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1.
Assessing wildlife management action requires monitoring populations, and abundance often is the parameter monitored. Recent methodological advances have enabled estimation of mean abundance within a habitat using presence–absence or count data obtained via repeated visits to a sample of sites. These methods assume populations are closed and intuitively assume habitats within sites change little during a field season. However, many habitats are highly variable over short periods. We developed a variation of existing occupancy and abundance models that allows for extreme spatio-temporal differences in habitat, and resulting changes in wildlife abundance, among sites and among visits to a site within a field season. We conducted our study in sugarcane habitat within the Everglades Agricultural Area southeast of Lake Okeechobee in south Florida. We counted wintering birds, primarily passerines, within 245 sites usually 5 times at each site during December 2006–March 2007. We estimated occupancy and mean abundance of birds in 6 vegetation states during the sugarcane harvest and allowed these parameters to vary temporally or spatially within a vegetation state. Occupancy and mean abundance of the common yellowthroat (Geothlypis trichas) was affected by structure of sugarcane and uncultivated edge vegetation (occupancy = 1.00 [ = 0.96–1.00] and mean abundance = 7.9 [ = 3.2–19.5] in tall sugarcane with tall edge vegetation versus 0.20 [ = 0.04–0.71] and 0.22 [ = 0.04–1.2], respectively, in short sugarcane with short edge vegetation in one half of the study area). Occupancy and mean abundance of palm warblers (Dendroica palmarum) were constant (occupancy = 1.00, = 0.69–1.00; mean abundance = 18, = 1–270). Our model may enable wildlife managers to assess rigorously effects of future edge habitat management on avian distribution and abundance within agricultural landscapes during winter or the breeding season. The model may also help wildlife managers make similar management decisions involving other dynamic habitats such as wetlands, prairies, and even forested areas if forest management or fires occur during the field season. © 2011 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

2.
Duckling survival is an important component of mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) recruitment and population growth, yet many factors regulating duckling survival are poorly understood. We investigated factors affecting mallard duckling survival in the drift prairie of northeastern North Dakota, 2006–2007. Mammalian meso-predators were removed by trapping on 4 92.3 km2 study sites and another 4 study sites served as controls. We monitored 169 broods using telemetry and periodic resighting, and we modeled cumulative survival to 30 days of age using the nest survival module in Program MARK. Duckling survival was not affected by predator removal ( , 85% CI: 0.182–0.234; , 85% CI: 0.155–0.211) and was only weakly negatively correlated with duckling density. Duckling survival was higher in 2007 ( , 85% CI: 0.193–0.355) than 2006 ( , 85% CI: 0.084–0.252) and increased with total seasonal and semipermanent wetland area and declined with perennial cover in the surrounding landscape. Broods that hatched earlier in the season (especially in 2006) and ducklings that were heavier at hatch also had higher survival. Our estimates of duckling survival are among the lowest reported for mallards and contradict previous research in Saskatchewan that found predator removal increased duckling survival. However, our results are consistent with other studies suggesting that earlier hatch date, increased wetland availability, and better duckling condition lead to increased survival. Management actions that increase wetland density, improve nest success early in the season, and potentially target brood-specific predators such as mink (Neovison vison) would likely lead to higher duckling survival. © 2011 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

3.
Let x1x2x3 … ≤xr be the r smallest observations out of n observations from a location-scale family with density $ \frac{1}{\sigma}f\left({\frac{{x - \mu}}{\sigma}} \right) $ where μ and σ are the location and the scale parameters respectively. The goal is to construct a prediction interval of the form $ \left({\hat \mu + k_1 \hat \sigma,\,\hat \mu + k_2 \hat \sigma} \right) $ for a location-scale invariant function, T(Y) = T(Y1, …, Ym), of m future observations from the same distribution. Given any invariant estimators $ \hat \mu $ and $ \hat \sigma $, we have developed a general procedure for how to compute the values of k1 and k2. The two attractive features of the procedure are that it does not require any distributional knowledge of the joint distribution of the estimators beyond their first two raw moments and $ \hat \mu $ and $ \hat \sigma $ can be any invariant estimators of μ and σ. Examples with real data have been given and extensive simulation study showing the performance of the procedure is also offered.  相似文献   

4.
Estimating the dynamics of furbearer populations is challenging because their elusive behavior and low densities make observations difficult. Statistical population reconstruction is a flexible approach to demographic assessment for harvested populations, but the technique has not been applied to furbearers. We extended this approach to furbearers and analyzed 8 yr of age-at-harvest data for American marten (Martes americana) in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Marten abundance estimates showed a general downward trend from an estimate of = 1,733.3 animals in 2000 to = 1,163.9 in 2007. The harvest probability of martens increased nearly 5-fold from 0.0542 in 2000 to 0.2637 in 2007, which corresponded to a 5-fold increase in trap-nights. Continued monitoring of martens in the Upper Peninsula, Michigan, and a reassessment of current harvest regulations are necessary given the estimated decreases. Moreover, we do not encourage the use of harvest indices as the sole technique to assess the status and trends of marten and fisher populations. Auxiliary studies in the Upper Peninsula, Michigan, will allow for continued use and improvement in the application of these models. © 2011 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

5.
In this paper it is shown that if N= \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^{S_h} $\end{document} cihNih, where cih are some non-negative integer numbers and Nih are such incidence matrices that Ah = \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^{S_h} $\end{document} i Nih is a balanced matrix defined by SHAH (1959), for h = 1, 2,…, p, then a block design with an incidence matrix Ñ = [N, N,…,N] is an equi-replicated balanced block design. Here the balance of a block design is defined in terms of the matrix M0 introduced by CALI?SKI (1971).  相似文献   

6.
Much of the breeding range for the mountain plover (Charadrius montanus) occurs in shortgrass steppe and mixed-grass prairie in the western Great Plains of North America. Studies of mountain plovers in shortgrass steppe during the 1970s and 1990s were focused in Weld County, Colorado, which was considered a key breeding area for the species. These studies, however, did not include habitats influenced by black-tailed prairie dogs (Cynomys ludovicianus) or prescribed fire. The role of these 2 rangeland disturbance processes has increased substantially over the past 15 years. During 2008–2009, I used radial distance point count surveys to estimate mountain plover densities early in the nesting season in 4 habitats on public lands in Weld County, Colorado. All 4 habitats were grazed by cattle during the growing season at moderate stocking rates but had different additional disturbances consisting of 1) dormant-season prescribed burns, 2) active black-tailed prairie dog colonies, 3) black-tailed prairie dog colonies affected by epizootic plague in the past 1–2 years, and 4) rangeland with no recent history of fire or prairie dogs. Mountain plover densities were similar on active black-tailed prairie dog colonies ( = 6.8 birds/km2, 95% CI = 4.3–10.6) and prescribed burns ( = 5.6 birds/km2, 95% CI = 3.5–9.1). In contrast, no plovers were detected at randomly selected rangeland sites grazed by cattle but lacking recent disturbance by prairie dogs or fire, even though survey effort was highest for this rangeland habitat. Mountain plover densities were intermediate (2.0 birds/km2, 95% CI = 0.8–5.0) on sites where black-tailed prairie dogs had recently been extirpated by plague. These findings suggest that prescribed burns and active black-tailed prairie dog colonies may enhance breeding habitat for mountain plovers in shortgrass steppe and illustrate the potential for suppressed or altered disturbance processes to influence habitat availability for declining wildlife species. © 2011 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

7.
Environmental factors, such as forest characteristics, have been linked to fawn survival in eastern and southern white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) populations. In the Great Plains, less is known about how intrinsic and habitat factors influence fawn survival. During 2007–2009, we captured and radiocollared 81 fawns in north-central South Dakota and recorded 23 mortalities, of which 18 died before 1 September. Predation accounted for 52.2% of mortality; remaining mortality included human (hunting, vehicle, and farm accident; 26.1%) and hypothermia (21.7%). Coyotes (Canis latrans) accounted for 83.3% of predation on fawns. We used known-fate analysis in Program MARK to estimate summer (15 May–31 Aug) survival rates and investigated the influence of intrinsic and habitat variables on survival. We developed 2 a priori model sets, including intrinsic variables and a test of annual variation in survival (model set 1) and habitat variables (model set 2). Model set 1 indicated that summer survival varied among years (2007–2009); annual survival rates were 0.94 (SE = 0.06, n = 22), 0.78 (SE = 0.09, n = 27), and 0.54 (SE = 0.10, n = 32), respectively. Model set 2 indicated that survival was further influenced by patch density of cover habitats (Conservation Reserve Program [CRP]-grasslands, forested cover, and wetlands). Mean CRP-grassland and wetland patch density (no. patches/100 ha) were greater (P < 0.001) in home-range areas of surviving fawns ( = 1.81, SE = 0.10, n = 63; = 1.75, SE = 0.14, n = 63, respectively) than in home-range areas of fawns that died ( = 0.16, SE = 0.04, n = 18; = 1.28, SE = 0.10, n = 18, respectively). Mean forested cover patch density was less (P < 0.001) in home-range areas of surviving fawns ( = 0.77, SE = 0.10, n = 63) than in home-range areas of fawns that died ( = 1.49, SE = 0.21, n = 18). Our results indicate that management activities should focus on CRP-grassland and wetland habitats in order to maintain or improve fawn survival in the northern Great Plains, rather than forested cover composed primarily of tree plantings and shelterbelts. © 2012 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

8.
It was found that the cellular Na+-concentration (C) of Lodderomyces elongisporus D is depended on the extracellular K+-concentration (C). The relationship can be described by an equation in the form The function of the natrium ion seem to be to support the utilisation rate of potassium ion at lower extracellular K+-concentration.  相似文献   

9.
An attempt is made to give a thermodynamic interpretation of the complete temperature profile curve of ethanol formation. Taking into consideration an enhancing competition between thermal activation and thermal deactivation of ethanol formation at increasing temperatures and supposing that the ethanol production is affected by a reversible and an irreversible term of thermal deactivation of a modified ARRHENIUS equation being current for the total biokinetic sphere may be derived: . The quantities ΔH and ΔHD2T are identical with the temperature functions of the change of entropy caused by reversible and irreversible deactivation of ethanol formation, respectively. Accordingly for the yeast strain Saccharomyces cerevisiae Sc 5 the calculated entropy coefficients of reversible and irreversible thermal deactivation of ethanol formation amount to C = (0.245± 0.013) kJ/mol · deg.2 and C = (1.657 ± 0.046) kJ/mol · deg.2.  相似文献   

10.
In this article, we consider r observations from a non‐homogeneous censored Markov chain, with transition probability matrix P. For the product estimator of P proposed by Aalen and Johansen (1978) and Phelan (1988), we investigate the behavior of Bayesian bootstrap clones to approximate the sampling distribution of , and then construct approximate confidence interval. It is shown that the approximation based on the random‐weighted distribution is first‐order consistent. The performance of the Bayesian bootstrap clones (BBC) is also discussed by small sample simulation. Finally, we illustrate the BBC procedure in the application to the WHO malaria survey data (cf. Singer and Cohen 1970).  相似文献   

11.
G. Weill  J. Sturm 《Biopolymers》1975,14(12):2537-2553
Theoretical expressions are derived for the change in the polarized components of the fluorescence, resulting from the orientation of a rigid molecule bearing a chromophore with arbitrary angles for the absorption and transition moments \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \vec \mu _a $\end{document} and \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \vec \mu _e $\end{document} with respect to the molecular axis. The break in the symmetry relation HV = VH is related to the tilt angle between \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \vec \mu _a $\end{document} and \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \vec \mu _e $\end{document}. The theory is applied to a sonicated DNA–2-hydroxy-4,4′-diamidinostilbene complex, in the blue and red emission bands of this peculiar dye. Simultaneous measurements of linear dichroism and fluorescence lead to the determination of an angle of 47° between a fluorescent bound dye and the DNA axis, with no difference for the blue- and red-emitting species, but confirm the presence of nonfluorescent bound dye in a more perpendicular arrangement.  相似文献   

12.
R T Ingwall  P J Flory 《Biopolymers》1972,11(7):1527-1539
Optical anisotropies γ2 of N-t-butylacetamide (tBA), N-Methylacetamide (MA), and N, N-dimethylacetamide (DMA) have been determined from the Rayleigh ratios for depolarzed scattering by dilute solutions of the amides in p-dioxane. Traceless optical polarizability tensors \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \widehat{\rm \alpha } $\end{document} for the amides are derived from these results in conjunction with the Kerr constant for tBA determined by LeGèvre and co-workers. It is shown that the tensor \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \widehat{\rm \alpha } $\end{document}i for the glycyle unit in a polypeptide chain may be identified with \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \widehat{\rm \alpha } $\end{document}MA . Methods for deriving corresponding tensors for other peptide units are indicated and the traceless polarizability tensor \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \widehat{\rm \alpha } $\end{document} for a polypeptide chain in any specified configuration is formulated.  相似文献   

13.
Box turtles are being extirpated from much of their former range and remaining populations often live in association with anthropogenically altered habitats. This is particularly evident at the northern distributional limit of eastern box turtles (Terrapene carolina carolina) and is an important factor to consider during the winter months when their ability to respond to microclimatic change is limited. Using temperature dataloggers, we studied the hibernal microclimate of box turtles and associated habitat following timber harvests. We monitored the body temperatures of 38 eastern box turtles and collected detailed air and soil profile temperatures of 12 box turtle hibernacula, 6 clearcuts, and 6 adjacent forested areas during the hibernal season (winter 2009–2010). We partitioned the hibernal season into 2 biologically significant thermal periods: hibernation and emergence. The mean hibernation body temperature averaged (3.28° C, SE = 0.09) and corresponded to an average depth of 10 cm. Clearcuts were consistently colder ( = 1.91° C) than forests ( = 2.68° C) and hibernacula ( = 2.77° C) during hibernation, but became the warmest areas during emergence ( = 9.96° C). We found that in the average clearcut, turtles could burrow to approximately 20 cm to attain the average hibernation body temperature or to approximately 15 cm to attain a body temperature no different than those overwintering on colder, northeast-facing slopes in the forest ( = 2.83° C). Alternatively, we found that southwest-facing slopes were warmer and if turtles chose to overwinter only in clearcuts on those slopes, they could remain shallower. All but 1 turtle overwintered in forested areas; however, our study suggests that some timber harvested areas offer various microhabitats exploitable by hibernating box turtles based on soil profile temperatures, slope aspect, and depth of hibernation. © 2012 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

14.
In 1994, Delta Waterfowl Foundation began trapping mammalian meso-predators in North Dakota during the breeding season in an attempt to increase waterfowl nest success and enhance recruitment into the fall flight and subsequent breeding population. Multiple studies on these sites demonstrated that removing predators results in near doubling of nest success, which previous simulation modeling suggests is the most influential vital rate influencing the population growth rate of mid-continent mallards (Anas platyrhynchos). We present an assessment of the impact of predator removal on mallard production using population models. We conducted this study on 9 township-sized (93.2 km2) sites (4–8 sites annually per vital rate) in northeastern North Dakota from 2006–2008. Trappers removed mammalian meso-predators on 5 sites and the other 4 served as unmanaged reference sites. To estimate recruitment, we used derived estimates and process variance of pair numbers, hen success (nest survival corrected for renesting), initial brood size, pre-fledging survival, and post-fledging survival, along with previously published estimates of breeding propensity and adult female survival rates. Trapped sites had greater hen success (H = 0.69, = 0.03) than reference sites (H = 0.53, = 0.06), but similar indicated breeding pairs, initial brood size, and pre-fledging survival. We estimated that females on trapped sites added 140 more mallards of both sexes to the fall flight than females on reference sites, at an approximate cost of $74.29 per incremental mallard. Additionally, trapping predators provided a marginal increase (0.04) in finite population growth. We found that predator removal targeted at mammalian nest predators did not produce as many incremental mallards as previously thought and may not be a viable strategy for increasing mallard productivity under conditions similar to those observed during this study. We conducted a sensitivity analysis and determined that pre-fledging survival was the most influential factor regulating mallard population growth. Although hen success increased as a result of trapping, duckling survival became a limiting factor. We suggest that waterfowl managers assess multiple vital rates to determine the likelihood that management actions focused on a single parameter, such as nest success, will yield desired population level effects. © 2012 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

15.
The influence of proline cis-trans isomerization on the kinetics of lysozyme unfolding was examined carefully according to the theory of Hagerman and Baldwin [(1976) Biochemistry 15, 1462–1473]. As a result, the kinetics of lysozyme unfolding was found to follow the two-state transition model well. The temperature dependencies of kuf and kf over a wide temperature range showed that ΔC = 0 and ΔC = ?6.7 kJ K?1 mol?1 in solutions of different concentrations of GuHCl. The data observed in solutions containing other denaturants also supported the conclusion that ΔC is nearly equal to zero. The activation enthalpies of unfolding (ΔH) were observed at various concentrations of several kinds of denaturants. They were independent of species and concentrations of denaturants ΔH = 200 kJ mol?1). These facts indicate that the aspect of interaction between protein and different kinds of solvent molecules varies only slightly during the unfolding to the transition state, that is, the transition state is at compact as the native one. Therefore, it is also suggested that ΔH of 200 kJ mol?1 is primarily required for the disruption of long-range interactions among different structural domains through a subtle conformational change. We compared the effects of several kinds of denaturants on the unfolding rate. The addition of PrOH more remarkably increases the unfolding rate than do other hydrophilic denaturants. This is probably because PrOH molecules can penetrate into the hydrophobic core of lysozyme, but hydrophilic reagents cannot because of the compactness of the transition state.  相似文献   

16.
Scientists estimate seed abundances to calculate seasonal carrying capacities and assess wetland management actions for waterfowl and other wildlife using soil core samples. We evaluated recovery of known quantities of moist-soil seeds from whole and subsampled experimental core samples containing 12 seed taxa representing small, medium, and large size classes. We recovered 86.3% (SE = 1.8) of all seeds added to experimental cores; 8.3% (SE = 1.2) of seeds were destroyed during the sieving process and 5.4% (SE = 1.2) were not recovered by observers. Recovery rates varied by seed size, but not seed quantity or disproportionate ratios of seed-size classes. Overall seed recovery rates were similar between subsampled ( = 81.2%, SE = 3.6) and whole–processed core samples ( = 86.3%, SE = 1.8). We used recovery rates to generate size-specific, taxon-specific, and constant correction factors and applied each to actual core sample data. Size-specific correction factors increased seed mass estimates in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley ( = 10.1%, SE = 0.32), upper Midwest ( = 21.2%, SE = 0.61), and both regions combined ( = 15.7%, SE = 0.51) differently, as seed composition in core samples varied regionally. We suggest scientists consider using size-specific correction factors to account for seed recovery bias in core samples because these factors may be applied to a variety of taxa and produced similar mass estimates as taxon-specific correction factors. However, if data from core samples are unavailable at the resolution of seed size classes, we suggest increasing seed mass estimates by 16% to account for seed recovery bias. © 2011 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

17.
The relationship between cytosolic concentrations of Ca2+ (Ca) and Na+ (Na) were studied in preparations of rat submandibular and pancreatic acini loaded with the Ca2+-sensitive dye Fura-2 or the Na+-sensitive dye SBFI. Pancreatic acini showed no changes in Na during either transient or persistent changes in Ca. Increases in Ca produced by exposure of submandibular gland acini to carbachol, a muscarinic cholinergic agonist, were followed by an increase in Na after a delay of 5–10 s. When Ca2+ stores were mobilized without Ca2+ influx Na also increased, but in acini loaded with BAPTA, a nonfluorescent Ca2+ chelator, the transient increase in Ca2+ caused by mobilization of stored Ca2+ was virtually abolished, as was the increase in Na. In the presence of ionomycin, increases in Ca were followed by increases in Na. Ca2+-dependent increases in Na were abolished in Na+-free buffer and by the presence of furosemide, a blocker of Na+-K+-2Cl cotransport. In other studies, extracellular ATP (ATPo) produced an increase in Ca and Na. The steady-state increase in Ca was reduced by increasing extracellular Na+ concentrations (Na) in dose-dependent fashion (IC50 = 16.4 ± 4.7 mM Na+). Likewise, increasing Na reduced ATPo-stimulated 45Ca2+ uptake at steady state (IC50 = 15.8 ± 9.2 mM Na+). Changing Na had no effect on carbachol-stimulated increases in Ca. We conclude that, in rat submandibular gland acini, ATPo promotes an increase in Ca and Na via a common influx pathway and that, under physiologic conditions, Na+ significantly limits the ATPo-stimulated increase in Ca. In the presence of carbachol, however, Na rises in Ca-dependent fashion in submandibular gland acini via stimulation of Na+-K+-2Cl cotransport. © 1996 Wiley-Liss, Inc.  相似文献   

18.
Rio Grande wild turkey (Meleagris gallopavo intermedia) nests suffer high predation rates exceeding 65%, which may limit recruitment. We evaluated post-nesting movements of reproductively active female Rio Grande wild turkeys. We monitored 194 nesting attempts between 2005 and 2010 and documented 17% and 32% overall apparent nest success for the Edwards Plateau and Central Rio Grande Plains study regions, respectively. Rio Grande wild turkey hens move approximately 1.2 km (SD = 0.7) between nesting attempts within a nesting season and approximately 1.4 km (SD = 1.6) between initial nesting attempts among years. Rio Grande wild turkey hens selected open areas with moderate woody cover for nesting ( = 37.7%; range = 3.0–88.2%). Patchiness of vegetation in the nesting landscape also was borne out by typically low edge-to-area ratios ( = 0.20; range = 0.040–0.732). We found no clear pattern in movement distance and either landscape composition or edge-to-area ratio for within or between breeding season nest site selection for either the Edwards Plateau or Central Rio Grande Plains study region. Based on our results, movement distances post-nest failure do not seem to influence habitat selection. © 2012 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

19.
The presence of both book lungs and a tracheal system in many spiders raises the question of the functional significance of this double respiratory system. The present physiological and morphometric study of the house spider (Tegenaria spp.) reveals that the diffusing capacity (Dto2) of the lungs alone suffices during rest and following exercise to meet measured rates of oxygen consumption (\documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \mathop {\rm V}\limits^{\rm.} $\end{document}o2) at driving pressures (ΔPto 2) similar to those calculated for vertebrate lungs. During moulting ΔPto 2 may rise to more than double the vertebrate values, implying the possible insufficiency of book lungs during this critical life phase. Resting \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \mathop {\rm V}\limits^{\rm .} $\end{document}o2 is greatest (92 mm3/h · g) during the early morning and lowest (66 mm3/h · g) near midday: during moulting \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \mathop {\rm V}\limits^{\rm .} $\end{document}o2 rises to 278.7 mm3/h · g. In spiders recovering from exercise \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \mathop {\rm V}\limits^{\rm .} $\end{document}o2 is consistently greater than during rest: neither value is significantly reduced by blockage of the tracheal stigmas. Regression calculations of morphometric values for a hypothetical 100-mg Tegenaria yield a total lung volume of 0.578 mm3, a pulmonary surface area of 69.8 mm2, and a surface-to-volume ratio of 120.89 mm2/mm3. In spite of the similar thickness of the chitinous and hypodermal components of the air-hemolymph barrier (each ca. 0.2 μm in nonmoulting animals), the low permeability of chitin for oxygen makes this layer the greater barrier to diffusion. For a 100-mg specimen Dto2 is 3.5 mm3/h · torr: similar to that of a turtle (Pseudemys) on a gram-body weight basis.  相似文献   

20.
Designing monitoring programs to evaluate trends in low-density wildlife species at regional scales is challenging given difficulties detecting uncommon organisms distributed in potential habitats over large spatial extents. The northern goshawk (Accipiter gentilis) has been petitioned for listing under the Endangered Species Act and the review of the petition indicated a need for information on population trend. To evaluate trends in goshawk populations, the U.S. Forest Service developed the Northern Goshawk Bioregional Monitoring Design to estimate goshawk occupancy over broad spatial extents. We adapted and implemented this design to approximately 30,600 km2 of 88,128 km2 of National Forest System lands in the Forest Service Rocky Mountain Region, including portions of Colorado, Wyoming, and South Dakota. We developed a stratified random design to monitor goshawk occupancy in sampling units, defined by primary and secondary habitat quality as well as accessibility. To define habitat quality, we examined a time series for 58 previously located nesting territories. Using logistic regression, we found that the dominant conifer species and status of aspen in postfledging zones best characterized high-quality goshawk nesting habitat. We applied model results to stratify 4,445 sampling units based on habitat quality and further stratified sampling units based on accessibility into easy and difficult access categories. We conducted field sampling during the goshawk breeding season in the summer of 2006 to estimate detection probabilities and occupancy rates. Within our sampling frame, we sampled 51 sampling units and estimated goshawk occupancy of 0.329 (95% CI: 0.213–0.445). Occupancy within primary strata (high quality) sampling units was 0.811 (SE = 0.113), whereas occupancy in secondary strata (lower quality) sampling units was 0.124 (SE = 0.067). Future implementation of this monitoring program can achieve 0.8 power to detect 30–40% declines in with 140 sampling units. Our implementation of a stratified sampling design to monitor occupancy of goshawks at a region-wide scale reduced the number of sampling units in each administrative unit and focused our efforts on those areas most likely to have goshawks. © 2011 The Wildlife Society.  相似文献   

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