Evasive mimicry: when (if ever) could mimicry based on difficulty of capture evolve?

We elucidate the conditions under which an easy-to-catch edible prey species may evolve to resemble another edible species that is much more difficult to capture ('evasive Batesian mimicry'), and the conditions under which two or more edible but hard-to-catch species evolve a common resemblance ('evasive Mullerian mimicry'). Using two complementary mathematical models, we argue that both phenomena are logically possible but that several factors will limit the prevalence of these forms of mimicry in nature. Evasive Batesian mimicry is most likely to arise when it is costly in time or energy for the predator species to pursue evasive prey, when mimics are encountered less frequently than evasive models and where there are abundant alternative prey. Evasive Mullerian mimicry, by contrast, is most likely to arise when evasive prey species differ in abundance, predators are slow to learn to avoid evasive prey and evading capture is costly to the prey. Unequivocal evidence for evasive Batesian or Mullerian mimicry has not yet been demonstrated in the field, and we argue that more empirical work is needed to test whether putative examples are indeed a result of selection to signal difficulty of capture.     

Has the mortality of male doctors improved with the reductions in their cigarette smoking?

From 1951 to 1971 male doctors reduced their cigarette smoking more than did men in social classes I and II combined. In 1970-2, 665 male doctors died aged under 65. Had they shown the same improvements in cause-specific death rates over the 20 years as men in classes I and II, 699 deaths would have been expected. This "saving" of 34 deaths in the doctors comprised savings from coronary heart disease (83), stroke (16), and lung cancer (8) balanced by 60 "losses" from three stress-related causes--namely, accident, poisonings, etc (30); suicide (26); and cirrhosis of the liver (4)--plus 13 from other causes. As a relative reduction in mortality from heart disease in doctors (as compared with that in social classes I and II) also occurred during 1931-51--that is, before they began to give up smoking--some of the saving in heart-disease deaths in 1951-71 was probably not related to changes in smoking habits. The relative worsening in mortality from stress-related diseases may have been due partly to a possible adverse effect of giving up smoking if smoking had acted to reduce stress. From these findings, the benefits of giving up smoking may not be so great as has commonly been assumed.     

Do doctors accurately assess coronary risk in their patients? Preliminary results of the coronary health assessment study.

OBJECTIVE--To evaluate the ability of doctors in primary care to assess risk patients'' risk of coronary heart disease. DESIGN--Questionnaire survey. SETTING--Continuing medical education meetings, Ontario and Quebec, Canada. SUBJECTS--Community based doctors who agreed to enroll in the coronary health assessment study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Ratings of coronary risk factors and estimates by doctors of relative and absolute coronary risk of two hypothetical patients and the "average" 40 year old Canadian man and 70 year old Canadian woman. RESULTS--253 doctors answered the questionnaire. For 30 year olds the doctors rated cigarette smoking as the most important risk factor and raised serum triglyceride concentrations as the least important; for 70 year old patients they rated diabetes as the most important risk factor and raised serum triglyceride concentrations as the least important. They rated each individual risk factor as significantly less important for 70 year olds than for 30 year olds (all risk factors, P < 0.001). They showed a strong understanding of the relative importance of specific risk factors, and most were confident in their ability to estimate coronary risk. While doctors accurately estimated the relative risk of a specific patient (compared with the average adult) they systematically overestimated the absolute baseline risk of developing coronary disease and the risk reductions associated with specific interventions. CONCLUSIONS--Despite guidelines on targeting patients at high risk of coronary disease accurate assessment of coronary risk remains difficult for many doctors. Additional strategies must be developed to help doctors to assess better their patients'' coronary risk.     

When is breeding for drought tolerance optimal if drought is random?

* Increasing climatic unpredictability associated with characteristics of some species makes plant drought-tolerance an important drought-adaptation strategy. Using norm-of-reaction functions, or empirically determined functions that enable us to predict the state of a trait given the state of an environmental variable, allows modelling of plant performance when water availability varies randomly. * A mathematical model is proposed to evaluate drought-tolerance and growth strategies given a set of environmental parameters: the frequency of rainy days, the soil water-storage capacity, plant water use and plant growth rates. This model compares the performance of genotypes that differ in drought tolerance expressed as the ability to grow in drier soils, and assumes a general trade-off function between drought tolerance and maximum plant growth rate. * It is worth selecting plants with a greater degree of drought tolerance, expressed by the ability to grow in drier soils whenever the frequency of rains is smaller than the rate of soil water depletion. Otherwise, maximizing growth rate at the expense of drought tolerance is the best strategy. The nature of the trade-off between drought tolerance and plant growth rate also constrains the selection for optimal drought-adapted genotypes. * Breeders will have to consider these aspects of plant-environment interactions before establishing selection programs for drought adaptation.     

Complex,non-monotonic dose-response curves with multiple maxima: Do we (ever) sample densely enough?

We usually expect the dose-response curves of biological responses to quantifiable stimuli to be simple, either monotonic or exhibiting a single maximum or minimum. Deviations are often viewed as experimental noise. However, detailed measurements in plant primary tissue cultures (stem pith explants of kale and tobacco) exposed to varying doses of sucrose, cytokinins (BA or kinetin) or auxins (IAA or NAA) revealed that growth and several biochemical parameters exhibit multiple reproducible, statistically significant maxima over a wide range of exogenous substance concentrations. This results in complex, non-monotonic dose-response curves, reminiscent of previous reports of analogous observations in both metazoan and plant systems responding to diverse pharmacological treatments. These findings suggest the existence of a hitherto neglected class of biological phenomena resulting in dose-response curves exhibiting periodic patterns of maxima and minima, whose causes remain so far uncharacterized, partly due to insufficient sampling frequency used in many studies.     

Should young ever be better off with one parent than with two?

We analyze models of parental care, providing the first systematiccomparison of the care given to young by one parent versus bytwo parents. In the Houston-Davies model of care, young alwaysdo better with two parents rather than with one parent. Whenone parent decides about its level of care before the other,then the young may do better with one parent when the costsof care for the parents are asymmetric. When the level of parentaleffort is reached by negotiation, there are cases in which youngdo better with one parent, even when costs are symmetric. Theanalysis suggests empirical ways to differentiate between differentresponse rules.     

Do patients with diabetic neuropathy use a higher proportion of their maximum strength when walking?

Diabetic patients have an altered gait strategy during walking and are known to be at high risk of falling, especially when diabetic peripheral neuropathy is present. This study investigated alterations to lower limb joint torques during walking and related these torques to maximum strength in an attempt to elucidate why diabetic patients are more likely to fall. 20 diabetic patients with moderate/severe peripheral neuropathy (DPN), 33 diabetic patients without peripheral neuropathy (DM), and 27 non-diabetic controls (Ctrl) underwent gait analysis using a motion analysis system and force plates to measure kinetic parameters. Lower limb peak joint torques and joint work done (energy expenditure) were calculated during walking. The ratio of peak joint torques and individual maximum joint strengths (measured on a dynamometer) was then calculated for 59 of the 80 participants to yield the ‘operating strength’ for those participants. During walking DM and DPN patients showed significantly reduced peak torques at the ankle and knee. Maximum joint strengths at the knee were significantly less in both DM and DPN groups than Ctrls, and for the DPN group at the ankle. Operating strengths were significantly higher at the ankle in the DPN group compared to the Ctrls. These findings show that diabetic patients walk with reduced lower limb joint torques; however due to a decrement in their maximum ability at the ankle and knee, their operating strengths are higher. This allows less reserve strength if responding to a perturbation in balance, potentially increasing their risk of falling.     

When Can Clades Be Potentially Resolved with Morphology?

Morphology-based phylogenetic analyses are the only option for reconstructing relationships among extinct lineages, but often find support for conflicting hypotheses of relationships. The resulting lack of phylogenetic resolution is generally explained in terms of data quality and methodological issues, such as character selection. A previous suggestion is that sampling ancestral morphotaxa or sampling multiple taxa descended from a long-lived, unchanging lineage can also yield clades which have no opportunity to share synapomorphies. This lack of character information leads to a lack of ‘intrinsic’ resolution, an issue that cannot be solved with additional morphological data. It is unclear how often we should expect clades to be intrinsically resolvable in realistic circumstances, as intrinsic resolution must increase as taxonomic sampling decreases. Using branching simulations, I quantify intrinsic resolution across several models of morphological differentiation and taxonomic sampling. Intrinsically unresolvable clades are found to be relatively frequent in simulations of both extinct and living taxa under realistic sampling scenarios, implying that intrinsic resolution is an issue for morphology-based analyses of phylogeny. Simulations which vary the rates of sampling and differentiation were tested for their agreement to observed distributions of durations from well-sampled fossil records and also having high intrinsic resolution. This combination only occurs in those datasets when differentiation and sampling rates are both unrealistically high relative to branching and extinction rates. Thus, the poor phylogenetic resolution occasionally observed in morphological phylogenetics may result from a lack of intrinsic resolvability within groups.     

Cilia and Hedgehog: When and how was their marriage solemnized?

Primary cilia are essential for Hedgehog (Hh) signaling in mammals, and this requirement appears to be conserved in other vertebrates as well. Here, I review recent work that has scrutinized the evolution of the link between the Hh pathway and cilia, discuss what we have learnt from these studies and speculate on how this fascinating problem can be further explored.