Development and validation of a coding framework to identify severe acute toxicity from systemic anti-cancer therapy using hospital administrative data

BackgroundThe capture of toxicities from systemic anti-cancer therapy (SACT) in real-world data will complement results from clinical trials. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a comprehensive coding framework to identify severe acute toxicity in hospital administrative data.MethodsA coding framework was developed to identify diagnostic codes representing severe acute toxicity in hospital administrative data. The coding framework was validated on a sample of 23,265 colon cancer patients treated in the English National Health Service between 1 June 2014 and 31 December 2017. This involved comparing individual toxicities according to the receipt of SACT and according to different SACT regimens, as well as assessing the associations of predictive factors and outcomes with toxicity.ResultsThe severe acute toxicities captured by the developed coding framework were shown to vary across clinical groups with an overall rate of 26.4% in the adjuvant cohort, 53.4% in the metastatic cohort, and 12.5% in the comparison group receiving no chemotherapy. Results were in line with regimen-specific findings from clinical trials. For example, patients receiving additional bevacizumab had higher rates of bleeding (12.5% vs. 2.7%), gastrointestinal perforation (5.6% vs. 2.9%) and fistulation (1.4% vs. 0.5%), and allergic drug reactions (1.4% vs. 0.5%). Severe acute toxicity was associated with pre-existing renal (p = 0.001) and cardiac disease (p = 0.038), and urgency of surgery (p = 0.004). Severe toxicity also predicted lower rates of completion of chemotherapy (p = <0.001) and an increased likelihood of altered administration route (p = <0.001).ConclusionThese results demonstrate that the developed coding framework captures severe acute toxicities from hospital administrative data of colon cancer patients. A similar approach can be used for patients with other cancer types, receiving different regimens. Toxicity captured in administrative data can be used to compare treatment outcomes, inform clinical decision making, and provide opportunities for benchmarking and provider performance monitoring.     

Impact of a COPD Discharge Care Bundle on Readmissions following Admission with Acute Exacerbation: Interrupted Time Series Analysis

ObjectivesWe evaluated the impact of a COPD discharge care bundle on readmission rates following hospitalisation with an acute exacerbation.DesignInterrupted time series analysis, comparing readmission rates for COPD exacerbations at nine trusts that introduced the bundle, to two comparison groups; (1) other NHS trusts in London and (2) all other NHS trusts in England. Care bundles were implemented at different times for different NHS trusts, ranging from October 2009 to April 2011.SettingNine NHS acute trusts in the London, England.ParticipantsPatients aged 45 years and older admitted to an NHS acute hospital in England for acute exacerbation of COPD. Data come from Hospital Episode Statistics, April 2002 to March 2012.ResultsIn hospitals introducing the bundle readmission rates were rising before implementation and falling afterwards (e.g. readmissions within 28 days +2.13% per annum (pa) pre and -5.32% pa post (p for difference in trends = 0.012)). Following implementation, readmission rates within 7 and 28 day were falling faster than among other trusts in London, although this was not statistically significant (e.g. readmissions within 28 days -4.6% pa vs. -3.2% pa, p = 0.44). Comparisons with a national control group were similar.ConclusionsThe COPD discharge care bundle appeared to be associated with a reduction in readmission rate among hospitals using it. The significance of this is unclear because of changes to background trends in London and nationally.     

Validity of initial cancer diagnoses in the Diagnosis Procedure Combination data in Japan

BackgroundIn Japan, the Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) data have been used as a nationwide administrative hospital discharge database for clinical studies. However, few studies have evaluated the validity of recorded diagnoses of cancer in the database.MethodsWe compared the DPC data with hospital-based cancer registries in Osaka Prefecture, Japan to assess the validity of the recorded cancer diagnoses in the DPC data. Fifteen types of cancer were included in the analysis. Cancer stage with tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification was assessed for eight cancer types with >400 patients. We evaluated concordance and positive predictive value of cancer diagnosis, and concordance of cancer stage between the DPC data and the hospital-based cancer registry.ResultsIn total, we identified 29,180 eligible patients. The five types of cancer with the highest number of patients were as follows: 6,765 (23.2 %) colorectal, 6,476 (22.2 %) stomach, 4,862 (16.7 %) breast, 4,445 (15.2 %) lung, and 2,257 (7.7 %) liver. Concordance of diagnosis ranged from 63.9 %–99.5 %, and twelve of the fifteen types of cancers had concordance of over 90 %. Positive predictive values of diagnosis ranged from 86.8 %–100 %. Regarding cancer stage, the overall degree of concordance was 67.2 % in all patients and the concordance was over 70 % in four types of cancers.ConclusionsThe DPC data had high validity of cancer diagnosis. However, the potential impact of the misclassifications and low concordance in cancer stage among specific type of cancers in the DPC data should be considered.     

Pre-diagnostic telomere length and colorectal cancer risk

BackgroundProgressive telomere shortening may be related to genomic instability and carcinogenesis. Prospective evidence relating telomere length (TL) with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk has been limited and inconsistent.MethodsWe examined the association between pre-diagnostic peripheral blood leukocyte TL and CRC risk in two matched case-control studies nested within the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS). Relative leukocyte TL was measured using qPCR among 356 incident CRC cases and 801 controls (NHS: 186/465, HPFS: 170/336).ResultsWe did not find a significant association between pre-diagnostic TL and CRC risk [in all participants, multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) (95% CI) for TL Quartile 1 (shortest) vs. Quartile 4 (longest) = 1.36 (0.85, 2.17), P-trend = 0.27; OR (95% CI) per 1 SD decrease in TL = 1.12 (0.92, 1.36)].ConclusionsOur prospective analysis did not support a significant association between pre-diagnostic leukocyte TL and CRC risk.     

Coverage rate of opportunistic and organised breast cancer screening in France: Department-level estimation

ObjectiveIn France, the national breast cancer screening programme (NBCSP), targeting women aged 50–74 years was rolled out nationwide in 2004. It aims at reducing breast cancer mortality. In addition to the NBCSP, the use of opportunistic screening is permitted in France. The objective of this study is to estimate both opportunistic use and overall coverage rates of breast cancer screening, among women 40–84 years of age, in France.MethodsThe French medico-administrative health data system (SNDS) was used to identify women performing an opportunistic or organised mammography screening in France in 2016–2017.ResultsThe two-yearly opportunistic mammography screening is 18 % among women aged 40–84; it is 11 % among women aged 50–74, i.e., the target age range for organised screening, 36 % among women aged 40–49 and 13 % among women aged 75–84. The overall two-yearly screening coverage is 48 % for all women aged 40–84; it is 60 % among women aged 50–74, 36 % among women 40–49 and 16 % for those aged 75–84. Geographical variations in screening are lessened when the two screening strategies are considered, as they balance each other.ConclusionAlthough coverage in the NBCSP is around 50 % in France, more than one third of the women make use of opportunistic screening within and outside the target age range. Organized screening appears to improve equity of access to mammography screening service. The lack of data on opportunistic screening practices hinders the evaluation of French screening practices as a whole.     

Can human papillomavirus DNA testing of self-collected vaginal samples compare with physician-collected cervical samples and cytology for cervical cancer screening in developing countries?

Background: To determine human papillomavirus (HPV) types by polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-reverse line blot assay and examine the concordance between HPV by Hybrid Capture 2 (HC2) and PCR on self-collected vaginal and physician-collected cervical samples and cytology. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of 546 sexually active women aged ≥30 years with persistent vaginal discharge, intermenstrual or postcoital bleeding or an unhealthy cervix. Participants self-collected vaginal samples (HPV-S) and physicians collected cervical samples for conventional Pap smear and HPV DNA (HPV-P) testing and performed colposcopy, with directed biopsy, if indicated. HPV testing and genotyping was done by HC2 and PCR reverse line blot assay. Concordance between HC2 and PCR results of self- and physician-collected samples was determined using a Kappa statistic (κ) and Chi-square test. Results: Complete data were available for 512 sets with 98% of women providing a satisfactory self-sample. PCR detected oncogenic HPV in 12.3% of self- and 13.0% of physician-collected samples. Overall, there was 93.8% agreement between physician-collected and self-samples (κ = 76.31%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 64.97–82.29%, p = 0.04)—complete concordance in 473 cases (57 positive, 416 negative), partial concordance in seven pairs and discordance in 32 pairs. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of self-sampling for detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN)2+ disease were 82.5%, 93.6%, 52.4% and 98.4%, respectively; for physician-sampling they were 87.5%, 93.2%, 52.2% and 98.9%, respectively; and for cytology they were 77.5%, 87.3%, 34.1% and 97.9%, respectively. Concordance between HC2 and PCR was 90.9% for self-samples (κ = 63.7%, 95% CI: 55.2–72.2%) and 95.3% for physician-collected samples (κ = 80.4%, 95% CI: 71.8–89.0%). Conclusions: Self-HPV sampling compares favourably with physician-sampling and cytology. A rapid, affordable, HPV self-test kit can be used as the primary method of cervical cancer screening in low-resource situations.     

Temporal trends and factors associated with the cancer diagnosed at stage IV in patients included in the integrated hospital-based cancer registry system in Brazil in two decades

BackgroundIn several countries, such as Brazil, the oncological diagnosis usually occurs at an advanced stage of the disease. Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate temporal trends and factors associated with the cancer diagnosed at stage IV in Brazil in two decades.MethodsSecondary-based study, with time series analysis for trend assessment and cross-sectional of factors associated with diagnosis of female breast, prostate, cervix uteri, colorectal, lung, stomach, lip and oral cavity, thyroid, esophagus or corpus uteri at stage IV.Results1,218,322 cases were evaluated. The types of cancer with the highest proportion of stage IV at diagnosis in men and women, respectively, were: lung (53.7% and 57.4%), stomach (48.4% and 45.0%) and lip/oral cavity (53.5% and 43.4%). Most showed an increasing trend of annual percent change of cancer diagnosed at stage IV, being more pronounced in corpus uteri cancer (2013–2019: +7.4%, p < 0.001). The odds of cancer diagnosed at stage IV were associated with different factors, according to primary tumor site, but marked by the inverse association with female sex [odds ratio (OR) ranging from 0.42 to 0.91, p < 0.001] and direct association in cases with < 7 years of study (OR ranging from 1.08 to 1.81, p < 0.001), living without a partner (OR ranging from 1.06, p < 0.050 to1.27, p < 0.001), living in the South and Southeast regions (OR ranging from 1.04 to 1.13, p < 0.001), with more than one tumor (OR ranging from 1.19, p < 0.050 to 1.54, p < 0.001) and treated in Centers of High Complexity in Oncology (OR ranging from 1.03, p < 0.050 to1.24, p < 0.001).ConclusionThere was a high frequency of cancer diagnosed at stage IV and an increasing trend in different cancer types, which were associated with distinct sociodemographic, lifestyle, and clinical factors.     

Reproductive factors,exogenous hormone use,and risk of pancreatic cancer in postmenopausal women

IntroductionThe epidemiologic literature on menstrual and reproductive factors associated with pancreatic cancer has yielded weak and inconsistent evidence of an association. Furthermore, few cohort studies have examined the association of exogenous hormone use, including type and duration, with this disease. The aim of this study was to assess the association of these exposures with risk of pancreatic cancer in a large cohort of postmenopausal women.MethodsWe used data from the Women’s Health Initiative on 1003 cases of pancreatic cancer diagnosed among 158,298 participants over 14.3 years of follow-up. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for the associations of interest.ResultsBeing parous vs. nulliparous was associated with reduced risk (HR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.70–1.00), and women who had 1–2 and 3–4 births were at decreased risk compared to nulliparous women, whereas women who had >5 births showed no decrease in risk. Compared to women who gave birth between the ages of 20–29, women who gave birth at age 30 or above were at increased risk (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.00–1.53, p for trend 0.003). Other reproductive factors and exogenous hormone use were not associated with risk.ConclusionsTogether with the existing literature on this topic, our results suggest that reproductive and hormonal exposures are unlikely to play an important role in the etiology of pancreatic cancer.     

Analgesic use and the risk of renal cell carcinoma – Findings from the Consortium for the Investigation of Renal Malignancies (CONFIRM) study

PurposeThe incidence of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is rising. Use of analgesics such as non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and paracetamol may affect renal function. The aim of this study was to assess associations between analgesic use and risk of RCC.MethodsA population-based case-control family design was used. Cases were recruited via two Australian state cancer registries. Controls were siblings or partners of cases. Analgesic use was captured by self-completed questionnaire. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for RCC risk associated with regular analgesic use (at least 5 times per month for 6 months or more) and duration and frequency of use.ResultsThe analysis included 1064 cases and 724 controls. Regular use of paracetamol was associated with an increased risk of RCC (OR 1.41, 95%CI 1.13–1.77). Regular use of NSAIDs was associated with increased risk of RCC for women (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.23–2.39) but not men (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.58–1.18; p-interaction=0.003). There was no evidence of a dose-response for duration of use of paracetamol (linear trend p = 0.77) and weak evidence for non- aspirin NSAID use by women (linear trend p = 0.054).ConclusionThis study found that regular use of paracetamol was associated with increased risk of RCC. NSAID use was associated with increased risk only for women.     

Time intervals and patient-level factors in oral cancer diagnostic pathways: An application of the WHO framework in India

BackgroundOral cancer, a leading cancer-site in India, is often detected at advanced stages. We evaluated the time intervals from first symptom to help-seeking and diagnosis among oral cancer patients.MethodologyIn this cross-sectional study, we recruited 226 consecutive oral cancer patients (mean age ( ± SD) 51.9 years ( ± 10.9); 81.9% men; 70.3% advanced stage) registered for diagnosis and treatment, between 2019 and 2021 at a cancer care centre in South India. We used WHO framework and previously standardized tools to record time intervals (appraisal, help-seeking and diagnostic) and baseline characteristics. We utilized multivariable logistic regression models to test the associations between ‘prolonged (i.e., over 1 month) time intervals’) and patient-level factors to estimate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).ResultsOver a half of patients presented with prolonged appraisal (60%) and help-seeking intervals (57%), and a third (34%) reported prolonged diagnostic interval. Patients with no formal education, no routine healthcare visits, no self-reported risk factors, and those who did not perceive initial symptoms to be serious were 2–4 times more likely to have prolonged appraisal and help-seeking than the rest. High travel costs and self-decision for visiting healthcare facility prolonged help-seeking. Diagnostic interval was prolonged only among women OR= 2.7 (95% CI: 1.2–6.1)) and in patients whose first doctor’s opinion was ‘nothing to worry’ OR (=7.3 (95% CI: 2.6–20.5)). ‘Correct knowledge of cancer’ shortened appraisal and help-seeking intervals and ‘incorrect knowledge and negative beliefs’ prolonged diagnostic interval.ConclusionOur findings highlight that interventions targeting sociocultural and economic determinants, symptom awareness, sensitizing persons at risk (especially women) and primary care providers might reduce overall time to diagnosis. Further, patients without any known risk factors for oral cancer might be at-risk for prolonged appraisal interval. These might help inform ‘pull’ strategies for cancer control in India and similar settings.     

Recent changes in endometrial cancer trends among menopausal-age US women

BackgroundChanges in endometrial cancer incidence rates after the precipitous decline in menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use in 2002 have not been evaluated.MethodsUsing data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program from 1992 to 2009 (SEER 13), we identified 63 428 incident endometrial cancer cases among women ages 20–74. We compared annual percent change (APC) in endometrial cancer incidence rates from 1992 to 2002 to rates from 2003 to 2009.ResultsIn contrast to the constant endometrial cancer rate pattern observed from 1992 to 2002 (APC 0.0%), rates increased after 2002 in women 50–74 years old (2.5%; P_{APC comparison} < 0.01). Endometrial cancer incidence increased over the entire time period among women ages 20–49 (1992–2002: 1.1%; 2003–2009: 2.1%; P_{APC comparison} = 0.21). Post-2002 increases in incidence among women ages 50–74 were specific to Type I endometrial tumors (1992–2002: ?0.6%; 2003–2009: 1.6%; P_{APC comparison} < 0.01).DiscussionThe increase in endometrial cancer incidence rates after 2002 may be related to the widespread decrease in estrogen plus progestin MHT use, which has been reported to lower endometrial cancer risk in overweight and obese women.     

No association between garlic intake and risk of colorectal cancer

BackgroundAlthough experimental studies suggested beneficial role of garlic intake on colorectal carcinogenesis, limited prospective cohort studies have evaluated garlic intake in relation to colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence.MethodsWe followed 76,208 women in the Nurses’ Health Study and 45,592 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study for up to 24 years and examined garlic intake and garlic supplement use in relation to CRC risk. Information on garlic intake and supplement use was assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire and a Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the multivariable hazard ratio (MV-HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).ResultsWe documented 2368 (1339 women and 1029 men) incident CRC cases and found no association between garlic intake and CRC risk; the MV-HRs (95% CIs) associated with garlic (1 clove or 4 shakes per serving) intake ≥1/day compared with <1/month were 1.21 (0.94–1.57; p-trend = 0.14) for women and 1.00 (0.71–1.42; p-trend = 0.89) for men. The MV-HRs (95% CIs) of CRC for garlic supplement use, which was used in 6% of the participants in each study, were 0.72 (0.48–1.07) for women and 1.22 (0.83–1.78) for men.ConclusionOur prospective data do not support an important role of garlic intake or garlic supplement use in colorectal carcinogenesis.     

Multiple mediation analysis of racial disparity in breast cancer survival

BackgroundRacial (Black vs. White) disparities in breast cancer survival have proven difficult to mitigate. Targeted strategies aimed at the primary factors driving the disparity offer the greatest potential for success. The purpose of this study was to use multiple mediation analysis to identify the most important mediators of the racial disparity in breast cancer survival.MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study of non-Hispanic Black and non-Hispanic White women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in Florida between 2004 and 2015. Cox regression was used to obtain unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association of race with 5- and 10-year breast cancer death. Multiple mediation analysis of tumor (advanced disease stage, tumor grade, hormone receptor status) and treatment-related factors (receipt of surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, and hormone therapy) was used to determine the most important mediators of the survival disparity.ResultsThe study population consisted of 101,872 women of whom 87.0% (n = 88,617) were White and 13.0% were Black (n = 13,255). Black women experienced 2.3 times (HR, 2.27; 95% CI, 2.16–2.38) the rate of 5-year breast cancer death over the follow-up period, which decreased to a 38% increased rate (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.31–1.45) after adjustment for age and the mediators of interest. Combined, all examined mediators explained 73% of the racial disparity in 5-year breast cancer survival. The most important mediators were: (1) advanced disease stage (44.8%), (2) nonreceipt of surgery (34.2%), and (3) tumor grade (18.2%) and hormone receptor status (17.6%). Similar results were obtained for 10-year breast cancer death.ConclusionThese results suggest that additional efforts to increase uptake of screening mammography in hard-to-reach women, and, following diagnosis, access to and receipt of surgery may offer the greatest potential to reduce racial disparities in breast cancer survival for women in Florida.     

Risk factors for breast cancer in the breast cancer risk model study of Guam and Saipan

BackgroundChamorro Pacific Islanders in the Mariana Islands have breast cancer incidence rates similar to, but mortality rates higher than, those of U.S. women. As breast cancer risk factors of women of the Mariana Islands may be unique because of ethnic and cultural differences, we studied established and suspected risk factors for breast cancer in this unstudied population.MethodsFrom 2010–2013, we conducted retrospective case-control study of female breast cancer (104 cases and 185 controls) among women in the Mariana Islands. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for each of various lifestyle-related factors from logistic regression of breast cancer, in all women and in pre- and postmenopausal women separately. Tests for interaction of risk factors with ethnicity were based on the Wald statistics for cross-product terms.ResultsOf the medical and reproductive factors considered — age at menarche, breastfeeding, number of live births, age at first live birth, hormone use, and menopause — only age at first live birth was confirmed. Age at first live birth, among parous women, was higher among cases (mean 24.9 years) than controls (mean 23.2 years); with increased breast cancer risk (OR = 2.53; 95% CI, 1.04–6.19 for age ≥ 30y compared to <20y, P for trend = 0.01). Of the lifestyle factors —body mass index, waist circumference, physical activity, alcohol and betel-nut intake, and education — only waist circumference (OR = 1.65; 95% CI 0.87–3.14 for the highest tertile group compared to the lowest, P for trend = 0.04) was significantly associated with breast cancer risk and only in Filipino women. The association with many other established risk factors, such as BMI, hormone use and physical activity, were in the expected direction but were not significant. Associations for family history of breast cancer and alcohol intake were not evidentConclusionsThe results provide a basis for cancer prevention guidance for women in the Mariana Islands.     

Concordance of antibiotic resistance and ERIC-PCR DNA fingerprint pattern in <Emphasis Type="Italic">Escherichia coli</Emphasis> isolated from farmer and broiler in the same farm

The study was conducted to quantify the concordance of antibiotic resistance and ERIC-PCR DNA fingerprint pattern in Escherichia coli (E. coli) isolated from farmers and their broilers of 95 broiler farms in Songkhla province, Thailand. Four hundred and fifty-seven and 460 E. coli isolates from both groups produced 35 patterns of antibiotics resistance. Mono-resistance to doxycycline (23.2%) in isolates from farmers and multiple resistance to doxycycline, nalidixic acid, norfloxacin and ciprofloxacin (17.8%) were the most common finding in broilers. Twenty-seven farms had 44 within-farm concordant patterns of resistance. From simulation, the frequency of concordance was significantly higher than concordance by chance alone (P < 0.05). Out of these 44 matched sets, only four had the same DNA fingerprint pattern. Concordance by DNA pattern was also not associated with phenotypic resistance. Clonal spread is therefore not a good explanation of the concordance in this population. Other mechanisms need further analysis.     

Stressful life events and difficulties and onset of breast cancer: case-control study

ObjectiveTo determine the relation between stressful life events and difficulties and the onset of breast cancer.DesignCase-control study.Setting3 NHS breast clinics serving west Leeds.Participants399 consecutive women, aged 40-79, attending the breast clinics who were Leeds residents.Results332 (83%) women participated. Women diagnosed with breast cancer were no more likely to have experienced one or more severe life events (adjusted odds ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval 0.47 to 1.81; P=0.79); one or more severe difficulties (0.86, 0.41 to 1.81; P=0.69); a 2 year severe non-personal health difficulty (0.53, 0.12 to 2.31; P=0.4); or a 2 year severe personal health difficulty (2.73, 0.68 to 10.93; P=0.16) than women diagnosed with a benign breast lump.ConclusionThese findings do not support the hypothesis that severe life events or difficulties are associated with onset of breast cancer.

Key messages

• Although there is widespread belief that stress can cause cancer, research evidence is contradictory
• Stressful life experiences are common; about two thirds of women with a breast lump experienced at least one severe life event or difficulty in the 5 years before presentation
• Women diagnosed with breast cancer were no more likely to have experienced a severe stressor than women with a benign lesion
• Knowledge or suspicion of the diagnosis did not influence reporting of severe life events

     

Childhood cancer survival: A report from the United Kingdom Childhood Cancer Study

Background: Improvements in diagnostic approaches and refinements to treatment protocols have resulted in 5-year survival levels above 70% for children diagnosed with cancer in economically developed parts of the world. For some cancers, including leukaemia and tumours of the central nervous system, age and sex have been identified as important prognostic indicators. Methods: We examined long-term survival, and affects of age and sex, in a population-based case–control study. Children (0–14 years) newly diagnosed with cancer were ascertained between 1991 and 1996 (n = 4433). Follow-up information was obtained from the National Health Service (NHS) Information Centre for Health and Social Care which records all exits from the NHS including deaths. Results: For all cancer diagnoses combined, 5-year survival was 72.7% dropping to 67.9% at 15 years. As expected, survival differed between diagnostic subtypes ranging from 38.1% for intracranial embryonal tumours to 96.2% for Hodgkin lymphoma. Compared to girls, boys diagnosed with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia were at a higher risk of dying (RR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.03–1.53), whereas boys diagnosed with an intracranial embryonal tumour were at a lower risk of death (RR = 0.63, 95% CI 0.43–0.91). Conclusion: Our initial findings are consistent with previous reports, and highlight the importance of considering differences by age and sex. The completeness and population-based nature of the original case–control study is an important feature which will provide the basis for future more detailed investigations linking disease determinants to outcome.     

Clinical outcomes of female breast cancer according to BRCA mutation status

BackgroundTo investigate breast cancer prognosis (disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS)) among carriers of germline BRCA mutations (BRCAm) in Denmark.MethodsWe identified all women in Central and Northern Denmark diagnosed with breast cancer during 2004–2011. We retrieved information on germline BRCAm testing from Clinical Genetics departments and clinical/treatment characteristics from population-based medical registries. Follow-up for recurrence, new primary cancer, and mortality extended from 180 days after diagnosis until 31/12/2012. We estimated median DFS and OS and five-year cumulative incidence and incidence rates (IR/1000 person-years), and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), for each outcome.ResultsAmong 9874 patients, 523 (5%) underwent BRCA testing—90 were BRCAm carriers, 433 were BRCA wildtype (BRCAwt). Compared with BRCAwt women, BRCAm carriers were younger, had lower stage, and ER- and HER2- tumors. Median time from diagnosis to BRCA testing was 0.91 years and 1.3 years in BRCAm and BRCAwt women; median follow-up to first event was 3.9 and 3.4 years, respectively. Five-year DFS and OS were higher in BRCAm than BRCAwt women: 88% (95%CI = 78.3–93.5) vs. 75.3% (95%CI = 70.2–79.6) and 97.8% (95%CI = 91.4–99.4) vs 92.2% (95%CI = 88.5–94.7), respectively. Five-year IRs of recurrence were 36.7/1000 person-years (95%CI = 15.8–72.2) in the BRCAm cohort vs. 58.4 (95%CI = 42.9–77.6) in the BRCAwt cohort.ConclusionsBRCAm carriers may have a better prognosis than BRCAwt women. However, limited testing conducted mainly during follow-up, yielded low numbers for precise estimations, and may be attributable to selection bias.     

Impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival of women with T1N0M0, hormone receptor negative breast cancer

BackgroundThe benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in women with T1N0M0 breast cancers is unclear. While gene expression-based prognostic assays may aid management of women with early estrogen receptor (ER) positive tumors, therapeutic decision-making in women with early stage ER negative tumors remains fraught with difficulties. We investigated the association between adjuvant chemotherapy and overall survival in women with T1N0M0, hormone receptor negative breast cancers.MethodAll newly diagnosed breast cancer patients with node-negative and hormone receptor negative tumors measuring ≤ 2 cm at the University Malaya Medical Centre (Malaysia) from 1993 to 2013 were included. Mortality of patients with and without adjuvant chemotherapy were compared and adjusted for possible confounders using propensity score.ResultsOf 6732 breast cancer patients, 341 (5.1%) had small (≤2 cm), node-negative and hormone receptor negative tumors at diagnosis. Among them, only 214 (62.8%) received adjuvant chemotherapy. Five-year overall survival was 88.1% (95% confidence interval (CI): 82.0%–94.2%) for patients receiving chemotherapy and 89.6% (95% CI: 85.1%–94.1%) for patients without chemotherapy. Chemotherapy was not associated with survival following adjustment for age, ethnicity, tumor size, tumor grade, HER2 status, lympho-vascular invasion, type of surgery and radiotherapy administration. However, chemotherapy was associated with a significant survival advantage (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.35, 95%CI: 0.14–0.91) in a subgroup of women with high-grade tumors.ConclusionAdjuvant chemotherapy does not appear to be associated with a survival benefit in women with T1N0M0, hormone receptor negative breast cancer except in those with high-grade tumors.