A decline of melanism in the peppered moth Biston betularia in The Netherlands

Melanic forms of the peppered moth Biston betularia were well established in The Netherlands by the end of the 19th century, indeed the first records of the black carbonaria form in 1867 are only about 20 years later than in England. Analysis of extensive sampling data collected by B. J. Lempke for a period of several years beginning in 1969 shows that carbonaria was at a frequency of about 60 to 70% in most of the country where epiphyte communities on trees were reduced due to the effects of air pollution. The pale typica and the three intermediate insularia forms were each at similar, low frequencies. Only in the extreme north and south-east of The Netherlands where epiphyte floras were richer was carbonaria at a lower frequency of less than 40%. Samples collected from seven localities in 1988 show that carbonaria has dramatically declined to a frequency of less than 10%. In contrast to England, the fully black form is being replaced not only by typica but also by the darkest of the insularia phenotypes. The decline in melanism coincides with a period of decreasing levels of sulphur dioxide and of increasing species diversity of lichens on trees.     

Background selection by the peppered moth (Biston betularia Linn.): individual differences

The hypothesis that dimorphically coloured, cryptic moths select appropriate rest sites by comparing their body scales to substrate reflectance was tested using typical and melanic morphs of the peppered moth, Biston betularia (L.). Experiments designed to block the individual's inspection of its inherited colour phenotype do not support Kettlewell's contrast/conflict (self-inspection) hypothesis. Instead, tracking of marked moths over successive days revealed individual differences in rest-site selection which were not related to treatments, experience (imprinting), nor closely to a moth's inherited colour pattern. Differences between family broods indicate that some genetic bias in background selection exists. The production of artificially selected lines with consistent but opposing preferences will allow us to investigate the co-evolution of pattern and behaviour.     

The reliability of estimates of migration in the peppered moth Biston betularia and some implications for selection-migration models

Migration of adult males is one of the important variables involved in the mathematical models of industrial melanism in Biston betularia. Values for this variable are based on data from a capture-recapture performed by Bishop (1972) using both local and bred moths which were at least one night old at release. We carried out an experiment to compare the rate of recapture close to the point of release for moths allowed to fly away immediately after their emergence around dusk and those which were at least one night old at release. Unheld moths were less likely to be recaptured suggesting that males have an initial dispersal phase on their first night which results in a higher rate of emigration than on subsequent nights. Such a phase would have been largely missed in Bishop's experiment. The implications of this type of behaviour pattern for the models of spatial variation based on a selection-migration balance are discussed.     

A theoretical analysis of the morph frequency variation in the peppered moth over England and Wales

The migration-selection model for the spatial and temporal variation of morph frequencies of Biston betularia over England and Wales (Cook & Mani, 1980) has been extended to include effects due to non-visual selection. The parameters for non-visual selection were chosen from the recent determination by Mani (1980) and by Creed et al . (1980). The morph frequencies over England and Wales were obtained through computer simulation and the results were compared with data along the Manchester-Yorkshire, Central Wales-East Anglia and South Wales-London transects. Best fits to the data were obtained by using the non-visual selective values of Mani for carbonaria and modified values of Creed et al . for insularia . It is concluded that the observed polymorphism could be well explained through a balance of migration and visual and non-visual selections.     

A theoretical analysis of the morph frequency variation in the peppered moth over England and Wales

The migration-selection model for the spatial and temporal variation of morph frequencies of Biston betularia over England and Wales (Cook & Mani, 1980) has been extended to include effects due to non-visual selection. The parameters for non-visual selection were chosen from the recent determination by Mani (1980) and by Creed et al. (1980). The morph frequencies over England and Wales were obtained through computer simulation and the results were compared with data along the Manchester-Yorkshire, Central Wales-East Anglia and South Wales-London transects. Best fits to the data were obtained by using the non-visual selective values of Mani for carbonaria and modified values of Creed et al. for insularia. It is concluded that the observed polymorphism could be well explained through a balance of migration and visual and non-visual selections.     

Theoretical models of melanism in Biston betularia—a review

The various theoretical models that have been constructed to explain the spatial and temporal changes in the frequency of the melanic morph of the moth Biston betularia are reviewed. The assumptions that are made in these models are discussed. It is shown that these models do explain the gross features of the spatial and temporal distribution of melanic variety in England and Wales. The models have been fairly successful in quantitative prediction of the observed decline in the frequencies of the melanic forms by relating selective differentials to the sulphur dioxide levels. Thus these models do yield a reasonable and consistent picture of the gross pattern of changes in melanic frequencies within the limitation of the available data. The models are robust and can thus accommodate changes to the data on the biology and behaviour of the moth. It is shown that neither heterozygote advantage nor non-Darwinian mechanism need to be invoked to understand the observed evolution of melanism in B. betularia.     

Evolution of resting behaviour in polymorphic 'industrial melanic' moth species

The behaviour of individually marked melanic and typical forms of Allophyes oxyacanthae was followed in four successive tests in an apparatus comprising bark of three different reflectances. In samples of wild populations, melanics showed a moderate preference for dark bark, while typicals did not seem to prefer or avoid this substrate. However, in four of the eight families of known parentage tested, both melanics and typicals preferred to rest on dark bark. These four families were the progeny of dark typicals which had shown a preference for dark bark and were the families containing the darkest typicals. In A. oxyacanthae the variation in resting behaviour is not therefore closely associated with the melanic allele but may be linked to a 'dark typical' allele which, together with other loci, produces polygenic darkening of the normal phenotype. The results with A. oxyacanthae are compared with those obtained with Biston betularia and other moth species.     

Retelling Experiments: H.B.D. Kettlewell's Studies of Industrial Melanism in Peppered Moths

H. B. D. Kettlewell's field experiments on industrial melanism in the peppered moth, Biston betularia, have become the best known demonstration of natural selection in action. I argue that textbook accounts routinely portray this research as an example of controlled experimentation, even though this is historically misleading. I examine how idealized accounts of Kettlewell's research have been used by professional biologists and biology teachers. I also respond to some criticisms of David Rudge to my earlier discussions of this case study, and I question Rudge's claims about the importance of purely observational studies for the eventual acceptance and popularization of Kettlewell's explanation for the evolution of industrial melanism.     

Behavioural studies on the peppered moth Biston betularia and a discussion of the role of pollution and lichens in industrial melanism

We examined the resting behaviour during pairing and egg-laying of bred female Biston betularia (L.) after they were set free at wooded sites in Somerset and Cardiff. Moths were not released immediately on emergence but were held for three nights to overcome an initial period of flight activity. Females (N= 257) were placed on trunks, and on large and small branches of trees, especially oaks, over periods of several weeks in 1984, 1985 and 1986. Releases were not made within 50 m of any known survivor. One hundred and thirty-one pairings were observed. We also examined oviposition behaviour in a cage experiment using different types of branches. Our observations support Mikkola's earlier conclusion from cage experiments with male moths that the species rests predominantly on branches and shows an appropriately specialized resting attitude, demonstrated here in a series of photographs. Many moths will rest underneath, or on the side of, narrow branches in the canopy. Once released females had settled and paired they only moved quite short distances, but positioning and egg-laying were profoundly influenced by the presence of foliose lichens. Females of all phenotypes show a strong preference to oviposit beneath a thallus of foliose lichens. Their tendency to rest against or close to the lichen during the day could markedly influence their crypsis. In the absence of foliose lichens, eggs are laid in cracks in the bark. The survivorship of released females both in different pairing combinations and during their whole reproductive life-span is analysed. These preliminary data suggest that bird predation can give rise to differential mortality of different pairing combinations and of the phenotypes. This technique provides a powerful method of measuring the relative crypsis and differential mortality of phenotypes with living females in natural resting sites. The significance of our observations on resting behaviour is discussed with regard to the role of air pollution and epiphytes in industrial melanism. Particular attention is given to the causal mechanisms underlying recent declines in the frequency of carbonaria melanics in parts of Britain. One important factor is the new growth made by trees since the marked reduction in particulate air pollution in the 1960s. It is emphasized that we need to know much more about the interactions between pollution, epiphytes and resting backgrounds, especially in the canopy, before we can be confident of our understanding of the evolution of industrial melanism.     

Industrial Melanism in the Peppered Moth, Biston betularia: An Excellent Teaching Example of Darwinian Evolution in Action

The case of industrial melanism in the peppered moth has been used as a teaching example of Darwinian natural selection in action for half a century. However, over the last decade, this case has come under attack from those who oppose Darwinian evolution. Here, the main elements of the case are outlined and the reasons that the peppered moth case became the most cited example of Darwinian evolution in action are described. Four categories of criticism of the case are then evaluated. Criticisms of experimental work in the 1950s that centered on lack of knowledge of the behavior and ecology of the moth, poor experimental procedure, or artificiality in experiments have been addressed in subsequent work. Some criticisms of the work are shown to be the result of lack of understanding of evolutionary genetics and ecological entomology on the part of the critics. Accusations of data fudging and scientific fraud in the case are found to be vacuous. The conclusion from this analysis of criticisms of the case is that industrial melanism in the peppered moth is still one of the clearest and most easily understood examples of Darwinian evolution in action and that it should be taught as such in biology classes.     

A study of nonrandom mating in a British population of the two-spot ladybird with a high frequency of the melanic morph

In some studies of the two-spot ladybird (Adalia bipunctata), melanic males have been found in excess over the typical morph in matings. Data suggest that a genetic female mating preference is responsible. The mating advantage of melanic males may be important in maintaining a polymorphism between melanic and typical ladybirds in many populations in the United Kingdom (U.K.). It has been reported that preference frequency varies linearly with melanic frequency throughout most of the U.K. One particular population ofAdalia bipunctata near Aberdare, South Wales, is noted for its high frequency of melanic individuals. It has been suggested that local environmental factors account for the high melanic frequency in this population. It is also possible, however, that a female mating preference may be at least partly responsible for the high frequency of melanics (as has been proposed for the rest of the U.K.). In this study, experiments have been performed to determine the level of female mating preference in the Aberdare population. No evidence was found for any mating advantage to melanic males. There was inconsistent and unexpected evidence that melanic females were overrepresented in matings, but the cause for this was unclear. Female mating preference does not appear, therefore, to be responsible for the high melanic frequency in the population ofAdalia bipunctata near Aberdare. There is not a simple association between mating preference and melanic frequency in U. K. populations of the two-spot ladybird.     

Evolution in reverse: clean air and the peppered moth

Between 1848 and 1895 the melanic form f carbonaria of the peppered moth increased in Manchester from 0 to 98%. The reverse process is now occurring in one locality in Memyside where a year-to-year survey has shown that the pale form f. typica has increased from 6 to 30% between 1959 and 1984. Supporting information also comes from two studies in N Wales. The Clean Air Acts and the consequent decline in air pollution levels are probably responsible but there are many ill–understood problems, not the least being how, and the extent to which, non-visual selection operates.     

On the selective forces acting in the industrial melanism of Biston and Oligia moths (Lepidoptera: Geometridae and Noctuidae)

Melanic and typical morphs of Biston betularius (L.), Oligia latruncula (D. & S.) and 0. strigilis (L.) made choices between vertical trunks and horizontal branches, sprayed with white and black paints, in a transparent plastic cylinder in natural illumination. The moths settled in exposed positions. In neither Biston nor Oligia did the choice for white/black backgrounds differ between the morphs. Biston moths settle on narrow branches (not on twigs) with the body at right angles to the longitudinal axis of the branch. The Oligias showed an asymmetrical light reaction: one eye is kept in shadow so that they settle as a continuation of an irregularity of the surface, often of a lichen.
In nature, Biston betularius probably rests high up in the canopies, on the under surfaces of horizontal branches. The visual selection acting on the morphs is expected to be less intensive than that measured on tree trunks. The mark-release-recapture results of Kettlewell (1955a, 1956) do not show any qualitative change during the self-determination of the moths but the material is too limited for firm conclusions.
Newly-hatched Biston males take off straight from the trunk where they have expanded their wings but the females may climb higher in the tree. A hypothesis is presented to explain the black-and-white coloration of f. carbonaria : the short-winged moths climbing up the trunks might deter bird predation.     

Female Colour Polymorphism: Gender and the Eye of the Beholder in Damselflies

Damselflies provide a classic example of female colour polymorphism. Usually, one female morph resembles the blue male colour (andromorph) while one, or more, female morphs are seen as typically female (gynomorph). Damselfly species fall in two distinct groups with respect to recent developments in mimicry theory: in some species females are perfect, they match male colouration and black patterning, and in other species they are supposed to be imperfect mimics, only matching male colouration. However, the underlying assumption of one female morph looking male-like is mostly based on human vision. Therefore we investigated the black patterning and colour of the three female morphs in Coenagrion puella, an imperfect mimic, using image analysis. In C. puella the blue female morph is perceived as male-like. We found that the black patterning of such females cannot be distinguished from the other female morphs, and is clearly different from males. Furthermore, the blue colour of andromorph females differs from the blue colour of males. Intriguingly, however, the red content did not differ between blue males and females.     

Sexual size dimorphism in caecilian amphibians: analysis, review and directions for future research

Sexual dimorphism, widespread in the animal kingdom, describes differences between the sexes in size, shape and many other traits. Sexual size dimorphism (SSD) plays a significant role in understanding life history evolution and mating systems. The snakelike morphology of limbless caecilian amphibians lacking obvious secondary sexual characters (in contrast to frogs and salamanders) impedes accurate intrasexual comparisons. In this study, sexual size dimorphism in the oviparous caecilian Ichthyophis cf. kohtaoensis, a phylogenetically basal caecilian, was analysed. Females were larger in all body and head characters tested. However, when adjusted to body size (total length), females differed only in their cloacal shape. Clutch volume was positively correlated to female body size, thus female fecundity increased with body size supporting the hypothesis of a fecundity-selected SSD in the oviparous Ichthyophis cf. kohtaoensis. A review of the present SSD data for caecilians shows that many species are monomorphic for body size but show dimorphism in head size, while other species demonstrate female-biased SSD. Male-biased SSD has not been reported for caecilians. To understand life history evolution in caecilians, further studies on the reproductive biology of other taxa are urgently needed, in particular for rhinatrematids and uraeotyphlids. New data will allow phylogenetically controlled comparative analyses to fully explore the pattern of SSD among caecilian lineages.     

Inferring the past to predict the future: climate modelling predictions and phylogeography for the freshwater gastropod Radix balthica (Pulmonata, Basommatophora)

Understanding the impact of past climatic events on species may facilitate predictions of how species will respond to future climate change. To this end, we sampled populations of the common pond snail Radix balthica over the entire species range (northwestern Europe). Using a recently developed analytical framework that employs ecological niche modelling to obtain hypotheses that are subsequently tested with statistical phylogeography, we inferred the range dynamics of R. balthica over time. A Maxent modelling for present-day conditions was performed to infer the climate envelope for the species, and the modelled niche was used to hindcast climatically suitable range at the last glacial maximum (LGM) c . 21 000 years ago. Ecological niche modelling predicted two suitable areas at the LGM within the present species range. Phylogeographic model selection on a COI mitochondrial DNA data set confirmed that R. balthica most likely spread from these two disjunct refuges after the LGM. The match observed between the potential range of the species at the LGM given its present climatic requirements and the phylogeographically inferred refugial areas was a clear argument in favour of niche conservatism in R. balthica , thus allowing to predict the future range. The subsequent projection of the potential range under a global change scenario predicts a moderate pole-ward shift of the northern range limits, but a dramatic loss of areas currently occupied in France, western Great Britain and southern Germany.     

Climate change scenarios and models yield conflicting predictions about the future risk of an invasive species in North America

• 1 The pea leafminer Liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard) (Diptera: Agromyzidae) is an invasive species in North America and a serious economic pest on a wide variety of crops. We developed a bioclimatic envelope model (BEM) for this species and examined the envelope's potential location in North America under various future climates.
• 2 We compared the future bioclimatic envelopes for L. huidobrensis using either simple scenarios comprising uniform changes in temperature/precipitation or climate projections from general circulation models (GCMs). Our simple scenarios were: (i) an increase of 0.1°C per degree in latitude with a 20% increase in summer precipitation and a 20% decrease in winter precipitation and (ii) an overall increase of 3°C everywhere, also with the same changes in precipitation. For GCM‐modelled climate change, we used the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis GCM (CGCM2) and the Hadley Centre climate model (HadCM3), each in combination with two scenarios from the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (A2 and B2).
• 3 The BEM results using the simple scenarios were more similar to each other than to the results obtained using GCM projections. The results were also qualitatively different (i.e. spatially different and divergent) depending on which GCM‐scenario combination was used.
• 4 This modelling exercise illustrates that: (i) results using first approximation simple climate change scenarios can give predictions very different from those that use GCM‐modelled climate projections (comprising a result that has worrying implications for empirical impact research) and that (ii) different GCM‐models using the same scenario can give very different results (implying strong model dependency in projected biological impacts).

     

The costs of autotomy and regeneration in animals: a review and framework for future research

Many organisms have the ability to shed an appendage (autotomy)to escape a predator or fouled molting event. Despite its immediateadvantage on survivorship, autotomy can have important consequencesfor locomotion, foraging, survivorship, and/or reproduction.Thus, regeneration is a way that animals alleviate some of thecosts associated with losing an appendage. Like autotomy, however,appendage regeneration can have important consequences for avariety of aspects of fitness; in a wide range of amphibians,reptiles, fishes, and arthropods, the allocation of resourcesto regenerate a lost appendage negatively affects somatic orreproductive growth. Previous research into the costs associatedwith regeneration has provided a strong framework to explorehow trade-offs associated with regeneration may have influencedits evolution. However, all research to date describing thecosts and benefits associated with autotomy and regenerationhave compared individuals autotomizing and regenerating an appendagewith individuals that have never lost an appendage. I suggestthat for studies of the evolutionary significance of regeneration,an alternative comparison is between individuals experiencingautotomy without regeneration and individuals experiencing autotomywith regeneration. Future work in this direction promises newinsights into the evolution of regenerative tendencies, as wellas how regeneration may be influencing animal form and function.     

The inheritance of nymphal colour/pattern polymorphism in the leafhoppers Eupteryx urticae (F.) and E. cyclops Matsumura (Hemiptera: Auchenorrhyncha)

Nymphal colour/pattern polymorphisms are described in two cicadellid leafhopper species in the genus Eupteryx (Curt.). Eupteryx urticae (F.) exhibits three phenotypes (black, orange and white), while E. cyclops (Mats.) is polymorphic for pattern (ranging from completely pale to entirely black). There is no apparent parallel variation in the adults reared from these different phenotypes. The polymorphic variation reaches its full development in the last two nymphal instars, although it is possible to score earlier stages in certain cases. Crossing experiments revealed that part of the variation in E. urticae is controlled by a sex-linked gene, with orange dominant to black. Experiments with the white phenotype were inconclusive. In E. cyclops , the polymorphism is controlled by three genes, two autosomal and one sex-linked, each exhibiting complete dominance with epistatic interactions between them. A limited number of crosses between E. cyclops stock from Britain and Finland suggested that the loci controlling the polymorphism in the two countries are probably homologous. The theoretical implications of these findings are discussed.     

The evolution of plumage polymorphism in birds of prey and owls: the apostatic selection hypothesis revisited

Co-evolution between phenotypic variation and other traits is of paramount importance for our understanding of the origin and maintenance of polymorphism in natural populations. We tested whether the evolution of plumage polymorphism in birds of prey and owls was supported by the apostatic selection hypothesis using ecological and life-history variables in birds of prey and owls and performing both cross taxa and independent contrast analyses. For both bird groups, we did not find any support for the apostatic selection hypothesis being the maintaining factor for the polymorphism: plumage polymorphism was not more common in taxa hunting avian or mammalian prey, nor in migratory species. In contrast, we found that polymorphism was related to variables such as sexual plumage dimorphism, population size and range size, as well as breeding altitude and breeding latitude. These results imply that the most likely evolutionary correlate of polymorphism in both bird groups is population size, different plumage morphs might simply arise in larger populations most likely because of a higher probability of mutations and then be maintained by sexual selection.