Potential consequences of climate change for primary production and fish production in large marine ecosystems

Existing methods to predict the effects of climate change on the biomass and production of marine communities are predicated on modelling the interactions and dynamics of individual species, a very challenging approach when interactions and distributions are changing and little is known about the ecological mechanisms driving the responses of many species. An informative parallel approach is to develop size-based methods. These capture the properties of food webs that describe energy flux and production at a particular size, independent of species'' ecology. We couple a physical–biogeochemical model with a dynamic, size-based food web model to predict the future effects of climate change on fish biomass and production in 11 large regional shelf seas, with and without fishing effects. Changes in potential fish production are shown to most strongly mirror changes in phytoplankton production. We project declines of 30–60% in potential fish production across some important areas of tropical shelf and upwelling seas, most notably in the eastern Indo-Pacific, the northern Humboldt and the North Canary Current. Conversely, in some areas of the high latitude shelf seas, the production of pelagic predators was projected to increase by 28–89%.     

Artificial habitats and the restoration of degraded marine ecosystems and fisheries

Artificial habitats in marine ecosystems are employed on a limited basis to restore degraded natural habitats and fisheries, and more extensively for a broader variety of purposes including biological conservation and enhancement as well as social and economic development. Included in the aims of human-made habitats classified as artificial reefs are: Aquaculture/marine ranching; promotion of biodiversity; mitigation of environmental damage; enhancement of recreational scuba diving; eco-tourism development; expansion of recreational fishing; artisanal and commercial fisheries production; protection of benthic habitats against illegal trawling; and research. Structures often are fabricated according to anticipated physical influences or life history requirements of individual species. For example, many of the world’s largest reefs have been deployed as part of a national fisheries program in Japan, where large steel and concrete frameworks have been carefully designed to withstand strong ocean currents. In addition, the differing ecological needs of porgy and sea bass for shelter guided the design of the Box Reef in Korea as a device to enhance productivity of marine ranching. The effect of these and other structures on fisheries catch is positive. But caution must be exercised to avoid using reefs simply as fishing devices to heavily exploit species attracted to them. No worldwide database for artificial habitats exists.The challenge to any ecological restoration effort is to define the condition or possibly even the historic baseline to which the system will be restored; in other words, to answer the question: “Restoration to what?” Examples of aquatic ecosystem restoration from Hong Kong (fisheries), the Pacific Ocean (kelp beds), Chesapeake Bay (oysters) and the Atlantic Ocean (coral reefs) are discussed. The degree to which these four situations consider or can approach a baseline is indicated and compared (e.g., four plants per 100 m² are proposed in one project). Measurement of performance is a key factor in restoration planning. These situations also are considered for the ecosystem and fishery contexts in which they are conducted. All use ecological data as a basis for physical design of restoration structures. The use of experimental, pilot and modeling practices is indicated.A context for the young field of marine restoration is provided by reviewing major factors in ecosystem degradation, such as high stress on 70% of commercially valuable fishes worldwide. Examples of habitat disruption include an extensive hypoxic/anoxic zone in the Gulf of Mexico and nutrient and contaminant burdens in the North Sea. Principles of ecological restoration are summarized, from planning through to evaluation. Alternate approaches to facilitate ecological recovery include land-use and ecosystem management and determining levels of human population, consumption and pollution.     

Global trends in world fisheries: impacts on marine ecosystems and food security

This contribution, which reviews some broad trends in human history and in the history of fishing, argues that sustainability, however defined, rarely if ever occurred as a result of an explicit policy, but as result of our inability to access a major part of exploited stocks. With the development of industrial fishing, and the resulting invasion of the refuges previously provided by distance and depth, our interactions with fisheries resources have come to resemble the wars of extermination that newly arrived hunters conducted 40,000-50,000 years ago in Australia, and 11,000-13,000 years ago against large terrestrial mammals arrived in North America. These broad trends are documented here through a map of change in fish sizes, which displays characteristic declines, first in the nearshore waters of industrialized countries of the Northern Hemisphere, then spread offshore and to the Southern Hemisphere. This geographical extension met its natural limit in the late 1980s, when the catches from newly accessed stocks ceased to compensate for the collapse in areas accessed earlier, hence leading to a gradual decline of global landing. These trends affect developing countries more than the developed world, which have been able to meet the shortfall by increasing imports from developing countries. These trends, however, together with the rapid growth of farming of carnivorous fishes, which consumes other fishes suited for human consumption, have led to serious food security issues. This promotes urgency to the implementation of the remedies traditionally proposed to alleviate overfishing (reduction of overcapacity, enforcement of conservative total allowable catches, etc.), and to the implementation of non-conventional approaches, notably the re-establishment of the refuges (also known as marine reserves), which made possible the apparent sustainability of pre-industrial fisheries.     

Net primary production of the grass and swamp ecosystems

Paper presents estimates of above-ground, below-ground, and total production in grasslands, meadows and steppe of the forest-steppe and steppe regions, and production of moss peat ecosystems of the northern, middle, and southern taiga forests. Total production varies in grasslands from 520 to 6670 g/(m² year) and depends on hydrothermal conditions and the regime of the use of herbage, in moss peat it varies from 360 to 1970 g/(m² year) and is determined by the biology of predominant species, conditions of fluviomineral feeding and heat supply.     

Underwater acoustics in marine fisheries and fisheries research

Underwater acoustics enables the detection and precise location of fish and is therefore a prerequisite for effective fishing methods such as pelagic trawling and purse seining. The application of acoustic instruments to detect fish and monitor gear performance in modern commercial fisheries is outlined. The latest developments in obtaining information such as bottom roughness and determining such characteristics of fish detected as size and species are presented.Echo integration is now widely used to estimate the abundance of commercially important fish stocks. The principles of the method are outlined briefly, and special emphasis is put on such effects of fish behaviour as the dramatic influence of fish orientation on its backscattering cross section, the possible effects of vessel avoidance, and the uncertainties connected with spatial variability.The use of acoustic tags, echosounders and sonar to study and quantify fish behaviour and distribution is outlined, with particular attention to new developments that provide detailed information on fish behaviour and distribution in relation to environmental parameters.Future developments and improvements in the application of underwater acoustics to commercial fisheries and fisheries research are suggested     

Effects of climate‐driven primary production change on marine food webs: implications for fisheries and conservation

Climate change is altering the rate and distribution of primary production in the world's oceans. Primary production is critical to maintaining biodiversity and supporting fishery catches, but predicting the response of populations to primary production change is complicated by predation and competition interactions. We simulated the effects of change in primary production on diverse marine ecosystems across a wide latitudinal range in Australia using the marine food web model Ecosim. We link models of primary production of lower trophic levels (phytoplankton and benthic producers) under climate change with Ecosim to predict changes in fishery catch, fishery value, biomass of animals of conservation interest, and indicators of community composition. Under a plausible climate change scenario, primary production will increase around Australia and generally this benefits fisheries catch and value and leads to increased biomass of threatened marine animals such as turtles and sharks. However, community composition is not strongly affected. Sensitivity analyses indicate overall positive linear responses of functional groups to primary production change. Responses are robust to the ecosystem type and the complexity of the model used. However, model formulations with more complex predation and competition interactions can reverse the expected responses for some species, resulting in catch declines for some fished species and localized declines of turtle and marine mammal populations under primary productivity increases. We conclude that climate‐driven primary production change needs to be considered by marine ecosystem managers and more specifically, that production increases can simultaneously benefit fisheries and conservation. Greater focus on incorporating predation and competition interactions into models will significantly improve the ability to identify species and industries most at risk from climate change.     

Comparative analysis of marine ecosystems: international production modelling workshop

Understanding the drivers that dictate the productivity of marine ecosystems continues to be a globally important issue. A vast literature identifies three main processes that regulate the production dynamics of such ecosystems: biophysical, exploitative and trophodynamic. Exploring the prominence among this ‘triad’ of drivers, through a synthetic analysis, is critical for understanding how marine ecosystems function and subsequently produce fisheries resources of interest to humans. To explore this topic further, an international workshop was held on 10–14 May 2010, at the National Academy of Science''s Jonsson Center in Woods Hole, MA, USA. The workshop compiled the data required to develop production models at different hierarchical levels (e.g. species, guild, ecosystem) for many of the major Northern Hemisphere marine ecosystems that have supported notable fisheries. Analyses focused on comparable total system biomass production, functionally equivalent species production, or simulation studies for 11 different marine fishery ecosystems. Workshop activities also led to new analytical tools. Preliminary results suggested common patterns driving overall fisheries production in these ecosystems, but also highlighted variation in the relative importance of each among ecosystems.     

Limnological studies of and primary production in temple pond ecosystems

Three temple ponds with permanent blooms of blue green algae were highly productive. They all showed high alkalinity, hardness, electrical conductivity and pH. Organic carbon and nitrogen were highest in Sarvatheertham pond—60 to 79.6 mg./l. C and 4.10 to 7.60 mg./l. N. In Tamaraikulam it was 16.5 to 20.3 mg. C/l. and 1.03 to 1.32 mg. N/l. In Sarvatheertham, the gross production ranged from 2.85 to 20.72 g. O₂/m.²/d. Self shading by blanket algae of blue greens reduced productivity in Sarvatheertham, where a persistent thermal and biochemical stratification was noted. Very high organic carbon and nitrogen contents were noted in Sarvatheertham pond. The dry weight of plankton in this pond ranged from 430 to 900 mg./l. Productivity computed from diurnal changes in alkalinity and dissolved oxygen also revealed a high rate in Ayyankulam, Tamaraikulam and Sarvatheertham in descending order. Very wide fluctuations in pH, both diurnally and depth-wise, were recorded in Sarvatheertham and to a lesser extent in the other two ponds. Photosynthetic efficiency was 4.03% in Ayyankulam, 2.09% in Tamaraikulam and 1.56% in Sarvatheertham. By the diurnal oxygen curve method, a gross primary production of 97.5 g. O₂/m.²/d was recorded in Ayyankulam.     

The relationship between fish yield and primary production in large European freshwater lakes

The data published on fish yield (Yf) and primary production (PP) in three large European freshwater lakes (Ladoga, Ilmen and Pskovsko-Chudskoe) were analyzed on a long-term basis. The ratios between Yf and PP were found to vary from 0.02% to 0.46%. It was shown that there was an optimal level of PP, above which the efficiency of energy transfer in the pelagic food chain began to decrease. An individual optimum of PP was characteristic of each of the lakes studied. This level was primarily determined by the original trophic status of a given lake as well as by its morphometry and hydrochemistry. The results warn practical ecologists against erroneously predicting commercial harvests from PP.     

Microbial structuring of marine ecosystems

Despite the impressive advances that have been made in assessing the diversity of marine microorganisms, the mechanisms that underlie the participation of microorganisms in marine food webs and biogeochemical cycles are poorly understood. Here, we stress the need to examine the biochemical interactions of microorganisms with ocean systems at the nanometre to millimetre scale--a scale that is relevant to microbial activities. The local impact of microorganisms on biogeochemical cycles must then be scaled up to make useful predictions of how marine ecosystems in the whole ocean might respond to global change. This approach to microbial oceanography is not only helpful, but is in fact indispensable.     

Coastal marine ecosystems of Mauritius

The coastal ecosystems of Mauritius island (1850 km², 20° S and 57° E, Indian Ocean) consist of lagoons, reefs, estuaries, mangroves, salt water wetlands, and sheltered bays. Fringing reefs almost completely surround the volcanic island, enclosing a series of lagoons of variable depths (1–4 m). Tides are not important but wave heights can reach 3 m. The zonation of lagoons in a transect from the beach towards the open sea is given, together with the zonal distribution of the flora and fauna, the types of corals and sediments, the detrital sediment composition, the different hydrodynamic processes acting on the benthic sediments, as well as the geochemical (redox) processes. Commercial exploitation of the lagoonal fisheries and other anthropogenic factors have contributed to reef stress and degradation. A rich algal biomass is present which shows seasonal variation. Two species of mangroves, Rhizophora mucronata and Bruguiera gymnorrhiza exist. Fish and shellfish culture is practised in enclosed ponds (barachois).     

Climate change risks for net primary production of ecosystems in China

Few studies have investigated ecosystem risk under climate change from the perspective of critical thresholds. We presented a framework to assess the climate change risk on ecosystems based on the definition of critical thresholds. Combined with climate scenario, vegetation, and soil data, the Atmosphere Vegetation Interaction Model version 2 was used to simulate net primary productivity in the period of 1961–2080. The thresholds of dangerous and unacceptable impacts were then defined, and climate change risks on ecosystems in China were assessed. Results showed that risk areas will be closely associated with future climate change and will mainly occur in the southwest and northwest areas, Inner Mongolia, the southern part of the northeast areas, and South China. The risk regions will expand to 343.66 Mha in the long term (2051–2080), accounting for 35.80% of China. The risk levels on all ecosystems (eco-regions) are likely to increase continually. The ecosystems of wooded savanna, temperate grassland, and desert grassland, which typically exhibit strong water stress, will have the maximum risk indices in the future. The Northwest Region is likely to be the most vulnerable because of precipitation restrictions and obvious warming. By contrast, Qinghai–Tibet Region will not be so vulnerable to future climate change.     

Exploited marine invertebrates: genetics and fisheries

The application of genetic techniques to invertebrate fisheries is in many ways essentially similar to that in vertebrate (i.e. finfish) fisheries, for which there is already an extensive body of published data. However, there are also relative differences which lead to particular problems in the use of genetic data to study commercially important invertebrate species. The main role for genetics of both vertebrates and invertebrates has been, and is likely to continue to be, the identification of groups of interbreeding individuals as the basis for a fishery. It is in the identification of the breeding unit that the genetic differences between vertebrates and invertebrates can be of practical significance. The genetic breeding unit, usually called a 'stock' in fisheries biology, generally shows a certain uniformity of size in most marine fish which have been studied. Smaller or less mobile fish (e.g. flatfish) may only range a few tens of kilometres to their breeding grounds, whilst in more mobile, particularly migratory pelagic species (e.g. Scombridae), the area occupied by a stock is likely to be far greater and for a few (e.g. large pelagic elasmobranchs), a single unit of stock may be almost circumglobal. However, marine fish generally, particularly those large or plentiful enough to be of commercial interest, are likely to be fairly mobile and in many cases the order of mobility is likely to be in the region we might predict from our knowledge of the biology and habits of the species. In the genetic assessment of `stocks' for invertebrate fisheries, we face a number of additional problems, mostly related to the large evolutionary range of invertebrates exploited and their widely different biology. Although in Europe and North America marine invertebrate fisheries may be thought of as being mainly for decapod crustaceans and bivalve molluscs, globally commercially important marine invertebrate fisheries range from sponges to squid and include such diverse groups as sea cucumbers, barnacles, krill, octopuses, cuttlefish, sea anemones, ascidians, polychaetes, sea urchins, gastropods and jellyfish. An obvious feature of many of these invertebrates is that the adult (i.e. commercial) stage of the life cycle is sessile (e.g. barnacles, sponges, ascidians) or of very limited mobility (e.g. sea anemones, sea urchins, bivalves, gastropods), with the result that the dispersive phase of the life cycle is the larva. Other groups (e.g. krill, jellyfish) are planktonic or nektonic and may cover very large distances, but, unlike fish, have little control over the distance or direction of travel, whilst some of the open ocean pelagic squid are more mobile than most fish and may migrate thousands or kilometres to spawning grounds. The very low mobility of both larva and adult in some invertebrates indicates that dispersal, and hence stock size, is likely to be low and that, therefore, stocks are far more vulnerable to overfishing than in most fish species. An additional difficulty is that genetic studies to date indicate a remarkably high incidence of cryptic speciation in marine invertebrates, sometimes even in comparatively well studied commercially important species. Thus, although to date marine invertebrate fisheries have not received the same level of attention from geneticist as finfish fisheries, it is clear that for invertebrate fisheries genetic data are relatively far more important if a fishery is to be exploited without being endangered.     

Desertification alters patterns of aboveground net primary production in Chihuahuan ecosystems

Abstract The Chihuahuan desert of New Mexico, USA, has changed in historical times from semiarid grassland to desert shrublands dominated by Larrea tridentata and Prosopis glandulosa. Similar displacement of perennial grasslands by shrubs typifies desertification in many regions. Such structural vegetation change could alter average values of net primary productivity, as well as spatial and temporal patterns of production. We investigated patterns of aboveground plant biomass and net primary production in five ecosystem types of the Jornada Basin Long‐Term Ecological Research (LTER) site. Comparisons of shrub‐dominated desertified systems and remnant grass‐dominated systems allowed us to test the prediction that shrublands are more heterogeneous spatially, but less variable over time, than grasslands. We measured aboveground plant biomass and aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) by species, three times per year for 10 years, in 15 sites of five ecosystem types (three each in Larrea shrubland, Bouteloua eriopoda grassland, Prosopis dune systems, Flourensia cernua alluvial flats, and grass‐dominated dry lakes or playas). Spatial heterogeneity of biomass at the scale of our measurements was significantly greater in shrub‐dominated systems than in grass‐dominated vegetation. ANPP was homogeneous across space in grass‐dominated systems, and in most growing seasons was significantly more patchy in shrub vegetation. Substantial interannual variability in ANPP complicates comparison of mean values across ecosystem types, but grasslands tended to support higher ANPP values than did shrub‐dominated systems. There were significant interactions between ecosystem type and season. Grasslands demonstrated higher interannual variation than did shrub systems. Desertification has apparently altered the seasonality of productivity in these systems; grasslands were dominated by summer growth, while sites dominated by Larrea or Prosopis tended to have higher spring ANPP. Production was frequently uncorrelated across sites of an ecosystem type, suggesting that factors other than season, regional climate, or dominant vegetation may be significant determinants of actual NPP.     

Recovery of marine animal populations and ecosystems

Many marine populations and ecosystems have experienced strong historical depletions, yet reports of recoveries are increasing. Here, we review the growing research on marine recoveries to reveal how common recovery is, its magnitude, timescale and major drivers. Overall, 10-50% of depleted populations and ecosystems show some recovery, but rarely to former levels of abundance. In addition, recovery can take many decades for long-lived species and complex ecosystems. Major drivers of recovery include the reduction of human impacts, especially exploitation, habitat loss and pollution, combined with favorable life-history and environmental conditions. Awareness, legal protection and enforcement of management plans are also crucial. Learning from historical recovery successes and failures is essential for implementing realistic conservation goals and promising management strategies.     

Trophic relationships between primary producers and fish yields in Lake Balaton

Relationships between chlorophyll a content of the water, the shoreline-length: water area ratio and the annual total fish yield as catch per unit effort (CUE: kg ha^–1 100 h^–1 as annual mean values) have been calculated by multivariable regression. The determination coefficient (r² = 0.913) showed a significant dependence of fish yield on morphometry of different lake areas. Accordingly, fish carrying capacity of the open water areas, calculated from chlorophyll a content and S/A, ranged from 12 to 34%, but that of the littoral zone between 66 and 88%. These findings have also been supported by echo-sounding records of the horizontal distribution of fish.Bream (Abramis brama L.) contributes the majority (70–80%) of fish stock and yield. Its food mainly consists of zooplankton and benthic invertebrates in ratios that are widely variable with season and depend on the age of fish. Average daily food consumption of individuals (age group 3 + and over) varies between 2 and 5 g. Bream consumes two- to three-times more food in the SW basin than in the NE one. This means that the present stocks inhabiting areas from NE to SW consume annually 13249–20085 t yr^–1 of food. According to estimated calorific values, the annual energy consumption of local populations along the longitudinal axis of the lake varies between 93 and 141 kJ m^–2 yr^–1. The efficiency of energy transfer from primary producers to fish is low and varies from 0.04 to 0.1%.