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1.
树轮灰度与树轮密度的对比分析及其对气候要素的响应 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
通过对比新疆巩乃斯地区艾肯达坂采样点雪岭云杉5种树轮灰度年表与其对应4种密度年表的特征参数、年表曲线及其在全频域、高频域及低频域上的相关系数,发现早材平均灰度和晚材平均灰度的变化能够较好的反映早材平均密度和晚材平均密度的变化,而年轮最大灰度和年轮最小灰度的变化对年轮最小密度和年轮最大密度的变化则反映较差.与这一地区气象资料的相关分析结果表明,当年5月至8月平均最高气温与年轮平均灰度年表的相关性最好且具有明确的树木生理学意义,最高单相关系数为-0.542 (P<0.0001,n=51).证明了树轮灰度在历史时期气候变化研究中的应用潜力,同时也为将来在这一地区开展利用树轮灰度重建历史时期气候变化打下了基础. 相似文献
2.
The potassium-argon (K-Ar) dating method has been widely used over the past 40 years to provide radioisotopic age control of hominid/hominoid evolutionary time scales. The wide appeal of the technique to paleoanthropology and archeology has been, in part, a result of its broad time range of applicability, from materials as young as a few thousand years old to an essentially unbounded upper age limit. Another reason for its appeal is the many geological circumstances in which datable materials are found. Beginning about two decades ago and accelerating into this decade, however, the conventional K-Ar technique has given way to 40Ar/39Ar dating as the method of preference. This technique is not only more precise and accurate when dating ideal materials, but also permits excellent ages to be obtained from situations that often stymie the conventional K-Ar technique, such as dating of contaminated tuffs and altered rocks. © 1998 Wiley-Liss, Inc. 相似文献
3.
The availability of exactly dated tree‐ring chronologies is limited in tropical regions. However, these chronologies could contribute widely to studies of the influence of natural and human‐induced factors on tropical forests. We examine the potential for building a chronology based on three sites in the miombo woodland of western Zambia. Brachystegia spiciformis Benth., a dominant species from this vegetation type, is used. Response of the chronology to several climatic factors is examined. All specimens showed very clear growth rings, and cross‐dating between radii of a tree was successful for all trees. Site chronologies could be constructed after cross‐dating of growth ring series of individual trees. The mean growth ring curves of the three sites were significantly similar, allowing for the construction of a regional chronology. Correlation function analysis between the tree‐ring chronology and regional climatic variables revealed that climate at the core of the rainy season, in December and January, has an explicit influence on tree growth. Where precipitation and relative humidity in these months influence tree growth positively, temperature correlates in a negative way. Some 20 percent of the variance in the B. spiciformis tree‐ring chronology is accounted for by wet season rainfall. The successful cross‐dating and correlation between a tree‐ring chronology and climate demonstrated in this study indicate annual ring formation in B. spiciformis trees and sensitivity to climatic conditions. 相似文献
4.
Dendrogeomorphologic approaches enable annual absolute dating of various potentially hazardous geomorphic processes. This study tested the dating precision of three commonly used dendrogeomorphic approaches used for the extraction of geomorphic signals from the tree ring series of disturbed trees. The first approach is based on the onset of reaction wood occurrence, and the other two approaches are based on the detection of abrupt changes in tree ring eccentricity. Nine 165 cm long stems of maximally 27 year old Norway spruces (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) growing on unstable slope affected by mass movement events of known age were analysed. Several sampling directions on stems were analysed to reveal the best sampling strategy for each tested approach. The relationships between stem curvature and the dating precision of the approaches were also analysed. The results of dating precision showed crucial differences between the tested approaches. Tree stem curvature did not influence dating precision. Overall, we concluded that the approaches based on eccentric increments are less precise than those based on reaction wood analysis when juvenile P. abies trees that grow on landslide slope are sampled. The importance of this study is in providing new insight into dating precision by analysing the whole tree stems of trees influenced by mass movements. This is unique since the approaches based on eccentricity increments have not been previously tested in such a detail. 相似文献
5.
Advances in optically stimulated luminescence dating of individual grains of quartz from archeological deposits 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Paleoanthropologists and archeologists interested in occupation histories, faunal remains, and objects of material culture have become increasingly reliant on optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating to construct Quaternary chronologies. In part, the increased use of OSL dating reflects its capacity to date events beyond the range of radiocarbon dating and in contexts where suitable organic materials are absent. An earlier review in Evolutionary Anthropology by Feathers 1 provides a general account of the principles of luminescence dating. Since then, however, important advances have been made in OSL dating of quartz, so that it is now possible to date individual sand‐sized grains and thereby resolve issues of postdepositional mixing of archeological sediments. In this review, we discuss the most important of these advances and their implications with regard to improved age control of archeological sites. We cover aspects of instrumental and methodological development that have facilitated the widespread measurement of single grains related to archeological questions and illustrate our review with some examples of where archeological problems have been resolved using single‐grain OSL dating. We do not propose single‐grain dating as a panacea, because there are instances where it is not straightforward to use or the results may be difficult to interpret; dating in such contexts remains the subject of continuing research. 相似文献
6.
The value of crossdating to retain high‐frequency variability,climate signals,and extreme events in environmental proxies
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Bryan A. Black Daniel Griffin Peter van der Sleen Alan D. Wanamaker Jr James H. Speer David C. Frank David W. Stahle Neil Pederson Carolyn A. Copenheaver Valerie Trouet Shelly Griffin Bronwyn M. Gillanders 《Global Change Biology》2016,22(7):2582-2595
High‐resolution biogenic and geologic proxies in which one increment or layer is formed per year are crucial to describing natural ranges of environmental variability in Earth's physical and biological systems. However, dating controls are necessary to ensure temporal precision and accuracy; simple counts cannot ensure that all layers are placed correctly in time. Originally developed for tree‐ring data, crossdating is the only such procedure that ensures all increments have been assigned the correct calendar year of formation. Here, we use growth‐increment data from two tree species, two marine bivalve species, and a marine fish species to illustrate sensitivity of environmental signals to modest dating error rates. When falsely added or missed increments are induced at one and five percent rates, errors propagate back through time and eliminate high‐frequency variability, climate signals, and evidence of extreme events while incorrectly dating and distorting major disturbances or other low‐frequency processes. Our consecutive Monte Carlo experiments show that inaccuracies begin to accumulate in as little as two decades and can remove all but decadal‐scale processes after as little as two centuries. Real‐world scenarios may have even greater consequence in the absence of crossdating. Given this sensitivity to signal loss, the fundamental tenets of crossdating must be applied to fully resolve environmental signals, a point we underscore as the frontiers of growth‐increment analysis continue to expand into tropical, freshwater, and marine environments. 相似文献
7.
Claudia C. Soliz-Gamboa Dana? M. A. Rozendaal Greg��rio Ceccantini Veronica Angyalossy Klaas van der Borg Pieter A. Zuidema 《Trees - Structure and Function》2011,25(1):17-27
Knowledge on juvenile tree growth is crucial to understand how trees reach the canopy in tropical forests. However, long-term
data on juvenile tree growth are usually unavailable. Annual tree rings provide growth information for the entire life of
trees and their analysis has become more popular in tropical forest regions over the past decades. Nonetheless, tree ring
studies mainly deal with adult rings as the annual character of juvenile rings has been questioned. We evaluated whether juvenile
tree rings can be used for three Bolivian rainforest species. First, we characterized the rings of juvenile and adult trees
anatomically. We then evaluated the annual nature of tree rings by a combination of three indirect methods: evaluation of
synchronous growth patterns in the tree- ring series, 14C bomb peak dating and correlations with rainfall. Our results indicate that rings of juvenile and adult trees are defined
by similar ring-boundary elements. We built juvenile tree-ring chronologies and verified the ring age of several samples using
14C bomb peak dating. We found that ring width was correlated with rainfall in all species, but in different ways. In all, the
chronology, rainfall correlations and 14C dating suggest that rings in our study species are formed annually. 相似文献
8.
Martyna Molak Marc A. Suchard Simon Y. W. Ho David W. Beilman Beth Shapiro 《Molecular ecology resources》2015,15(1):81-86
Studies of DNA from ancient samples provide a valuable opportunity to gain insight into past evolutionary and demographic processes. Bayesian phylogenetic methods can estimate evolutionary rates and timescales from ancient DNA sequences, with the ages of the samples acting as calibrations for the molecular clock. Sample ages are often estimated using radiocarbon dating, but the associated measurement error is rarely taken into account. In addition, the total uncertainty quantified by converting radiocarbon dates to calendar dates is typically ignored. Here, we present a tool for incorporating both of these sources of uncertainty into Bayesian phylogenetic analyses of ancient DNA. This empirical calibrated radiocarbon sampler (ECRS) integrates the age uncertainty for each ancient sequence over the calibrated probability density function estimated for its radiocarbon date and associated error. We use the ECRS to analyse three ancient DNA data sets. Accounting for radiocarbon‐dating and calibration error appeared to have little impact on estimates of evolutionary rates and related parameters for these data sets. However, analyses of other data sets, particularly those with few or only very old radiocarbon dates, might be more sensitive to using artificially precise sample ages and should benefit from use of the ECRS. 相似文献
9.
Angela Scheuerle Vani X. Vannappagari Mary K. Miller 《Birth defects research. Part A, Clinical and molecular teratology》2009,85(7):611-620
Pharmaceutical pregnancy registries document birth defects and other complications reported in pregnancies exposed to specific medications or diseases. A baseline estimate of birth defect prevalence is necessary for comparison. To identify potential teratogenic signals, the pregnancy registry must have a comparator that most closely matches the exposed population and data collection methodology, which are characteristics that vary among the multiplicity of birth defect surveillance systems. The system that yields the most accurate prevalence data may be different from that most closely matching the pregnancy registry methods. State public health programs have highly accurate and precise statistics, but their populations are broader than those of a pharmaceutical pregnancy registry. Large collaborative databases may have a more useful covered population, but there are secondary problems related to data precision. Health care databases enroll large numbers of patients and have good information about exposures and health problems, but the data can be difficult to access and lack useful detail. Exposure‐related databases are closer in population definition and collection methods, though the presence of different diseases and exposures can be problematic. Internal comparators are likely to be most useful in formal statistical analysis, but added cost and management burden and may require significantly increased registry enrollment. There is no ideal comparator, and this must be taken into account when planning a single‐exposure or single‐disease pregnancy registry. Birth Defects Research (Part A), 2009. © 2009 Wiley‐Liss, Inc. 相似文献
10.
Michael R. Ngugi Jon Knight Quan Hua Ralph Dowling David Kington Darren Burns 《Ecological Management & Restoration》2020,21(2):147-150
Appropriate fire management strategies are needed to protect forests and large old ecologically and culturally significant trees in natural landscapes. The aim of this study was to determine the age of large old and relic trees of cultural significance that included Cypress Pine (Callitris columellaris F. Muell.), a species that is sensitive to crown scorching fires in a fire‐prone landscape, and to calibrate a tree‐growth‐rate method for estimating tree age. Twelve large trees were dated using radiocarbon (14C) dating. The trees are located on North Stradbroke Island (Indigenous name: Minjerribah), southeast Queensland (Australia) in a fire‐prone landscape where recent wildfires have destroyed many large trees. The median tree ages ranged from 155 to 369 years. These results suggest an important role of past Indigenous land management practices in protecting Cypress Pine from crown scorching fires. The tree‐growth‐rate‐based method for estimating tree age generally overestimated the age derived from radiocarbon dating. Bias correction factors were developed for correcting various measures of periodic growth rates. This study provides evidence that appropriate low‐intensity fire strategies have the potential to contribute to the survival of forests and conserve large old trees. 相似文献
11.
TREE RINGS: A NATURAL DATA-STORAGE SYSTEM 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
G. T. CREBER 《Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society》1977,52(3):349-381
1. The wood of trees grown in temperate regions shows a periodicity in the form of rings which, with certain known exceptions, accurately reflects the annual cycle of the seasons. The wood thus has a built-in dating system. 2. Tree rings are not always the same width in successive years; the widths show a positive correlation with variations in environmental factors. 3. Trees in a given geographical area influenced by the same environmental conditions show similar patterns in their ring sequences and may thus be cross-dated. 4. Ring sequences from cross-dated trees may be used to construct long, accurate chronologies. This practice, the science of dendrochronology, is now so reliable that it is widely used in archaeology and has also served to calibrate the 14 dating method. 5. The extent of the variation in a ring sequence may be expressed in the form of a coefficient known as the mean sensitivity. 6. The climatic effects recorded in the growth rings are those which operate at certain crucial periods, such as the growing season. The effects are primarily those of rainfall and temperature; humidity is usually only secondary. 7. Damage by insects or fire may be dated by examination of ring sequences. 8. As tree-ring sequences correlate positively with contemporaneous meteorological data, they may be used in the reconstruction of past climates. This is the basis of extrapolatory dendroclimatology. 9. New isotope techniques have been developed which indicate the possibility of deducing the ambient temperature of the tree's environment whilst its wood was being formed. 10. Interpretative dendroclimatology aims to deduce from the features of a sample, or preferably from a number of samples of wood, the nature of the climate which influenced their development. 11. The wood of most growth rings is divisible into two zones, earlywood and late-wood. The former consists of larger, thin-walled cells while in the latter the cells are smaller and thick-walled. 12. Beams of light, X-rays and β-rays have been used in various instruments to determine the earlywood-latewood ratio. 13. The earlywood-latewood ratio is dependent upon genetic as well as climatic factors. Of the latter, summer rainfall is the most potent in producing latewood. 14. The ring-width data from a number of Recent and fossil wood specimens have been analysed to show that certain deductions may be made about the climate in which they were formed. 15. A histogram technique has been devised to show differences between wood specimens with otherwise similar coefficients. 16. Evidence has been produced in support of earlier work to the effect that ring-width sequences from different radii of a tree trunk have fundamentally similar features, thus demonstrating ‘circuit uniformity’. 17. The interpretation of the features of tropical woods is more complex. The mode of development of such a wood is the resultant of the interplay of genetical factors, endogenous rhythms and slight variations in environmental conditions. 18. There is evidence that endogenous rhythms are also involved in the development of woods in temperate as well as tropical regions. 相似文献
12.
Romaike S. Middendorp Mart Vlam Karin T. Rebel Patrick J. Baker Sarayudh Bunyavejchewin Pieter A. Zuidema 《Biotropica》2013,45(5):578-586
Disturbances play an important role in forest dynamics across the globe. Researchers have mainly focused on the temporal context of disturbances, but have largely ignored the spatial patterns of tree recruitment they create. Geostatistical tools enable the analysis of spatial patterns and variability in tropical forest disturbance histories. Here, we examine the potential of combining dendroecological analysis and spatial statistics to reconstruct the disturbance history of a seasonal dry evergreen tropical forest plot at the Huai Kha Khaeng Wildlife Sanctuary (HKK), western Thailand. We used tree‐ring‐derived age estimates for 70 individuals of the shade‐intolerant pioneer species Melia azederach (Meliaceae) and tree locations across a 316‐ha study plot to identify the timing and spatial extent of past disturbances. Although the age distribution for Melia suggested that regeneration had been continuous over the past 60 yr, spatial analyses (mark correlation function and kriging) demonstrated the presence of three spatially discrete age cohorts. Two of these cohorts suggested a severe disturbance ~20 yr before present. A third cohort appears to have established ~50 years ago. Using historical records, we conclude that fire disturbance is the most likely disturbance factor affecting HKK. Nevertheless, we do not rule out other disturbance factors. The combined application of tree‐ring analysis and spatial statistics as applied in this study could be readily applied to reconstruct disturbance histories in other tropical regions where tree species with annual growth rings are present. 相似文献
13.
Paul R. Sheppard Michael H. Ort Kirk C. Anderson Michael A. Clynne Elizabeth M. May 《Dendrochronologia》2009,27(3):213-221
Two dendrochronological properties – ring width and ring chemistry – were investigated in trees near Cinder Cone in Lassen Volcanic National Park, northeastern California, for the purpose of re-evaluating the date of its eruption. Cinder Cone is thought to have erupted in AD 1666 based on ring-width evidence, but interpreting ring-width changes alone is not straightforward because many forest disturbances can cause changes in ring width. Old Jeffrey pines growing in Cinder Cone tephra and elsewhere for control comparison were sampled. Trees growing in tephra show synchronous ring-width changes at AD 1666, but this ring-width signal could be considered ambiguous for dating the eruption because changes in ring width can be caused by other events. Trees growing in tephra also show changes in ring phosphorus, sulfur, and sodium during the late 1660s, but inter-tree variability in dendrochemical signals makes dating the eruption from ring chemistry alone difficult. The combination of dendrochemistry and ring-width signals improves confidence in dating the eruption of Cinder Cone over the analysis of just one ring-growth property. These results are similar to another case study using dendrochronology of ring width and ring chemistry at Parícutin, Michoacán, Mexico, a cinder cone that erupted beginning in 1943. In both cases, combining analysis with ring width and ring chemistry improved confidence in the dendro-dating of the eruptions. 相似文献
14.
Emergent climate and CO2 sensitivities of net primary productivity in ecosystem models do not agree with empirical data in temperate forests of eastern North America
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Christine R. Rollinson Yao Liu Ann Raiho David J. P. Moore Jason McLachlan Daniel A. Bishop Alex Dye Jaclyn H. Matthes Amy Hessl Thomas Hickler Neil Pederson Benjamin Poulter Tristan Quaife Kevin Schaefer Jörg Steinkamp Michael C. Dietze 《Global Change Biology》2017,23(7):2755-2767
Ecosystem models show divergent responses of the terrestrial carbon cycle to global change over the next century. Individual model evaluation and multimodel comparisons with data have largely focused on individual processes at subannual to decadal scales. Thus far, data‐based evaluations of emergent ecosystem responses to climate and CO2 at multidecadal and centennial timescales have been rare. We compared the sensitivity of net primary productivity (NPP) to temperature, precipitation, and CO2 in ten ecosystem models with the sensitivities found in tree‐ring reconstructions of NPP and raw ring‐width series at six temperate forest sites. These model‐data comparisons were evaluated at three temporal extents to determine whether the rapid, directional changes in temperature and CO2 in the recent past skew our observed responses to multiple drivers of change. All models tested here were more sensitive to low growing season precipitation than tree‐ring NPP and ring widths in the past 30 years, although some model precipitation responses were more consistent with tree rings when evaluated over a full century. Similarly, all models had negative or no response to warm‐growing season temperatures, while tree‐ring data showed consistently positive effects of temperature. Although precipitation responses were least consistent among models, differences among models to CO2 drive divergence and ensemble uncertainty in relative change in NPP over the past century. Changes in forest composition within models had no effect on climate or CO2 sensitivity. Fire in model simulations reduced model sensitivity to climate and CO2, but only over the course of multiple centuries. Formal evaluation of emergent model behavior at multidecadal and multicentennial timescales is essential to reconciling model projections with observed ecosystem responses to past climate change. Future evaluation should focus on improved representation of disturbance and biomass change as well as the feedbacks with moisture balance and CO2 in individual models. 相似文献
15.
Molecular dating of phylogenetic trees is a growing discipline using sequence data to co‐estimate the timing of evolutionary events and rates of molecular evolution. All molecular‐dating methods require converting genetic divergence between sequences into absolute time. Historically, this could only be achieved by associating externally derived dates obtained from fossil or biogeographical evidence to internal nodes of the tree. In some cases, notably for fast‐evolving genomes such as viruses and some bacteria, the time span over which samples were collected may cover a significant proportion of the time since they last shared a common ancestor. This situation allows phylogenetic trees to be calibrated by associating sampling dates directly to the sequences representing the tips (terminal nodes) of the tree. The increasing availability of genomic data from ancient DNA extends the applicability of such tip‐based calibration to a variety of taxa including humans, extinct megafauna and various microorganisms which typically have a scarce fossil record. The development of statistical models accounting for heterogeneity in different aspects of the evolutionary process while accommodating very large data sets (e.g. whole genomes) has allowed using tip‐dating methods to reach inferences on divergence times, substitution rates, past demography or the age of specific mutations on a variety of spatiotemporal scales. In this review, we summarize the current state of the art of tip dating, discuss some recent applications, highlight common pitfalls and provide a ‘how to’ guide to thoroughly perform such analyses. 相似文献
16.
Juniperus phoenicea is a tree that can grow on vertical cliff faces in dry and warm Mediterranean climate conditions. These trees are adapted to extreme growing conditions where the main constraints are verticality, compact hard limestone, and low water supply. They respond to these constraints via various specific features and high longevity. The objective of this study is to confirm whether or not their tree-rings are annual in order to specify growth strategies and accurately date these trees. Trunk morphology, anatomical wood anomalies and radial growth were analyzed on 53 trees in the Ardèche canyon. Crossdating of the ring widths using traditional dendrochronological techniques was unsuccessful, so radiocarbon dating of tree pith was used to assess tree age, and wiggle-match dating was used to test for differences between number of rings counted and radiocarbon dates. Radiocarbon dates span the period 2520–685 BP. Minimal difference between radiocarbon dates and ring counts was apparently small—missing rings occur, but not in large numbers. Tree-ring formation is annual and radial growth is low, which creates stunted old trees. Such old living trees are uncommon in the Mediterranean basin, especially at low elevation. They can provide long tree-ring chronologies back to 792–524 cal BC. Results from the radiocarbon dating indicate that accurate annual dating of these rings may be possible by crossdating. J. phoenicea growing on cliffs offer a valuable model to better understand cliff population ecology and the functional responses of trees that can live in harsh environmental conditions. 相似文献
17.
Stefan Klesse Robert Justin DeRose Flurin Babst Bryan A. Black Leander D. L. Anderegg Jodi Axelson Ailene Ettinger Hardy Griesbauer Christopher H. Guiterman Grant Harley Jill E. Harvey Yueh‐Hsin Lo Ann M. Lynch Christopher O'Connor Christina Restaino Dave Sauchyn John D. Shaw Dan J. Smith Lisa Wood Jose Villanueva‐Díaz Margaret E. K. Evans 《Global Change Biology》2020,26(9):5146-5163
A central challenge in global change research is the projection of the future behavior of a system based upon past observations. Tree‐ring data have been used increasingly over the last decade to project tree growth and forest ecosystem vulnerability under future climate conditions. But how can the response of tree growth to past climate variation predict the future, when the future does not look like the past? Space‐for‐time substitution (SFTS) is one way to overcome the problem of extrapolation: the response at a given location in a warmer future is assumed to follow the response at a warmer location today. Here we evaluated an SFTS approach to projecting future growth of Douglas‐fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii), a species that occupies an exceptionally large environmental space in North America. We fit a hierarchical mixed‐effects model to capture ring‐width variability in response to spatial and temporal variation in climate. We found opposing gradients for productivity and climate sensitivity with highest growth rates and weakest response to interannual climate variation in the mesic coastal part of Douglas‐fir's range; narrower rings and stronger climate sensitivity occurred across the semi‐arid interior. Ring‐width response to spatial versus temporal temperature variation was opposite in sign, suggesting that spatial variation in productivity, caused by local adaptation and other slow processes, cannot be used to anticipate changes in productivity caused by rapid climate change. We thus substituted only climate sensitivities when projecting future tree growth. Growth declines were projected across much of Douglas‐fir's distribution, with largest relative decreases in the semiarid U.S. Interior West and smallest in the mesic Pacific Northwest. We further highlight the strengths of mixed‐effects modeling for reviving a conceptual cornerstone of dendroecology, Cook's 1987 aggregate growth model, and the great potential to use tree‐ring networks and results as a calibration target for next‐generation vegetation models. 相似文献
18.
Walter Thomas Rudek 《Mycopathologia》1975,55(3):193-197
The mechanism of ring constriction of a nematophagous fungus has been studied in vitro. The process of ring constriction in vivo normally requires less than one second. However, precise observations of the mechanism are difficult due to this rapidity, as well as the obstruction of the ring by the nematode. A method of initiating ring constriction without the use of an inert mechanical stimulus is described. With this method it is also possible to retard the constriction of the rings so that accurate observations of the entire process can be made. An explanation of the possible physiological mechanism is also presented. 相似文献
19.
COLIN J ALEXANDER JOHN M HOLLAND LINTON WINDER CHRIS WOOLLEY JOE N PERRY 《The Annals of applied biology》2005,146(3):361-370
In crop protection and ecology accurate and precise estimates of insect populations are required for many purposes. The spatial pattern of the organism sampled, in relation to the sampling scheme adopted, affects the difference between the actual and estimated population density, the bias, and the variability of that estimate, the precision. Field monitoring schemes usually adopt time‐efficient sampling regimes involving contiguous units rather than the most efficient for estimation, the completely random sample. This paper uses spatially‐explicit ecological field data on aphids and beetles to compare common sampling regimes. The random sample was the most accurate method and often the most precise; of the contiguous schemes the line transect was superior to more compact arrangements such as a square block. Bias depended on the relationship between the size and shape of the group of units comprising the sample and the dominant cluster size underlying the spatial pattern. Existing knowledge of spatial pattern to inform the choice of sampling scheme may provide considerable improvements in accuracy. It is recommended to use line transects longer than the grain of the spatial pattern, where grain is defined as the average dimension of clusters over both patches and gaps, and with length at least twice the dominant cluster size. 相似文献
20.
利用采自额尔齐斯河上游6个采点的西伯利亚云杉(Picea obovata Ledeb)树轮样本建立了区域树轮宽度年表。与气候要素的相关分析表明,该地区树木径向生长主要受降水制约,区域树轮宽度年表与富蕴气象站上年7月至当年6月的降水总量相关显著。在此基础上建立了转换方程,重建了额尔齐斯河上游地区1722—2012年上年7月至当年6月的降水总量,方差解释量高达55.1%(调整自由度后为54.2%)。重建结果显示,该地区过去291年间存在9个降水偏多的时期和8个降水偏少的时期。降水重建序列还存在2.1a和3.2a的显著周期及2.3、21.6、24.3a的较显著周期,并且在1876—1877年及1983年前后发生了降水突变。空间相关分析表明,重建的上年7月至当年6月降水量对额尔齐斯河上游阿勒泰地区的降水量具有很好的空间代表性。此外,重建结果还与周边地区其他基于树轮资料重建的降水序列的干湿变化有较好的一致性。 相似文献