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1.
BackgroundApart from the FIGO staging system there are several other factors, including tumour volume and lymph node status, which considerably influence local tumour control and survival of cervical carcinoma patients.AimThe study aimed to determine the prognostic value of cervical tumour volume measured on the basis of MRI in terms of pelvic nodal metastases prediction in early cervical carcinoma patients.MethodsThe records of 49 early stage cervical carcinoma patients treated with preoperative brachytherapy and radical hysterectomy were analyzed. All patients underwent diagnostic MRI, which was the basis for tumour volume calculations as well as the evaluation of pelvic lymph nodes status and parametrial invasion. In each case the postoperative pathological diagnosis was obtained. The correlation between the occurrence of nodal metastases and such variables as tumour histology, grade and tumour volume, FIGOMRI stage IIB, and patients' age was evaluated. Logistic regression analysis was employed to determine correlations between tumour volume and histological pelvic nodal involvement.ResultsA statistically significant correlation between pelvic lymph node involvement and such parameters as tumour volume and parametrial invasion was proven. The probability of lymph node metastasis is 20% for tumour volume of 17 cm3 and increases up to 50% for tumour volume of 40 cm3. An increase of tumour volume by 1 cm3 increased the risk of lymph node disease by 6.2%.ConclusionsThe study demonstrates that tumour volume may be considered a predicting factor in early cervical carcinoma patients, since it strongly correlates with pelvic lymph node histological status.  相似文献   

2.
ObjectivesTo summarize the characteristics and long–term outcomes of olfactory neuroblastoma through the analysis of 13 cases in single institution, with the assessment of treatment modality, prognostic factors.MethodA retrospective study of thirteen cases diagnosed as olfactory neuroblastoma and underwent combined treatments during the period 2000–2010. Statistical analysis was performed to search for prognostic factors and compared different treatment modalities.Results13 patients were enrolled in this study, including 8 male and 5 female, ranging from 15 to 69 (median 43) years old. One patient at stage A was only treated with endoscopic endonasal surgery (EES). Seven patients were treated with preoperative radiotherapy and EES, two with EES and postoperative radiotherapy, and the other three with combined radiotherapy and chemotherapy. The range of follow-up time varied from 23 to 116 months (median 65 months). The 5-year overall survival rate was 46.2% (6/13). To date, these thirteen patients have not suffered local recurrences while two patients had lymph node recurrences and one had distant metastasis in the bone marrow. In 13 patients, 61.5% were diagnosed as late T stage (T3/4), 69.2% late Kadish stage (C/D) and 53.8% were high Hyams grade (I/ II), which indicated poor prognosis. Related prognostic factors were the TNM stage (T stage P = 0.028, N stage P = 0.000, M stage P = 0.007), Kadish stage (P = 0.025) and treatment modality (P = 0.015).ConclusionLate stage of TNM and Kadish staging system indicated a poor prognosis. Combined treatment modality, including endoscopic endonasal surgery, achieved a better outcome than non-surgical approach.  相似文献   

3.
IntroductionImmune checkpoint inhibition has shifted treatment paradigms in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Conflicting results have been reported regarding the immune infiltrate and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) as a prognostic marker. We correlated the immune infiltrate and PD-L1 expression with clinicopathologic characteristics in a cohort of resected NSCLC.MethodsA tissue microarray was constructed using triplicate cores from consecutive resected NSCLC. Immunohistochemistry was performed for CD8, FOXP3 and PD-L1. Strong PD-L1 expression was predefined as greater than 50% tumor cell positivity. Matched nodal samples were assessed for concordance of PD-L1 expression.ResultsOf 522 patients, 346 were node-negative (N0), 72 N1 and 109 N2; 265 were adenocarcinomas (AC), 182 squamous cell cancers (SCC) and 75 other. Strong PD-L1 expression was found in 24% cases. In the overall cohort, PD-L1 expression was not associated with survival. In patients with N2 disease, strong PD-L1 expression was associated with significantly improved disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in multivariate analysis (HR 0.49, 95%CI 0.36–0.94, p = 0.031; HR 0.46, 95%CI 0.26–0.80, p = 0.006). In this resected cohort only 5% harboured EGFR mutations, whereas 19% harboured KRAS and 23% other. KRAS mutated tumors were more likely to highly express PD-L1 compared to EGFR (22% vs 3%). A stromal CD8 infiltrate was associated with significantly improved DFS in SCC (HR 0.70, 95%CI 0.50–0.97, p = 0.034), but not AC, whereas FOXP3 was not prognostic. Matched nodal specimens (N = 53) were highly concordant for PD-L1 expression (89%).ConclusionPD-L1 expression was not prognostic in the overall cohort. PD-L1 expression in primary tumor and matched nodal specimens were highly concordant. The observed survival benefit in N2 disease requires confirmation.  相似文献   

4.
摘要 目的:分析影响肝动脉化疗栓塞(TACE)联合抗病毒治疗乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)相关性肝癌预后的相关因素。方法:纳入的130例HBV相关性肝癌选自于本院2018年2月至2020年3月期间所收治,所有患者均行TACE联合抗病毒治疗,记录其生存情况,并对影响患者预后的相关因素进行分析与探讨。结果:130例患者随访截止时,死亡58例,存活72例,中位生存期为24个月,1年生存率为82.31%,2年生存率为55.38%;单因素及多因素Cox回归分析结果显示,肿瘤最大直径、血清AFP、Child-Pugh分级、腹腔转移、门静脉癌栓是患者预后不良的的危险因素。结论:肿瘤最大直径、血清AFP、Child-Pugh分级、腹腔转移、门静脉癌栓是影响TACE联合抗病毒治疗HBV相关性肝癌病患预后的影响因素。  相似文献   

5.
The aromatase and estrone sulfatase enzymes are important sources of local synthesis of biologically active estrogens in human breast cancer. Significant intratumoral aromatase activity was detected in 91/145 (63%) of tumors and estrone sulfatase was detected in 93/104 (89%) of tumors. There was no relationship between aromatase activity and tumor size, site, nodal status, menopousal status or estrogen receptor status. There was a significant correlation between the aromatase activity and histological grade, with an excess of aromatase-positive in the high grade tumors (P = 0.03). There was a marginally inverse correlation between the aromatase activity and time to relapse (P < 0.1), a significant correlation between aromatase activity and survival after relapse (P < 0.05) but not with overall survival (P < 0.1). Intratumoral estrone sulfatase activity was not significantly correlated to any putative prognostic factors, nor with time to relapse nor overall survival time.  相似文献   

6.
目的:探讨年轻乳腺癌患者的临床病理特点及影响其预后的相关因素。方法:选取潍坊市人民医院2005年11月至2011年11月收治的年龄不高于35岁的137例年轻乳腺癌患者的临床资料,其中共有116例入组,初步分析年轻乳腺癌患者的临床病理特征及对预后产生的影响。结果:116例患者中位随访时间为46.0个月。3年OS和PFS为94.6%和79.1%。单因素、多因素分析结果显示淋巴结转移情况和Ki67水平与预后的显著相关(P0.05),淋巴结转数目、Ki67水平与预后呈负相关。结论:年轻乳腺癌患者的生物学行为、病理及预后较为特殊。淋巴结转移情况、Ki67水平是影响预后的关键因素。  相似文献   

7.
PurposeReport our matured outcomes of European nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treatment from a non-endemic region in the IMRT era.MethodsWe reviewed 109 consecutive patients with biopsy proven NPC treated between 2009 and 2013. All received IMRT as per RTOG 0615. Toxicity was scored accordingly to CTCAE 4.03. Platinum-based chemotherapy was delivered following the Intergroup 0099.ResultsMedian age of 53 years; 97% Caucasian; 74% male; 72% WHO grade III; 43% T1; 14% T2; 18% T3, 25% T4; 17% N0; 17% N1; 39% N2; 27% N3. Compliance to adjuvant chemotherapy was 88%. With a median follow up of 56 months, the 4-year local control was 90.2% (88.6% for T1; 100% for T2; 85% for T3; and 91.7% for T4), the 4-year distant metastases-free survival was 86% and an overall survival rate was 77%. Local control and survival were better in G3 (p < 0.001 and p = 0.032, respectively). Xerostomia was the most frequent late toxicity in 55% (n = 60). Hypothyroidism requiring hormonal reposition occurred in 15.5% (n = 17). From the 36 deaths, 20 were due to distant metastases, 3 grade 5 toxicity, 2 from local progression, 5 non-cancer deaths and unknown cause in the remaining 6. On multivariable analysis, age (p = 0.017), local recurrence and distant metastases were associated with death (p < 0.001, both).ConclusionOur matured data from the IMRT era showed a major improvement from our 3D cohort series reaching excellent local and regional control, even in T4. Local recurrences, despite few, and distant metastases were correlated with the risk of death.  相似文献   

8.
OBJECTIVE--To investigate the relation between socioeconomic deprivation and pathological prognostic factors in women with breast cancer as a possible explanation for socioeconomic differences in survival. DESIGN--Retrospective analysis of data from cancer registry and from pathology and biochemistry records. SETTING--Catchment areas of two large teaching hospitals in Glasgow. SUBJECTS--1361 women aged under 75 who had breast cancer diagnosed between 1980 and 1987. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Tumour size, axillary lymph node status, histological grade, and oestrogen receptor concentration in relation to deprivation category of area of residence. RESULTS--There was no significant relation between socioeconomic deprivation and four pathological prognostic factors: 93 (32%) women in the most affluent group presented with tumours less than 20 mm in size compared with 91 (31%) women in the most deprived group; 152 (48%) of the most affluent group presented with negative nodes compared with 129 (46%) of the most deprived group; 23 (22%) of the most affluent group presented with grade I tumours compared with 12 (17%) of the most deprived group; and 142 (51%) of the most affluent group had a low oestrogen receptor concentration at presentation compared with 148 (52%) of the most deprived group. None of these differences was statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS--Differences in survival from breast cancer by socioeconomic deprivation category could not be accounted for by differences in tumour stage or biology. Other possible explanations, such as differences in treatment or in host response, should be investigated.  相似文献   

9.
The aim of this study was to reexamine the prognostic role of tumor cell kinetics measured by S-phase fraction (SPF) and to establish its clinically relevant threshold values. SPF was determined by flow cytometry in a group of 920 consecutive breast cancer patients, all followed at our institute for 10 years (1988 to 1998). Mean age was 60.5 years (27-89 years). Median follow-up was 63 months (3-150 months). All patients had initial surgical treatment. SPF quartiles were: Q1=3.08%, median value = 5.98%, Q3=10.22%. A significant difference in overall specific survival was obtained between two populations divided by a cutoff at Q1 (p < 0.0001). A multifactorial analysis including SPF and known prognostic factors such as tumor size, node status, histological grade, ER and PR status was performed using the Cox model in a population of 719 patients: univariate analysis showed that each of these factors had significant influence on overall survival. Multivariate analysis selected three of them, ranked by decreasing order of hazard ratio (HR) value: SPF (HR: 3.88, p < 0.001), tumor size (HR: 2.49, p < 0.001) and nodal status (HR: 2.28, p < 0.001). In addition, when tumors were stratified according to SPF quartile values, there were statistically different overall survival curves in patients with small tumors (< 2 cm) and in axillary node-negative patients.  相似文献   

10.
BackgroundTo compare the breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) between patients who underwent tissue or implant reconstruction after mastectomy.MethodWe used the database from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registries and compared the BCSS between patients who underwent tissue and implant reconstruction after mastectomy. Cox-regression models were fitted, adjusting for known clinicopathological features. The interaction between the reconstruction types (tissue/implant) and nodal status (N-stage) was investigated.ResultsA total of 6,426 patients with a median age of 50 years were included. With a median follow up of 100 months, the 10-year cumulative BCSS and non-BCSS were 85.1% and 95.4%, respectively. Patients who underwent tissue reconstruction had tumors with a higher T-stage, N-stage, and tumor grade and tended to be ER/PR-negative compared to those who received implant reconstruction. In univariate analysis, implant-reconstruction was associated with a 2.4% increase (P = 0.003) in the BCSS compared with tissue-reconstruction. After adjusting for significant risk factors of the BCSS (suggested by univariate analysis) and stratifying based on the N-stage, there was only an association between the reconstruction type and the BCSS for the N2-3 patients (10-year BCSS of implant vs. tissue-reconstruction: 68.7% and 59.0%, P = 0.004). The 10-year BCSS rates of implant vs. tissue-reconstruction were 91.7% and 91.8% in N0 patients (P>0.05) and 84.5% and 84.4% in N1 patients (P>0.05), respectively.ConclusionsThe implant (vs. tissue) reconstruction after mastectomy was associated with an improved BCSS in N2-3 breast cancer patients but not in N0-1 patients. A well-designed, prospective study is needed to further confirm these findings.  相似文献   

11.
目的:探讨中下段胆管癌的预后影响因素。方法:对79例中下段胆管癌患者的临床资料进行回顾性分析,采用Kaplan-Meier分析对确定的单因素进行生存率的描述,用Cox回归进行多因素分析,采用log-rank法对单因素进行生存分析评价。结果:79例患者1、3、5年生存率分别为70.2%,36.2%,19.1%,中位生存时间为19.8个月。行根治性手术患者1年、3年、5年生存率分别为87.9%、45.5%和24.2%,分别显著高于姑息性手术患者1年、3年、5年生存率(28.9%、14.3%和7.1%);行根治性手术患者的中位生存时间为34.5个月,较姑息性手术患者显著延长(8个月),根治术与姑息性手术1、3、5年生存率及中位生存时间比较四项均P<0.01,差异具有统计学意义。单因素分析显示肿瘤病理分化,慢性病史,淋巴结转移为影响中下段胆管癌预后的因素。多因素分析显示慢性病史、手术切缘、肿瘤病理分化程度是影响中下段胆管癌预后的独立危险因素。结论:慢性病史、手术切缘、肿瘤病理分化程度为中、下段胆管癌行切除术后预后的独立危险因素,根治性手术可提高中、下段胆管癌患者的生存率和延长其生存时间。  相似文献   

12.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether time since birth of last child was of prognostic importance in women with primary breast cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study based on a population based database of breast cancer diagnoses with detailed information on tumour characteristics, treatment regimens, reproductive factors, and vital status. SETTING: Denmark. SUBJECTS: 5652 women with primary breast cancer aged 45 years or less at the time of diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 5 and 10 year survival; relative risk of dying. RESULTS: Women diagnosed in the first 2 years after last childbirth had a crude 5 year survival of 58.7% and 10 year survival of 46.1% compared with 78.4% and 66.0% for women whose last childbirth was more than 2 years before their diagnosis. After adjustment for age, reproductive factors, and stage of disease (tumour size, axillary nodal status, and histological grading), a diagnosis sooner than 2 years since last childbirth was significantly associated with a poor survival (relative risk 1.58, 95% confidence interval 1.24 to 2.02) compared with women who gave birth more than 5 years previously. Further analyses showed that the effect was not modified by age at diagnosis, tumour size, and nodal status. CONCLUSIONS: A diagnosis of breast cancer less than 2 years after having given birth is associated with a particularly poor survival irrespective of the stage of disease at debut. Therefore, a recent pregnancy should be regarded as a negative prognostic factor and should be considered in counselling these patients and in the decisions regarding adjuvant treatment.  相似文献   

13.

Purpose

To assess the results of tracheal cancer patients treatment and factors influencing prognosis.

Background

Primary malignant neoplasms of the trachea are rare. The treatment of choice for tracheal carcinomas is resection. Radiation therapy is recommended as a part of radical treatment or for palliation of symptoms.

Materials and methods

Between 1962 and 2006, 50 patients diagnosed with tracheal cancer were treated at the Centre of Oncology in Krakow. The analysis focused on locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Survival rates, univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors were performed using the Kaplan–Meier method, the log rank test and Cox''s proportional hazard method, respectively.For over 40 years, patients were treated using different modalities: surgery followed by radiotherapy (6%), radiotherapy (78%), chemoradiotherapy (8%), and symptomatic treatment (8%).

Results

The 5-year LRRFS was 18%, DFS was 15% and OS was 17%. gender (favoured females) was the only prognostic factor for LRRFS. For OS, the independent prognostic factors were performance status (favoured Karnofsky higher than 80), stage and year of start of the treatment (later than 1988 vs. earlier – 5-year OS 20% vs. 12%).5-year OS in the following (strongly differentiated over the time) treatment modalities were: surgery followed by radiotherapy (66%), radiotherapy (16%), chemoradiotherapy (0%), and symptomatic treatment (0%).Of 44 patients treated with radiotherapy symptomatic partial response was observed in 32 patients and follow-up imaging studies revealed complete response in 5 patients, partial response in 25, stable disease in 4 or progressive disease in 4.

Conclusions

Radical treatment in patients in early stage and good performance status seems to be correlated with the improvement of survival. However, despite the fact that results of treatment are poor, radiotherapy offers symptomatic improvement.  相似文献   

14.
BackgroundNasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) is endemic among Chinese populations in Southeast Asia. However, the outcomes of non-Chinese NPC patients in Singapore are not well reported.AimTo determine if non-Chinese NPC patients have a different prognosis and examine the clinical outcomes of NPC patients in a multi-ethnic society.MethodsRetrospective chart review of 558 NPC patients treated at a single academic tertiary hospital from 2002 to 2012. Survival and recurrence rates were analysed and predictive factors identified using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model.ResultsOur cohort comprised 409 males (73.3%) and 149 females (26.7%) with a median age of 52 years. There were 476 Chinese (85.3%), 57 Malays (10.2%), and 25 of other ethnic groups (4.5%). Non-Chinese patients were more likely to be associated with advanced nodal disease at initial presentation (p = 0.049), compared with the Chinese. However, there were no statistical differences in their overall survival (OS) or disease specific survival (DSS) (p = 0.934 and p = 0.857 respectively). The 3-year and 5-year cohort OS and DSS rates were 79.3%, 70.7%, and 83.2%, 77.4% respectively. Advanced age (p<0.001), N2 disease (p = 0.036), N3 disease (p<0.001), and metastatic disease (p<0.001) at presentation were independently associated with poor overall survival. N2 disease (p = 0.032), N3 disease (p<0.001) and metastatic disease (p<0.001) were also independently associated with poor DSS. No predictive factors were associated with loco-regional recurrence after definitive treatment. Advanced age (p = 0.044), N2 disease (p = 0.033) and N3 disease (p<0.001) were independently associated with distant relapse.ConclusionIn a multi-ethnic society in Singapore, non-Chinese are more likely to present with advanced nodal disease. This however did not translate into poorer survival outcomes. Older patients with N2 or N3 disease are associated with a higher risk of distant relapse and poor overall survival.  相似文献   

15.
BackgroundThe irradiation volume for treatment of limited disease small cell lung cancer (LD-SCLC), are still controversial. One of the aspects of radiation volume is the use of elective nodal irradiation (ENI), which has never been subjected to randomized study in SCLC patients.AimTo review retrospectively patterns of failure in relation to the radiation field after chemoradiotherapy (CHT-RT) in patients with limited disease small cell lung cancer (LD-SCLC).Material and MethodsBetween 1997 and 2006, 117 consecutive patients with LD-SCLC received chemotherapy with sequential radiotherapy (70%) and concurrent or alternating CHT-RT (30%). All but one case had predefined elective nodal irradiation (ENI) without inclusion of supraclavicular regions. Prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) was administered to 39% of patients.ResultsThe median follow-up for the 20 living patients was 33 months. The overall survival at 2 years was 36% (median survival: 18 months). In-field locoregional progression was observed in 42 patients (36%). Distant metastases occurred in 71 patients (61%). Five patients (4%) developed isolated nodal failure (INF) without local progression in the supraclavicular region. Patients with INF had N3 disease more often than those without INF (60% vs 21%, p = 0.04). There was 5% RTOG grade 3 or higher early radiation toxicity.ConclusionsINF failures are rare; however, the need for extension of ENI to supraclavicular areas may be reconsidered in N3 patients.  相似文献   

16.
《IRBM》2023,44(3):100748
ObjectivesEsophageal cancer is a high occult malignant tumor. Even with good diagnosis and treatment, the 5-year survival rate of esophageal cancer patients is still less than 30%. Considering the influence of clinical characteristics on postoperative esophageal cancer patients, the construction of a neural network model will help improve the poor prognosis of patients in the five years.Material and methodsIn this study, genetic algorithm optimized deep neural network is exploited to the clinical dataset of esophageal cancer. The independent prognostic factors are screened by Relief algorithm and Cox proportional risk regression. FTD prognostic staging system is established to assess the risk level of esophageal cancer patients.ResultsFTD staging system and independent prognostic factors are integrated into the genetic algorithm optimized deep neural network. The Area Under Curve (AUC) of FTD staging system is 0.802. FTD staging system is verified by the Kaplan-Meier survival curve, and the median survival time is divided for different risk grades. The FTD staging system is superior to the TNM stages in the prognosis effect. The AUC of deep neural network optimized by genetic algorithm is 0.91.ConclusionThe deep neural network optimized by genetic algorithm has good performance in predicting the 5-year survival status of esophageal cancer patients. The FTD staging system has a significant prognostic effect. The FTD staging system and genetic algorithm optimized deep neural network can be successfully availed in clinical diagnosis and treatment.  相似文献   

17.
A potential cytological nuclear grading based on a semi-quantitative evaluation of three basic nuclear features, size of cell nuclei, anisonucleosis and the proportion of nucleoli-containing-nuclei, was tested on 74 Giemsa-stained fine needle aspiration of breast smears for its reliability in establishing the malignant potential of breast cancer. The prognostic impact of DNA-ploidy and S-phase fraction was also assessed. A good correlation between the three basic nuclear features, DNA-ploidy, S-phase fraction, cytological nuclear grade and histological grade, was shown. Using the cytological nuclear grade proposed, correct classification of cases between low histological grade (HG I) and high histological grade (HG II + HG III) was achieved in 79.73%. A statistically significant difference in 5-year survival rate was also observed between low malignancy grade and high malignancy grade breast cancer patients, regardless of the grading method used. DNA-ploidy and S-phase fraction were not statistically significant in establishing the malignant potential of breast cancer.  相似文献   

18.
19.
《Translational oncology》2021,14(12):101216
ObjectivesTo evaluate long-term outcomes of induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with N3 disease.Materials and methodsFrom September 2005 to August 2016, 143 patients confirmed NPC with the 8th AJCC/UICC staging criteria N3 were reviewed. All patients received IC followed by IMRT and AC.ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 67 months, the 5-year and 10-year overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis free survival (DMFS), local progression-free survival (LPFS) and regional progression-free survival (RPFS) were 75.7% and 61.6%, 61.2% and 53.4%, 73.1% and 72.1%, 92.4% and 87%, 88.9% and 81.8%, respectively. Multivariate analyses indicated that T stage (P = 0.001) appeared to be prognostic factors for OS. T stage (P = 0.001 and P = 0.002) and neck lymph node necrosis (P = 0.015 and P = 0.045) were independent predictors of PFS and DMFS. The acute toxicities were mainly grade 1/2 hematologic toxicities in patients treated with IC+IMRT+AC, and severe toxicities were uncommon.ConclusionsIC followed by IMRT and AC achieved satisfactory long-term survival outcomes in NPC patients with N3 disease. Neck lymph node necrosis and late T stage served as predictors of poor prognosis for patients.  相似文献   

20.
Prognostic models are generally used to predict gastric cancer outcomes. However, no model combining patient-, tumor- and host-related factors has been established to predict outcomes after radical gastrectomy, especially outcomes of patients without nodal involvement. The aim of this study was to develop a prognostic model based on the systemic inflammatory response and clinicopathological factors of resectable gastric cancer and determine whether the model can improve prognostic accuracy in node-negative patients. We reviewed the clinical, laboratory, histopathological and survival data of 1397 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy between 2007 and 2013. Patients were split into development and validation sets of 1123 and 274 patients, respectively. Among all 1397 patients, 545 had node-negative gastric cancer; 440 were included in the development set, 105 were included in the validation set. A prognostic model was constructed from the development set. The scoring system was based on hazard ratios in a Cox proportional hazard model. In the multivariate analysis, age, tumor size, Lauren type, depth of invasion, lymph node metastasis, and the neutrophil—lymphocyte ratio were independent prognostic indicators of overall survival. A prognostic model was then established based on the significant factors. Patients were categorized into five groups according to their scores. The 3-year survival rates for the low- to high-risk groups were 98.9%, 92.8%, 82.4%, 58.4%, and 36.9%, respectively (P < 0.001). The prognostic model clearly discriminated patients with stage pT1-4N0M0 tumor into four risk groups with significant differences in the 3-year survival rates (P < 0.001). Compared with the pathological T stage, the model improved the predictive accuracy of the 3-year survival rate by 5% for node-negative patients. The prognostic scores also stratified the patients with stage pT4aN0M0 tumor into significantly different risk groups (P = 0.004). Furthermore, the predictive value of this model was validated in an independent set of 274 patients. This model, which included the systemic inflammatory markers and clinicopathological factors, is more effective in predicting the prognosis of node-negative gastric cancer than traditional staging systems. Patients in the high-risk group might be good candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy.  相似文献   

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