Predicting the spatial distribution of the blue-spotted maskray Neotrygon kuhlii (Myliobatiformes, Dasyatidae) on the Australian North and Northwest Shelf comparing two different methods of habitat modeling

Knowledge about distribution and habitat requirements of species is important for analyzing their role in marine ecosystems or establishing sanctuaries. However, knowledge is scarce especially in many chondrichthyan species. In this study, the spatial distribution of the stingray Neotrygon kuhlii on the Australian North and Northwest Shelf was predicted model-based for the first time. Predictions based on two different types of habitat suitability models, logistic regression and maximum entropy modeling. Catch data of N. kuhlii from Australian trawl surveys combined with randomly selected pseudo-absences were used for modeling together with data sets of several environmental variables. Both modeling methods yielded plausible and validated habitat suitability models containing water depth and salinity as significant independent variables. The model-based predictions of the probability of occurrence of N. kuhlii were similar for both methods and thus emphasized the goodness of the models. Following the predictions, N. kuhlii has its highest probability of occurrence in about 60 m water depth and at a salinity of about 35 PSU. The results indicate that both modeling methods are powerful tools to predict spatial distribution and habitat quality for marine fish species. Therefore, they are suitable for detecting possible distribution in areas with only few field records.     

Intra- and inter-specific variations in egg survival and brood development time for Austrian populations of Gammarus fossarum and G. roeseli (Crustacea: Amphipoda)

SUMMARY. 1. Egg survival (ES, percentage of eggs hatched in vitro ), reproductive success (RS, percentage of live young released from the brood pouch) and brood development lime ( d , days) in four populations of Gammarus fossarum and two populations of Gammarus roeseli were studied, in the laboratory at water temperatures of 2.0–26.1°C. Intraspecific differences between populations were not significant, but interspecific differences were found between the two species.
2. In natural stream populations, the reproductive period of G. fossarum lasted from December to September, that of G. roeseli from March to September.
3. In the experimental temperature range 2–26°C, 73% of the total number (771) of G. fossarum females and 69% of 469 G. roeseli females were ovigerous. Of these, 45% of G. fossarum and 43% of G. roeseli females successfully released live young from their brood pouches.
4. For G. fossarum , the optimum temperatures were 11.4°C for ES, where 76% of the eggs hatched, and 11.8°C for RS, where 77% of the females released live young from their brood pouches. For G. roseli , the optimum temperatures were 13.5°C for ES (51% hatched) and 14.0°C for RS (76% released). Over 50% of eggs hatched at temperatures of 3.6–19.2°C in G. fossarum and at 1 1.9–15.1°C in G. roeseli . Development time increased from 12 days at 21.9°C to 251 days at 2.0°C in G. fossarum , and from 10 days at 24.1°C to 212 days at 4.1°C in G. roeseli .
5. interspecific differences between the effects of water temperature on ES, RS and d are used to explain the different distributional patterns of G. fossarum and G. roeseli in central European running water systems. assuming that other physico-chemical variables are suitable for both species.     

Isolation and characterization of the first eight microsatellite loci in Gammarus fossarum (Crustacea, Amphipoda) and cross-amplification in Gammarus pulex and Gammarus orinos

We characterized the first microsatellite markers for Gammarus fossarum. Eight loci gave satisfactory amplification patterns in two stream populations (Southern France) with number of alleles ranging from 2 to 10 and expected heterozygosity from 0.076 to 0.857. We performed cross-amplification in two closely related gammarid species, Gammarus pulex and Gammarus orinos. Among the eight tested microsatellite loci, four correctly amplified in G. pulex and three in G. orinos.     

Introduction of the non-indigenous amphipod Gammarus pulex alters population dynamics and diet of juvenile trout Salmo trutta

Summary 1. The amphipod Gammarus pulex , introduced to Irish rivers with the aim of enhancing trout feeding, is displacing the native Gammarus duebeni celticus . These two species are generally associated with different environmental conditions and macroinvertebrate communities, confounding assessment of effects of the invader as compared with the native on fish populations. Here, we uncouple effects of the two Gammarus species from environmental gradients.
2. A weir dissects a lowland stretch of the River Lissan, slowing the upstream invasion by G. pulex and resulting in contiguous G. pulex , mixed species and G. d. celticus reaches. Total invertebrate abundance and biomass in the benthos were significantly higher in the G. pulex reach, driven by high invader abundance, with low abundance of other taxa. Gammarus pulex was particularly prominent in night-time drift.
3. Correspondingly, densities and biomass of 0+ trout were significantly higher in the G. pulex reach, while instantaneous loss rates were lower. Fish growth rates were similar among the three reaches.
4. In the G. pulex reach, this invader dominated the diet of 0+ trout, leading to ingestion of significantly higher invertebrate biomass than fish in the other reaches. Fish generally preyed on Gammarus in proportion to its abundance, but exhibited some positive selection for G. pulex in the invaded reach.
5. The negative effects of the invader on native invertebrates are contrasted with positive effects on juvenile trout. This indicates changes in energy flux after invasion, with differential resource use or assimilation by G. pulex probable underlying mechanisms. As the frequency of amphipod invasions increases globally, investigations of their role as strong interactors at multiple levels of ecological organisation is required if the consequences of deliberate and unintentional introductions are to be predicted, and ultimately, prevented.     

Differences in composition of macroinvertebrate communities with invasive and native Gammarus spp. (Crustacea: Amphipoda)

SUMMARY 1. Assessing the effects on communities of invasive species is often confounded by environmental factors. In Irish rivers, the introduced amphipod Gammarus pulex replaces the native G. duebeni celticus in lowland stretches. The two amphipods are associated with different macroinvertebrate communities, which may in part be the result of natural longitudinal physicochemical change. However, this hinders assessment of any direct community impacts of the invasive as compared with the native species. Here, we report on a fortuitous circumstance that allowed us to uncouple the community effects of Gammarus species from environmental differences.
2. The lowland stretch of the River Lissan is dissected by a weir, which has slowed the upstream invasion by G. pulex . We took physicochemical measurements and macroinvertebrate samples from three contiguous 150 m reaches of this stretch with G. pulex only, mixed Gammarus and G. d. celticus only communities.
3. We found no biologically significant differences in physicochemistry among the three reaches. Overall invertebrate densities did not differ among reaches. However, G. pulex numerically dominated its reach, whilst G. d. celticus abundance was relatively low in its reach. The G. pulex reach had significantly higher overall biomass because of high invader abundance. In addition, both diversity and species richness of macroinvertebrate communities were lower in the G. pulex than the G. d. celticus reach, with the mixed Gammarus reach intermediate.
4. Ordination indicated distinctly different associations of invertebrate community samples and taxa that were best explained by the distributions of the Gammarus species. Again, the mixed Gammarus species samples were intermediate.
5. This study indicates that the invasive G. pulex has a greater impact on macroinvertebrate community composition than the native G. d. celticus , probably through biotic interactions such as predation.     

Spatially explicit conservation issues for threatened bird species in Mediterranean farmland landscapes

Coupling habitat models based on GIS and on ground variables could help identify suitable areas (by means of landscape models obtained by GIS variables) to concentrate management actions for species’ conservation. In this study, the habitat requirements of Lesser Greys (LGS) and Woodchat Shrikes (WS), two threatened farmland bird species declining in Europe, were assessed in Apulia (south-eastern Italy) by means of binary logistic regression at two different levels: landscape (using GIS-measured variables); and, territory (using ground-measured variables) scales. The LGS occurrence at landscape scale was correlated to steppe-like areas and cereal crops. At the territory level, significant effects were detected for deciduous forests and the presence of isolated trees and shrubs. The WS occurrence at landscape scale was promoted by steppe-like areas and cereal crops, whereas, at the territory level significant effects were detected for steppe-like areas positively and suburban areas negatively. The landscape model was extrapolated to the entire region. Within highly suitable areas (occurrence probability higher than 0.66 according to the landscape model), we measured average habitat features and compared them with the optimal mosaic depicted by the territory level models. This allowed us to give spatially explicit and site-specific management recommendations for these two threatened species. LGS will mostly benefit from an increase in isolated shrubs and trees; whereas for WS, the most widespread recommendations are to increase steppe-like habitat and to prevent further urbanisation.Coupling “coarse” landscape models with the species ecology provided by fine-scaled models can integrate relevant information on species potential distribution and territory level requirements, making planning fine-tuned habitat management (within potentially suitable landscapes) in a spatially explicit way possible.     

Spatio-temporal patterns of fish assemblages in a large regulated alluvial river

1. The River Durance, the last alpine tributary of the River Rhône, is a large, braided alluvial hydrosystem. Following large-scale regulation, flow downstream of the Serre-Ponçon dam has been maintained at 1/40th of previous annual mean discharge. To assess the effects of historical disturbances, fish assemblages and habitat use were analysed during five summers in a representative reach of the middle Durance.
2. Habitat availability and use were assessed with a multi-scale approach including the variables water depth, current velocity, roughness height of substratum, amount of woody debris and lateral/longitudinal location. Eighteen fish species were sampled by electrofishing in 289 habitat sample units.
3. Partial least square (PLS) regression showed that taxa were mainly distributed according to relationships between their total length and water depth/velocity variables. Fish assemblage composition was also related to roughness height as well as distance from the bank or to the nearest large woody debris. However, PLS regression revealed no significant differences in habitat selection between two periods of varying hydromorphological stability.
4. Fish distribution patterns and density were related to proximity to the bank and cover, indicating that local scale variables need to be considered in conservation and restoration programmes.     

On the habitats of three species of the genus Hygrotus Stephens (Coleoptera: Dytiscidae)

SUMMARY. 1. Adult Hygrotus beetles were collected from about 400 localities out of 621 sampled in the Netherlands. Distribution of the three Dutch species of this genus has been related to different environmental variables, principally by use of the Index of Representation (I.R.).
2. Hygrotus decoratus is an acidophilous and haloxenous species. It inhabits small water bodies such as peat-ditches, reed-lands and overgrown ditches where emergent plants are abundant. Hygrotus inaequalis occurs in all of the habitats studied and has no clear preferences or aversions with respect to the environmental variables examined. Hygrotus versicolor inhabits permanent water bodies such as clay- and sand-canals which have a rich growth of submerged plants and a weak current. The species has a significant preference for waters with a pH between 7.1 and 8.0 and a chlorinity between 60 and 200 mg 1-⁻¹.
3. H. decoratus and H. versicolor rarely co-exist because of their different environmental requirements, but both species often co-exist with H. inaequalis. Structural environmental variables such as water depth and abundance and growth-form of the aquatic plants play a greater role than chemical factors in habitat selection by Hygrotus spp.     

Distribution and microhabitats of native and non-native gammarids (Amphipoda, Crustacea) in Brittany, with particular reference to the endangered endemic sub-species Gammarus duebeni celticus

Aim  To assess temporal changes in gammarid distribution in Brittany and microhabitat-use overlap between the endangered endemic Gammarus duebeni celticus Stock & Pinkster, 1970 , the expanding natives G. pulex (Linnaeus, 1758) and Echinogammarus berilloni (Catta, 1878), and the introduced G. tigrinus Sexton, 1939.
Location  Brittany and adjacent regions in western France.
Methods  The spatial and temporal patterns in distribution of gammarids at the scale of Brittany were studied using 351 sites. Longitudinal distributions (from the source to the estuary of the river) and microhabitat-use (substratum type and water velocity) were also considered in selected rivers.
Results  At the regional scale, all species occurred together less often than expected statistically, with significant deviations from expected for G. pulex vs. both G. duebeni celticus and G. tigrinus , and for E. berilloni vs. both G. duebeni celticus and G. tigrinus . However, at the microhabitat scale, E. berilloni occurred significantly more often than expected with the endemic G. duebeni celticus , and this appears to be due to similar substratum and water velocity preferences, although at both the regional and microhabitat scales E. berilloni prefers wider streams than G. duebeni celticus . This study reveals a decline in the endangered G. duebeni celticus since 1970.
Main conclusions  The longitudinal and local distributions of G. duebeni celticus , and the higher-than-expected co-occurrence of the species with G. pulex , suggest that the decline of the endemic species may be due to changes in the environment and/or interference from native G. pulex , which is expanding its range in Brittany. The results are discussed as regards to the consequences for regional biodiversity.     

Diversity, distribution and larval habitats of North Swedish blackflies (Diptera: Simuliidae)

1. Blackfly species richness and community structure were analysed at fifty-six sites in northern Sweden in two seasons. The sites were situated in a wide range of streams and rivers from small springbrooks, bog streams and lake-outlet streams to medium-sized forest rivers and large rivers draining montane regions.
2. Thirty-nine blackfly species were found, with between two and thirteen species per site. Neither species richness nor abundance could be related to the environmental variables measured.
3. An analysis of labral fan size of blackflies indicated a clear trend for the prevalence of larvae with small fans in large rivers and larvae with larger fan size in small streams. Similarly, fan size related to current velocities so that large fans were associated with slow current velocities and small fans with high velocities.
4. A strong relationship existed between species composition and habitat, as seen in ordination by non-metric multidimensional scaling. The relationship found between fan size and habitat size-related variables, such as channel width, depth, velocity and substratum particle size, along with longitude and altitude, in partial least squares regression analysis offered an explanation of the species composition–habitat relationship.
5. In addition to testing that distributions of blackfly larvae reflect morphological traits, we tested two general hypotheses pertaining to distribution patterns: (a) that blackfly communities show bimodal distributions; and (b) that their distributions are nested. Neither of these two hypotheses was supported by our observations. However, widespread blackfly species were locally more abundant than those found at relatively few sites, thus showing a positive abundance–occupancy relationship.     

Patterns of island occupancy in bats: influences of area and isolation on insular incidence of volant mammals

Aim  The influence of landscape structure on the distribution patterns of bats remains poorly understood for many species. This study investigates the relationship between area and isolation of islands and the probability of occurrence of six bat species to determine whether persistence and immigration abilities vary among bat species and foraging guilds.
Location  Thirty-two islands in the Gulf of California near the Baja California peninsula in north-west Mexico.
Methods  Using logistic regression and Akaike information criterion (AIC) model selection, we compared five a priori models for each of six bat species to explain patterns of island occupancy, including random patterns, minimum area effects, maximum isolation effects, additive area and isolation effects and compensatory area and isolation effects.
Results  Five species of insectivorous bats ( Pipistrellus hesperus , Myotis californicus , Macrotus californicus , Antrozous pallidus and Mormoops megalophylla ) displayed minimum area thresholds on incidence. The probability of occurrence tended to decrease at moderate distances of isolation ( c . 10–15 km) for these species (excepting A. pallidus ). The distributions of two non-insectivorous species ( Leptonycteris curasoae and Myotis vivesi ) were not influenced by island size and isolation.
Main conclusions  Minimum area thresholds on incidence suggest that island occupancy by insectivorous bats may be limited by resource requirements. Islands smaller than 100 ha typically did not support occupancy or use by insectivorous bats, except at minimal isolation distances. Insectivorous bat species may also be more sensitive to moderate levels of habitat isolation in some landscape contexts than previously expected. Our results suggest that differences in foraging habits may have important implications for understanding the distribution patterns of bats.     

Differentiation in morphology and habitat partitioning of genetically characterized Gammarus fossarum forms (Amphipoda) across a contact zone

Evolutionary processes do not affect all character types equally. Depending on environmental effects, morphological and ecological evolution may be uncoupled from molecular evolution. A natural contact zone between two forms of the amphipod Gammarus fossarum was used to assess the levels of differentiation in genetic, morphological and habitat characters. About 50 individuals per population were analysed for six enzyme loci in 72 populations and four size-standardized morphometric traits in a subset of 32 populations. Nine environmental parameters per population were used to characterize the habitat. All three character sets revealed significant divergences between G. fossarum forms. The eastern form A of G. fossarum differs from the western form B by longer setae at the second antennae (males) and longer exopodits at die third uropods (males and females). The variance partitioning within populations, among populations and between forms, was compared within the three character sets. The relative variance component between forms in genetic characters appeared to be 10-fold greater in comparison to morphological traits, indicating morphological stasis during speciation. The inter-form environmental differentiation was shown to be low, but consistent between pure populations. The eastern form A seems to prefer higher altitudes, a substrate type of gravel, stones and leaves, shading, and water with higher conductivity and pH man the western form B.     

Lethal and sub-lethal effects of acid, aluminium and lime on Gammarus pulex during repeated simulated episodes in a Welsh stream

SUMMARY. 1. A soft-water stream in upland mid-Wales was dosed with sulphuric acid, aluminium sulphate and limestone slurry to produce a zone of aluminium at low pH. and one of aluminium, low pH and added lime.
2. Three episodes of 24-h duration were induced, each separated by a 12-h inter-dosing period, and the responses of the crustacean Gammarus pulex monitored throughout.
3. G. pulex parasitized by the acanthocephalan Pomphorhynchus laevis were significantly more sensitive than unparasitized individuals.
4. Liming significantly reduced mortality during dosing but postexposure deaths were greatest for animals which had been exposed in the time zone.
5. The disruption of precopulalory behaviour in G. pulex was rapid and liming did not mitigate this response.     

SPATIOTEMPORAL PREDICTION MODELS OF CETACEAN HABITATS IN THE MID-WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN (FROM CAPE HATTERAS, NORTH CAROLINA, U.S.A. TO NOVA SCOTIA, CANADA)

Habitat prediction models were developed for 13 cetacean species of the mid-western North Atlantic Ocean: beaked whale, fin whale, humpback whale, minke whale, pilot whale, sperm whale, bottlenose dolphin, common dolphin, Risso's dolphin, spotted dolphin, whitesided dolphin, and harbor porpoise. Using the multiple logistic regression, sightings of cetaceans during the 1990–1996 summer (June-September) surveys were modeled with oceanographic (sea surface temperature, monthly probability of front occurrence) and topographic (depth, slope) variables for the same period. Predicted habitat maps for June and August were created for each species using a Geographical Information System. The predicted habitat locations matched with current and historic cetacean sighting locations. The model also predicted habitat shifts for some species associated with oceanographic changes. The correct classification rate of the prediction models with 1997–1998 summer survey data ranged from 44% to 70%, of which most of the misclassifications were caused by false positives ( i.e. , absence of sightings at locations where the models predicted).     

Local and ecoregion effects on fish assemblage structure in tributaries of the Rio Paraíba do Sul, Brazil

1.  We examined the effects of physical and chemical habitat variables and ecoregions on species occurrence and fish assemblage structure in streams of the Paraíba do Sul basin, in southeast Brazil.
2.  Fish and environmental data were collected from 42 sites on 26 first to fourth order streams (1 : 50 000 map scale) in three ecoregions. The sites occurred in one valley and two plateau ecoregions at altitudes of 40–1080 m and distances of 0.1–188 km from the main channel of the Rio Paraíba do Sul. Physical habitat (substratum, riparian cover, habitat types) and water quality (dissolved oxygen, pH, temperature and conductivity) variables were measured at each sampling site.
3.  A total of 2684 individuals in 16 families and 59 species were recorded.
4.  Ecoregion was a better predictor of the fish assemblage than the other environmental variables, according to the differences between the mean within-class and mean between-class similarities in assemblage data.
5.  Differing landscape characteristics were associated with differing local variables and thereby with differing fish assemblage structures. Riffles, shrub, grass, dissolved oxygen, conductivity and temperature were closely related to fish assemblage structure.
6.  Fish assemblages in sites far from the main river and at higher altitudes also differed from those near the Paraíba do Sul main channel, presumably as a result of differences in connectivity, covarying environmental factors and anthropogenic influence.
7.  These results reinforce the importance of understanding how stream communities are influenced by processes and patterns operating at local and regional scales, which will aid water resource managers to target those factors in their management and rehabilitation efforts.     

Habitat selection in amphidromous Gobiidae of Reunion Island: Sicyopterus lagocephalus (Pallas, 1770) and Cotylopus acutipinnis (Guichenot, 1863)

Freshwater populations of the Indo-pacific region are characterized by a large proportion of amphidromous species. In this paper, we analyse habitat selection by two amphidromous sympatric Gobiidae: Sicyopterus lagocephalus and Cotylopus acutipinnis in Reunion Island. A sampling method using Point Abundance Sampling (PAS) was conducted in 12 rivers. We used mixed logistic models in order to examine the presence probability of species according to location, downstream-upstream gradient, microhabitat variables (depth, velocity and predominant substrata) and presence of conspecifics and sympatric species. Presence probabilities varied between the sampled rivers. We observed a positive attraction between identical developmental stages of both species, which suggests that social interactions or similar preferences for environmental cues influenced their distribution. The presence probabilities of both species’ juveniles decreased from downstream to upstream. We showed that traditional microhabitat variables weakly explained the spatial distribution of both S. lagocephalus and C. acutipinnis, in Reunion Island. We suggest that weak habitat selection for these species is consistent with the amphidromous life style because of the unpredictability of juvenile settlement and the extreme hydrological variations in tropical rivers.     

Multiscale assessment of the influence of habitat structure and composition on bird assemblages in boreal forest

The relative contributions of habitat structure and composition to biodiversity are often scale-dependent. Although bird communities in boreal forest have been largely altered and threatened by forest harvesting, bird habitat selection in this ecosystem has not been fully understood. Our study aimed to assess the relative contributions of habitat structure and composition on the assemblages of boreal birds at multiple spatial scales characterized by radii ranging from 100 to 1,000?m. We recorded bird species occurrence at 96 stations located in an old-growth forest in the C?te-Nord region of Québec, Canada. We characterized habitat structure using the proportion of dense, open, and sparse stands, and habitat composition using the proportions of coniferous, mixedwood, and deciduous stands. We used partial canonical correspondence analyses and hierarchical variance partitioning to assess the relative contribution of habitat structure and composition on bird assemblage, and logistic regression to model the probability of occurrence for individual species in response to habitat variables. Our results revealed that habitat structure and composition explained similar proportions of the variance in bird assemblage (21.7 vs. 21.6?%), regardless of spatial scale. Whilst logistic regression yielded fair predictions in the occurrence of individual species (i.e., area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve >0.70 for 90?% of the species), it further confirmed our findings in community level analysis. Our study indicates that habitat structure and composition are both important in shaping bird assemblages, but spatial scale draws little influence on their relative contributions.     

Effects of habitat fragmentation and road density on the distribution pattern of the moor frog Rana arvalis

1. The effects of habitat fragmentation on the distribution pattern of the moor frog Rana arvalis were investigated. Also, the possible isolation effects of the road network were taken into account.
2. Indications were found that habitat fragmentation partly explains the distribution pattern of the moor frog. The statistical models showed a positive effect of pond size (or marsh area) and a negative effect of road density on the probability of occupation of a moorland pond.
3. Because of the strong correlation between habitat quality variables and isolation variables, no unambiguous effects of isolation, described as the amount of suitable terrestrial habitat (moorland) in the surroundings of a moorland pond in a radius of 100–2000 m, could be demonstrated.
4. Spatial differences in road density can play a role in the selection of optimal locations for nature protection areas. The regression model used in this study predicts a reduced occupation probability in 55% of the study area. In the part of the study area adjacent to a motorway, occupation probability is lowered to less than 30%.
5. European studies of habitat fragmentation on amphibian species revealed a mean distance between occupied ponds of <1 km in all studies. This could be a general rule of thumb for persistent amphibian populations. Effects of pond size on the probability of occupation were more variable.
6. When discussing the effects of habitat fragmentation on amphibians and other ground dwelling species, the negative effects of roads are often underestimated.     

Incorporating habitat use in models of fauna fatalities on roads

Aim  To highlight the benefit of using habitat use to improve the accuracy of predictive road fatality models.
Location  The Snowy Mountains Highway in southern New South Wales, Australia.
Methods  A binary logistic regression model was constructed using wombat fatality presences and randomly generated absences. Species-specific habitat variables were included as predictors in the model selection process as well as two spatially explicit measures of wombat habitat use. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were constructed for each possible combination of predictors in R. The final model was selected by comparing all models subsets for the eight predictors and employing the one standard error rule to select the best model set.
Results  The final predictive model had high discriminatory power and incorporated both measures of species habitat use, greatly exceeding the variation explained by a previously published model for the same species and road.
Main Conclusions  Our findings highlight the importance of incorporating variables that describe habitat use by fauna for predictive modelling of animal-vehicle crashes. Reliance upon models that ignore landscape patterns are limited in their capacity to identify hotspots and inform managers of locations to engage in mitigation.     

Temperate Mountain Forest Biodiversity under Climate Change: Compensating Negative Effects by Increasing Structural Complexity

Species adapted to cold-climatic mountain environments are expected to face a high risk of range contractions, if not local extinctions under climate change. Yet, the populations of many endothermic species may not be primarily affected by physiological constraints, but indirectly by climate-induced changes of habitat characteristics. In mountain forests, where vertebrate species largely depend on vegetation composition and structure, deteriorating habitat suitability may thus be mitigated or even compensated by habitat management aiming at compositional and structural enhancement. We tested this possibility using four cold-adapted bird species with complementary habitat requirements as model organisms. Based on species data and environmental information collected in 300 1-km² grid cells distributed across four mountain ranges in central Europe, we investigated (1) how species’ occurrence is explained by climate, landscape, and vegetation, (2) to what extent climate change and climate-induced vegetation changes will affect habitat suitability, and (3) whether these changes could be compensated by adaptive habitat management. Species presence was modelled as a function of climate, landscape and vegetation variables under current climate; moreover, vegetation-climate relationships were assessed. The models were extrapolated to the climatic conditions of 2050, assuming the moderate IPCC-scenario A1B, and changes in species’ occurrence probability were quantified. Finally, we assessed the maximum increase in occurrence probability that could be achieved by modifying one or multiple vegetation variables under altered climate conditions. Climate variables contributed significantly to explaining species occurrence, and expected climatic changes, as well as climate-induced vegetation trends, decreased the occurrence probability of all four species, particularly at the low-altitudinal margins of their distribution. These effects could be partly compensated by modifying single vegetation factors, but full compensation would only be achieved if several factors were changed in concert. The results illustrate the possibilities and limitations of adaptive species conservation management under climate change.