Morbidity and mortality in acute viral hepatitides in a hyperendemic region. The role of viral hepatitis E

Official annual statistical data on morbidity in acute viral hepatitides (AVH), including the number of lethal cases, for 1985-1995 were analyzed. Mortality rates per 100,000 of the population at the period of 11 years were calculated for different age groups, sex and the place of residence. 396 and 99 patients were examined for the presence of serological markers of hepatitides A, B and E, respectively, at the periods of epidemic rises in morbidity and satisfactory epidemic situation. In the course of 11 years AVH caused the death of 22,405 persons. In 1985-1987 the average mortality level (ML) reached 12.3-17.8 per 100,000 of the population (with morbidity being 1,200-1,400 and was essentially higher among the rural population in comparison with the urban population. During these years the highest ML, was registered among children aged 0-2 years (190-50 per 100,000) and, among adults, mainly among women aged 20-29 years (21.4-19.6 per 100,000). During the years when the epidemic of AVH was absent, ML among these groups was essentially lower: 40-20 among children aged 0-2 years and 4-5 among women aged 20-29 years. In 1987 in the Fergana Valley hepatitis E was detected in 72.2% of all examined patients, and in the southern areas of the country in 68.7%. A sharp rise on mortality among women of the productive age at the period of the epidemic rise of AVH morbidity in the endemic region indicated that this epidemic was linked with hepatitis E. High ML among young children may be indicative of a highly unfavorable course of hepatitis E in the group of infants, which had never been registered before. This newly established regularity may be used for the retrospective diagnostics of the outbreak of hepatitis E.     

The epidemiological differential diagnostic signs of viral hepatitis A and viral hepatitis E]

A retrospective epidemiologic analysis of cases diagnosed as hepatitis A (HA) has been made in territories characterized by high intensity (4 towns in Central Asia) and low intensity (Novomoskovsk, Tula Province) of the epidemic process development. Morbidity structures for different age and social groups of the population, as well as the morbidity time course, both annual and over many years, were analyzed over 1973-1986. Specific features in the development of the epidemic process in HA and hepatitis E (HE), formerly called hepatitis non-A, non-B with the fecal/oral mechanism of the infection transmission, were studied. Twelve epidemiological differential diagnostic signs of these two infections were formulated, classified, and validated. Contribution of centralized water supply and sewage systems to the development of HE epidemic process and the regulating role of infectious immunological mechanisms in the development of HA epidemic process were demonstrated.     

Epidemiological analysis of hepatitis A morbidity

A retrospective epidemiological analysis of hepatitis A morbidity for many years among the population of two neighboring towns in the temperate climatic zone of the USSR has revealed the cyclic character of the epidemic process without a perceptible decrease in its extensiveness and has determined the high-risk groups, as well as the beginning of the seasonal rise of morbidity in these groups. The results of the study indicate that different levels of hepatitis A morbidity and risk groups can be observed in these two neighboring towns. At periods of a lower morbidity level the high-risk group embraces schoolchildren, and when morbidity is at a higher level the risk group includes schoolchildren and preschool children in organized groups. Among the latter the morbidity level is influenced by factors acting all the year round and among school children, by seasonal factors. The beginning of the seasonal rise of morbidity falls on August, while in organized groups of children of preschool age the seasonal rise of hepatitis A morbidity begins 1-1.5 months later. All prophylactic measures for controlling hepatitis A should be carried out with due regard to these features of the epidemic process.     

Prognosis of the dynamics and intensity of the epidemic process in viral hepatitis A

The article deals with approaches to the calculation of the annual morbidity rate in virus hepatitis A at the period preceding the season of maximum morbidity, necessary for planning the relevant prophylactic and antiepidemic measures in due time. The method for calculating the monthly levels of sporadic morbidity in virus hepatitis A is proposed. This method permits the detection of complications on the epidemic situation, which is necessary for the timely organization of antiepidemic measures. The proposed method for predicting annual and monthly morbidity levels can be used in the practical work of specialists at sanitary and epidemic stations.     

The determination of hepatitis A antibodies in epidemiological practice

Epidemiological analysis of hepatitis A morbidity in a city with the population of 500,000 persons in 1960-1987 was carried out. Three periods of morbidity rises among children aged 3-6 years and 7-14 years and living at the same areas (microdistricts) were established. Blood sera from healthy children were tested for the presence of antibodies to hepatitis A in enzyme immunoassay. The data on the sanitary and bacteriological study of tap water were analyzed. Unsatisfactory results of water analysis in different microdistricts correlated with the presence of antibodies in the population of these microregions and with the average morbidity indices for many years.     

Clinico-epidemiologic characteristics of infectious hepatitis in a populated area where hepatitis had not been reported for a long time

The analysis of the clinico-epidemiological characteristic of infectious hepatitis in a populated area in the Kashkadarya region of the Uzbek SSR, where the cases of infectious hepatitis were not formerly registered for a long time, is presented. The epidemic process was found to take and intensive course with the formation of a large number of foci with 2 or more patients, an in the age groups of 20-29, 40 years and older a comparatively high morbidity rate, exceeding that among the total population 2-3 times, was registered. A low proportion of patients under 14 years (21.1%) was probably due to the planned preventive gamma globulin immunization carried out in this area.     

Retrospective epidemiologic diagnosis of viral non-A, non-B hepatitis with a fecal-oral mechanism of transmission of the causative agent

The possibility of the retrospective epidemiological diagnosis of viral hepatitis non A, non B with the fecal-oral mechanism of the transfer of infection in three cities of Central Asia on the basis of the analysis of the dynamics of registered hepatitis A morbidity is shown. With the irregularity of morbidity levels among the total population being characteristic of all three cities, in Andizhan one rise in morbidity within a period of 3 years (1975-1978) and in Tashauz one rise within a period of 5 years (1975-1980) were registered. The analysis of the dynamics of morbidity observed in individual age and social groups showed that these rises, especially those registered in 1976 in Andizhan and in 1977 in Tashauz, were determined by morbidity levels among school children and adults. This is also true for a rise in morbidity rate registered in Tashauz in 1985. In Andizhan the highest morbidity rates among adults were registered in districts insufficiently equipped with modern amenities. Cases of infection registered as hepatitis A (HA) among persons immune to HA at territories with high intensity of the epidemic process of HA at the above-mentioned periods seem to be due to viral hepatitis non A, non B with the fecal-oral mechanism of the transmission of the infective agent.     

Use of data on Shigella contamination and immunity indices for studying the activity of the epidemic process in dysentery

The comparative study of the monthly distribution of characteristics indicating the levels of contamination with Sh. sonnei and Sh. flexneri separately, as well as the seasonal dynamics of the corresponding antibodies, in the years with high and low morbidity levels has been made with the use the indirect hemagglutination test. The possibility of using these characteristics for the evaluation of the activity of the epidemic process in dysentery caused by Sh. sonnei is shown.     

Problems of the epidemiology of viral hepatitis in Ryazan Province

The analysis of some features of the course of the epidemic process of viral hepatitis on the territory of the Ryazan region is presented. Periodic rises and falls in viral hepatitis morbidity, varying in their regularity (4-6 years), have been registered in the region. The general level and the seasonal distribution of viral hepatitis morbidity are determined by the morbidity rate among children, the increase in the proportion of children of senior school age being observed in recent years.     

Multiyear and seasonal hepatitis A morbidity in different population age groups in certain areas

At the areas with high activity of hepatitis A (HA) epidemic process the duration of epidemic cycles was shown to differ, the intervals between the peaks of morbidity increasing in older age groups. The beginning of seasonal rises exceeding the average annual HA morbidity level in different age groups was found to depend on the activity of the epidemic process. At the areas with the highest activity of the epidemic process children aged 1-2 years were the first to be affected by the seasonal rise of HA. Stable direct correlation between HA morbidity levels at the beginning of seasonal rises and some markers indicative of unfavorable sanitary conditions (the size of the fly population, the purity of water samples deviating from the requirement of the Government Standard) during the preceding year was demonstrated.     

Zonal characteristics of the dynamics of viral hepatitis A morbidity over a period of many years (based on data from the Ukrainian SSR)

The previously established zonal character of the prevalence of viral hepatitis A in the Ukraine is a stable epidemiological regularity observed for more than 30 years (1952-1985). Zonal differences in the dynamics of the epidemic process of viral hepatitis A were established. These differences became particularly hepatitis manifest in the years of periodic rises in the morbidity rate which is also irregular within zonal and regional boundaries. The main typological variants of the dynamics of the epidemic process ("urban" and "rural") were defined. Typological approach appears to be useful in the provision of information necessary for the proper functioning of epidemiological surveillance and for taking measures aimed at epidemics control.     

The definition of the forms of the epidemic process in intestinal infections]

A method for the identification of the forms of the epidemic process in dysentery (annual, seasonal and outbreak forms) has been worked out. The method is based on the calculation of the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity from the data on the period of several years with the use of the formulae of binomial distribution, serving as the mathematical model of alternative random values, such as morbidity. The comparison of actual morbidity for each year of the analyzed period with the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity helps identify the form of the epidemic process.     

Genetic structure of Corynebacterium diphtheriae strains isolated in Russia during epidemics of various intensity

The genetic structure of C. dipthteriae toxigenic strains isolated in Russia during the period of more than 50 years was analysed. The use of the method of ribotyping made it possible to register 17 C. diphtheriae ribotypes. The study revealed that the genetic structure of C. diphtheriae population varied in the dynamics of the epidemic process: each epidemic cycle characterized by predominant spread of epidemic strains of definite biovars and ribotypes. Thus, C. diphtheriae strains of biovar gravis, ribotype M11, dominated in the 40-60 years and C. diphtheriae strains of biovar mitis, closely related ribotypes M1 and M1v, dominated in the 80 years. During the last epidemic rise of diphtheriae morbidity in the 90 s C. diphtheriae strains of biovar gravis, closely related ribotypes G1 and G4, dominated among circulating strains. The proportion of these ribotypes began to increase 3 years before the rise of morbidity. The data of microbiological monitoring are recommended for use in the prognostication of the development of the epidemic process of diphtheria infection.     

The results of a serological study of viral hepatitis patients and healthy subjects under the conditions of a high-intensity epidemic process in hepatitis A

The activity of the involvement of preschool children of different ages in organized groups into the epidemic process of hepatitis A and the state of population immunity in elderly persons have been studied. Under the conditions of the intensive development of the epidemic process the active involvement of preschool children into this process as early as at the age of 1-2 years has been noted. At periods between epidemics the active circulation of the infective agent in the presence of decreased manifestations of the disease has been revealed.     

Quantitative research on the cyclic fluctuations of the epidemic process in a number of infectious diseases in Bulgaria

The cyclic nature of the epidemic process in Bulgaria was studied by various methods (spectral analysis, etc.), forming a system. The morbidity dynamics in 10 infectious diseases (scarlet fever, rubella, measles, epidemic parotitis, whooping cough, diphtheria, typhoid fever, enterocolitis, bacterial dysentery, viral hepatitis) over the years of 1909-1983 were studied and cycles covering the periods of 3-4, 5-6, 10-11 and over 16 years were established. The data on the relative part of cyclic processes in the registered morbidity of infectious diseases, as well as information on the prognostication of the spread of infections in the absence of vaccinal prophylaxis, are presented.     

Monthly dynamics of the epidemic process in viral hepatitis B

Monthly fluctuations in the number of registered cases of acute viral hepatitis B and HBsAg carriership have been studied. The study has revealed that, similarly to other infectious diseases, viral hepatitis is characterized by monthly fluctuations in the intensity of the epidemic process. Such fluctuations are characteristic of all known clinical forms of this infection; they are determined by the specific pathogenetic features of the process and by the ways of the transfer of the virus. The vernal rise of the infection is explained by activation of the manifest and asymptomatic chronic variants of the infectious process and, as the consequence of a rise in the number of asymptomatic cases, by a higher incidence rate of post-transfusion hepatitis infection. The autumnal rise of the infection results from the action of natural factors contributing to the transfer of the virus. Both rises are interrelated and interdependent. The seasonal fluctuations of the epidemic process should be taken into consideration when planning and implementing prophylactic and epidemic-control measures.     

The structure of the population morbidity with specific intestinal infections in areas with different intensities in the development of the epidemic process and an evaluation of its manifestations]

The authors analyze the morbidity structure in five enteric infections (typhoid fever, dysentery caused by Shigella flexneri and Shigella sonnei, hepatitis A, and hepatitis E (non A, non B) with the fecal/oral mechanism of the agent transmission) in three towns of Turkmenia and in the town of Novomoskovsk, Tula Province. The incidence of S. sonnei dysentery was found higher in Novomoskovsk and that of the rest enteric infections under study in Turkmenia. The incidence of typhoid fever and hepatitis E was the highest among schoolchildren and adults, whereas preschool children suffered mostly from hepatitis A and S. sonnei dysentery. The authors discuss the specific features of the epidemic process manifestation in enteric infections.     

Improvement in the tactics of systematic gamma globulin prevention of viral hepatitis taking the morbidity prognosis into account]

On the example of 4 cites of the RSFSR under conditions of expected epidemic threat a possibility was shown of directed influence on the viral hepatitis A epidemic process of preseasonal gamma-globulin prophylaxis conducted in 90% of "organized" children, aged from 1 to 12 years. The dose used was 0.75 ml of a 10% preparation. The method of Gorky Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology was used to prognosticate the morbidity. It is recommended to improve the tactics of preseasonal gamma-globulin prophylaxis with consideration to the data of the viral hepatitis prognosis.     

Various epidemiological principles of the spread of viral hepatitis in the Astrakhan district]

Analysis of many-year changes in the vitral hepatitis incidence in the Astrakhan region showed a significant cyclicity of the epidemic process: its incidence rose 4 times during the period of from 1957 to 1976; four of these elevations were comparatively high (in 1960, 1964, and 1974). Lately the group of children aged from 3 to 7 years has been of the greatest epidemiological significance, but at present greatest incidence of the disease fell on the group of persons aged from 8 to 14 years. This can be connected with gamma-globulin vaccinations given to children aged under 10 years. Seasonal distribution of morbidity in different are groups was about the same and reflected the general automn-winter seasonal prevalence.     

Characteristics of the manifest and latent components of the hepatitis A epidemic process in cities of Russia

Seroepidemiological study of hepatitis A (HA) morbidity was carried out in three Russian cities, with different levels of HA morbidity. The study included the analysis of HA morbidity for 22 years, the determination of antibodies to HA virus (anti-HAV) in 2,958 healthy persons aged 0-12 months to 40 years and older. In one of the cities 7 isolates of HA virus were obtained from unrelated sources and the genotypes of the virus were determined. The study revealed that the frequency of seropositive cases among persons of different ages correlated with the level and prolonged dynamics of HA morbidity. According to the occurrence of anti-HAV, such cities as St. Petersburg, Rostov-on-Don and Yakutsk may be at present classified as territories, moderately endemic in HA. At the same time in the 90 s the epidemic situation in HA was more favorable in Rostov-on-Don than in two other cities. The suggestion was made that a high proportion of seropositive persons among the population of St. Perersburg was linked with an almost twofold rise in HA morbidity in 1993-1995 caused by genotype 1 of the virus. Seroepidemiological studies in HA during the period of a drop in morbidity acquire special importance in the surveillance and control system of this infection.