Stochastic differential equation model for cerebellar granule cell excitability

Neurons in the brain express intrinsic dynamic behavior which is known to be stochastic in nature. A crucial question in building models of neuronal excitability is how to be able to mimic the dynamic behavior of the biological counterpart accurately and how to perform simulations in the fastest possible way. The well-established Hodgkin-Huxley formalism has formed to a large extent the basis for building biophysically and anatomically detailed models of neurons. However, the deterministic Hodgkin-Huxley formalism does not take into account the stochastic behavior of voltage-dependent ion channels. Ion channel stochasticity is shown to be important in adjusting the transmembrane voltage dynamics at or close to the threshold of action potential firing, at the very least in small neurons. In order to achieve a better understanding of the dynamic behavior of a neuron, a new modeling and simulation approach based on stochastic differential equations and Brownian motion is developed. The basis of the work is a deterministic one-compartmental multi-conductance model of the cerebellar granule cell. This model includes six different types of voltage-dependent conductances described by Hodgkin-Huxley formalism and simple calcium dynamics. A new model for the granule cell is developed by incorporating stochasticity inherently present in the ion channel function into the gating variables of conductances. With the new stochastic model, the irregular electrophysiological activity of an in vitro granule cell is reproduced accurately, with the same parameter values for which the membrane potential of the original deterministic model exhibits regular behavior. The irregular electrophysiological activity includes experimentally observed random subthreshold oscillations, occasional spontaneous spikes, and clusters of action potentials. As a conclusion, the new stochastic differential equation model of the cerebellar granule cell excitability is found to expand the range of dynamics in comparison to the original deterministic model. Inclusion of stochastic elements in the operation of voltage-dependent conductances should thus be emphasized more in modeling the dynamic behavior of small neurons. Furthermore, the presented approach is valuable in providing faster computation times compared to the Markov chain type of modeling approaches and more sophisticated theoretical analysis tools compared to previously presented stochastic modeling approaches.     

Stochastic exit from mitosis in budding yeast: Model predictions and experimental observations

Unlike many mutants that are completely viable or inviable, the CLB2-dbΔ clb5Δ mutant of Saccharomyces cerevisiae is inviable in glucose but partially viable on slower growth media such as raffinose. On raffinose, the mutant cells can bud and divide but in each cycle there is a chance that a cell will fail to divide (telophase arrest), causing it to exit the cell cycle. This effect gives rise to a stochastic phenotype that cannot be explained by a deterministic model. We measure the interbud times of wild-type and mutant cells growing on raffinose and compute statistics and distributions to characterize the mutant''s behavior. We convert a detailed deterministic model of the budding yeast cell cycle to a stochastic model and determine the extent to which it captures the stochastic phenotype of the mutant strain. Predictions of the mathematical model are in reasonable agreement with our experimental data and suggest directions for improving the model. Ultimately, the ability to accurately model stochastic phenotypes may prove critical to understanding disease and therapeutic interventions in higher eukaryotes.Key words: stochastic phenotype, mitotic exit, non-genetic variability, cell cycle modeling, computational biology, stochastic modeling, deterministic modeling     

Role of Intracellular Stochasticity in Biofilm Growth. Insights from Population Balance Modeling

There is increasing recognition that stochasticity involved in gene regulatory processes may help cells enhance the signal or synchronize expression for a group of genes. Thus the validity of the traditional deterministic approach to modeling the foregoing processes cannot be without exception. In this study, we identify a frequently encountered situation, i.e., the biofilm, which has in the past been persistently investigated with intracellular deterministic models in the literature. We show in this paper circumstances in which use of the intracellular deterministic model appears distinctly inappropriate. In Enterococcus faecalis, the horizontal gene transfer of plasmid spreads drug resistance. The induction of conjugation in planktonic and biofilm circumstances is examined here with stochastic as well as deterministic models. The stochastic model is formulated with the Chemical Master Equation (CME) for planktonic cells and Reaction-Diffusion Master Equation (RDME) for biofilm. The results show that although the deterministic model works well for the perfectly-mixed planktonic circumstance, it fails to predict the averaged behavior in the biofilm, a behavior that has come to be known as stochastic focusing. A notable finding from this work is that the interception of antagonistic feedback loops to signaling, accentuates stochastic focusing. Moreover, interestingly, increasing particle number of a control variable could lead to an even larger deviation. Intracellular stochasticity plays an important role in biofilm and we surmise by implications from the model, that cell populations may use it to minimize the influence from environmental fluctuation.     

A Quasistationary Analysis of a Stochastic Chemical Reaction: Keizer’s Paradox

For a system of biochemical reactions, it is known from the work of T.G. Kurtz [J. Appl. Prob. 8, 344 (1971)] that the chemical master equation model based on a stochastic formulation approaches the deterministic model based on the Law of Mass Action in the infinite system-size limit in finite time. The two models, however, often show distinctly different steady-state behavior. To further investigate this “paradox,” a comparative study of the deterministic and stochastic models of a simple autocatalytic biochemical reaction, taken from a text by the late J. Keizer, is carried out. We compute the expected time to extinction, the true stochastic steady state, and a quasistationary probability distribution in the stochastic model. We show that the stochastic model predicts the deterministic behavior on a reasonable time scale, which can be consistently obtained from both models. The transition time to the extinction, however, grows exponentially with the system size. Mathematically, we identify that exchanging the limits of infinite system size and infinite time is problematic. The appropriate system size that can be considered sufficiently large, an important parameter in numerical computation, is also discussed.     

A Stochastic Model of Oscillatory Blood Testosterone Levels

A continuous-time, discrete-state stochastic model of testosterone secretion in men is considered. Blood levels of testosterone in men fluctuate periodically with a period of 2–3 h. The deterministic model, on which the stochastic model considered here is based, is well studied and has been shown to have a globally stable fixed point. Thus, no sustained oscillations are possible in the deterministic case. However, the stochastic model does observe periodic, pulsatile behavior. This demonstrates how oscillations can occur due to a switching behavior dependent on the random degradation of testosterone molecules in the system. The Gillespie algorithm is used to simulate the hormone secretion model. Important parameters of the model are discussed and results from the model are compared to experimental observations.     

Stochastic models for circadian rhythms: effect of molecular noise on periodic and chaotic behaviour

Circadian rhythms are endogenous oscillations that occur with a period close to 24 h in nearly all living organisms. These rhythms originate from the negative autoregulation of gene expression. Deterministic models based on such genetic regulatory processes account for the occurrence of circadian rhythms in constant environmental conditions (e.g., constant darkness), for entrainment of these rhythms by light-dark cycles, and for their phase-shifting by light pulses. When the numbers of protein and mRNA molecules involved in the oscillations are small, as may occur in cellular conditions, it becomes necessary to resort to stochastic simulations to assess the influence of molecular noise on circadian oscillations. We address the effect of molecular noise by considering the stochastic version of a deterministic model previously proposed for circadian oscillations of the PER and TIM proteins and their mRNAs in Drosophila. The model is based on repression of the per and tim genes by a complex between the PER and TIM proteins. Numerical simulations of the stochastic version of the model are performed by means of the Gillespie method. The predictions of the stochastic approach compare well with those of the deterministic model with respect both to sustained oscillations of the limit cycle type and to the influence of the proximity from a bifurcation point beyond which the system evolves to stable steady state. Stochastic simulations indicate that robust circadian oscillations can emerge at the cellular level even when the maximum numbers of mRNA and protein molecules involved in the oscillations are of the order of only a few tens or hundreds. The stochastic model also reproduces the evolution to a strange attractor in conditions where the deterministic PER-TIM model admits chaotic behaviour. The difference between periodic oscillations of the limit cycle type and aperiodic oscillations (i.e. chaos) persists in the presence of molecular noise, as shown by means of Poincaré sections. The progressive obliteration of periodicity observed as the number of molecules decreases can thus be distinguished from the aperiodicity originating from chaotic dynamics. As long as the numbers of molecules involved in the oscillations remain sufficiently large (of the order of a few tens or hundreds, or more), stochastic models therefore provide good agreement with the predictions of the deterministic model for circadian rhythms.     

A Stochastic Model Correctly Predicts Changes in Budding Yeast Cell Cycle Dynamics upon Periodic Expression of CLN2

In this study, we focus on a recent stochastic budding yeast cell cycle model. First, we estimate the model parameters using extensive data sets: phenotypes of 110 genetic strains, single cell statistics of wild type and cln3 strains. Optimization of stochastic model parameters is achieved by an automated algorithm we recently used for a deterministic cell cycle model. Next, in order to test the predictive ability of the stochastic model, we focus on a recent experimental study in which forced periodic expression of CLN2 cyclin (driven by MET3 promoter in cln3 background) has been used to synchronize budding yeast cell colonies. We demonstrate that the model correctly predicts the experimentally observed synchronization levels and cell cycle statistics of mother and daughter cells under various experimental conditions (numerical data that is not enforced in parameter optimization), in addition to correctly predicting the qualitative changes in size control due to forced CLN2 expression. Our model also generates a novel prediction: under frequent CLN2 expression pulses, G1 phase duration is bimodal among small-born cells. These cells originate from daughters with extended budded periods due to size control during the budded period. This novel prediction and the experimental trends captured by the model illustrate the interplay between cell cycle dynamics, synchronization of cell colonies, and size control in budding yeast.     

A Deterministic Model Predicts the Properties of Stochastic Calcium Oscillations in Airway Smooth Muscle Cells

The inositol trisphosphate receptor () is one of the most important cellular components responsible for oscillations in the cytoplasmic calcium concentration. Over the past decade, two major questions about the have arisen. Firstly, how best should the be modeled? In other words, what fundamental properties of the allow it to perform its function, and what are their quantitative properties? Secondly, although calcium oscillations are caused by the stochastic opening and closing of small numbers of , is it possible for a deterministic model to be a reliable predictor of calcium behavior? Here, we answer these two questions, using airway smooth muscle cells (ASMC) as a specific example. Firstly, we show that periodic calcium waves in ASMC, as well as the statistics of calcium puffs in other cell types, can be quantitatively reproduced by a two-state model of the , and thus the behavior of the is essentially determined by its modal structure. The structure within each mode is irrelevant for function. Secondly, we show that, although calcium waves in ASMC are generated by a stochastic mechanism, stochasticity is not essential for a qualitative prediction of how oscillation frequency depends on model parameters, and thus deterministic models demonstrate the same level of predictive capability as do stochastic models. We conclude that, firstly, calcium dynamics can be accurately modeled using simplified models, and, secondly, to obtain qualitative predictions of how oscillation frequency depends on parameters it is sufficient to use a deterministic model.     

The distributions of cell size and generation time in a model of the cell cycle incorporating size control and random transitions

A deterministic/probabilistic model of the cell division cycle is analysed mathematically and compared to experimental data and to other models of the cell cycle. The model posits a random-exiting phase of the cell cycle and a minimum-size requirement for entry into the random-exiting phase. By design, the model predicts exponential "beta-curves", which are characteristic of sister cell generation times. We show that the model predicts "alpha-curves" with exponential tails and hyperbolic-sine-like shoulders, and that these curves fit observed generation-time data excellently. We also calculate correlation coefficients for sister cells and for mother-daughter pairs. These correlation coefficients are more negative than is generally observed, which is characteristic of all size-control models and is generally attributed to some unknown positive correlation in growth rates of related cells. Next we compare theoretical size distributions with observed distributions, and we calculate the dependence of average cell mass on specific growth rate and show that this dependence agrees with a well-known relation in bacteria. In the discussion we argue that unequal division is probably not the source of stochastic fluctuations in deterministic size-control models, transition-probability models with no feedback from cell size cannot account for the rapidity with which the new, stable size distribution is established after perturbation, and Kubitschek's rate-normal model is not consistent with exponential beta-curves.     

Deterministic Versus Stochastic Models for Circadian Rhythms

Circadian rhythms which occur with a period close to 24 h in nearly all living organisms originate from the negative autoregulation of gene expression.Deterministic models based on genetic regulatory processes account for theoccurrence of circadian rhythms in constant environmental conditions (e.g.constant darkness), for entrainment of these rhythms by light-dark cycles, and for their phase-shifting by light pulses. At low numbers of protein and mRNA molecules, it becomes necessary to resort to stochastic simulations to assess the influence of molecular noise on circadian oscillations. We address the effect of molecular noise by considering two stochastic versions of a core model for circadian rhythms. The deterministic version of this core modelwas previously proposed for circadian oscillations of the PER protein in Drosophila and of the FRQ protein in Neurospora. In the first, non-developed version of the stochastic model, we introduce molecular noise without decomposing the deterministic mechanism into detailed reaction steps while in the second, developed version we carry out such a detailed decomposition. Numerical simulations of the two stochastic versions of the model are performed by means of the Gillespie method. We compare the predictions of the deterministic approach with those of the two stochastic models, with respect both to sustained oscillations of the limit cycle type and to the influence of the proximity of a bifurcation point beyond which the system evolves to a stable steady state. The results indicate that robust circadian oscillations can occur even when the numbers of mRNA and nuclear protein involved in the oscillatory mechanism are reduced to a few tens orhundreds, respectively. The non-developed and developed versions of the stochastic model yield largely similar results and provide good agreement with the predictions of the deterministic model for circadian rhythms.     

Kinetics of Genetic Switching into the State of Bacterial Competence

Nonlinear amplification of gene expression of master regulators is essential for cellular differentiation. Here we investigated determinants that control the kinetics of the genetic switching process from the vegetative state (B-state) to the competent state (K-state) of Bacillus subtilis, explicitly including the switching window which controls the probability for competence initiation in a cell population. For individual cells, we found that after initiation of switching, the levels of the master regulator [ComK](t) increased with sigmoid shape and saturation occurred at two distinct levels of [ComK]. We analyzed the switching kinetics into the state with highest [ComK] and found saturation after a switching period of length 1.4 ± 0.3 h. The duration of the switching period was robust against variations in the gene regulatory network of the master regulator, whereas the saturation levels showed large variations between individual isogenic cells. We developed a nonlinear dynamics model, taking into account low-number stochastic effects. The model quantitatively describes the probability and timescale of switching at the single cell level and explains why the ComK level in the K-state is highly sensitive to extrinsic parameter variations. Furthermore, the model predicts a transition from stochastic to deterministic switching at increased production rates of ComK in agreement with experimental data.     

A model for 8-10 Hz spindling in interconnected thalamic relay and reticularis neurons.

We investigated a simplified model of a thalamocortical cell and a reticular thalamic cell interconnected with excitatory and inhibitory synapses, based on Hodgkin-Huxley type kinetics. The intrinsic oscillatory properties of the model cells were similar to those observed from single cells in vitro. When synaptic interactions were included, spindle oscillations were observed consisting of sequences of rhythmic oscillations at 8-10 Hz separated by silent periods of 8-40 s. The model suggests that Ca2+ regulation of lh channels may be responsible for the waxing and waning of spindles and that the reticular cell shapes the 10-Hz rhythmicity. The model also predicts that the kinetics of gamma-aminobutyric acid inhibitory postsynaptic potentials as well as the intrinsic properties of reticular cells are critical in determining the frequency of spindle rhythmicity.     

Stochastic exit from mitosis in budding yeast

Unlike many mutants that are completely viable or inviable, the CLB2-dbΔ clb5Δ mutant of Saccharomyces cerevisiae is inviable in glucose but partially viable on slower growth media such as raffinose. On raffinose, the mutant cells can bud and divide but in each cycle there is a chance that a cell will fail to divide (telophase arrest), causing it to exit the cell cycle. This effect gives rise to a stochastic phenotype that cannot be explained by a deterministic model. We measure the inter-bud times of wild type and mutant cells growing on raffinose and compute statistics and distributions to characterize the mutant’s behavior. We convert a detailed deterministic model of the budding yeast cell cycle to a stochastic model and determine the extent to which it captures the stochastic phenotype of the mutant strain. Predictions of the mathematical model are in reasonable agreement with our experimental data and suggest directions for improving the model. Ultimately, the ability to accurately model stochastic phenotypes may prove critical to understanding disease and therapeutic interventions in higher eukaryotes.     

Stochastic Petri Net extension of a yeast cell cycle model

This paper presents the definition, solution and validation of a stochastic model of the budding yeast cell cycle, based on Stochastic Petri Nets (SPN). A specific family of SPNs is selected for building a stochastic version of a well-established deterministic model. We describe the procedure followed in defining the SPN model from the deterministic ODE model, a procedure that can be largely automated. The validation of the SPN model is conducted with respect to both the results provided by the deterministic one and the experimental results available from literature. The SPN model catches the behavior of the wild type budding yeast cells and a variety of mutants. We show that the stochastic model matches some characteristics of budding yeast cells that cannot be found with the deterministic model. The SPN model fine-tunes the simulation results, enriching the breadth and the quality of its outcome.     

Transition from stochastic to deterministic behavior in calcium oscillations

Simulation and modeling is becoming more and more important when studying complex biochemical systems. Most often, ordinary differential equations are employed for this purpose. However, these are only applicable when the numbers of participating molecules in the biochemical systems are large enough to be treated as concentrations. For smaller systems, stochastic simulations on discrete particle basis are more accurate. Unfortunately, there are no general rules for determining which method should be employed for exactly which problem to get the most realistic result. Therefore, we study the transition from stochastic to deterministic behavior in a widely studied system, namely the signal transduction via calcium, especially calcium oscillations. We observe that the transition occurs within a range of particle numbers, which roughly corresponds to the number of receptors and channels in the cell, and depends heavily on the attractive properties of the phase space of the respective systems dynamics. We conclude that the attractive properties of a system, expressed, e.g., by the divergence of the system, are a good measure for determining which simulation algorithm is appropriate in terms of speed and realism.     

The age structure of populations of Saccharomyces cerevisiae

A discrete deterministic model is described for the growth of an age-structured population of yeast, Saccharomyces cerevisiae, incorporating recent information on the asymmetry of cell division and control of the cell cycle in this species. Solutions are obtained for the age structure of the population at equilibrium, and for the equilibrium distribution of relative frequency of cells through the cell cycle. The model is applied to experimental data on the changing age structure of nonequilibrium populations of yeast. The model predicts well both the transient behavior and the equilibrium structure of such populations. It is shown that the asymmetry of cell division explains (1) the excess of newly formed daughter cells in the population as compared to the frequency of older cells and (2) the damped oscillations in the frequencies of cells of different ages as demographic equilibrium is approached.     

Sustained oscillations in stochastic systems

Many non-linear deterministic models for interacting populations present damped oscillations towards the corresponding equilibrium values. However, simulations produced with related stochastic models usually present sustained oscillations which preserve the natural frequency of the damped oscillations of the deterministic model but showing non-vanishing amplitudes. The relation between the amplitude of the stochastic oscillations and the values of the equilibrium populations is not intuitive in general but scales with the square root of the populations when the ratio between different populations is kept fixed. In this work, we explain such phenomena for the case of a general epidemic model. We estimate the stochastic fluctuations of the populations around the equilibrium point in the epidemiological model showing their (approximated) relation with the mean values.     

The Dynamics of Stress p53-Mdm2 Network Regulated by p300 and HDAC1

We construct a stress p53-Mdm2-p300-HDAC1 regulatory network that is activated and stabilised by two regulatory proteins, p300 and HDAC1. Different activation levels of observed due to these regulators during stress condition have been investigated using a deterministic as well as a stochastic approach to understand how the cell responds during stress conditions. We found that these regulators help in adjusting p53 to different conditions as identified by various oscillatory states, namely fixed point oscillations, damped oscillations and sustain oscillations. On assessing the impact of p300 on p53-Mdm2 network we identified three states: first stabilised or normal condition where the impact of p300 is negligible, second an interim region where p53 is activated due to interaction between p53 and p300, and finally the third regime where excess of p300 leads to cell stress condition. Similarly evaluation of HDAC1 on our model led to identification of the above three distinct states. Also we observe that noise in stochastic cellular system helps to reach each oscillatory state quicker than those in deterministic case. The constructed model validated different experimental findings qualitatively.