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1.
Censoring in an epidemic with an application to hemophilia-associated AIDS   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
In epidemiologic studies of infectious diseases, the times of infection may be known only up to an interval. A two-stage parametric regression model is proposed for the analysis of cohort studies during an epidemic in which the exact times of infection cannot be ascertained. The methods permit joint estimation of the effects of covariates both on the risk of infection and the risk of progression to clinical disease once infected. The methodology is applied to a cohort of hemophiliacs who were at risk of infection with the AIDS virus. It was found that hemophiliacs with severe Type A hemophilia were at highest risk of infection, and the risk of infection increased sharply in the early 1980s. Hemophiliacs who were over the age of 20 at infection were at higher risk of progression to AIDS than hemophiliacs who were under age 20. The estimate of the cumulative probability of developing AIDS within t years of infection (the incubation period distribution) for hemophiliacs over age 20 was 1 - exp(-.0021t2.516). Since follow-up in this cohort was restricted to about 10 years from infection, estimates of the incubation period distribution beyond 10 years depend on model extrapolation and should be interpreted cautiously.  相似文献   

2.
In a group of homosexual men in Vancouver studied prospectively since November 1982, 26 cases of acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) have arisen. To identify behavioural, clinical and laboratory findings that might predict the development of AIDS in people with antibody to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), we compared data for 25 patients with AIDS with corresponding data for 80 controls serologically positive for HIV selected from the cohort. The clinical and laboratory data for the patients with AIDS preceded the diagnosis of the syndrome by a mean of 17.5 months. The controls had been both seropositive and AIDS-free for a mean of 16.7 months after acquisition of their data. We detected significant differences between the patients with AIDS and the controls in IgG and IgA levels, absolute number of helper T cells and ratio of helper to suppressor T cells but not in lifetime number of male sexual partners, frequency of receptive anal intercourse or receptive fisting, illicit drug use or history of infectious disease. We also detected an increased risk of AIDS among those who had an elevated number of sexual contacts in AIDS-endemic areas in the 5 years before enrollment. A history of increased early sexual contact in AIDS-endemic areas is likely to be associated with early infection and with an increased risk of AIDS among men with HIV infection of unknown duration. Thus, although our analysis had limited statistical power, we conclude that most lifestyle variables appear to act as exposure factors in HIV infection but not as cofactors in the development of AIDS.  相似文献   

3.
Peter H. Duesberg 《Genetica》1995,95(1-3):51-70
Hemophilia-AIDS has been interpreted in terms of two hypotheses: the foreign-protein-AIDS hypothesis and the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)-AIDS hypothesis. The foreign-protein-AIDS hypothesis holds that proteins contaminating commercial clotting factor VIII cause immunosuppression. The foreign-protein hypothesis, but not the HIV hypothesis, correctly predicts seven characteristics of hemophilia-AIDS: 1) The increased life span of American hemophiliacs in the two decades before 1987, although 75% became infected by HIV —because factor VIII treatment, begun in the 1960s, extended their lives and simultaneously disseminated harmless HIV. After 1987 the life span of hemophiliacs appears to have decreased again, probably because of widespread treatment with the cytotoxic anti-HIV drug AZT. 2) The distinctly low, 1.3–2%, annual AIDS risk of hemophiliacs, compared to the higher 5–6% annual risk of intravenous drug users and male homosexual aphrodisiac drug users — because transfusion of foreign proteins is less immunosuppressive than recreational drug use. 3) The age bias of hemophilia-AIDS, i.e. that the annual AIDS risk increased 2-fold for each 10-year increase in age —because immunosuppression is a function of the lifetime dose of foreign proteins received from transfusions. 4) The restriction of hemophilia-AIDS to immunodeficiency diseases — because foreign proteins cannot cause non-immunodeficiency AIDS diseases, like Kaposi's sarcoma. 5) The absence of AIDS diseases above their normal background in sexual partners of hemophiliacs — because transfusion-mediated immunotoxicity is not contagious. 6) The occurrence of immunodeficiency in HIV-free hemophiliacs — because foreign proteins, not HIV, suppress their immune system. 7) Stabilization, even regeneration, of immunity of HIV-positive hemophiliacs by long-term treatment with pure factor VIII. This shows that neither HIV nor factor VIII plus HIV are immunosuppressive by themselves. Therefore, AIDS cannot be prevented by elimination of HIV from the blood supply and cannot be rationally treated with genotoxic antiviral drugs, like AZT. Instead, hemophilia-AIDS can be prevented and has even been reverted by treatment with pure factor VIII.  相似文献   

4.
5.
The level of antibody to AIDS-associated virus (LAV) in sera from patients with AIDS or AIDS related diseases (AIDS related complex; ARC) and Japanese hemophiliacs was studied using indirect immunofluorescence. Titer of anti-LAV antibody in sera from 89 patients with AIDS or ARC ranged between 10 and 40,960 (median: 1,280) and that of 83 Japanese hemophiliacs ranged from 20 to 20,480 (median: 640). The distribution of the level of anti-LAV antibody in hemophiliacs was similar to that of patients with AIDS or ARC, and no correlation between the titer of antibody and the presence of symptoms of AIDS was observed. Our results suggested that hemophiliacs in Japan might have been infected with live LAV rather than been immunized with inactivated LAV by injection of factor VIII or IX concentrate, and more hemophiliacs in Japan might show symptoms of AIDS in the future as in the United States.  相似文献   

6.
Autoimmunity often precedes the onset of AIDS-related complex or AIDS, and a number of autoantibodies have been described in AIDS patients and persons at risk for AIDS. The presence of such antibodies provokes speculation that autoimmunity is a component of AIDS pathogenesis. We report evidence of an autoantibody (anticollagen) common to all homosexual AIDS patients studied. High titer serum reactivity against collagen was detected in all homosexual AIDS patients, and in HIV+ homosexuals (66%), HIV+ i.v. drug users (38%) HIV- homosexuals (32%), HIV+ transfusion recipients (22%), and HIV+ hemophiliacs (13%), but not in HIV- i.v. drug users, HIV- transfusion recipients, HIV- hemophiliacs, rheumatoid arthritis patients, or controls. Anticollagen reactivity does not correlate with serum IgG levels, so it is not merely a reflection of polyclonal B-cell activation. Titration of anticollagen positive sera typically revealed anticollagen antibody titers 100 times those of normal sera. Affinity purification and immunoblot analysis confirmed the antibody nature of the anticollagen reactivity. The anticollagen antibodies react preferentially with primary determinants of types I and III collagen revealed after heat denaturation. Similar antibodies occur infrequently in rheumatoid arthritis patients, more often on SLE, and frequently in graft vs host disease and lepromatous leprosy. Levels of anticollagen activity in HIV+ i.v. drug users and transfusion recipients correlate with serum beta 2-microglobulin levels, suggesting that those persons with anticollagen antibodies are at greater risk of developing AIDS. This correlation, the fact that anticollagen antibodies occurred in all homosexual AIDS patients tested, and the occurrence of antibodies against denatured collagen in immune disorders with features similar to AIDS suggest these antibodies may be related to disease progression. The association of anticollagen autoantibodies with AIDS and certain other infections and immune disorders may reflect common immunopathogenic features in the etiology of these disorders.  相似文献   

7.
Summary The advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) was once perceived to have transformed deadly HIV/AIDS into a treatable, chronic infectious disease. However, mounting evidence now suggests that the prevalence of multi-drug resistant HIV (MDR-HIV) infection is steadily rising among newly infected individuals in the HAART-experienced countries, raising a concern for a future outbreak of MDR-HIV/AIDS. Our global fight against AIDS must include sustained effort to search and discover a new therapeutic modality for HIV infection. Of plausible viral targets explored to date, HIV gene-targeting approach has not yet seen a considerable success in vivo. The pursuit of anti-HIV gene intervention should include the identification of critical gene targets as well as the optimization of biomolecules that can effectively interact with the intended targets. Using unmodified peptide nucleic acids (PNA) as a biomolecular tool, we discovered a potentially critical HIV gene segment within gag-pol encoding gene. Antisense PNA targeting this specific region effectively disrupted a translation of HIV gag-pol mRNA, abolishing the virion production from chronically HIV-infected cells. This exemplifies the possibility that epigenic HIV inhibitors may be developed in the coming years, if emerging novel technologies permit sufficient and stable in vivo delivery of PNA or other similarly effective biomolecules.  相似文献   

8.
Summary The advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) was once perceived to have transformed deadly HIV/AIDS into a treatable, chronic infectious disease. However, mounting evidence now suggests that the prevalence of multi-drug resistant HIV (MDR-HIV) infection is steadily rising among newly infected individuals in the HAART-experienced countries, raising a concern for a future outbreak of MDR-HIV/AIDS. Our global fight against AIDS must include sustained effort to search and discover a new therapeutic modality for HIV infection. Of plausible viral targets explored to date, HIV gene-targeting approach has not yet seen a considerable success in vivo. The pursuit of anti-HIV gene intervention should include the identification of critical gene targets as well as the optimization of biomolecules that can effectively interact with the intended targets. Using unmodified peptide nucleic acids (PNA) as a biomolecular tool, we discovered a potentially critical HIV gene segment within gag-pol encoding gene. Antisense PNA targeting this specific region effectively disrupted a translation of HIV gag-pol mRNA, abolishing the virion production from chronically HIV-infected cells. This exemplifies the possibility that epigenic HIV inhibitors may be developed in the coming years, if emerging novel technologies permit sufficient and stable in vivo delivery of PNA or other similarly effective biomolecules.  相似文献   

9.
Little data is available on the evaluation of the occurrence rates of Epstein-Barr virus(EBV) in saliva and relationship with highly active antiretroviral therapy(HAART) use in HIV/AIDS patients in China. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of EBV serological tests for HIV/AIDS patients who were treated in the hospitals for infectious diseases in Wuxi and Shanghai, China from May 2016 to April 2017. The EBV-seropositive samples were identified by ELISA. EBV-specific primers and probes were used for the quantitative detection of viral DNA from saliva via quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. CD4 cell counts of the HIV/AIDS patients were detected by a flow cytometry. A total of 372 HIV/AIDS patients were ultimately selected and categorized for this retrospective cohort study. For EBV IgG and IgM, the HIV/AIDS HAART use(H) and non-HAART use(NH) groups had significantly higher seropositive rates than the HIV-negative control group. The HIV/AIDS(NH) group had the highest seropositive rate(IgG, 94.27%; IgM, 68.98%) and the highest incidence of EBV reactivation or infection. For salivary EBV DNA-positive rates and quantities, the HIV/AIDS(H)(73.69%) and the HIV/AIDS(NH)(100%) groups showed significantly higher values than the HIV-negative control group(35.79%,[ twofold). Further, the salivary EBV DNA-negative population had significantly higher CD4 cell counts than the EBV DNA-positive population in the HIV/AIDS(H) group and the HIV/AIDS(NH) groups. Thus, HAART use is beneficial in decreasing the EBV salivary shedding in HIV/AIDS patients and indirectly decreases EBV transmission risk.  相似文献   

10.

Objective

To assess the prevalence of HIV infection and characteristically risk of factors which associated with HIV infection among MSM in Harbin, China.

Methods

A face-to-face questionnaire interview was conducted among 463 Men Who Have Sex with Men (MSM) who were recruited by the snowball sampling in Harbin from April, 2011 to July, 2011. The questionnaire mainly included demographics, AIDS knowledge, homosexual behavior and the status of intervention in MSM. Blood specimens were obtained and tested for the diagnoses of HIV, syphilis and hepatitis C virus (HCV). Associations between above exposed factors and HIV infection were analyzed using a univariate analysis and forward stepwise logistic regression.

Results

The prevalence of HIV and syphilis was 9.5 and 14.3%. The awareness rate of AIDS was 86.8%. The rate of unprotected sexual behavior was 57.6% of MSM during the past 6 months. The univariate analysis identified that the age (age≥35 years old), cohabitation, more than 10 years of homosexual behavior and more than 10 homosexual partners were risk factors which associated with the HIV infection, and that protected sex during the past 6 months was a protective factor for the HIV infection. The multivariate analysis identified that the duration of homosexual behavior and commercial sexual behavior were independent risk factors which associated with the HIV infection, and the protected sex during the past 6 months was a protective factor for the HIV infection.

Conclusion

The prevalence of HIV among MSM in Harbin has been rapidly increasing in the past few years. Targeted, tailored, and comprehensive interventions are urgently needed to prevent the HIV infection from MSM.  相似文献   

11.
The advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) was once perceived to havetransformed deadly HIV/AIDS into a treatable, chronic infectious disease. However, mountingevidence now suggests that the prevalence of multi-drug resistant HIV (MDR-HIV) infection issteadily rising among newly infected individuals in the HAART-experienced countries, raising aconcern for a future outbreak of MDR-HIV/AIDS. Our global fight against AIDS must include sustainedeffort to search and discover a new therapeutic modality for HIV infection. Of plausible viraltargets explored to date, HIV gene-targeting approach has not yet seen a considerable success invivo. The pursuit of anti-HIV gene intervention should include the identification of critical genetargets as well as the optimization of biomolecules that can effectively interact with theintended targets. Using unmodified peptide nucleic acids (PNA) as a biomolecular tool, we discovereda potentially critical HIV gene segment within gag-polencoding gene. Antisense PNA targetingthis specific region effectively disrupted a translation of HIV gag-polmRNA, abolishing thevirion production from chronically HIV-infected cells. This exemplifies the possibility that epigenic HIV inhibitors may be developed in the coming years, if emerging novel technologies permitsufficient and stable in vivo delivery of PNA or other similarly effective biomolecules.  相似文献   

12.
近年来,一些研究发现,GBV-C/HIV共感染可延缓HIV感染疾病的进程,然而也有一些研究得出不同的结论.本研究收集我国安徽省阜阳市HIV血清学阳性的既往献血员血浆标本,对其进行GBV-C感染的检测,研究GBV-C/HIV共感染与HIV病毒载量和CD4 T淋巴细胞绝对计数的关系.用RT-PCR和酶联免疫法检测,在203人中检出GBV-C感染52例,显示该人群GBV-C的感染率为25.6%,男性感染者(35例,67.3%)高于女性感染者(17例,32.7%).分析发现,GBV-C感染与未感染两组患者的CD4 T淋巴细胞绝对计数和HIV病毒载量数据均无统计学差异.本研究中的HIV-1感染者均未接受ART治疗,因而排除了治疗对疾病进展的影响.研究结果显示,在HIV-1感染晚期的献血人群,GBV-C/HIV共感染对CD4细胞和病毒复制水平无显著影响.由于本研究对象中无HIV-1早期感染者,因而不能判断GBV-C在HIV-1感染的早期对疾病进展有无影响.  相似文献   

13.
Wang X  Ho WZ 《Life sciences》2011,88(21-22):972-979
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and progression of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) can be modulated by a number of cofactors, including drugs of abuse. Opioids, cocaine, cannabinoids, methamphetamine (METH), alcohol, and other substances of abuse have been implicated as risk factors for HIV infection, as they all have the potential to compromise host immunity and facilitate viral replication. Although epidemiologic evidence regarding the impact of drugs of abuse on HIV disease progression is mixed, in vitro studies as well as studies using in vivo animal models have indicated that drugs of abuse have the ability to enhance HIV infection/replication. Drugs of abuse may also be a risk factor for perinatal transmission of HIV. Because high levels of viral load in maternal blood are associated with increased risk of HIV vertical transmission, it is likely that drugs of abuse play an important role in promoting mother-fetus transmission. Furthermore, because the neonatal immune system differs qualitatively from the adult system, it is possible that maternal exposure to drugs of abuse would exacerbate neonatal immunity defects, facilitating HIV infection of neonate immune cells and promoting HIV vertical transmission. The availability and use of antiretroviral therapy for women infected with HIV increase, there is an increasing interest in determining the impact of drug abuse on efficacy of AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG)-standardized treatment regimens for woman infected with HIV in the context of HIV vertical transmission.  相似文献   

14.
Melanin and HIV in sub-Saharan Africa   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
HIV is common in sub-Saharan Africa. Sexually transmitted bacterial and fungal infections increase the chance of HIV infection. Melanin can prevent the penetration of skin and mucus membranes by microorganisms, and soluble melanin can inhibit HIV replication. We suggest that melanin may reduce the incidence of HIV infection through venereally acquired skin lesions, thus reducing the risk of sero-conversion and slow the progress to AIDS. Indigenous sub-Saharan peoples are highly melanized, but there is pigment variation between populations. We show that skin reflectance, a negative correlate of melanin, is positively associated with adult rate of HIV in sub-Saharan countries. There is no such relationship in populations outside sub-Saharan Africa. We suggest that melanin concentration in black people may correlate with resistance to HIV infection.  相似文献   

15.
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is the infectious agent causing acquired immu-nodeficiency syndrome (AIDS),a deadliest scourge of human society. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a major causative agent of chronic liver disease and infects an estimated 170 million people worldwide,resulting in a serious public health burden. Due to shared routes of transmission,co-infection with HIV and HCV has become common among individuals who had high risks of blood exposures. Among hemophiliacs the co-infection rate accounts for 85%; while among injection drug users (IDU) the rate can be as high as 90%. HIV can accelerate the progression of HCV-related liver disease,particularly when immunodeficiency has developed. Although the effect of HCV on HIV infection is controversial,most studies showed an increase in mortality due to liver disease. HCV may act as a direct cofactor to fasten the progression of AIDS and decrease the tolerance of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HARRT). Conversely,HAART-related hepatotoxicity may enhance the progression of liver fibrosis. Due to above complications,co-infection with HCV and HIV-1 has imposed a critical challenge in the management of these patients. In this review,we focus on the epidemiology and transmission of HIV and HCV,the impact of the two viruses on each other,and their treatment.  相似文献   

16.
R Allard  G Lambert 《CMAJ》1992,146(3):353-359
OBJECTIVES: To measure the perceived risk of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) among international travellers, to measure their knowledge of the transmission and prevention of HIV infection abroad and to identify some of the determinants of this knowledge. DESIGN: Survey. SETTING: Travellers'' immunization clinic providing mostly primary preventive care to international travellers. PARTICIPANTS: All clients aged 18 to 50 years seen at the clinic between Oct. 2 and Dec. 21, 1989, before their departure. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Sixteen statements measured knowledge of transmission and prevention of HIV infection. Standardized scales measured health beliefs. RESULTS: The response rate was 81% (331/409). Compared with other diseases AIDS was perceived to be associated with a low risk except by those travelling to countries with a high prevalence of AIDS. Most of the clients were found to have a good knowledge of HIV transmission to travellers, although some myths remained popular and some real routes of transmission, especially blood, remained underrated. In all, 70% of the subjects believed in the efficacy of condoms when used with local people, as compared with 79% when used with other tourists; this difference was greatest among travellers who perceived AIDS as being particularly severe but difficult to prevent. The determinants of the knowledge of HIV transmission and prevention were a high level of education, a mother tongue other than French, unmarried status, a high prevalence of AIDS at the destination, the duration of the trip and a high perceived risk of HIV infection. CONCLUSIONS: Counselling should teach travellers (a) not to underestimate their risk of HIV infection during their trip, (b) to decrease the risk of requiring health care in developing countries and (c) to rely on their own prudent sexual behaviour rather than on their assessment of the level of risk posed by the environment.  相似文献   

17.
Ding AA  Wu H 《Biometrics》2000,56(1):293-300
The study of HIV dynamics is one of the most important developments in recent AIDS research. It has led to a new understanding of the pathogenesis of HIV infection. But, although important findings in HIV dynamics have been published in prestigious scientific journals in the last 5 years, the model-fitting procedures used in these publications have not been studied in any detail. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of four model-fitting procedures proposed and used in biphasic HIV dynamic data analysis via extensive Monte Carlo simulations. We propose some guidelines for practitioners to select an appropriate method for their own data analysis. Real data examples from an AIDS clinical trial are provided as illustrations.  相似文献   

18.
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is the infectious agent causing acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), a deadliest scourge of human society. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a major causative agent of chronic liver disease and infects an estimated 170 million people worldwide, resulting in a serious public health burden. Due to shared routes of transmission, co-infection with HIV and HCV has become common among individuals who had high risks of blood exposures. Among hemophiliacs the co-infection rate accounts for 85%; while among injection drug users (IDU) the rate can be as high as 90%. HIV can accelerate the progression of HCV-related liver disease, particularly when immunodeficiency has developed. Although the effect of HCV on HIV infection is controversial, most studies showed an increase in mortality due to liver disease. HCV may act as a direct cofactor to fasten the progression of AIDS and decrease the tolerance of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HARRT). Conversely, HAART-related hepatotoxicity may enhance the progression of liver fibrosis. Due to above complications, co-infection with HCV and HIV-1 has imposed a critical challenge in the management of these patients. In this review, we focus on the epidemiology and transmission of HIV and HCV, the impact of the two viruses on each other, and their treatment.   相似文献   

19.
This article presents an overview of HIV/AIDS epidemiology and surveillance in Croatia 20 years after the first documented case of AIDS in the country. Here we describe strategies employed for HIV/AIDS surveillance in Croatia as well as preliminary results of HIV seroprevalence among most-at-risk populations (MARPs) research conducted by the Infectious Diseases Epidemiology Service at the Croatian National Institute of Public Health (CNIPH). Croatia has a low incidence and prevalence of HIV and AIDS. At the end of 2005, there were 553 documented cases of HIV infection, 239 of which progressed to AIDS. In Croatia, AIDS is being registered within MARPs only and dominantly among men who have sex with men (MSM). AIDS patients and HIV infected persons are found in all parts of the country. Crude prevalence of HIV among MARPs was found to be 0.9%. It is necessary to continue with current prevention and control measures in the country, and to create a culture of awareness and precaution, a strategy that has proven effective in reducing risk of HIV infection.  相似文献   

20.
The first case of AIDS was reported in 1985 in China, but by the early 21st century, the government estimated that there were 840,000 citizens living with HIV/AIDS. The number is increasing rapidly. The major risk groups are injection drug users (IDUSs; 43%) and former plasma donors (27%), but rates among heterosexual groups are rising rapidly.Sentinel surveillance was initiated in 1986, and now includes IDUs, men-who-have-sex-with-men, sexually transmitted disease clinic attendees, antenatal women, long-distance truck drivers, and .sex workers. Although the government was slow to respond to the epidemic in the late 20th century, it has made a vigorous response in the early 21st century.Components of that response include implementation and evaluation of harm reduction programs for IDUs, education to increase knowledge and reduce stigma, treatment and social support for rural and poor HIV/AIDS patients, widespread testing, and increased funding for HIV/AIDS programs. International agencies have been generous in their support of the government initiatives. To successfully combat the epidemic, China needs to develop and train the necessary infrastructure to implement its intervention programs, particularly in the rural areas, to vigorously combat stigma and discrimination, support research especially in the universities and research institutions other than the China Centers for Disease Control, develop a system for efficient exchange of research and program information, and update legislation to reflect the current situation.  相似文献   

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