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1.
    
Uncertainty is a crucial issue in statistics which can be considered from different points of view. One type of uncertainty, typically referred to as sampling uncertainty, arises through the variability of results obtained when the same analysis strategy is applied to different samples. Another type of uncertainty arises through the variability of results obtained when using the same sample but different analysis strategies addressing the same research question. We denote this latter type of uncertainty as method uncertainty. It results from all the choices to be made for an analysis, for example, decisions related to data preparation, method choice, or model selection. In medical sciences, a large part of omics research is focused on the identification of molecular biomarkers, which can either be performed through ranking or by selection from among a large number of candidates. In this paper, we introduce a general resampling-based framework to quantify and compare sampling and method uncertainty. For illustration, we apply this framework to different scenarios related to the selection and ranking of omics biomarkers in the context of acute myeloid leukemia: variable selection in multivariable regression using different types of omics markers, the ranking of biomarkers according to their predictive performance, and the identification of differentially expressed genes from RNA-seq data. For all three scenarios, our findings suggest highly unstable results when the same analysis strategy is applied to two independent samples, indicating high sampling uncertainty and a comparatively smaller, but non-negligible method uncertainty, which strongly depends on the methods being compared.  相似文献   

2.
A model for a binary variable with time-censored observations   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
FAREWELL  V. T. 《Biometrika》1977,64(1):43-46
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3.
In the use of systematic sampling in surveys it is known that the effect of negative correlations (=ϱwst) between deviations from stratum means of pairs of items in the same systematic sample is such that the resulting variance V(ȳst) can be zero for systematic sample means ȳst (e.g., Cochran, 1977, ch. 8). For such populations systematic sampling is then superior both to stratified sampling (one unit per stratum) and to simple random sampling. Cochran (loc. cit.) does not identify special types of finite populations for which ϱwst = −1/(n -1) and hence V(ȳst) =0. It is the purpose of this paper to present one type of population for which this condition is satisfied.  相似文献   

4.
    
Nahhas RW  Wolfe DA  Chen H 《Biometrics》2002,58(4):964-971
McIntyre (1952, Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 3, 385-390) introduced ranked set sampling (RSS) as a method for improving estimation of a population mean in settings where sampling and ranking of units from the population are inexpensive when compared with actual measurement of the units. Two of the major factors in the usefulness of RSS are the set size and the relative costs of the various operations of sampling, ranking, and measurement. In this article, we consider ranking error models and cost models that enable us to assess the effect of different cost structures on the optimal set size for RSS. For reasonable cost structures, we find that the optimal RSS set sizes are generally larger than had been anticipated previously. These results will provide a useful tool for determining whether RSS is likely to lead to an improvement over simple random sampling in a given setting and, if so, what RSS set size is best to use in this case.  相似文献   

5.
Modelling and generating correlated binary variables   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
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6.
    
Summary. We derive the optimal allocation between two treatments in a clinical trial based on the following optimality criterion: for fixed variance of the test statistic, what allocation minimizes the expected number of treatment failures? A sequential design is described that leads asymptotically to the optimal allocation and is compared with the randomized play‐the‐winner rule, sequential Neyman allocation, and equal allocation at similar power levels. We find that the sequential procedure generally results in fewer treatment failures than the other procedures, particularly when the success probabilities of treatments are smaller.  相似文献   

7.
This study gives the first electrophysiological evidence of hygroreceptors in carabids. Extracellular recordings from the antennal dome-shaped sensilla of the carabid beetle Pterostichus oblolongopunctatus (Coleoptera, Carabidae) clearly show the presence of moist and dry neuron antagonistically responding to humidity changes. The cold neuron of the same sensillum did not respond to changes in humidity. For the first time, we demonstrate that the binary system of two antagonistic hygroreceptor neurons discriminates differences between steady-state humidity levels more sensitively than either neuron separately. Another advantage of the binary system is that it guarantees immediate and strong phasic-tonic response to rapid humidity changes in either direction. In the hygrosensing system of carabids, this would allow detection of subtle step-changes in humidity with greater sensitivity than differences in steady-state values of humidity. Thus, construction of the hygrosensing system with opposing receptor neurons may allow insects to detect environmental humidity differences critical for their habitat and microhabitat selection, and survival with great precision.  相似文献   

8.
The influence of ontogeny, light environment and species on relationships of relative growth rate (RGR) to physiological and morphological traits were examined for first-year northern hardwood tree seedlings. Three Betulaceae species (Betula papyrifera, Betula alleghaniensis and Ostrya virginiana) were grown in high and low light and Quercus rubra and Acer saccharum were grown only in high light. Plant traits were determined at four ages: 41, 62, 83 and 104 days after germination. In high light (610 mol m–2 s–1 PPFD), across species and ages, RGR was positively related to the proportion of the plant in leaves (leaf weight ratio, LWR; leaf area ratio, LAR), in situ rates of average canopy net photosynthesis (A) per unit mass (Amass) and per unit area (Aarea), and rates of leaf, stem and root respiration. In low light (127 mol m–2 s–1 PPFD), RGR was not correlated with Amass and Aarea whereas RGR was positively correlated with LAR, LWR, and rates of root and stem respiration. RGR was negatively correlated with leaf mass per area in both high and low light. Across light levels, relationships of CO2 exchange and morphological characteristics with RGR were generally weaker than within light environments. Moreover, relationships were weaker for plant parameters containing a leaf area component (leaf mass per area, LAR and Aarea), than those that were solely mass-based (respiration rates, LWR and Amass). Across light environments, parameters incorporating the proportion of the plant in leaves and rates of photosynthesis explained a greater amount of variation in RGR (e.g. LWR*Amass, R2=0.64) than did any single parameter related to whole-plant carbon gain. RGR generally declined with age and mass, which were used as scalars of ontogeny. LWR (and LAR) also declined for seven of the eight species-light treatments and A declined in four of the five species in high light. Decreasing LWR and A with ontogeny may have been partially responsible for decreasing RGR. Declines in RGR were not due to increased respiration resulting from an increase in the proportion of solely respiring tissue (roots and stems). In general, although LWR declined with ontogeny, specific rates of leaf, stem, and root respiration also decreased. The net result was that whole-plant respiration rates per unit leaf mass decreased for all eight treatments. Identifying the major determinants of variation in growth (e.g. LWR*Amass) across light environments, species and ontogeny contributes to the establishment of a framework for exploring limits to productivity and the nature of ecological success as measured by growth. The generality of these relationships both across the sources of variation we explored here and across other sources of variation in RGR needs further study.  相似文献   

9.
This paper considers the extrema of the relative precision (R. P.), or the ratio of the variance of optimum allocation to that of proportional allocation in stratified sampling for a mean (=Y) or total (=Y) when there is a fixed cost C=conhch over L strata. The upper bound of R. P. is shown to be equal to unity, though the lower bound can be negative while approaching zero if the finite population size N→∞. Numerical results (cf. Table) when the upper bound of R. P. = 1 is attained are included for the cases L≦4 with various combinations of {Wh}, {ch} and a fixed cost C; these give the appropriate sample sizes (=np) determined for proportional sampling in the cases of finite populations of sizes N=5000, 10,000 respectively.  相似文献   

10.
    
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11.
    
The diurnal feeding patterns of dairy cows affects the 24 h robot utilisation of pasture-based automatic milking systems (AMS). A decline in robot utilisation between 2400 and 0600 h currently occurs in pasture-based AMS, as cow feeding activity is greatly reduced during this time. Here, we investigate the effect of a temporal variation in feed quality and quantity on cow feeding behaviour between 2400 and 0600 h as a potential tool to increase voluntary cow trafficking in an AMS at night. The day was allocated into four equal feeding periods (0600 to 1200, 1200 to 1800, 1800 to 2400 and 2400 to 0600 h). Lucerne hay cubes (CP = 19.1%, water soluble carbohydrate = 3.8%) and oat, ryegrass and clover hay cubes with 20% molasses (CP = 11.8%, water soluble carbohydrate = 10.7%) were offered as the ‘standard’ and ‘preferred’ (preference determined previously) feed types, respectively. The four treatments were (1) standard feed offered ad libitum (AL) throughout 24 h; (2) as per AL, with preferred feed replacing standard feed between 2400 and 0600 h (AL + P); (3) standard feed offered at a restricted rate, with quantity varying between each feeding period (20:10:30:60%, respectively) as a proportion of the (previously) measured daily ad libitum intake (VA); (4) as per VA, with preferred feed replacing standard feed between 2400 and 0600 h (VA + P). Eight non-lactating dairy cows were used in a 4 × 4 Latin square design. During each experimental period, treatment cows were fed for 7 days, including 3 days habituation and 4 days data collection. Total daily intake was approximately 8% greater (P < 0.001) for the AL and AL + P treatments (23.1 and 22.9 kg DM/cow) as compared with the VA and VA + P treatments (21.6 and 20.9 kg DM/cow). The AL + P and VA treatments had 21% and 90% greater (P < 0.001) dry matter intake (DMI) between 2400 and 0600 h, respectively, compared with the AL treatment. In contrast, the VA + P treatment had similar DMI to the VA treatment. Our experiment shows ability to increase cow feeding activity at night by varying feed type and quantity, though it is possible that a penalty to total DMI may occur using VA. Further research is required to determine if the implementation of variable feed allocation on pasture-based AMS farms is likely to improve milking robot utilisation by increasing cow feeding activity at night.  相似文献   

12.
In panmictic populations, optimal sex allocation is, under theassumptions of Fisher's model, not influenced by the probabilityof offspring developmental mortality, or by differences in mortalitybetween the sexes. In contrast, when mating opportunities areconfined to siblings, developmental mortality can influenceoptimal sex allocation. Many animal species have both localmating and developmental mortality. We show that when developmentalmortality is random for individual offspring, optimal sex allocationis influenced by mortality among males but not among females.Male mortality increases the allocation to males, but this shouldnever be male biased, even under extreme male mortality. Thisresult applies both when mothers are able to control the sexof individual offspring precisely, and when sex is allocatedwith binomial probability. The influence of mortality becomesprogressively larger when the variance of the distribution ofmortality over clutches diminishes. The reduction in fitnessis greater than the proportion of mortality, especially at smallclutch sizes, and mortality reduces the advantage of producingprecise sex ratios, and of local mate competition in general.  相似文献   

13.
  总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Thas O  Rayner JC 《Biometrics》2005,61(3):808-815
In this article we construct three smooth goodness-of-fit tests for testing for the zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) distribution against general smooth alternatives in the sense of Neyman. We apply our tests to a data set previously claimed to be ZIP distributed, and show that the ZIP is not a good model to describe the data. At rejection of the null hypothesis of ZIP, the individual components of the test statistic, which are directly related to interpretable parameters in a smooth model, may be used to gain insight into an alternative distribution.  相似文献   

14.
    
This paper concerns with the analysis of item response data, which are usually measured on a rating scale and are therefore ordinal. These study items tended to be highly inter‐correlated. Rasch models, which convert ordinal categorical scales into linear measurements, are widely used in ordinal data analysis. In this paper, we improve the current methodology in order to incorporate inter‐item correlations. We have advocated the latent variable approach for this purpose, in combination with generalized estimating equations to estimate the Rasch model parameters. The data on a study of families of lung cancer patients demonstrate the utility of our methods.  相似文献   

15.
Uncertainty is expected to enter into our grant allocation processes at many points, not limited to those directly involving assessment by peers. The selection of grants for funding is thus prodigiously low in statistical power and will remain so. The replacement of current systems with some form of lottery, as has been proposed, seriously risks weakening the quality of applications. Opportunities exist for agencies to encourage and reward greater clarity and innovation in research outcomes.  相似文献   

16.
  总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
It is very important in the field of bioinformatics to apply computer to perform the function annotation for new sequenced bio-sequences. Based on GO database and BLAST program, a novel method for the function annotation of new biological sequences is presented by using the variable-precision rough set theory. The proposed method is applied to the real data in GO database to examine its effectiveness. Numerical results show that the proposed method has better precision, recall-rate and harmonic mean value compared with existing methods.  相似文献   

17.
18.
A branch search algorithm for maximum likelihood paired comparison ranking   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
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19.
不同基因型辣椒光合及生长特性对弱光的响应   总被引:13,自引:1,他引:13  
通过遮光使光照强度降低65%~70%,以研究弱光条件对不同基因型辣椒光合特性、同化物分配、产量形成和幼苗生长的影响.结果表明:弱光下辣椒净光合速率(Pn)、暗呼吸速率(Rd)、夜间呼吸速率(Rn)、蒸腾速率(Tr)、水分利用效率(WUE)、光补偿点(LCP)、CO2补偿点(CCP)和羧化效率(CE)下降,表观量子效率(AQY)上升.弱光下辣椒成株期光合作用的限制因素是非气孔因素.弱光处理使辣椒幼苗高/粗比和比叶面积增加,根/冠比、全株干样质量及壮苗指数显著下降.弱光显著抑制了辣椒生物产量与经济产量的形成,使植株同化物向茎叶的分配比例增加,向果实的分配比例减少.辣椒(果实味辣)在弱光下具有较低的光补偿点,以及较高的相对壮苗指数、相对单株产量和相对坐果率,耐弱光性普遍强于甜椒(果实味甜).  相似文献   

20.
Seedling growth strategies in Bauhinia species: comparing lianas and trees   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Lianas are expected to differ from trees in their growth strategies. As a result these two groups of woody species will have different spatial distributions: lianas are more common in high light environments. This study determines the differences in growth patterns, biomass allocation and leaf traits in five closely related liana and tree species of the genus Bauhinia. METHODS: Seedlings of two light-demanding lianas (Bauhinia tenuiflora and B. claviflora), one shade-tolerant liana (B. aurea), and two light-demanding trees (B. purpurea and B. monandra) were grown in a shadehouse at 25% of full sunlight. A range of physiological, morphological and biomass parameters at the leaf and whole plant level were compared among these five species. KEY RESULTS: The two light-demanding liana species had higher relative growth rate (RGR), allocated more biomass to leaf production [higher leaf mass fraction (LMF) and higher leaf area ratio (LAR)] and stem mass fraction (SMF), and less biomass to the roots [root mass fraction (RMF)] than the two tree species. The shade-tolerant liana had the lowest RGR of all five species, and had a higher RMF, lower SMF and similar LMF than the two light-demanding liana species. The two light-demanding lianas had lower photosynthetic rates per unit area (A(area)) and similar photosynthetic rates per unit mass (A(mass)) than the trees. Across species, RGR was positively related to SLA, but not to LAR and A(area). CONCLUSIONS: It is concluded that the faster growth of light-demanding lianas compared with light-demanding trees is based on morphological parameters (SLA, LMF and LAR), and cannot be attributed to higher photosynthetic rates at the leaf level. The shade-tolerant liana exhibited a slow-growth strategy, compared with the light-demanding species.  相似文献   

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