Does Encouragement Matter in Improving Gender Imbalances in Technical Fields? Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial

Does encouragement help address gender imbalances in technical fields? We present the results of one of the first and largest randomized controlled trials on the topic. Using an applied statistics conference in the social sciences as our context, we randomly assigned half of a pool of 3,945 graduate students to receive two personalized emails encouraging them to apply (n = 1,976) and the other half to receive nothing (n = 1,969). We find a robust, positive effect associated with this simple intervention and suggestive evidence that women responded more strongly than men. However, we find that women’s conference acceptance rates are higher within the control group than in the treated group. This is not the case for men. The reason appears to be that female applicants in the treated group solicited supporting letters at lower rates. Our findings therefore suggest that “low dose” interventions may promote diversity in STEM fields but may also have the potential to expose underlying disparities when used alone or in a non-targeted way.     

Does Effectiveness of Adolescent Smoking-Cessation Intervention Endure Into Young Adulthood? 7-Year Follow-Up Results from a Group-Randomized Trial

Background

The Hutchinson Study of High School Smoking was the first randomized trial to show effectiveness of a smoking cessation intervention on 6-months prolonged smoking abstinence at one year post-intervention in a large population-based sample of adolescent smokers. An important question remains: Do the positive effects from teen smoking cessation interventions seen at up to 12 months post-intervention endure into young adulthood? This study examines for the first time whether such positive early effects from teen smoking cessation intervention can endure into young adulthood in the absence of additional intervention.

Methods

High school smokers (n = 2,151) were proactively recruited into the trial from fifty randomly selected Washington State high schools randomized to the experimental (Motivational Interviewing + Cognitive Behavioral Skills Training telephone counseling intervention) or control (no intervention) condition. These smokers were followed to 7 years post high school to ascertain rates of six-year prolonged smoking abstinence in young adulthood. All statistical tests are two-sided.

Results

No evidence of intervention impact at seven years post high school was observed for the main endpoint of six-year prolonged abstinence, neither among all smokers (14.2% in the experimental condition vs. 13.1% in the control condition, difference = +1.1%, 95% confidence interval (CI) = -3.4 to 5.8, p = .61), nor among the subgroups of daily smokers and less-than-daily smokers, nor among other a priori subgroups. But, observed among males was some evidence of an intervention impact on two endpoints related to progress towards quitting: reduction in number of days smoked in the past month, and increase in the length of the longest quit attempt in the past year.

Conclusions

There was no evidence from this trial among adolescent smokers that positive effectiveness of the proactive telephone intervention for smoking abstinence, observed previously at one year post-intervention, was sustained for the long-term into young adulthood. In light of the positive short-term effectiveness consistently observed from this and other trials for teen smokers, together with the lack of evidence from this study that such short-term impact can endure into young adulthood, sustained interventions that continue into young adulthood should be developed and tested for long-term impact.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov {"type":"clinical-trial","attrs":{"text":"NCT00115882","term_id":"NCT00115882"}}NCT00115882     

Does Clustering Affect the Usual Test Statistics of no Treatment Effect in a Randomized Clinical Trial?

In many clinical trials, such as those undertaken by large cooperative cancer groups (CALGB, ECOG, SWOG, EORTC), patients are randomized to one of two treatments within an institution (a hospital or clinic). In such clinical trials, it has often occurred that outcomes of patients within institutions tend to be similar (correlated), due, possibly, to unmeasured variables such as quality of staff or quality of hospital equipment. We discuss when, in the presence of random hospital effects, the usual test statistics for no treatment effect, which do not take these hospital effects into account, are (asymptotically) unbiased.     

The Inversion Effect in Biological Motion Perception: Evidence for a “Life Detector”?

If biological-motion point-light displays are presented upside down, adequate perception is strongly impaired. Reminiscent of the inversion effect in face recognition, it has been suggested that the inversion effect in biological motion is due to impaired configural processing in a highly trained expert system. Here, we present data that are incompatible with this view. We show that observers can readily retrieve information about direction from scrambled point-light displays of humans and animals. Even though all configural information is entirely disrupted, perception of these displays is still subject to a significant inversion effect. Inverting only parts of the display reveals that the information about direction, as well as the associated inversion effect, is entirely carried by the local motion of the feet. We interpret our findings in terms of a visual filter that is tuned to the characteristic motion of the limbs of an animal in locomotion and hypothesize that this mechanism serves as a general detection system for the presence of articulated terrestrial animals.     

Does a delayed school start time cause students to exercise less? Evidence from South Korea

A delayed school start time (DSST), achieved by removing zero period, could change students’ other time use during school as well as other forms of human capital accumulation. Using difference-in-differences, we find evidence that a DSST in South Korea reduced the time students spent in gym class without worsening students’ health status. Combined with previous studies that provided evidence that DSSTs increased students’ test scores, our results imply that a DSST can increase students’ academic achievement without reducing other forms of human capital accumulation, although schools might change students’ other time use.     

Is It Always Unethical to Use a Placebo in a Clinical Trial?

Background to the debate: Placebos are used in trials to conceal whether a treatment is being given or not and hence to control for the psychosomatic effects of offering treatment. Placebo-controlled trials are controversial. Critics of such trials argue that if a proven effective therapy exists, a placebo should not be used. But proponents argue that placebo trials are still crucial to prove the efficacy and safety of many treatments.     

Does yeast shmooing mean a commitment to apoptosis?

Treatment of yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae with alpha-pheromone has been reported to lead to massive apoptosis of cells finding no conjugation partner [Severin FF, Hyman AA. Pheromone induces programmed cell death in S. cerevisiae. Curr Biol 2002;12:R233-5]. We report here that this effect is not common in yeast. Using different yeast strains, we demonstrate that identical treatment results in a low mortality even after prolonged treatment with the pheromone. These findings are followed by a general discussion of the biological relevance of apoptosis in yeast.     

Does Competition Work as a Motivating Factor in E-Learning? A Randomized Controlled Trial

Background and Aims

Examinations today are often computerized and the primary motivation and curriculum is often based on the examinations. This study aims to test if competition widgets in e-learning quiz modules improve post-test and follow-up test results and self-evaluation. The secondary aim is to evaluate improvements during the training period comparing test-results and number of tests taken.

Methods

Two groups were randomly assigned to either a quiz-module with competition widgets or a module without. Pre-, post- and follow up test-results were recorded. Time used within the modules was measured and students reported time studying. Students were able to choose questions from former examinations in the quiz-module.

Results

Students from the competing group were significantly better at both post-and follow-up-test and had a significantly better overall learning efficiency than those from the non-competing group. They were also significantly better at guessing their post-test results.

Conclusion

Quiz modules with competition widgets motivate students to become more active during the module and stimulate better total efficiency. They also generate improved self-awareness regarding post-test-results.     

Human Triallelic Sites: Evidence for a New Mutational Mechanism?

Most SNPs in the human genome are biallelic; however, there are some sites that are triallelic. We show here that there are approximately twice as many triallelic sites as we would expect by chance. This excess does not appear to be caused by natural selection or mutational hotspots. Instead we propose that a new mutation can induce another mutation either within the same individual or subsequently during recombination. We provide evidence for this model by showing that the rarer two alleles at triallelic sites tend to cluster on phylogenetic trees of human haplotypes. However, we find no association between the density of triallelic sites and the rate of recombination, which leads us to suggest that triallelic sites might be generated by the simultaneous production of two new mutations within the same individual on the same genetic background. Under this model we estimate that simultaneous mutation contributes ∼3% of all distinct SNPs. We also show that there is a twofold excess of adjacent SNPs. Approximately half of these seem to be generated simultaneously since they have identical minor allele frequencies. We estimate that the mutation of adjacent nucleotides accounts for a little less than 1% of all SNPs.ALTHOUGH the density of biallelic SNPs in the human genome is reasonably low, there are some sites that have three (triallelic sites) or even four nucleotides segregating in the human population. We show here that there are approximately twice as many triallelic sites as we would expect by chance. There are at least three mutational mechanisms that could potentially generate such an excess of triallelic sites. First, some sites may be hypermutable, and if the mutation rate of at least two pathways (e.g., C → T and C → A) is elevated at such sites, then there will be an excess of triallelic sites. The mutation rate of a site is known to depend upon the adjacent nucleotides, the best known example being the CpG dinucleotide (Coulondre et al. 1978; Bird 1980) at which the frequency of both transition and transversion mutations is elevated. However, other adjacent nucleotides also influence the mutation rate (Blake et al. 1992; Zhao et al. 2003; Hwang and Green 2004). Furthermore, we have recently shown that there is variation in the mutation rate that does not depend upon the identity of the adjacent nucleotides or any specific context (Hodgkinson et al. 2009).Second, it is possible that two of the alleles at a triallelic site are generated simultaneously within a single individual. Point mutations are generally assumed to involve the production of a single new allele per mutation event at a rate that is governed by the effects mentioned above. However, it is not difficult to imagine mechanisms that might induce mutations on both strands of the DNA duplex; for example, the presence of a base mismatch may itself be unstable, so we might go from a G-C base pair to a G-A, which then may mutate to C-A; if DNA replication reads through this mismatch, the G allele will have mutated to both C and T. Alternatively, the mutation may occur across both strands of the duplex at the same time, possibly as a result of a chemical or radiation event. Third, in a similar manner, we might imagine a single SNP inducing subsequent mutations if base mismatches are formed during recombination in heteroduplex DNA.Here we attempt to identify the cause of the excess of triallelic sites by analyzing sequence data around triallelic sites.     

Masting in a temperate tree: Evidence for environmental prediction?

Many plant species produce large fruit crops in some years and then produce few or no fruits in others. Synchronous, inter‐annual variation in plant reproduction is known as ‘masting’ and its adaptive significance has yet to be fully resolved. For 8 consecutive years, I quantified every fruit produced by 22 females of a New Zealand tree species (Dysoxylum spectabile), which has an unusual habit of taking a full calendar year to mature fruits after flowering. Fruit production varied strongly among years and was tightly synchronized among trees. Annual variability in fruit production declined with total reproductive output, indicating trees with lower fecundity exhibited a stronger tendency to mast. Although unrelated to temperature, annual fruit production was positively related to precipitation during annual periods of fruit development, and negatively related to fruit production in the previous year. Seedlings had higher rates of survivorship in a wet, high‐seed year than in a dry, low‐seed year, suggesting that seedlings might be drought sensitive. Therefore, D. spectabile produced large fruit crops during periods of high rainfall prior to fruit maturation, which may enhance survivorship of drought‐intolerant seeds. Results were inconsistent with several hypotheses that are widely believed to be the most likely explanations for masting. Instead, results were consistent with the environmental prediction hypothesis, suggesting that this hypothesis may be more important than previously appreciated.