利用“复杂性”解说经济生态发展模式

前言在研究生态经济问题时,常常感到理论上的虚弱,不能从理论上解说生态经济这一庞大、复杂的综合体是如何由生态、经济的相互作用衍变而成的。在生态和经济的复杂性的尺度上我们能把握多少?我们对于生态、经济关系能否及时调控和调控到什么程度?等等,如能从理论上给这些问题作出说明,相信会对生态经济理论及实践都有裨益。为此,我们对生态经济系统作了简化,只讨论了工业增长、农业增长和环境质量三者间的相互作用并用微分方程组表述,试定量说明生态系统、经济系统的复合系统的复杂性和发展。生态系统的复杂性自牛顿建立牛顿力学以来,尽管经典物理     

Heider's "Anthropological Models of Incest Laws in the United States": A Comment

In his analysis of U.S. legal prohibitions of marriage with relatives, Heider rejects the Old Testament model as an explanation of the configuration of current state laws. Although Heider's statement is generally accurate, the statutes seem to express two basic models, an attenuated Biblical and a Western American pattern. These patterns are the inverse of each other with regard to prohibition of first-cousin marriage and marriage between affines. Historical review of statutes reveals a trend from Biblical to Western American patterns. The historical perspective suggests that confounding the two models may have weakened Heider's analysis.     

Models of learning based on the plastic properties of the "placing reaction" in cats]

A possibility of functional reorganization of initial sensorimotor connections of the forepaw has been shown on seven cats. The main initial relationships between the afferent tactile input and motor output for the ulnar joint of the cat forepaw are as follows: tactile stimulation of the dorsal surface of the paw produces a flexion in the ulnar joint ("placing reaction"), and that of the ventral surface, an extension of the paw in the ulnar joint ("magnetic reflex"); simultaneous tactile stimulation of the ventral surface of the paw blocks the "placing reaction" evoked by a touch of the dorsal side. Extinction was produced of the above unconditioned connections and elaboration of a new "cross" connection consisting in that tactile stimulation of the ventral side of the paw resulted in flexion in the ulnar joint.     

Embedding Science in Politics: "Complex Utilization" and Industrial Ecology as Models of Natural Resource Use

Throughout the short history of industrial ecology, issues of implementation have been heavily emphasized. Less attention has been given to the ways in which the technical models of industrial ecology interact with social processes. Yet the practitioners of industrial ecology frequently encounter challenges pertaining to contextualization when embedding a general model in different local contexts. In addition, there are reasons to believe that the models of industrial ecological systems become politically meaningful only when they are carefully contextualized and linked to localized needs. In this article, we aim at a better understanding of the political embedding of industrial ecology. In order to demonstrate some general mechanisms of embedding, we first conduct a frame analysis of complex utilization—a scientific policy instrument analogous to industrial ecology, developed in the Kola Peninsula, Russia. We identify five frames in which complex utilization has been promoted between 1935 and 2005. These frames are then compared to six frames identified in the industrial symbiosis in Kalundborg, Denmark. We find that effective political embedding relies on frames that function both on a general level and in specific contexts. General frames, such as efficiency, economy, and environment, need to be aligned with localized perceptions of particular issues. What is more, sensitivity to purely context-specific frames is necessary for effective political embedding. Finally, the political processes of framing also shape the scientific-technical models that are being promoted.     

应加强对单细胞生物分批培养生长曲线中减速期的认识和教学

根据单细胞生物分批培养过程中比生长速率(μ)的变化,其生长曲线分为延滞期、加速期、对数期、减速期、稳定期和衰亡期6个时期.与其他生长时期相比,在减速期生物的生长、基质的利用、产物的合成和基因表达谱等方面有显著的不同,并对发酵生产有着重要作用.然而,长期以来,对减速期的认识和教学相当薄弱,亟需加强对减速期的认识和教学.     

Equilibrium and Nonequilibrium Models in Ecological Anthropology: An Evaluation of "Stability" in Maring Ecosystems in New Guinea

Three models pertaining to the stability of Maring ecosystems have been proposed. The first is the local stability model, in which a population seeks its own equilibrium state; the second is the regional stability model, in which each population is ultimately unstable, but populations persist somewhere in space; and the third is the disequilibrium model, in which neither stability nor population regulation is attained. In the disequilibrium model, exogenous factors prevent a population, which is moving toward some equilibrium state, from reaching it. The large number of quantitative anthropological and ecological studies in Highlands New Guinea has not shown clearly which of these three models best describes reality. Simulation of shifting agriculture in New Guinea shows that the Highlands systems are equilibrium-seeking, but have such limited recovery rates from disturbance that even small perturbations are sufficient to keep them from reaching equilibrium. When the influences of technological innovation, environmental change, and social-cultural evolution are taken into account, the disequilibrium model is the model of choice. These systems remain away from their stable equilibrium points most of the time, if those exist at all. Thus, New Guinea agroecosystems can be stable or unstable depending upon how stability is defined.     

Models and Hypotheses

Complex linear appearing structures and networks (e.g. blood vessels, leaf veins, nerves) are formed reproducibly during the development of nearly every organism, but the molecular mechanism leading to such patterns is still unknown. A model is proposed in which a few simple coupled biochemical reactions are able to generate such structures. Among undifferentiated cells, a local peak of differentiation-inducing substance (activator) is formed by autocatalysis and lateral inhibition. The activator peak triggers the differentiation of the cell at that location. Due to changes in metabolism, the differentiated cell repels the activator peak and drives it to a neighbouring cell which then also differentiates. The repulsion between the activator peak and the already differentiated cells forces the activator peak to move ahead of the tip of the extending filament. Long filaments of differentiated cells may be formed, which can split, branch laterally, reconnect with each other and grow towards specific target cells. Partial differential equations describing the mutual interaction of the substances involved were presented and solved with a computer. The resulting patterns show self-regulating properties and other features found in the leaf vascular system, the pattern of tracheae in insect epidermis, and other biological networks.     

Bivariate ZIP Models

The Zero‐Inflated Poisson model is extended into a bivariate form. Three new bivariate models are considered. Parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood. Two numerical examples are discussed.     

Models for testing

Summary This is a comment on a note by Solow (1990). It is shown that Solow's simulation results indicate that Bulmer's test for density dependence is non-robust to a particular kind of second-order Markovity that might well be overlooked by an ecologist. It is suggested that Solow's claim that Bulmer's test is insensitive is not wholly justified. Some scepticism concerning the applicability of statistical testing theory to animal population data is expressed.Communication no. 410 of the Biological Station, Wijster     

Models of symbiosis

A tentative outline of concepts is proposed for the evolutionary genetics of symbiosis. There are three main topics. The first concerns the tension between the integrative and disruptive forces of kin selection. Kin selection can be disruptive because competition among close relatives favors dispersal and a reduction in relatedness among neighbors. Kin selection acts independently within each species of a symbiotic community but has important consequences for the integration of the community into a cooperative unit. The second topic describes the evolution of beneficial, synergistic effects between species. The evolution of mutual effects depends on various correlations between species. Genetic correlations are analogous to linkage disequilibrium in standard Mendelian genetics. Correlations in reproductive success between symbiotic partners arise from codispersal and reproductive synchrony. The third topic concerns the evolution of asymmetrical symbioses in which one species can dominate its partner. Dominance may explain the evolution of uniparental inheritance among cytoplasmic symbionts and a peculiar form of germ-soma separation in the symbionts of insects.     

Models and muddles

The first model in marine ecology was that of the biocoenosis by Moebius (1883), conceived as a self-contained box limited by a finite food resource. This box was almost immediately broken bown by Dean (1893) and demonstrated to be a bit of a muddle, but the concept and the general term has persisted. Today, the construction of elaborate diagrams and mystico-mathematical representations of assumed relationships powered by selected values is a favorite pastime of many ecologists and environmental engineers. When taken with a grain of salt (preferably benzoate of soda), such models may stimulate further thought. Fisheries biologists have had some success with single species or paucispecific models, but complex models require simplification and selection of data unrepresentative of nature. A model which is simply an elaborate mathematical summary of a textbook does not tell us much more than we allready know, and its formulation involves a questionable diversion of funds.     

Simple Metaecoepidemic Models

We consider a simple predator-prey system with two possible habitats and where an epidemic spreads by contact among the prey, but it cannot affect the predators. Only the prey population can freely move from one environment to another. Several models are studied, for different assumptions on the structure of the demographic interactions and on the predators’ feeding. Some counterintuitive results are derived. The role the safety refuge may in some cases entail negative consequences for the whole ecosystem. Also, depending on the system formulation, coexistence of all the populations may not always be supported.