Warming alters the metabolic balance of ecosystems

The carbon cycle modulates climate change, via the regulation of atmospheric CO₂, and it represents one of the most important services provided by ecosystems. However, considerable uncertainties remain concerning potential feedback between the biota and the climate. In particular, it is unclear how global warming will affect the metabolic balance between the photosynthetic fixation and respiratory release of CO₂ at the ecosystem scale. Here, we present a combination of experimental field data from freshwater mesocosms, and theoretical predictions derived from the metabolic theory of ecology to investigate whether warming will alter the capacity of ecosystems to absorb CO₂. Our manipulative experiment simulated the temperature increases predicted for the end of the century and revealed that ecosystem respiration increased at a faster rate than primary production, reducing carbon sequestration by 13 per cent. These results confirmed our theoretical predictions based on the differential activation energies of these two processes. Using only the activation energies for whole ecosystem photosynthesis and respiration we provide a theoretical prediction that accurately quantified the precise magnitude of the reduction in carbon sequestration observed experimentally. We suggest the combination of whole-ecosystem manipulative experiments and ecological theory is one of the most promising and fruitful research areas to predict the impacts of climate change on key ecosystem services.     

Elevated CO2 alters carbon fluxes in early successional Mediterranean ecosystems

Annual carbon budgets of ecosystems are central to our understanding of the biotic control of atmospheric composition, but they are not available under elevated CO₂ for most vegetation types. Using gas exchange techniques, we assessed carbon fluxes of four early successional Mediterranean model communities, consisting of grasses, legumes and composites. The assemblages were grown on the same monoliths for three consecutive years in greenhouses tracking field conditions except for CO₂ maintained at ambient (370 μmol mol^?1) or elevated (700 μmol mol^?1) concentration. During the third year of study, CO₂ enrichment consistently shifted the annual carbon balance towards lower efflux, with displacements between 4.3 and 26.2 mol m^?2 y^?1 (one assemblage became a net CO₂ sink, another just reached equilibrium, and the remaining two remained as a CO₂ source). At least 50% of the shift under elevated CO₂ originated from a decrease in belowground respiration. This indicates that, during this year, CO₂ enrichment did not predominantly enhance C‐cycling, but on the contrary inhibited root respiration or microbial C‐utilization. Although elevated‐CO₂‐grown systems acted as a net CO₂ sink during a longer period of the year (4–7 months) compared with ambient‐CO₂‐grown systems (3–3.5 months), gross canopy photosynthesis was modified only to a limited extent (between ?5.9 and + 14.8%). Interaction between the carbon and the water cycle was apparently responsible for this weak stimulation. In particular, reduced evapotranspiration under elevated CO₂ coincided with inhibited canopy photosynthesis in early spring, most likely resulting from water saturation of the soil. In addition, only the earliest‐planted assemblages had an increased gross canopy photosynthesis during late autumn and early winter. This suggests that a longer summer drought, by delaying the establishment of such an annual type of vegetation, would reduce the positive impact of elevated CO₂ on productivity. Water regime appears to strongly govern the influence of CO₂ on the carbon fluxes in Mediterranean ecosystems with annual herbaceous vegetation.     

Responses of dryland soil respiration and soil carbon pool size to abrupt vs. gradual and individual vs. combined changes in soil temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric [CO2]: a simulation analysis

With the large extent and great amount of soil carbon (C) storage, drylands play an important role in terrestrial C balance and feedbacks to climate change. Yet, how dryland soils respond to gradual and concomitant changes in multiple global change drivers [e.g., temperature (T_s), precipitation (Ppt), and atmospheric [CO₂] (CO₂)] has rarely been studied. We used a process‐based ecosystem model patch arid land simulator to simulate dryland soil respiration (R_s) and C pool size (C_s) changes to abrupt vs. gradual and single vs. combined alterations in T_s, Ppt and CO₂ at multiple treatment levels. Results showed that abrupt perturbations generally resulted in larger R_s and had longer differentiated impacts than did gradual perturbations. R_s was stimulated by increases in T_s, Ppt, and CO₂ in a nonlinear fashion (e.g., parabolically or asymptotically) but suppressed by Ppt reduction. Warming mainly stimulated heterotrophic R_s (i.e., R_h) whereas Ppt and CO₂ influenced autotrophic R_s (i.e., R_a). The combined effects of warming, Ppt, and CO₂ were nonadditive of primary single‐factor effects as a result of substantial interactions among these factors. Warming amplified the effects of both Ppt addition and CO₂ elevation whereas Ppt addition and CO₂ elevation counteracted with each other. Precipitation reduction either magnified or suppressed warming and CO₂ effects, depending on the magnitude of factor's alteration and the components of R_s (R_a or R_h) being examined. Overall, Ppt had dominant influence on dryland R_s and C_s over T_s and CO₂. Increasing Ppt individually or in combination with T_s and CO₂ benefited soil C sequestration. We therefore suggested that global change experimental studies for dryland ecosystems should focus more on the effects of precipitation regime changes and the combined effects of Ppt with other global change factors (e.g., T_s, CO₂, and N deposition).     

CO2 balance of boreal, temperate, and tropical forests derived from a global database

Terrestrial ecosystems sequester 2.1 Pg of atmospheric carbon annually. A large amount of the terrestrial sink is realized by forests. However, considerable uncertainties remain regarding the fate of this carbon over both short and long timescales. Relevant data to address these uncertainties are being collected at many sites around the world, but syntheses of these data are still sparse. To facilitate future synthesis activities, we have assembled a comprehensive global database for forest ecosystems, which includes carbon budget variables (fluxes and stocks), ecosystem traits (e.g. leaf area index, age), as well as ancillary site information such as management regime, climate, and soil characteristics. This publicly available database can be used to quantify global, regional or biome‐specific carbon budgets; to re‐examine established relationships; to test emerging hypotheses about ecosystem functioning [e.g. a constant net ecosystem production (NEP) to gross primary production (GPP) ratio]; and as benchmarks for model evaluations. In this paper, we present the first analysis of this database. We discuss the climatic influences on GPP, net primary production (NPP) and NEP and present the CO₂ balances for boreal, temperate, and tropical forest biomes based on micrometeorological, ecophysiological, and biometric flux and inventory estimates. Globally, GPP of forests benefited from higher temperatures and precipitation whereas NPP saturated above either a threshold of 1500 mm precipitation or a mean annual temperature of 10 °C. The global pattern in NEP was insensitive to climate and is hypothesized to be mainly determined by nonclimatic conditions such as successional stage, management, site history, and site disturbance. In all biomes, closing the CO₂ balance required the introduction of substantial biome‐specific closure terms. Nonclosure was taken as an indication that respiratory processes, advection, and non‐CO₂ carbon fluxes are not presently being adequately accounted for.     

Warming and free-air CO2 enrichment alter demographics in four co-occurring grassland species

Species differ in their responses to global changes such as rising CO(2) and temperature, meaning that global changes are likely to change the structure of plant communities. Such alterations in community composition must be underlain by changes in the population dynamics of component species. Here, the impact of elevated CO(2) (550 micromol mol(-1)) and warming (+2 degrees C) on the population growth of four plant species important in Australian temperate grasslands is reported. Data collected from the Tasmanian free-air CO(2) enrichment (TasFACE) experiment between 2003 and 2006 were analysed using population matrix models. Population growth of Themeda triandra, a perennial C(4) grass, was largely unaffected by either factor but population growth of Austrodanthonia caespitosa, a perennial C(3) grass, was reduced substantially in elevated CO(2) plots. Warming and elevated CO(2) had antagonistic effects on population growth of two invasive weeds, Hypochaeris radicata and Leontodon taraxacoides, with warming causing population decline. Analysis of life cycle stages showed that seed production, seedling emergence and establishment were important factors in the responses of the species to global changes. These results show that the demographic approach is very useful in understanding the variable responses of plants to global changes and in elucidating the life cycle stages that are most responsive.     

Warming increases the proportion of primary production emitted as methane from freshwater mesocosms

Methane (CH₄) and carbon dioxide (CO₂) are the dominant gaseous end products of the remineralization of organic carbon and also the two largest contributors to the anthropogenic greenhouse effect. We investigated whether warming altered the balance of CH₄ efflux relative to gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (ER) in a freshwater mesocosm experiment. Whole ecosystem CH₄ efflux was strongly related to temperature with an apparent activation energy of 0.85 eV. Furthermore, CH₄ efflux increased faster than ER or GPP with temperature, with all three processes having sequentially lower activation energies. Warming of 4 °C increased the fraction of GPP effluxing as CH₄ by 20% and the fraction of ER as CH₄ by 9%, in line with the offset in their respective activation energies. Because CH₄ is 21 times more potent as a greenhouse gas, relative to CO₂, these results suggest freshwater ecosystems could drive a previously unknown positive feedback between warming and the carbon cycle.     

Flowering phenology in a species-rich temperate grassland is sensitive to warming but not elevated CO2

* Flowering is a critical stage in plant life cycles, and changes might alter processes at the species, community and ecosystem levels. Therefore, likely flowering-time responses to global change drivers are needed for predictions of global change impacts on natural and managed ecosystems. * Here, the impact of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration ([CO2]) (550 micromol mol(-1)) and warming (+2 masculineC) is reported on flowering times in a native, species-rich, temperate grassland in Tasmania, Australia in both 2004 and 2005. * Elevated [CO2] did not affect average time of first flowering in either year, only affecting three out of 23 species. Warming reduced time to first flowering by an average of 19.1 d in 2004, acting on most species, but did not significantly alter flowering time in 2005, which might be related to the timing of rainfall. Elevated [CO2] and warming treatments did not interact on flowering time. * These results show elevated [CO2] did not alter average flowering time or duration in this grassland; neither did it alter the response to warming. Therefore, flowering phenology appears insensitive to increasing [CO2] in this ecosystem, although the response to warming varies between years but can be strong.     

The likely impact of elevated [CO2], nitrogen deposition, increased temperature and management on carbon sequestration in temperate and boreal forest ecosystems: a literature review

Temperate and boreal forest ecosystems contain a large part of the carbon stored on land, in the form of both biomass and soil organic matter. Increasing atmospheric [CO2], increasing temperature, elevated nitrogen deposition and intensified management will change this C store. Well documented single-factor responses of net primary production are: higher photosynthetic rate (the main [CO2] response); increasing length of growing season (the main temperature response); and higher leaf-area index (the main N deposition and partly [CO2] response). Soil organic matter will increase with increasing litter input, although priming may decrease the soil C stock initially, but litter quality effects should be minimal (response to [CO2], N deposition, and temperature); will decrease because of increasing temperature; and will increase because of retardation of decomposition with N deposition, although the rate of decomposition of high-quality litter can be increased and that of low-quality litter decreased. Single-factor responses can be misleading because of interactions between factors, in particular those between N and other factors, and indirect effects such as increased N availability from temperature-induced decomposition. In the long term the strength of feedbacks, for example the increasing demand for N from increased growth, will dominate over short-term responses to single factors. However, management has considerable potential for controlling the C store.