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Gene-disease association studies based on case-control designs may often be used to identify candidate polymorphisms (markers) conferring disease risk. If a large number of markers are studied, genotyping all markers on all samples is inefficient in resource utilization. Here, we propose an alternative two-stage method to identify disease-susceptibility markers. In the first stage all markers are evaluated on a fraction of the available subjects. The most promising markers are then evaluated on the remaining individuals in Stage 2. This approach can be cost effective since markers unlikely to be associated with the disease can be eliminated in the first stage. Using simulations we show that, when the markers are independent and when they are correlated, the two-stage approach provides a substantial reduction in the total number of marker evaluations for a minimal loss of power. The power of the two-stage approach is evaluated when a single marker is associated with the disease, and in the presence of multiple disease-susceptibility markers. As a general guideline, the simulations over a wide range of parametric configurations indicate that evaluating all the markers on 50% of the individuals in Stage 1 and evaluating the most promising 10% of the markers on the remaining individuals in Stage 2 provides near-optimal power while resulting in a 45% decrease in the total number of marker evaluations.  相似文献   

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Paired data arises in a wide variety of applications where often the underlying distribution of the paired differences is unknown. When the differences are normally distributed, the t‐test is optimum. On the other hand, if the differences are not normal, the t‐test can have substantially less power than the appropriate optimum test, which depends on the unknown distribution. In textbooks, when the normality of the differences is questionable, typically the non‐parametric Wilcoxon signed rank test is suggested. An adaptive procedure that uses the Shapiro‐Wilk test of normality to decide whether to use the t‐test or the Wilcoxon signed rank test has been employed in several studies. Faced with data from heavy tails, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) introduced another approach: it applies both the sign and t‐tests to the paired differences, the alternative hypothesis is accepted if either test is significant. This paper investigates the statistical properties of a currently used adaptive test, the EPA's method and suggests an alternative technique. The new procedure is easy to use and generally has higher empirical power, especially when the differences are heavy‐tailed, than currently used methods.  相似文献   

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A proposal for a residual autocorrelation test in linear models   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
MONTI  ANNA CLARA 《Biometrika》1994,81(4):776-780
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For nonnormal data we suggest a test of location based on a broader family of distributions than normality. Such a test will in a sense fall between the standard parametric and non parametric tests. We see that the Wald tests based on this family of distributions have some advantages over the score tests and that they perform well in comparison to standard parametric and nonparametric tests in a variety of situations. We also consider when and how to apply such tests in practice.  相似文献   

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Testing in normal mixture models when the proportions are known   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
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SHIRAHATA  S. 《Biometrika》1977,64(1):162-164
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We consider an adaptive dose‐finding study with two stages. The doses for the second stage will be chosen based on the first stage results. Instead of considering pairwise comparisons with placebo, we apply one test to show an upward trend across doses. This is a possibility according to the ICH‐guideline for dose‐finding studies (ICH‐E4). In this article, we are interested in trend tests based on a single contrast or on the maximum of multiple contrasts. We are interested in flexibly choosing the Stage 2 doses including the possibility to add doses. If certain requirements for the interim decision rules are fulfilled, the final trend test that ignores the adaptive nature of the trial (naïve test) can control the type I error. However, for the more common case that these requirements are not fulfilled, we need to take the adaptivity into account and discuss a method for type I error control. We apply the general conditional error approach to adaptive dose‐finding and discuss special issues appearing in this application. We call the test based on this approach Adaptive Multiple Contrast Test. For an example, we illustrate the theory discussed before and compare the performance of several tests for the adaptive design in a simulation study.  相似文献   

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研究一种非齐态多臂临床试验的GFU模型,并建立了模型自适应设计.对这种模型,构造了参数的估计量,并获得了相应量的强相合性,收敛速率及其渐近正态性.这些结果对临床试验设计的应用提供了一定的理论依据.  相似文献   

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In inter-laboratory studies, a fundamental problem of interest is inference concerning the consensus mean, when the measurements are made by several laboratories which may exhibit different within-laboratory variances, apart from the between laboratory variability. A heteroscedastic one-way random model is very often used to model this scenario. Under such a model, a modified signed log-likelihood ratio procedure is developed for the interval estimation of the common mean. Furthermore, simulation results are presented to show the accuracy of the proposed confidence interval, especially for small samples. The results are illustrated using an example on the determination of selenium in non-fat milk powder by combining the results of four methods. Here, the sample size is small, and the confidence limits for the common mean obtained by different methods produce very different results. The confidence interval based on the modified signed log-likelihood ratio procedure appears to be quite satisfactory.  相似文献   

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The aim of this paper is to study the distribution of the likelihood ratio for testing whether or not one is sampling from a mixture of two distributions or from a single distribution. We study the case where some information is available on the variation range of the parameters of populations. First we study the simplest case in which the difference between the mean of the two populations is known. We show certain distortions between theoretical and simulation results. Secondly, we show how this distortion spreads to the situation where this difference belongs to an interval. Finally, we give an example concerning the detection of major genes in animal population.  相似文献   

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Moment approximation for the non-normal sampling distribution of the ratio of mean squares in the balanced one-way Model II is found close to that of the Snedecor's F-distribution. The confidence limits for heritability of paternal half-sib correlations, derived employing F-distribution, are, in general, remarkably narrow for platykurtic and wide for leptokurtic sire effects than the normal limits. The effect of kurtosis of environmental deviations on these limits is of no consequence whereas the effect of skewness is invisible.  相似文献   

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Alternative hypotheses for order restrictions, such as umbrella or inverse umbrella (a.k.a tree) orderings, have been studied extensively in the literature, although less so when the studied response for each individual is the presence or absence of the event of interest. Two families of test statistics for solving the problem of testing against an umbrella or a tree ordering when the responses are binomial proportions are studied in this work and their asymptotic distributions are derived. A simulation study is conducted to compare the empirical power of some members of the derived families of test statistics with competing approaches. The methodology developed here was driven by an applied problem arising in stored products research where despite universal mortality in the case of doses of 1000 ppm of the insecticide phosphine, unexpected survival was noted at higher doses.  相似文献   

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