Problem of influenza prophylaxis by vaccines

Scientific data is presented and problems of influenza prophylaxis in various age groups are discussed. Influenza prophylaxis in neonates is possible by inducing maternal antibodies, this dictates the necessity of influenza vaccination in pregnancy. Problems of influenza prophylaxis are most pressing in the group of children from 6 months to 2 years of age. More effective vaccines that do not cause adverse reactions are necessary for the children of this age group. Influenza prophylaxis in healthy working adults is most important for reducing economical impact during influenza epidemics. Influenza prophylaxis in the elderly is reasonable by using novel and more effective vaccines with adjuvants. The optimal method for influenza prophylaxis in the population in general is mass vaccination of children (80%), when, besides the induction of protection in children, influenza morbidity may decrease up to 80% in the other age groups of unvaccinated population.     

Vaccination of the elderly: an update

Vaccination of the elderly still requires attention. The vaccination coverage for tetanus, influenza and pneumococcal infections is merely 40, 60 and 30%, respectively. Besides a reduction in mortality (67%) and a reduction of hospitalisation for pneumonia and influenza (50%), vaccination against influenza also results in a decrease in cardio- and cerebrovascular morbidity (20%) as well as in a decrease in the frequency of doctor visits for respiratory infections for COPD patients. Vaccination of children and health care personnel can further reduce transmission of influenza and subsequent influenza related complications in the elderly. Pneumococcal invasive disease can be reduced by 50% through vaccination. Vaccination of children with the conjugate vaccine can further reduce the incidence of pneumococcal invasive disease in the elderly. Further improvements in vaccine coverage levels are needed, mainly among elderly persons, children and persons at increased risk.     

Vaccinal prophylaxis of infarction, insult and lethality in the epidemic rise of influenza

The data of literature on the evaluation of the medical consequences of influenza and the role of vaccinal prophylaxis are presented and analyzed. The causes of differences in the characteristics of delayed lethality in influenza are noted. The fact was substantiated that delayed death in influenza may be essentially decreased if patients belonging to the group of risk (mainly persons over 65 years) were vaccinated before the beginning of the seasonal rise of infection. Vaccination against influenza was shown to decrease the frequency of hospitalization for pneumonia and influenza by 20-40%. In the group of vaccines the number of lethal outcomes due to infarctions and insults decreased by 48-50%, the risk of hospitalization for cardiovascular diseases decreased by 19% and that for disturbances of cerebral circulation, by 16%. The conclusion was made that the modern strategy of vaccination against influenza was aimed at the protection of the groups of risk and the prevention of complications appearing in the course of development of this infection (the exacerbation of chronic pathology, hospitalization, delayed death).     

The Temporal Trend of Influenza-Associated Morbidity and the Impact of Early Appearance of Antigenic Drifted Strains in a Southeast Asian Country

Globally, influenza infection is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the elderly, who are suggested to be the major target group for trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV) vaccination by World Health Organization. In spite of an increasing trend in vaccine coverage rates in many countries, the effect of vaccination among the elderly in reducing hospitalization and mortality remains controversial. In this study, we conducted a historical cohort study to evaluate the temporal pattern of influenza-associated morbidity among persons older than 64 years over a decade. The temporal patterns of influenza-associated morbidity rates among the elderly older than 64 years indicated that Taiwan''s elderly P&I outpatient visits have been decreasing since the beginning of the 1999–2000 influenza season; however, hospitalization has been increasing despite significant increases in vaccine coverage. The propensity score logistic regression model was implemented to evaluate the source of bias and it was found that the TIV-receiving group had a higher propensity score than the non-receiving group (P<0.0001). In order to investigate the major factors affecting the temporal pattern of influenza-associated morbidity, we then used the propensity score as a summary confounder in a multivariate Poisson regression model based on the trimmed data. Our final models suggested that the factors affected the temporal pattern of morbidity differently. The variables including co-morbidity, vaccination rate, influenza virus type A and B isolation rate were associated with increased outpatient visits and hospitalization (p<0.05). In contrast, variables including high propensity score, increased 1°C in temperature, matching vaccine strains of type A/H1N1 and type B were associated with decreased outpatient visits and hospitalization (p<0.05). Finally, we assessed the impact of early appearance of antigenic-drifted strains and concluded that an excess influenza-associated morbidity substantial trends toward higher P&I hospitalization, but not outpatient visits, during the influenza season with early appearance of antigenic-drifted strains.     

Modern features of the epidemiology and prophylaxis of influenza

Modern concepts concerning influenza pandemics and epidemics in different countries of the world are presented. The influenza epidemics of the last decade in different countries of the world and their specific features linked with the "drifting" variability of influenza virus have been analyzed. Information on influenza morbidity during the last 30 years is given; on the basis of this information the role of vaccinal prophylaxis and mainly the mass vaccination of school children and students, is shown. The results of the efficacy of such vaccines as live influenza vaccine, American split vaccine, Russian live recombinant vaccine and Grippovac (1995-1996), as well as new-generation vaccine Grippol (1998), are presented. The prospects of the combined use of specific and unspecific prophylaxis have been determined.     

Efficacy of a complex program for controlling influenza in a large industrial city

The epidemiological and economic effectiveness of the realization of the complex three-year (1980-1982) program for the control of influenza in Perm is shown. The coverage of 46-51% of the city population, including working people, pensioners and children, with immunization carried out with the use of live and inactivated vaccines made it possible to decrease morbidity rate 2.12 times in comparison with the average data for many years. The greatest effect was achieved at large industrial enterprises where, simultaneously with vaccination covering 90% of the employees, urgent prophylaxis with remantadin and the early treatment of influenza patients were carried out. Due to these measures the morbidity rate and the number of disability days per 100 employees decreased 3-6 times.     

Detecting early‐warning signals of influenza outbreak based on dynamic network marker

The seasonal outbreaks of influenza infection cause globally respiratory illness, or even death in all age groups. Given early‐warning signals preceding the influenza outbreak, timely intervention such as vaccination and isolation management effectively decrease the morbidity. However, it is usually a difficult task to achieve the real‐time prediction of influenza outbreak due to its complexity intertwining both biological systems and social systems. By exploring rich dynamical and high‐dimensional information, our dynamic network marker/biomarker (DNM/DNB) method opens a new way to identify the tipping point prior to the catastrophic transition into an influenza pandemics. In order to detect the early‐warning signals before the influenza outbreak by applying DNM method, the historical information of clinic hospitalization caused by influenza infection between years 2009 and 2016 were extracted and assembled from public records of Tokyo and Hokkaido, Japan. The early‐warning signal, with an average of 4‐week window lead prior to each seasonal outbreak of influenza, was provided by DNM‐based on the hospitalization records, providing an opportunity to apply proactive strategies to prevent or delay the onset of influenza outbreak. Moreover, the study on the dynamical changes of hospitalization in local district networks unveils the influenza transmission dynamics or landscape in network level.     

Serous meningitis

During the second half of the 1950s serous meningitis and other enterovirus-induced diseases played one of the leading roles in human pathology in the world. Since the introduction of oral poliomyelitis vaccine (OPV) into wide medical practice from the beginning of the 1960s and during the subsequent decades the number of epidemics and the morbidity level in enterovirus-induced diseases sharply dropped. This was probably due to the interference of enteroviruses circulating in nature and vaccine polioviruses in the intestine of vaccinated children. At the beginning of the XXI century a tendency towards a growth in the morbidity of serous meningitis of enterovirus etiology was noted. This growth was probably due to a sharp decrease in the level of revaccinations of children with OPV. At the age of 2 to 14 years, most affected by enteroviruses, children were not vaccinated with OPV and they were thus left unprotected. The materials on the epidemiology of serous meningitis and recommendations on etiological diagnosis, as well as on the patients hospitalization and the vaccination of children with OPV as a nonspecific antiepidemic measures based on the phenomenon of virus interference are presented.     

Pandemic Influenza H1N1 2009, Innate Immunity,and the Impact of Immunosenescence on Influenza Vaccine

Seasonal and pandemic strains of influenza have widespread implications for the global economy and global health. This has been highlighted recently as the epidemiologic characteristics for hospitalization and mortality for pandemic influenza H1N1 2009 are now emerging. While treatment with neuraminidase inhibitors are effective for seasonal and pandemic influenza, prevention of morbidity and mortality through effective vaccines requires a rigorous process of research and development. Vulnerable populations such as older adults (i.e., > age 65 years) suffer the greatest impact from seasonal influenza yet do not have a consistent seroprotective response to seasonal influenza vaccines due to a combination of factors. This short narrative review will highlight the emerging epidemiologic characteristics of pandemic H1N1 2009 and focus on immunosenescence, innate immune system responses to influenza virus infection and vaccination, and influenza vaccine responsiveness as it relates to seasonal and H1N1 pandemic influenza vaccines.     

Adaptive Vaccination Strategies to Mitigate Pandemic Influenza: Mexico as a Case Study

Background

We explore vaccination strategies against pandemic influenza in Mexico using an age-structured transmission model calibrated against local epidemiological data from the Spring 2009 A(H1N1) pandemic.

Methods and Findings

In the context of limited vaccine supplies, we evaluate age-targeted allocation strategies that either prioritize youngest children and persons over 65 years of age, as for seasonal influenza, or adaptively prioritize age groups based on the age patterns of hospitalization and death monitored in real-time during the early stages of the pandemic. Overall the adaptive vaccination strategy outperformed the seasonal influenza vaccination allocation strategy for a wide range of disease and vaccine coverage parameters.

Conclusions

This modeling approach could inform policies for Mexico and other countries with similar demographic features and vaccine resources issues, with regard to the mitigation of the S-OIV pandemic. We also discuss logistical issues associated with the implementation of adaptive vaccination strategies in the context of past and future influenza pandemics.     

New infections: myths and reality

New contemporary data about new infectious diseases of XXI century are presented. Data on morbidity and mortality from severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS, atypical pneumonia) and avian influenza are analyzed and compared with World Health Organization data on human influenza. Biologic characteristics of avian influenza virus A/H5N1 are discussed as well as possibility of its human-to-human transmission. Principles of SARS and avian influenza infections transmission as zoonoses are described as well as mechanisms of transmission impeding their ability to infect humans. It has been argued that SARS should be regarded as contagious infection, whereas avian influenza - as non-contagious. Features of all stages of epidemic process of these infections are analyzed.     

Epidemic process of pertussis in Moscow

Materials reflecting the dynamics of pertussis morbidity during the period of 1958 - 2003 under the conditions of prolonged mass immunization of the child population with adsorbed DPT vaccine are presented. The planned vaccination of children led to the decrease of pertussis morbidity during the first 10 years, but groundless abstentions from vaccination during the 1980s - 1990s contributed to a sharp rise in morbidity among children of younger age groups. During the recent four years a rise in pertussis morbidity was registered in 2000 (71.79 per 100,000 of the population), followed by the most significant for the last 20 years drop in morbidity in 2002--down to 9.89. But in 2003 the growth of morbidity was again registered (38.67). Recently periodic rises and drops in morbidity occurred simultaneously with the increased coverage of children of younger age groups with vaccination. In recent years changes in the age structure of patients were observed: the specific proportion of school children increased (in 2003 morbidity rates in children aged 6 - 10 years were 288.6 - 270.7), simultaneously high morbidity among children aged up to one year (274.9) was registered. The specific proportion of pertussis-affected children aged above 7 years reached 65%. From the late 1990s until present in 87.1% of cases strains of serotype 1.0.3 prevailed in the population of B. pertussis strains. But in recent years the circulation of strains 1.2.3, spread in the prevaccination period and having toxicity similar to that of strains of serotype 1.0.3, while exceeding them in virulence, in sufficiently high proportion (7.0% in 2002) was noted. This was indicative of the possibility of the unfavorable development of the epidemic process of pertussis infection.     

Effectiveness of Influenza Vaccination in Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease Receiving Hemodialysis: A Population-Based Study

Background

Little is known on the effectiveness of influenza vaccine in ESRD patients. This study compared the incidence of hospitalization, morbidity, and mortality in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD) between cohorts with and without influenza vaccination.

Methods

We used the insurance claims data from 1998 to 2009 in Taiwan to determine the incidence of these events within one year after influenza vaccination in the vaccine (N = 831) and the non-vaccine (N = 3187) cohorts. The vaccine cohort to the non-vaccine cohort incidence rate ratio and hazard ratio (HR) of morbidities and mortality were measured.

Results

The age-specific analysis showed that the elderly in the vaccine cohort had lower hospitalization rate (100.8 vs. 133.9 per 100 person-years), contributing to an overall HR of 0.81 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72–0.90). The vaccine cohort also had an adjusted HR of 0.85 [95% CI 0.75–0.96] for heart disease. The corresponding incidence of pneumonia and influenza was 22.4 versus 17.2 per 100 person-years, but with an adjusted HR of 0.80 (95% CI 0.64–1.02). The vaccine cohort had lowered risks than the non-vaccine cohort for intensive care unit (ICU) admission (adjusted HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.12–0.33) and mortality (adjusted HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.41–0.60). The time-dependent Cox model revealed an overall adjusted HR for mortality of 0.30 (95% CI 0.26–0.35) after counting vaccination for multi-years.

Conclusions

ESRD patients with HD receiving the influenza vaccination could have reduced risks of pneumonia/influenza and other morbidities, ICU stay, hospitalization and death, particularly for the elderly.     

The effect of immunotherapy with the VP-4 multicomponent vaccine in children with frequent acute respiratory diseases and obstructive bronchitis

The results of prolonged observations on children with frequent acute respiratory diseases (ARD), subject to immunoprophylaxis with the use of polycomponent vaccine (VP-4), prepared from the antigens of opportunistic microorganisms, are presented. The vaccine was introduced to 30 children in 3 intranasal administrations and 6-8 oral administrations. The morbidity rate of the children was registered and their clinical status was evaluated for a year after the introduction of vaccine VP-4. As revealed in these observations, the frequency of ARD cases among the immunized children decreased 3 times or more in comparison with that among the same children, registered during a year prior to the introduction of the vaccine. In addition to a decrease in the frequency of ARD cases, a decrease in their duration and in the number of antibiotic administrations, as well as in the necessity of hospitalization, were also registered.     

Total immunization of children against influenza decreases morbidity in a number of diseases among elderly persons during influenza epidemic

Immunization of children aged 3-6 years in kindergartens and school children aged 7-17 years against influenza with inactivated influenza vaccine was carried out in two districts of the Moscow region. The comparison of morbidity in influenza-like diseases among the immunized children with that among nonimmunized children in control districts revealed that the effectiveness of immunization was 60.9% in kindergartens and 68.8% in schools. The analysis of morbidity in a number of diseases among 158,451 elderly persons not immunized against influenza demonstrated that, in comparison with the control districts, in those districts where mass immunization of children was carried out morbidity in influenza-like diseases among elderly persons was 3.4 times lower and, out of other 10 diseases under study, morbidity in 8 diseases was 1.5-2.6 times lower. As indicated by the data obtained in this study, total anti-influenza immunization of children in organized groups not only essentially decreased influenza morbidity among children, but also greatly decreased morbidity in influenza and a number of diseases, appearing as complications of influenza infection, among nonimmunized elderly persons during influenza epidemic.     

Epidemiological effectiveness of influenza immunoprophylaxis with Unifluvax vaccine in organized groups of servicemen

The results of vaccination carried out in an organized group with the subunit influenza vaccine "Influvax" are presented. In the immunized group the registered morbidity level exceeded the annual morbidity level by 7-12% only against the expected epidemic rise. Respiratory diseases in this group took a mild course. The morbidity level in the control group corresponded to the predicted value and exceeded the morbidity level in the vaccinated group 4.2-fold. The conclusion was made on the effectiveness of immunoprophylaxis.     

Health newscasts for increasing influenza vaccination coverage: an inductive reasoning game approach

Both pandemic and seasonal influenza are receiving more attention from mass media than ever before. Topics such as epidemic severity and vaccination are changing the way in which we perceive the utility of disease prevention. Voluntary influenza vaccination has been recently modeled using inductive reasoning games. It has thus been found that severe epidemics may occur because individuals do not vaccinate and, instead, attempt to benefit from the immunity of their peers. Such epidemics could be prevented by voluntary vaccination if incentives were offered. However, a key assumption has been that individuals make vaccination decisions based on whether there was an epidemic each influenza season; no other epidemiological information is available to them. In this work, we relax this assumption and investigate the consequences of making more informed vaccination decisions while no incentives are offered. We obtain three major results. First, individuals will not cooperate enough to constantly prevent influenza epidemics through voluntary vaccination no matter how much they learned about influenza epidemiology. Second, broadcasting epidemiological information richer than whether an epidemic occurred may stabilize the vaccination coverage and suppress severe influenza epidemics. Third, the stable vaccination coverage follows the trend of the perceived benefit of vaccination. However, increasing the amount of epidemiological information released to the public may either increase or decrease the perceived benefit of vaccination. We discuss three scenarios where individuals know, in addition to whether there was an epidemic, (i) the incidence, (ii) the vaccination coverage and (iii) both the incidence and the vaccination coverage, every influenza season. We show that broadcasting both the incidence and the vaccination coverage could yield either better or worse vaccination coverage than broadcasting each piece of information on its own.     

Economic effectiveness of using a live measles vaccine in an agricultural area of the Ukrainian SSR

Economic effectiveness of vaccination against measles in an agricultural region of the Ukrainian SSR has been studied. At the period preceding vaccination expenses for each measles patient in the country were three times as low as those in towns. At the period of vaccination a considerable decrease in expenses covering the payment of sick-leave certificates given to mothers taking care of their sick children, in losses connected with absenteeism, in expenses for gamma globulin prophylaxis and the hospital treatment and outpatient servicing of measles patients was observed due to the sharp drop of the total morbidity rate and the increased number of school children among measles patients. In urban and rural areas the equalization of expenses for each patient occurred. In spite of increased expenses for each measles patient, the considerable economy of sums spent for controlling measles was achieved: about 70,000 rubles per annum.     

Seasonal Influenza Vaccination for Children in Thailand: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Background

Seasonal influenza is a major cause of mortality worldwide. Routine immunization of children has the potential to reduce this mortality through both direct and indirect protection, but has not been adopted by any low- or middle-income countries. We developed a framework to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination policies in developing countries and used it to consider annual vaccination of school- and preschool-aged children with either trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV) or trivalent live-attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) in Thailand. We also compared these approaches with a policy of expanding TIV coverage in the elderly.

Methods and Findings

We developed an age-structured model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of eight vaccination policies parameterized using country-level data from Thailand. For policies using LAIV, we considered five different age groups of children to vaccinate. We adopted a Bayesian evidence-synthesis framework, expressing uncertainty in parameters through probability distributions derived by fitting the model to prospectively collected laboratory-confirmed influenza data from 2005-2009, by meta-analysis of clinical trial data, and by using prior probability distributions derived from literature review and elicitation of expert opinion. We performed sensitivity analyses using alternative assumptions about prior immunity, contact patterns between age groups, the proportion of infections that are symptomatic, cost per unit vaccine, and vaccine effectiveness. Vaccination of children with LAIV was found to be highly cost-effective, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios between about 2,000 and 5,000 international dollars per disability-adjusted life year averted, and was consistently preferred to TIV-based policies. These findings were robust to extensive sensitivity analyses. The optimal age group to vaccinate with LAIV, however, was sensitive both to the willingness to pay for health benefits and to assumptions about contact patterns between age groups.

Conclusions

Vaccinating school-aged children with LAIV is likely to be cost-effective in Thailand in the short term, though the long-term consequences of such a policy cannot be reliably predicted given current knowledge of influenza epidemiology and immunology. Our work provides a coherent framework that can be used for similar analyses in other low- and middle-income countries.