Locating multiple interacting quantitative trait Loci using rank-based model selection

In previous work, a modified version of the Bayesian information criterion (mBIC) was proposed to locate multiple interacting quantitative trait loci (QTL). Simulation studies and real data analysis demonstrate good properties of the mBIC in situations where the error distribution is approximately normal. However, as with other standard techniques of QTL mapping, the performance of the mBIC strongly deteriorates when the trait distribution is heavy tailed or when the data contain a significant proportion of outliers. In the present article, we propose a suitable robust version of the mBIC that is based on ranks. We investigate the properties of the resulting method on the basis of theoretical calculations, computer simulations, and a real data analysis. Our simulation results show that for the sample sizes typically used in QTL mapping, the methods based on ranks are almost as efficient as standard techniques when the data are normal and are much better when the data come from some heavy-tailed distribution or include a proportion of outliers.     

Consistent estimation of the expected Brier score in general survival models with right-censored event times

In survival analysis with censored data the mean squared error of prediction can be estimated by weighted averages of time-dependent residuals. Graf et al. (1999) suggested a robust weighting scheme based on the assumption that the censoring mechanism is independent of the covariates. We show consistency of the estimator. Furthermore, we show that a modified version of this estimator is consistent even when censoring and event times are only conditionally independent given the covariates. The modified estimators are derived on the basis of regression models for the censoring distribution. A simulation study and a real data example illustrate the results.     

A robust multiple-locus method for quantitative trait locus analysis of non-normally distributed multiple traits

Linear regression-based quantitative trait loci/association mapping methods such as least squares commonly assume normality of residuals. In genetics studies of plants or animals, some quantitative traits may not follow normal distribution because the data include outlying observations or data that are collected from multiple sources, and in such cases the normal regression methods may lose some statistical power to detect quantitative trait loci. In this work, we propose a robust multiple-locus regression approach for analyzing multiple quantitative traits without normality assumption. In our method, the objective function is least absolute deviation (LAD), which corresponds to the assumption of multivariate Laplace distributed residual errors. This distribution has heavier tails than the normal distribution. In addition, we adopt a group LASSO penalty to produce shrinkage estimation of the marker effects and to describe the genetic correlation among phenotypes. Our LAD-LASSO approach is less sensitive to the outliers and is more appropriate for the analysis of data with skewedly distributed phenotypes. Another application of our robust approach is on missing phenotype problem in multiple-trait analysis, where the missing phenotype items can simply be filled with some extreme values, and be treated as outliers. The efficiency of the LAD-LASSO approach is illustrated on both simulated and real data sets.     

Poisson vs normal-errors regression in Mac Nally (1996)

Abstract Mac Nally (1996), in describing the application of ‘hierarchical partitioning’ in regression modelling of species richness of breeding passerine birds with response variable the species count, rejects the use of Poisson regression in favour of normal-errors regression on an incorrect basis. Mac Nally uses a function of the residual sum of squares, the root-mean square prediction error (RMSPE), calculated from predictions from each regression and rejects the Poisson regression because its RMSPE was 20% larger. This note points out that the RMSPE will always be larger for the Poisson regression, given the same link function and linear predictor is used, even if the response is truly Poisson. References to appropriate methods of determining the most suitable response distribution and link function in the context of generalized linear models are given.     

基因型错误对数量性状精细定位的哈迪-温伯格不平衡指数的效应

使用紧密相邻的标记位点且与标记基因频率无关的哈迪-温伯格不平衡(HWD)指数被用来对数量性状位点(QTL)进行精细定位.本文讨论了当存在基因型错误时HWD指数的性质.文章指出,当存在基因型错误时,对于在群体的标记基因频率已知的情形使用的两个HWD指数尽管受基因型错误的影响但仍然有效;而仅仅极端样本的标记基因频率已知的情形下使用的两个HWD指数同时与基因型错误和标记基因频率有关.计算机模拟表明,仅仅极端样本的标记基因频率已知的情形下使用的两个HWD指数在精细定位时会产生偏差,不适宜作精细定位.     

Robust Linear Models for Cis-eQTL Analysis

Expression Quantitative Trait Loci (eQTL) analysis enables characterisation of functional genetic variation influencing expression levels of individual genes. In outbread populations, including humans, eQTLs are commonly analysed using the conventional linear model, adjusting for relevant covariates, assuming an allelic dosage model and a Gaussian error term. However, gene expression data generally have noise that induces heavy-tailed errors relative to the Gaussian distribution and often include atypical observations, or outliers. Such departures from modelling assumptions can lead to an increased rate of type II errors (false negatives), and to some extent also type I errors (false positives). Careful model checking can reduce the risk of type-I errors but often not type II errors, since it is generally too time-consuming to carefully check all models with a non-significant effect in large-scale and genome-wide studies. Here we propose the application of a robust linear model for eQTL analysis to reduce adverse effects of deviations from the assumption of Gaussian residuals. We present results from a simulation study as well as results from the analysis of real eQTL data sets. Our findings suggest that in many situations robust models have the potential to provide more reliable eQTL results compared to conventional linear models, particularly in respect to reducing type II errors due to non-Gaussian noise. Post-genomic data, such as that generated in genome-wide eQTL studies, are often noisy and frequently contain atypical observations. Robust statistical models have the potential to provide more reliable results and increased statistical power under non-Gaussian conditions. The results presented here suggest that robust models should be considered routinely alongside other commonly used methodologies for eQTL analysis.     

Recent advances in human quantitative-trait-locus mapping: comparison of methods for selected sibling pairs

During the past few years, there has been a great deal of new work on methods for mapping quantitative-trait loci by use of sibling pairs and sibships. There are several new methods based on linear regression, as well as several more that are based on score statistics. In theory, most of the new methods should be relatively robust to violations of distributional assumptions and to selected sampling, but, in practice, there has been little evaluation of how the methods perform on selected samples. We survey most of the new regression-based statistics and score statistics and propose a few minor variations on the score statistics. We use simulation to evaluate the type I error and the power of all of the statistics, considering (a) population samples of sibling pairs and (b) sibling pairs ascertained on the basis of at least one sibling with a trait value in the top 10% of the distribution. Most of the statistics have correct type I error for selected samples. The statistics proposed by Xu et al. and by Sham and Purcell are generally the most powerful, along with one of our score statistic variants. Even among the methods that are most powerful for "nice" data, some are more robust than others to non-Gaussian trait models and/or misspecified trait parameters.     

SVM-Cabins: prediction of solvent accessibility using accumulation cutoff set and support vector machine

A number of methods for predicting levels of solvent accessibility or accessible surface area (ASA) of amino acid residues in proteins have been developed. These methods either predict regularly spaced states of relative solvent accessibility or an analogue real value indicating relative solvent accessibility. While discrete states of exposure can be easily obtained by post prediction assignment of thresholds to the predicted or computed real values of ASA, the reverse, that is, obtaining a real value from quantized states of predicted ASA, is not straightforward as a two-state prediction in such cases would give a large real valued errors. However, prediction of ASA into larger number of ASA states and then finding a corresponding scheme for real value prediction may be helpful in integrating the two approaches of ASA prediction. We report a novel method of obtaining numerical real values of solvent accessibility, using accumulation cutoff set and support vector machine. This so-called SVM-Cabins method first predicts discrete states of ASA of amino acid residues from their evolutionary profile and then maps the predicted states onto a real valued linear space by simple algebraic methods. Resulting performance of such a rigorous approach using 13-state ASA prediction is at least comparable with the best methods of ASA prediction reported so far. The mean absolute error in this method reaches the best performance of 15.1% on the tested data set of 502 proteins with a coefficient of correlation equal to 0.66. Since, the method starts with the prediction of discrete states of ASA and leads to real value predictions, performance of prediction in binary states and real values are simultaneously optimized.     

Reconstruction of Genome Ancestry Blocks in Multiparental Populations

We present a general hidden Markov model framework called reconstructing ancestry blocks bit by bit (RABBIT) for reconstructing genome ancestry blocks from single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) array data, a required step for quantitative trait locus (QTL) mapping. The framework can be applied to a wide range of mapping populations such as the Arabidopsis multiparent advanced generation intercross (MAGIC), the mouse Collaborative Cross (CC), and the diversity outcross (DO) for both autosomes and X chromosomes if they exist. The model underlying RABBIT accounts for the joint pattern of recombination breakpoints between two homologous chromosomes and missing data and allelic typing errors in the genotype data of both sampled individuals and founders. Studies on simulated data of the MAGIC and the CC and real data of the MAGIC, the DO, and the CC demonstrate that RABBIT is more robust and accurate in reconstructing recombination bin maps than some commonly used methods.     

Developing optimal prediction models for cancer classification using gene expression data

Microarrays can provide genome-wide expression patterns for various cancers, especially for tumor sub-types that may exhibit substantially different patient prognosis. Using such gene expression data, several approaches have been proposed to classify tumor sub-types accurately. These classification methods are not robust, and often dependent on a particular training sample for modelling, which raises issues in utilizing these methods to administer proper treatment for a future patient. We propose to construct an optimal, robust prediction model for classifying cancer sub-types using gene expression data. Our model is constructed in a step-wise fashion implementing cross-validated quadratic discriminant analysis. At each step, all identified models are validated by an independent sample of patients to develop a robust model for future data. We apply the proposed methods to two microarray data sets of cancer: the acute leukemia data by Golub et al. and the colon cancer data by Alon et al. We have found that the dimensionality of our optimal prediction models is relatively small for these cases and that our prediction models with one or two gene factors outperforms or has competing performance, especially for independent samples, to other methods based on 50 or more predictive gene factors. The methodology is implemented and developed by the procedures in R and Splus. The source code can be obtained at http://hesweb1.med.virginia.edu/bioinformatics.