我们离麻疹消除还有多远?

中国麻疹发病率自2008年起出现大幅度下降,但2012年底以来麻疹发病疫情呈上升趋势,部分城市出现了以成人为主的疫情暴发。导致麻疹疫情再次上升的一个可能原因是中国的麻疹疫苗实际接种率低于报告接种率,常规免疫有不到位的情况。同时,中国存在部分麻疹免疫空缺人群,既未接种过麻疹常规疫苗,也没有参加过2004—2010年的补充免疫活动。这类人群积累到一定程度后,可引起聚集性的疫情暴发。中国在消除麻疹方面虽已取得显著进展,但近年来疫情再次抬头值得警惕。进一步增加常规麻疹两剂疫苗接种率,对重点地区和人群适当增加补充免疫活动,更好地落实麻疹应急预案等,将有助于控制并消除麻疹疫情。     

Recurring measles epidemic in Vietnam 2005-2009: implication for strengthened control strategies

Background: Measles remains a serious vaccine preventable cause of mortality in developing nations. Vietnam is aiming to achieve the level of immunity required to eliminate measles by maintaining a high coverage of routine first vaccinations in infants, routine second vaccinations at school entry and supplementary local campaigns in high-risk areas. Regular outbreaks of measles are reported, during 2005-2009.Methods: National measles case-based surveillance data collected during 2005-June 2009 was analyzed to assess the epidemiological trend and risk factors associated with measles outbreak in Vietnam.Results: Of the 36,282 measles suspected cases reported nationwide, only 7,086 cases were confirmed through laboratory examination. Although cyclical outbreaks occurred between 2005 and 2009, there was no definite trend in measles outbreaks during these periods. Overall, 2438 of measles confirmed cases were among children ≤5 years and 3068 cases were among people ≥16 years. The distribution with respect to gender skewed towards male (3667 cases) significant difference was not observed (P= 0.1693). Unsurprisingly, 4493 of the confirmed cases had no history of vaccination (X² <0.01). The northern and highland regions were identified as the main endemic foci and the spatial distribution changed with time. The occurrence of cases, in a considerable proportion of vaccinated population, is not only a reflection of the high vaccination coverage in Vietnam but also portrays a possibility of less than 100% vaccine efficacy. More so, in order to prevent measles in adults, high-risk groups must be identified and catch-up for selected groups selected.Conclusions: This study therefore reinforces the need for continued improvement of surveillance system and to probe into the possible role of changes in age-distribution of cases if the effective control of measles is to be achieved.     

Immunostructure of school-age children inoculated against measles

The mass serological survey of school children immunized against measles was carried out by means of the hemagglutination inhibition test. As a result, 20.4% of these school children were found to be seronegative, and in 9.5% of them even the minimum concentration of measles antihemagglutinins (when titrated with 1 hemagglutinating unit of the antigen) was not detected. The accumulation of a considerable seronegative (measles-susceptible) stratum among children of school age occurred due to the low immunogenic potency of some batches of live measles vaccine, used for immunization in 1973, as well as due to the formerly practiced immunization of children under 1 year of age. A direct and close dependence of focal measles morbidity among immunized children having had contacts with the source of infection on the number of children among them, found to be seronegative after titration with 1 hemagglutination unit of measles antigen, was established.     

Vaccination coverage in hard to reach Roma children in Slovenia

The results of the retrospective analysis of data on vaccination coverage in the preschool-aged and school-aged Roma children (436 preschool and 551 schoolchildren) in three geographical regions of Slovenia were analyzed to establish the differences concerning coverage for specific vaccinations: poliomyelitis, diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, measles, mumps and rubella between the two generation. The data were obtained from health records, immunization records (Vaccination booklet) and National Computerized Immunization System (CEPI 2000). Vaccination coverage was calculated by comparing the number of children eligible for immunization with the number of vaccinated children. This article performs the log-rank statistical test, also known as the Mantel-Haenszel test. Log rang test is comparing survival curves for two generations. Preschool-aged Roma children showed higher vaccination coverage than the school-aged Roma generation. There was no significance difference in the generations of preschool aged and school aged Roma children fully vaccinated against poliomyelitis, diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis. Rubella vaccination was significantly lower in the school aged Roma generation. Only 33% of school aged Roma population received two doses of measles, mumps and rubella vaccine. Vaccination coverage of preschool Roma children in Slovenia against poliomyelitis, diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis and MMR (measles, mumps, rubella) were significantly lower then the national vaccination coverage for preschool aged Slovenia children. Many joint efforts will have to be made to improve the vaccination coverage in Roma communities.     

Impact of vaccination on selected diseases in Canada

Vaccination has dramatically reduced the morbidity and mortality rates of a number of diseases. The crucial element of vaccination programs is commitment to widespread coverage and to containment of outbreaks. Vaccines have led to virtual elimination of poliomyelitis and promise to eliminate measles. The incidence of congenital rubella syndrome will probably only be diminished if vaccination is extended to all 1-year-olds and susceptible prepubertal girls. The employment of diphtheria toxoid is one of the great success stories in public health. The incidence of pertussis has declined because of the diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus (DPT) vaccine given to infants, although elimination of the disease will probably have to await development of a more potent pertussis antigen. A remarkable reduction in the incidence of tetanus and tuberculosis has also been achieved.     

Effectiveness of measles immunoprophylaxis and the criteria for assessing its possible elimination

The study of measles morbidity in Donetsk Province in 1960-1984 and the study of antimeasles immunity in different groups of the population have shown that the problem of the liquidation of measles cannot be solved by immunizing the population in a single administration of the vaccine. To enhance the effectiveness of the immunoprophylaxis of measles and its influence on the epidemic process, a number of problems must be solved with the aim to improve the quality of the vaccine, especially its thermal stability, to establish the possibility of shifting the beginning of immunization from 15-17 months to 12 months of age, to increase the coverage of children with immunization against measles by decreasing the number of groundless exemptions from immunization and by immunizing children in risk groups according to individual schedules and dosage, to carry out selectively the booster immunization of persons who have lost their postvaccinal immunity, as revealed by laboratory test, or in whom such loss may be supposed, to introduce the objective method (indirect hemagglutination test) for controlling the state of immunity among different groups of the population into laboratory practice at sanitary and epidemiological stations. As to the possibility of the liquidation of measles, the statement of this problem is correct, but for its solution a complex of additional prophylactic and epidemic-control measures should be taken.     

Recombinant Measles AIK-C Vaccine Strain Expressing the prM-E Antigen of Japanese Encephalitis Virus

An inactivated Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) vaccine, which induces neutralizing antibodies, has been used for many years in Japan. In the present study, the JEV prM-E protein gene was cloned, inserted at the P/M junction of measles AIK-C cDNA, and an infectious virus was recovered. The JEV E protein was expressed in B95a cells infected with the recombinant virus. Cotton rats were inoculated with recombinant virus. Measles PA antibodies were detected three weeks after immunization. Neutralizing antibodies against JEV developed one week after inoculation, and EIA antibodies were detected three weeks after immunization. The measles AIK-C-based recombinant virus simultaneously induced measles and JEV immune responses, and may be a candidate for infant vaccines. Therefore, the present strategy of recombinant viruses based on a measles vaccine vector would be applicable to the platform for vaccine development.     

河南省漯河市2005—2010年麻疹流行病学分析

目的掌握河南省漯河市麻疹流行特征与规律,探讨漯河市麻疹防治对策与措施。方法收集漯河市2005—2010年麻疹疫情及监测资料,用Excel统计软件进行分析。结果漯河市2005—2010年共报告麻疹病例683例,平均发病率为4.55/10万,2005—2007年发病率逐年上升,2008—2010年逐年下降,3—5月份为发病高峰,发病年龄以≤3岁散居儿童为主。结论提高麻疹疫苗常规免疫接种覆盖率及8月龄儿童麻疹疫苗及时接种率是控制和消除麻疹的关键。     

Revaccination of children during school-based measles outbreaks: potential impact of a new policy recommendation.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the potential impact of revaccination on measles outbreak control during school-based epidemics. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Thirty-two public elementary and high schools in 14 communities on the west island of Montreal. PARTICIPANTS: All 19,439 children attending these schools during the 1989 measles epidemic in Quebec. INTERVENTION: After notification of a case children with provider-verified records of vaccination on or after their first birthday were identified; the remaining children were vaccinated or excluded from school. OUTCOME MEASURE: Clinical or confirmed measles cases not prevented by this intervention that could have been prevented had revaccination been included during the outbreak. RESULTS: Of the 88 measles cases (74 confirmed) proof of one adequate vaccination was present in 48 (55%). Intervention generally occurred within 5 school days after case notification. The nonpreventable cases involved 75 children who had measles onset before the intervention and 11 (7 vaccinated) who had onset within 8 days after the intervention. The two remaining cases occurred 20 and 25 days after the intervention among nonvaccinated students who refused to be vaccinated. Except for these two cases measles was eliminated at every school. Application of the new Canadian guidelines for measles outbreak control would have required the administration of at least 10,000 additional doses during the outbreak to students vaccinated before 1980; implementation of the new US guidelines would have required the administration of 16,629 additional doses to children previously vaccinated only once. Well-enforced provincial regulations ensuring vaccination of every student upon school entry might have prevented 38 (43%) of the cases. The US recommendation of two routine doses of vaccine before school entry might have prevented 86 (98%) of the cases. However, revaccination during the outbreak would not have prevented a single additional case. CONCLUSION: Revaccination of previously vaccinated students during a measles outbreak would have been costly and of little benefit.     

郑州市麻疹疫苗强化免疫前后麻疹流行病学特征分析

目的了解郑州市麻疹疫苗强化免疫对疾病流行特征的影响,为消除麻疹采取针对性措施提供科学依据。方法对郑州市麻疹强化免疫活动前后的2010年和2011年麻疹发病情况进行描述性流行病学分析。结果郑州市强化免疫后麻疹病例大幅减少,2011年较2010年病例数减少90%;全年病例散发,无明显季节性高峰出现;病例构成仍以1岁以下儿童和无免疫史者为主;城区发病高于农村。结论此次麻疹强化免疫活动效果明显,致使麻疹发病率显著下降。     

克拉玛依市2008年麻疹监测与控制情况分析

分析克拉玛依市麻疹流行状况及预防控制措施,为消除麻疹提供依据。采用描述流行病学分析方法,对2008年克拉玛依市麻疹资料进行分析。结果显示,克拉玛依市2008年麻疹发病率为38.83/10万(138/355381),呈高度散发,较2007年有所上升。发病高峰在3～5月,发病数占全年的83.33%。年龄分布大年龄组高于小年龄组,>20岁年龄组病例占50.00%,<1岁病例占18.84%;流动人口发病占51.11%。应切实提高麻疹常规免疫接种率和做好入托、入学儿童查验预防接种证工作,加强麻疹监测,提高实验室确诊病例的比例。     

Real-time investigation of measles epidemics with estimate of vaccine efficacy

As part of measles elimination effort, evaluation of the vaccination program and real-time assessment of the epidemic dynamics constitute two important tasks to improve and strengthen the control. The present study aimed to develop an epidemiological modeling method which can be applied to estimating the vaccine efficacy at an individual level while conducting the timely investigation of the epidemic. The multivariate renewal process model was employed to describe the temporal evolution of infection by vaccination history, jointly estimating the time-dependent reproduction number and the vaccine efficacy. Analyzing the enhanced surveillance data of measles in Aichi prefecture, Japan from 2007-08, the vaccine efficacy was estimated at 96.7% (95% confidence interval: 95.8, 97.4). Using an age structured model, the vaccine efficacy among those aged from 5-19 years was shown to be smaller than that among those from 0-4 years. The age-dependent vaccine efficacy estimate informs the age-groups to be targeted for revaccination. Because the estimation method can rest on readily available epidemiological data, the proposed model has a potential to be integrated with routine surveillance.     

Case Based Measles Surveillance in Pune: Evidence to Guide Current and Future Measles Control and Elimination Efforts in India

Background

According to WHO estimates, 35% of global measles deaths in 2011 occurred in India. In 2013, India committed to a goal of measles elimination by 2020. Laboratory supported case based measles surveillance is an essential component of measles elimination strategies. Results from a case-based measles surveillance system in Pune district (November 2009 through December 2011) are reported here with wider implications for measles elimination efforts in India.

Methods

Standard protocols were followed for case identification, investigation and classification. Suspected measles cases were confirmed through serology (IgM) or epidemiological linkage or clinical presentation. Data regarding age, sex, vaccination status were collected and annualized incidence rates for measles and rubella cases calculated.

Results

Of the 1011 suspected measles cases reported to the surveillance system, 76% were confirmed measles, 6% were confirmed rubella, and 17% were non-measles, non-rubella cases. Of the confirmed measles cases, 95% were less than 15 years of age. Annual measles incidence rate was more than 250 per million persons and nearly half were associated with outbreaks. Thirty-nine per cent of the confirmed measles cases were vaccinated with one dose of measles vaccine (MCV1).

Conclusion

Surveillance demonstrated high measles incidence and frequent outbreaks in Pune where MCV1 coverage in infants was above 90%. Results indicate that even high coverage with a single dose of measles vaccine was insufficient to provide population protection and prevent measles outbreaks. An effective measles and rubella surveillance system provides essential information to plan, implement and evaluate measles immunization strategies and monitor progress towards measles elimination.     

The Interplay of Public Intervention and Private Choices in Determining the Outcome of Vaccination Programmes

After a long period of stagnation, traditionally explained by the voluntary nature of the programme, a considerable increase in routine measles vaccine uptake has been recently observed in Italy after a set of public interventions aiming to promote MMR immunization, whilst retaining its voluntary aspect. To account for this take-off in coverage we propose a simple SIR transmission model with vaccination choice, where, unlike similar works, vaccinating behaviour spreads not only through the diffusion of “private” information spontaneously circulating among parents of children to be vaccinated, which we call imitation, but also through public information communicated by the public health authorities. We show that public intervention has a stabilising role which is able to reduce the strength of imitation-induced oscillations, to allow disease elimination, and to even make the disease-free equilibrium where everyone is vaccinated globally attractive. The available Italian data are used to evaluate the main behavioural parameters, showing that the proposed model seems to provide a much more plausible behavioural explanation of the observed take-off of uptake of vaccine against measles than models based on pure imitation alone.     

日照市2005—2011年麻疹监测分析

目的分析日照市2005—2011年麻疹流行病学特征,为制定消除麻疹策略及措施提供依据。方法对日照市2005—2011年麻疹监测系统资料进行描述流行病学分析。结果日照市2005—2011年共报告麻疹病例193例,其中2011年无病例报告,年平均报告发病率0.97/100 000。麻疹病例分布各区县,但不同区县之间存在差异,发病高峰在3—6月,以15岁以上大年龄组发病为主;散发和暴发并存,散发以本土病例为主,共暴发疫情3起,均为输入性病例。结论日照市消除麻疹已取得显著进展,应继续保持和巩固高水平儿童基础免疫接种率,高质量地完成MV SIA,加强监测和风险评估,做好暴发疫情的预警与控制工作,实现消除麻疹。     

潍坊市2007-2012年消除麻疹策略与效果评价

目的了解潍坊市2007-2012年麻疹疫情流行规律,为消除麻疹策略提供科学依据。方法采用描述性流行病学方法,研究探讨潍坊市2007-2012年麻疹流行规律。结果2007-2012年潍坊市报告麻疹确诊病例385例,均为散发病例,无死亡病例,年均发病率为0．72／10万,其中2008、2010年出现两个发病高峰,发病率分别为1．49／10万、1．17／10万,2012年发病率降至0．033／10万。3-5月为发病高峰,病例主要集中在寿光、诸城、安丘、青州四个市,占72．73％（280／385）。发病年龄最小2个月,最大63岁,病例年龄以〈1岁婴儿和20-44岁成年人为主。职业以民工、工人、农民和散居儿童为主,民工、工人和农民所占比例平均为52．47％（202／385）;散居儿童所占比例平均为22．08％（85／385）;民工、工人、农民和散居儿童发病人群所占比例逐渐升高,托幼儿童和学生逐渐降低。≥8月龄病例中有明确麻疹疫苗免疫史者96例,占26．74％;其中8月龄～14岁有明确麻疹免疫史者66例,占该年龄组病例的66％。结论潍坊市麻疹发病年龄构成以小于1岁婴儿和20～44岁成年人为主,出现向两极移动现象,1岁以下婴幼儿发病呈上升趋势。今后要提高常规免疫接种率和及时接种率,降低小年龄儿童麻疹发病率,适时对重点地区、重点人群开展麻疹疫苗强化免疫,消除免疫空白。     

沭阳县2007年麻疹疫情流行病学分析及应对措施

了解沭阳县2007年1月至8月份麻疹流行病学特征,为制订消除麻疹策略提供依据。采用描述流行病学方法对法定传染病报告系统和麻疹监测系统资料进行分析。结果显示,沭阳县2007年1月至8月份共发生麻疹150例,其中≤8月龄、8月~15岁、15~19岁、≥20岁成人,分别占26.00%、44.66%、12.67%和16.67%;无免疫史、有1次免疫史、有2次免疫史和免疫史不详的病例分别占46.67%、10.67%、8.00%和34.66%。因此,适时在重点人群中强化麻疹免疫,是短期内迅速提高人群免疫水平,降低发病率乃至阻断麻疹病毒传播的有效手段。     

The control of viral diseases in the developing countries with the use of existing vaccines]

In developing countries, every year about 70 million measles cases occur with 1.5 million deaths, over 200,000 children contract paralytic poliomyelitis, 50 million people get infected with viral B hepatitis causing over 1 million deaths, and several thousand people perish because of yellow fever according to WHO data. At the present time, there are 12 vaccines against viruses: vaccines against German measles and mumps in addition to the above. The universal immunization program (UIP) of WHO targets measles and polio. In 1989, a WHO resolution envisioned a 90% immunization coverage by the year 2000. Measles vaccination is recommended for children aged 9-23 months, since most children have maternal antibodies during the first 3-13 months of age. The Edmonston-Zagreb vaccine provided seroconversion of 92, 96, and 98% for 18 months vs. the 66, 76, and 91% rate of the Schwarz vaccine. In the US, measles incidence increased from 1497 cases in 1983 to 6382 cases in 1988 to over 14,000 cases in 1989, prompting second vaccination in children of school age. The highest incidence of polio was registered in Southeast Asia, although it declined from 1 case/100,000 population in 1975 to .5/100,000 in 1988. Oral poliomyelitis vaccine (OPV) provides protection: there is only 1 case/2.5 million vaccinations. Hepatitis B has infected over 2 billion people. About 300 million are carriers, with a prevalence of 20% in African, Asian, and Pacific region populations. Plasmatic and bioengineered recombinant vaccine type have been used in 30 million people. The first dose is given postnatally, the second at 1-2 months of age, and the 3rd at 1 year of age. Yellow fever vaccine was 50 years old in 1988, yet during 1986-1988 there were 5395 cases with 3172 deaths in Africa and South America. Vaccination provides 90-95% seroconversion, and periodic follow-up vaccinations under UIP could eradicate these infections and their etiologic agents.     

Four years of measles elimination in the Czech Socialist Republic

In 1982, Czechoslovakia succeeded in eliminating measles infection throughout the country. The paper describes the strategy of the measles immunization program following its introduction in 1969, showing it to reflect the objective epidemiological situation as revealed by the regular immunological surveys carried out in a broad population sample. As it turned out, decisive for achieving and maintaining a permanent measles elimination in the country was the introduction of second vaccination into the regular immunization schedule. Since 1982, its timing of is from 6 to 10 months after primary immunization. Over the 4-year period between 1982 and 1985, confirmed measles occurred only sporadically in the CSR, 115 cases altogether, and of these as many as 67 were classified as imported or their immediate contacts (38 measles patients were tourists from abroad). Of these 115 measles cases, 52 had had vaccination prior to acquiring the disease, 46 were individuals who had never before been vaccinated and in the remaining 17 patients no vaccination data were available. The vaccine failures, at least in 18 cases, could have been explained by the primary immunization prior to reaching 15 months of age. According to the estimates, at least 670 thousand cases of measles, 470 deaths, 100 thousand complications and some 33 thousand hospitalizations had been averted between 1972 and 1985 on the territory of CSR as a result of the introduction of the measles immunization program in Czechoslovakia.     

Background of recent JE vaccine issues

In Japan, more than 5,000 patients were reported in 1950, and there have been less than 10 cases annually since 1992. However, Japanese encephalitis virus caused of Japanese encephalitis (JE) are still existed highly and widely in the country, reported by National Institute of Infectious Diseases with serological examination among domestic pig population. JE immunization had been provided to children as category 1 routine immunization in Japan. However, the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (HOHLW) decided not to recommend JE immunization to children as a routine immunization at May 2005. Major reason on this decision was that the Minter of MOHLW certified to pay loss of medical costs for the case of ADEM (acute disseminated encephalomyelopathy) after JE immunization, recognized as adverse events with JE vaccine, although MOHLW stated that the strict scientific evidence was unknown. MOHLW stated also that it is expected Vero cell derived JE vaccine should be replaced with the present mouse brain derived JE vaccine as the next generation, to be able to avoid theoretical possibility of neurological adverse events associated with JE vaccine. Small but increasing number of requests recently to be certified as health injuries on ADEM cases associated with JE immunization is also another reason for MOHLLW's decision. Further, fifth doses of JE vaccine given to children at 14-15 years old as a routine immunization was decided to be discontinued by MOHLW at July 2005, considering present epidemiological situation on JE and JE immunization status in Japan, although four doses has been recommended continuously as routine. The background details on JE vaccine issues decided by MOHLW in 2005 were reviewed on this paper.