Expert systems in histopathology. V. DS theory, certainty factors and possibility theory.

Uncertainty management for the evaluation of evidence based on linguistic and conceptual data is taking advantage of developments in the Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence, possibility theory and fuzzy logic. The DS theory offers the capability to assess the uncertainty of different subsets of assertions in a domain and the way in which uncertainty is affected by accumulating evidence. The DS theory goes beyond probability theory in its ability to represent ignorance about certain aspects of a situation. However, the theory is very sensitive to the numerical assessments provided by users and can lead to intuitively unexpected and even undesirable results. Certainty factors are widely used in various expert systems. Their definition and updating may follow either a probabilistic model or fuzzy set theoretic concept.     

Further implications of a theory of immunity.

A theory of immunity presented previously showed that many immune phenomena could be explained in terms of a simple model involving interactions between (i) the receptors on immunologically competent cells, (ii) antigenic determinants, (iii) natural antibody and (iv) complement. Several features of the theory subsequently gained experimental support. The present paper extends the analysis and predicts that two mechanisms operate in the induction of immunological tolerance to self antigenic determinants. High specificity anti-self cells are destroyed by a mechanism involving complement. In contrast, low specificity anti-self cells are stimulated by self determinants and increase in numbers. This increases the concentration of the natural antibody secreted by these cells which acts as a “blocking” antibody preventing their continued stimulation by self determinants.The expanded clones of low specificity anti-self cells, which may be of high specificity for “near-self” determinants, (i) are responsible for the greater immunological responsiveness between non-identical members of the same species than between members of different species (“alloaggression”), and (ii) provide a barrier opposing the progressive evolution of the surface determinants of a pathogen into forms identical with the surface determinants of its host.Following exposure to a given self or not-self antigenic determinant, the distribution curve for cells of varying specificities for the determinant shows a sharp cut-off point between high and low specificity cells. The position of this cut-off point is critical in determining the subsequent response of the organism to the determinant. Variables affecting the cut-off point include, antibody present prior to the exposure of cells to the determinant, complement, complement inhibitors, the cell membrane and certain drugs. Autoimmune diseases are improved by drugs (e.g. chloroquine) which move the position of the cut-off point towards cells of low specificities for self determinants.     

Tongue evolution in the lungless salamanders, family plethodontidae. I. Introduction, theory and a general model of dynamics.

Plethodontid salamanders capture prey by projecting the tongue from the mouth. An analysis of theoretical mechanics of the hyobranchial skeleton is used to formulate a working hypothesis of tongue movements. Predictions that the skeletal elements of the tongue are included in the projectile and that the hyobranchial skeleton is folded during projection are central to the analysis. When decapitated in a particular way, salamanders project the tongue, and it is not retracted. When these heads are fixed and sectioned, examination confirms the predications. In turn, these observations are used to refine the working hypothesis and to generate a general model of tongue dynamics for plethodontids. Muscles performing the major roles of projection (subarcualis rectus I) and retraction (rectus cervicis profundus) are identified. The skeleton is folded passively along a morphological track having the form of a tractrix. Predictions concerning the shape of the track and the exact configuration of the folded skeleton are confirmed by study of sectioned material. The skeleton unfolds along the track during retraction and is spread into the resting state. The model developed herein will be used as a basis for predictions concerning selection patterns in the family and for analytical purposes in comparative and evolutionary studies.     

耗散结构,等级系统理论与生态系统

耗散结构理论与其他热力学概念一起,可以解释生态学中的许多现象。生态系统是耗散系统,用耗散结构理论来分析和讨论生态平衡等问题更为合理、准确。等级系统理论是为理解和研究高度复杂系统而发展起来的系统理论。等级系统理论为研究生态系统的行为和特征提供了客观的、适用的概念构架和实践指南,并为生态系统科学的统一性理论的形成开辟了广阔前景。本文拟就耗散结构理论和等级系统理论的主要内容及其在生态学中的应用作一介绍和讨论。     

Electrokinetic and electrostatic properties of bilayers containing gangliosides GM1, GD1a, or GT1. Comparison with a nonlinear theory.

We formed vesicles from mixtures of egg phosphatidylcholine (PC) and the gangliosides GM1, GD1a, or GT1 to model the electrokinetic properties of biological membranes. The electrophoretic mobilities of the vesicles are similar in NaCl, CsCl, and TMACl solutions, suggesting that monovalent cations do not bind significantly to these gangliosides. If we assume the sialic acid groups on the gangliosides are located some distance from the surface of the vesicle and the sugar moieties exert hydrodynamic drag, we can describe the mobility data in 1, 10, and 100 mM monovalent salt solutions with a combination of the Navier-Stokes and nonlinear Poisson-Boltzmann equations. The values we assume for the thickness of the ganglioside head group and the location of the charge affect the theoretical predictions markedly, but the Stokes radius of each sugar and the location of the hydrodynamic shear plane do not. We obtain a reasonable fit to the mobility data by assuming that all ganglioside head groups project 2.5 nm from the bilayer and all fixed charges are in a plane 1 nm from the bilayer surface. We tested the latter assumption by estimating the surface potentials of PC/ganglioside bilayers using four techniques: we made 31P nuclear magnetic resonance, fluorescence, electron spin resonance, and conductance measurements. The results are qualitatively consistent with our assumption.     

Testing the protein error theory of ageing: a reply to Baird, Samis, Massie and Zimmerman.

A major prediction of Orgel's theory is that the misincorporation of amino acids into proteins will increase with age. This has not yet been tested experimentally. Indirect methods have been used to search for the presence of altered proteins in ageing cells or organisms, but these would not necessarily detect a low level of mistakes, nor do they distinquish between errors in synthesis and post-synthetic changes. Nevertheless, some experimental results have been obtained from genetic and biochemical studies with fungi and fibroblasts which confirm certain predictions of the protein error theory.     

Acrolein, a component of a universal cell-growth regulatory system: a theory

An hypothesis suggesting that acrolein might form part of a universal cell-growth regulatory system is presented. This unsaturated aldehyde appears, better than any other compound proposed so far, to fulfill the structural requirements and characteristics of the universal growth-inhibitor predicted in Szent-Gyorgyi's bioelectronic theory.