A whole-genome single nucleotide polymorphism-based approach to trace and identify outbreaks linked to a common Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica serovar Montevideo pulsed-field gel electrophoresis type

In this study, we report a whole-genome single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based evolutionary approach to study the epidemiology of a multistate outbreak of Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica serovar Montevideo. This outbreak included 272 cases that occurred in 44 states between July 2009 and April 2010. A case-control study linked the consumption of salami made with contaminated black and red pepper to the outbreak. We sequenced, on the SOLiD System, 47 isolates with XbaI PFGE pattern JIXX01.0011, a common pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) pattern associated with isolates from the outbreak. These isolates represented 20 isolates collected from human sources during the period of the outbreak and 27 control isolates collected from human, food, animal, and environmental sources before the outbreak. Based on 253 high-confidence SNPs, we were able to reconstruct a tip-dated molecular clock phylogeny of the isolates and to assign four human isolates to the actual outbreak. We developed an SNP typing assay to rapidly discriminate between outbreak-related cases and non-outbreak-related cases and tested this assay on an extended panel of 112 isolates. These results suggest that only a very small percentage of the human isolates with the outbreak PFGE pattern and obtained during the outbreak period could be attributed to the actual pepper-related outbreak (20%), while the majority (80%) of the putative cases represented background cases. This study demonstrates that next-generation-based SNP typing provides the resolution and accuracy needed for outbreak investigations of food-borne pathogens that cannot be distinguished by currently used subtyping methods.     

Mitochondrial DNA sequence diversity in extant Irish horse populations and in ancient horses

Equine mitochondrial DNA sequence variation was investigated in three indigenous Irish horse populations (Irish Draught Horse, Kerry Bog Pony and Connemara Pony) and, for context, in 69 other horse populations. There was no evidence of Irish Draught Horse or Connemara Pony sequence clustering, although the majority of Irish Draught Horse sequences (47%) were assigned to haplogroup D. Conversely, 31% of the Kerry Bog Pony sequences were assigned to the rare haplogroup E. In addition to the extant population analyses, ancient DNA sequences were generated from three out of four Irish archaeological specimens, all of which were assigned to haplogroup A.     

A foreigner in Ireland

Those beautiful blue eucalyptus leaves in your Valentine's bouquet may be the product of the new cut-foliage industry in County Kerry, Ireland. Initially, commercial plantations were the victims of an insect accidentally imported from Australia, but two years ago a natural enemy was released and has proven to be an effective control agent for the pest.     

An outbreak of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis in Yugoslavia in 1973.

An outbreak of approximately 200 cases of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis is described in Prekmurje, a northern province in Yugoslavia. The epidemic was caused by enterovirus type 70, serologically identical with the causative agents of similar outbreaks in London and Japan. The origin of the outbreak could not be elucidated but a link was seen between this case and a small outbreak in Veenendaal in the Netherlands.     

A survey of the hybridisation status of Cervus deer species on the island of Ireland

Red deer (Cervus elaphus) did not recolonise Ireland after the last glaciation, but the population in Co. Kerry is descended from an ancient (c. 5000 BP) introduction and merits conservation. During the mid-19th century exotic species including North American wapiti (C. canadensis) and Japanese sika deer (C. nippon nippon) were introduced to Ireland, mainly via Powerscourt Park, Co. Wicklow. While wapiti failed to establish, sika thrived, dispersed within Co. Wicklow and were translocated to other sites throughout Ireland. Red deer and sika are known to have hybridised in Ireland, particularly in Co. Wicklow, but an extensive survey with a large, highly diagnostic marker panel is required to assess the threat hybridisation potentially poses to the Co. Kerry red deer population. Here, 374 individuals were genotyped at a panel of 22 microsatellites and at a single mtDNA marker that are highly diagnostic for red deer and Japanese sika. The microsatellites are also moderately diagnostic for red deer and wapiti. Wapiti introgression was very low [trace evidence in 2 (0.53 %) individuals]. Despite long-standing sympatry of red deer and sika in the area, no red deer-sika hybrids were detected in Co. Kerry suggesting strong assortative mating by both species in this area. However, 80/197 (41 %) of deer sampled in Co. Wicklow and 7/15 (47 %) of deer sampled in Co. Cork were red-sika hybrids. Given their proximity and that hybrids are less likely to mate assortatively than pure individuals, the Co. Cork hybrids pose a threat to the Co. Kerry red deer.     

The COVID-19 outbreak in Sichuan,China: Epidemiology and impact of interventions

In January 2020, a COVID-19 outbreak was detected in Sichuan Province of China. Six weeks later, the outbreak was successfully contained. The aim of this work is to characterize the epidemiology of the Sichuan outbreak and estimate the impact of interventions in limiting SARS-CoV-2 transmission. We analyzed patient records for all laboratory-confirmed cases reported in the province for the period of January 21 to March 16, 2020. To estimate the basic and daily reproduction numbers, we used a Bayesian framework. In addition, we estimated the number of cases averted by the implemented control strategies. The outbreak resulted in 539 confirmed cases, lasted less than two months, and no further local transmission was detected after February 27. The median age of local cases was 8 years older than that of imported cases. We estimated R₀ at 2.4 (95% CI: 1.6–3.7). The epidemic was self-sustained for about 3 weeks before going below the epidemic threshold 3 days after the declaration of a public health emergency by Sichuan authorities. Our findings indicate that, were the control measures be adopted four weeks later, the epidemic could have lasted 49 days longer (95% CI: 31–68 days), causing 9,216 more cases (95% CI: 1,317–25,545).     

An Outbreak of Cryptosporidium parvum across England & Scotland Associated with Consumption of Fresh Pre-Cut Salad Leaves,May 2012

BackgroundWe report a widespread foodborne outbreak of Cryptosporidium parvum in England and Scotland in May 2012. Cases were more common in female adults, and had no history of foreign travel. Over 300 excess cases were identified during the period of the outbreak. Speciation and microbiological typing revealed the outbreak strain to be C. parvum gp60 subtype IIaA15G2R1.MethodsHypothesis generation questionnaires were administered and an unmatched case control study was undertaken to test the hypotheses raised. Cases and controls were interviewed by telephone. Controls were selected using sequential digit dialling. Information was gathered on demographics, foods consumed and retailers where foods were purchased.ResultsSeventy-four laboratory confirmed cases and 74 controls were included in analyses. Infection was found to be strongly associated with the consumption of pre-cut mixed salad leaves sold by a single retailer. This is the largest documented outbreak of cryptosporidiosis attributed to a food vehicle.     

Community Involvement in Dengue Outbreak Control: An Integrated Rigorous Intervention Strategy

BackgroundAn explosive outbreak of dengue fever occurred in Guangdong Province, China in 2014. A community-based integrated intervention was applied to control this outbreak in the capital city Guangzhou, where dengue epidemic was mainly caused by imported cases.ConclusionsThis study suggests that an integrated dengue intervention program has significant effects to control a dengue outbreak in areas where dengue epidemic was mainly caused by imported dengue cases.     

Regional Differences of Leptospirosis in Sri Lanka: Observations from a Flood-Associated Outbreak in 2011

Leptospirosis is known to be an important cause of weather disaster-related infectious disease epidemics. In 2011, an outbreak of leptospirosis occurred in the relatively dry district of Anuradhapura, Sri Lanka where diagnosis was resisted by local practitioners because leptospirosis was not known in the area and the clinical presentation was considered atypical. To identify the causative Leptospira associated with this outbreak, we carried out a cross-sectional study. Consecutive clinically suspected cases in this district were studied during a two-and-a-half-month period. Of 96 clinically suspected cases, 32 (33.3%) were confirmed by qPCR, of which the etiological cause in 26 cases was identified using 16S rDNA sequencing to the species level. Median bacterial load was 4.1×10²/mL (inter-quartile range 3.1–6.1×10²/mL). In contrast to a 2008 Sri Lankan leptospirosis outbreak in the districts of Kegalle, Kandy, and Matale, in which a predominance of Leptospira interrogans serovars Lai and Geyaweera was found, most cases in the 2011 outbreak were caused by Leptospira kirschneri. Seven (21.9%) confirmed cases had acute renal failure; five (15.6%) had myocarditis; severe thrombocytopenia (<20,000/uL) was seen in five (15.6%) cases. This outbreak of leptospirosis in the relatively dry zone of Sri Lanka due primarily to L. kirschneri was characterized by markedly different clinical presentations and low leptospiremia. These observations and data demonstrate the public health relevance of molecular diagnostics in such settings, possibly related to the microgeographic variations of different Leptospira species, but of particular value to public health intervention in what appears to have been a regionally neglected tropical disease.     

Outbreak of Shigella sonnei in a rural hotel in La Gomera, Canary Islands, Spain.

Shigella sonnei is a significant cause of gastroenteritis in both developing and industrialized countries. Knowledge of the diversity and antimicrobial susceptibility of the bacterium may be helpful in the management of both individual cases and outbreaks. This study was undertaken to evaluate the molecular epidemiology of an outbreak of diarrhea due to S. sonnei. The outbreak involved 14 of 28 (50%) tourists in a small rural hotel in La Gomera, Canary Islands, Spain. All of the S. sonnei isolates recovered had the same antimicrobial susceptibility and pulsed-field gel electrophoresis patterns, suggesting that the outbreak was produced by a single strain.     

Using Bayes' Rule to Define the Value of Evidence from Syndromic Surveillance

In this work we propose the adoption of a statistical framework used in the evaluation of forensic evidence as a tool for evaluating and presenting circumstantial “evidence” of a disease outbreak from syndromic surveillance. The basic idea is to exploit the predicted distributions of reported cases to calculate the ratio of the likelihood of observing n cases given an ongoing outbreak over the likelihood of observing n cases given no outbreak. The likelihood ratio defines the Value of Evidence (V). Using Bayes'' rule, the prior odds for an ongoing outbreak are multiplied by V to obtain the posterior odds. This approach was applied to time series on the number of horses showing clinical respiratory symptoms or neurological symptoms. The separation between prior beliefs about the probability of an outbreak and the strength of evidence from syndromic surveillance offers a transparent reasoning process suitable for supporting decision makers. The value of evidence can be translated into a verbal statement, as often done in forensics or used for the production of risk maps. Furthermore, a Bayesian approach offers seamless integration of data from syndromic surveillance with results from predictive modeling and with information from other sources such as disease introduction risk assessments.     

Revaccination of children during school-based measles outbreaks: potential impact of a new policy recommendation.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the potential impact of revaccination on measles outbreak control during school-based epidemics. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Thirty-two public elementary and high schools in 14 communities on the west island of Montreal. PARTICIPANTS: All 19,439 children attending these schools during the 1989 measles epidemic in Quebec. INTERVENTION: After notification of a case children with provider-verified records of vaccination on or after their first birthday were identified; the remaining children were vaccinated or excluded from school. OUTCOME MEASURE: Clinical or confirmed measles cases not prevented by this intervention that could have been prevented had revaccination been included during the outbreak. RESULTS: Of the 88 measles cases (74 confirmed) proof of one adequate vaccination was present in 48 (55%). Intervention generally occurred within 5 school days after case notification. The nonpreventable cases involved 75 children who had measles onset before the intervention and 11 (7 vaccinated) who had onset within 8 days after the intervention. The two remaining cases occurred 20 and 25 days after the intervention among nonvaccinated students who refused to be vaccinated. Except for these two cases measles was eliminated at every school. Application of the new Canadian guidelines for measles outbreak control would have required the administration of at least 10,000 additional doses during the outbreak to students vaccinated before 1980; implementation of the new US guidelines would have required the administration of 16,629 additional doses to children previously vaccinated only once. Well-enforced provincial regulations ensuring vaccination of every student upon school entry might have prevented 38 (43%) of the cases. The US recommendation of two routine doses of vaccine before school entry might have prevented 86 (98%) of the cases. However, revaccination during the outbreak would not have prevented a single additional case. CONCLUSION: Revaccination of previously vaccinated students during a measles outbreak would have been costly and of little benefit.     

Use of plasmid profiling as a typing method for epidemiologically related Clostridium perfringens isolates from food poisoning cases and outbreaks

Plasmid profiling was used for the characterization of Clostridium perfringens isolates involved in disease outbreaks. The usefulness of this technique was demonstrated by the retrospective examination of food and patient isolates from 10 cases and outbreaks from 1984 to 1991. The origin of three outbreaks could be clearly confirmed due to identical plasmid profiles in all isolates. In one outbreak identical plasmid patterns were found between one food and one patient isolates, while one plasmid was missing in the second patient isolate. In an additional two cases a relationship between food and patient isolates is likely, if the possibility of the loss of one plasmid in one of the isolated strains is considered. In one outbreak two faecal isolates could be related to an isolate from one of the two foods implicated as outbreak source; isolates from the other food and a third faecal sample could not be linked to any other isolate. The results from three outbreaks were largely inconclusive because plasmids were not present either in all or in some of the isolates.     

Impact of quarantine on the 2003 SARS outbreak: a retrospective modeling study

During the 2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak, traditional intervention measures such as quarantine and border control were found to be useful in containing the outbreak. We used laboratory verified SARS case data and the detailed quarantine data in Taiwan, where over 150,000 people were quarantined during the 2003 outbreak, to formulate a mathematical model which incorporates Level A quarantine (of potentially exposed contacts of suspected SARS patients) and Level B quarantine (of travelers arriving at borders from SARS affected areas) implemented in Taiwan during the outbreak. We obtain the average case fatality ratio and the daily quarantine rate for the Taiwan outbreak. Model simulations is utilized to show that Level A quarantine prevented approximately 461 additional SARS cases and 62 additional deaths, while the effect of Level B quarantine was comparatively minor, yielding only around 5% reduction of cases and deaths. The combined impact of the two levels of quarantine had reduced the case number and deaths by almost a half. The results demonstrate how modeling can be useful in qualitative evaluation of the impact of traditional intervention measures for newly emerging infectious diseases outbreak when there is inadequate information on the characteristics and clinical features of the new disease-measures which could become particularly important with the looming threat of global flu pandemic possibly caused by a novel mutating flu strain, including that of avian variety.     

Public Health Investigation of Two Outbreaks of Shiga Toxin-Producing Escherichia coli O157 Associated with Consumption of Watercress

An increase in the number of cases of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157 phage type 2 (PT2) in England in September 2013 was epidemiologically linked to watercress consumption. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) identified a phylogenetically related cluster of 22 cases (outbreak 1). The isolates comprising this cluster were not closely related to any other United Kingdom strain in the Public Health England WGS database, suggesting a possible imported source. A second outbreak of STEC O157 PT2 (outbreak 2) was identified epidemiologically following the detection of outbreak 1. Isolates associated with outbreak 2 were phylogenetically distinct from those in outbreak 1. Epidemiologically unrelated isolates on the same branch as the outbreak 2 cluster included those from human cases in England with domestically acquired infection and United Kingdom domestic cattle. Environmental sampling using PCR resulted in the isolation of STEC O157 PT2 from irrigation water at one implicated watercress farm, and WGS showed this isolate belonged to the same phylogenetic cluster as outbreak 2 isolates. Cattle were in close proximity to the watercress bed and were potentially the source of the second outbreak. Transfer of STEC from the field to the watercress bed may have occurred through wildlife entering the watercress farm or via runoff water. During this complex outbreak investigation, epidemiological studies, comprehensive testing of environmental samples, and the use of novel molecular methods proved invaluable in demonstrating that two simultaneous outbreaks of STEC O157 PT2 were both linked to the consumption of watercress but were associated with different sources of contamination.     

Hospital outbreak of trimethoprim resistance in pathogenic coliform bacteria.

In an investigation of outbreak of infection caused by coliform bacilli with plasmid-mediated trimethoprim (TMP) resistance many patients were found to be asymptomatic carriers of TMP-resistant coliform bacilli. Analysis of factors predisposing to rectal carriage of these organisms showed that the most important was previous treatment with co-trimoxazole, a sulphonamide, or ampicillin. The outbreak was controlled by a policy restricting the antibiotics given. Geriatric units are an important source of hospital infection. When an outbreak occurs the logical sequence of steps to be taken is to monitor cases, identify the outbreaks, analyse the causative factors, plan corrective action jointly with laboratory staff, and monitor the outcome.     

呼吸内科重症监护室一起多重耐药鲍曼不动杆菌感染暴发的调查

目的及时发现医院感染暴发苗头,查找感染源,切断传播途径,最大限度减少医院感染发生。方法对2009年4月26～28日期间RICU发生的4例鲍曼不动杆菌感染病例进行聚集感染危险因素调查,采集标本进行目标菌检测,应用ERIC—PCR技术对聚集病例和散发病例菌株进行基因同源性分析,采取综合性防控措施进行医院感染具体干预。结果4例患者确定为医院感染病例,4例患者均有气管插管操作经历,3例患者环境卫生学检测存在耐药谱相同的鲍曼不动杆菌,ERIC—PCR分析4例患者检出的鲍曼不动杆菌具有基因同源性,确定为医院感染暴发。严格执行隔离防护措施和后续加强上呼吸机患者管理,未再出现聚集病例。结论医院感染暴发危及患者医疗安全,应用分子生物学分析手段可以促进医院感染防控措施的效果;加强上呼吸机患者的管理,加强手卫生的管理可以有效防控医院感染聚集暴发。     

Early onset of neurological features differentiates two outbreaks of Lassa fever in Ebonyi state,Nigeria during 2017–2018

Lassa fever (LF) is an acute viral haemorrhagic illness with various non-specific clinical manifestations. Neurological symptoms are rare at the early stage of the disease, but may be seen in late stages, in severely ill patients.The aim of this study was to describe the epidemiological evolution, socio-demographic profiles, clinical characteristics, and outcomes of patients seen during two Lassa fever outbreaks in Ebonyi State, between December 2017 and December 2018.Routinely collected clinical data from all patients admitted to the Virology Centre of the hospital during the period were analysed retrospectively. Out of a total of 83 cases, 70(84.3%) were RT-PCR confirmed while 13 (15.7%) were probable cases. Sixty-nine (83.1%) patients were seen in outbreak 1 of whom 53.6% were urban residents, while 19%, 15%, and 10% were farmers, students and health workers respectively. There were 14 (16.8%) patients, seen in second outbreak with 92.9% rural residents. There were differences in clinical symptoms, signs and laboratory findings between the two outbreaks. The case fatality rates were 29.9% in outbreak 1 and 85.7% for outbreak 2. Neurological features and abnormal laboratory test results were associated with higher mortality rate, seen in outbreak 2. This study revealed significant differences between the two outbreaks. Of particular concern was the higher case fatality during the outbreak 2 which may be from a more virulent strain of the Lassa virus. This has important public health implications and further molecular studies are needed to better define its characteristics.     

An outbreak of fetal and neonatal losses associated with the diagnosis of bovine viral diarrhea virus

A severe outbreak of dairy herd pregnancy wastage was investigated. At the beginning of the outbreak, a total of 121 lactating cattle were pregnant and considered to be at risk. Overall, 33.1% of the population at risk aborted, while 25.6% gave birth to calves that either died during the early neonatal period or demonstrated signs compatible with congenital defects (abnormal births). A laboratory diagnosis of bovine viral diarrhea virus (BVDV) infection was made in two surviving neonatal calves with symptoms of cerebellar hypoplasia and blindness. An on-farm investigation was conducted to determine if the abortions and abnormal births were associated with BVDV infection. The rate of abortions versus abnormal births was biphasic when graphed by the date of occurrence. The cases of abortion occurred early in the outbreak and were followed by the neonatal losses. Within the population at risk, the mean values for gestational age at the beginning of the outbreak were different between the subpopulations described by gestational outcome. The outcome of each pregnancy that existed at the beginning of the outbreak was determined. Classifications included normal birth (birth of a normal calf), abnormal birth (a neonatal loss of the type described above), abortion, and continued gestation (normal, uncompleted pregnancy). The average gestational age at the time of the index case (the first cases of pregnancy wastage) for these four pregnancy outcome classfications was 142.0, 106.2, 86.7 and 31.3 days, respectively. Reasons for assuming that this outbreak was related to BVDV are discussed.     

Rapid control of a chancroid outbreak: implications for Canada.

From June to November 1987 an outbreak of chancroid occurred in Winnipeg, the first in more than 10 years; 14 people (9 men, 5 women) were involved. Nine of the cases were confirmed through culture. A control strategy was implemented in November 1987 that included presumptive treatment of genital ulcer disease with single-dose antimicrobial therapy, intensive tracing of contacts and treatment of asymptomatic sexual contacts. The origin of the outbreak was not determined, and an epidemiologic link between all the patients could not be demonstrated. The isolates were found to contain the same plasmid; this suggested that a single clone of Haemophilus ducreyi was responsible for the outbreak.