Global dynamics of an epidemiological model with age of infection and disease relapse

In this paper, an epidemiological model with age of infection and disease relapse is investigated. The basic reproduction number for the model is identified, and it is shown to be a sharp threshold to completely determine the global dynamics of the model. By analysing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of a disease-free steady state and an endemic steady state of the model is established. By means of suitable Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle's invariance principle, it is verified that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the disease-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable, and hence the disease dies out; if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the endemic steady state is globally asymptotically stable and the disease becomes endemic.     

具有一般形式饱和接触率SEIS模型渐近分析

研究具有一般形式饱和接触率SEIS模型渐近性态,得到决定疾病绝灭和持续的阈值-基本再生数R0。当R0 ≤ 1时,仅存在无病平衡点P^0;当R0＞1时,除存在无病平衡点P^0外,还存在惟一的地方病平衡点P^＊。当R0＜1时,无病平衡点P^0全局渐近稳定;当R0＞1时,地方病平衡点P^＊局部渐近稳定。特别地,无因病死亡时,极限方程地方病平衡点P^-＊全局渐近稳定。     

Effect of pathogen-resistant vectors on the transmission dynamics of a vector-borne disease

A model is introduced for the transmission dynamics of a vector-borne disease with two vector strains, one wild and one pathogen-resistant; resistance comes at the cost of reduced reproductive fitness. The model, which assumes that vector reproduction can lead to the transmission or loss of resistance (reversion), is analyzed in a particular case with specified forms for the birth and force of infection functions. The vector component can have, in the absence of disease, a coexistence equilibrium where both strains survive. In the case where reversion is possible, this coexistence equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when it exists. This equilibrium is still present in the full vector-host system, leading to a reduction of the associated reproduction number, thereby making elimination of the disease more feasible. When reversion is not possible, there can exist an additional equilibrium with only resistant vectors.     

An age-structured within-host HIV-1 infection model with virus-to-cell and cell-to-cell transmissions

In this paper, a within-host HIV-1 infection model with virus-to-cell and direct cell-to-cell transmission and explicit age-since-infection structure for infected cells is investigated. It is shown that the model demonstrates a global threshold dynamics, fully described by the basic reproduction number. By analysing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of an infection-free steady state and a chronic-infection steady state of the model is established. By using the persistence theory in infinite dimensional system, the uniform persistence of the system is established when the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. By means of suitable Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle's invariance principle, it is shown that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the infection-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable; if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the chronic-infection steady state is globally asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the feasibility of the theoretical results.     

A Within-Host Virus Model with Periodic Multidrug Therapy

This paper is devoted to the investigation of the effects of periodic drug treatment on a standard within-host virus model. We first introduce the basic reproduction ratio for the model, and then show that the infection free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, and the disease eventually disappears if $\mathcal{R}_{0} < 1$ , while there exists at least one positive periodic state and the disease persists when $\mathcal{R}_{0}>1$ . We also consider an optimization problem by shifting the phase of these drug efficacy functions. It turns out that shifting the phase can certainly affect the stability of the infection free steady state. A numerical study is performed to illustrate our analytic results.     

Stability and stabilization for models of chemostats with multiple limiting substrates

We study chemostat models in which multiple species compete for two or more limiting nutrients. First, we consider the case where the nutrient flow and species removal rates and input nutrient concentrations are all given as positive constants. In that case, we use Brouwer degree theory to give conditions guaranteeing that the models admit globally asymptotically stable componentwise positive equilibrium points, from all componentwise positive initial states. Then we use the results to develop stabilization theory for a class of controlled chemostats with two or more limiting nutrients. For cases where the dilution rate and input nutrient concentrations can be selected as controls, we prove that many different componentwise positive equilibria can be made globally asymptotically stable. This extends the existing control results for chemostats with one limiting nutrient. We demonstrate our methods in simulations.     

Stability and stabilization for models of chemostats with multiple limiting substrates

We study chemostat models in which multiple species compete for two or more limiting nutrients. First, we consider the case where the nutrient flow and species removal rates and input nutrient concentrations are all given as positive constants. In that case, we use Brouwer degree theory to give conditions guaranteeing that the models admit globally asymptotically stable componentwise positive equilibrium points, from all componentwise positive initial states. Then we use the results to develop stabilization theory for a class of controlled chemostats with two or more limiting nutrients. For cases where the dilution rate and input nutrient concentrations can be selected as controls, we prove that many different componentwise positive equilibria can be made globally asymptotically stable. This extends the existing control results for chemostats with one limiting nutrient. We demonstrate our methods in simulations.     

Global Properties of <Emphasis Type="Italic">SIR</Emphasis> and <Emphasis Type="Italic">SEIR</Emphasis> Epidemic Models with Multiple Parallel Infectious Stages

We consider global properties of compartment SIR and SEIR models of infectious diseases, where there are several parallel infective stages. For instance, such a situation may arise if a fraction of the infected are detected and treated, while the rest of the infected remains undetected and untreated. We assume that the horizontal transmission is governed by the standard bilinear incidence rate. The direct Lyapunov method enables us to prove that the considered models are globally stable: There is always a globally asymptotically stable equilibrium state. Depending on the value of the basic reproduction number R ₀, this state can be either endemic (R ₀>1), or infection-free (R ₀≤1).     

Mathematical analysis of an age-structured population model with space-limited recruitment

In this paper, we investigate structured population model of marine invertebrate whose life stage is composed of sessile adults and pelagic larvae, such as barnacles contained in a local habitat. First we formulate the basic model as an Cauchy problem on a Banach space to discuss the existence and uniqueness of non-negative solution. Next we define the basic reproduction number R0 to formulate the invasion condition under which the larvae can successfully settle down in the completely vacant habitat. Subsequently we examine existence and stability of steady states. We show that the trivial steady state is globally asymptotically stable if R0 < or = 1, whereas it is unstable if R0 > 1. Furthermore, we show that a positive (non-trivial) steady state uniquely exists if R0 > 1 and it is locally asymptotically stable as far as absolute value of R0 - 1 is small enough.     

Global dynamics of a staged-progression model with amelioration for infectious diseases

We analyze the global dynamics of a mathematical model for infectious diseases that progress through distinct stages within infected hosts with possibility of amelioration. An example of such diseases is HIV/AIDS that progresses through several stages with varying degrees of infectivity; amelioration can result from a host's immune action or more commonly from antiretroviral therapies, such as highly active antiretroviral therapy. For a general n-stage model with constant recruitment and bilinear incidence that incorporates amelioration, we prove that the global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction number R(0). If R(0)≤1, then the disease-free equilibrium P(0) is globally asymptotically stable, and the disease always dies out. If R(0)>1, P(0) is unstable, a unique endemic equilibrium P* is globally asymptotically stable, and the disease persists at the endemic equilibrium. Impacts of amelioration on the basic reproduction number are also investigated.     

When the feasibility of an ecosystem is sufficient for global stability?

We show via a Liapunov function that in every model ecosystem governed by generalized Lotka-Volterra equations, a feasible steady state is globally asymptotically stable if the number of interaction branches equals n-1, where n is the number of species. This means that the representative graph for which the theorem holds is a 'tree' and not only an alimentary chain. Our result is valid also in the case of non-homogeneous systems, which model situations in which input fluxes are present.     

Effects of replicative fitness on competing HIV strains

We develop an n-strain model to show the effects of replicative fitness of competing viral strains exerting selective density-dependant infective pressure on each other. A two strain model is used to illustrate the results. A perturbation technique and numerical simulations were used to establish the existence and stability of steady states. More than one infected steady states governed by the replicative fitness resulted from the model exhibiting either strain replacement or co-infection. We found that the presence of two or more HIV strains could result in a disease-free state that, in general, is not globally stable.     

Global Properties of Infectious Disease Models with Nonlinear Incidence

We consider global properties for the classical SIR, SIRS and SEIR models of infectious diseases, including the models with the vertical transmission, assuming that the horizontal transmission is governed by an unspecified function f(S,I). We construct Lyapunov functions which enable us to find biologically realistic conditions sufficient to ensure existence and uniqueness of a globally asymptotically stable equilibrium state. This state can be either endemic, or infection-free, depending on the value of the basic reproduction number.     

Mathematical properties of pump-leak models of cell volume control and electrolyte balance

Homeostatic control of cell volume and intracellular electrolyte content is a fundamental problem in physiology and is central to the functioning of epithelial systems. These physiological processes are modeled using pump-leak models, a system of differential algebraic equations that describes the balance of ions and water flowing across the cell membrane. Despite their widespread use, very little is known about their mathematical properties. Here, we establish analytical results on the existence and stability of steady states for a general class of pump-leak models. We treat two cases. When the ion channel currents have a linear current-voltage relationship, we show that there is at most one steady state, and that the steady state is globally asymptotically stable. If there are no steady states, the cell volume tends to infinity with time. When minimal assumptions are placed on the properties of ion channel currents, we show that there is an asymptotically stable steady state so long as the pump current is not too large. The key analytical tool is a free energy relation satisfied by a general class of pump-leak models, which can be used as a Lyapunov function to study stability.     

Erratum to: Mathematical properties of pump-leak models of cell volume control and electrolyte balance

Homeostatic control of cell volume and intracellular electrolyte content is a fundamental problem in physiology and is central to the functioning of epithelial systems. These physiological processes are modeled using pump-leak models, a system of differential algebraic equations that describes the balance of ions and water flowing across the cell membrane. Despite their widespread use, very little is known about their mathematical properties. Here, we establish analytical results on the existence and stability of steady states for a general class of pump-leak models. We treat two cases. When the ion channel currents have a linear current-voltage relationship, we show that there is at most one steady state, and that the steady state is globally asymptotically stable. If there are no steady states, the cell volume tends to infinity with time. When minimal assumptions are placed on the properties of ion channel currents, we show that there is an asymptotically stable steady state so long as the pump current is not too large. The key analytical tool is a free energy relation satisfied by a general class of pump-leak models, which can be used as a Lyapunov function to study stability.     

An HBV model with diffusion and time delay

In this paper, a hepatitis B virus (HBV) model with spatial diffusion and saturation response of the infection rate is investigated, in which the intracellular incubation period is modelled by a discrete time delay. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of an infected steady state and an uninfected steady state is discussed. By comparison arguments, it is proved that if the basic reproductive number is less than unity, the uninfected steady state is globally asymptotically stable. If the basic reproductive number is greater than unity, by successively modifying the coupled lower-upper solution pairs, sufficient conditions are obtained for the global stability of the infected steady state. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the main results.     

改进的病毒感染动力学模型的稳定性分析

提出一个改进的乙肝病毒感染动力学模型.本模型有三个平衡点.对于HBV感染人群,三个平衡点分别对应于三类人群：感染病毒后自愈人群、健康带毒人群、慢性乙肝患者人群.证明了当模型导出的基本复制数R_0〈1时病毒清除平衡点具有局部稳定性和全局渐近稳定性,当1〈R_0〈k_3d/（k_2λ-k_3a）＋1时持续带毒平衡点具有局部稳定性.     

Global Stability for a Class of Virus Models with Cytotoxic T Lymphocyte Immune Response and Antigenic Variation

We study the global stability of a class of models for in-vivo virus dynamics that take into account the Cytotoxic T Lymphocyte immune response and display antigenic variation. This class includes a number of models that have been extensively used to model HIV dynamics. We show that models in this class are globally asymptotically stable, under mild hypothesis, by using appropriate Lyapunov functions. We also characterise the stable equilibrium points for the entire biologically relevant parameter range. As a by-product, we are able to determine what is the diversity of the persistent strains.     

A general multi-strain model with environmental transmission: Invasion conditions for the disease-free and endemic states

Although many infectious diseases of humans and wildlife are transmitted via an environmental reservoir, the theory of environmental transmission remains poorly elaborated. Here we introduce an SIR-type multi-strain disease transmission model with perfect cross immunity where environmental transmission is broadly defined by three axioms. We establish the conditions under which a multi-strain endemic state is invaded by another strain which is both directly and environmentally transmitted. We discuss explicit forms for environmental transmission terms and apply our newly derived invasion conditions to a two-strain system. Then, we consider the case of two strains with matching basic reproduction numbers (i.e., R₀), one directly transmitted only and the other both directly and environmentally transmitted, invading each other's endemic state. We find that the strain which is only directly transmitted can invade the endemic state of the strain with mixed transmission. However, the endemic state of the first strain is neutrally stable to invasion by the second strain. Thus, our results suggest that environmental transmission makes the endemic state less resistant to invasion.