Robust and efficient design of experiments for the Monod model

In this paper the problem of designing experiments for the Monod model, which is frequently used in microbiology, is studied. The model is defined implicitly by a differential equation and has numerous applications in microbial growth kinetics, environmental research, pharmacokinetics, and plant physiology. The designs presented so far in the literature are local optimal designs, which depend sensitively on a preliminary guess of the unknown parameters, and are for this reason in many cases not robust with respect to their misspecification. Uniform designs and maximin optimal designs are considered as a strategy to obtain robust and efficient designs for parameter estimation. In particular, standardized maximin D- and E-optimal designs are determined and compared with uniform designs, which are usually applied in these microbiological models. It is demonstrated that maximin optimal designs are substantially more efficient than uniform designs. Parameter variances can be decreased by a factor of two by simply sampling at optimal times during the experiment. Moreover, the maximin optimal designs usually provide the possibility for the experimenter to check the model assumptions, because they have more support points than parameters in the Monod model.     

Robustness and Efficiency of D‐optimal Experimental Designs in a Growth Problem

To assess tree growth, for example in diameter, a forester typically measures the trees at regular time points. We call such designs equidistant. In this paper we look at the robustness and efficiency of several experimental designs, using the D‐optimality criterion, in a case study of diameter growth in cork oaks. We compare D‐optimal designs (unrestricted and replication‐free) with equidistant designs. We further compare designs in different experimental regions. Results indicate that the experimental region should be adequate to the problem, and that D‐optimal designs are substantially more efficient than equidistant designs, even under parameter mis‐specification.     

Conditional Point Estimation in Adaptive Group Sequential Test Designs

It is well known that point estimates in group sequential designs are biased. This also applies to adaptive designs that enable, e.g., data driven reassessments of group sample sizes. For triangular designs, Whitehead (1986) (Biometrika 73 , 573–581) proposed a bias adjusted estimate. But this estimate is not feasible in adaptive designs although it is in group sequential designs. Furthermore, there is a waste of information because it does not use the information at which stage the trial was stopped. We present a modification which does use this information and which is applicable to adaptive designs. The modified estimate achieves an improvement in group sequential designs and shows similar results in adaptive designs.     

Dual Designs and Their Application in Genetical Experiments

The dual of incomplete block designs has been studied with th́eir applications in genetical experiments. Partial diallel crosses (PDC) of type I have been constructed using balanced incomplete block (BIB) designs, partially balanced incomplete block (PBIB) designs and their dual designs. Simplified analysis of PDC has been presented using the dual property of these designs. List of optimal PDC having simple analysis has been given.     

Sequentially Generated Designs

Procedures for sequential generation of nearly D-optimal designs are described. Two kinds of designs can be obtained: symmetrical block designs and nonsymmetrical ones. It is shown that in a special case when the number of the support points of a continuous D-optimal design equals to the number of regression coefficients the sequential designs can be constructed very easy without use of a computer. A Catalogue containing 135 designs has been developed by use of these procedures. 34 of them can be used for experiments in cuboidal factor space and the remaining for experiments with mixture and process variables. Comparison with other designs is done.     

Non-Iterative Least Squares Estimation of Missing Values in Hyper-Graeco-Latin Square Designs

In this paper an attempt has been made to obtain explicit expressions for the estimators of the several missing values in hyper-graeco-latin square designs. Further it has been shown that the estimates of the missing values in latin square designs and graeco-latin square designs are obtained as a particular case of the estimates of the missing values in hyper-graeco-latin square designs.     

Adaptive trial designs: a review of barriers and opportunities

ABSTRACT: Adaptive designs allow planned modifications based on data accumulating within a study. The promise of greater flexibility and efficiency stimulates increasing interest in adaptive designs from clinical, academic, and regulatory parties. When adaptive designs are used properly, efficiencies can include a smaller sample size, a more efficient treatment development process, and an increased chance of correctly answering the clinical question of interest. However, improper adaptations can lead to biased studies. A broad definition of adaptive designs allows for countless variations, which creates confusion as to the statistical validity and practical feasibility of many designs. Determining properties of a particular adaptive design requires careful consideration of the scientific context and statistical assumptions. We first review several adaptive designs that garner the most current interest. We focus on the design principles and research issues that lead to particular designs being appealing or unappealing in particular applications. We separately discuss exploratory and confirmatory stage designs in order to account for the differences in regulatory concerns. We include adaptive seamless designs, which combine stages in a unified approach. We also highlight a number of applied areas, such as comparative effectiveness research, that would benefit from the use of adaptive designs. Finally, we describe a number of current barriers and provide initial suggestions for overcoming them in order to promote wider use of appropriate adaptive designs. Given the breadth of the coverage all mathematical and most implementation details are omitted for the sake of brevity. However, the interested reader will find that we provide current references to focused reviews and original theoretical sources which lead to details of the current state of the art in theory and practice.     

A model-independent approach to the theory of experimental designs and a special discussion of bib. i general definition and designs with one or two block factors

Experimental designs are definded by introducing an assignment matrix Z. It is shown by block designs and double block designs that using Z or an operator on Z otherwise defined, well known designs can be got as special cases. Till now we didn' find an experimental design which could not be defined by our matrix Z. The definitions of properties of experimental designs can be given independently of the model of the statistical analysis. This is shown for the property of balance of block designs.     

Construction of resolvable spatial row-column designs

Resolvable row-column designs are widely used in field trials to control variation and improve the precision of treatment comparisons. Further gains can often be made by using a spatial model or a combination of spatial and incomplete blocking components. Martin, Eccleston, and Gleeson presented some general principles for the construction of robust spatial block designs which were addressed by spatial designs based on the linear variance (LV) model. In this article we define the two-dimensional form of the LV model and investigate extensions of the Martin et al. principles for the construction of resolvable spatial row-column designs. The computer construction of efficient spatial designs is discussed and some comparisons made with designs constructed assuming an autoregressive variance structure.     

Discrete design of enzyme kinetic experiments

The usefulness of discrete designs in enzyme kinetics as an alternative to continuous designs is discussed in this paper, focusing on designs satisfying the D-optimality criterion. This study has been carried out using a program called DODID, specifically devised for this purpose, which is available by request to the authors. The results presented in this paper show that the relative efficiency of the D-optimal discrete designs with respect to the continuous ones increases rapidly when increasing the number of possible values for the control variables. Relative efficiencies higher than 0.98 are achieved when using 20 possible values for each variable. The power of the tools provided by the computational approach of this work is proved by the analysis made on the robustness of different designs for estimating the kinetic parameters when a wrong assumption on the error structure has been made. The robustness of the designs made assuming medium constant error (error variance proportional to the true response) is thus confirmed. A comparative study of several discriminating designs is also presented. The results obtained show that the designs produced by adding the optimal discrete designs corresponding to both candidate models plus the point where the weighted difference between the predicted values is maximum, is a good choice when designing an experiment for discrimination.     

Analysis of data from incomplete block designs

This paper presents an organized solution to the problem of computing inter- and intrablock analyses of incomplete block designs, based on the modified maximum likelihood principle proposed by Patterson and Thompson (1971, Biometrika 58, 545-554). The calculations are set out to be easily programmed on a microcomputer. The method is attractive because it is simple, yet sufficiently general to handle a wide class of designs, including partially balanced incomplete block designs, designs with unequal block sizes, designs with missing values, and generally unbalanced split-plot experiments.     

Group Divisible Second Order Rotatable Designs

The Group Divisible Rotatable (GDR) designs are the designs in which the factors get divided into groups such that for the factors within group, the designs are rotatable. In the present paper we have obtained a series of Group Divisible Second Order Rotatable designs, by decomposing the v-dimensional space corresponding to v-factors under consideration into three mutually orthogonal spaces. We have given the least squares estimates of the parameters, the analysis and construction of such designs.     

On the Role of Baseline Measurements for Crossover Designs under the Self and Mixed Carryover Effects Model

Summary .  It is well known that optimal designs are strongly model dependent. In this article, we apply the Lagrange multiplier approach to the optimal design problem, using a recently proposed model for carryover effects. Generally, crossover designs are not recommended when carryover effects are present and when the primary goal is to obtain an unbiased estimate of the treatment effect. In some cases, baseline measurements are believed to improve design efficiency. This article examines the impact of baselines on optimal designs using two different assumptions about carryover effects during baseline periods and employing a nontraditional crossover design model. As anticipated, baseline observations improve design efficiency considerably for two-period designs, which use the data in the first period only to obtain unbiased estimates of treatment effects, while the improvement is rather modest for three- or four-period designs. Further, we find little additional benefits for measuring baselines at each treatment period as compared to measuring baselines only in the first period. Although our study of baselines did not change the results on optimal designs that are reported in the literature, the problem of strong model dependency problem is generally recognized. The advantage of using multiperiod designs is rather evident, as we found that extending two-period designs to three- or four-period designs significantly reduced variability in estimating the direct treatment effect contrast.     

Optimal adaptive two‐stage designs for phase II cancer clinical trials

In oncology, single‐arm two‐stage designs with binary endpoint are widely applied in phase II for the development of cytotoxic cancer therapies. Simon's optimal design with prefixed sample sizes in both stages minimizes the expected sample size under the null hypothesis and is one of the most popular designs. The search algorithms that are currently used to identify phase II designs showing prespecified characteristics are computationally intensive. For this reason, most authors impose restrictions on their search procedure. However, it remains unclear to what extent this approach influences the optimality of the resulting designs. This article describes an extension to fixed sample size phase II designs by allowing the sample size of stage two to depend on the number of responses observed in the first stage. Furthermore, we present a more efficient numerical algorithm that allows for an exhaustive search of designs. Comparisons between designs presented in the literature and the proposed optimal adaptive designs show that while the improvements are generally moderate, notable reductions in the average sample size can be achieved for specific parameter constellations when applying the new method and search strategy.     

Response surface designs for experiments in bioprocessing

Many processes in the biological industries are studied using response surface methodology. The use of biological materials, however, means that run-to-run variation is typically much greater than that in many experiments in mechanical or chemical engineering and so the designs used require greater replication. The data analysis which is performed may involve some variable selection, as well as fitting polynomial response surface models. This implies that designs should allow the parameters of the model to be estimated nearly orthogonally. A class of three-level response surface designs is introduced which allows all except the quadratic parameters to be estimated orthogonally, as well as having a number of other useful properties. These subset designs are obtained by using two-level factorial designs in subsets of the factors, with the other factors being held at their middle level. This allows their properties to be easily explored. Replacing some of the two-level designs with fractional replicates broadens the class of useful designs, especially with five or more factors, and sometimes incomplete subsets can be used. It is very simple to include a few two- and four-level factors in these designs by excluding subsets with these factors at the middle level. Subset designs can be easily modified to include factors with five or more levels by allowing a different pair of levels to be used in different subsets.     

Designs for restricted exploration in mixture experiments

Extreme Vertices designs were developed by MCLEAN and ANDERSON (1966) for situations where components of a mixture are restricted by lower and upper bounds, SNEE and MARQUARDT (1974) and SNEE (1975) gave algorithms to construct optimum designs in these situations. SAXENA and NIGAM (1975) evolved a transformation which provides designs for restricted exploration using Symmetric Simplex designs. In this paper a procedure has been given which provides alternative designs with uniform exploration in constrained mixture experiments. The procedure is illustrated by an example.     

Genetic dissection methods: designs used for tests of gene-environment interaction

Given recent advances in the field of molecular genetics, many have recognized the need to exploit either study designs or analytical methods to test hypotheses with gene-by-environment (G x E) interactions. The partial-collection designs, including case-only, partial case-control, and case-parent trio designs, have been suggested as attractive alternatives to the complete case-control design both for increased statistical efficiency and reduced data needs. However, common problems in genetic epidemiology studies, such as, presence of G x E correlation in the population, population mixture, and genotyping error may reduce the validity of these designs. On the basis of previous simulation studies and empirical data and given the potential limitations and uncertainty of assumptions of partial-collection designs, the case-control design is the optimal choice versus partial-collection designs.     

Efficiency of augmented p-rep designs in multi-environmental trials

Key message

The paper shows that unreplicated designs in multi-environmental trials are most efficient. If replication per environment is needed then augmented p-rep designs outperform augmented and replicated designs in triticale and maize.

Abstract

In plant breeding, augmented designs with unreplicated entries are frequently used for early generation testing. With limited amount of seed, this design allows to use a maximum number of environments in multi-environmental trials (METs). Check plots enable the estimation of block effects, error variances and a connection of otherwise unconnected trials in METs. Cullis et al. (J Agri Biol Environ Stat 11:381–393, 2006) propose to replace check plots from a grid-plot design by plots of replicated entries leading to partially replicated (p-rep) designs. Williams et al. (Biom J 53:19–27, 2011) apply this idea to augmented designs (augmented p-rep designs). While p-rep designs are increasingly used in METs, a comparison of the efficiency of augmented p-rep designs and augmented designs in the range between replicated and unreplicated designs in METs is lacking. We simulated genetic effects and allocated them according to these four designs to plot yields of a triticale and a maize uniformity trial. The designs varied in the number of environments, but have a fixed number of entries and total plots. The error model and the assumption of fixed or random entry effects were varied in simulations. We extended our simulation for the triticale data by including correlated entry effects which are common in genomic selection. Results show an advantage of unreplicated and augmented p-rep designs and a preference for using random entry effects, especially in case of correlated effects reflecting relationships among entries. Spatial error models had minor advantages compared to purely randomization-based models.     

Some Third-Order Rotatable Designs

Some new third-order rotatable designs are obtained in 5, 6, 7 and 8 dimensions. Many of these designs are of a sequential type and some require fewer experiments than the known designs with minimal number of experiments.     

Bayesian adaptive biased-coin designs for clinical trials with normal responses

Adaptive designs are used in phase III clinical trials for skewing the allocation pattern toward the better treatments. We use optimum design theory to derive a skewed Bayesian biased-coin procedure for sequential designs with continuous responses. The skewed designs are used to provide adaptive designs, the performance of which is studied numerically and theoretically. Important properties are loss and the proportion of allocation to the better treatment.