Prognostic value of the ABCD2 score beyond short-term follow-up after transient ischemic attack (TIA) - a cohort study

Background

In patients with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD), the absent or diminished dystrophin leads to progressive skeletal muscle and heart failure. We evaluated the role of myocardial inflammation as a precipitating factor in the development of heart failure in DMD.

Methods

20 DMD patients (aged 15-18 yrs) and 20 age-matched healthy volunteers were studied and followed-up for 2 years. Evaluation of myocarditis with cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) was performed using STIR T2-weighted (T2W), T1-weighted (T1W) before and after contrast media and late enhanced images (LGE). Left ventricular volumes and ejection fraction were also calculated. Myocardial biopsy was performed in patients with positive CMR and immunohistologic and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis was employed.

Results

In DMD patients, left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) was not different compared to controls. Left ventricular end-systolic volume (LVESV) was higher (45.1 ± 6.6 vs. 37.3 ± 3.8 ml, p < 0.001) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was lower (53.9 ± 2.1 vs. 63 ± 2.4%, p < 0.001). T2 heart/skeletal muscle ratio and early T1 ratio values in DMD patients presented no difference compared to controls. LGE areas were identified in six DMD patients. In four of them with CMR evidence of myocarditis, myocardial biopsy was performed. Active myocarditis was identified in one and healing myocarditis in three using immunohistology. All six patients with CMR evidence of myocarditis had a rapid deterioration of left ventricular function during the next year.

Conclusions

DMD patients with myocardial inflammation documented by CMR had a rigorous progression to heart failure.     

Early risk of stroke after a transient ischemic attack in patients with internal carotid artery disease

BackgroundTransient ischemic attacks (TIAs) often herald a stroke, but little is known about the acute natural history of TIAs. Our objective was to quantify the early risk of stroke after a TIA in patients with internal carotid artery disease.MethodsUsing patient data from the medical arm of the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial, we calculated the risk of ipsilateral stroke in the territory of the symptomatic internal carotid artery within 2 and 90 days after a first-recorded hemispheric TIA. We also studied similar outcomes among patients in the trial who had a first-recorded completed hemispheric stroke.ResultsFor patients with a first-recorded hemispheric TIA (n = 603), the 90-day risk of ipsilateral stroke was 20.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 17.0%–23.2%), higher than the 2.3% risk (95% CI 1.0%–3.6%) for patients with a hemispheric stroke (n = 526). The 2-day risks were 5.5% and 0.0%, respectively. Patients with more severe stenosis of the internal carotid artery (> 70%) appeared to be at no greater risk of stroke than patients with lesser degrees of stenosis (adjusted hazard ratio 1.1, 95% CI 0.7–1.7). Infarct on brain imaging (adjusted hazard ratio 2.1, 95% CI 1.5–3.0) and the presence of intracranial major-artery disease (adjusted hazard ratio 1.9, 95% CI 1.3-2.7) doubled the early risk of stroke in patients with a hemispheric TIA.InterpretationPatients who had a hemispheric TIA related to internal carotid artery disease had a high risk of stroke in the first few days after the TIA. Early risk of stroke was not affected by the degree of internal carotid artery stenosis.A transient ischemic attack (TIA) is a common neurological condition that is seen by all physician groups including family and emergency physicians, internists, vascular surgeons, and neurologists. In Canada, half a million adults aged 18 and over have been diagnosed with a TIA.¹ Presenting symptoms vary depending on which arterial supply is compromised, but they commonly consist of a brief episode of weakness, numbness, loss of vision or speech difficulty with complete recovery.Atherosclerotic disease of the carotid arteries outside the cranial cavity has long been recognized as the most common source of emboli that then travel to the brain causing stroke.^2,3,4 TIAs are often early warning signs of atherosclerotic disease. About 10% of patients with a TIA presenting to California emergency departments returned to the emergency department with a stroke within 90 days.⁵ In half of the patients, the stroke occurred within the first 48 hours after the TIA. Similar 90-day results have been observed in earlier community-based studies.^6,7,8 However, these studies all included some patients who had emboli from heart lesions or arrhythmias and some patients who had small-vessel disease as a cause of their TIA.Although several large stroke-prevention trials among patients with TIAs^{9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18} have presented some data on the risk of stroke from pre-existing atherosclerotic disease of the carotid arteries, they are limited because enrolment in the trials was delayed by 1 or more months after the TIA occurred. Small case series^19,20 have examined the relation between carotid artery disease and TIA, but without assessment of stroke outcome. Thus, the influence of atherosclerotic disease in the carotid artery on early stroke occurrence among people presenting with a TIA has not been assessed in any large study.²¹Using patients from the medical arm of the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET), we describe the early risk of stroke in a large number of patients with a TIA in whom internal carotid artery disease was the only presumed cause.     

SIRS评分预测急诊科抢救室病人预后的临床研究

目的探讨全身炎症反应综合征（SIRS）评分对预测急诊科抢救室危重病人预后的意义。方法对急诊科抢救室救治的596例病人进行SIRS评分,分析不同SIRS评分病人的住院率、病死率,评价SIRS评分与病人住院率、病死率的相关性。结果随着SIRS分值的增加,病人住院率与病死率亦增加;SIRS评分≥2分时,病人住院率和病死率均明显增加,差异有统计学意义（P〈0.01）。结论 SIRS评分系统作为一种简单的评分系统,能够初步预测急诊科抢救室危重病人的预后,具有一定的临床应用价值。     

Diagnostic accuracy of the TIMI risk score in patients with chest pain in the emergency department: a meta-analysis

Background

The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score uses clinical data to predict the short-term risk of acute myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization or death from any cause. It was originally developed for use in patients with unstable angina or non–ST-elevation myocardial infarction. We sought to expand the clinical application of the TIMI risk score by assessing its prognostic accuracy in patients in the emergency department with potential acute coronary syndromes.

Methods

We searched five electronic databases, hand-searched reference lists of included studies and contacted content experts to identify articles for review. We included prospective cohort studies that validated the TIMI risk score in emergency department patients. We performed a meta-regression to determine whether a linear relation exists between TIMI risk score and the cumulative incidence of cardiac events.

Results

We included 10 prospective cohort studies (with a total of 17 265 patients) in our systematic review. Data were available for meta-analysis in 8 of the 10 studies. Of patients with a score of zero, 1.8% had a cardiac event within 30 days (sensitivity 97.2%, 95% CI 96.4–97.8; specificity 25.0%, 95% CI 24.3–25.7; positive likelihood ratio 1.30, 95% CI 1.28–1.31; negative likelihood ratio 0.11, 95% CI 0.09–0.15). Meta-regression analysis revealed a strong linear relation between TIMI risk score (p < 0.001) and the cumulative incidence of cardiac events.

Interpretation

Although the TIMI risk score is an effective risk stratification tool for patients in the emergency department with potential acute coronary syndromes, it should not be used as the sole means of determining patient disposition.Chest pain is a common presenting complaint in the emergency department that requires efficient risk stratification, timely initiation of treatment in high-risk patients and safe determination of patient disposition. Several studies have been published that stratify the risk of patients in the emergency department with chest pain.^1–5 However, only the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score, which was initially developed for use in patients with unstable angina or non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction or both,⁶ has been broadly validated in several independent emergency department populations with chest pain and thus constitutes the highest level of evidence available.The TIMI risk score assigns each of seven predictors a value of one point, allowing stratification of patients into one of eight prognostic categories (Box 1).⁶ The clinical end points are acute myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization and death from any cause.

Box 1.?Predictor variables included in the TIMI risk score^*

• Age of more than 65 years
• Three or more risk factors for atherosclerosis
• Known coronary artery disease
• Two or more episodes of anginal chest pain in the preceding 24 hours
• Acetylsalicylic acid use in the seven days before hospitalization
• ST-segment deviation of 0.05 mV or more
• Elevated cardiac markers

A robust estimate of the performance of the TIMI risk score obtained from a systematic review may prove useful to both clinicians and researchers. Clinicians would have a reliable quantitative estimate of a patient’s short-term risk of a cardiac event. This could be used as an adjunct to clinical acumen and as a tool to communicate risk to patients in a shared decision-making model of care.⁷ Researchers would also have an estimate of the prognostic accuracy of the TIMI risk score derived from different practice settings and patient populations that represent a wide variety of ethnic backgrounds. This estimate may serve as a useful baseline for comparison as emerging clinical prediction rules and imaging modalities continue to refine our approach to diagnosis and risk stratification in patients in the emergency department with potential acute coronary syndromes.We conducted a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the methodological quality and prognostic performance of studies that had prospectively validated the TIMI risk score in patients in the emergency department.     

Wait times in the emergency department for patients with mental illness

Background:

It has been suggested that patients with mental illness wait longer for care than other patients in the emergency department. We determined wait times for patients with and without mental health diagnoses during crowded and noncrowded periods in the emergency department.

Methods:

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort analysis of adults seen in 155 emergency departments in Ontario between April 2007 and March 2009. We compared wait times and triage scores for patients with mental illness to those for all other patients who presented to the emergency department during the study period.

Results:

The patients with mental illness (n = 51 381) received higher priority triage scores than other patients, regardless of crowding. The time to assessment by a physician was longer overall for patients with mental illness than for other patients (median 82, interquartile range [IQR] 41–147 min v. median 75 [IQR 36–140] min; p < 0.001). The median time from the decision to admit the patient to hospital to ward transfer was markedly shorter for patients with mental illness than for other patients (median 74 [IQR 15–215] min v. median 152 [IQR 45–605] min; p < 0.001). After adjustment for other variables, patients with mental illness waited 10 minutes longer to see a physician compared with other patients during noncrowded periods (95% confidence interval [CI] 8 to 11), but they waited significantly less time than other patients as crowding increased (mild crowding: −14 [95% CI −12 to −15] min; moderate crowding: −38 [95% CI −35 to −42] min; severe crowding: −48 [95% CI −39 to −56] min; p < 0.001).

Interpretation:

Patients with mental illness were triaged appropriately in Ontario’s emergency departments. These patients waited less time than other patients to see a physician under crowded conditions and only slightly longer under noncrowded conditions.In a 2008 report, the Schizophrenia Society of Ontario recommended adding a psychiatric wait times component to the Ontario government’s Emergency Room Wait Times Strategy.¹ They suggested that patients who present to the emergency department in psychiatric distress wait longer for care than other patients and that they are given a low priority triage score² (all patients are assigned a triage score when they first arrive at the emergency department, which may determine when and where they are seen by a physician).³ The Kirby Report, a senate report on mental illness and addiction in Canada, also decried differential emergency care for patients with mental illness.⁴A recent study found that patients with acute myocardial infarction are given lower priority care in the emergency department if they have a charted history of depression.⁵ However, whether patients who present to the emergency department for mental illness receive slower care than other patients is not known. In this study, we compared the emergency department wait times and triage scores for patients with affective and psychotic disorders to those for other patients, both in noncrowded conditions and during periods of crowding. Because we believe that triage nurses apply triage principles consistently to all emergency patients while physicians may be less likely to adhere to the guidelines, we hypothesized that there would be no “down-triage” (assigning a lower priority triage score) of these patients, but that patients with mental illness would have longer delays to see a physician, relative to other patients.     

F-Actin is associated with a worsening qSOFA score and intensive care unit admission in emergency department patients at risk for sepsis

Abstract

Objective: We previously demonstrated that plasma levels of F-actin and Thymosin Beta 4 differs among patients with septic shock, non-infectious systemic inflammatory syndrome and healthy controls and may serve as biomarkers for the diagnosis of sepsis. The current study aims to determine if these proteins are associated with or predictive of illness severity in patients at risk for sepsis in the Emergency Department (ED).

Methods: Prospective, biomarker study enrolling patients (>18?years) who met the Shock Precautions on Triage Sepsis rule placing them at-risk for sepsis.

Results: In this study of 203 ED patients, F-actin plasma levels had a linear trend of increase when the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score increased. F-actin was also increased in patients who were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) from the ED, and in those with positive urine cultures. Thymosin Beta 4 was not associated with or predictive of any significant outcome measures.

Conclusion: Increased levels of plasma F-actin measured in the ED were associated with incremental illness severity as measured by the qSOFA score and need for ICU admission. F-actin may have utility in risk stratification of undifferentiated patients in the ED presenting with signs and symptoms of sepsis.     

Development and validation of a risk score for hospitalization for heart failure in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Background

Aortic distensibility (AD) is a marker of the elastic properties of the aorta. Reduction of AD occurs early in subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and it is associated with subclinical generalized atherosclerosis. Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is common in subjects with T2DM and predicts cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. This study examined the potential relationship between MetS and AD in a cohort of subjects with T2DM.

Methods and results

A total of 210 subjects with T2DM were studied. MetS was diagnosed using the NCEP/ATP-III criteria. AD was assessed non-invasively by ultrasonography. The prevalence of MetS was 64.8%. AD was not significantly different between subjects with and without MetS (1.80 ± 0.54 vs. 1.84 ± 0.53 10^-6 dyn^-1 cm², p = 0.55). Univariate linear regression analysis showed that AD was associated positively with male sex (p = 0.02) as well as glomerular filtration rate (p < 0.001), and negatively with age (p = 0.04), history of hypertension (p = 0.001), as well as duration of diabetes (p < 0.001). After multivariate adjustment, AD was associated independently and significantly only with age (p = 0.02), duration of diabetes p < 0.001), and history of hypertension (p = 0.004); no significant relationship was found with MetS status, the sum of the components of the MetS or the individual components-besides hypertension-of the MetS.

Conclusion

In subjects with T2DM, MetS status per se is not associated with reduction of AD. In addition, it was shown that besides ageing, duration of glycemia was a strong predictor of AD. From the components of the MetS only hypertension was associated with reduction of the elastic properties of the aorta.     

Improving the care of patients with major trauma in the accident and emergency department.

OBJECTIVE--To determine whether improvement in the care of victims of major trauma could be made by using the revised trauma score as a triage tool to help junior accident and emergency doctors rapidly identify seriously injured patients and thereby call a senior accident and emergency specialist to supervise their resuscitation. DESIGN--Comparison of results of audit of management of all seriously injured patients before and after these measures were introduced. SETTING--Accident and emergency department in an urban hospital. PATIENTS--All seriously injured patients (injury severity score greater than 15) admitted to the department six months before and one year after introduction of the measures. RESULTS--Management errors were reduced from 58% (21/36) to 30% (16/54) (p less than 0.01). Correct treatment rather than improvement in diagnosis or investigation accounted for almost all the improvement. CONCLUSIONS--The management of seriously injured patients in the accident and emergency department can be improved by introducing two simple measures: using the revised trauma score as a triage tool to help junior doctors in the accident and emergency department rapidly identify seriously injured patients, and calling a senior accident and emergency specialist to supervise the resuscitation of all seriously injured patients. IMPLICATIONS--Care of patients in accident and emergency departments can be improved considerably at no additional expense by introducing two simple measures.     

Multicentre prospective validation of use of the Canadian C-Spine Rule by triage nurses in the emergency department

Objectives

The Canadian C-Spine Rule for imaging of the cervical spine was developed for use by physicians. We believe that nurses in the emergency department could use this rule to clinically clear the cervical spine. We prospectively evaluated the accuracy, reliability and acceptability of the Canadian C-Spine Rule when used by nurses.

Methods

We conducted this three-year prospective cohort study in six Canadian emergency departments. The study involved adult trauma patients who were alert and whose condition was stable. We provided two hours of training to 191 triage nurses. The nurses then assessed patients using the Canadian C-Spine Rule, including determination of neck tenderness and range of motion, reapplied immobilization and completed a data form.

Results

Of the 3633 study patients, 42 (1.2%) had clinically important injuries of the cervical spine. The kappa value for interobserver assessments of 498 patients with the Canadian C-Spine Rule was 0.78. We calculated sensitivity of 100.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 91.0%–100.0%) and specificity of 43.4% (95% CI 42.0%–45.0%) for the Canadian C-Spine Rule as interpreted by the investigators. The nurses classified patients with a sensitivity of 90.2% (95% CI 76.0%–95.0%) and a specificity of 43.9% (95% CI 42.0%–46.0%). Early in the study, nurses failed to identify four cases of injury, despite the presence of clear high-risk factors. None of these patients suffered sequelae, and after retraining there were no further missed cases. We estimated that for 40.7% of patients, the cervical spine could be cleared clinically by nurses. Nurses reported discomfort in applying the Canadian C-Spine Rule in only 4.8% of cases.

Conclusion

Use of the Canadian C-Spine Rule by nurses was accurate, reliable and clinically acceptable. Widespread implementation by nurses throughout Canada and elsewhere would diminish patient discomfort and improve patient flow in overcrowded emergency departments.Each year, Canadian emergency departments treat 1.3 million patients who have suffered blunt trauma from falls or motor vehicle collisions and who are at risk for injury of the cervical spine.¹ Most of these cases involve adults who are alert and in stable condition, and less than 1% involve fracture of the cervical spine.² Most trauma patients who have been transported in ambulances are protected by a backboard, collar and neck supports. Nurses are responsible for initial triage in the emergency department and usually send such patients to high-acuity resuscitation rooms, where they may remain fully immobilized for hours until assessment by a physician and radiography are complete. This prolonged immobilization is often unnecessary and adds considerably to patient discomfort. The delay also adds to the burden of overcrowded Canadian emergency departments in an era when they are under unprecedented pressures.^3–5 These patients occupy valuable space in resuscitation rooms, and repeated efforts to obtain satisfactory radiographs or computed tomography scans of the cervical spine use valuable time on the part of physicians, nurses and technicians.A clinical decision rule is defined as a decision-making tool incorporating three or more variables from the patient’s history, a physical examination or simple tests. Such rules are derived from original research and help clinicians with diagnostic or therapeutic decisions at the bedside. We previously developed a clinical decision rule for evaluation of the cervical spine.^6,7 The Canadian C-Spine Rule comprises simple clinical variables (Figure 1) and was designed to allow clinicians to “clear” immobilization of the cervical spine (i.e., remove neck collar and other devices) without radiography and to decrease immobilization times.⁸ We also validated the accuracy of the rule when used by physicians.⁹ We recently completed an implementation trial at 12 Canadian hospitals to evaluate the impact on patient care and outcomes of the Canadian C-Spine Rule when used by physicians.¹⁰Open in a separate windowFigure 1The Canadian C-Spine Rule to rule out cervical spine injury, adapted for use by nurses. The rule is intended for patients who have experienced trauma, who are alert (score on Glasgow Coma Scale = 15) and whose condition is stable. *The following mechanisms of injury were defined as dangerous: fall from elevation of more than 3 ft (91 cm) or five stairs, axial load to the head (e.g., diving injury), motor vehicle collision at high speed (> 100 km/h), motor vehicle collision involving a rollover or ejection, injury involving a motorized recreational vehicle, bicycle-related injury (rider struck or collision). †Simple rear-end motor vehicle collisions exclude incidents in which the patient was pushed into oncoming traffic or was hit by a bus, large truck or vehicle travelling at high speed, as well as rollovers; all such incidents would be considered high risk. ‡Neck pain with delayed onset is any pain that did not occur immediately following the precipitating incident. Adapted, with permission, from Stiell IG, Wells GA, Vandemheen K, et al. The Canadian Cervical Spine Radiography Rule for alert and stable trauma patients. JAMA 2001;286:1841–8.⁸ Copyright © 2001 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.Nurses in the emergency department usually do not evaluate the cervical spine of trauma patients, and they routinely send all immobilized patients to the emergency department’s resuscitation room. We believe that nurses could safely evaluate alert patients who have arrived by ambulance and whose condition is stable and could “clear” immobilization of the cervical spine of low-risk patients upon arrival at the triage station.¹¹ Patients could then be much more rapidly, comfortably and efficiently managed in other areas of the emergency department. An expanded decision-making role for nurses has the potential to improve the efficiency of trauma care in all Canadian hospitals. Very little research has been done to determine the ability of nurses to clear immobilization of the cervical spine.^12–15 Our objective in this study was to prospectively evaluate the accuracy, reliability and acceptability of the Canadian C-Spine Rule when used by nurses to assess patients’ need for immobilization.     

Atrial fibrillation is not uncommon among patients with ischemic stroke and transient ischemic stroke in China

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is reported to be a less frequent cause of ischemic stroke in China than in Europe and North America, but it is not clear whether this is due to underestimation. Our aim was to define the true frequency of AF-associated stroke, to determine the yield of 6-day Holter ECG to detect AF in Chinese stroke patients, and to elucidate predictors of newly detected AF.

Methods

Patients with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) were enrolled in a prospective, multicenter cohort study of 6-day Holter monitoring within 7 days after stroke onset at 20 sites in China between 2013 and 2015. Independent predictors of newly-detected AF were determined by multivariate analysis.

Results

Among 1511 patients with ischemic stroke and TIA (mean age 63 years, 33.1% women), 305 (20.2%) had either previously known (196, 13.0%) or AF newly-detected by electrocardiography (53, 3.5%) or by 6-day Holter monitoring (56/1262, 4.4%). A history of heart failure (OR?=?4.70, 95%CI, 1.64–13.5), advanced age (OR?=?1.06, 95%CI, 1.04–1.09), NIHSS at admission (OR?=?1.06, 95%CI, 1.02–1.10), blood high density lipoprotein (HDL) (OR?=?1.52, 95%CI, 1.09–2.13), together with blood triglycerides (OR?=?0.64, 95%CI, 0.45–0.91) were independently associated with newly-detected AF.

Conclusions

Contrary to previous reports, AF-associated stroke is frequent (20%) in China if systemically sought. Prolonged noninvasive cardiac rhythm monitoring importantly increases AF detection in patients with recent ischemic stroke and TIA in China. Advanced age, history of heart failure, and higher admission NIHSS and higher level of HDL were independent indicators of newly-detected AF.

Trial registration

NCT02156765 (June 5, 2014).

     

Characteristics of chest pain in COVID-19 patients in the emergency department

IntroductionPatients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can present with chest pain. However, the characteristics of this chest pain are unknown. We performed a single-centre observational study to review and summarise chest pain characteristics in COVID-19 patients at first presentation to the emergency department (ED).MethodsWe collected data on characteristics of ‘chest pain’ reported by COVID-19 patients who attended the ED of Bernhoven Hospital, the Netherlands from 4 through 30 March 2020.ResultsWe included 497 COVID-19 patients, of whom 83 (17%) reported chest pain upon presentation to the ED. Chest pain characteristics were: present since disease onset (88%), retrosternal location (43%), experienced as compressing/pressure pain (61%), no radiation (61%) and linked to heavy coughing (39%). Patients who reported chest pain were younger than those without chest pain (61 vs 73 years; p < 0.001). Patients with syncope were older (75 vs 72 years; p = 0.017), had a shorter duration of symptoms (5 vs 7 days; p < 0.001) and reported fewer respiratory complaints (68% vs 90%; p < 0.001) than those without syncope. Patients with new-onset atrial arrhythmias presented with a shorter duration of symptoms (5 vs 7 days; p = 0.013), experienced fewer respiratory complaints (72% vs 89%; p = 0.012) and more frequently had a history of cardiovascular disease (79% vs 50%; p = 0.003) than patients who presented without arrythmias.ConclusionChest pain and other cardiac symptoms were frequently observed in COVID-19 patients. Treating physicians should be aware that chest pain, arrhythmias and syncope can be presenting symptoms of COVID-19.Supplementary InformationThe online version of this article (10.1007/s12471-022-01730-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

Factors associated with physician follow-up among patients with chest pain discharged from the emergency department

Background:

Many patients with chest pain do not receive follow-up from a physician after discharge from the emergency department despite significant survival benefit associated with follow-up care. Our objective was to evaluate factors associated with physician follow-up to understand this gap in practice.

Methods:

We conducted an observational study involving patients at high risk who were assessed for chest pain and discharged from an emergency department in Ontario between April 2004 and March 2010. We used multivariable logistic regression to determine the association of clinical and nonclinical characteristics with physician follow-up.

Results:

We identified 56 767 patients, of whom 25.1% did not receive any follow-up by a physician, 69.0% were seen by their primary care physician, and 17.3% were seen by a cardiologist within 30 days. Patients who had medical comorbidities and cardiac conditions such as myocardial infarction or heart failure were less likely to have follow-up. In contrast, a previous visit to a primary care physician was associated with the highest odds of having physician follow-up (odds ratio [OR] 6.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.91–7.01). Similarly, a previous visit to a cardiologist was strongly associated with follow-up by a cardiologist (OR 3.01, 95% CI 2.85–3.17). Patients evaluated in emergency departments with the highest tertile of chest pain volume were more likely to receive follow-up from any physician (OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.31–1.77) and from a cardiologist (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.61–2.57).

Interpretation:

Nonclinical factors are strongly associated with physician follow-up for patients with chest pain after discharge from the emergency department. However, patients with comorbidities and at higher risk for future adverse events are less likely to receive follow-up care.Chest pain is one of the most common presenting symptoms in emergency departments. In Canada, about 500 000 visits to the emergency department are related to chest pain assessment each year.¹ Most of these visits result in discharge after excluding a cardiac diagnosis with an immediate risk of adverse effect.² Current clinical guidelines strongly advocate for patients with chest pain who have been discharged from the emergency department to receive outpatient follow-up with a physician within 72 hours for further assessment or treatment, because many patients remain at risk for future events.³Among patients at high baseline cardiovascular risk who were discharged from the emergency department after assessment of chest pain, our group has previously shown significantly reduced hazard of death or myocardial infarction associated with follow-up with either a primary care physician or a cardiologist within 30 days.² At 1-year postassessment, the rate of death or myocardial infarction was 5.5% among patients who received cardiologist follow-up, 7.7% with primary care follow-up and 8.6% with no physician follow-up.² In addition, we found a considerable gap in practice, with 1 in 4 high-risk patients with chest pain failing to follow-up with a physician within 30 days of assessment in Ontario, Canada.² A better understanding of why physician follow-up does not occur in accordance with guidelines is essential to improve the transition of care from the emergency department to home. Thus, the main objective of our study was to evaluate clinical and nonclinical factors associated with physician follow-up among patients with chest pain after discharge from the emergency department.