergic rhino-conjunctivitis. The prevalence of current asthma medication use and self-reported asthma attack was 0.8 (0.4-1.2) and 1 (0.6-1.4) respectively. Multivariable adjusted determinants of current wheezing were signs of atopic eczema [2.91 (1.09-7.74)] and signs of allergic rhinitis [3.24 (1.83-5.71)]. Age group 31-40 years [0.27(0.09-0.78), p = 0.016] was an independent protective factor for wheezing. Determinants of current rhinitis symptoms were active smoking [2.20 (1.37-3.54), p<0.001], signs of atopic eczema [2.84 (1.48-5.46)] and current wheezing [3.02 (1.70-5.39)].

Conclusion

Prevalence rates for asthma and allergic rhinitis among adults in this population were at the lower tails of those reported in other regions of the world. Beside the classical interrelation between allergic diseases found in this study, active smoking was an independent determinant of allergic rhinitis symptoms. Nationwide surveys are needed to investigate regional variations.  相似文献   

11.
Allergic asthma is a multifactorial disease involving well known environmental factors and less identified genetic components. In several studies the HLA genes have been implicated in the development of asthma and atopy, but the importance of these associations remains unclear. The aim of the present study was to analyse the distribution of specificities at HLA class I loci (-A and -B) and HLA class II locus (-DRB1) in a group of 143 Croatian children with atopic asthma, regarding total serum IgE and specific IgE against common inhalant allergens, as well as their connection with different asthmatic phenotypes and to identify HLA genotype which increases the risk for atopy or asthma or which has a protective effect. As controls we used a group of 163 healthy unrelated individuals. HLA class I antigens were determined by serology, while DRB1 specificities were detected by polymerase-chain reaction amplification and hybridisation with sequence specific oligonucleotide probes method (PCR-SSOP). We found no significant correlation between any of the HLA-A antigens and asthma, atopy or associated atopic phenotypes. At HLA-B locus, HLA-B8 antigen was significantly increased among asthmatic patients (p = 0.002), patients with high total serum IgE (p = 0.002), as well as among patients sensitizated to Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus (Der p) (p = 0.014) and among patients sensitizated to Der p + Dactylis glomerata (Dact g) or Ambrosia elatior (Amb a) (p = 0.004). Among HLA-DRB1 specificities, HLA-DRB1 *01 showed positive correlation with asthma and atopy (p = 0.034), while HLA-DRB1*03 specificity was observed with significantly higher frequency among patients with total serum IgE > or = 400 KU/L (p = 0.048). HLA-DRB1*16 specificity was observed with significantly lower frequency among patients with asthma only in comparison to healthy controls (p = 0.027) and to patients with asthma and allergic rhinitis (p = 0.005). In conclusion, our data suggest that HLA specificities play a relevant role in predisposition to asthma, as well as in different clinical forms of atopic diseases. HLA-B8, HLA-DRB1*01 and HLA-DRB1*03 genotype increases the risk for atopic asthma and high serum IgE.  相似文献   

12.
The sera for 88 parents and 9 siblings of 73 patients with insulin dependent diabetes mellitus in childhood and 437 controls matched in age and sex, were tested by the thyroglobulin and microsome-coated tanned red cell hemagglutination test (Fuji-Zoki Co. Tokyo). None of 73 children with diabetes mellitus had antithyroglobulin antibodies, whereas twelve (16.4%) had antimicrosomal antibodies compared with the incidence of 0.4% and 1.1%, respectively, in 437 controls. In the parents and siblings of these probands, thyroid antibodies were also found in increased incidence. The incidence of antimicrosomal antibodies in the 68 mothers was significantly higher than in controls matched for age and sex, but the incidence of the positive thyroid antibodies in the 20 fathers and 9 siblings was not significantly different from that in control populations. The incidence of thyroid antibodies tended to be higher, though not significant, in parents and siblings of diabetic children with positive thyroid antibodies than in those of diabetics with negative ones. These findings suggest that immunogenetic factors may be responsible for the pathogenesis of some cases of diabetes mellitus in childhood.  相似文献   

13.
Introduction. Indoorair pollution may play an important role in development and exacerbation of asthma in children. Objective. The association between the presence of indoor biological contaminants and respiratory symptoms related to asthma was assessed in preschool children. Materials and methods. This cross-sectional study was undertaken in Bucaramanga, Colombia, and included children <7 years of age living in two urban areas of with different levels of outdoor air pollution. The 678 children were an average of 3.5 years of age. Respiratory symptoms indicative of asthma and indoor air pollutants were assessed by previously validated questionnaires.. Biological samples potentially containing mites and fungi were collected by standardized laboratory methods. The log binomial regression model was used for multivariate analysis, using adjusted prevalence ratios (PR). Results. The prevalence of asthmatic respiratory symptoms was 8.0%; (95% C.I: 5.6-9.6), without significant differences between the two areas. Binomial model analysis showed that asthma symptoms were associated with mites (PR 1.78; 95% C.I. 1.0-3.0), Acremonium sp (PR 6.24; 95 C.I.: 3.8-10.0) and a history of child pneumonia (PR 4.0; 95% C.I. 2.5-6.4), allergic rhinitis (PR 1.9; 95% C.I.: 1.2-3.1), prematurity (PR 3.4; 95% C.I. 1.8-6.5), parents with asthma (PR 2.6; 95% C.I. 1.4-5.0) and pet ownership (PR 0.4; 95% C.I. 0.2-0.9). Conclusions. The indoor exposure to biological contaminants (dust mites and fungi), history of prematurity, pneumonia, rhinitis and family history of asthma increased the occurence of symptoms suggestive of asthma in young children.  相似文献   

14.
OBJECTIVES--To determine whether the offspring of cancer survivors are at an increased risk of congenital anomalies and whether cancer therapy before conception is associated with such an increase. DESIGN--Case-control study using computerised record linkage. SETTING--Ontario, Canada. SUBJECTS--Parents of children born during April 1979 to December 1986 who had a congenital anomaly diagnosed within the first year of life (45,200 mothers and 41,158 fathers) and a matched sample of parents whose children did not have a congenital anomaly (45,200 mothers and 41,158 fathers). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Cancer diagnosed in either parent before conception and radiotherapy to the pelvis or abdomen or chemotherapy with an alkylating agent. RESULTS--Among the mothers, 54 cases and 52 controls were identified as having had cancer diagnosed in Ontario (relative risk = 1.04, 95% confidence interval 0.7 to 1.5) and among the fathers, 61 cases and 65 controls were identified (0.9, 0.7 to 1.4). No significant associations were found between congenital anomalies in the offspring and any type of cancer treatment in either the mothers or the fathers. CONCLUSIONS--The risk of congenital anomalies among liveborn offspring whose parents have had cancer or been treated for cancer is not higher than that in the general population.  相似文献   

15.

Background

While it is suggested that the prevalence of asthma in developed countries may have stabilized, this is not clear in currently developing countries. Current available information for both adults and children simultaneously on the burden and impact of allergic conditions in Colombia and in many Latin American countries is limited. The objectives of this study were to estimate the prevalence for asthma, allergic rhinitis (AR), atopic eczema (AE), and atopy in six colombian cities; to quantify costs to the patient and her/his family; and to determine levels of Immunoglobulin E (IgE) in asthmatic and healthy subjects.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional, population-based study in six cities during the academic year 2009?C2010. We used a school-based design for subjects between 5?C17?years old. We carried out a community-based strategy for subjects between 1?C4?years old and adults between 18?C59?years old. Serum samples for total and antigen-specific (IgE) levels were collected using a population-based, nested, case?Ccontrol design.

Results

We obtained information on 5978 subjects. The largest sample of subjects was collected in Bogotá (2392). The current prevalence of asthma symptoms was 12% (95% CI, 10.5-13.7), with 43% (95% CI, 36.3-49.2) reporting having required an emergency department visit or hospitalization in the past 12?months. Physician diagnosed asthma was 7% (95% CI, 6.1-8.0). The current prevalence of AR symptoms was 32% (95% CI, 29.5-33.9), and of AE symptoms was 14% (95% CI, 12.5-15.3). We collected blood samples from 855 subjects; 60.2% of asthmatics and 40.6% of controls could be classified as atopic.

Conclusions

In Colombia, symptom prevalence for asthma, AR and AE, as well as levels of atopy, are substantial. Specifically for asthma, symptom severity and absence from work or study due to symptoms are important. These primary care sensitive conditions remain an unmet public health burden in developing countries such as Colombia.  相似文献   

16.
Cancer risk in parents may be related to congenital malformations (CMs) in their children if they share genetic susceptibility or environmental exposure that may be teratogenic and carcinogenic. We conducted a population‐based cohort study based on Danish register data. We identified 795,607 mothers and 781,424 fathers who had all their children between 1977 and 2007 in Denmark. Information on CM was obtained from the Danish Hospital Registry and information on cancer was obtained from the Danish Cancer Registry. Parents were followed from the birth of their first child until the diagnosis of cancer, death, emigration, or December 31, 2007. We used Cox regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for cancer including cancer in specific organs in mothers and fathers. Overall, 75,701 (9.5%) mothers and 72,724 (9.3%) fathers had at least one child diagnosed with CMs within the first year of life. Neither mothers (HR = 1.04; 95% CI: 0.99–1.04) nor fathers (HR = 1.03; 95% CI: 0.98–1.09) who had a child with a CM had a higher overall risk of cancer. Mothers (HR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.58–1.00) or fathers (HR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.66–1.19) who had a child with a chromosomal malformation had a lower overall cancer risk. The findings also showed a higher risk for some specific types of cancer in parents who had children with a CM in the specific system. Some, or perhaps all, of these findings may be due to chance caused by multiple comparisons. We present all results on paper or online to provide clues for further research and to avoid publication bias.  相似文献   

17.
OBJECTIVE--To study the effect of early diet on the development of allergic reactions in infants born preterm. DESIGN--Two randomised prospective trails. In trail A infants were randomly allocated banked donor milk or preterm formula as their sole diet or (separately randomised) as a supplement to their mother''s expressed breast milk. In trial B infants were allocated term or preterm formula. A blind follow up examination was done 18 months after the expected date of birth. SETTING--Neonatal units of hospitals in Cambridge, Ipswich, King''s Lynn, Norwich, and Sheffield. Outpatient follow up. PARTICIPANTS--777 Infants with a birth weight less than 1850 g born during 1982 to 1984. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Development of eczema, allergic reactions to food or drugs, and asthma or wheezing by nine and 18 months after term. Whenever possible the observations were confirmed by rechallenge or clinical examination. RESULTS--At 18 months after term there was no difference in the incidence of allergic reactions between dietary groups in either trial. In the subgroup of infants with a family history of atopy, however, those in trial A who received preterm formula rather than human milk had a significantly greater risk of developing one or more allergic reactions (notably eczema) by 18 months (odds ratio 3.6; 95% confidence interval 1.4 to 9.1). CONCLUSIONS--Feeding neonates on formulas based on cows'' milk, including those with a high protein content, did not increase the overall risk of allergy. Nevertheless, in the subgroup with a family history of atopy early exposure to cows'' milk increased the risk of a wide range of allergic reactions, especially eczema.  相似文献   

18.

Background

In the preschool period, allergic rhinitis (AR) is infrequent and thus under-diagnosed. However, recent works have highlighted the occurrence of AR in toddlers although the causes of AR in this young population remain unknown. The objective of this study was to identify determinants of AR in young children with asthma.

Methods

We carried out a case-control study of 227 children with active asthma and enrolled in the Trousseau Asthma Program. AR and other allergic diseases (asthma, food allergy and eczema) were diagnosed by medical doctors using standardized questionnaires. Parental history of AR and asthma, biological markers of atopy (total IgE, blood eosinophilia, allergic sensitization towards food and aeroallergens) and environmental parameters were also collected.

Results

Forty one of the children (18.1%) had AR. By univariate logistic regression analysis, AR was mainly associated with peanut sensitization (OR = 6.75; p = 0.002); food allergy (OR = 4.31; p = 0.026); mold exposure (OR = 3.81 p<0.01) and parental history of AR (OR = 1.42; p = 0.046). Due to the strong link between food allergy and peanut sensitization three models of multivariate logistic regression were performed and confirmed that AR is associated with peanut sensitization but also food allergy and mold exposure. A random forest analysis was also performed to explain AR. The results reinforced the logistic analysis that peanut sensitization and mold exposure were the principal determinants of AR.

Conclusions & Clinical Relevance

These results stress the importance of investigating AR in young children with asthma to potentially diagnose a particularly severe allergic asthmatic phenotype. Moreover, these data evoke the hypothesis that peanut could be an aeroallergen.  相似文献   

19.
OBJECTIVES: To determine rates of other atopic manifestations in people with peanut allergy and the prevalence of such allergy in their families. DESIGN: A survey of people with self reported peanut allergy and people referred by their general practitioner for suspected peanut allergy; survey and skin testing of 50 children with reported peanut allergy and their available first degree relatives. SUBJECTS: 622 adults and children with reported, suspected, or known peanut allergy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of peanut allergy and other allergies in the families of people with peanut allergy. RESULTS: 622 valid completed questionnaires were returned out of the 833 questionnaires dispatched (74.7%). All forms of atopy were both more common in successive generations (P < 0.0001) and more common in maternal than paternal relatives (P < 0.0001). Peanut allergy was reported by 0.1% (3/2409) of grandparents, 0.6% (7/1213) of aunts and uncles, 1.6% (19/1218) of parents, and 6.9% (42/610) of siblings. Consumption of peanuts while pregnant or breast feeding was more common among mothers of probands aged < or = 5 years than mothers of probands aged > 5 years (P < 0.001). Age of onset correlated inversely with year of birth (r = -0.6, P < 0.001). Skin prick testing of 50 children with reported peanut allergy and their families: 7 probands (14%) had a negative result for peanut. Peanut allergy was refuted by food challenge in all those tested (5/7). No parent and 13% (5/39) of siblings had a positive result on skin prick testing for peanut. Two of these siblings had negative challenge with peanuts. The prevalence of peanut allergy in siblings is therefore 3/39 (7%). CONCLUSIONS: Peanut allergy is more common in siblings of people with peanut allergy than in the parents or the general population. Its apparently increasing prevalence may reflect a general increase of atopy, which is inherited more commonly from the mother. Peanut allergy is presenting earlier in life, possibly reflecting increased consumption of peanut by pregnant and nursing mothers.  相似文献   

20.
OBJECTIVE--To determine which factors measured in childhood predict asthma in adult life. DESIGN--Prospective study over 25 years of a birth cohort initially studied at the age of 7. SETTING--Tasmania, Australia. SUBJECTS--1494 men and women surveyed in 1991-3 when aged 29 to 32 (75% of a random stratified sample from the 1968 Tasmanian asthma survey of children born in 1961 and at school in Tasmania). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Self reported asthma or wheezy breathing in the previous 12 months (current asthma). RESULTS--Of the subjects with asthma or wheezy breathing by the age of 7, as reported by their parents 25.6% (190/741) reported current asthma as an adult compared with 10.8% (81/753) of subjects without parent reported childhood asthma (P < 0.001). Factors measured at the age of 7 that independently predicted current asthma as an adult were being female (odds ratio 1.57; 95% confidence interval 1.19 to 2.08); having a history of eczema (1.45; 1.04 to 2.03); having a low mild forced expiratory flow rate (interquartile odds ratio 1.40; 1.15 to 1.71); having a mother or father with a history of asthma (1.74 (1.23 to 2.47) and 1.68 (1.18 to 2.38) respectively); and having childhood asthma (1.59; 1.10 to 2.29) and, if so, having the first attack after the age of 2 (1.66; 1.17 to 2.36) or having had more than 10 attacks (1.70; 1.17 to 2.48). CONCLUSION--Children with asthma reported by their parents in 1968 were more likely than not to be free of symptoms as adults. The subjects who had more severe asthma (especially if it developed after the age of 2 and was associated with reduced expiratory flow), were female, or had parents who had asthma were at an increased risk of having asthma as an adult. These findings have implications for the treatment and prognosis of childhood asthma, targeting preventive and educational strategies and understanding the onset of asthma in adult life.  相似文献   

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