How endangered is sexual reproduction of high-mountain plants by summer frosts? Frost resistance, frequency of frost events and risk assessment

In temperate-zone mountains, summer frosts usually occur during unpredictable cold spells with snow-falls. Earlier studies have shown that vegetative aboveground organs of most high-mountain plants tolerate extracellular ice in the active state. However, little is known about the impact of frost on reproductive development and reproductive success. In common plant species from the European Alps (Cerastium uniflorum, Loiseleuria procumbens, Ranunculus glacialis, Rhododendron ferrugineum, Saxifraga bryoides, S. moschata, S. caesia), differing in growth form, altitudinal distribution and phenology, frost resistance of reproductive and vegetative shoots was assessed in different reproductive stages. Intact plants were exposed to simulated night frosts between ?2 and ?14 °C in temperature-controlled freezers. Nucleation temperatures, freezing damage and subsequent reproductive success (fruit and seed set, seed germination) were determined. During all reproductive stages, reproductive shoots were significantly less frost resistant than vegetative shoots (mean difference for LT₅₀ ?4.2 ± 2.7 K). In most species, reproductive shoots were ice tolerant before bolting and during fruiting (mean LT₅₀ ?7 and ?5.7 °C), but were ice sensitive during bolting and anthesis (mean LT₅₀ around ?4 °C). Only R. glacialis remained ice tolerant during all reproductive stages. Frost injury in reproductive shoots usually led to full fruit loss. Reproductive success of frost-treated but undamaged shoots did not differ significantly from control values. Assessing the frost damage risk on the basis of summer frost frequency and frost resistance shows that, in the alpine zone, low-statured species are rarely endangered as long as they are protected by snow. The situation is different in the subnival and nival zone, where frost-sensitive reproductive shoots may become frost damaged even when covered by snow. Unprotected individuals are at high risk of suffering from frost damage, particularly at higher elevations. It appears that ice tolerance in reproductive structures is an advantage but not an absolute precondition for colonizing high altitudes with frequent frost events.     

Carbohydrate content of Eucalyptus gunnii leaves along an annual cycle in the field and during induced frost-hardening in controlled conditions

The annual changes in frost hardiness were studied for three Eucalyptus gunnii genotypes. Frost resistance evaluated on leaf discs by the electrolyte leakage method reached a maximum in the coldest period and a minimum in summer demonstrating winter frost hardening. Genotype 634 exhibited a higher intrinsic resistance than the other genotypes both in the hardened and in the non-hardened stages. Plants of this genotype were also frost acclimated in controlled conditions by a progressive decrease of culture temperature (25 to 0 °C) but the degree of hardening appeared to be lower in these conditions. The carbohydrate patterns in leaves varied with acclimation. In controlled conditions the leaves of genotype 634 exhibited a rise in sucrose, fructose and raffinose concentration up to a temperature of 10 to 7 °C which subsequently decreased. In natural conditions a comparison of the three genotypes allowed us to correlate the higher intrinsic resistance of genotype 634 to a higher soluble sugar content. During acclimation fructose and raffinose changes were also correlated to an increase in cold resistance even though the kinetics of these changes differed in controlled and natural conditions. The starch content was very low in the various genotypes in the different conditions but oligosaccharides such as stachyose and possibly verbascose were detected. The results point out the relationships occurring between increased frost resistance and changes in fructose and raffinose concentration in E. gunnii leaves.     

Managing Potato Biodiversity to Cope with Frost Risk in the High Andes: A Modeling Perspective

Austral summer frosts in the Andean highlands are ubiquitous throughout the crop cycle, causing yield losses. In spite of the existing warming trend, climate change models forecast high variability, including freezing temperatures. As the potato center of origin, the region has a rich biodiversity which includes a set of frost resistant genotypes. Four contrasting potato genotypes –representing genetic variability- were considered in the present study: two species of frost resistant native potatoes (the bitter Solanum juzepczukii, var. Luki, and the non-bitter Solanum ajanhuiri, var. Ajanhuiri) and two commercial frost susceptible genotypes (Solanum tuberosum ssp. tuberosum var. Alpha and Solanum tuberosum ssp. andigenum var. Gendarme). The objective of the study was to conduct a comparative growth analysis of four genotypes and modeling their agronomic response under frost events. It included assessing their performance under Andean contrasting agroecological conditions. Independent subsets of data from four field experiments were used to parameterize, calibrate and validate a potato growth model. The validated model was used to ascertain the importance of biodiversity, represented by the four genotypes tested, as constituents of germplasm mixtures in single plots used by local farmers, a coping strategy in the face of climate variability. Also scenarios with a frost routine incorporated in the model were constructed. Luki and Ajanhuiri were the most frost resistant varieties whereas Alpha was the most susceptible. Luki and Ajanhuiri, as monoculture, outperformed the yield obtained with the mixtures under severe frosts. These results highlight the role played by local frost tolerant varieties, and featured the management importance –e.g. clean seed, strategic watering- to attain the yields reported in our experiments. The mixtures of local and introduced potatoes can thus not only provide the products demanded by the markets but also reduce the impact of frosts and thus the vulnerability of the system to abiotic stressors.     

Climate Change and Crop Exposure to Adverse Weather: Changes to Frost Risk and Grapevine Flowering Conditions

The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to benefit from the higher growing season temperatures predicted under future climate scenarios. Yet the effects of climate change on the risk of adverse weather conditions or events at key stages of crop development are not always captured by aggregated measures of seasonal or yearly climates, or by downscaling techniques that assume climate variability will remain unchanged under future scenarios. Using fine resolution projections of future climate scenarios for south-west England and grapevine phenology models we explore how risks to cool-climate vineyard harvests vary under future climate conditions. Results indicate that the risk of adverse conditions during flowering declines under all future climate scenarios. In contrast, the risk of late spring frosts increases under many future climate projections due to advancement in the timing of budbreak. Estimates of frost risk, however, were highly sensitive to the choice of phenology model, and future frost exposure declined when budbreak was calculated using models that included a winter chill requirement for dormancy break. The lack of robust phenological models is a major source of uncertainty concerning the impacts of future climate change on the development of cool-climate viticulture in historically marginal climatic regions.     

QTL mapping of chromosomal regions conferring reproductive frost tolerance in barley (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Hordeum vulgare</Emphasis> L.)

Spring radiation frost is a major abiotic stress in southern Australia, reducing yield potential and grain quality of barley by damaging sensitive reproductive organs in the latter stages of development. Field-based screening methods were developed, and genetic variation for reproductive frost tolerance was identified. Mapping populations that were segregating for reproductive frost tolerance were screened and significant QTL identified. QTL on chromosome 2HL were identified for frost-induced floret sterility in two different populations at the same genomic location. This QTL was not associated with previously reported developmental or stress-response loci. QTL on chromosome 5HL were identified for frost-induced floret sterility and frost-induced grain damage in all three of the populations studied. The locations of QTL were coincident with previously reported vegetative frost tolerance loci close to the vrn-H1 locus. This locus on chromosome 5HL has now been associated with response to cold stress at both vegetative and reproductive developmental stages in barley. This study will allow reproductive frost tolerance to be seriously pursued as a breeding objective by facilitating a change from difficult phenotypic selection to high-throughput genotypic selection.     

Changes in plant response to NaCl during development of rice (Oryza sativa L.) varieties differing in salinity resistance

The effects of NaCl stress on growth and development of rice{Oryza sativa L.) were studied and compared in varieties ofvarious origins. During the vegetative stage, tall indica landraces(Nona Bokra, Buhra Rata, Panwell, and Pokkali) appeared to beresistant throughout while in japonica varieties (I Kong Pao(IKP) and Tainung 67) and elite breeding lines (IR 4630, IR2153 and IR 31785), resistance fluctuated. Panwell, which wasthe only indica variety evaluated during the reproductive stage,also expressed salt resistance during booting, heading and grainmaturation while varieties with the greatest variability insalt stress response during the vegetative phase (IR 4630, IR31785 and IKP) also showed the greatest variability during reproductivedevelopment. Thus, varietal levels of resistance to salinityat different growth stages are not necessarily interdependentcharacteristics. Variability in salt resistance of differentgenotypes during the vegetative and reproductive phases of developmentwas not correlated to their mean level of relative resistance. There was an ontogenic evolution of salt resistance and theyoung seedling stage appeared to be the most sensitive to NaCIduring vegetative growth. Nevertheless, short- and middle termeffects of stress have to be distinguished for each genotypesince some varieties showed better growth during the secondweek of stress than during the first, whilst others showed anopposite trend. Moreover, even at specific stages of development,plant responses to NaCI were quite variable according to thecriterion used to quantify salinity resistance. The identificationof genotypes resistant to NaCI at specific developmental stagesis essential to improve the understanding of the effects ofsalt stress upon phenology and to elaborate further breedingprogrammes. Key words: Rice, Oryza sativa L., salt resistance, NaCl, phenology     

The tolerance of black currant flowers to induced frosts

Flower buds on potted plants of 17 varieties of black currant were frosted to -3.3, -4.5 and -5.2 °C between the grape stage and full flower in 1979 and 1980. In all varieties more flower buds died after the -5.2 °C frosts and at full flower, and less after the -3.3 °C frosts and at the grape stage. Varieties related to Ben More and Ojebyn tolerated the -4.5 °C frosts until after first flower while Baldwin and Magnus became susceptible at the grape stage. Seabrooks Black, Greens Black and Ben Lomond and its relatives were intermediate. In both years flower buds tolerated frosts to similar growth stages but in 1980 the varieties flowered about 2 wk earlier than in 1979 and suffered more frost damage at full flower. The frosted plants had slightly larger fruits than the unfrosted ones in 1979. The immature fruit drop was similar in frosted and unfrosted plants in both years except when it was increased after -5.2 °C in 1980. It is pointed out that for reliable cropping, varieties should flower late as well as tolerate spring frosts and that tests of frost tolerance should be done for at least three growth stages.     

QTL analysis of frost damage in pea suggests different mechanisms involved in frost tolerance

Key message

Avoidance mechanisms and intrinsic resistance are complementary strategies to improve winter frost tolerance and yield potential in field pea.

Abstract

The development of the winter pea crop represents a major challenge to expand plant protein production in temperate areas. Breeding winter cultivars requires the combination of freezing tolerance as well as high seed productivity and quality. In this context, we investigated the genetic determinism of winter frost tolerance and assessed its genetic relationship with yield and developmental traits. Using a newly identified source of frost resistance, we developed a population of recombinant inbred lines and evaluated it in six environments in Dijon and Clermont-Ferrand between 2005 and 2010. We developed a genetic map comprising 679 markers distributed over seven linkage groups and covering 947.1 cM. One hundred sixty-one quantitative trait loci (QTL) explaining 9–71 % of the phenotypic variation were detected across the six environments for all traits measured. Two clusters of QTL mapped on the linkage groups III and one cluster on LGVI reveal the genetic links between phenology, morphology, yield-related traits and frost tolerance in winter pea. QTL clusters on LGIII highlighted major developmental gene loci (Hr and Le) and the QTL cluster on LGVI explained up to 71 % of the winter frost damage variation. This suggests that a specific architecture and flowering ideotype defines frost tolerance in winter pea. However, two consistent frost tolerance QTL on LGV were independent of phenology and morphology traits, showing that different protective mechanisms are involved in frost tolerance. Finally, these results suggest that frost tolerance can be bred independently to seed productivity and quality.     

Photosynthesis in frost-hardened and frost-stressed leaves of Hedera helix L.

Abstract The purpose of this study was to determine the respective extents to which winter reduction of photosynthetic capacity in ivy (Hedera helix L.) is caused by direct frost injury to the photosynthetic apparatus and by preceding protoplasmic changes connected with the acquisition of frost tolerance. Potted juvenile ivy plants were placed in the open under natural weather conditions whilst others were hardened under controlled conditions and subjected to the desired frost stress. Low non-freezing temperatures induced frost tolerance in ivy leaves down to about – 12°C (50% injury = TL₅₀) without impairing net photosynthetic rate as measured under standard conditions (20°C, light saturation, natural CO₂ level; = Standard-F_n. Only if the leaves froze (below ? 3°C to ?4°C) was a reversible inhibition of Standard-F_n observed. As long as the temperatures did not fall below approximately ?8°C the inhibition was small and Standard-F_n reached about 80–90% of the control. In this case the stomatal opening narrowed, giving a poorer supply of CO₂ to the mesophyll cells. Maximal frost tolerance (TL_5O?20°C to ?24°C) developed only with severe frosts below about ? 10°C. After such frosts, Standard-F_n was reduced to less than 20% of the control. The dependence of the rate of net photosynthesis on the internal CO₂ concentration showed a lower initial slope, thus indicating disturbances of chloroplast functions. However, neither in outdoor plants nor in those artificially frosted at – 20°C could there be found an appreciable inhibition of the electron transport capacity from H₂O to dichlorophenol indophenol or of ribulose bisphosphate carboxylase. If intact, severely frosted ivy plants were then held at higher temperatures (20/15°C), Standard-F_n recovered completely in approximately 10 d. Furthermore, following a frost period with temperatures down to ?12°C, mild weather caused a distinct improvement in Standard-F_n in outdoor plants, and there was no loss of maximum frost tolerance. Thus it can be concluded that the inhibition of Standard-F_n after severe frosts is not due to the development of maximal frost tolerance, but rather may be attributed to frost damage to the photosynthetic apparatus.     

The use of chlorophyll fluorescence in assessment of low temperature hardiness in blackcurrant (Ribes nigrum L.)

The effect of freezing stress on chlorophyll fluorescence was examined in leaves of five genotypes of blackcurrant (Ribes nigrum L.). Minimum fluorescence (F_o), variable fluorescence (F_v) and the time for F_v to decay to half its maximum value (q_1/2) all varied between genotypes. Freezing stress significantly reduced F_o in all genotypes, but the effect of freezing stress on F_v was non-significant. Freezing stress significantly increased q_1/2, but the effect varied significantly between genotypes. The increase in q_1/2 induced by freezing stress was greatest in the cultivar Baldwin and least in the accession Ri-74020-6. The effects of freezing on chlorophyll fluorescence, particularly q_1/2, corresponded to the susceptibility of the genotypes to spring frosts. It is concluded that chlorophyll fluorescence can provide a rapid screening technique for assessing frost hardiness in blackcurrant.     

High cold tolerance through four seasons and all free-living stages in an ectoparasite

Off-host stages of temperate parasites must cope with low temperatures. Cold tolerance is often highest in winter, as a result of diapause and cold acclimation, and low during the active summer stages. In some blood-feeding ectoparasites, offspring provisioning determines cold tolerance through all the non-feeding, off-host stages. Large size increases survival in the cold, but so far seasonal variation in within-female offspring size has not been associated with offspring cold tolerance. The deer ked (Lipoptena cervi) reproduces on cervids from autumn to spring. Newborn pupae drop off the host, facing frosts without any acclimation. We examined cold tolerance through 4 seasons and from birth to adulthood by means of short- and long-term frost exposure. We expected females to produce more tolerant offspring in winter than in spring. Large spring pupae survived prolonged frosts better than did small winter pupae. Thus more tolerant offspring were not produced when the temperature outside the host is at its lowest. Unexpectedly, the freezing points were -20 °C or below all year round. We showed that high cold tolerance is possible without acclimation regardless of life stage, which presumably correlates with other survival characteristics, such as the starvation resistance of free-living ectoparasites.     

霜冻对昆明植物园维管植物危害的调查分析

2013年12月中旬昆明出现严重的霜冻天气,导致植物大面积受害,造成了巨大的损失。若了解各类植物对极端低温危害的抵抗力,可为科学合理地预防和降低霜冻等冻害天气对园林植物的危害提供一定参考。作者抽样调查了昆明植物园90科225种植物的受害情况．并对受害程度与植物系统分类、形态特征和产地分布等方面的关系进行统计分析。结果表明蕨类植物抗冻性较差,裸子植物抗冻性较强,不同科的被子植物抗冻性差异较大：多年生草本比一年生草本抗冻性差,常绿木本植物比落叶木本植物抗冻性更强;本地物种比引进物种抗冻性较强。根据调查结果,对已有园林植物的保护和新的园林绿化建设提出了一定的建议。即根据不同植物的抗冻性强弱,一方面要对园林植物给予积极有效的保护和采取预防霜冻危害的措施,另一方面要结合环境条件和植物特征选择适宜种植的物种。     

Investigation and Analysis of Impact from High Frost on Vascular Plants in the Kunming Botanical Garden

High frost, a common natural disaster, means heavy damage to plants with temperature dropped below 0℃. In mid December 2013, Kunming suffered from severe frosts, resulting in large area damage of the plants, which brought huge losses. To provide a reference for scientifically and reasonably preventing and reducing frost freezing to garden plants, it is necessary to understand resistance of various plant catagories to extreme cold hazards. In this paper, a sample survey on 225 plant species from 90 families was performed for victimized plants in Kunming Botanical Garden. With the statistical analysis of the relationship between damage degree and plant systematics, morphology, distribution or other factors, we drew several conclusions. For example, ferns had a relatively poor frost resistance while gymnosperms mostly were strong, and angiosperms showed larger differences in frost resistance; annual herbaceous and evergreen woody had a stronger resistance than perennial herbaceous and deciduous woody respectively; native species exhibited greater resistance than introduced species. According to the results, some suggestions were given for protecting existing garden plants and constructing new landscapings. That is based on the strength of frost resistance of different plants, on one hand to give the garden plants a positive and effective protection and prevention measures against frost damage, on the other hand to select species suitable for planting combined environmental conditions with characters of plants.     

Divergent trends in the risk of spring frost damage to trees in Europe with recent warming

Frost events during the active growth period of plants can cause extensive frost damage with tremendous economic losses and dramatic ecological consequences. A common assumption is that climate warming may bring along a reduction in the frequency and severity of frost damage to vegetation. On the other hand, it has been argued that rising temperature in late winter and early spring might trigger the so called “false spring”, that is, early onset of growth that is followed by cold spells, resulting in increased frost damage. By combining daily gridded climate data and 1,489 k in situ phenological observations of 27 tree species from 5,565 phenological observation sites in Europe, we show here that temporal changes in the risk of spring frost damage with recent warming vary largely depending on the species and geographical locations. Species whose phenology was especially sensitive to climate warming tended to have increased risk of frost damage. Geographically, compared with continental areas, maritime and coastal areas in Europe were more exposed to increasing occurrence of frost and these late spring frosts were getting more severe in the maritime and coastal areas. Our results suggest that even though temperatures will be elevated in the future, some phenologically responsive species and many populations of a given species will paradoxically experience more frost damage in the future warming climate. More attention should be paid to the increased frost damage in responsive species and populations in maritime areas when developing strategies to mitigate the potential negative impacts of climate change on ecosystems in the near future.     

Opportunities of marker-assisted selection for Plum pox virus resistance in apricot breeding programs

Evaluation of Plum pox virus (PPV) resistance is a laborious and expensive task, and the development of new accurate methods, including the use of molecular markers, would be very useful for breeding programs for resistance. In this work, the Plum pox virus resistance of 80 apricot genotypes of different genetic origins was evaluated in controlled greenhouse and natural field conditions. The genotypes for five simple sequence repeat (SSR) markers described as linked to PPV resistance were also determined. Depending on their behavior, cultivars were classified as resistant, susceptible, and uncertain, and the genotype was identified for each SSR linked to different phenotypes. Twenty genotypes were resistant and 37 susceptible in the greenhouse and in the field. However, 23 genotypes did not show clear behavior, probably due to the complex plant-virus interaction, so they were classified as uncertain. In general, results showed a narrow relationship between the SSRs PGS1.21 and PGS1.24, and resistance to PPV, although some genotypes did not show this relationship. Most of the susceptible genotypes did not show the alleles of resistance. Therefore, in most cases, marker-assisted selection (MAS) could be used as a means of screening new seedlings for early selection, making it possible to remove those that are susceptible. However, in certain cases, MAS using these markers has not proven to be completely effective. The origin of such discrepancies could be the presence of a second locus involved in PPV resistance. In addition, other factors affecting efficiency of MAS discussed in the work are the presence of null alleles and recombinant events. Resistant seedlings would have to be evaluated in greenhouse and natural conditions to confirm their actual behavior against PPV. From the breeding point of view, the use of homozygous resistant parents for the SSR resistance alleles, with good agronomic characteristics, would increase the efficiency of breeding programs, since all seedlings would be resistant regardless of the other parent. Finally, new molecular markers should be developed to accurately select resistant seedlings regardless of the resistant progenitors involved.     

Tree age and bark thickness as traits linked to frost ring probability on Araucaria araucana trees in northern Patagonia

Frost events may damage the cambium and consequently the newly produced tracheids whose cell walls have not yet completed their lignifications, leading to the formation of frost rings. This study deals with the presence of frost rings in Araucaria araucana trees according to cambial age and bark thickness, under the assumption that these factors may be involved in physical or physiological mechanisms that increase resistance to freezing temperatures that impact the cambial tissue. The study was conducted in northern Patagonia at two sites of contrasting geomorphology, and therefore potentially associated with a differential degree of exposure to extreme cold. Wood plus bark cores were extracted from main stems at two heights from the ground and from each of the four cardinal point directions for 30 individuals per site. A Linear Mixed Model and a Generalized Linear Mixed Model were applied in order to relate the bark thickness and the frequency of frost rings in accordance with the different sampling points on the stem. It was observed that as bark becomes thicker with cambial age, the frequency of frost rings decreases, indicating a possible thermal-induced mechanism of bark protection. Consequently, there is an increase in the presence of frost rings at the younger stages of tree life. Although the mechanisms of cold hardiness in trees can be complex, including aspects of the tree physiology, our data indicated that as tree age increases, the thickness of the bark is higher, resulting in a potential effect of isolation and passive protection against the harmful effects of frosts. This mechanism may be relevant in the ecology, conservation and management of forests faced with extreme variability in future climate and changing scenarios.     

A chamber for the simulation of radiation freezing of plants

Frost injury to plants can occur following episodic radiation frosts. In the UK this is particularly important to spring sown crops such as potatoes. Most laboratory based frost studies simulate freezing using either conductive or convective freezing chambers. Such frost tests do not simulate overnight freezing events adequately. A freezing chamber based on radiative cooling is described which mimics overnight radiative freezing. The chamber is rectangular in design (1 m × lm × 2 m high) with a radiative cooling plate at the top of the chamber cooled to -40°C to -45°C using HFC coolants, which acts as a cold black body. The sides of the chamber are also cooled to variable temperatures down to -5°C in order to prevent the chamber walls radiating to the plant material during testing. Using thermocouples to measure air temperature and plant temperature the chamber has been characterised to simulate the radiative cooling conditions found in the UK during autumn and spring. Exotherm detection upon plant freezing is simplified by virtue of the reduction in temperature fluctuation normally experienced at the plant surface during natural freezing. Radiation frosts and subsequent frost damage to potatoes have been recorded in the temperature range -4°C to –5°C. The equipment is recommended for studies of frost damage to plants normally caused by episodic radiation frost events.     

No increase in alpine snowbed productivity in response to experimental lengthening of the growing season

Climate change effects on snow cover and thermic regime in alpine tundra might lead to a longer growing season, but could also increase risks to plants from spring frost events. Alpine snowbeds, i.e. alpine tundra from late snowmelt sites, might be particularly susceptible to such climatic changes. Snowbed communities were grown in large monoliths for two consecutive years, under different manipulated snow cover treatments, to test for effects of early (E) and late (L) snowmelt on dominant species growth, plant functional traits, leaf area index (LAI) and aboveground productivity. Spring snow cover was reduced to assess the sensitivity of snowbed alpine species to severe early frost events, and dominant species freezing temperatures were measured. Aboveground biomass, productivity, LAI and dominant species growth did not increase significantly in E compared to L treatments, indicating inability to respond to an extended growing season. Edapho‐climatic conditions could not account for these results, suggesting that developmental constraints are important in controlling snowbed plant growth. Impaired productivity was only detected when harsher and more frequent frost events were experimentally induced by early snowmelt. These conditions exposed plants to spring frosts, reaching temperatures consistent with the estimated freezing points of the dominant species (～?10 °C). We conclude that weak plasticity in phenological response and potential detrimental effects of early frosts explain why alpine tundra from snowbeds is not expected to benefit from increased growing season length.     

Photoperiod cues and patterns of genetic variation limit phenological responses to climate change in warm parts of species’ range: Modeling diameter‐growth cessation in coast Douglas‐fir

The phenology of diameter‐growth cessation in trees will likely play a key role in mediating species and ecosystem responses to climate change. A common expectation is that warming will delay cessation, but the environmental and genetic influences on this process are poorly understood. We modeled the effects of temperature, photoperiod, and seed‐source climate on diameter‐growth‐cessation timing in coast Douglas‐fir (an ecologically and economically vital tree) using high‐frequency growth measurements across broad environmental gradients for a range of genotypes from different seed sources. Our model suggests that cool temperatures or short photoperiods can induce cessation in autumn. At cool locations (high latitude and elevation), cessation seems to be induced primarily by low temperatures in early autumn (under relatively long photoperiods), so warming will likely delay cessation and extend the growing season. But at warm locations (low latitude or elevation), cessation seems to be induced primarily by short photoperiods later in autumn, so warming will likely lead to only slight extensions of the growing season, reflecting photoperiod limitations on phenological shifts. Trees from seed sources experiencing frequent frosts in autumn or early winter tended to cease growth earlier in the autumn, potentially as an adaptation to avoid frost. Thus, gene flow into populations in warm locations with little frost will likely have limited potential to delay mean cessation dates because these populations already cease growth relatively late. In addition, data from an abnormal heat wave suggested that very high temperatures during long photoperiods in early summer might also induce cessation. Climate change could make these conditions more common in warm locations, leading to much earlier cessation. Thus, photoperiod cues, patterns of genetic variation, and summer heat waves could limit the capacity of coast Douglas‐fir to extend its growing season in response to climate change in the warm parts of its range.