Efficiency robust tests for mapping quantitative trait loci using extremely discordant sib pairs

In 1972, Haseman and Elston proposed a pioneering regression method for mapping quantitative trait loci using randomly selected sib pairs. Recently, the statistical power of their method was shown to be increased when extremely discordant sib pairs are ascertained. While the precise genetic model may not be known, prior information that constrains IBD probabilities is often available. We investigate properties of tests that are robust against model uncertainty and show that the power gain from further constraining IBD probabilities is marginal. The additional linkage information contained in the trait values can be incorporated by combining the Haseman-Elston regression method and a robust allele sharing test.     

Selection and subsequent analysis of sib pair data for QTL detection.

Haseman and Elston (1972) developed a robust regression method for the detection of linkage between a marker and a quantitative trait locus (QTL) using sib pair data. The principle underlying this method is that the difference in phenotypes between pairs of sibs becomes larger as they share a decreasing number of alleles at a particular QTL identical by descent (IBD) from their parents. In this case, phenotypically very different sibs will also on average share a proportion of alleles IBD at any marker linked to the QTL that is lower than the expected value of 0.5. Thus, the deviation of the proportion of marker alleles IBD from the expected value in pairs of sibs selected to be phenotypically different (i.e. discordant) can provide a test for the presence of a QTL. A simple regression method for QTL detection in sib pairs selected for high phenotypic differences is presented here. The power of the analytical method was found to be greater than the power obtained using the standard analysis when samples of sib pairs with high phenotypic differences were used. However, the use of discordant sib pairs was found to be less powerful for QTL detection than alternative selective genotyping schemes based on the phenotypic values of the sibs except with intense selection, when its advantage was only marginal. The most effective selection scheme overall was the use of sib pairs from entire families selected on the basis of high within-family variance for the trait in question. There is little effect of selection on QTL position estimates, which are in good agreement with the simulated values. However, QTL variance estimates are biased to a greater or lesser degree, depending on the selection method.     

Multipoint identity-by-descent prediction using dense markers to map quantitative trait loci and estimate effective population size

A novel multipoint method, based on an approximate coalescence approach, to analyze multiple linked markers is presented. Unlike other approximate coalescence methods, it considers all markers simultaneously but only two haplotypes at a time. We demonstrate the use of this method for linkage disequilibrium (LD) mapping of QTL and estimation of effective population size. The method estimates identity-by-descent (IBD) probabilities between pairs of marker haplotypes. Both LD and combined linkage and LD mapping rely on such IBD probabilities. The method is approximate in that it considers only the information on a pair of haplotypes, whereas a full modeling of the coalescence process would simultaneously consider all haplotypes. However, full coalescence modeling is computationally feasible only for few linked markers. Using simulations of the coalescence process, the method is shown to give almost unbiased estimates of the effective population size. Compared to direct marker and haplotype association analyses, IBD-based QTL mapping showed clearly a higher power to detect a QTL and a more realistic confidence interval for its position. The modeling of LD could be extended to estimate other LD-related parameters such as recombination rates.     

Nonparametric trend statistic incorporating dispersion differences in sib pair linkage for quantitative traits

The Haseman-Elston (HE) regression method and its extensions are widely used in genetic studies for detecting linkage to quantitative trait loci (QTL) using sib pairs. The principle underlying the simple HE regression method is that the similarity in phenotypes between two siblings increases as they share an increasing number of alleles identical by descent (IBD) from their parents at a particular marker locus. In such a procedure, similarity was identified with the locations, that is, means of groups of sib pairs sharing 0, 1, and 2 alleles IBD. A more powerful, rank-based nonparametric test to detect increasing similarity in sib pairs is presented by combining univariate trend statistics not only of locations, but also of dispersions of the squared phenotypic differences of two siblings for three groups. This trend test does not rely on distributional assumptions, and is applicable to the skewed or leptokurtic phenotypic distributions, in addition to normal or near normal phenotypic distributions. The performances of nonparametric trend statistics, including nonparametric regression slope, are compared with the HE regression methods as genetic linkage strategies.     

Selective genotyping for QTL detection using sib pair analysis in outbred populations with hierarchical structures

A simulation study illustrates the effects of the inclusion of half-sib pairs as well as the effects of selective genotyping on the power of detection and the parameter estimates in a sib pair analysis of data from an outbred population. The power of QTL detection obtained from samples of sib pairs selected according to their within family variance or according to the mean within family variance within half sib family was compared and contrasted with the power obtained when only full sib pair analysis was used. There was an increase in power (4–16%) and decrease in the bias of parameter estimates with the use of half-sib information. These improvements in power and parameter estimates depended on the number of the half sib pairs (half sib family size). Almost the same power as that obtained using all the available sib pairs could be achieved by selecting only 50–60% the animals. The most effective method was to select both full and half sib pairs on the basis of high within full sib family variance for the trait in question. The QTL position estimates were in general slightly biased towards the center of the chromosome and the QTL variance estimates were biased upwards, there being quite large differences in bias depending on the selection method.     

Quantifying evidence for candidate gene polymorphisms: Bayesian analysis combining sequence-specific and quantitative trait loci colocation information

We calculate posterior probabilities for candidate genes as a function of genomic location. Posterior probabilities for quantitative trait loci (QTL) presence in a small interval are calculated using a Bayesian model-selection approach based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and used to combine QTL colocation information with sequence-specific evidence, e.g., from differential expression and/or association studies. Our method takes into account uncertainty in estimation of number and locations of QTL and estimated map position. Posterior probabilities for QTL presence were calculated for simulated data with n = 100, 300, and 1200 QTL progeny and compared with interval mapping and composite-interval mapping. Candidate genes that mapped to QTL regions had substantially larger posterior probabilities. Among candidates with a given Bayes factor, those that map near a QTL are more promising for further investigation with association studies and functional testing or for use in marker-aided selection. The BIC is shown to correspond very closely to Bayes factors for linear models with a nearly noninformative Zellner prior for the simulated QTL data with n > or = 100. It is shown how to modify the BIC to use a subjective prior for the QTL effects.     

Biased estimators of quantitative trait locus heritability and location in interval mapping

In many empirical studies, it has been observed that genome scans yield biased estimates of heritability, as well as genetic effects. It is widely accepted that quantitative trait locus (QTL) mapping is a model selection procedure, and that the overestimation of genetic effects is the result of using the same data for model selection as estimation of parameters. There are two key steps in QTL modeling, each of which biases the estimation of genetic effects. First, test procedures are employed to select the regions of the genome for which there is significant evidence for the presence of QTL. Second, and most important for this demonstration, estimates of the genetic effects are reported only at the locations for which the evidence is maximal. We demonstrate that even when we know there is just one QTL present (ignoring the testing bias), and we use interval mapping to estimate its location and effect, the estimator of the effect will be biased. As evidence, we present results of simulations investigating the relative importance of the two sources of bias and the dependence of bias of heritability estimators on the true QTL heritability, sample size, and the length of the investigated part of the genome. Moreover, we present results of simulations demonstrating the skewness of the distribution of estimators of QTL locations and the resulting bias in estimation of location. We use computer simulations to investigate the dependence of this bias on the true QTL location, heritability, and the sample size.     

Nonparametric longitudinal allele-sharing model

Basically no methods are available for the analysis of quantitative traits in longitudinal genetic epidemiological studies. We introduce a nonparametric factorial design for longitudinal data on independent sib pairs, modelling the phenotypic quadratic differences as the dependent variable. Factors are the number of alleles shared identically by descent (IBD) and the age categories at which the dependent variable is measured, allowing for dependence due to age. To identify a linked marker a rank statistic tests the influence of IBD group on phenotypic quadratic differences. No assumptions are made on normality or variances of the dependent variable. We apply our method to 71 sib pairs from the Framingham Heart Study data provided at the Genetic Analysis Workshop 13. For all 15 available markers on chromosome 17 we analyzed the influence on systolic blood pressure. In addition, different selection strategies to sample from the whole data are discussed.     

Optimal designs for linkage disequilibrium mapping and candidate gene association tests in livestock populations

Simulation was used to evaluate the performance of different selective genotyping strategies when using linkage disequilibrium across large half-sib families to position a QTL within a previously defined genomic region. Strategies examined included standard selective genotyping and different approaches of discordant and concordant sib selection applied to arbitrary or selected families. Strategies were compared as a function of effect and frequency of QTL alleles, heritability, and phenotypic expression of the trait. Large half-sib families were simulated for 100 generations and 2% of the population was genotyped in the final generation. Simple ANOVA was applied and the marker with the greatest F-value was considered the most likely QTL position. For traits with continuous phenotypes, genotyping the most divergent pairs of half-sibs from all families was the best strategy in general, but standard selective genotyping was somewhat more precise when heritability was low. When the phenotype was distributed in ordered categories, discordant sib selection was the optimal approach for positioning QTL for traits with high heritability and concordant sib selection was the best approach when genetic effects were small. Genotyping of a few selected sibs from many families was generally more efficient than genotyping many individuals from a few highly selected sires.     

The power of interval mapping of quantitative trait loci, using selected sib pairs.

The interval-mapping procedure of Fulker and Cardon for analysis of a quantitative-trait loci (QTL) is extended for application to selected samples of sib pairs. Phenotypic selection of sib pairs, which is known to yield striking increases in power when a single marker is used, provides further increases in power when the interval-mapping approach is used. The greatest benefits of the combined approach are apparent with coarse maps, where QTLs of relatively modest (15%-20%) heritability can be detected with widely spaced markers (40-60 cM apart) in reasonably sized sibling samples. Useful information concerning QTL location is afforded by interval mapping in both selected and unselected samples.     

Using identity-by-descent information in affected sib pairs to increase the efficiency of genetic association studies.

The aim of this study was to determine whether identity-by-descent (IBD) information for affected sib pairs (ASPs) can be used to select a sample of cases for a genetic case-control study which will provide more power for detecting association with loci in a known linkage region. By modeling the expected frequency of the disease allele in ASPs showing IBD sharing of 0, 1, or 2 alleles, and considering additive, recessive, and dominant disease models, we show that cases selected from IBD 2 families are best for this purpose, followed by those selected from IBD 1 families; least useful are cases selected from IBD 0 families.     

The bias introduced by population stratification in IBD based linkage analysis

The lack of replication of model-free linkage analyses performed on complex diseases raises questions about the robustness of these methods to various biases. The confounding effect of population stratification on a genetic association study has long been recognized in the genetic epidemiology community. Because the estimation of the number of alleles shared identical by descent (IBD) does not depend on the marker allele frequency when founders of families are observed, model-free linkage analysis is usually thought to be robust to population stratification. However, for common complex diseases, the genotypes of founders are often unobserved and therefore population stratification has the potential to impair model-free linkage analysis. Here, we demonstrate that, when some or all of the founder genotypes are missing, population stratification can introduce deleterious effects on various model-free linkage methods or designs. For an affected sib pair design, it can cause excess false-positive discoveries even when the trait distribution is homogeneous among subpopulations. After incorporating a control group of discordant sib pairs or for a quantitative trait, two circumstances must be met for population stratification to be a confounder: the distributions for both the marker and the trait must be heterogeneous among subpopulations. When this occurs, the bias can result in either a liberal, and hence invalid, test or a conservative test. Bias can be eliminated or alleviated by inclusion of founders' or other family members' genotype data. When this is not possible, new methods need to be developed to be robust to population stratification.     

Bayesian QTL analyses using pedigreed families of an outcrossing species,with application to fruit firmness in apple

Key message

Proof of concept of Bayesian integrated QTL analyses across pedigree-related families from breeding programs of an outbreeding species. Results include QTL confidence intervals, individuals’ genotype probabilities and genomic breeding values.

Abstract

Bayesian QTL linkage mapping approaches offer the flexibility to study multiple full sib families with known pedigrees simultaneously. Such a joint analysis increases the probability of detecting these quantitative trait loci (QTL) and provide insight of the magnitude of QTL across different genetic backgrounds. Here, we present an improved Bayesian multi-QTL pedigree-based approach on an outcrossing species using progenies with different (complex) genetic relationships. Different modeling assumptions were studied in the QTL analyses, i.e., the a priori expected number of QTL varied and polygenic effects were considered. The inferences include number of QTL, additive QTL effect sizes and supporting credible intervals, posterior probabilities of QTL genotypes for all individuals in the dataset, and QTL-based as well as genome-wide breeding values. All these features have been implemented in the FlexQTL^? software. We analyzed fruit firmness in a large apple dataset that comprised 1,347 individuals forming 27 full sib families and their known ancestral pedigrees, with genotypes for 87 SSR markers on 17 chromosomes. We report strong or positive evidence for 14 QTL for fruit firmness on eight chromosomes, validating our approach as several of these QTL were reported previously, though dispersed over a series of studies based on single mapping populations. Interpretation of linked QTL was possible via individuals’ QTL genotypes. The correlation between the genomic breeding values and phenotypes was on average 90 %, but varied with the number of detected QTL in a family. The detailed posterior knowledge on QTL of potential parents is critical for the efficiency of marker-assisted breeding.     

A simple and rapid method for calculating identity-by-descent matrices using multiple markers

A fast, partly recursive deterministic method for calculating Identity-by-Descent (IBD) probabilities was developed with the objective of using IBD in Quantitative Trait Locus (QTL) mapping. The method combined a recursive method for a single marker locus with a method to estimate IBD between sibs using multiple markers. Simulated data was used to compare the deterministic method developed in the present paper with a stochastic method (LOKI) for precision in estimating IBD probabilities and performance in the task of QTL detection with the variance component approach. This comparison was made in a variety of situations by varying family size and degree of polymorphism among marker loci. The following were observed for the deterministic method relative to MCMC: (i) it was an order of magnitude faster; (ii) its estimates of IBD probabilities were found to agree closely, even though it does not extract information when haplotypes are not known with certainty; (iii) the shape of the profile for the QTL test statistic as a function of location was similar, although the magnitude of the test statistic was slightly smaller; and (iv) the estimates of QTL variance was similar. It was concluded that the method proposed provided a rapid means of calculating the IBD matrix with only a small loss in precision, making it an attractive alternative to the use of stochastic MCMC methods. Furthermore, developments in marker technology providing denser maps would enhance the relative advantage of this method.     

A robust identity-by-descent procedure using affected sib pairs: multipoint mapping for complex diseases

Multipoint linkage analysis is a powerful tool to localize susceptibility genes for complex diseases. However, the conventional lod score method relies critically on the correct specification of mode of inheritance for accurate estimation of gene position. On the other hand, allele-sharing methods, as currently practiced, are designed to test the null hypothesis of no linkage rather than estimate the location of the susceptibility gene(s). In this paper, we propose an identity-by-descent (IBD)-based procedure to estimate the location of an unobserved susceptibility gene within a chromosomal region framed by multiple markers. Here we deal with the practical situation where some of the markers might not be fully informative. Rather the IBD statistic at an arbitrary within the region is imputed using the multipoint marker information. The method is robust in that no assumption about the genetic mechanism is required other than that the region contains no more than one susceptibility gene. In particular, this approach builds upon a simple representation for the expected IBD at any arbitrary locus within the region using data from affected sib pairs. With this representation, one can carry out a parametric inference procedure to locate an unobserved susceptibility gene. In addition, here we derive a sample size formula for the number of affected sib pairs needed to detect linkage with multiple markers. Throughout, the proposed method is illustrated through simulated data. We have implemented this method including exploratory and formal model-fitting procedures to locate susceptibility genes, plus sample size and power calculations in a program, GENEFINDER, which will be made available shortly.     

Testing the robustness of the new Haseman-Elston quantitative-trait loci-mapping procedure

Variance components (VC) techniques have emerged as among the more powerful methods for detection of quantitative-trait loci (QTL) in linkage analysis. Allison et al. found that, with particularly marked leptokurtosis in the phenotypic distribution and moderate-to-high residual sibling correlation, maximum likelihood (ML) VC methods may produce a severe excess of type I errors. The new Haseman-Elston (NHE) method is a least-squares-based VC method for mapping of QTL in sib pairs (Elston et al.). Using simulation, we investigate the robustness of the NHE to marked nonnormality, by means of the same distributions and worst-case conditions identified by Allison et al. for the ML approach (i.e., 100 pairs; high residual sibling correlation). Results showed that, when marked nonnormality is present, the NHE can be used without severe type I error-rate inflation, even at very small alpha levels.     

Sib mating designs for mapping quantitative trait loci

The power to separate the variance of a quantitative trait locus (QTL) from the polygenic variance is determined by the variability of genes identical by descent (IBD) at the QTL. This variability may increase with inbreeding. Selfing, the most extreme form of inbreeding, increases the variability of the IBD value shared by siblings, and thus has a higher efficiency for QTL mapping than random mating. In self-incompatible organisms, sib mating is the closest form of inbreeding. Similar to selfing, sib mating may also increase the power of QTL detection relative to random mating. In this study, we develop an IBD-based method under sib mating designs for QTL mapping. The efficiency of sib mating is then compared with random mating. Monte Carlo simulations show that sib mating designs notably increase the power for QTL detection. When power is intermediate, the power to detect a QTL using full-sib mating is, on average, 7% higher than under random mating. In addition, the IBD-based method proposed in this paper can be used to combine data from multiple families. As a result, the estimated QTL parameters can be applied to a wide statistical inference space relating to the entire reference population. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

A transmission/disequilibrium test approach to screen for quantitative trait loci in two selected lines of large white pigs

Pedigree and marker data from a multiple-generation pig selection experiment have been analysed to screen for loci affecting quantitative traits (QTL). Pigs from a base population were selected either for low backfat thickness at fixed live weight (L-line) or high live weight at fixed age (F-line). Selection was based on single-trait own performance and DNA was available on selected individuals only. Genotypes for three marker loci with known positions on chromosome 4 were available. The transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT) was originally described in human genetics to test for linkage between a genetic marker and a disease-susceptibility locus, in the presence of association. Here, we adapt the TDT to test for linkage between a marker and QTL favoured by selection, and for linkage disequilibrium between them in the base population. The a priori unknown distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis, no linkage, was obtained via Monte Carlo simulation. Significant TDT statistics were found for markers AFABP and SW818 in the F-line, indicating the presence of a closely linked QTL affecting growth performance. In the L-line, none of the markers studied showed significance. This study emphasizes the potential of the TDT as a quick and simple approach to screen for QTL in situations where marker genotypes are available on selected individuals. The results suggest that previously identified QTL in crosses of genetically diverse breeds may also segregate in commercial selection lines.     

Nonparametric simulation-based statistics for detecting linkage in general pedigrees.

We present here four nonparametric statistics for linkage analysis that test whether pairs of affected relatives share marker alleles more often than expected. These statistics are based on simulating the null distribution of a given statistic conditional on the unaffecteds' marker genotypes. Each statistic uses a different measure of marker sharing: the SimAPM statistic uses the simulation-based affected-pedigree-member measure based on identity-by-state (IBS) sharing. The SimKIN (kinship) measure is 1.0 for identity-by-descent (IBD) sharing, 0.0 for no IBD status sharing, and the kinship coefficient when the IBD status is ambiguous. The simulation-based IBD (SimIBD) statistic uses a recursive algorithm to determine the probability of two affecteds sharing a specific allele IBD. The SimISO statistic is identical to SimIBD, except that it also measures marker similarity between unaffected pairs. We evaluated our statistics on data simulated under different two-locus disease models, comparing our results to those obtained with several other nonparametric statistics. Use of IBD information produces dramatic increases in power over the SimAPM method, which uses only IBS information. The power of our best statistic in most cases meets or exceeds the power of the other nonparametric statistics. Furthermore, our statistics perform comparisons between all affected relative pairs within general pedigrees and are not restricted to sib pairs or nuclear families.     

Optimal haplotype structure for linkage disequilibrium-based fine mapping of quantitative trait loci using identity by descent

A linkage disequilibrium-based method for fine mapping quantitative trait loci (QTL) has been described that uses similarity between individuals' marker haplotypes to determine if QTL alleles are identical by descent (IBD) to model covariances among individuals' QTL alleles for a mixed linear model. Mapping accuracy with this method was found to be sensitive to the number of linked markers that was included in the haplotype when fitting the model at a putative position of the QTL. The objective of this study was to determine the optimal haplotype structure for this IBD-based method for fine mapping a QTL in a previously identified QTL region. Haplotypes consisting of 1, 2, 4, 6, or all 10 available markers were fit as a "sliding window" across the QTL region under ideal and nonideal simulated population conditions. It was found that using haplotypes of 4 or 6 markers as a sliding "window" resulted in the greatest mapping accuracy under nearly all conditions, although the true IBD state at a putative QTL position was most accurately predicted by IBD probabilities obtained using all markers. Using 4 or 6 markers resulted in greater discrimination of IBD probabilities between positions while maintaining sufficient accuracy of IBD probabilities to detect the QTL. Fitting IBD probabilities on the basis of a single marker resulted in the worst mapping accuracy under all conditions because it resulted in poor accuracy of IBD probabilities. In conclusion, for fine mapping using IBD methods, marker information must be used in a manner that results in sensitivity of IBD probabilities to the putative position of the QTL while maintaining sufficient accuracy of IBD probabilities to detect the QTL. Contrary to expectation, use of haplotypes of 4-6 markers to derive IBD probabilities, rather than all available markers, best fits these criteria. Thus for populations similar to those simulated here, optimal mapping accuracy for this IBD-based fine-mapping method is obtained with a haplotype structure including a subset of all available markers.