Dynamics of a <Emphasis Type="Italic">Limecola</Emphasis> (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Macoma</Emphasis>) <Emphasis Type="Italic">balthica</Emphasis> population in a tidal flat area in the western Wadden Sea: effects of declining survival and recruitment

We followed the dynamics of the population of the bivalve Limecola (Macoma) balthica in the westernmost part of the Wadden Sea by monitoring for 44 years (1973–2016) its numbers and age composition at 15 sites in a 50-km² tidal-flat area. During the first half of this period, the annual recruitment and adult survival were at a relatively constant level, resulting in rather constant numbers. During the second half of the observation period, annual recruitment and adult survival showed declining trends, resulting in seriously reduced adult abundance. Sudden substantial reductions in adult survival started around 1996 at a few sites to spread over the entire area within 5 years, like an infectious disease. The resulting small adult stocks produced small numbers of recruits. The stock–recruitment curve showed an increasing part up to about 30 adults m^?2, followed by invariably successful recruitments at > 40 adults m^?2. Both recruitment and adult survival were negatively related to water temperatures. However, elevated temperatures after 1997 could not explain the very low survival rates observed after 1996 and the very low recruitment success after 2003. So far, recovery of the population has hardly taken place, with both recruitment and adult survival at lower levels than observed for the initial stable period.     

Density-dependent vital rates and their population dynamic consequences

We explore a set of simple, nonlinear, two-stage models that allow us to compare the effects of density dependence on population dynamics among different kinds of life cycles. We characterize the behavior of these models in terms of their equilibria, bifurcations, and nonlinear dynamics, for a wide range of parameters. Our analyses lead to several generalizations about the effects of life history and density dependence on population dynamics. Among these are: (1) iteroparous life histories are more likely to be stable than semelparous life histories; (2) an increase in juvenile survivorship tends to be stabilizing; (3) density-dependent adult survival cannot control population growth when reproductive output is high; (4) density-dependent reproduction is more likely to cause chaotic dynamics than density dependence in other vital rates; and (5) changes in development rate have only small effects on bifurcation patterns. Received: 12 April 1999 / Published online: 3 August 2000     

Overcompensatory recruitment and generation delay in discrete age-structured population models

 The effect of overcompensatory recruitment and the combined effect of overcompensatory recruitment and generation delay in discrete nonlinear age-structured population models is studied. Considering overcompensatory recruitment alone, we present formal proofs of the supercritical nature of bifurcations (both flip and Hopf) as well as an extensive analysis of dynamics in unstable parameter regions. One important finding here is that in case of small and moderate year to year survival probabilities there are large regions in parameter space where the qualitative behaviour found in a general n+1 dimensional model is retained already in a one-dimensional model. Another result is that the dynamics at or near the boundary of parameter space may be very complicated. Generally, generation delay is found to act as a destabilizing effect but its effect on dynamics is by no means unique. The most profound effect occurs in the n-generation delay cases. In these cases there is no stable equilibrium X ^* at all, but whenever X ^* small, a stable cycle of period n+1 where the periodic points in the cycle are on a very special form. In other cases generation delay does not alter the dynamics in any substantial way. Received 25 April 1995; received in revised form 21 November 1995     

THE POPULATION DYNAMICS OF NORTHERN SEA LIONS, 1975-1985

Abstract: Populations of northern sea lions ( Eumetopias jubatus ) in the vicinity of Marmot Island, Alaska declined during 1975–1985 at about 5% per year (Merrick et al. 1987). The cause of this decline is not known. A life table for the northern sea lion was calculated assuming that life spans follow a Weibull distribution. Samples of northern sea lions taken in the vicinity of Marmot Island, Alaska during 1975–1978 and 1985–1986 indicate that the average age of females older than 3 yr increased about 1.55 yr (SD = 0.35 yr) while the population was declining at about 5% per year. Fecundity rates decreased by 10% over the same period, but the decrease was not statistically significant (Calkins and Goodwin 1988). Possible causes of the population decline and the change in age structure were examined by writing the Leslie matrix population equation in terms of changes in juvenile and adult survival rates and fecundity, and examining the short–term behavior of the trajectories of the average age of adult females, total number of females, and total number of pups with respect to those changes in the vital parameters. From the observed rate of declines of adults and the changes in average age of adult females and fecundity, estimates of the changes in adult and juvenile survival were calculated; estimates of the standard deviations of these changes were estimated via a bootstrap procedure. One purpose of this exercise is to aid in setting priorities for research for determining the cause of the decline. An explanation for the observed declines in numbers of adult sea lions consistent with the observed fecundity rates, a rate of decrease of 5% in the number of adults, and the corresponding increase in average age (of females age 3 yr and older) was a 10%–20% decrease in the survival of juveniles (age 0-3 yr) coupled with an insignificant change in adult survival (0.03%, SD = 1%).     

Age‐specific survival and recruitment of piping plovers Charadrius melodus in the Great Lakes region

Juvenile survival and age at first breeding (i.e. recruitment) are critical parameters affecting population dynamics in birds, but high levels of natal dispersal preclude measurement of these variables in most species. We used multi‐state capture–recapture models to measure age‐specific survival and recruitment probabilities of piping plovers Charadrius melodus in the Great Lakes region during 1993–2012. This federally endangered population is thoroughly monitored throughout its entire breeding range, minimizing concerns that measures of survival and recruitment are confounded by temporary or permanent emigration. First‐year survival (± SE) averaged 0.284 ± 0.019 from mean banding age (9 d) and 0.374 ± 0.023 from fledging age (23 d). Factors that increased first‐year survival during the pre‐fledging period (9–23 d) included earlier hatching dates, older age at banding, greater number of fledglings at a given site, and better body condition at time of banding. However, when chicks that died prior to fledging were excluded from analysis, only earlier hatching dates improved first‐year survival estimates. Females had a higher probability (0.557 ± 0.066) of initiating breeding at age one than did males (0.353 ± 0.052), but virtually all plovers began breeding by age three. Adult survival was reduced by increased hurricane activity on the southeast U.S. Atlantic coast where Great Lakes piping plovers winter and by higher populations of merlins Falco columbarius. Mean annual adult survival declined from 1993 to 2012, and did not differ between males and females. Enhanced body condition led to higher survival to fledge and early breeding led to improved first‐year survival; therefore, management actions focused on ensuring access to quality feeding habitat for growing young and protecting early nests may increase recruitment in this federally endangered population.     

Survival,density and population composition of bellbirds (Anthornis melanura) on the Poor Knights Islands,New Zealand

Abstract

Annual survival by age, sex and population size and structure were estimated for bellbirds (Anthornis melanura) from a banding study undertaken on 66 ha Aorangi Island, the Poor Knights Islands, during the period 1978–86. The most parsimonious model showed that survival varied little with age and between years, and survival of males was significantly greater than that of females. Recapture probabilities of males and females were similar, but did vary with age and among years. There was a greater proportion of adult males than adult females and sub‐adult males and females in the population, and among adults the male bias in the population was greater during the breeding season than at other times of the year. The high density of bellbirds on the Poor Knights and larger size of males may explain the reduced survival of females relative to that of males.     

Spatial patterns in age- and colony-specific survival in a long-lived seabird across 14 contrasting colonies

Demographic rates such as recruitment and survival probability can vary considerably among populations of the same species due to variation in underlying environmental processes. If environmental processes are spatially correlated, nearby populations are expected to have more similar demographic rates than those further apart. Breeding populations and foraging ranges are spatially segregated in colonial seabirds, making them ideal for studying spatial patterns in demographic rates and their effects on local population dynamics. Here we explored variation in age-dependent survival probabilities across 14 colonies of Herring Gulls Larus argentatus breeding along the Dutch North Sea coast. We used long-term mark–recapture data of marked fledglings to estimate survival, and estimated spatial autocorrelation of survival probabilities. We assessed whether survival until recruitment age or until 10 years old (close to their expected lifespan) explained variation in population trajectories of each colony. Juvenile and adult survival showed a strong, but different, north-to-south gradient in survival probability, with lower juvenile but higher adult survival in northern colonies than southern colonies, whereas the spatial pattern of immature survival was less distinct. Neither recruitment nor the proportion of 10-year-old adults alive predicted whether a colony collapsed, declined, remained stable or increased. The distinct spatial pattern in survival suggests variation in regional food availability, which do not seem to drive local population dynamics. The absence of a link between survival and colony trajectories implies that connectivity between populations plays an important role affecting population dynamics.     

Estimation of feeding threshold for Homalodisca vitripennis (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae) and its application to prediction of overwintering mortality

The glassy-winged sharpshooter, Homalodisca vitripennis (Germar), vectors the bacterium Xylella fastidiosa that induces Pierce's disease of grape. This study determined the effect of temperature on the feeding activity of H. vitripennis adults and the resulting production of excreta. The Logan type I model described a nonlinear pattern that showed excreta production increased up to an optimal temperature (33.1°C), followed by an abrupt decline near an estimated upper threshold (36.4°C). A temperature threshold for feeding, at or below which adults cease feeding, was estimated to be 10°C using a linear regression model based on the percentage of adults producing excreta over a range of constant temperatures. A simulated winter-temperature experiment using fluctuating thermal cycles confirmed that a time period above the temperature threshold for feeding was a critical factor in determining adult survival. Using data from the simulated temperature study, a predictive model was constructed by quantifying the relationship between cumulative mortality and cooling degree-hours. In field validation experiments, the model accurately predicted the temporal pattern of overwintering mortality of H. vitripennis adults held under winter temperatures simulating conditions in Bakersfield and Riverside, California, in 2006-2007. Model prediction using winter temperature data from a Riverside weather station indicated that H. vitripennis adults would experience an average of 92% overwintering mortality before reproduction in the spring, but levels of mortality varied depending on winter temperatures. The potential for temperature-based indices to predict temporal and spatial dynamics of H. vitripennis overwintering is discussed.     

Demographics of an Experimentally Released Population of Elk in Great Smoky Mountains National Park

ABSTRACT We assessed the potential for reestablishing elk (Cervus elaphus) in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (GSMNP), USA, by estimating vital rates of experimentally released animals from 2001 to 2006. Annual survival rates for calves ranged from 0.333 to 1.0 and averaged 0.592. Annual survival for subadult and adult elk (i.e., ≥ 1 yr of age) ranged from 0.690 to 0.933, depending on age and sex. We used those and other vital rates to model projected population growth and viability using a stochastic individual-based model. The annual growth rate (λ) of the modeled population over a 25-year period averaged 0.996 and declined from 1.059 the first year to 0.990 at year 25. The modeled population failed to attain a positive 25-year mean growth rate in 46.0% of the projections. Poor calf recruitment was an important determinant of low population growth. Predation by black bears (Ursus americanus) was the dominant calf mortality factor. Most of the variance of growth projections was due to demographic variation resulting from the small population size (n = 61). Management actions such as predator control may help increase calf recruitment, but our projections suggest that the GSMNP elk population may be at risk for some time because of high demographic variation.     

Periodic forcing of microbial cultures: a model for induction synchrony

Periodic environmental shifts have been used to induce synchrony in many different microbial populations. In this article, the induction synchrony phenomenon is analyzed using an age distribution model in which the age at which the cells divide is subjected to periodic forcing. It is found that synchrony will occur whenever the period of the forcing lies in the interval between the youngest and the oldest division age that occur in the population during the forcing. The analysis also predicts that under certain conditions it should be possible to obtain a multimodal synchrony in which cells in the population are distributed among a set of discrete, synchronized cell lines. The behavior of the age distribution when the conditions for synchrony are not satisfied is briefly explored. It is found that the age distribution model is able to exhibit a very rich spectrum of possible dynamic behavior. Many of the phenomena observed can be thought of in terms that are familiar from nonlinear analysis, such as stable and unstable limit cycles, period doubling, halving, and chaos. The richness of dynamic behavior opens the possibility that environmental shifts or periodic forcing could be used as a powerful tool in discriminating models of microbial kinetics and cell cycle control.     

Recruitment processes in long-lived species with delayed maturity: estimating key demographic parameters

Long-lived species show delayed maturity and generally skip breeding sites on a given year, causing difficulties in estimating demographic parameters. A novel multi-state capture – recapture model (model G for general) is proposed to estimate survival and recruitment. Model G considers long and short periods of non-attendance at the breeding site. Model G is compared against a reduced model (model R) to test if pre-breeders skip the studied site a given year, potentially prospecting other breeding habitats.
This model is applied to the vulnerable Cory's shearwaters seabird species. As for many species, natal philopatry, pre-breeding attendance and prospecting play an important role for recruitment into the breeding population. Model G shows that all Cory's shearwaters come back to their natal colony, and attend the colony before recruiting into the breeding population. Moreover, model G is preferred against model R, highlighting that prospecting plays a potentially role in the recruitment processes. Return and recruitment probabilities show similar time variation, suggesting an environmental forcing. The maximum probability of the first breeding is reached at the age of seven years. During the first year the annual survival rate is 0.52 (IC_95%=[0.40, 0.64]) and pre-breeders and adult annual survival rates do not differ, being respectively 0.88, IC_95%=[0.83, 0.92] and 0.89, IC_95%=[0.88, 0.9].
Model G provides an improvement to estimate demographic parameters for long-lived species life cycle and an adequate framework to test the influence of covariates. Model G is structured by age and breeding status categories, allowing easy further population models.     

Phase locking,period doubling bifurcations and chaos in a mathematical model of a periodically driven oscillator: A theory for the entrainment of biological oscillators and the generation of cardiac dysrhythmias

A mathematical model for the perturbation of a biological oscillator by single and periodic impulses is analyzed. In response to a single stimulus the phase of the oscillator is changed. If the new phase following a stimulus is plotted against the old phase the resulting curve is called the phase transition curve or PTC (Pavlidis, 1973). There are two qualitatively different types of phase resetting. Using the terminology of Winfree (1977, 1980), large perturbations give a type 0 PTC (average slope of the PTC equals zero), whereas small perturbations give a type 1 PTC. The effects of periodic inputs can be analyzed by using the PTC to construct the Poincaré or phase advance map. Over a limited range of stimulation frequency and amplitude, the Poincaré map can be reduced to an interval map possessing a single maximum. Over this range there are period doubling bifurcations as well as chaotic dynamics. Numerical and analytical studies of the Poincaré map show that both phase locked and non-phase locked dynamics occur. We propose that cardiac dysrhythmias may arise from desynchronization of two or more spontaneously oscillating regions of the heart. This hypothesis serves to account for the various forms of atrioventricular (AV) block clinically observed. In particular 22 and 42 AV block can arise by period doubling bifurcations, and intermittent or variable AV block may be due to the complex irregular behavior associated with chaotic dynamics.     

Ectoparasites and age-dependent survival in a desert rodent

Host age is one of the key factors in host–parasite relationships as it possibly affects infestation levels, parasite-induced mortality of a host, and parasite distribution among host individuals. We tested two alternative hypotheses about infestation pattern and survival under parasitism in relation to host age. The first hypothesis assumes that parasites are recruited faster than they die and, thus, suggests that adult hosts will show higher infestation levels than juveniles because the former have more time to accumulate parasites. The second hypothesis assumes that parasites die faster than they are recruited and, thus, suggests that adults will show lower infestation levels because of acquired immune response and/or the mortality of heavily infested juveniles and, thus, selection for less infested adults. As the negative effects of parasites on host are often intensity-dependent, we expected that the age-related differences in infestation may be translated to lower or higher survival under parasitism of adults, in the cases of the first and the second hypotheses, respectively. We manipulated ectoparasite numbers using insecticide and assessed the infestation pattern in adult and juvenile gerbils (Gerbillus andersoni) in the Negev Desert. We found only a partial support for age-dependent parasitism. No age-related differences in infestation and distribution among host individuals were found after adjusting the ectoparasite numbers to the host’s surface area. However, age-related differences in survival under parasitism were revealed. The survival probability of parasitized juveniles decreased in about 48% compared to unparasitized hosts while the survival probability of adults was not affected by ectoparasites. Our results suggest that the effect of host age on host–parasite dynamics may not explicitly be determined by age-dependent differences in ectoparasite recruitment or mortality processes but may also be affected by other host-related and parasite-related traits.     

The full path of Janzen-Connell effects: genetic tracking of seeds to adult plant recruitment

The Janzen-Connell (J-C) model (Janzen 1970; Connell 1971) has been a dominant yet controversial paradigm for forest community dynamics for four decades, especially in the tropics. With increasing distance from the parent plant, the density of dispersed seeds decreases and, because of a reduced impact of distance- and density-responsive seed and seedling enemies, propagule survival increases, resulting in peak recruitment at some distance from the parent and little recruitment near adult conspecifics. This spacing generates gaps near adult trees for the recruitment of heterospecifics, enhancing species coexistence and species richness. Field studies, primarily focused on seeds and young seedlings, have repeatedly demonstrated increasing survival with increasing distance from parents or decreasing density of propagules (e.g. Clark & Clark 1984; Gilbert et al. 1994; Swamy & Terborgh 2010). Yet a meta-analysis of distance-dependent propagule survival failed to support a general pattern of survival increasing with distance from adult conspecifics, suggesting that there is no need for further experimental tests of the J-C hypothesis in terms of diversity enhancement-results are species-specific, not general (Hyatt et al. 2003). However, a lack of consistent experimental results is not surprising. The outcome of tests of the hypothesis can vary as a function of many factors that can affect successive recruitment stages differently (Schupp 1992; Hyatt et al. 2003; Swamy & Terborgh 2010). This highlights a critical gap-a full test of the J-C model requires data demonstrating that effects carry over to recruitment of new reproductive adults, yet few studies have gone beyond early stages. There is strong inferential evidence that adult trees can show the imprint of J-C effects (e.g. Nathan et al. 2000; Howe & Miriti 2004), and focal individual modelling has clearly demonstrated that J-C effects can operate from sapling through adult stages in a significant number of species (Peters 2003). It is likely that such results are not unusual, but there have been few attempts to demonstrate J-C spacing at the adult stage. In this issue of Molecular Ecology, Steinitz et al. (2011) studied the Mediterranean pine Pinus halepensis (Aleppo pine) and combined a unique situation with an innovative approach to provide the most elegant demonstration yet that adult recruits are spaced further from parents than expected from the initial seed distribution, clear evidence of a J-C effect carrying over to reproductive adults. A major advancement of this study is that it incorporates estimates of the initial patterns of seed dispersal and parentage analysis of adult-offspring relationships, illustrating the value of combined field and genetic approaches.     

Population dynamics and phenology of the wall crab spider Selenops cocheleti Simon, 1880 (Araneae: Selenopidae) in Southeastern Brazil

Over a two-year period, we conducted population studies of Selenops cocheleti inhabiting trunks of Plinia cauliflora (Myrtaceae) and Pinus elliottii (Pinaceae) in southeastern Brazil. Adult females were present year-round while adult males were only present during summer, indicating a “stenochronous summer” phenological pattern. The longevity of adult females enables them to continuously generate egg-sacs throughout the year, resulting in the permanent recruitment of individuals. In conclusion, this study provides new insights into the life-history of S. cocheleti and how climatic variables and prey abundance influence the population abundance of the different age classes and adult sexes.     

Survival in a long-lived territorial migrant: effects of life-history traits and ecological conditions in wintering and breeding areas

Despite its key role in population dynamics and evolutionary ecology, little is known about factors shaping survival in long‐lived territorial species. Here, we assessed several hypotheses that might explain variability in survival in a migratory Spanish population of a long‐lived territorial species, the Egyptian vulture Neophron percnopterus, using a 16‐year monitoring period and live‐encounter histories of 835 individually marked birds. Cormack‐Jolly‐Seber capture–recapture models showed no evidence for effects of sex or nestling body condition on survival. However, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI; an indicator of primary productivity) of natal territories had positive effects on juvenile survival, indicating that environmental conditions experienced early in life can determine survival prospects. Survival increased with age (0.73±0.02 in the first 2 years to 0.78±0.03 in years 3 and 4) to later decrease when birds were five years old (0.60±0.05), the age at which they acquire the adult plumage, abandon the communal lifestyle of juveniles, and may look for a breeding territory. At older ages, survival was higher for non‐breeding (0.75±0.02) and breeding adults (0.83±0.02). Among the latter, birds that recruited into better territories had higher survival prospects. Age‐specific variation in survival in this species may be related to behavioural changes linked to dispersal and recruitment into the breeding population, while survival prospects of adult birds strongly depend on breeding territory selection. These results suggest a tradeoff between recruiting soon, and thus reducing mortality costs of a long and extensive dispersal period, and trying to recruit into a good quality territory. Finally, annual survival rates for birds of all age classes were positively related with the NDVI in their African wintering grounds. Although this relationship was probably mediated by food availability, further research is needed to properly identify the limiting factors that are affecting trans‐Saharan migrants, especially in light of global climate change.     

Temperature-dependent post-diapause development and prediction of spring emergence of the pine needle gall midge (Dipt., Cecidomyiidae)

Abstract:  We determined the influence of temperature on post-diapause development of overwintered Thecodiplosis japonensis Uchida et Inouye (Dipt., Cecidomyiidae) under various treatments (12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27 and 30°C) in an effort to predict its spring emergence. Survival and developmental period for the overwintered larvae and pupae were significantly influenced by temperature. Linear and nonlinear regression models quantitatively described temperature-dependent development and survival of T. japonensis . The survival models exhibited right-skewed bell shape patterns for all stages, indicating a more detrimental impact on survival at high temperatures. Theoretical optimum temperatures with highest survival were 22.3, 24.0 and 24.0°C for the overwintered larvae, pupae and total post-diapause development (the larvae to adults) respectively. Pupal mortality was higher at all temperatures than larval mortality and the suitable range of temperature for pupae was narrower than that of larvae. The nonlinear Briere model estimated that optimum temperatures with the fastest development were 29.1°C for larvae, 27.6°C for pupae and 27.0°C for larvae to adults. In a linear model, the lower threshold temperatures were 5.1, 7.1 and 5.9°C for larvae, pupae, and larvae to adults respectively. A predictive degree-day model was developed using trap catches of T. japonensis adult emergence during 1991–1995. The model accounted for 84.6% of year-to-year variation in adult emergence and predicted accurately the median emergence time in 1996.     

Harvesting and predation of a sex- and age-structured population

We study a discrete-time system of equations for a structured ungulate population exploited by human harvesting or a dynamic predator. The population is divided into juveniles, and female and male adults. Harvesting is concentrated on adults (trophy hunting of males or population control measures on females), whereas predation occurs in juveniles. Though the model consists of four nonlinear equations, we find explicit expressions for the steady states. We use these explicit expressions to investigate harvesting rates that allow population persistence, rates that ensure population control, and optimal harvesting efforts. Several reductions of complexity allow for a detailed analysis of the dynamics of the model. Most notably, we find that even compensatory density dependence can lead to a period doubling bifurcation, that the model does not support consumer–resource cycles, and that an Allee effect can emerge from the interplay of stage-specific predation and density-dependent prey reproduction.     

The population dynamics and reproductive cycle of Septifer virgatus (Bivalvia: Mytilidae) on an exposed rocky shore in Hong Kong

Exposed rocky shores in Hong Kong are dominated at mid-tidal levels by a broad band of the mytilid Septifer virgatus. A 48-month study of a population inhabiting the shores at Cape d'Aguilar has been undertaken. The species matures at a shell length of ≅ 15 mm, about one year after recruitment. Septifer virgatus is dioecious with a slight, but insignificant, female bias overall. There is, however, a significant juvenile male bias. Generally, most adult individuals remain mature year round, although spawning is limited to two periods in spring (February to March) and autumn (September to December) with subsequent recruitment into the adult population. The species lives for ≅ 4–5 years, although older individuals, possibly up to 12 years of age and with a maximum recorded shell length of 65 mm, occur as solitary individuals lower down the shore. Mortality in winter mainly affects newly recruited juveniles. A heavy mortality of adults in summer is thought to be related to high rock temperatures at midday (≅ 50°C), concurrent with low spring tides.
The life-history tactics and sexual strategy of Septifer virgatus can be correlated with seasonal changes in hydrography. There are a number of similarities with other local mytilids, notably the dioecious condition and the bimodal pattern of spawning and recruitment. Such similarities are discussed in relation to the habitats occupied by these species.     

Density dependent recruitment in the reef fish Chaetodon miliaris

Synopsis Recruitment of reef fish has generally been found to be unrelated to or positively related to adult densities. This paper reports an inverse relationship between the number of recruits of Chaetodon miliaris and the density of conspecific adults. C. miliaris are non-territorial, planktivorous butterflyfish. The study populations occurred on the flanks of patch reefs of about 30 m in diameter. At their peak densities populations consisted of 300–400 C. miliaris. Recruitment (the appearance in the stock of fish less than 3.5cm in total length) occurred primarily from April to June and corresponded to the new moon period in these months. Populations generally showed a steady decline in numbers during months of the year when recruitment was not occurring: the finite rate of decline was approximately 30% per month. Populations varied in the density of adults at the start of the spring-summer period of recruitment, and the magnitude of recruitment to a reef was inversely related to the density of these conspecific adults. Reduction of the densities of adult C. miliaris through trap fishing, resulted in increased recruitment to the fished stock. These results provide evidence that in some. species of reef fish, benthic processes may play an important role in determining the magnitude of recruitment to an adult stock, in contrast to the widely held view that recruitment is in large part a result of chance events in the plankton or that recruitment is directly related to adult densities.