Estimating the Efficacy and Efficiency of Cascade Genetic Screening

Screening for genetic variants that predispose individuals or their offspring to disease may be performed at the general population level or may instead be targeted at the relatives of previously identified carriers. The latter strategy has come to be known as "cascade genetic screening." Since the carrier risk of close relatives of known carriers is generally higher than the population risk, cascade screening is more efficient than population screening, in the sense that fewer individuals have to be genotyped per detected carrier. The efficacy of cascade screening, as measured by the overall proportion of carriers detected in a given population, is, however, lower than that of population-wide screening, and the respective inclusion rates vary according to the population frequency and mode of inheritance of the predisposing variants. For dominant mutations, we have developed equations that allow the inclusion rates of cascade screening to be calculated in an iterative fashion, depending upon screening depth and penetrance. For recessive mutations, we derived only equations for the screening of siblings and the children of patients. Owing to their mathematical complexity, it was necessary to study more extended screening strategies by simulation. Cascade screening turned out to result in low inclusion rates (<1%) when aimed at the identification of heterozygous carriers of rare recessive variants. Considerably higher rates are achievable, however, when screening is performed to detect covert homozygotes for frequent recessive mutations with reduced penetrance. This situation is exemplified by hereditary hemochromatosis, for which up to 40% of at-risk individuals may be identifiable through screening of first- to third-degree relatives of overt carriers (i.e., patients); the efficiency of this screening strategy was found to be approximately 50 times higher than that of population-wide screening. For dominant mutations, inclusion rates of cascade screening were estimated to be higher than for recessive variants. Thus, some 80% of all carriers of the factor V Leiden mutation would be detected if screening were to be targeted specifically at first- to third-degree relatives of patients with venous thrombosis. The relative cost efficiency of cascade as compared with population-wide screening (i.e., the overall savings in the extra managerial cost of the condition) is also likely to be higher for dominant than for recessive mutations. This notwithstanding, once screening has become cost-effective at the population level, it can be expected that cascade screening would only transiently represent an economically viable option.     

An economic view of high compliance as a screening objective.

Accepted wisdom holds that high compliance is essential for a screening programme to be successful. Indeed, a reason that the national breast screening programme is not routinely offered to women aged 65 or more is on the grounds of predicted poor compliance by older women. Increasing compliance is often associated with increased costs. These costs represent a lost opportunity for screening alternative target populations. We question the need for screening programmes to achieve high compliance, and we argue that a screening programme can be efficient with very low levels of compliance. Adopting compliance as a screening objective and as a measure of the success of screening may be detrimental to the efficiency of a screening programme.     

Informing about mammographic screening: Ethical challenges and suggested solutions

Providing high quality and user oriented information about mammographic screening is no easy task, as screening has been subject to heated professional and public debates. Although the information has to be developed and provided in context for each screening program, the basic challenges are very much the same for all programs. Accordingly, the objective of this article is to analyze key ethical challenges in informing about mammographic screening, and based on these, to suggest some guiding principles for practical solutions. A literature review identifies five crucial issues with respect to informing women about mammographic screening. By analyzing and addressing these issues, five guiding principles are suggested: the content and the form of information should be developed through open and transparent processes with strong stakeholder involvement. Facts should be presented in a balanced way and uncertainties should be acknowledged, e.g., by presenting outcomes in ranges. Information should be layered without attempts to frame information. Attending mammographic screening should be as easy as not attending. Although apparently trivial, the suggested principles can be useful for elaborating specific information material about mammographic screening in a field of great ethical controversy.     

Comparing disease screening tests when true disease status is ascertained only for screen positives

Disease screening is a fundamental part of health care. To evaluate the accuracy of a new screening modality, ideally the results of the screening test are compared with those of a definitive diagnostic test in a set of study subjects. However, definitive diagnostic tests are often invasive and cannot be applied to subjects whose screening tests are negative for disease. For example, in cancer screening, the assessment of true disease status requires a biopsy sample, which for ethical reasons can only be obtained if a subject's screening test indicates presence of cancer. Although the absolute accuracy of screening tests cannot be evaluated in such circumstances, it is possible to compare the accuracies of screening tests. Specifically, using relative true positive rate (the ratio of the true positive rate of one test to another) and relative false positive rate (the ratio of the false positive rates of two tests) as measures of relative accuracy, we show that inference about relative accuracy can be made from such studies. Analogies with case-control studies can be drawn where inference about absolute risk cannot be made, but inference about relative risk can. In this paper, we develop a marginal regression analysis framework for making inference about relative accuracy when only screen positives are followed for true disease. In this context factors influencing the relative accuracies of tests can be evaluated. It is important to determine such factors in order to understand circumstances in which one test is preferable to another. The methods are applied to two cancer screening studies, one concerning the effect of race on screening for prostate cancer and the other concerning the effect of tumour grade on the detection of cervical cancer with cytology versus cervicography screening.     

The Health System and Population Health Implications of Large-Scale Diabetes Screening in India: A Microsimulation Model of Alternative Approaches

Background

Like a growing number of rapidly developing countries, India has begun to develop a system for large-scale community-based screening for diabetes. We sought to identify the implications of using alternative screening instruments to detect people with undiagnosed type 2 diabetes among diverse populations across India.

Methods and Findings

We developed and validated a microsimulation model that incorporated data from 58 studies from across the country into a nationally representative sample of Indians aged 25–65 y old. We estimated the diagnostic and health system implications of three major survey-based screening instruments and random glucometer-based screening. Of the 567 million Indians eligible for screening, depending on which of four screening approaches is utilized, between 158 and 306 million would be expected to screen as “high risk” for type 2 diabetes, and be referred for confirmatory testing. Between 26 million and 37 million of these people would be expected to meet international diagnostic criteria for diabetes, but between 126 million and 273 million would be “false positives.” The ratio of false positives to true positives varied from 3.9 (when using random glucose screening) to 8.2 (when using a survey-based screening instrument) in our model. The cost per case found would be expected to be from US$5.28 (when using random glucose screening) to US$17.06 (when using a survey-based screening instrument), presenting a total cost of between US$169 and US$567 million. The major limitation of our analysis is its dependence on published cohort studies that are unlikely fully to capture the poorest and most rural areas of the country. Because these areas are thought to have the lowest diabetes prevalence, this may result in overestimation of the efficacy and health benefits of screening.

Conclusions

Large-scale community-based screening is anticipated to produce a large number of false-positive results, particularly if using currently available survey-based screening instruments. Resource allocators should consider the health system burden of screening and confirmatory testing when instituting large-scale community-based screening for diabetes.     

American and European recommendations for screening mammography in younger women: a cultural divide?

The American Cancer Society advocates mammography screening for all women from age 40, whereas in Europe it is not recommended for women below the age of 50. Randomised prospective studies have failed to show a significant benefit from screening women aged under 50 and five potentially harmful effects of screening should be considered: lead time, overdiagnosis, radiation exposure, false positive results, and cost. Younger women must be properly informed about the potential for harm as well as for benefit before screening.     

Group screening for rare events based on incomplete block designs

Fields such as, diagnostic testing, biotherapeutics, drug development, and toxicology among others, center on the premise of searching through many specimens for a rare event. Scientists in the business of “searching for a needle in a haystack” may greatly benefit from the use of group screening design strategies. Group screening, where specimens are composited into pools with each pool being tested for the presence of the event, can be much more cost-efficient than testing each individual specimen. A number of group screening designs have been proposed in the literature. Incomplete block screening designs are described here and compared with other group screening designs. It is shown under certain conditions, that incomplete block screening designs can provide nearly a 90% cost saving compared to other group screening designs such as when prevalence is 0.001 and screening 3876 specimens with an ICB-sequential design vs. a Dorfman design. In other cases, previous group screening designs are shown to be most efficient. Overall, when prevalence is small (≤0.05) group screening designs are shown to be quite cost effective at screening a large number of specimens and in general there is no one design that is best in all situations. © 2018 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Biotechnol Progress, 35: e2770, 2019.     

Screening and self examination for breast cancer.

Breast cancer is the major form of cancer in women, with nearly 30,000 new cases and over 15,000 deaths in the United Kingdom each year. Breast screening by mammography has been shown in randomised trials to reduce mortality from breast cancer in women aged 50 and over. An NHS breast screening programme has been in operation in the United Kingdom since 1988. Its aim is to reduce mortality from breast cancer by 25% in the population of women invited to be screened. The uptake of mammography among the eligible population may be the single most important determinant if the programme is to be effective. Primary care teams have an important part to play in encouraging women to attend for screening and in providing information, advice, and reassurance at all stages of the screening process. To date, routine breast self examination has not been shown to be an effective method of screening for breast cancer and should not therefore be promoted as a primary screening procedure. There is, however, a case to be made for women to become more "breast aware."     

微藻抗菌物质及筛选模型

由于海洋环境和微藻本身的特殊性,从微藻中筛选抗菌物质已成为当今研究的热点之一,并且具有广阔的应用前景。对近年来从微藻中筛选抗菌物质的研究现状和进展进行了综述,重点总结了抗菌活性物质筛选过程中的模型选用,并介绍了新筛选模型的发展,指出了难点问题及可行的解决方法。     

Screening for novel biocatalysts

This review attempts to demonstrate the importance of goal-orientated screening for new biocatalysts. Examples of enzymes and microorganisms that have been developed and that have acquired commercial applications are described so as to illustrate the technological potential of biocatalysts. A survey of screening techniques and recently reported examples of screening from food, chemical, pharmaceutical and waste disposal applications etc. are also presented to demonstrate the feasibility of this approach for generating new biocatalysts. An appreciation of some of the difficulties involved, the achievements of Japanese researchers and some examples of the cornucopia of largely unrecognized and potentially valuable microbial activities are also given. An increased effort in screening would have the following benefits: an increased range of biocatalysts with different enzyme activities would be available and more biocatalysts with improved characteristics, suitable for use under industrial conditions, such as resistance to elevated temperatures, extremes of pH and organic solvents would be discovered. Secondly the manpower and other resources required to carry out screening programmes would be reduced, for instance by developing automated techniques. Thirdly, screening procedures would be made much more accessible to non-specialists. Fourthly, improved efforts and expertise in screening would supplement other emerging techniques such as protein engineering. The development of selective, non-random, goal-orientated screening techniques, methods of evaluating biocatalyst performance under operational conditions, and an approach that is more orientated towards commercially desirable goals are essential if these objectives are to be achieved. Screening of naturally occurring microorganisms still appears to be the best way to obtain new strains and/or enzymes for commercial applications. However, two major problems appear to exist. Firstly in identifying applications that are technically feasible and that have sufficient commercial potential to justify the research and development required to generate a new commercially viable biocatalyst and secondly the relatively small number of scientists outside Japan with skill and experience in screening for biocatalysts.     

Screening for congenital dislocation of the hip: an economic appraisal.

The direct costs of screening for congenital dislocation of the hip (CDH) are compared with the treatment costs resulting from no screening in a cost-effectiveness analysis in British Columbia. Under certain conditions the costs associated with screening and subsequent conservative treatment for 6 to 15 positive cases of CDH/1000 liveborn infants were considerably lower than the costs of either open or closed reduction of the hip for 1.5 infants with CDH per 1000 infants not screened. When adjustments were made to the assumptions about screening costs, rates with which cases were missed and hospital treatment costs, only the assumptions thought to be overly unfavourable to screening and overly optimistic for no screening brought the costs of no screening within the likely range of costs of screening. Some specific and general implications of the cost-effectiveness of screening for CDH in British Columbia are discussed.     

Issues in newborn screening

Newborn screening aims at the earliest possible recognition of disorders so that intervention with effective treatment can prevent the most serious consequences of the disorder. However, of several thousand known genetic disorders, therapy is presently available for only a small proportion of them. Newborn screening was first applied to phenylketonuria (PKU). Presently, newborn screening programs have been implemented in 26 countries for different diseases. However, potential problems in newborn screening programs that make implementation of newborn screening programs difficult include quality assessment, concerns about professional and technical competence, and ethical considerations. It has been shown that in the process from sampling the newborn to reporting of the screening results most errors are made in the pre- and post-analytical phases. It appears that much more could be done for the fetus if genetic screening and diagnostics could be accomplished early in pregnancy rather than after birth.     

Rapid Cervical Cytology Screening

2030 Papanicolaou-stained cervical smears were submitted for rapid screening prior to routine screening; 30 seconds were allowed for each slide, and those thought to be abnormal were identified. The results were compared with those of conventional screening. All severe and moderately dyskaryotic cases were detected by the rapid technique, as were the majority of mild dyskaryosis and borderline cases. When a laboratory has a backlog it may be worth rapid-screening all slides in addition to routine screening, so that patients most at risk can receive prompt treatment.     

Screening of Metals in Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment Using Simple Assessment Methods

Abstract: Various toxic, useful, and/or scarce metals in waste electric and electronic equipment (WEEE) have rarely been assessed due to low data availability, except for the four metals regulated by the European Union's Directive on the Restriction of Hazardous Substances (RoHS). This article describes the results of screening 36 metals in WEEE using simple assessment methods for cases where the decision makers do not know for which substances in a product countermeasures should be taken and where data cannot be easily obtained. First, this study examines the decision-making process and prerequisites for screening, classifies existing assessment methods, and presents three simple indices for screening (resource consumption, water pollution affecting human health, and aquatic biota conservation) so that screening can be readily started for many (20–36) metals. Following this, a case study is conducted for waste TV sets, revealing which metal in which product module or component should be targeted by environmental countermeasures. Finally, the screening results are compared with those of six other methods using diagrams devised to indicate the superiority of screening methods, and several screening techniques are discussed. The conclusions are that the EU RoHS Directive does not necessarily cover all of the toxic metals that could be of concern and the screening methods presented could help identify such metals; the selection of methods is critical; and a more detailed method does not necessarily provide more accurate results.     

Depression screening as a quality indicator

Objective Although practice guidelines for depression screening are evidence based, with their development relying on reviews of controlled studies, their adaptation and use as quality indicators have not been subject to rigorous study. This paper will therefore review the evidence supporting this practice.Methods A rational evaluation was carried out on both controlled studies and other sources of evidence related to the technical, clinical and policy assumptions underlying the use of depression screening guidelines as quality indicators.Results 1) Technical assumptions: depression screening could be used as a quality indicator. Current information technology does not allow accurate determination of who would benefit from being screened, whether they actually were screened, or the optimal percentage that should be screened. 2) Clinical assumptions: depression screening would improve outcomes. The evidence suggests that although depression screening might increase the diagnosis of depression, depressed patients so recognised tend to be less ill, less in need of treatment, or less likely to benefit from treatment, while screening, in the absence of other interventions, does not improve outcomes. 3) Policy assumptions: depression screening should be a focus of quality improvement. However, relative to other preventative measures, depression screening is a low priority. It does not meet usual cost-effectiveness criteria. There are more robust interventions for depression (i.e. collaborative care) that could be a focus of quality improvement efforts.Conclusion Although routine depression screening may be an acceptable practice guideline, its use as a quality measure is not supported.     

Cervical screening revisited

Some of the achievements of cervical screening in the reduction of morbidity and mortality in different countries are briefly reviewed, along with a consideration of some of the aspects of cervical cancer screening programs. The latter include the organization of the program (e.g., whether it is organized by the national health authorities), the protection afforded by routine screening, the assurance of quality in cervical sampling and in the screening program, the screening interval, the age groups to be screened, the compliance of women to present themselves for screening and of health care personnel to provide appropriate follow-up and/or treatment for the lesions diagnosed, the problem of false positives and its relation to overdiagnosis and overtreatment and, finally, the cost effectiveness. It is concluded that a centrally organized and well supervised cervical screening program, cautiously executed and with all involved parties closely cooperating, can be a cost-effective means of combatting cervical cancer.     

Predicting the Mortality Benefit of CT Screening for Second Lung Cancer in a High-Risk Population

Patients who survive an index lung cancer (ILC) after surgical resection continue to be at significant risk for a metachronous lung cancer (MLC). Indeed, this risk is much higher than the risk of developing an ILC in heavy smokers. There is currently little evidence upon which to base guidelines for screening at-risk patients for MLC, and the risk-reward tradeoffs for screening this patient population are unknown. The goal of this investigation was to estimate the maximum mortality benefit of CT screening for MLC. We developed a computational model to estimate the maximum rates of CT detection of MLC and surgical resection to be expected in a given population as a function of time after resection of an ILC. Applying the model to a hypothetical high-risk population suggests that screening for MLC within 5 years after resection of an ILC may identify only a very small number of treatable cancers. The risk of death from a potentially resectable MLC increases dramatically past this point, however, suggesting that screening after 5 years is imperative. The model also predicts a substantial detection gap for MLC that demonstrates the benefit to be gained as more sensitive screening methods are developed.     

Effectiveness of the public health policy for breast cancer screening in Finland: population based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of screening for breast cancer as a public health policy. DESIGN: Follow up in 1987-92 of Finnish women invited to join the screening programme in 1987-9 and of the control women (balanced by age and matched by municipality of residence), who were not invited to the service screening. SETTING: Finland. SUBJECTS: Of the Finnish women born in 1927-39, 89893 women invited for screening and 68862 controls were followed; 1584 breast cancers were diagnosed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Rate ratio of deaths from breast cancer among the women invited for screening to deaths among those not invited. RESULTS: There were 385 deaths from breast cancer, of which 127 were among the 1584 incident cases in 1987-92. The rate ratio of death was 0.76 (95% confidence interval 0.53 to 1.09). The effect was larger and significant (0.56; 0.33 to 0.95) among women aged under 56 years at entry. 20 cancers were prevented (one death prevented per 10000 screens). CONCLUSIONS: A breast screening programme can achieve a similar effect on mortality as achieved by the trials for breast cancer screening. However, it may be difficult to justify a screening programme as a public health policy on the basis of the mortality reduction only. Whether to run a screening programme as a public health policy also depends on its effects on the quality of life of the target population and what the resources would be used for if screening was not done. Given all the different dimensions in the effect, mammography based breast screening is probably justifiable as a public health policy.     

Risk-Specific Optimal Cancer Screening Schedules: An Application to Breast Cancer Early Detection

The optimal schedules for breast cancer screening in terms of examination frequency and ages at examination are of practical interest. A decision-theoretic approach is explored to search for optimal cancer screening programs which should achieve maximum survival benefit while balancing the associated cost to the health care system. We propose a class of utility functions that account for costs associated with screening examinations and value of survival benefit under a non-stable disease model. We consider two different optimization criteria: optimize the number of screening examinations with equal screening intervals between exams but without a prefixed total cost; and optimize the ages at which screening should be given for a fixed total cost. We show that an optimal solution exists under each of the two frameworks. The proposed methods may consider women at different levels of risk for breast cancer so that the optimal screening strategies will be tailored according to a woman’s risk of developing the disease. Results of a numerical study are presented and the proposed models are illustrated with various data inputs. We also use the data inputs from the Health Insurance Plan of New York (HIP) and Canadian National Breast Screening Study (CNBSS) to illustrate the proposed models and to compare the utility values between the optimal schedules and the actual schedules in the HIP and CNBSS trials. Here, the utility is defined as the difference in cure rates between cases found at screening examinations and cases found between screening examinations while accounting for the cost of examinations, under a given screening schedule.     

Systematic approaches to dissect biological processes in stem cells by image-based screening

High-throughput RNAi or small molecule screens have proven to be powerful methodologies for the systematic dissection of cellular processes. In model organisms and cell lines, large-scale screens have identified key components of many cellular pathways and helped to identify novel targets in disease-relevant pathways. Image-based high-content screening has become an increasingly important tool in high-throughput screening, enabling changes in phenotype characteristics, such as cell morphology and cell differentiation, to be monitored. In this review, we discuss the use of image-based screening approaches to explore the behavior of adult, embryonic, and induced pluripotent stem cells. First, we review how current pluripotency and differentiation assays can be adapted to high-throughput formats. We then describe general aspects of image-based screening of cells and present an outlook on challenges for screening stem cells.