NATURAL SELECTION ON BODY SIZE AND LAYING DATE IN THE TREE SWALLOW

I measured natural selection on body size and laying date in a population of tree swallows (Tachycineta bicolor) from 1986 to 1988. There was little evidence of selection on body size associated with overwinter survival. Disruptive selection on tarsus length, associated with female reproductive success, was detected in one of three years. Both repeatability and mother-daughter regression suggested that laying date was heritable. I found weak evidence of selection on laying date, associated with both overwinter survival and reproduction in females. The ecological implications of both tarsus length and laying date variation in this population could not be identified. Consequently, although I was able to identify the targets of natural selection, the ecological link between trait variation and selection remains unknown.     

Natural and sexual selection on a plumage signal of status and on morphology in house sparrows,Passer domesticus

Temporal patterns of natural and sexual selection on male badge size and body traits were studied in a population of house sparrows, Passer domesticus. Badge size was a heritable trait as revealed by a significant father-son regression. Survival during autumn dispersal and winter was not related to badge size or body traits in yearling male house sparrows. Badges that signal dominance status were affected positively by directional selection for mating. Adult male house sparrows suffered an opposing selection pressure on badge size during autumn. Contrary to males, female house sparrows did not experience significant directional or stabilizing selection on any body trait. Directional sexual selection on male badge size due to female choice moves male sparrows away from their survival optimum. Opposing directional natural selection on badge size due to autumn mortality caused by predation maintains a stable badge size.     

VIABILITY SELECTION ON SEASONALLY POLYPHENIC TRAITS: WING MELANIN PATTERN IN WESTERN WHITE BUTTERFLIES

Wing melanin pattern varies seasonally among generations in many populations of the butterfly Pontia occidentalis, leading to distinctly different wing phenotypes during spring and summer generations. Estimates of directional selection on wing pattern can therefore quantify the imperfection of this phenotypically plastic (polyphenic) response in generating “optimal” phenotypes for each seasonal generation. Mark-release-recapture (MRR) studies were used to estimate directional selection on six wing traits in a natural population of P. occidentalis during both spring and summer weather conditions. Estimated survival and recapture probabilities varied substantially among the four MRR studies. When differences between males and females were detected, the survival and recapture probabilities were higher for males than for females. Estimated selection coefficients suggested that the direction of selection on one wing trait important for thermoregulation, melanin on the base of the dorsal hindwings (trait hb), fluctuated seasonally; there was evidence of directional selection for increased hb in the spring studies and for decreased hb in the summer studies. Such fluctuating seasonal selection on hb implies that the seasonal polyphenic response may not be sufficient to eliminate selection on this trait; the slope of the reaction-norm mapping hb onto seasonal environmental cues is too shallow, resulting in further selection on the reaction norm. Adaptive evolution of the reaction norm may be constrained by phenotypic and genetic correlations with other wing traits that experience different patterns of selection and by variable weather conditions within seasons and among years.     

The contribution of ancestry,chance, and past and ongoing selection to adaptive evolution

The relative contributions of ancestry, chance, and past and ongoing election to variation in one adaptive (larval feeding rate) and one seemingly nonadaptive (pupation height) trait were determined in populations ofDrosophila melanogaster adapting to either low or high larval densities in the laboratory. Larval feeding rates increased rapidly in response to high density, and the effects of ancestry, past selection and chance were ameliorated by ongoing selection within 15–20 generations. Similarly, in populations previously kept at high larval density, and then switched to low larval density, the decline of larval feeding rate to ancestral levels was rapid (15-20 generations) and complete, providing support for a previously stated hypothesis regarding the costs of faster feeding inDrosophila larvae. Variation among individuals was the major contributor to variation in pupation height, a trait that would superficially appear to be nonadaptive in the environmental context of the populations used in this study because it did not diverge between sets of populations kept at low versus high larval density for many generations. However, the degree of divergence among populations (FST) for pupation height was significantly less than expected for a selectively neutral trait, and we integrate results from previous studies to suggest that the variation for pupation height among populations is constrained by stabilizing selection, with a flat, plateau-like fitness function that, consequently, allows for substantial phenotypic variation within populations. Our results support the view that the genetic imprints of history (ancestry and past selection) in outbreeding sexual populations are typically likely to be transient in the face of ongoing selection and recombination. The results also illustrate the heuristic point that different forms of selection-for example directional versus stabilizing selection—acting on a trait in different populations may often not be due to differently shaped fitness functions, but rather due to differences in how the fitness function maps onto the actual distribution of phenotypes in a given population. We discuss these results in the light of previous work on reverse evolution, and the role of ancestry, chance, and past and ongoing selection in adaptive evolution.     

Contribution of maternal effects to dietary selection in Mediterranean fruit flies

Individual responses to dietary variation represent a fundamental component of fitness, and nutritional adaptation can occur over just a few generations. Maternal effects can show marked proximate responses to nutrition, but whether they contribute to longer term dietary adaptation is unclear. Here, we tested the hypotheses that maternal effects: (i) contribute to dietary adaptation, (ii) diminish when dietary conditions are constant between generations, (iii) are trait‐specific and (iv) interact with high‐ and low‐quality food. We used experimental evolution regimes in the medfly (Ceratitis capitata) to test these predictions by subjecting an outbred laboratory‐adapted population to replicated experimental evolution on either constant high calorie sugar (‘A’) or low‐calorie starch (‘S’) larval diets, with a standard adult diet across both regimes. We measured the contribution of maternal effects by comparing developmental and adult phenotypes of individuals reared on their own diet with those swapped onto the opposite diet for either one or two generations (high and low maternal effect conditions, respectively), both at the start and after 30 generations of selection. Initially, there were strong maternal effects on female body mass and male mating success but not larval survival. Interestingly, the initial maternal effects observed in female body mass and male mating success showed sex‐specific interactions when individuals from high calorie regimes were tested on low calorie diets. However, as populations responded to selection, the effects of maternal provisioning on all traits diminished. The results broadly supported the predictions. They show how the contribution of maternal effects to dietary responses evolves in a context‐dependent manner, with significant variation across different fitness‐related traits. We conclude that maternal effects can evolve during nutritional adaptation and hence may be an important life history trait to measure, rather than to routinely minimize.     

The genetic relationship among plant-height traits found using multiple-trait QTL mapping of a dent corn and popcorn cross.

Plant height (PH) is one of the most important traits in maize breeding programs. In popcorn, inferior plant traits can be improved with the dent/flint corn germplasm. In the current study, a total of 259 F2:3 families, developed from a cross between a dent corn inbred and a popcorn inbred, were evaluated for 4 PH traits. Quantitative trait loci (QTLs) for each trait were detected using composite interval mapping methods. In addition, genetic interrelationships were investigated using multiple-trait joint analysis for PH with ear height (EH), and for PH with top height (TH). In total, 6, 5, 2, and 6 QTLs were identified for PH, EH, TH, and TH/PH in single-trait analysis, respectively. Joint-analysis data suggest a strong and complex genetic relationship between PH and EH, and between PH and EH, with no QTLs controlling any single trait independently. In addition, 4 kinds of QTLs detected were classified as closely linked QTLs, pleiotropic QTLs, QTLs with opposite effects, and additional QTLs. It was, consequently, difficult to improve lodge resistance through selection on any individual PH trait. The current study demonstrates that multiple-trait joint analysis not only identified additional QTLs, but also revealed the genetic relationship among different highly correlated traits at the molecular level.     

Plumage polymorphism and fitness in Swainson’s hawks

We examine the maintenance of a plumage polymorphism, variation in plumages among the same age and sex class within a population, in a population of Swainson’s Hawks. We take advantage of 32 years of data to examine two prevalent hypotheses used to explain the persistence of morphs: apostatic selection and heterozygous advantage. We investigate differences in fitness among three morph classes of a melanistic trait in Swainson’s Hawks: light (7% of the local breeding population), intermediate (57%) and dark (36%). Specifically, we examined morph differences in adult apparent survival, breeding success, annual number of fledglings produced, probability of offspring recruitment into the breeding population and lifetime reproductive success (LRS). If apostatic selection were a factor in maintaining morphs, we would expect that individuals with the least frequent morph would perform best in one or more of these fitness categories. Alternatively, if heterozygous advantage played a role in the maintenance of this polymorphism, we would expect heterozygotes (i.e. intermediate morphs) to have one or more increased rates in these categories. We found no difference in adult apparent survival between morph classes. Similarly, there were no differences in breeding success, nest productivity, LRS or probability of recruitment of offspring between parental morph. We conclude that neither apostatic selection nor heterozygous advantage appear to play a role in maintaining morphs in this population.     

More on the efficiency of marker-assisted selection

 Computer simulations were used to study the efficiency of marker-assisted selection (MAS) based on an index combining the phenotypic value and the molecular score of individuals. The molecular score is computed from the effects attributed to markers by multiple regression of phenotype on marker genotype. The results show that in the first generation the ratio RE of the expected efficiency of MAS over the expected efficiency of purely phenotypic selection generally increases when considering: (1) larger population sizes, (2) lower heritability values of the trait, and (3) a higher type-I error risk of the regression. This is consistent with previously published results. However, at low heritabilities our results point out that response to MAS is more variable than response to phenotypic selection. Hence, when the difference of genetic gains is considered instead of their ratio, RE, the heritability values corresponding to maximal advantage of using MAS rather than phenotypic selection are still low, but higher than predicted based on RE. The study over several successive generations of the rate of fixation of QTLs shows that the higher efficiency of MAS on QTLs with large effects in early generations is balanced by a higher rate of fixation of unfavourable alleles at QTLs with small effects in later generations. This explains why MAS may become less efficient than phenotypic selection in the long term. MAS efficiency therefore depends on the genetic determinism of the trait. Finally, we investigate a modified MAS method involving an alternation of selection on markers with and without phenotypic evaluation. Our results indicate that such a selection method could at low cost, provide an important increase in the genetic gain per unit of time in practical breeding programs. Received: 11 July 1997 / Accepted: 4 August 1997     

Genome‐wide analysis of allele frequency change in sunflower crop–wild hybrid populations evolving under natural conditions

Crop‐wild hybridization occurs in numerous plant species and could alter the genetic structure and evolutionary dynamics of wild populations. Studying crop‐derived alleles in wild populations is also relevant to assessing/mitigating the risks associated with transgene escape. To date, crop‐wild hybridization has generally been examined via short‐term studies, typically within a single generation, focusing on few traits or genetic markers. Little is known about patterns of selection on crop‐derived alleles over multiple generations, particularly at a genome‐wide scale. Here, we documented patterns of natural selection in an experimental crop × wild sunflower population that was allowed to evolve under natural conditions for two generations at two locations. Allele frequencies at a genome‐wide collection of SNPs were tracked across generations, and a common garden experiment was conducted to compare trait means between generations. These data allowed us to identify instances of selection on crop‐derived alleles/traits and, in concert with QTL mapping results, test for congruence between our genotypic and phenotypic results. We found that natural selection overwhelmingly favours wild alleles and phenotypes. However, crop alleles in certain genomic regions can be favoured, and these changes often occurred in parallel across locations. We did not, however, consistently observe close agreement between our genotypic and phenotypic results. For example, when a trait evolved towards the wild phenotype, wild QTL alleles associated with that trait did not consistently increase in frequency. We discuss these results in the context of crop allele introgression into wild populations and implications for the management of GM crops.     

世代重叠群体多个QTL最优化选择

一种扩展的方法能够在一个世代重叠的群体内对多个数量性状位点选择进行最优化,目的是为了在整个计划期内获得最大的累积反应加权和。该模型允许群体有多个性别年龄组、公母畜间有不同的年龄组数、各年龄组有不同的遗传贡献。整个最优化问题被描述成一个多阶段系统优化控制问题,通过一个向前和向后的迭代循环解决。用一个世代重叠的实际育种猪群的参数来评价该方法的选择效果,并和标准QTL选择和常规BLUP选择进行比较。模拟结果表明,优化选择要优于标准QTL选择和常规BLUP选择。群体结构对优化选择的影响比较明显。优化QTL选择和标准QTL选择在世代重叠的群体内比在世代离散的群体内的选择优势更明显,相对于常规BLUP选择,能够获得更大的选择优势。在世代重叠群体内随着2岁公畜遗传贡献的增大,优化选择相对于常规BLUP选择的优势越明显。     

Optimizing Selection on Multiple Identified Quantitative Trait Loci in Population with Overlapping Generations

A method was developed to model and optimize selection on multiple identified quantitative trait loci (QTLs) and polygenic estimated breeding value, in order to maximize a weighted sum of cumulative response to selection over multiple years in a population with overlapping generations. The model allows for a population with multiple sex-age classes, different number of age class between sires and dams, and varied genetic contribution of the age class. The optimization problem was formulated as a multiple-stage optimal control problem and solved by a forward and backward iteration loop. The practical utility of this method was illustrated in an example of pig breeding population with overlapping generations. The selection response of this method was compared with standard QTL selection and conventional best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) selection. Simulation results show that optimal selection achieved greater selection response than either standard QTL or conventional BLUP selections. The influence of population structure on optimal selection was significant. Optimal QTL selection and standard QTL selection were more favorable in a population with overlapping generations than discrete generations, and obtained more benefits relative to conventional BLUP selection in a population with overlapping generations. Optimal QTL selection relative to conventional BLUP selection is also more favorable following increase of genetic contribution of two-year-old boars and sows in a population with overlapping generations.     

Genetic resolution and verification of quantitative trait loci for flowering and plant height with recombinant inbred lines of maize.

Recombinant inbred (RI) lines offer several advantages for detecting quantitative trait loci (QTLs), including increased precision of trait measurements, power for detection of additive effects, and resolution of linked QTLs. This study was conducted to detect and characterize QTLs in maize for flowering and plant height and to compare QTL detection in an early (F2:3) generation of the same population. One hundred and eighty-six RIs from a cross between inbred lines Mo17 and H99 were evaluated in a replicated field experiment and analyzed at 101 loci detected by restriction fragment length polymorphisms. QTLs were identified by single-factor analysis of variance. A total of 59 QTLs were detected for plant height, ear height, top height, anthesis, silk emergence, and anthesis to silk interval. Individual QTLs explained 2.2-15.4% of trait variation, and multiple models including all QTLs detected for a trait explained up to 52.5% of the phenotypic variation. Comparison of QTLs detected with 150 F2:3 lines from the same population indicated that 16 (70%) of the 23 F2:3 QTLs were also observed in the F6:7 generation. Parental effects were consistent across generations. At 14 of the 16 QTLs detected in both generations, genetic effects were smaller in the F6:7. Also, some QTLs detected in the F2:3 were resolved into multiple linked QTLs in the F6:7, indicating the additional power of RI populations for mapping, with important implications for marker-assisted selection as well as map-based cloning of QTLs. Key words : Zea mays, RFLP, plant breeding, genetics, recombination.     

Effects of female preference intensity on the permissiveness of sexual trait polymorphisms

Recent developments in sexual selection theory suggest that on their own, mate preferences can promote the maintenance of sexual trait diversity. However, how mate preferences constrain the permissiveness of sexual trait diversity in different environmental regimes remains an open question. Here, we examine how a range of mate choice parameters affect the permissiveness of sexual trait polymorphism under several selection regimes. We use the null model of sexual selection and show that environments with strong assortative mating significantly increase the permissiveness of sexual trait polymorphism. We show that for a given change in mate choice parameters, the permissiveness of polymorphism changes more in environments with strong natural selection on sexual traits than in environments with weak selection. Sets of nearly stable polymorphic populations with weak assortative mating are more likely to show accidental divergence in sexual traits than sets of populations with strong assortative mating. The permissiveness of sexual trait polymorphism critically depends upon particular combinations of natural selection and mate choice parameters.     

Why breeding time has not responded to selection for earlier breeding in a songbird population

A crucial assumption underlying the breeders' equation is that selection acts directly on the trait of interest, and not on an unmeasured environmental factor which affects both fitness and the trait. Such an environmentally induced covariance between a trait and fitness has been repeatedly proposed as an explanation for the lack of response to selection on avian breeding time. We tested this hypothesis using a long-term dataset from a Dutch great tit (Parus major) population. Although there was strong selection for earlier breeding in this population, egg-laying dates have changed only marginally over the last decades. Using a so-called animal model, we quantified the additive genetic variance in breeding time and predicted breeding values for females. Subsequently, we compared selection at the phenotypic and genetic levels for two fitness components, fecundity and adult survival. We found no evidence for an environmentally caused covariance between breeding time and fitness or counteracting selection on the different fitness components. Consequently, breeding time should respond to selection but the expected response to selection was too small to be detected.     

Field estimates of parentage reveal sexually antagonistic selection on body size in a population of Anolis lizards

Sexual dimorphism evolves when selection favors different phenotypic optima between the sexes. Such sexually antagonistic selection creates intralocus sexual conflict when traits are genetically correlated between the sexes and have sex‐specific optima. Brown anoles are highly sexually dimorphic: Males are on average 30% longer than females and 150% heavier in our study population. Viability selection on body size is known to be sexually antagonistic, and directional selection favors large male size whereas stabilizing selection constrains females to remain small. We build on previous studies of viability selection by measuring sexually antagonistic selection using reproductive components of fitness over three generations in a natural population of brown anoles. We estimated the number of offspring produced by an individual that survived to sexual maturity (termed RS^V), a measure of individual fitness that includes aspects of both individual reproductive success and offspring survival. We found directional selection on male body size, consistent with previous studies of viability selection. However, selection on female body size varied among years, and included periods of positive directional selection, quadratic stabilizing selection, and no selection. Selection acts differently in the sexes based on both survival and reproduction and sexual conflict appears to be a persistent force in this species.     

Predictions of patterns of response to artificial selection in lines derived from natural populations

The pattern of response to artificial selection on quantitative traits in laboratory populations can tell us something of the genetic architecture in the natural population from which they were derived. We modeled artificial selection in samples drawn from natural populations in which variation had been maintained by recurrent mutation, with genes having an effect on the trait, which was subject to real stabilizing selection, and a pleitropic effect on fitness (the joint-effect model). Natural selection leads to an inverse correlation between effects and frequencies of genes, such that the frequency distribution of genes increasing the trait has an extreme U-shape. In contrast to the classical infinitesimal model, an early accelerated response and a larger variance of response among replicates were predicted. However, these are reduced if the base population has been maintained in the laboratory for some generations by random sampling prior to artificial selection. When multiple loci and linkage are also taken into account, the gametic disequilibria generated by the Bulmer and Hill-Robertson effects are such that little or no increase in variance and acceleration of response in early generations of artificial selection are predicted; further, the patterns of predicted responses for the joint-effect model now become close to those of the infinitesimal model. Comparison with data from laboratory selection experiments shows that, overall, the analysis did not provide clear support for the joint-effect model or a clear case for rejection.     

Melanin-based coloration is a nondirectionally selected sex-specific signal of offspring development in the alpine swift

Two mutually exclusive hypotheses have been put forward to explain the evolution and adaptive function of melanin-based color traits. According to sexual selection theory melanism is a directionally selected signal of individual quality, whereas theory on the maintenance of genetic polymorphism proposes that alternative melanin-based variants achieve equal fitness. Alpine swift (Apus melba) males and females have a conspicuous patch of white feathers on the breast with their rachis varying continuously from white to black, and hence the breast varies from white to striated. If this trait is a sexually selected signal of quality, its expression should be condition dependent and the degree of melanism directionally selected. If variation in melanism is a polymorphism, its expression should be genetically determined and fitness of melanin-based variants equal. We experimentally tested these predictions by exchanging eggs or hatchlings between randomly chosen nests and by estimating survival and reproduction in relation to melanism. We found that breast melanism is heritable and that the environment and body condition do not significantly influence its expression. Between 5 and 50 days of age nestlings were heavier and their wings longer when breast feathers of their biological father were blacker, and they also fledged at a younger age. This shows that aspects of offspring quality covary positively with the degree of melanism. However, this did not result in directional selection because nestling survival and recruitment in the local breeding population were not associated with father breast melanism. Furthermore, adult survival, age at first reproduction and probability of skipping reproduction did not covary with the degree of melanism. Genetic variation in breast melanism is therefore maintained either because nonmelanic males achieve fitness similar to melanic males via a different route than producing fast-growing offspring, or because the advantage of producing fast-growing offspring is not sufficiently pronounced to result in directional selection.     

Number of immunoreactive GnRH-containing neurons is heritable in a wild-derived population of white-footed mice (Peromyscus leucopus)

The evolution of mammalian brain function depends in part on levels of natural, heritable variation in numbers, location, and function of neurons. However, the nature and amount of natural genetic variation in neural traits and their physiological link to variation in function or evolutionary change are unknown. We estimated the level of within-population heritable variation in the number of gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) neurons, which play a major role in reproductive regulation, in an unselected outbred population recently derived (<10 generations) from a single natural population of white-footed mice (Peromyscus leucopus, Rafinesque). Young adult male mice exhibited an approximately threefold variation in the number of neurons immunoreactive for GnRH in the brain areas surveyed, as detected using SMI-41 antibody with a single-label avidin-biotin complex method. Consistent with earlier findings of selectable variation in GnRH neurons in this population, the level of genetic variation in this neuronal trait within this single population was high, with broadsense heritability using full-sib analysis estimated at 0.72 (P<0.05). Either weak selection on this trait or environmental variation that results in inconsistent selection on this trait might allow a high level of variation in this population.     

Within‐population genetic effects of mtDNA on metabolic rate in Drosophila subobscura

A growing body of research supports the view that within‐species sequence variation in the mitochondrial genome (mtDNA) is functional, in the sense that it has important phenotypic effects. However, most of this empirical foundation is based on comparisons across populations, and few studies have addressed the functional significance of mtDNA polymorphism within populations. Here, using mitonuclear introgression lines, we assess differences in whole‐organism metabolic rate of adult Drosophila subobscura fruit flies carrying either of three different sympatric mtDNA haplotypes. We document sizeable, up to 20%, differences in metabolic rate across these mtDNA haplotypes. Further, these mtDNA effects are to some extent sex specific. We found no significant nuclear or mitonuclear genetic effects on metabolic rate, consistent with a low degree of linkage disequilibrium between mitochondrial and nuclear genes within populations. The fact that mtDNA haplotype variation within a natural population affects metabolic rate, which is a key physiological trait with important effects on life‐history traits, adds weight to the emergent view that mtDNA haplotype variation is under natural selection and it revitalizes the question as to what processes act to maintain functional mtDNA polymorphism within populations.     

Predicted accuracy of and response to genomic selection for new traits in dairy cattle

Genomic selection relaxes the requirement of traditional selection tools to have phenotypic measurements on close relatives of all selection candidates. This opens up possibilities to select for traits that are difficult or expensive to measure. The objectives of this paper were to predict accuracy of and response to genomic selection for a new trait, considering that only a cow reference population of moderate size was available for the new trait, and that selection simultaneously targeted an index and this new trait. Accuracy for and response to selection were deterministically evaluated for three different breeding goals. Single trait selection for the new trait based only on a limited cow reference population of up to 10 000 cows, showed that maximum genetic responses of 0.20 and 0.28 genetic standard deviation (s.d.) per year can be achieved for traits with a heritability of 0.05 and 0.30, respectively. Adding information from the index based on a reference population of 5000 bulls, and assuming a genetic correlation of 0.5, increased genetic response for both heritability levels by up to 0.14 genetic s.d. per year. The scenario with simultaneous selection for the new trait and the index, yielded a substantially lower response for the new trait, especially when the genetic correlation with the index was negative. Despite the lower response for the index, whenever the new trait had considerable economic value, including the cow reference population considerably improved the genetic response for the new trait. For scenarios with a zero or negative genetic correlation with the index and equal economic value for the index and the new trait, a reference population of 2000 cows increased genetic response for the new trait with at least 0.10 and 0.20 genetic s.d. per year, for heritability levels of 0.05 and 0.30, respectively. We conclude that for new traits with a very small or positive genetic correlation with the index, and a high positive economic value, considerable genetic response can already be achieved based on a cow reference population with only 2000 records, even when the reliability of individual genomic breeding values is much lower than currently accepted in dairy cattle breeding programs. New traits may generally have a negative genetic correlation with the index and a small positive economic value. For such new traits, cow reference populations of at least 10 000 cows may be required to achieve acceptable levels of genetic response for the new trait and for the whole breeding goal.