Response of subarctic vegetation to transient climatic change on the Seward Peninsula in north-west Alaska

Understanding the response of terrestrial ecosystems to climatic warming is a challenge because of the complex interactions of climate, disturbance, and recruitment across the landscape. We use a spatially explicit model (ALFRESCO) to simulate the transient response of subarctic vegetation to climatic warming on the Seward Peninsula (80 000 km²) in north‐west Alaska. Model calibration efforts showed that fire ignition was less sensitive than fire spread to regional climate (temperature and precipitation). In the model simulations a warming climate led to slightly more fires and much larger fires and expansion of forest into previously treeless tundra. Vegetation and fire regime continued to change for centuries after cessation of the simulated climate warming. Flammability increased rapidly in direct response to climate warming and more gradually in response to climate‐induced vegetation change. In the simulations warming caused as much as a 228% increase in the total area burned per decade, leading to an increasingly early successional and more homogenous deciduous forest‐dominated landscape. A single transient 40‐y drought led to the development of a novel grassland–steppe ecosystem that persisted indefinitely and caused permanent increases in fires in both the grassland and adjacent vegetation. These simulated changes in vegetation and disturbance dynamics under a warming climate have important implications for regional carbon budgets and biotic feedbacks to regional climate.     

树木年轮中不同组分稳定碳同位素含量对气候的响应

通过研究贺兰山油松树轮中全木、综纤维素、α纤维素中占δ^13C值的变化,来探讨树木生长过程中引起其中同位素差别的原因,以及它们对环境变化的响应。研究发现不同组分的占δ^13C值在过去30a中变化并不一致,其中,树轮中α-纤维素中占δ^13C序列含有最强周围环境变化的信息。δ^13C序列和周围大气平均气温和降雨量关系密切,其中和6～8月份的平均气温相关系数为0．427(α=0．05);和2～7月份总降水量的相关系数为(r=-0．514,a=0．01)。分析发现树轮α-纤维素序列和树轮宽度序列呈显著负相关(r=-0．545,α=0．01)。对比树轮各种组分的占δ^13C值和气候之间的相关性及和树木的生长量的关系可以发现,树轮α-纤维素中碳在经历了光合作用的固碳过程中的同位素分馏后,其占δ^13C值就保持了相对稳定,是研究过去环境变化的良好载体。     

The eco-hydrological threshold for evaluating the stability of sand-binding vegetation in different climatic zones

Soil moisture dynamics are a determinant of the sustainable development of artificial sand-binding vegetation, which directly prevents and controls desertification and sand hazards, such as the sand burial of farmlands and pastures. How to maintain the stability of sand-binding vegetation is a challenge for ecologists and land managers. An eco-hydrological model coupling the dynamics of sand-binding vegetation cover and soil moisture was used to explore the effect of a stochastic daily precipitation regime on soil moisture and vegetation cover after the establishment of sand-binding vegetation. The simulation results indicate that herbaceous vegetation cover, woody vegetation cover and soil moisture increase nonlinearly with increasing annual rainfall. Specifically, herbaceous vegetation cover first increased and then decreased with increasing annual rainfall. Woody vegetation cover increased by a power-law function within the total community cover, and soil moisture increased exponentially. The eco-hydrological thresholds in different climatic zones and in typical revegetated sandy desert regions of China were determined using an eco-hydrological model. These indexes will not only help to promote dryland ecosystem management and maintain the sustainability of wind-breaks and sand-binding benefits but will also provide a quantifiable reference standard for vegetation recovery and reconstruction in sandy areas in the future.     

An integrated approach to relate Holocene climatic, hydrological, morphological and vegetation changes in the southeastern Amazon region

The geomorphological analysis of the river Tocantins alluvial area was carried out by remote sensing techniques, jointly with studies of sedimentary facies, mineralogy and geochemistry, pollen and spores, C and N isotopes data and radiocarbon dating of a sediment core from a floodplain lake, near the river Tocantins in the southeastern Amazon region. The aim was to identify and discuss the relationship between the main geomorphological processes and climatic factors, as well as their influence on vegetation patterns. The data indicate three phases of sediment and organic matter accumulation associated with vegetation changes during the Holocene: in Phase 1 (>7760 ± 80 cal yrs b.p.), the channel was gradually being disconnected from its main course, accumulating organic matter from terrestrial woody plants; in Phase 2 (>7760 ± 80 to 5145 ± 175 cal yrs b.p.), the very low energy flows allowed the deposition of autochthonous organic mud from suspension. Herbaceous vegetation and a Mauritia palm-swamp dominated the study area, followed by an increase in the contribution of freshwater dissolved organic carbon (DOC) to the lake; Phase 3 (5145 ± 175 cal yrs b.p. until present) records the expansion of ferns and arboreal plants, and greater freshwater organic matter input into the lake with anoxic water conditions. The development of the studied lake occurred by geomorphological changes and the filling process of an abandoned channel according to hydrodynamics and vegetation changes which were probably influenced by climatic changes during the Holocene.     

Impact of sea-level and climatic changes on the Amazon coastal wetlands during the late Holocene

Wetland dynamics in northern Brazil during the Holocene were studied by pollen analysis and AMS radiocarbon dating of three cores. Near the Amazon mouth region, covered mainly by primary Amazon coastal forest and herbaceous vegetation, the pollen record indicates the dominance of mangroves between 4800 and 1100 cal yr b.p. A contraction of the mangrove area and an expansion of herbaceous and fern vegetation occurred between 1100 and 750 cal yr b.p. The period between 750 and 200 cal yr b.p. is characterized by an expansion of mangrove and a decrease in herbaceous and fern vegetation. This trend continued until the present. On Atalaia Island, the sediment core indicates a period with poor pollen preservation between 830 and 630 cal yr b.p. Between 630 and 330 cal yr b.p., mangroves expanded. Later, up to 45 cal yr b.p., the mangrove area decreased and the herbaceous vegetation expanded. During the last hundred years, the relative sea-level rise most probably favored the mangrove expansion as far as the topographically highest sector on this island, while the herbaceous vegetation decreased. The pollen data from água Preta Lake indicate dry conditions, as reflected by the poor pollen preservation between 390 and 240 cal yr b.p. Between 240 and 60 cal yr b.p., restinga and Amazon coastal forest with palms dominated this region. For the last 120 years, the record indicates an expansion of the mangrove area. However, recent confinement of mangrove development to the topographically highest area, and the loss of mangrove areas on the lowest surfaces have led to a net loss of mangrove coverage during the last decades.     

Vegetation changes in a shallow African Lake: Response of the vegetation to a recent dry period

This paper shows how the bed of Lake Chilwa in Malawi was colonised by plants during a recent dry period. Aeschynomene pfundii and Diplachne fusca were the principal colonising species on the alkaline mud flats. The subsequent changes in the vegetation after the lake refilled are described. Aeschynomene pfundii survived the flooded conditions for four years and eventually died out as seed germination could not occur underwater. The salinity of the lake during the low water and drying period prevented the lake bed from being extensively colonised by Typha domingensis.     

Global vegetation productivity response to climatic oscillations during the satellite era

Climate control on global vegetation productivity patterns has intensified in response to recent global warming. Yet, the contributions of the leading internal climatic variations to global vegetation productivity are poorly understood. Here, we use 30 years of global satellite observations to study climatic variations controls on continental and global vegetation productivity patterns. El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases (La Niña, neutral, and El Niño years) appear to be a weaker control on global‐scale vegetation productivity than previously thought, although continental‐scale responses are substantial. There is also clear evidence that other non‐ENSO climatic variations have a strong control on spatial patterns of vegetation productivity mainly through their influence on temperature. Among the eight leading internal climatic variations, the East Atlantic/West Russia Pattern extensively controls the ensuing year vegetation productivity of the most productive tropical and temperate forest ecosystems of the Earth's vegetated surface through directionally consistent influence on vegetation greenness. The Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) simulations do not capture the observed patterns of vegetation productivity responses to internal climatic variations. Our analyses show the ubiquitous control of climatic variations on vegetation productivity and can further guide CCSM and other Earth system models developments to represent vegetation response patterns to unforced variability. Several winter time internal climatic variation indices show strong potentials on predicting growing season vegetation productivity two to six seasons ahead which enables national governments and farmers forecast crop yield to ensure supplies of affordable food, famine early warning, and plan management options to minimize yield losses ahead of time.     

Occurrence of fungi in air and on plants in vegetation of different climatic regions in Croatia

Research was carried out onthe presence and variation in occurrence offungal genera in air and on plant samplescollected from three different climatic regionsin Croatia in relation to temperature andrelative humidity throughout one year (1998).The sampling method employed in this study wasexposure of 150 Sabouraud agar plates withantibiotics to the air for 10 min. and byplacing 10 pieces of each plant sample (N = 150)on same agar. The spores belonging to 15 fungalgenera and sterile mycelim were identified.Cladosporium (65.3–74%),Penicillium (4.43–13.9%), Alternaria(2–4.7%), and sterile mycelium (7.4–15%) werethe most prevalent fungi in the air of all threeclimatic regions, while Fusarium(20.3–36.2%) was the most prevalent fungalgenera on plant samples especially in the modestcontinental climate. Significant differenceswere obtained for comparative fungalcontamination of air and plant samples, and bycomparing monthly occurrence in all three partsincluded. The climate factors and presence ofvegetation that produce essential oils withfungicide activity may be the reason for reducedfungal contamination of outdoor environments inthe Mediterranean climate.     

藏北高寒草地植被和土壤对不同放牧强度的响应

放牧压力在时间和空间的不均衡分布导致局部土地过度利用和生态退化,然而当前对放牧强度的量化多采用替代性指标或对照试验,缺乏直接监测数据,也缺乏不同草地类型对放牧强度变化的响应差异性研究。以西藏自治区那曲市为研究区,利用佩戴式GPS牛羊定位器构建高精度放牧轨迹数据集模拟放牧强度,构建栅格尺度放牧强度空间分布和划分方法,结合草地群落样方调查,通过Duncan法（Duncan''s multiple comparative analysis）进行多重比较分析,探究自由放牧模式下高寒草甸和高寒草原两类区域植被和土壤对不同放牧强度的响应方式及差异性。本研究可为放牧行为环境效应监测提供新思路,并根据不同草地状况因地制宜提出放牧优化管理策略,助力高寒传统牧区的可持续发展。主要结论有：1）随着放牧强度的增大,高寒草原地上生物量先升高后降低,高强度放牧对高寒草原植被的影响大于高寒草甸。2）高放牧强度下,高寒草原土壤水分显著高于中低强度,高寒草甸土壤容重显著低于低强度。可能原因是放牧压力多集聚于水源附近。高寒草原区土壤的砂粒含量随放牧强度的增大而增加。放牧强度的增大导致草甸上层土壤有机质增加,草甸下层、草原上层、草原下层土壤有机质先增加后减小。草甸上下层土壤全磷含量在低放牧强度下显著低于中高强度。3）植被土壤变化受到自然因子和放牧活动的共同影响。高寒草甸更加耐牧,高强度放牧对高寒草原的负面影响更大,而中度放牧有利于草地尤其是高寒草原的放牧利用。4）放牧生态系统是一个环境-植物-家畜自适应系统。在放牧管理中不能仅通过控制载畜量缓解草地超载,还需要综合考虑生态系统的弹性及各营养级的适应性,合理配置放牧强度,控制季节性超载和局部超载。     

The projected effects of climatic and vegetation changes on the distribution and diversity of Southeast Asian bats

Southeast‐Asia (SEA) constitutes a global biodiversity hotspot, but is exposed to extensive deforestation and faces numerous threats to its biodiversity. Climate change represents a major challenge to the survival and viability of species, and the potential consequences must be assessed to allow for mitigation. We project the effects of several climate change scenarios on bat diversity, and predict changes in range size for 171 bat species throughout SEA. We predict decreases in species richness in all areas with high species richness (>80 species) at 2050–2080, using bioclimatic IPCC scenarios A2 (a severe scenario, continuously increasing human population size, regional changes in economic growth) and B1 (the ‘greenest’ scenario, global population peaking mid‐century). We also predicted changes in species richness in scenarios that project vegetation changes in addition to climate change up to 2050. At 2050 and 2080, A2 and B1 scenarios incorporating changes in climatic factors predicted that 3–9% species would lose all currently suitable niche space. When considering total extents of species distribution in SEA (including possible range expansions), 2–6% of species may have no suitable niche space in 2050–2080. When potential vegetation and climate changes were combined only 1% of species showed no changes in their predicted ranges by 2050. Although some species are projected to expand ranges, this may be ecologically impossible due to potential barriers to dispersal, especially for species with poor dispersal ability. Only 1–13% of species showed no projected reductions in their current range under bioclimatic scenarios. An effective way to facilitate range shift for dispersal‐limited species is to improve landscape connectivity. If current trends in environmental change continue and species cannot expand their ranges into new areas, then the majority of bat species in SEA may show decreases in range size and increased extinction risk within the next century.     

气候变化下中国不同植被区总初级生产力对干旱的响应

干旱变化具有明显的空间分异,不同植被类型对干旱的响应亦有差别。开展气候变化下不同植被覆盖类型对干旱响应的差异分析,厘清温升干旱化进程对植被的影响,对了解植被发展动态及预测未来格局有着非常重要的意义。基于1982—2017年的总初级生产力(GPP)数据和同时期东安格利亚大学气候研究中心(CRU)时间序列(TS)气候数据,分析了中国8个植被区GPP和干旱的变化趋势,通过对比标准化降水指数(SPI)和标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)的趋势差异识别了典型的温升干旱化区域,在此基础上研究气温上升如何影响GPP对干旱的响应,进一步讨论了不同植被类型对干旱的敏感性差异。结果表明：(1) 36年来8个植被区除青藏高原高寒植被区呈湿润化,其他植被区均呈现变干趋势;(2)气温上升大面积加剧了温带荒漠区和温带草原区的变干趋势;(3)亚热带常绿阔叶林区和热带季风雨林、雨林区的GPP受温度和干旱影响相当,青藏高原高寒植被区和针叶、落叶林混交林区的GPP受温度主导,其他植被区GPP均受干旱主导。     

黄土丘陵区不同侵蚀环境下土壤有机碳对植被恢复的响应

植被恢复是提高土壤有机碳累积和储存的重要措施。以黄土丘陵区两个典型侵蚀环境下的小流域即黄土区坊塌流域和砒砂岩区满红沟流域退耕坡面为研究对象,分析了土壤有机碳含量(SOCC)、有机碳密度(SOCD)在同一侵蚀环境不同群落下的变化以及在同一群落不同侵蚀环境间的差异,旨在探明不同侵蚀环境下土壤有机碳对植被恢复的响应。结果表明:1)同一侵蚀环境下,与坡耕地相比,自然恢复方式下退耕地植被恢复初期SOCC、SOCD均显著降低,之后随植被恢复均显著升高(P0.05);人工恢复方式下退耕地20—25年柠条锦鸡儿群落和13—14年刺槐群落SOCC、SOCD均显著升高(P0.05),说明同一侵蚀环境内,退耕地在两种恢复方式下均能显著提高土壤有机碳累积和储存。2)同一侵蚀环境下,与相近恢复年限的自然恢复群落相比,刺槐群落SOCC、SOCD均显著高于长芒草+铁杆蒿群落(P0.05),砒砂岩区柠条锦鸡儿群落SOCC、SOCD均显著低于铁杆蒿群落(P0.05),黄土区柠条锦鸡儿群落SOCC显著低于而SOCD显著高于铁杆蒿群落(P0.05),说明相同恢复时间内,相对于自然恢复方式,人工刺槐造林在两种侵蚀环境下均能累积与储存较多的土壤有机碳,而柠条锦鸡儿造林在两种侵蚀环境下累积土壤有机碳的效果均不佳,在黄土区储存土壤有机碳效果好于砒砂岩区。3)同一群落下,黄土区人工和自然恢复群落SOCC均高于砒砂岩区;黄土区人工恢复群落SOCD均显著高于而自然恢复群落SOCD均低于砒砂岩区(P0.05),说明黄土区人工恢复累积和储存土壤有机碳及自然恢复累积土壤有机碳的效果较好,而砒砂岩区自然恢复储存土壤有机碳的效果较好。     

全球不同气候带陆地植被净初级生产力变化趋势与可持续性

分析全球不同气候带陆地植被净初级生产力(NPP)的变化趋势与可持续性,对于估算全球陆地生态系统的结构、功能和碳源(汇)具有重要意义。运用Mann-Kendall突变检验、Theil-Sen斜率估计、Hurst指数分析全球不同气候带陆地NPP的变化趋势与可持续性。结果表明：(1)全球陆地NPP有明显的地域分异规律,呈现低纬高、高纬低,沿海高、内陆低的特点。约48.79%陆地生态系统的植被NPP得到了改善,其中显著改善的面积占全球陆地生态系统的8.45%,主要分布在北美洲北部和中部、亚马逊河流域西部、刚果盆地、欧洲南部、印度半岛西北部、中国黄土高原;轻微改善的面积占全球陆地生态系统的40.34%,主要分布在南美洲中南部、亚洲东部和澳大利亚大陆东部。(2)各气候带NPP变化趋势和突变点表现为：热带、亚热带、极地带的NPP呈不显著下降趋势(R²=0.111,P=0.176;R²=0.144,P=0.120;R²=0.002,P=0.854),热带无明显突变点,亚热带突变点为2015年,极地带突变点为2005年;干旱气候带的NPP...     

Response of vegetation phenology to urbanization in the conterminous United States

The influence of urbanization on vegetation phenology is gaining considerable attention due to its implications for human health, cycling of carbon and other nutrients in Earth system. In this study, we examined the relationship between change in vegetation phenology and urban size, an indicator of urbanization, for the conterminous United States. We studied more than 4500 urban clusters of varying size to determine the impact of urbanization on plant phenology, with the aids of remotely sensed observations since 2003–2012. We found that phenology cycle (changes in vegetation greenness) in urban areas starts earlier (start of season, SOS) and ends later (end of season, EOS), resulting in a longer growing season length (GSL), when compared to the respective surrounding urban areas. The average difference of GSL between urban and rural areas over all vegetation types, considered in this study, is about 9 days. Also, the extended GSL in urban area is consistent among different climate zones in the United States, whereas their magnitudes are varying across regions. We found that a tenfold increase in urban size could result in an earlier SOS of about 1.3 days and a later EOS of around 2.4 days. As a result, the GSL could be extended by approximately 3.6 days with a range of 1.6–6.5 days for 25th ~ 75th quantiles, with a median value of about 2.1 days. For different vegetation types, the phenology response to urbanization, as defined by GSL, ranges from 1 to 4 days. The quantitative relationship between phenology and urbanization is of great use for developing improved models of vegetation phenology dynamics under future urbanization, and for developing change indicators to assess the impacts of urbanization on vegetation phenology.     

Probable effects of CO2-induced climatic changes on net primary productivity of terrestrial vegetation in East Asia

Changes in the net primary productivity (NPP) of natural vegetation of monsoon East Asia were simulated under three, doubled CO₂-climate scenarios (GISS, GFDL and UKMO). These three scenarios and baseline climate data were converted to grids of 1^o×1^o meshes. The gridded climatic data were used together with the Chikugo model to assess NPP under baseline and CO₂-doubling climates. The potential total net production (TNP₀) of East Asia was climatically evaluated to be 154×10⁸ t dry matter year⁻¹. The climatic changes induced by a doubled CO₂ concentration are predicted to increase the TNP₀ by approximately 9–15%, depending on the climatic scenario. The estimated increase in TNP₀ would be limited by the difference between the rate of shift of climatic zones and the rate of migration of vegetation formations.     

青藏高原两种植被类型净初级生产力与气候因素的关系及周转值分析

基于2008—2016年青海海北站9年净初级生产力及气候因子监测数据,分析了青藏高原高寒小嵩草草甸和高寒金露梅灌丛两种植被净初级生产力年际动态,并探讨了气候因子对其影响及其不同土层深度根系周转值特征。结果表明:(1)年际尺度上,小嵩草草甸地上净初级生产力表现为显著增加趋势,增幅为7.02 g m~(-2) a~(-1),而金露梅灌丛地上净初级生产力相对较为稳定;对于其地下净初级生产力和总生产力,小嵩草草甸和金露梅灌丛均表现为增加趋势(P0.05),9年间小嵩草草甸地上、地下和总净初级生产力平均值分别为(217.55±9.95)、(1882.75±161.33) g m~(-2) a~(-1)和(2100.30±163.38) g m~(-2) a~(-1),金露梅灌丛地上、地下和总净初级生产力9年间平均值分别为(256.27±11.4)、(1614.31±173.03) g m~(-2) a~(-1)和(1870.58±177.93) g m~(-2) a~(-1)。(2)不同植被类型地上净初级生产力对气候因素响应不同,金露梅灌丛地上净初级生产力主要受温度影响,而温度对小嵩草草甸地上净初级生产力无显著影响。此外,降水不是限制高寒生态系统草地地上净初级生产力主要因子,相比于降水影响,高寒生态系统地上净初级生产力更受温度调控。(3)年均温和年降水对金露梅灌丛和小嵩草草甸地下净初级生产力均无显著影响(P0.05),表明高寒生态系统,其地下生产力受外界气候条件变化影响微弱,是一个稳定的碳库。(4)两种植被类型其根系周转值均随着土壤深度的增加呈逐渐增加趋势,且高寒灌丛根系周转值明显高于高寒草甸根系周转值。研究表明,在全球气候变暖背景下将会增加金露梅灌丛地上净初级生产力,而对小嵩草草甸地上净初级生产力无显著影响。     

Response of tundra ecosystem in southwestern Alaska to Younger-Dryas climatic oscillation

Climatic warming during the last glacial–interglacial transition (LGIT) was punctuated by reversals to glacial‐like conditions. Palaeorecords of ecosystem change can help document the geographical extent of these events and improve our understanding of biotic sensitivity to climatic forcing. To reconstruct ecosystem and climatic variations during the LGIT, we analyzed lake sediments from southwestern Alaska for fossil pollen assemblages, biogenic‐silica content (BSiO₂%), and organic‐carbon content (OC%). Betula shrub tundra replaced herb tundra as the dominant vegetation of the region around 13 600 cal BP (cal BP: ¹⁴C calibrated calendar years before present), as inferred from an increase of Betula pollen percentages from << 5% to >> 20% with associated decreases in Cyperaceae, Poaceae, and Artemisia. At c. 13 000 cal BP, a decrease of Betula pollen from 28 to << 5% suggests that shrub tundra reverted to herb tundra. Shrub tundra replaced herb tundra to resume as the dominant vegetation at 11 600 cal BP. Higher OC% and BSiO₂% values suggest more stable soils and higher aquatic productivity during shrub‐tundra periods than during herb‐tundra periods, although pollen changes lagged behind changes in the biogeochemical indicators before c. 13 000 cal BP. Comparison of our palaeoecological data with the ice‐core dδ¹⁸O record from Greenland reveals strikingly similar patterns from the onset through the termination of the Younger Dryas (YD). This similarity supports the hypothesis that, as in the North Atlantic region, pronounced YD climatic oscillations occurred in the North Pacific region. The rapidity and magnitude of ecological changes at the termination of the YD are consistent with greenhouse experiments and historic photographs demonstrating tundra sensitivity to climatic forcing.     

神农架地区树轮蓝光强度对气候要素的响应

树轮在过去气候变化研究中发挥着难以替代的作用,在树木生长条件较为适宜地区传统的树轮宽度指标存在短板。树轮蓝光强度作为树轮密度的替代性指标,成为树轮-气候研究的重要载体。然而,树轮蓝光强度这一新兴的指标在亚热带地区的研究仍十分不足。为进一步挖掘树轮蓝光强度在我国亚热带地区树轮气候学研究中的应用潜力,利用神农架地区树轮宽度、树轮早材蓝光强度、树轮晚材蓝光强度、树轮早晚材蓝光强度差以及巴东气象站资料,基于树轮气候学方法,分析了上述树轮指标与月降水量、月平均最低气温、月平均气温和月平均最高气温之间的相关关系,对比了不同树轮指标蕴含气候信号的能力。研究结果表明,与树轮宽度相比,神农架地区树轮蓝光强度蕴含更为丰富的气候信号,其中树轮晚材蓝光强度、树轮早晚材蓝光强度差能够很好反映8月平均气温变化。其中,在原序列上树轮早晚材蓝光强度差与8月气温的关系最为紧密,而在高频上树轮晚材蓝光强度与8月平均气温的关系则更为紧密。树轮蓝光强度与气温之间高频信号一致性的发现,有助于丰富树木生长条件较为适宜地区树轮气候学的研究,为进一步的过去气温重建工作提供参考和依据。